idaho salmon and steelhead · idaho salmon and steelhead overview of management, status and factors...

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Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance Jim Fredericks, Idaho Department of Fish and Game Benjamin Sandford

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Page 1: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

Idaho Salmon and SteelheadOverview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance

Jim Fredericks, Idaho Department of Fish and Game

Benjamin Sandford

Page 2: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

Outline of Presentation

• Relationship of Idaho and anadromous fish

• Management and limiting factors

• Historical returns by species

Matt Corsi

Page 3: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

Anadromous Species in Idaho

Chinook Salmon

• Spring

• Summer

• Fall

Steelhead

• Summer

Sockeye

Coho

Lamprey

Page 4: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

Importance of Idaho

Snake Basin Historically Produced:

≈55% of Summer Steelhead

≈ 40-45% of Spring/Summer Chinook

Page 5: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

Importance to Idaho

Economic Importance

• Typically 20-25% of angling effort

• Over $100 million annual spending

• 1,000 – 2,000 thousand (rural) jobs

• Chinook fisheries can generate up to $90 million

• 2001 Chinook fishery = estimated $10 million in Riggins alone

• Estimated total spending in Riggins that year was $44 million)

Page 6: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

Importance to Idaho

• Economic Importance

• Ecological Importance• Marine derived nutrients

• Food source

• Gravel cleaning

Page 7: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

Importance to Idaho

• Economic Importance

• Biological Importance

• Cultural Importance

Enrique Patino

Page 8: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

Limiting Factors -- 4 H’s

Page 9: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

A “P”

Page 10: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

And an “O”

Page 11: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

A World of Acronyms

SAR

BiOp

NPCC

RIOG

SRBA

VSP

TAC

Page 12: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

Minimum Abundance Threshold (MAT)

• Based on viability and the relative amount of historical spawning and rearing habitat associated with each population

• Represents the number of spawners needed for a population to achieve the 5% risk level at a given productivity

• Required for de-listing, but not the sole criteria

.

Enrique Patino

Page 13: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

Smolt to Adult Return Rates (SAR)

The survival from a beginning point as a smolt to an ending point as an adult.

Page 14: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

Smolt to Adult Return Rates (SAR)

• For example

100,000 smolts Migrate past Lower Granite Dam in 2016

500- 1 Ocean Salmon Return to Bonneville Dam in 2017

2,000- 2 Ocean Salmon Return in 2018

800- 3 Ocean Salmon Return in 2019

(500+2,000+800)SAR =

100,000= 3.3%

Page 15: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

Point to Point

Page 16: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

Hydrosystem

Page 17: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved
Page 18: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved
Page 19: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

Non-powerhouse = Spill (traditional or surface spillway weirs)Powerhouse = Turbine or juvenile collection/bypass

Submersible traveling screen

Collection channel

(3) Turbine

Forebay

Tailrace

(1) Spillway Reservoir

(2) Juvenile Bypass Systems

Gatewell

Direct survival:spill > bypass > turbine

Direct & indirect survival(delayed mortality):

spill > bypassspill > turbine

Passage Routes

Page 20: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

Wild Snake River Chinook SAR*

*2018 CSS Annual Report; to Upper Most SR dam

Page 21: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

Wild Snake River Steelhead SAR

Page 22: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

Simulation models…integrate across river and ocean conditions…

220

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6%

Freq

ue

ncy

Projected SARs

Population in declinePrevious BiOp operations

Spill to 125% TDG

Page 23: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

Anadromous Hatchery Programs• 13 anadromous hatcheries in Idaho

• Chinook-8, Steelhead-5, Sockeye-2, Coho-1 • Multiple satellite facilities• Currently operated by IDFG and NPT

• Funding is provided by BPA (3), USFWS (6), Idaho Power (4)

• Primary Purpose – Harvest mitigation, but a conservation and restoration role for Sockeye and Chinook

• Mitigation is for downriver fisheries as well

• Typically for every Idaho hatchery Chinook harvested in Idaho, 2-3 are harvested downstream

Page 24: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

Idaho Hatchery Smolt Releases:

• 13M Sp/Su Chinook

• 1 M Sockeye

• 8M Steelhead

• 5M Fall Chinook

• 1M Coho Salmon

• Established in US v. OR production agreement

Page 25: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

Tagging

All 28 Million PBT Tagged!

Page 26: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

Segregated Management

• Hatcheries today are not the hatcheries of 40 years ago

• All facilities have approved Hatchery Genetic Management Plan to comply with ESA

Page 27: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

Harvest

Mathers Museum of World Cultures

Page 28: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

Regulation

Magnuson-Stevens• Passed in 1976

• Primary law governing marine fisheries management in U.S. federal waters

• Extended regulated harvest from 3 to 200 miles off shore

U.S. v. Oregon Management Agreement• Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes

reserved fishing rights under the 1855 Treaties.

• Provided 50/50 harvest sharing of salmon between the treaty tribes and non-Indians

• State and Tribal entities work cooperatively towards rebuilding salmon runs, and developing fishery management strategies

• Allocates harvest in system below LGD

Craig D'Angelo

Page 29: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

Idaho Management

• Meet brood stock (10,000 Sp/Su Chinook)

• Minimize encounters of wild stocks

• Fisheries and “impact rates” approved and permitted by NOAA Fisheries.

