hsbc rebalancing towards developing markets

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Rebalancing towards developing markets MICHAEL GEOGHEGAN, GROUP CHIEF EXECUTIVE HSBC HOLDINGS PLC 2 October 2007

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Page 1: HSBC Rebalancing towards developing markets

Rebalancing towards developing marketsMICHAEL GEOGHEGAN, GROUP CHIEF EXECUTIVEHSBC HOLDINGS PLC

2 October 2007

Page 2: HSBC Rebalancing towards developing markets

2

Forward-looking statements

This presentation and subsequent discussion may contain certain forward-looking statements with respect to the financial condition, results of operations and business of the Group. These forward-looking statements represent the Group’s expectations or beliefs concerning future events and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainty that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. Additional detailed information concerning important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially is available in our Annual Report.

Page 3: HSBC Rebalancing towards developing markets

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The world as we see it evolving

Our strategic visionOur Strategy Our Geographies Our Businesses Our Organisation Our Performance

Rebalancing towards developing and fast growing markets

Re-engineering developed markets businesses

Leveraging our unique international connectivity through customer groups and common platforms

Benefiting from global diversification, strong capital base and continued prudent stance on risks

Global universal bank with leading developing markets presence

Page 4: HSBC Rebalancing towards developing markets

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Our outlook

Our strategic visionOur Strategy Our Geographies Our Businesses Our Organisation Our Performance

1. Emerging markets growing faster than rich countries…

Source: HSBC estimates

Ten years ago… Share of Global GDP

65%

35%

Today…

59%

41%

Ten years time…

50%50% Non-G7G7

2. World trade growing faster than GDP…

Source: HSBC estimates

Level 1990 = 100

100

300

500

700

1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

Global GDPWorld Trade

3. Longevity increasing virtually everywhere…

Source: HSBC estimates

People aged 60 and over (%)

0102030

1980 2000 2025

More developedWorld

EuropeLess developed

Page 5: HSBC Rebalancing towards developing markets

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Developing markets – economic context

Joining up our geographiesOur Strategy Our Geographies Our Businesses Our Organisation Our Performance

GDP growth

(2006 – 2020F)Source: HSBC estimates

8.6% 7.5%5.1%

3.5% 2.9% 2.3%

China India Asia LatinAmerica

USA WesternEurope

Trade growth

(2000 – 2020F)Source: HSBC estimates

7.8% 6.9%5.4% 5.1% 4.6%

Intra-Asia Asia LatinAmerica

WesternEurope

USA

Household consumption

(2006 – 2020F)Source: HSBC estimates

9.9%7.5%

5.2%3.5% 2.9% 2.9%

China India Asia LatinAmerica

USA WesternEurope

Page 6: HSBC Rebalancing towards developing markets

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Rebalancing towards developing markets

Joining up our geographiesOur Strategy Our Geographies Our Businesses Our Organisation Our Performance

Profit before tax split, average over last four half years1 Rebalancing over last two years1

58%

42%

1H05

53%47%

Average over last four half years

Asia, Middle East and Latin AmericaNorth America and Europe

50%50%

1H07

8%8%latinlatin americaamerica

21%21%north north americaamerica

39%39%asiaasia & &

the middle eastthe middle east

32%32%europeeurope

(1) Excluding dilution gains

Page 7: HSBC Rebalancing towards developing markets

7

Our positioning

Joining up our geographies

Strong presence in the world’s most dynamic economies

Largest international bank in mainland China, second largest in India and growing impressively, fourth largest in Brazil

Unique global reach – a bridge between developed anddeveloping countries for our customers

HSBC is the largest and most profitable international emerging markets bank

Our Strategy Our Geographies Our Businesses Our Organisation Our Performance

Page 8: HSBC Rebalancing towards developing markets

8

Developing markets: AsiaPre-eminent international bank

pbt up 30% to US$5.6bn ex dilution gains (1H07) • Hong Kong (profit before tax up 25%): gateway to China

• China: two-prong strategy with leading position amongst international institutions

• Combination of organic and inorganic investments

• Focussed market expansion in key businesses using direct channels

24%

4%

40%32%

PFS CMB CIBM PB

Joining up our geographiesOur Strategy Our Geographies Our Businesses Our Organisation Our Performance

