icr q4 investor presentation

28
Chuy’s Holdings, Inc. Q4 Investor Presentation

Upload: others

Post on 27-Dec-2021

2 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: ICR Q4 Investor Presentation

Chuy’s Holdings, Inc.Q4 Investor Presentation

Page 2: ICR Q4 Investor Presentation

Forward-Looking StatementsThis presentation may include forward-looking statements. These statements reflect the current views of the Company’s senior management with respect to future events and financial performance. These statements include forward-looking statements with respect to the Company’s business and industry in general. Statements that include the words “expect,” “intend,” “plan,” “believe,” “project,” “forecast,” “estimate,” “may,” “should,” “anticipate” and similar statements of a future or forward-looking nature identify forward-looking statements for purposes of the federal securities laws or otherwise. Forward-looking statements address matters that involve risks and uncertainties. Accordingly, there are or will be important factors that could cause the Company’s actual results to differ materially from those indicated in these statements. The statements made herein speak only as of the date of this presentation.

Non-GAAP Financial MeasuresThis presentation contains certain non-GAAP financial measures. A “non-GAAP financial measure” is defined as a numerical measure of a company’s financial performance that excludes or includes amounts so as to be different than the most directly comparable measure calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP in the statements of income, balance sheets or statements of cash flow of the Company. The Company has provided a reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable financial measure in the Appendix to this presentation. The non-GAAP financial measures used within this presentation are Adjusted EBITDA and Restaurant-Level Operating Profit. These measures are presented because management uses this information to monitor and evaluate financial results and trends and believes this information to also be useful for investors. For additional information about our non-GAAP financial measures, see our earnings releases and filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

CAUTIONARY STATEMENT

1

Page 3: ICR Q4 Investor Presentation

Steve HislopPresident and Chief Executive Officer

Jon HowieVice President and Chief Financial Officer

Ashley IngleVice President of Marketing

PRESENTERS

2

Page 4: ICR Q4 Investor Presentation

Leave the cookie cutters to the other guys.

Each Chuy’s has genuine character: a noisy, sprawling Tex-Mex hacienda full of feel-good drinks and home-cooked foods.

“IF YOU’VE SEEN ONE CHUY’S, YOU’VE SEEN ONE CHUY’S!”

Barton Springs in Austin, TX El Paso, TX Columbus, OH

3

Page 5: ICR Q4 Investor Presentation

We aren’t this:

ATMOSPHERE

4

Page 6: ICR Q4 Investor Presentation

5

We ARE this:

ATMOSPHERE

Page 7: ICR Q4 Investor Presentation

CHUY’S HIGHLIGHTS

6

Fresh, Authentic Mexican and Tex-Mex Inspired Cuisine

Considerable Dining Value and Broad Customer Appeal

Upbeat Atmosphere Coupled with Irreverent Brand Helps Differentiate Concept

Flexible Business Model with Industry Leading Unit Economics

Strong Balance Sheet

Deep Rooted and Inspiring Company Culture

Page 8: ICR Q4 Investor Presentation

$6.6

$4.3

$2.9 $3.1$2.4

$5.6 $5.3 $4.8

$4.1

$0.0

$2.0

$4.0

$6.0

$8.0

$10.0Full-Service Mexican Concepts Select Best-in-Class Concepts

Source: Calculations based on Company Filings and 2018 Technomic Industry Report as of most recent available fiscal year and estimates. Chuy’s based on latest filed LTM period.

Aver

age

Uni

t Vol

ume

($M

illio

ns)

Comparable restaurant base generated LTM average unit volumes of $4.3 million• Highest volume restaurant had LTM sales of $9.3 million• Serve approximately 276,000 customers per location per year, on average

Comparable restaurant base generated LTM restaurant-level operating margins of ~17%

INDUSTRY LEADING OPERATING METRICS

7

Page 9: ICR Q4 Investor Presentation

PROVEN CONCEPT WITH OVER A 37-YEAR HISTORY

8 8 12 17 23 31 39 4859

6980

91

2006Acquiredby GoodePartners

(Nov )

2007SteveHislop

joined asPresident

& CEO

2008Onset ofgrowth

initiatives

2009Opened

firstlocation

outside ofTX

(Nashville)

