http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.0/nl/ "we succeeded in taking at picture from...

http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.0/nl/

"We succeeded in taking at picture from deep space, and, if you look at it, you see a dot. That's here. That's home.

That's us. On it, everyone you ever heard of, every human being who ever lived, lived out their lives. The aggregate

of all our joys and sufferings, thousands of confident religions, ideologies and economic doctrines, every hunter

and forager, every hero and coward, every creator and destroyer of civilizations, every king and peasant, every young couple in love, every hopeful child, every mother

and father, every inventor and explorer, every teacher of morals, every corrupt politician, every superstar, every

supreme leader, every saint and sinner in the history of our species, lived there on a mote of dust, suspended in a

sunbeam.

The earth is a very small stage in a vast cosmic arena. Think of the rivers of blood spilled by all those generals and emperors so that in glory and in triumph they could

become the momentary masters of a fraction of a dot. Think of the endless cruelties visited by the inhabitants of

one corner of the dot on scarcely distinguishable inhabitants of some other corner of the dot. How frequent

their misunderstandings, how eager they are to kill one another, how fervent their hatreds. Our posturings, our

imagined self-importance, the delusion that we have some privileged position in the universe, are challenged by this

point of pale light. Our planet is a lonely speck in the great enveloping cosmic dark. In our obscurity -- in all this vastness -- there is no hint that help will come from

elsewhere to save us from ourselves. It is up to us. It's been said that astronomy is a humbling, and I might add,

a character-building experience. To my mind, there is perhaps no better demonstration of the folly of human

conceits than this distant image of our tiny world. To me, it underscores our responsibility to deal more kindly and

compassionately with one another and to preserve and cherish that pale blue dot, the only home we've ever

known.”

- Dr. Carl Sagan

The photo was taken by Voyager 1 in 1990 as it sailed

away from Earth, more than 4 billion miles in the distance.

You are here


Futureshock

Arjen [email protected]

Don’t Panic!


is er structuur in de chaos

Van een afstand…


Tijd

800.

000

jr


800.

000

jr

7.20

0 jr

Tijd


800.

000

jr

4.00

0 jr

Tijd


800.

000

jr

950

jr

Tijd


800.

000

jr

Tijd

55 jr


Diesel motor …

1890

2004


My first computer ... (1977)

My computer ... (2006)


Muziek luisteren

• Zelf muziek downloaden

• Zelf branden op iPod zetten

• Online betalen (of niet)

• Reclame via mond tot mond

• Complete tussenhandel staat ter discussie


09 F9 11 02 9D 74 E3 5B D8 41 56 C5 63 56 88 C0


09 F9 11 02 9D 74 E3 5B D8 41 56 C5 63 56 88 C0Verboten!


Diverse markten met nieuwe models

• Muziek industrie

• Reis & toerisme branche

• Banking & financieële dienstverlening

• Telecom

• Enz …

• Veroorzaakt door technologie uit 1975 - 1990


Versnelde vooruitgang

Geleidelijke vooruitg

ang

Onze huidige technologie

Neemt de snelheid van verandering toe?

Bron: Foresight Institute

Stand van technische

mogelijkheden

TijdZijn we hier in de tijd? Of hier?


Technologiën voor de 21ste eeuw

Informatie technologie

InternetSuper-

computers Robotica KI

MobielICT

Tijd203020202010199019701960 20001980


Sneller kennis delen

vanaf 1440

Vanaf 1967


Generaties worden korter

• 55+: E-mail? Zo gaan we niet met elkaar om.• 30+: E-mail is een belangrijk communicatie

middel, zowel zakelijk als prive• 20+: E-mail is handig voor zakelijk gebruik, voor

prive is SMS en chat beter• 10+: E-mail? Dat doe ik met m'n oma!


Most smart people don’t work for you!

• Being different makes all the difference

• Sharing values beats selling value

• The company with the smartest customers wins

• Nobody is as smart as everybody

• Character counts for as much as credentials

• Great leaders are insatiable learners

http://www.radioopensource.org/open-source-in-the-boardroom/


Evolutie van computers

Rekenkracht equivalent per $1000 Computer

1900

1920

1940

1960

1980

2000

2020

Year

Miljoen

MIPS per $1000 (1997 Dollars)

1000

1

1 /1000

1 /Miljoen

1 /Miljard

Bro

n:

