hunter dalton, evp ati long products & president ati ......400. 600. 800. 1,000. 1,200. 1,400....

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Mission Critical Metallics ® © 2013 ATI. All Rights Reserved. Hunter Dalton, EVP ATI Long Products & President ATI Allvac October 7, 2013

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Page 1: Hunter Dalton, EVP ATI Long Products & President ATI ......400. 600. 800. 1,000. 1,200. 1,400. 1,600. 1,800. 2,000. 2,200. 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Mission Critical Metallics®

© 2013 ATI. All Rights Reserved.

Hunter Dalton, EVP ATI Long Products & President ATI Allvac October 7, 2013

Page 2: Hunter Dalton, EVP ATI Long Products & President ATI ......400. 600. 800. 1,000. 1,200. 1,400. 1,600. 1,800. 2,000. 2,200. 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

© ATI 2013. All Rights Reserved. 2

Forward Looking Statements

This presentation contains forward-looking statements. Actual results may differ materially from results anticipated in

the forward-looking statements. These and additional risk factors are described from time to time in the Company’s

filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended

December 31, 2012.

Page 3: Hunter Dalton, EVP ATI Long Products & President ATI ......400. 600. 800. 1,000. 1,200. 1,400. 1,600. 1,800. 2,000. 2,200. 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

© ATI 2013. All Rights Reserved. 3

Change

Specialty Metals Market

Impact

Traffic (RPMs) Capacity (ASMs) Airline Profitability Fuel Costs International Carriers Growth of Low-Cost Carriers

(Sources: Airline Monitor, IATA press releases)

Commercial Aerospace Market Drivers

(Sources: Airline Monitor, IATA press releases)

Page 4: Hunter Dalton, EVP ATI Long Products & President ATI ......400. 600. 800. 1,000. 1,200. 1,400. 1,600. 1,800. 2,000. 2,200. 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

© ATI 2013. All Rights Reserved. 4

New Commercial & Military Jet Aircraft Build Rate History and Forecast

Sources: Airline Monitor, Forecast International

Secular Growth Trends Titanium intensive airplanes

Fuel efficient hotter burning engines

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

2,200

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

4% CAGR 8% CAGR

Page 5: Hunter Dalton, EVP ATI Long Products & President ATI ......400. 600. 800. 1,000. 1,200. 1,400. 1,600. 1,800. 2,000. 2,200. 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

© ATI 2013. All Rights Reserved. 5

New Commercial Airplane Engine Builds History and Forecast

Source: Airline Monitor

3,500+

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

3% CAGR 9% CAGR

Page 6: Hunter Dalton, EVP ATI Long Products & President ATI ......400. 600. 800. 1,000. 1,200. 1,400. 1,600. 1,800. 2,000. 2,200. 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

© ATI 2013. All Rights Reserved. 6

Commercial Engines in Service History and Forecast

Source: Airline Monitor The larger the fleet, the greater the demand for spare parts.

50,000+

-

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

2.5% CAGR 3% CAGR

Page 7: Hunter Dalton, EVP ATI Long Products & President ATI ......400. 600. 800. 1,000. 1,200. 1,400. 1,600. 1,800. 2,000. 2,200. 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

© ATI 2013. All Rights Reserved. 7

Fan Titanium/Composites

High Pressure Compressor Titanium/Superalloys

Combustor Superalloys

High Pressure Turbine Superalloys/Powder Alloys

Low Pressure Turbine Superalloys, Gamma Ti Aluminides

Low Pressure Compressor Titanium

Jet Engine Materials

Engine Shaft High Strength Steels, Superalloys

Page 8: Hunter Dalton, EVP ATI Long Products & President ATI ......400. 600. 800. 1,000. 1,200. 1,400. 1,600. 1,800. 2,000. 2,200. 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

© ATI 2013. All Rights Reserved. 8

ATI Alloys in Jet Engines Fasteners Titanium • ATI 6-4™ Stainless & Specialty Steel • ATI A286™ Nickel & Cobalt-Based & Superalloys • ATI 718™ • ATI 718Plus® Niobium • ATI Ti45Nb™ Bellows, Honeycomb, Insulation & Tubing Titanium • ATI 3-2.5™ • ATI 425® • ATI 6-2-4-2™ • ATI 6-4™ • ATI 6-4 ELI™ Stainless & Specialty Steel • AM 350® • ATI 15-7™ • ATI 219™ (21-6-9) • ATI A286™ Nickel & Cobalt-Based & Superalloys • ATI 600™ • ATI 625™ • ATI 718™ • ATI 718Plus® • ATI HX™

APU Disks Nickel & Cobalt-Based & Superalloys • ATI 720 PM™ • Low Carbon Astroloy