2010Opened in

AL, KYand TN

2011Opened inIN, KY, TN

and GA

2012Opened inFL, OK, TN

and KY

2013Opened inAR, FL, VA,

NC, SC,MO

and OH

2014Opened inAR, IN, FL,

NC, VAand GA

2015Opened inAL, AR, FL,

OH andOK

2016Opened in

VA, LA,NC,

TN, FLand MD

2017Opened in

GA, OH,KS, CO, IL,FL and MD

2018Opened inFL, IL, CO,

and KS

2019Opened in

AL, CO,KY, TX, IN

& OH

Total Restaurants at End of Period

100 100

8

99 new restaurants opened in 18 new states during the

last 142 months

Page 10: ICR Q4 Investor Presentation

FRESH, AUTHENTIC TEX-MEX CUISINE

• Offer authentic Tex-Mex food using only the freshest ingredients

• Recipes and cooking techniques originated from friends and family of our founders, who are from Mexico, New Mexico, and Texas

• Commitment to made-from-scratch, freshly prepared cooking

• Generous portions support value priced offering

• Customizable food offering is core to the Chuy’s concept

9

Page 11: ICR Q4 Investor Presentation

“WE TAKE ONE THING SERIOUSLY: OUR FOOD.”

Note: Prices above represent menu prices in Texas and Oklahoma as of September 29, 2019 which may vary from prices in other states.

10

Page 12: ICR Q4 Investor Presentation

WHAT MAKES CHUY’S SO DELICIOUS, YOU ASK?

11

HAND ROLLED

TORTILLAS

EVERYTHING’S FRESH

NEVER FROZEN

NEW MEXICAN

GREEN CHILES

ROASTED, HAND-PULLED, ALL WHITE MEAT

CHICKEN

FRESH SQUEEZED

LIME JUICE

Page 13: ICR Q4 Investor Presentation

Significant value proposition to customers

Most menu items arepriced under $10.00(1)

Average check of $15.57

$15.57 $15.70 $16.00$17.09

$18.50

$21.50 $22.60

$0.0

$5.0

$10.0

$15.0

$20.0

$25.0

Source: Company filings as of most recent available fiscal year and equity research, and Piper Jaffray “Restaurant Benchmark Analysis: 13th Annual Cookbook,” Chuy’s based on latest filed LTM period. (1) Applies to our tier 1 menu as of December 29, 2019 which is in place at 37 of our 104 restaurants as of that date.

EXCEPTIONAL DINING VALUE

12

Page 14: ICR Q4 Investor Presentation

Fast Casual Dining2,452 Total Restaurants in U.S. 3.8% 2018 Unit Growth~$12.00 Average Food Check (~1.0% Alcohol Mix)

Sample Offerings:

Entrée: Chicken Burrito$6.95

Chips & Salsa:$2.05

Total: $9.00

Full Service Dining100 Total Restaurants in 19 U.S. States9.9% 2018 Unit Growth$15.57 Average Total Check$12.68 Average Food Check(18.2% Alcohol Mix)

Sample Offerings:

Entrée:“Big As Yo Face” Burrito Oven-Roasted ChickenIncludes a side of Rice & Beans

$10.39

Chips & Salsa:Unlimited & Complimentary

Total: $10.39

Note: Chipotle and Chuy’s sample offerings represent menu items and prices from restaurants in the same geographic region as of December 31, 2018. Source: Company data, public filings and equity research as of December 31, 2018. Chuy’s average total and food check and alcohol mix based on latest filed LTM period.

13

Page 15: ICR Q4 Investor Presentation

14

UPBEAT ATMOSPHERE & APPEALING, IRREVERENT BRAND

Page 16: ICR Q4 Investor Presentation

GROWTHOPPORTUNITIES

Page 17: ICR Q4 Investor Presentation

Flexible real estate strategy• Conversions and new

prototype construction

Note: Map as of September 2019

15

Identify and pursue development in major markets

“Backfill” smaller existing markets to build brand awareness

Restaurant Growth• Opened 6 new units in 2019• Expect to open 5 to 7 units in 2020

Development of real estate analytics tool• Creation of psychographic profile of our

top markets for successful expansion

37

4

11

1

3

3

3

6

5

6

3 3

3

2 1

1

4

6

2

Hub locations

AustinTX

NashvilleTN

ENHANCED RESTAURANT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY

15

Page 18: ICR Q4 Investor Presentation

New Unit Economics ($000s)

LTM ComparableRestaurants

Blended Target Actual(7) Target Target Target Actual(7)

