idaho economic update work force development council

Idaho Economic Update Work Force Development Council

November 18, 2010Prepared by: Bob Uhlenkott

IDAHO DEPARTMENT

OF LABOR

Idaho’s Work Force Outlook

Communications & ResearchIdaho Department of LaborPrepared by Sara Scudder

In 2018 we estimate around 826,000 total jobs in Idaho

116,000 of those will be new

jobs

281,000 total new jobs w/

attrition by 2018

In 2018 the department estimates there will be approximately 826,000 jobs in Idaho. Of those, around 14 percent, or 116,000 will be brand new jobs created in the economy.

Another 165,000 will be available from attrition. Therefore a total of around 34 percent, or 281,000 jobs will be open through 2018.

14%

34%

Source: Projections ~ 2008-2018 Idaho Department of Labor Industry Projections

Percent of New Jobs by Education/Skill Level

1-PD PhD M B+ B A PVA WE LT MT ST0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

1.7% 1.5%2.3%

4.9%

12.4%

5.6%7.1%

8.1%

4.0%

15.0%

37.3%

37%

Unskilled

36%

Pro

fess

iona

l

27%Skilled

Numbers may not add due to rounding

Where will we find those jobs?

Where will we find these 826,000

jobs?

Idaho’s Top Ten HOT IndustriesHot Industries are those that on average rank high in three major criteria — abundance of jobs in the economy, jobs which are growing the fastest and jobs with the highest pay.

HOT Industry

RankNAICS

NAICS - Industry Classification

2008 2018Net

ChangePercent Change

Annualized Growth

2009 Median Hourly Wage

1 541000Professional, Scientific and Technical Services

33,041

43,919 10,879 32.92% 2.89% $21.45

2 626000Hospital Employment (private + state + local)

23,887 29,592 5,706 23.89% 2.17% $19.95

3 621000Ambulatory Health Care Services

27,603 36,953 9,350 33.87% 2.96% $15.63

4 611000Educational Services (all ownership)

55,755 65,969 10,213 18.32% 1.70% $18.05

5 524000Insurance Carriers and Related Activities

8,166 10,165 1,999 24.48% 2.21% $18.72

6 999300*Local Government, Excluding Education and Hospitals

28,926 33,790 4,864 16.82% 1.57% $18.64

7 517000 Telecommunications 3,954 5,216 1,261 31.90% 2.81% $18.71

8 423000Merchant Wholesalers, Durable Goods

12,869 15,534 2,664 20.70% 1.90% $16.66

9 518000Data Processing, Hosting & Related Services

376 640 263 69.93% 5.45% $24.80

10 441000 Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers 12,113 15,287 3,174 26.20% 2.35% $14.21

*Department assigned code and title. Not a valid NAICs code or title. Source: Wages ~ Idaho Department of Labor 2009 Occupations Employment Statistics Program Source: Projections ~ 2008-2018 Idaho Department of Labor Industry Projections

Idaho’s #1 HOT Industries by Region Hot Industries are those that on average rank high in three major criteria — abundance of jobs in the economy, jobs which are growing the fastest and jobs with the highest pay.

Region NAICS NAICS - Industry Classification 2008 2018Net


Annualized Growth

Median Hourly Wage

Northern Idaho 54Professional, Scientific and Technical Services

3,102 4,410 1,308 42.18% 3.58% $18.45

North Central Idaho

61 Educational Services (all ownership) 7,165 7,488 322 4.50% 0.44% $20.82

Southwestern Idaho

54Professional, Scientific and Technical Services

13,024 18,956 5,932 45.55% 3.82% $19.14

South Central Idaho

61 Educational Services (all ownership) 6,257 7,706 1,449 23.15% 2.10% $18.96

Southeastern Idaho

61 Educational Services (all ownership) 7,442 8,580 1,138 15.29% 1.43% $19.35

East Central Idaho


11,371 14,118 2,747 24.16% 2.19% $29.24

Source: Wages ~ Idaho Department of Labor 2009 Occupations Employment Statistics Program Source: Projections ~ 2008-2018 Idaho Department of Labor Industry Projections

Idaho’s #1 Fastest Growing Industries by Region Fastest Growing: Ranked by Percent Change



