human/social sciences/cultural & behavioral dynamics and advanced analytics

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North Carolina Federal Advanced Technologies Symposium May 9, 2013 Human/Social Sciences/Cultural & Behavioral Dynamics and Advanced Analytics Panel Hosted by: Office of Senator Richard Burr NC Military Business Center NC Military Foundation Institute for Defense & Business University of North Carolina System Reception Sponsor: Bronze Sponsor:

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Page 1: Human/Social Sciences/Cultural & Behavioral Dynamics and Advanced Analytics

North Carolina Federal Advanced Technologies Symposium May 9, 2013

Human/Social Sciences/Cultural & Behavioral Dynamics and Advanced Analytics Panel

Hosted by: Office of Senator Richard Burr NC Military Business Center NC Military Foundation Institute for Defense & Business University of North Carolina System

Reception Sponsor:

Bronze Sponsor:

Page 2: Human/Social Sciences/Cultural & Behavioral Dynamics and Advanced Analytics

© IntePoint LLC. Proprietary

IntePoint partnered with the Complex Systems Institute (UNCC), Oak Ridge National Lab, and Georgia Tech on for the ACSES DARPA project

We demonstrated the capability to computationally combine and compare multiple social science theories to provide robust plausible futures

The multi-model CAS simulation was incorporated into Vu, an interdependency consequence analysis capability to extend the results to include critical infrastructure

Team is currently authoring a book on complicated CAS modeling techniques

The ACSES model has been applied to Mali and Kenya for an ERDC program

We continue to drive to a rigorous and actionable modeling framework that supports more granular, less tightly coupled agent models

This unique approach is immediately applicable for training exercises and JIPOE supporting analysis

Will require 2 – 3 years of additional development and V&V before being deployable as a planning and campaign tool.

ACSES project review, ongoing HSCB capabilities, applicability

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Bottom Line Up Front

Mark Armstrong, President

IntePoint, LLC.

Cell – 704.502.1655

[email protected]

Page 3: Human/Social Sciences/Cultural & Behavioral Dynamics and Advanced Analytics

© IntePoint LLC. Proprietary

For the DARPA ACSES project the team developed a platform that integrated multiple, alternative social science theories into a unified simulation framework. Additionally, using existing capabilities, we integrated that CAS model with an infrastructure analysis for a PMESII/COA analysis.

Social science theories included citizen allegiance and ideology, behavior of citizen agents, and social mobilization theories

Demonstrated quantifiable and realistic effects and identified threshold events for simulation of nonlinear phenomena including both expected and unexpected results

Simulates dynamic networks of repeated feedback systems among agents

Exposes causal relationships that support analysis and insight for DIME options

The team leveraged the Vu interdependency analysis

capability for a DARPA project that incorporated multiple social

science (CAS/agent) leadership models to obtain a more robust

understanding of population responses to events/COAs

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ACSES HSCB & Interdependency

Modelingand Analysis

COA

Result

Summary

Detailed

Temporal

Analysis

Multiple

Logical Views of

Effects of COA

Events

2D/3D Map

and Imagery

of COA

Events

Details of

interaction

s

Plausible outcome of social impact in

Afghanistan

Details of

interaction

s

Details of

interactions

Page 4: Human/Social Sciences/Cultural & Behavioral Dynamics and Advanced Analytics

© IntePoint LLC. Proprietary

IntePoint has teamed with UNC-Charlotte since 2003 to provide the integrated modeling and simulation capability for a USG program by translating research into actionable tools.

IntePoint has experience in net-centric and desktop software development services in both classified and non-classified environments

Ideas have been taken from initial concept through research, design, development, testing, DODIIS accreditation and deployment (TRL 1 – 9)

IntePoint has a 100% success record in completing all contract deliverables, within-budget and often ahead of schedule

The USG invested >$14M in cumulative funding to develop the capability for interdependency analysis and modeling & simulation capability used to support functional defeat and system of systems analysis

By capturing the intellectual property created through these contracts, IntePoint has independently developed a web-based COTS product (Vu), obtained three patents, has several pending patents, and 15+ publications in academic literature

Our interdependency experience has been applied in multiple DOD agencies, DHS, and commercially at Wachovia Bank and Wells Fargo

Recently signed a teaming agreement to leverage Vu to support state of the art monitoring and analysis for the electric power grid

The IntePoint team has 10+ years of successful collaboration

in transitioning ideas through research into useful capabilities.

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Interdependency Analytics bona fides

Page 5: Human/Social Sciences/Cultural & Behavioral Dynamics and Advanced Analytics

© IntePoint LLC. Proprietary

For a USG program, the team researched, designed, and developed an accredited and deployed interdependency analysis capability used to support system of systems analysis

Vu is a domain agnostic analytics capability for integrated modeling and simulation that helps analysts to better understand multiple complex, interdependent infrastructure networks (e.g., electrical power, road/rail, petroleum & telecoms, etc.) in context (E.g., functional, spatial, temporal, social…)

Vu helps analysts to visual, understand, and explore: Network behaviors Network interdependency behaviors Cascading effects Disruptive and reconstructive events

Vu supports a broad range of objectives including vulnerability analysis, impact analysis, training, reconstruction, stability operations

Visual analytics consist of geospatial, temporal, and logical network graphs

Extensible platform designed to modularly incorporate external domain models, relationship modules and data

Effective in both high and low fidelity data environments

IntePoint is a web enabled interdependency M&S and

analytics for multiple complex networks

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Vu Overview

Page 6: Human/Social Sciences/Cultural & Behavioral Dynamics and Advanced Analytics

© IntePoint LLC. Proprietary

The CSI team has several sets of proven technologies that apply to the study of the impacts of changes in commodity flows

CAS using agent based models

Vu interdependency analytics

Fusion integration of multiple agent models The IntePoint/CSI technology suite has components that have been proven in previous research and

deployment. The capabilities range from TRL 1 – 9.

