iaea china aerospace propulsion technology summit 06122012

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Next Generation Aero Engine Evolution To Meet Air Transportation Global Demand Dr. Hooman Rezaei IAEA Founder & President China Aerospace Propulsion Technology Summit, June 19-20, Shanghai, China @IAEA1, : International Aircraft Engine Association www.turbineengine.org

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Page 1: IAEA  China Aerospace Propulsion Technology Summit 06122012

Next Generation Aero Engine Evolution To Meet Air Transportation Global Demand

Dr. Hooman Rezaei IAEA Founder & President

China Aerospace Propulsion Technology Summit, June 19-20, Shanghai, China

@IAEA1, : International Aircraft Engine Association

www.turbineengine.org

Page 2: IAEA  China Aerospace Propulsion Technology Summit 06122012

Commercial Engine Industry Overview

World Regions

Africa 2,045 4%

Asia Pacific 6,634 15%

China 3,599 8%

Eastern Europe 2,115 5%

India 770 2%

South America 2,965 7%

Middle East 2,456 5%

North America 14,951 33%

Western Europe 9,728 21%

Total (2012) 45,263

Total (2022) 62,544 +38%

OEMs 2012 2022

CFMI 16,658 26,951

GE Aviation 9,860 13,085

Rolls Royce 6,134 7,775

Pratt & Whitney 7,441 7,638

IAE 4,118 5,405

EA = GE + P&W 120 824

Power Jet 8 592

Honeywell 924 276

ACAE - TBD

CFMI Fleet Largest Share of 37% , +15

RR’s Fleet Overtake P&W’s Fleet by 2022

Source Fleet Data: Ascend

$22bn+ Industry, 120,000+ Professionals

www.turbineengine.org 2

Page 3: IAEA  China Aerospace Propulsion Technology Summit 06122012

Association’s Vision

Founded Jan 2012 Based on 6500+ Social Media Professional Members

Platform to Promote Global Collaboration Among: Manufacturers Lessors & Financiers

Operators Maintenance Providers Consulting Services Providers Academic Institutions

Comprehensive & Standard Industry Wide Solutions Such As: Common MRO/Trade Contracts Lease Return/Non-incident

Global Ecommerce Platform – Wikipedia & Ebay of Aero Engine Industry

Define Industry’s Academic and Professional Development Curriculums

Provide Professional Opinions & Industry Voice – CAA, Forensic, Assessment

Develop Exclusive Publications & Core Engine Event Content Globally

www.turbineengine.org 3

Page 4: IAEA  China Aerospace Propulsion Technology Summit 06122012

Board of Directors

Lease & Finance Board of Advisors

Ray Sisson – President & CEO, AWAS Dr. Hooman Rezaei – Founder & President, IAEA

Jon Sharp – President & CEO, ELFC Dave Johnson – SVP, Willis Lease Finance Mark Drechsler – SVP, Bank of America Leasing Team Leader: Dr. Hooman Rezaei

MRO Board of Advisors

Rod Blake – VP, American Airlines TAESL Frank Walschot – SVP, SR Technics Mark Mounsey – VP, United Airlines Team Leader: Kevin Kearns, P&W

OEM Board of Advisors

Bob Keady - SVP P&W TBD TBD Team Leader: TBD

Consulting Board of Advisors

Academia Board of Advisors

Dean Maj Mirmirani – Embry Riddle TBD TBD Team Leader: Dr. Hooman Rezaei

Media & Events Board of Advisors

Phil Seymour – President & COO, IBA TBD TBD Team Leader: TBD

Stephen Bray, EVP UBM Aviation TBD TBD Team Leader: TBD

Association’s Boards

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Supply Chain Board of Advisors

Page 5: IAEA  China Aerospace Propulsion Technology Summit 06122012

Launched First Global Aircraft Engine Exclusive Career Site Partnership with Zylog Systems (Canada) LTD http://career.turbineengine.org Confidential, Retained Search, Public Job Postings, Cloud based Manpower solution across spectrums

