ict education & job trends november 2012

New Zealand

ICT

Tertiary Education & Job Series

November 2012 [email protected]

Note: Penultimate edition

mailto:[email protected]


Insights for November 2012 Enrolments:

Between 2007 and 2010;

ICT diploma *EFT student enrolments increased by 36 per cent

ICT degree EFT student enrolments increased by 14 per cent

Between 2009 and 2010;

ICT diploma EFT student enrolments declined by 2.4 per cent, while the completion rate fell by 10 per cent (refer slide 6)

ICT degree EFT student enrolments increased by 8 per cent, while the completion rate fell by 2 per cent (refer slide 10) (The completion rate fell by 6% between 2007 & 2010)

Trademe IT Job Adverts:

Down 5 per cent for the month (-4 per cent last month & -11 per cent for September)

Seek ICT NZ Job Adverts:

Total job adverts;

Down 5.4 per cent for the month following a 1 per cent increase last month

Down 9.0 per cent on November 2011 (Down 8 per cent last month)

Just 4 per cent up on November 2010

*EFT Equivalent Full Time (includes part-time enrolments)

Note: Data analysis performed on Friday 9th November 2012

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2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

1,660

820

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Domestic

Intl

NZ CS/IS/IT Diploma Completions Domestic & International

2005 to 2010

Source: (Accessed November 2012)

New for November

Note: PTE completions at 1680 (refer next slide) represent two thirds of the 2480 total completions with ITPs providing the remaining third (800)

http://www.educationcounts.govt.nz/statistics/tertiary_education/retention_and_achievement

http://www.seek.co.nz/jobsearch/index.ascx?DateRange=31&catindustry=6281&catstate=3108&searchfrom=quick

30

790

0

810

1,680

NZ CS/IS/IT Diploma Completions by Tertiary Institute

(Domestic + International) 2010

Universities

Institutes of technology andpolytechnics

Wānanga

Public providers (TEIs)

Private trainingestablishments


Note: Tertiary education institutions (TEIs), NZ’s public providers, operating under one national system, comprise:

Eight universities with emphasis on academic education

Twenty state owned ITPs with emphasis on vocational education

Three wänanga (education delivered within a Mäori context). Zero completions means less than 5 were recorded

Forty Industry Training Organisations (ITOs)

PTEs:

At any one time there are between 700 and 800 registered Private Training Establishments.


New for November



http://www.minedu.govt.nz/~/media/MinEdu/Files/EducationSectors/InternationalEducation/ForInternationalStudentsAndParents/NZEdSysOverview.pdf

Number of CS/IS/IT diploma completions recorded in 2010 (refer bar chart in slide 3)

Domestic students 1660

International students 820

Total 2480

The discrepancy between this total (2480) and the total numbers in the previous pie chart (slide 4) is due to the ITP completion numbers appearing twice; i.e. once under the ITP category and once under the TEI category. All other TEI completions were (relatively) insignificant (approx.20)

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

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2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010C

om

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as a

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f EF

TS E

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EFTS

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All completions

EFT Students Enrolled

Completions as apercentage of EFTStudents Enrolled

NZ CS/IS/IT Diploma Completions as a

Percentage of EFT* Students Enrolled 2005 to 2010

*EFT Equivalent Full Time Students


New for November



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2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

710

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Domestic

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NZ CS/IS/IT Degree Completions Domestic & International

2005 to 2010 New for November




650

270

0

910

0

Universities

Institutes of technology and

polytechnics

Wānanga

Public providers (TEIs)

Private training establishments

NZ CS/IS/IT Degree Completions by Tertiary Institute

(Domestic + International) 2010


Note: • The 910 completions (refer slide 6) for TEIs represents the combined University

and ITP completions, plus an additional 10 completions from other public providers; i.e. ITOs and Wänanga

• Zero completions means less than 5 were recorded

New for November



2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

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2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

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of

EFTS

En

rolle

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EFTS

& C

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Completions (Left axis)

EFT Students Enrolled (Left axis)

Completions as a percentage ofEFT Students Enrolled (Rightaxis)

NZ CS/IS/IT Degree Completions as a

Percentage of EFT* Students Enrolled 2005 to 2010

*EFT Equivalent Full Time Students

New for November


Note: Further analysis of the enrolment figures needs to be conducted before any sensible conclusion can be drawn from the decline in degree completion percentages; i.e. 12% between 2006 and 2010. During this period enrolments increased by 2.7%.