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Existing Technology

Page 7: Human/Social Sciences/Cultural & Behavioral Dynamics and Advanced Analytics

Horizon Performance Capture the Present…

Shape the Future

What you produce How you work

Page 8: Human/Social Sciences/Cultural & Behavioral Dynamics and Advanced Analytics

1. Humans are more important than hardware.

2. Quality is better than quantity.

3. Special Operations Forces cannot be mass produced.

4. Competent Special Operations Forces cannot be created after emergencies occur.

5. Most special operations require non-SOF assistance.

Page 9: Human/Social Sciences/Cultural & Behavioral Dynamics and Advanced Analytics
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Page 11: Human/Social Sciences/Cultural & Behavioral Dynamics and Advanced Analytics

Talent Management

Performance Management

Recruiting

Compensation

Development & Placement

Page 12: Human/Social Sciences/Cultural & Behavioral Dynamics and Advanced Analytics

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DART Data Architecture Requirements Tool

Power of Simulation for Better Solutions

Support for decisions of critical issues that may be emerging, rapidly changing,

and/or not easily defined.

Automation with best practices to deliver data assessments and planning support

in significantly less time and cost than traditional methods.

Capabilities

Domain Applications

Accessible through a web browser consisting of standard HTML and Javascript using a PC (laptop), smart phone, or tablet.

Supported by U.S. Patent No. 8,423,498;

• Front End Analysis

• Data Operations

• Analysis

• Data Operations

• Execution Planning

• Program Management

• Front End Analysis

• Program Assessment

• Gap Analysis

• Strategic Planning

• Acquisition Planning

• Media Analysis

• Organizational Analysis

• Survey services

• Facilitation Support

• Language & Culture

Page 13: Human/Social Sciences/Cultural & Behavioral Dynamics and Advanced Analytics

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DART

Data Analysis

Trend Analysis

Page 14: Human/Social Sciences/Cultural & Behavioral Dynamics and Advanced Analytics

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DART

Data Table

Page 15: Human/Social Sciences/Cultural & Behavioral Dynamics and Advanced Analytics

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DART

Presentation of Data Analysis

Page 16: Human/Social Sciences/Cultural & Behavioral Dynamics and Advanced Analytics

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DART

HSBC Support

Determine:

• Scenario based issues that are important at different levels of fidelity

• Obtain inputs from worldwide sources

• Real time assessment of selected issues

Provide visualization of quantitative data:

• Determine gaps to be filled

• How the importance and status for critical issues change over-time

Support: • Online preparing, monitoring, and reporting of Plans

• Track changes and provide historical reviews

• Data downloads, including PDF, CVS, and summary status charts

• Online preparation of next generation plans with linkages to current and historical plans

Page 17: Human/Social Sciences/Cultural & Behavioral Dynamics and Advanced Analytics

Cyber Attacks

Global Instability

Social Media

Kidnapping

International

Travel

The world has changed…

Communications

Page 18: Human/Social Sciences/Cultural & Behavioral Dynamics and Advanced Analytics

Vulnerability Management

Global Stability

Guardian Angel

Training

Lines of Operation

TigerSwan Capabilities Brief

Page 19: Human/Social Sciences/Cultural & Behavioral Dynamics and Advanced Analytics

Vulnerability Management

TigerSwan Capabilities Brief

Vulnerability Management

Network

Individuals

Facilities

Electronics

VULNERABILITY

VULNERABILITY

VULNERABILITY

Page 20: Human/Social Sciences/Cultural & Behavioral Dynamics and Advanced Analytics

INDIVIDUALS

Surveillance

Counter Surveillance

GPS Beacons

Deep Dive Investigation

Employee Protection

“Guardian Angel”

Workplace Violence

Workers Compensation

Emergency Action Plans

Threat & Vulnerability Updates,

Training

Policy, Procedure, & Compliance

Assessments

Sarbanes Oxley/Patriot Act

K & R

Emergency Action

Plans

Employee Security

True Diligence

Individuals / Electronics

TigerSwan Capabilities Brief

Forensics

TSCM Social Media

ELECTRONIC

TSCM

Cellular Communications

Forensics

Push-To-Talk (PTT) Radios

WiFi Hotspots

Page 21: Human/Social Sciences/Cultural & Behavioral Dynamics and Advanced Analytics

Applications

Marketing

Service Management

Mergers & Aquisition

Law Enforcement

Counter Terrorism

TigerSwan Capabilities Brief

Page 22: Human/Social Sciences/Cultural & Behavioral Dynamics and Advanced Analytics

Questions

TigerSwan, Inc.

3452 Apex Peakway

Apex, NC 27502

[email protected]

919-439-7007

Page 23: Human/Social Sciences/Cultural & Behavioral Dynamics and Advanced Analytics

North Carolina Federal Advanced Technologies Symposium

Raleigh, North Carolina

9 May 2013

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Over 700 employees worldwide

In business since 1995

More than a language service provider

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Highly Skilled Linguists and Cultural Advisors

Special Operations Skills

Operations in Austere Locations

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