Annualized Growth

Median Hourly Wage

Northern Idaho 51 Information 1,069 1,526 457 42.73% 3.62% $13.41

North Central Idaho

11Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting

1,006 1,388 382 37.95% 3.27% $14.77

Southwestern Idaho


13,024 18,956 5,932 45.55% 3.82% $19.14

South Central Idaho

56Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services

4,550 6,610 2,060 45.27% 3.80% 13.20

Southeastern Idaho

71 Arts, Entertainment and Recreation 520 734 214 41.06% 3.50% $8.15

East Central Idaho

21 Mining 444 734 290 65.22% 5.15% $19.41




Annualized Growth

Median Hourly Wage

Northern Idaho 62Health Care and Social Assistance (excluding federal hospitals)

10,319 13,255 2,936 28.46% 2.54% $14.39

North Central Idaho

62Health Care and Social Assistance (excluding federal hospitals)

6,070 6,896 826 13.61% 1.28% $12.90

Southwestern Idaho


35,341 47,294 11,954 33.82% 2.96% $15.68

South Central Idaho

11Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting

9,219 12,464 3,245 35.20% 3.06% $11.10

Southeastern Idaho

00671 Self-Employed & Unpaid Family 7,278 9,705 2,427 33.35% 2.92% n/a

East Central Idaho


9,683 13,374 3,691 38.12% 3.28% $14.12

n/a ~ wages not available.Source: Wages ~ Idaho Department of Labor 2009 Occupations Employment Statistics Program Source: Projections ~ 2008-2018 Idaho Department of Labor Industry Projections

Idaho’s #1 High Demand Industries by Region Largest Employment: Ranked by Net Change

Idaho’s #1 Largest Employment Industries by Region Largest Employment: Ranked by 2018 Projected Employment



Annualized Growth

Median Hourly Wage

Northern Idaho

44-45 Retail Trade 12,560 15,075 2,515 20.02% 1.84% $11.35

North Central Idaho

61 Educational Services (all ownership) 7,165 7,488 322.40 4.50% 0.44% $20.82

Southwestern Idaho


35,341 47,294 11,954 33.82% 2.96% $15.68

South Central Idaho

11 Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting 9,219 12,464 3,245 35.20% 3.06% $11.10

Southeastern Idaho

00671 Self-Employed & Unpaid Family 7,278 9,705 2,427 33.35% 2.92% n/a

East Central Idaho


11,371 14,118 2,747 24.16% 2.19% $29.24


Idaho’s Declining Industries by Region Declining Industries: Ranked by Percent Change



Annualized Growth

Median Hourly Wage

Northern Idaho

21 Mining 1,069 726 (343) -32.05% -3.79% $17.06

North Central Idaho

55Management of Companies and Enterprises

395 323 (72) -18.16% -1.98% $19.24

Southwestern Idaho

00671 Self-Employed & Unpaid Family 24,139 20,634 (3,505) -14.52% -1.56% n/a

South Central Idaho

00671 Self-Employed & Unpaid Family 7,561 6,500 (1,061) -14.04% -1.50% n/a

Southeastern Idaho

21 Mining 507 356 (151) -29.84% -3.48% $24.23

East Central Idaho

31-33 Manufacturing 4,784 4,576 (208) -4.36% -0.44% $15.73


What will those jobs

entail?

What occupations

will these 826,000 jobs encompass?

Idaho’s Top Ten HOT Jobs Hot Jobs are those that on average rank high in three major criteria — abundance of jobs in the economy, jobs which are growing the fastest and jobs with the highest pay.

HOT Jobs Rank

SOC Code Occupational Title 2018Net

ChangeAnnual

Openings*Percent Change

Median Hourly Wage

Mean Hourly Wage

Education or

Training Level

**

1 29-1111 Registered Nurses 13,337 2,833 467 26.97% $28.04 $29.45 A

2 11-9011Farm, Ranch and Other Agricultural Managers

5,529 1,202 208 27.78% $29.42 $31.06 B+

3 25-1199 Postsecondary Teachers, All Other 2,992 640 105 27.21% $69,446 $73,835 PhD

4 29-1051 Pharmacists 1,693 385 68 29.43% $47.96 $46.37 1-PD

5 15-1031Computer Software Engineers, Applications

1,461 452 54 44.80% $38.32 $38.73 B

6 29-2021 Dental Hygienists 1,532 397 63 34.98% $31.99 $31.57 A

7 13-2011 Accountants and Auditors 4,297 854 143 24.80% $24.65 $28.19 B

9 15-1032Computer Software Engineers, Systems Software

1,779 396 52 28.63% $41.42 $41.09 B

9 11-2022 Sales Managers 2,351 474 87 25.25% $31.70 $37.62 B+

10 25-2021Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education

9,533 1,748 352 22.45% $49,167 $48,396 B

*Average annual job openings include new jobs plus replacement jobs.