Page 9: HSBC Rebalancing towards developing markets

9

Developing markets: Middle EastUnrivalled historic presence

Joining up our geographies

pbt up 8% to US$606m (1H07) • Onshore platform of over 208 branches and offices

across 15 countries, with almost 10,000 staff

• Strengthening presence in the Gulf States

• Additional organic investment in infrastructure

• First global bank to receive approval to set up UAE brokerage

36%

7%21%

36%

PFS CMB CIBM Other

Our Strategy Our Geographies Our Businesses Our Organisation Our Performance

Page 10: HSBC Rebalancing towards developing markets

10

Developing markets: Latin AmericaA leading regional distribution network

Joining up our geographies

pbt up 16% to US$1.0bn (1H07)• Expansion to 4,000 offices in less than 10 years in

14 countries

• Integration of Banistmo and BNL (Argentina)

• Replication of global businesses: credit cards, consumer finance, foreign exchange, trade and payments & cash management35%

1%

39%25%

PFS CMB CIBM PB

Our Strategy Our Geographies Our Businesses Our Organisation Our Performance

Page 11: HSBC Rebalancing towards developing markets

11

Developed markets: EuropeDriving links between developing and developed markets

Re-engineering our businesses

pbt up 13% to US$4.1bn (1H07) • PFS continues to have challenges; focus is on clear

segmentation, enhanced channel capacity, and Global Premier

• CMB revenues driven by customer recruitment and cross-sales in the UK; expansion in Turkey, Spain, Malta and Poland

• In CIBM, London and Paris are centres of excellence driving global markets and global banking

• Private Banking: improved cooperation with other businesses

1%

31%

12% 15%

41%

PFS CMB CIBM PB Other

Our Strategy Our Geographies Our Businesses Our Organisation Our Performance

Page 12: HSBC Rebalancing towards developing markets

12

Developed markets: North AmericaRe-shaping the business with our differentiated proposition

Re-engineering our businesses

pbt down 35% to US$2.4bn (1H07)

20%

2%

61%

18%

PFS CMB CIBM PB

• PFS: (1) restructuring mortgage services; and (2) focussing on our strengths: credits cards ‘a top 5 player’ with growing market share; HSBC Direct; Global Premier; and links to Latin America

• CMB: capitalising on international connectivity

• CIBM: focus on the distribution of Emerging Market product into the U.S.

-1% Other

Our Strategy Our Geographies Our Businesses Our Organisation Our Performance

Page 13: HSBC Rebalancing towards developing markets

13

Split of business by profit before tax1

Personal Financial Services42%

preferred provider with top classethical sales & service culture

Commercial Banking26%

to be the leading international business bank

Corporate, Investment Banking and Markets

28%emerging markets-led and

financing-focussed

Private Banking5%

outstanding international service

Opportunities in Wealth and Insurance

(1) Average over the last 4 half years (1H07, 2H06, 1H06 and 2H05), excluding dilution gains. Average pbt for other customer groups was -1%

Joining up our businessesOur Strategy Our Geographies Our Businesses Our Organisation Our Performance

Page 14: HSBC Rebalancing towards developing markets

14

Personal Financial ServicesPreferred provider with top class ethical sales and service culture Joining up our businesses

pbt down 20% to US$4.7bn (1H07) • Global Premier

• Direct channels

• Focus on delivery of core products

• Consumer Finance in emerging markets13%

48%

31%

8%

Asia Latin America Europe North America

Our Strategy Our Geographies Our Businesses Our Organisation Our Performance

Page 15: HSBC Rebalancing towards developing markets

15

Increasing customer recommendationThrough better propositions – Global Premier

Joining up our businessesOur Strategy Our Geographies Our Businesses Our Organisation Our Performance

Full proposition

FutureRecent additions

France

RussiaNew Zealand

Japan

HungarySlovakiaPoland

Czech Republic

Future (2008)

Saudi ArabiaPhilippinesPanamaPakistan

QatarMalta

Macau

OmanLebanonJordanIndonesia

EgyptBrunei

BermudaBahrain

Australia

Brazil

ArgentinaRecent additions

ThailandSri Lanka

TurkeyUSAUK

UAETaiwan

South KoreaSingapore

MexicoMalaysia

Jersey (Offshore)India

Hong Kong

Greece

ChinaCanadaFull proposition

We will add four million Premier customers

Page 16: HSBC Rebalancing towards developing markets

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Increasing customer recommendationThrough better propositions – the power of HSBC Direct

Joining up our businessesOur Strategy Our Geographies Our Businesses Our Organisation Our Performance

HSBC Direct USA

Customers: 568K

Launched: November 2005

HSBC Direct Canada

Launched: June 2007

HSBC Direct Taiwan

Customers: 73K

Launched: November 2006

HSBC Direct Korea

Customers: 49K

Launched: February 2007

We will expand up to four other countries in 2008

Page 17: HSBC Rebalancing towards developing markets

17

Commercial BankingTo be the leading international business bank

pbt up 20% to US$3.4bn (1H07) • Strengthening international links

• Expanded customer base to 2.7m with emphasis of growth in emerging markets

• Strengthened network with increase in International Banking Centres, Corporate International team and Global Relationship managers

