humans and machines: heaven or hell? the next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are...
TRANSCRIPT
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Humans and Machines:
Heaven or hell?
The next 10 years in HR
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The future is awesome… *
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… if we make the right choices
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Technology is a great servant but but a terrible master #hellven
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#digitalethics
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Technology is rapidly transforming every single sector of our society: now, HR is about thought-leadership!
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Androrithms Algorithms
HR is where Humans and Machines meet
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The future is no longer an extension of the present
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Super/Quantum Computing The Global Brain (AI)
Science fiction is increasingly becoming science fact
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Bio-Technologies
Personalized medicine
Cloud / Quantum computingNeuroscience
The end of ‘Business as usual’: Convergence and Interdependence
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So, tell me more about your fear
of AI…
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Artificial Intelligence: Computer systems that turn information and data into KNOWLEDGE (Demis Hassabis @ DeepMind)
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Artificial Intelligence: Computer systems that turn information and data into KNOWLEDGE (Demis Hassabis @ DeepMind)
Tacit Knowledge?
Implicit Knowledge?
Intuition & Imagination ?
Consciousness/Agency ?
Serendipity?
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“Machine learning is the science of giving computers the ability to learn and find insights without explicitly programming the machines on what to do”
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We think with the body not just with the brain! (Seligman, Feldenkrais et al)
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Landscape of Human Competence (Moravec, Tegmark)
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Landscape of Human Competence (Moravec, Tegmark)
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The
immediate
future:
Intelligent
Assistance
(IA - not AI)
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Here, soon: speaking to machines ‘like speaking to a friend’
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“Organisms are
Algorithms” ?
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“Organisms are
Algorithms” ?
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“Big business decisions will be made not by experts or intuition but by big data and predictive analytics”
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Machines don’t do
relationships!
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The biggest danger is not that machines will take over but
that we become too much like them!
#dataism
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“We are least aware of what our minds do best. The most difficult things for
machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al)
“Computers are already vastly superior to us at certain specialized tasks. Human beings
may not be best at much, but we’re second-best at an impressive range of things” (NYT)
“Algorithms outperform human intelligence when it is NOT about understanding
emotional states, intentions, interpretations, deep semantic skills, consciousness,
self-awareness and flexible intelligence* (Luciano Floridi)
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Ask: what should (not) be automated ?
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Resist Machine-Thinking!
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(Not really)
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The End of Routine is coming
But the end of routine tasks does not mean the end of human work
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Humanity Ethics Creativity Imagination
Science Technology Engineering Mathematics
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(Not the future of work)
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Anything that cannot be digitized or automated will become extremely valuable
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The percentage of our tasks that is ‘human-only’ will dramatically increase
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• 70% of the new jobs in 2030 haven’t even been invented yet (Oxford)
• Only 5% of all routine jobs can be fully automated (Mc Kinsey)
• In the last 10 years, 94 % of totally new kinds of jobs have appeared outside of
traditional employment (Cornell study)
• By 2030 we are likely to see the first countries where more than 50% of people
will work ‘gigs’ i.e. do freelance, on-demand, entrepreneurial work (Gerd)
• Within 20 years, we may be able to detach money from work (and purpose!)
Huge transition challenges but ultimately a promising future
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The coming shift in economic logic: the basic income (UBI)
Abundance image via Peter Diamandis
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Data everything
Cloud everything
Smart everything
(Technology)
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(Humanity)
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Technology is exponential but humans are not
Machine ‘smartness’
will become abundant
but humanness will
become even scarcer
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Focus less on efficiency, and more on purpose, experience and transformation
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COMBINATORIAL
EXPONENT I AL
CONVERGENT
Up-skill for exponential change: adopt a ‘Future-Mindset’
INTERDEPENDENT
HUMAN-CENTRICHOLISTIC
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Focus on practical wisdom (phronesis) and foresight!
Imagine
Observe
Create
Understand
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THE FUTURE OF WORK and HR
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Embrace technology but don’t become it!
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Thanks for your time!