**Education/Training Key: 1-PD - first professional; A - associate degree; B - bachelor's degree; B+ - bachelor's or higher degree plus work experience; LT- long-term on-the-job; M - master's degree; MT - moderate-term on-the-job training; PhD - doctoral degree; PVA - postsecondary vocational award; ST - short-term on-the-job training; WE - work experience in related occupation


Idaho’s #1 HOT Jobs by Region Hot Jobs are those that on average rank high in three major criteria — abundance of jobs in the economy, jobs which are growing the fastest and jobs with the highest pay.

Region SOC Code Occupational Title 2018Net

Change

AnnualOpenings

**

PercentChange

MedianHourlyWage

MedianHourlyWage

Education or

Training Level

***

Northern Idaho

29-1111* Registered Nurses 1,559 303 52 24.1% $30.75 $30.96 A

North Central Idaho

11-9011Farm, Ranch and Other Agricultural Managers

320 100 15 45.45% n/a n/a B+

Southwestern Idaho

29-1111* Registered Nurses 6,713 1,577 247 30.71% $29.07 $31.22 A

South Central Idaho

11-9011Farm, Ranch and Other Agricultural Managers

2,679 832 121 45.05% n/a n/a B+

Southeastern Idaho

11-9199 Managers, All Other 637 122 25 23.69% $33.85 $35.83 WE

East Central Idaho

29-1111* Registered Nurses 1,632 410 62 33.53% $25.68 $25.31 A

*Information enhanced with state licensure data.

**Average annual job openings include new jobs plus replacement jobs.

***Education/Training Key: 1-PD - first professional; A - associate degree; B - bachelor's degree; B+ - bachelor's or higher degree plus work experience; LT- long-term on-the-job; M - master's degree; MT - moderate-term on-the-job training; PhD - doctoral degree; PVA - postsecondary vocational award; ST - short-term on-the-job training; WE - work experience in related occupation


RegionSOC Code

Occupational Title 2008 2018Net

Change

Annual Openings

*

Percent Change

Median Hourly Wage

Mean Hourly Wage

Education or

Training Level

**

Northern Idaho

15-1031Computer Software Engineers, Applications

71 116 45 6 63.38% $32.86 $38.31 B

North Central Idaho

15-1031Computer Software Engineers, Applications

57 83 26 4 45.61% $39.38 $46.74 B

Southwestern Idaho

35-2019 Cooks, All Other 22 41 19 3 86.36% n/a n/a MT

South Central Idaho

15-1081Network Systems and Data Communications Analysts

28 47 19 3 67.86% n/a n/a B

Southeastern Idaho


34 54 20 3 58.82% n/a n/a B

East Central Idaho


132 235 103 12 78.03% $23.55 $32.34 B

n/a ~ wages not available.




Idaho’s #1 Fastest Growing Occupations by Region Fastest Growing: Ranked by Percent Change

Idaho’s #1 Highest Demand Occupations by Region Fastest Growing: Ranked by Annual Openings

Region SOC Code Occupational Title 2008 2018Net

Change

Annual Openings

*

Percent Change

Median Hourly Wage

Mean Hourly Wage

Education or

Training Level

**

Northern Idaho

41-2031 Retail Salespersons 3,837 4,737 900 197 23.46% $9.96 $11.67 ST

North Central Idaho

35-3031 Waiters and Waitresses 824 886 62 52 7.52% $8.42 $10.56 ST

Southwestern Idaho

41-2031 Retail Salespersons 10,229 13,151 2,922 577 28.57% $9.51 $11.42 ST

South Central Idaho

45-2092Farm workers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery and Greenhouse