Average Unit Volume $4,297 $3,750(1) $5,273 $5,000 $1,800 $1,900 $2,521

Restaurant-Level Operating Profit 745 902 925 342 308 555

% Margin 17.3% 16.5% 17.1% 18.5% 19.0% 16.2% 22.0%

Average Cash Investment $2,426(2) $2,100(6) 3,270 $3,700 $1,250 $1,025 $1,950

Customers ServedPer Year(3) ~276,000 -- -- -- -- --

Sales to Investment Ratio 1.8x(4) 1.6x 1.4x 1.4x 1.9x 1.3x

Cash-on-Cash Return ~30%(5) 27.6% 25.0% 20.0%+ 30.0%+ 28.5%+

Source: Public filings and equity research estimates.Note: Cash-on-Cash Return defined as Restaurant-Level Operating Profit divided by Net Cash Investment excluding Pre-Opening Expense. (1) Represents targeted Normalized Average Unit Volume.(2) Represents Average cash investment based on historical new restaurant openings less land lord allowances and excludes preopening

expenses.(3) Estimated as Average Unit Volume divided by LTM Average Check.(4) Represents targeted Year 3 Sales: Investment Ratio.(5) Represents targeted Year 3 Cash-on-Cash Return.(6) Represents targeted cash investment less land lord allowances and excludes preopening expenses.(7) Based on actual data per most recent filing.

Targeted cash-on-cash return beginning in the third operating year of ~30.0% and a sales to investment ratio of 1.8x

Casual Dining Fast Casual

INDUSTRY LEADING NEW UNIT ECONOMICS

16

Page 19: ICR Q4 Investor Presentation

KEY 2020 INITIATIVES

17

Partnership with a National-level Marketing Firm

Off Premise Sales Catering, Online Ordering and Delivery

Real Estate Analytics Tool

New Table Management System

Page 20: ICR Q4 Investor Presentation

FINANCIALSUMMARY

Page 21: ICR Q4 Investor Presentation

Note: KNAPP-TRACK is a monthly sales and guest count tracking service for the full service restaurant market in the United States.Source: KNAPP-TRACK and Company data.(1) Adjusted to remove impact of the 53rd week and extra 1.5 operating days in fiscal 2012.(2) As a result of one-week calendar shift comparable sales calculation in 2013 and 2018 are based on comparing the sales in the fiscal periods of 2013 and 2018 to the corresponding calendar

periods in 2012 and 2017.(3) Adjusted to remove impact of the 53rd week in fiscal 2017.

3.1%

2.2% 2.3%

3.3%3.1%

0.8%

(0.7)%

0.5%

2.6%

-1.0%

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q3 2019YTD

KNAPP-TRACK SSS 1.5% 0.5% (1.3%) (0.2%) 1.1% (1.5%) (0.9%)

Number ofComparable Restaurants

18 24 32 41 51 61 70

1.3%

80

(1)

(2)

(2)

(3)

0.1%

90

COMPARABLE RESTAURANT SALES GROWTH

18

Page 22: ICR Q4 Investor Presentation

$130.6$172.6 $204.4

$245.1$287.1

$330.6$369.6 $398.2

$301.4 $324.3

$0$50

$100$150$200$250$300$350$400$450

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q32018YTD

Q32019YTD

3139

4859

6980

91100 98 103

102030405060708090

100110

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q32018YTD

Q32019YTD

Tota

l Res

taur

ants

Reve

nue

($M

illio

ns)

DEMONSTRATED REVENUE & UNIT GROWTH

19

Page 23: ICR Q4 Investor Presentation

Cost of Sales (% of Revenue) Commodity Basket %’s

28.2%

26.4%25.9%

26.6%

25.6% 25.4%25.8%

20.0%

22.5%

25.0%

27.5%

30.0%

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q32018YTD

Q32019YTD

24.7%

17.4%

16.9%

12.3%

11.0%

17.7%

Groceries ProduceBeef DairyChicken Bar & Other

(1) Based on the latest LTM period.

(1)

CONSISTENT COST OF SALES MANAGEMENT

20

Page 24: ICR Q4 Investor Presentation

Note: Restaurant-Level Operating Profit represents income from operations plus the sum of general and administrative expenses, the advisory agreement termination fee, the settlement with our former director, offering costs, restaurant pre-opening costs, loss on asset impairment, closure costs, and depreciation and amortization. Note: Adjusted EBITDA represents net income before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization plus the sum of restaurant pre-opening costs, loss on asset impairment, closure costs, deferred compensation, the advisory agreement termination fee, the settlement with our former director, offering costs, management fees and expenses and special one-time bonus payment.(1) Fiscal year 2012 and 2017 include one extra week of operations.