Fan: Blades & Casings, Disks, Rotor Titanium • ATI 6-2-4-2™ • ATI 6-4™ • ATI 17™

Compressor & Turbine: Disks, Rotors, Blades & Vanes Titanium • ATI 6-2-4-2™ • ATI 6-2-4-6™ • ATI 6-4™ • ATI 8-1-1™ • ATI 17™ • Gamma Ti Aluminide Stainless & Specialty Steel • ATI A286™ • ATI FV448™ • ATI FV535™ • ATI Jethete™ M152

Nickel & Cobalt-Based & Superalloys • ATI 718™ • ATI 718Plus® • ATI 720™ • ATI 901™ • ATI HX™ • ATI Powder Superalloys • Rene 65™ • ATI Rene 95™ • ATI Waspaloy¹

Exhaust Cones, Mufflers & Thrust Reversers Nickel & Cobalt-Based & Superalloys • ATI 617™ • ATI 625™ • ATI 718™ • ATI 718Plus® • ATI HX™ Niobium • ATI C-103™

Combustors & Liners Nickel & Cobalt-Based • ATI 188™ • ATI 718™ • ATI 718Plus® • ATI HX™ • ATI L-605™

Casings & Rings Stainless & Specialty Steel • ATI A286™ Steel Nickel & Cobalt-Based • ATI 263™ Nickel • ATI 625™ Nickel • ATI 718™ Nickel • ATI 718Plus® Nickel • ATI GTD-222™ Nickel • ATI HX™ Nickel • ATI Waspaloy¹ Nickel • ATI X-750™ Nickel

¹ Trademark of Pratt & Whitney

Bearings, Gears & Shafts Stainless & Specialty Steel • ATI 1014™ • ATI HCM3™ • ATI HCM5™ • ATI RBD™ • ATI Vascomax® C-250™ Nickel & Cobalt-Based & Superalloys • ATI 718™

SPF/DB Casing Components Titanium • ATI 425®

Page 9: Hunter Dalton, EVP ATI Long Products & President ATI ......400. 600. 800. 1,000. 1,200. 1,400. 1,600. 1,800. 2,000. 2,200. 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

© ATI 2013. All Rights Reserved. 9

Fan & compressor cases, disks, blisks, impellers, blades, vanes, and fasteners

Fan Frame

Titanium Applications in Jet Engines

Intermediate Case

Compressor rotor

Forged Case

Fan Disc

Fan Disc w/blades

Titanium Forged Compressor Blades

Page 10: Hunter Dalton, EVP ATI Long Products & President ATI ......400. 600. 800. 1,000. 1,200. 1,400. 1,600. 1,800. 2,000. 2,200. 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

© ATI 2013. All Rights Reserved. 10

Titanium Demand for New Engine Builds History and Forecast

Source: Airline Monitor; ATI Estimates

50,000+

-

10,000,000

20,000,000

30,000,000

40,000,000

50,000,000

60,000,000

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

• Fundamental drivers & backlogs remain strong. • Large commercial engines driving titanium demand. • Near-term shipments impacted by lower demand for spares and inventory reduction

throughout supply chain in 2012 and 1H 2013

7.6% CAGR 4.5% CAGR

Page 11: Hunter Dalton, EVP ATI Long Products & President ATI ......400. 600. 800. 1,000. 1,200. 1,400. 1,600. 1,800. 2,000. 2,200. 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

© ATI 2013. All Rights Reserved. 11

Engine Development Trends

• Demand for “Green” engines Reduced noise Reduced emissions (SO2, CO2, NO2)

• Improved fuel efficiency Higher operating temperatures Higher temperature capable materials Lighter materials

• Lower operating costs for airlines Reduced maintenance intervals Reduced part count

New Designs and Materials

PWA Geared Turbofan

CFMI LeapX

Page 12: Hunter Dalton, EVP ATI Long Products & President ATI ......400. 600. 800. 1,000. 1,200. 1,400. 1,600. 1,800. 2,000. 2,200. 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

© ATI 2013. All Rights Reserved. 12

Changes in Jet Engine Design

• Limited introduction of composites • Larger thrust engines

Consume more nickel-based and titanium alloys per engine • Higher engine temperatures

Nickel-based alloy content in compressor growing High temp powder/cast & wrought alloys

• New titanium-based materials Gamma TiAl

• Additive Manufacturing

Evolutionary Change

Page 13: Hunter Dalton, EVP ATI Long Products & President ATI ......400. 600. 800. 1,000. 1,200. 1,400. 1,600. 1,800. 2,000. 2,200. 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

© ATI 2013. All Rights Reserved. 13

Demand Drivers • Higher build rates • Larger engines • Larger global fleet for spare parts • New engine designs • Fuel efficient hotter burning engines

Titanium in Jet Engines

Page 14: Hunter Dalton, EVP ATI Long Products & President ATI ......400. 600. 800. 1,000. 1,200. 1,400. 1,600. 1,800. 2,000. 2,200. 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

© ATI 2013. All Rights Reserved. 14