3,947 5,146 1,199 226 30.38% $8.82 $9.44 ST

Southeastern Idaho


East Central Idaho





Idaho’s #1 Highest Employment Occupations by Region Highest Employment: Ranked by Projected 2018 Employment


Change

Annual Openings

*

Percent Change

Median Hourly Wage

Mean Hourly Wage

Education or

Training Level

**

Northern Idaho

43-4051Customer Service Representatives

1,579 2,207 628 113 39.77% $12.01 $12.82 MT

North Central Idaho


Southwestern Idaho

41-2031 Retail Salespersons 10,229 13,151 2,922 577 28.57% $9.51 $11.42 ST

South Central Idaho

45-2092Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery and Greenhouse

3,947 5,146 1,199 226 30.38% $8.82 $9.44 ST

Southeastern Idaho


East Central Idaho





RegionSOC Code

Occupational Title 2008 2018Net

Change

Annual Openings

**

Percent Change

Median Hourly Wage

Mean Hourly Wage

Education or

Training Level

***

Northern Idaho

29-1063* Internist, General 28 34 6 1 22.35% n/a n/a 1-PD

North Central Idaho

29-1062*Family and General Practitioners

61 67 5 2 8.95% n/a n/a 1-PD

Southwestern Idaho

29-1067* Surgeons 195 253 58 9 29.60% n/a n/a 1-PD

South Central Idaho

29-1062*Family and General Practitioners

75 92 17 3 22.11% n/a n/a 1-PD

Southeastern Idaho

29-1069*Physicians and Surgeons, All Other

102 119 17 3 16.60% n/a n/a 1-PD

East Central Idaho

29-1067* Surgeons 45 61 16 2 36.67% n/a n/a F1-PD

n/a ~ wages not available.

*Information enhanced with state licensure data.

**Average annual job openings include new jobs plus replacement jobs.

***Education/Training Key: 1-PD - first professional; A - associate degree; B - bachelor's degree; B+ - bachelor's or higher degree plus work experience; LT- long-term on-the-job; M - master's degree; MT - moderate-term on-the-job training; PhD - doctoral degree; PVA - postsecondary vocational award; ST - short-term on-the-job training; WE - work experience in related occupation


Idaho’s #1 High Wage Occupations by Region

Highest Wage: Ranked by Median Hourly Wage


Change

Annual Openings

*

Percent Change

Median Hourly Wage

Mean Hourly Wage

Education or

Training Level

**

Northern Idaho

47-5081 Helpers--Extraction Workers 90 51 (39) 2 -43.33% $14.05 $14.19 ST

North Central Idaho

51-9132Photographic Processing Machine Operators

37 26 (11) 1 -29.73% $10.54 $10.72 ST

Southwestern Idaho

43-5053Postal Service Mail Sorters, Processors and Processing Machine Operators

238 176 (62) 2 -26.05% $25.25 $22.51 ST

South Central Idaho


48 33 (15) 0 -31.25% $24.44 $20.52 ST

Southeastern Idaho


105 73 (32) 1 -30.48% $24.41 $20.66 ST

East Central Idaho


38 28 (10) 0 -26.32% $12.83 $16.58 ST




Idaho’s Declining Occupations by Region Declining Occupations: Ranked by Percent Change

What will those jobs

entail?

Where can you find

more detailed

information on

occupations and industry projections?

lmi.idaho.gov

Idaho’s Long-term Occupational & Industry Projections

http://lmi.idaho.gov/Occupations/LongTermProjections/20082018StatewideLongTermProjections/tabid/2430/Default.aspx



Idaho’s Long-term Regional Occupational Projections

http://lmi.idaho.gov/Occupations/LongTermProjections/20082018RegionalLongTermProjections/tabid/2443/Default.aspx



Idaho’s Long-term Regional Industry Projections




Projection Publications

http://lmi.idaho.gov/Occupations/LongTermProjections/tabid/815/Default.aspx

http://lmi.idaho.gov/Occupations/LongTermProjections/tabid/815/Default.aspx

Occupational Employment & Wages

http://lmi.idaho.gov/WagesIncome/WagesbyOccupation/tabid/749/Default.aspx

http://lmi.idaho.gov/WagesIncome/WagesbyOccupation/tabid/749/Default.aspx

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