Han

s M

ora

vec

MonroeCalcu-lator

Burroughs Class 16

IBMTabulator

ColossusENIAC

IBM 704IBM

7090

IBM 1130

CDC 7600

Apple II

Mac II

Gateway G6-200

Commodore 64IBM PC

Power Tower180eIBM PS/2

90Mac IltxSun-3

DEC VAX 11/780

SDS 920IBM 360/75

IBM 1620

1995

Tr

end

1985

Tr

end

1965

Tren

dApple G4

P4

G5Cell


800

1200

1600

2000

2400

2800

3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Aantal zetten

0.1 1 10 100 1K 10K 100K

1M 10M Rekenkracht MIPS

Schaak punten

Bernstein, IBM 704, 1957

MacHack, PDP-6, 1966

Belle, 1983Crazy Blitz, Crazy 1, 1981

Chiptest, 1987Deep Thought, 1989

Deep Thought II, 1991

Deep Blue, 1997

Chess 4.0, CDC 6400, 1973

MacHack, PDP-10, 1970

Chess 4.6, Cyber 176, 1977

KasparovGrand Master

Senior Master

Master

Class D

Class C

Class B

Class A

Expert

Kwantiteit = kwaliteit ?


"Dave Striver loved the university - its ivy-covered clocktowers, its ancient and sturdy brick, and its sun-splashed verdant greens and eager youth. The university, contrary to popular opinion, is far from free of the stark unforgiving trials of the business world: academia has its own tests, and some are as merciless as any in the marketplace. A prime example is the dissertation defense: to earn the Ph.D., to become a doctor, one must pass an oral examination on one's dissertation. This was a test Professor Edward Hart enjoyed giving."



Bio-technologie

Bio-technologie Bionica Lichaams

vervanging

InternetSuper-

computers Robotica KIInformatie technologie

MobileICT

Tijd203020202010199019701960 20001980


Biotechnologie and bionica (krantenkoppen)

• Monkey head transplanted successfully

• First artificial womb tested in Japan

• Paralympics 200 m record is 26.18 seconds

• Ratbrain flies jet fighter simulator

• Custom genetically designed mouse: $250

• First human cloned-baby? (????????)


Grenzen vervagen…



MEMS Nanotechnologie

Materiaal technologie

Bio-technologie

Bio-technologie

Bionica Lichaams vervanging

InternetSuper-

computers Robotica KIInformatie technologie

MobileICT

Tijd203020202010199019701960 20001980


Nano geheugenchip: 2008


Zelfreplicerende brandstofcel


Nanotechnologie: niet bouwen maar groeien


economics:

the science of choice under scarcity


Bron: Foresight Institute


Bron: Nanomedicine


2.0


?

Nanotechnologie

Lichaamsvervanging

KI

ICT

Time203020202010199019701960 20001980


Doe iets dat relevants


Neem even afstand


"We succeeded in taking at picture from deep space, and, if you look at it, you see a dot. That's here. That's home.

That's us. On it, everyone you ever heard of, every human being who ever lived, lived out their lives. The aggregate

of all our joys and sufferings, thousands of confident religions, ideologies and economic doctrines, every hunter

and forager, every hero and coward, every creator and destroyer of civilizations, every king and peasant, every young couple in love, every hopeful child, every mother

and father, every inventor and explorer, every teacher of morals, every corrupt politician, every superstar, every

supreme leader, every saint and sinner in the history of our species, lived there on a mote of dust, suspended in a

sunbeam.

The earth is a very small stage in a vast cosmic arena. Think of the rivers of blood spilled by all those generals and emperors so that in glory and in triumph they could

become the momentary masters of a fraction of a dot. Think of the endless cruelties visited by the inhabitants of

one corner of the dot on scarcely distinguishable inhabitants of some other corner of the dot. How frequent

their misunderstandings, how eager they are to kill one another, how fervent their hatreds. Our posturings, our

imagined self-importance, the delusion that we have some privileged position in the universe, are challenged by this

point of pale light. Our planet is a lonely speck in the great enveloping cosmic dark. In our obscurity -- in all this vastness -- there is no hint that help will come from

elsewhere to save us from ourselves. It is up to us. It's been said that astronomy is a humbling, and I might add,

a character-building experience. To my mind, there is perhaps no better demonstration of the folly of human

conceits than this distant image of our tiny world. To me, it underscores our responsibility to deal more kindly and

compassionately with one another and to preserve and cherish that pale blue dot, the only home we've ever

known.”

- Dr. Carl Sagan

The photo was taken by Voyager 1 in 1990 as it sailed

away from Earth, more than 4 billion miles in the distance.

You are here

http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.0/nl/ "we succeeded in taking at picture from...

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