• Direct channel usage increased helped by enhanced business internet banking platform expansion in emerging markets

10%

14%

40%

36%

Asia Latin America Europe North America

Joining up our businessesOur Strategy Our Geographies Our Businesses Our Organisation Our Performance

Page 18: HSBC Rebalancing towards developing markets

18

Making our global distribution work

N a ssa u

To r to la ( Bri ti sh V irg in I sl a nds)

M iami

Ja cks onville

N ew York Cit yChic ag o

Pros pect Heig htsKan sas City

Hou st onDall as

OklahomaLe wisvil le

Sioux F alls

Las Veg as

V ancouv erC algar y

Saskat oonWi nni peg

Seattl ePortl and

Ti g ar d

C ay man Is la nds

Coló n

P an am a Cit y

Bos to nGl ast onbury

Bri dg e w at er

Fr ederi ctonSt John’s

Ve ra cruz

Cook Isl a nds

Méri d a

Me x ico Cit y C a ncún

AcapulcoPuebl a

Guadalaj a ra

To r reón

C ara ca s

Q uébecMont réal

Berm ud a

Bu ffa lo

Monte rrey

Tor ontoOt tawa

Wa shi ng ton

Atl ant aChe sa peake

Colo mbo

Ma lé ( Ma ldives)

Mu mb aiPune

Tri va ndru m

Port Louis ( Ma uriti us)

New Delhi

Ch a ndi gar h

Muttr ah

Sal alahJedd ah

D amm am

Ku wait CityB ag hdad

Be irut Man am aT ehran

DohaA bu Dh abi

Amma n

Cair oAl e xa ndri a

Tel A vivNi cosia

I s ta nbul A nk ara

Wa rsawMoscow

Ad ana

P r ag ueZur ich

Lug ano Budap estPari s

Lu x embourg

Isle of Man

LeedsManchester

Edinburg h

London

Cha nnel I sla ndsCar diff

Val enciaB a rcel ona

B irmi ngha mBelfast

Dü ssel dorf

F ra nkf urt

Br ussels

Stockhol m

Dublin

Madri d At hens

Riy adh

Amst erda m

Dubai

Medan

Vall e ttaAlg iersTr ipoli

Yere van

Ram allah

Dur ban

Johannes burg

Ca pe Town

K arachiAh m edab ad

Ro me

Mila nGenev aMonac o

Ban gal oreMysore

Hy derabad

Muscat

C hennai

Kolkat a

Bang kok

S y dneyA uckla nd

Manila

C ebu City

Tai peiHon g K ong

Maca uGu ang zhou

H a noi

Shenzhen

Wuha n

Qi ngdaoSuzhou

Ti anjinBeij ing

Osak aToky o

Vi sa kh a patn a m

Ku ala LumpurSinga pore

Xia me n

Sha ngh ai

D alianI nchon

Seou l

Da eg uDa ejeon

Al m aty

C heng du

C hong qing Pu san

Dh ak a

Chitt ag ong

Wel lin gt onC hri stchur c h

Brisbane

Pert h A del aide

Ho Ch iMi nh Cit y

Mel bourne

Ba nda r Seri Beg awan

Ko ta Kin abaluPenang

K uching

J ak art aBa ndung

Se mar ang

Surab aya

L abu an

B ratisl av a

Phil adel ph iaNe w Ca stle

White MarshVir ginia Beach

São Pa ulo

C am po Gra ndeB ras ília

R ibei rã oPreto

Bueno s AiresLa Plat a

Perg amin o

Sant iag oPorto A leg re

Monte video

M ar del Plata

Curiti ba

Co rri ent esPosa das

Par aná

R io de Janeir oSa lta

Resist encia

Santa F é

Ma naus

Cór doba

San Ju an

Mendoza

Bah ía Bl a nc aN euquén

San FranciscoSalinas

Bev erl y H ill sLos A ngele s

San D iegoTi juana

B ra ndon

Sa lva dorR ecif e

Fo rtal eza

Belo Hor izonte

T ucumán

Belé m

Punta del E st e

I z mir

and territories

offices

over

in 83 countries

10,000

Our global distribution is our key competitive advantage

Joining up our businessesOur Strategy Our Geographies Our Businesses Our Organisation Our Performance