$25.0 $34.8 $39.1 $42.5

$56.5 $63.8 $64.6 $60.5

$48.1 $51.0

19.2% 20.2% 19.1% 17.3% 19.7% 19.3% 17.5% 15.2% 16.0% 15.7%0.0%

15.0%

30.0%

45.0%

60.0%

75.0%

$0.0$10.0$20.0$30.0$40.0$50.0$60.0$70.0

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q32018YTD

Q32019YTD

(1)

Rest

aura

nt-L

evel

O

pera

ting

Prof

it ($

Mill

ions

)Ad

just

ed E

BITD

A ($

Mill

ions

)

Total Restaurants:

31 39 48 59 69 80 91 98 103

(1)

$18.9 $25.5 $29.1 $30.8

$40.3 $46.3 $46.0

$40.4 $32.5 $33.1

$5.0$15.0$25.0$35.0$45.0$55.0

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q32018YTD

Q32019YTD

100

INCREASING RESTAURANT-LEVELOPERATING PROFIT & ADJUSTED EBITDA

21

Page 25: ICR Q4 Investor Presentation

(1) Includes approximately $170.6 million of operating lease assets, $9.7 million of operating lease liabilities and $216.0 million of operating lease liabilities, less current portion.

(1)

(1)

(1)

BALANCE SHEET

December 31, December 30, September 29,2017 2018 2019

Cash $ 8.8 $ 8.2 $ 10.5 Other Current Assets 17.8 9.5 10.0 Property & Equipment, Net 197.3 211.0 210.6 Other Long-Term Assets 48.1 48.4 217.2

Total Assets $ 272.0 $ 277.1 $ 448.3

Current Liabilities $ 25.7 $ 4.3 $ 37.0 Debt - - -Other Long-Term Liabilities 57.3 78.9 216.0

Total Liabilities 83.0 83.2 253.0

Total Equity 189.0 193.9 195.3 Total Liabilities and Equity $ 272.0 $ 277.1 $ 448.3

22

Page 26: ICR Q4 Investor Presentation

APPENDIX

Page 27: ICR Q4 Investor Presentation

RESTAURANT-LEVEL OPERATING PROFIT

FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018YTD Q3

2018YTD Q3

2019

Income from operations as reported $ 9.5 $ 13.3 $ 15.4 $ 15.9 $ 18.7 $ 24.3 $ 23.5 $ 3.3 $ 1.8 $ 6.5

General and Administration 7.5 9.4 10.0 11.7 16.2 17.6 18.7 20.7 15.5 18.0

Advisory Agreement Termination - 2.0 - - - - - - - -

Offering Costs - 0.2 0.9 - - - - - - -

Settlement with Former Director 0.2 - - - - - - - - -

Impairment and closure costs - - - - 4.4 1.5 - 12.3 12.3 7.9

Legal settlement - - - - - - - - - 0.8

Restaurant Pre-opening 3.4 3.4 3.9 4.6 4.4 5.3 6.2 4.4 3.7 2.4

Gain on insurance settlements - - - - - (1.4) - - -

Depreciation and Amortization 4.4 6.5 8.9 10.3 12.8 15.1 17.6 19.8 14.8 15.4

Restaurant-Level Operating Profit $ 25.0 $ 34.8 $ 39.1 $ 42.5 $ 56.5 $ 63.8 $ 64.6 $ 60.5 $ 48.1 $ 51.0

23

Page 28: ICR Q4 Investor Presentation

ADJUSTED EBITDA RECONCILIATION

FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018YTD Q3

2018YTD Q3

2019Net Income $ 3.5 $ 5.5 $ 11.1 $ 11.5 $ 12.9 $ 17.2 $ 29.0 $ 5.5 $ 2.1 $ 7.6

Income Tax provision (benefit) 1.6 2.2 4.2 4.3 5.7 7.1 (5.5) (2.4) (0.4) (1.2)

Interest Expense 4.4 5.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.1 0.1

Depreciation and Amortization 4.4 6.5 8.9 10.3 12.8 15.1 17.6 19.8 14.7 15.5

EBITDA $ 13.9 $ 19.8 $ 24.3 $ 26.2 $ 31.5 $ 39.5 $ 41.2 $ 23.7 $ 16.5 $ 22.0 Management Fees & Expenses 0.4 0.1 - - - - - - - -

Advisory Agreement Termination - 2.0 - - - - - - - -

Offering Costs - 0.2 0.9 - - - - - - -

Settlement with Former Director 0.2 - - - - - - - - -

Impairment and closure costs - - - - 4.4 1.5 - 12.3 12.3 7.9

Legal settlement - - - - - - - - - 0.8

Restaurant Pre-opening 3.4 3.4 3.9 4.6 4.4 5.3 6.2 4.4 3.7 2.4

Gain on insurance settlements (1.4) - - -

Special one-time bonus payment 1.0 - - - - - - - - -

Adjusted EBITDA $ 18.9 $ 25.5 $ 29.1 $ 30.8 $ 40.3 $ 46.3 $ 46.0 $ 40.4 $ 32.5 $ 33.1

24