C-Level, Executives, Managers, Engineers, Financiers, Mechanics Airlines, OEMs, MRO, Lessors, Academia, Supply Chain

Proposed MS in Aircraft Engine Engineering & Management Collaboration with Embry Riddle Global Aircraft Engine Industry Integrated and Sponsored Curriculum Balanced Engineering Sciences & Management Skills Curriculum Generate Interest in Aero Engines & Eliminate Excessive Turnovers

Quarterly Aircraft Engine Webinars Collaboration with Airfinance Journal Update community with latest development in the industry www.turbineengine.org/events for schedule

Phase I Execution

www.turbineengine.org 5

Page 6: IAEA  China Aerospace Propulsion Technology Summit 06122012

Fan Size trend

FAN DIA , Nacelle DIA , Engine Weight , Landing Gear FOD , Transportation Cost , Maintenance Cost

www.turbineengine.org 6

Page 7: IAEA  China Aerospace Propulsion Technology Summit 06122012

Fan Drive System

Gearbox on LEAP’s Architecture? Open Rotor?

www.turbineengine.org 7

Page 8: IAEA  China Aerospace Propulsion Technology Summit 06122012

Higher T4 & Fan DIA = CMC & TiAl

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Page 9: IAEA  China Aerospace Propulsion Technology Summit 06122012

Manufacturing Technology: Direct Metal Laser Sintering (DMLS)

• Cobalt Chromium • Inconel 718 • Inconel 625 • Titanium-6Al-4V • Titanium-6Al-4V ELI • Aluminum 6061-T6 • Stainless 316L • Stainless 17-4PH • EOS Stainless GP1 • EOS Stainless PH1 • EOS Aluminum AlSi10Mg • EOS Maraging Steel MS1 • EOS Direct Metal 20

Rapid Prototyping & Smaller Parts Challenge: Expensive Powder Supply

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Page 10: IAEA  China Aerospace Propulsion Technology Summit 06122012

Modular Intermix Design Management

TUI’s -7B Game Changing World record of 50K First Run GE90’s successful propulsor concept backs intermix design Challenge: Tracking time/cycles/config on each module

www.turbineengine.org 10

Page 11: IAEA  China Aerospace Propulsion Technology Summit 06122012

Fleet utilization & module hard time tracking – Excel spreadsheet or modern live tracking systems

Health monitoring – EGT and Condition considerations, ACARS utilization pros & cons

Removal & Staggering forecast – LLP expiration, AD/SB, Cost of ownership analysis, UERs

Lease vs. owned fleet – lease return considerations including work scope and installation

Time & Material vs. Power-By-Hour – Pros & Cons with respect to the fleet condition & ownership

Service Provider Selection – Capability for true Nose-To-Tail coverage airframe+ engine + APUs

Industry standard metrics to measure service providers – Performance, Repair & Part Supply Chain

Contract interpretation and negotiations – Standard language & coverage comparison template

What definition zeros the clock on engine modules? Changes in work scope definitions & req’ts

Module swap vs. own module complete teardown concept

Removal lease engine support – Lessor’s lease pool vs. MRO lease supply pros & cons

PMA & DER Incorporation - True Engine Concept, Return to OEM Configuration at redelivery time

PMA & DER’s System Impact – Time for Reliability Data & 10 year cost of ownership improvement?

Repair vs. replace (new or serviceable) decisions - Invoice assessment, next shop visit decisions

Test cell modular performance expectation vs. work scope performed – Expected on wing time

OEM’s role in the process – MRO player, consultant, reference, part and repair supplier, …

Design For Optimum MRO

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Page 12: IAEA  China Aerospace Propulsion Technology Summit 06122012

THANK YOU!

QUESTIONS?

Email: [email protected] Telephone: +1 (310) 266-5514 IAEA on @IAEA1, International Aircraft Engine Association

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