Global links Increase in cross referrals

+37%

Page 19: HSBC Rebalancing towards developing markets

19

Corporate, Investment Banking & MarketsEmerging markets-led and financing-focussed wholesale bank

pbt up 32% to US$4.2bn (1H07) • Hub and spoke model

• Benefit from geographic network and strengthened product capabilities

• Global Markets success broadly based

• Global Banking strength in financing and payments and cash management

• Group Investment Businesses benefiting from expertise in emerging markets

40%

43%

11%

6%

Asia Latin America Europe North America

Joining up our businessesOur Strategy Our Geographies Our Businesses Our Organisation Our Performance

Asia and Latin America contributed 49% of PBT

Page 20: HSBC Rebalancing towards developing markets

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Private BankingOutstanding international service

pbt up 30% to US$0.8bn (1H07)• Client assets increased by 11% to US$370bn

• Cross-referral business – close to US$2bn in ‘total client assets’ referred into Private Banking

• Aim to increase contribution from wealth management in affluent market

1%

8%28%

63%

Asia Latin America Europe North America

Joining up our businessesOur Strategy Our Geographies Our Businesses Our Organisation Our Performance

Voted third best private bank in Euromoney in 2006 and 2007

Page 21: HSBC Rebalancing towards developing markets

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InsuranceA world class bancassurer and top ten player

contributed US$1.6bn or 11% to group pbt (1H07)• Developing our income stream through distribution

• Three transactions initiated: acquired remaining 50% of life & general insurer Erisa in France; J/V with Aviva in UK and plan to create J/V with Oriental and Canarabanks in India

• Saudi Takaful IPO 7x over subscribed

• Established HSBC Insurance brand announced 10% investment in Bao Viet in Vietnam (Sep07)

• To create J/V with National Trust in China

Europe30%

Latin America16% North America

21%

Asia33%

pbt by region, 1H07

Manufacturing50%

Other InclPing An

17%

Distribution33%

pbt by source of business, 1H07

Note: The results of Insurance are reported within customer groups, primarily PFS

Joining up our businessesOur Strategy Our Geographies Our Businesses Our Organisation Our Performance

Page 22: HSBC Rebalancing towards developing markets

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Our organisation

Our Strategy Our Geographies Our Businesses Our Organisation Our Performance

Joining up our businesses

Fastest growing brand in financial services

• 23rd most valuable brand in the world

• No. 4 financial service brand

Our brand Our people

• Breadth of experience at board level

• Seasoned Senior Management team

• Strong values, high integrity

Driving staff engagement

Source: Interbrand

Page 23: HSBC Rebalancing towards developing markets

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Global operations

TechnologyBuild once, deploy many

• One global network, self managed

• 230,000 miles of fibre optic cable

• 80 global group platforms

• 4 global data centre pairs, two regional

• 42% of development in low cost countries

Global ResourcingLift & shift to re-engineering

• 13 centres in 5 countries

• 28,000+ employees

• Wide range of processes: from payments to collections to analytics

Global PlatformsLinking up

• Credit cards: 116m cards

• HSBCnet: 33,000 clients

• Global transaction banking: PCM; sub-custody; trade

• HSBC Direct: launched in the US, Korea, and Canada

• CRM: Global Premier; GlobalLinks in CMB; and ClientVision in CIBM

Joining up our businessesOur Strategy Our Geographies Our Businesses Our Organisation Our Performance

Page 24: HSBC Rebalancing towards developing markets

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The benefits of global diversification

Our Strategy Our Geographies Our Businesses Our Organisation Our Performance

31/12/91 (Before Midland

bank acquisition)

28/09/07

US$217bn

US$8bn

US$209bn increase in market capitalisation

Page 25: HSBC Rebalancing towards developing markets

25

The benefits of global diversification

Our Strategy Our Geographies Our Businesses Our Organisation Our Performance

HSBC’s PositioningHSBC’s Positioning

0.410.49

0.610.69

0.540.66

0.80

0.630.76

0.99

1.18

1.36 1.40

0.31 0.35

0.15

0.810.73

0.660.600.530.480.44

0.340.310.280.220.160.08 0.10 0.12 0.14

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006Earnings Per Share Dividends Per Share

(1) UK GAAP to 2003, IFRS basis from 2004(2) Dividends per share in respect of each year

US$

Asian Crisis

Argentinean Crisis

US$2.2bn provision forMortgage servicesDividend per share

17% CAGR1991-2006

Page 26: HSBC Rebalancing towards developing markets

26

Our Strategy

Our Strategy Our Geographies Our Businesses Our Organisation Our Performance

Rebalancing towards developing and fast growing markets

Re-engineering developed markets businesses

Leveraging our unique international connectivity through customer groups and common platforms

Benefiting from global diversification, strong capital base and continued prudent stance on risks

Global universal bank with leading developing markets presence