0

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Sept2007

Jan Feb Mar April May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov

No

.of

Job

s

Month & Year

Trademe IT

Seek ICT

Seek & Trademe ICT Job Advert Trends

All NZ

2007 Peak before recession




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Jan Feb Mar April May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec

No

. of

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vert

s

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2012

2011

2010

Seek ICT Job Advert Monthly Trends

2010 - 2012



-20.0%

-18.0%

-16.0%

-14.0%

-12.0%

-10.0%

-8.0%

-6.0%

-4.0%

-2.0%

0.0%

Auckland Waikato Wellington Canterbury Total NZ

Pe

rcen

tage

Ch

ange

Seek ICT Job Advert Trends Change for the Month of

November 2012


0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000

Auckland

Waikato

Wellington

Canterbury

Total NZ


Nov-12 1283 35 717 219 2332

Oct-12 1347 41 720 267 2466

Sep-12 1315 72 679 286 2445

Aug-12 1523 55 787 272 2725

Jul-12 1608 65 752 230 2742

Jun-12 1644 50 793 220 2786

May-12 1520 40 878 243 2784

Apr-12 1407 45 689 221 2438

Mar-12 1577 48 853 218 2768

Feb-12 1539 61 805 266 2753

Jan-12 1087 32 543 185 1904

Seek ICT Job Advert Trends Year to November 2012

November 2011



0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800

Auckland

Waikato

Wellington

Canterbury

Total NZ


Microsoft 187 7 126 49 392

Cisco 90 4 50 19 175

Linux 432 13 203 61 735

Seek ICT Job Adverts by Industry Certification

November 2012


*Monthly change for; Microsoft:

Auckland decreased…..….9.7% Canterbury decreased…..23% All NZ decreased……………9.7%

Linux: All NZ decreased……………12% Canterbury decreased……24%

Cisco: All NZ decreased…….......10% Auckland decreased……..12.6%

*Note: all categories recorded increases last month


Seek ICT Job Adverts Filtered by Management Certifications

November 2012

Significant monthly changes: ITIL:

All NZ down 6% (down 7% last month)

Auckland down 17% Wellington up 17.6%


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50

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Auckland Wellington Canterbury Waikato Total NZ

PMP

Prince

ITIL

163

163

238


All NZ;

Java decreased……….…11%

(Auckland down 14.5%)

.NET decreased…….…..12%

Other changes for .NET;

Auckland down 22%

Wellington up 11%

Canterbury down 21%

PHP decreased for;

Auckland.…………………..14%

Wellington………………….17%


0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800

Auckland

Waikato

Wellington

Canterbury

Total NZ


.NET 177 5 99 48 342

PHP 348 10 143 48 636

C# 169 8 62 41 310

Java 384 9 165 49 701

Seek ICT Job Adverts by Programming Language

November 2012

35%

32%

16%

17%


545

987 147

445

270

Programmer/Developer

System Support

Help Desk

Network (All categories)

Mobile (Apps)

Seek ICT Job Adverts by Role

November 2012


Notes: Decreased demand this month for:

Prog/Dev down 10 per cent (Up 7% last month)

Mobile apps down 15.5 per cent

61% 22%

17%

Auckland

Wellington

Canterbury

Seek ICT Job Adverts Mobile Apps

Distribution by Major Regions November 2012

Wellington increased its percentage this month - at the expense of Auckland?☺


0

10

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70

80

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Seek ICT Job Advert Trends Cloud Category

RegionalDistribution ofCloud Jobs


Following several monthly increases for job ads in the cloud category, a decrease of 16.5 per cent occurred for this month.


8

36

10

34

23

13

14

Admin

Analyst

Consultant

Developer

Engineer

Sales

Specialist

Seek ICT Job Advert Trends Cloud Category by Role

November 2012


Increases occurred this month for the following roles:

Developer up 6 per cent

Sales up 30 per cent

Specialist up 8 per cent


Seek ICT Cloud Job Adverts Sales category examples



Changes for the month:

SQL Server (all NZ) up 1.5% (Wellington up 8%)

SAP (all NZ) down by 3% (Wellington up 2%)

Oracle (all NZ) down by 8.5% (Waikato up 33%)


0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000

Auckland

Wellington

Canterbury

Waikato

Total NZ

Auckland Wellington Canterbury Waikato Total NZ

SQL Server 531 246 98 19 930

SAP 494 230 50 13 805

Oracle 480 234 55 12 802

Seek ICT Job Adverts Filtered by DBA/Developer

November 2012

31%

32%

37%


News Bytes

Local Scene

The Institute of IT Professionals New Zealand (IITP) and AUT University’s Centre for Research on Information Systems Management (CRISM) have launched a major research project;

The joint initiative will investigate the critical factors that drive IT professionals today and led them to take up a career in the field and

will allow a direct comparison with similar research in other countries such as Australia and Singapore

– published October 2012

In seasonally adjusted terms, skilled job vacancies fell by 5.4%

http://www.geekzone.co.nz/content.asp?contentid=9837

http://www.dol.govt.nz/publications/jol/reports/jol-sep-12/index.asp



News Bytes Global Scene

Plumbing the depths of Australia’s online job market

Online jobs advertisements fell again to a new record low this past month, and IT is leading the drop:

IT salaries have grown by 4 per cent (ACS) over the period that vacancies have been dropping and there is discussion about a skills shortage (click on the TechRepublic link to access the full article)

http://www.techrepublic.com/blog/australia/plumbing-the-depths-of-australias-online-job-market/1493

News Bytes

Global Scene IT Skills Shortage Hemming Irish Recovery:

Over 97,000 people directly employed in the digital technology sector

Significant shortage of design engineers needs addressing;

Technology Visa required in order to fast track the provision of work permits to individuals with the requisite ICT skills and qualifications

ICT industry will face a serious skills crunch in the future unless it focuses on developing its young professionals:

Software developers, high-end integrators and other ICT service providers complain that their growth is constrained by a shortage of relevant skills

A 2011 ITWeb-JCSE Skills Survey suggests that current demand amounts to 20,000 to 30,000 job opportunities, or 10% to 15% of the total ICT workforce

UK - : More programming skills required, according to an IT security firm

Many students lack the programming expertise required to find IT jobs in areas such as web security

http://www.theepochtimes.com/n2/ireland/it-skills-shortage-hemming-irish-recovery-304394.html









http://www.itweb.co.za/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=59439:mind-the-ict-skills-gap



http://www.computeach.co.uk/IT-news/Job-Career-News/IT-industry-news-More-programming-skills-required-says-IT-security-firm/801476920





News Bytes Global Scene

:

Through 2015, 90% of enterprises will bypass broad-scale deployment of Windows 8

By Year-End 2014, three of the top five mobile handset vendors will be Chinese

By 2015, big data demand will reach 4.4 million jobs globally, but only one-third of those jobs will be filled

By 2014, European Union directives will drive legislation to protect jobs, reducing offshoring by 20% through 2016

By 2014, IT hiring in major Western markets will come predominantly from Asian-headquartered companies enjoying double-digit growth

By 2017, 40% of enterprise contact information will have leaked into Facebook via employees’ increased use of mobile device collaboration applications

Through 2014, employee-owned devices will be compromised by malware at more than double the rate of corporate-owned devices

Through 2014, software spending resulting from the proliferation of smart operational technology will increase by 25%

By 2015, 40% of Global 1000 organizations will use gamification as the primary mechanism to transform business operations

By 2016, wearable smart electronics in shoes, tattoos and accessories will emerge as a $10 billion industry

By 2014, market consolidation will displace up to 20% of the top 100 IT services providers

http://techday.com/it-brief/news/gartner-makes-it-predictions-for-2013-and-beyond/135583/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter

As the author of this series I’m taking this opportunity to let readers know that I have recently resigned from the Waikato Institute of Technology. Consequently, this is the penultimate ICT trends report.

Producing this ICT trend series, one of my ‘official’ research outputs, has given me an immense amount of satisfaction, due in no small part, to the feedback and helpful/positive comments from a wide spectrum of ICT organisations, both here in NZ and overseas.

In analysing the ICT statistics from 2000 onwards it became apparent that the industry was heading towards a skill shortage abyss. Between 2000 and 2007 enrolments in CS/IS/IT courses dropped 50% across all tertiary institutions in NZ, while the job adverts, reported by the Dept. of Labour, rose by a similar figure. This trend was worldwide.

Enrolments in ICT diploma and degree courses have now risen from the low levels reached in 2007, but are still well short of those needed to bridge the skills gap. The medium to long term predictions by a number of well respected commentators, in articles published by Gartner and TechRepublic, for example, are for a growing and largely unsatisfied demand for ICT skills and experience. The gap between the supply of graduates and the growth in ICT jobs will be further exacerbated by the demographics of a tsunami of baby boomers moving into retirement. Governments, businesses and professional organisations will have to continue to develop strategies to counter this increasing demand. The recent initiatives by IITPNZ, such as ICT-Connect and the survey project partnership with AUT provide exemplars to build on.

It’s my intention to continue to take a strong interest in the ICT industry and tertiary education. I would like to continue my work with the trends report and to take up other opportunities as they arise. Examples include producing reports for Tertiary Education Institutions (TEIs); e.g. independent subject expert reports for NZQA course approval and accreditation, as well as curriculum development and national moderation.

Contact details:

Mobile: +64 27 404 9581

About this series and the author (Conclusions follow)















http://twitter.com/Gazza_R


http://twitter.com/TelcoKT

Demand for Skills

Globally, the shortage of ICT workers with the necessary skills continues to be discussed, at the same time as many countries, including NZ and Australia, are experiencing a downturn in online ICT job advertisements

Governments, ICT industry and professional organisations should continue to focus on the medium to long term demands for skilled ICT workers/professionals.

Strategies need to be developed in order to get young people enrolling in ICT qualifications in sufficient numbers to meet this growing demand and to counter the rapidly increasing number of baby boomers moving into retirement

IITP – AUT New Zealand ICT Research Project

Your active participation and responses will help ensure the success of this project; i.e. in tracking long-term trends and gauging whether various initiatives and projects aimed at attracting smart people into ICT are working

Conclusion








http://twitter.com/TelcoKT

What Is the Future of Computers?

Peter J Denning - Communications of the ACM journal - "Don't feel bad if you can't predict the future."

(About all the people who have tried to do so in the past, and failed)

Reference

http://www.lifeslittlemysteries.com/2878-future-computers.html