• about 3.5% for steelhead

• about 2% for Sp/Su Chinook.

• No non-tribal harvest of wild Chinook or Steelhead

Page 30: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

19

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Steelhead Harvest

Page 31: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,0001

96

2

19

64

19

66

19

68

19

70

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72

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Spring/Summer Chinook

Fall Chinook

Chinook Harvest

Page 32: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

Habitat

• Efforts include stream restoration projects to improve production and life-cycle survival (higher growth rates)

• BPA Accord Funding (≈4.5M)

• PCSRF – Up to 5.25M annually

• Mitchell Act Funding (Screening) ≈ $1M

Page 33: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

Potlatch River Restoration What is the potential increase in juvenile production (i.e. # of

smolts) following implementation of these 3 projects?

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400

010000

20000

30000

40000

Spawners

Num

ber

of

sm

oltsCurrent scenario

Proposed scenario

Observed

Modeled Production- 19,075 Smolts (85% increase)

Page 34: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

9%

10%

0 100 200 300 400 500

SAR

Smolts per female

Replacement Line

Page 35: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

Potlatch River Restoration • Completed and planned projects will result in:

• Access to over 20 miles of good habitat• Restoration of 21 miles of habitat

• An estimated increase in production of over 46,000 Steelhead Smolts (85% increase)

Page 36: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

544 restoration projects: • Opened 75 mi. of habitat• Restored 352 mi. of habitat • Installed 158 mi. of fencing• Added 61 CFS to Lemhi

Upper Salmon River

Page 37: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

Fish Screen Program (Upper Salmon Basin)

• Affects ~4 million acres, 270 screens, and 2,500 water rights

• Protects ESA-listed salmon, steelhead, and bull trout from entrainment

• Modelling suggests entrainment has been cut from >70% to <2%

• Helps to maintain an agricultural based economy

Page 38: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

Ocean Conditions• Variations in Ocean Conditions – Impact survival and recruitment

upwelling → nutrients → plankton → forage fish → salmon

Page 39: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

NOAA Stoplight Chart

Page 40: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

Sea Lion Predation

California Sea Lions have increased on west coast from 30K in 1980 to over 300K and are near carrying capacity

In the 1980’s, Sea Lions started appearing in the Columbia River

By 2018, 190 animals at Bonneville Dam and 60-80 animals at Willamette Falls

Have consumed up to 10,000 fish in the spring (mostly spring chinook) at BON

Consider:• BON estimates vs. total estimates• Run specific impacts

Page 41: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved
Page 42: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

California vs. StellerSteller Male• Weight - up to 2200 lbs• Length – up to 10.5 ft• Present at BON – 10 months

California Male• Weight - up to 1200 lbs• Length – up to 8.5 ft• Present at BON – 7 months

Page 43: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

Bonneville Dam Sea Lion Predation

Adjusted estimates of salmonid consumption by California and Steller sea lions at Bonneville Dam

0

1000

2000

3000

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5000

6000

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2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Nu

mb

er o

f Sa

lmo

nid

s C

on

sum

ed

CSL Consumption SSL Consumption

Page 44: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

Wild/Natural Spring/Summer Chinook Salmon

Ad

ult

s to

up

pe

rmo

st D

am

Delisting MAT: 31,500

Escapement Goal: 127,000

IceHarbor

LowerMonumental

LittleGoose

LowerGranite

Page 45: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

Hatchery Spring/Summer Chinook SalmonA

du

lts

to u

pp

erm

ost

Dam

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

Minimum Escapement Goal= 90,000

SawtoothRapid River

Pahsimeroi

Kooskia

McCall

Clearwater

NPT

DNFH(Chinook)

Page 46: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

1963 1965 1967 1969 1971 1973 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017

Wild/Natural SteelheadA

du

lts

to u

pp

erm

ost

Dam

Delisting MAT: 21,000

Escapement Goal: 104,500

IceHarbor Lower

Monumental

LittleGoose

LowerGranite

Page 47: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

Hatchery Steelhead A

du

lts

to u

pp

erm

ost

Dam

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

19

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Minimum Escapement Goal= 90,000

Magic Valley

Hagerman

Niagara

DNFH

Clearwater

Page 48: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

5,500

6,000

6,500

7,000

7,500

8,000

8,500

9,000

9,500

10,000

Wild/Hatchery SockeyeA

du

lts

to u

pp

erm

ost

Dam

Delisting MAT: 2,500

Escapement Goal: 9,000

Page 49: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

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45000

50000

Hatchery Fall ChinookA

du

lts

to u

pp

erm

ost

Dam

Page 50: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

Wild/Natural Fall Chinook

Ad

ult

s to

up

pe

rmo

st D

am

Delisting MAT: 4,200

Escapement Goal: 14,360

Page 51: Idaho Salmon and Steelhead · Idaho Salmon and Steelhead Overview of Management, Status and Factors Affecting Abundance ... • Court upheld the Columbia River treaty tribes reserved

Courtesy of: Johnson, BLM