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Welcome to Physics 107 1/20/10 1 Carlsmith, Physics 107 Ideas of Modern Physics Physics for Future Presidents

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Page 1: Ideas of Modern Physics Physics for Future Presidents€¦ · Ideas of Modern Physics Physics for Future Presidents . ... it seems unlikely our technology could avert ... Physics

Welcome to Physics 107

1/20/10 1 Carlsmith, Physics 107

Ideas of Modern Physics

Physics for Future Presidents

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What scares us?

1/20/10 2 Carlsmith, Physics 107

 Radioactivity in the basement  Being hit by lightning  Terrorist dirty bomb  Return of the Ice Age  Global warming  The ‘energy crisis’  All out nuclear holocaust horrible world war  Asteroid impact destroying Earth  The LHC at CERN creating a black hole  Ejection of Earth from solar system by Jupiter gravity  A wandering star disrupting the solar system  The Sun exploding into a Red Giant  Brett Favre  The Universe collapsing like a cold souffle

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Did an asteroid impact kill the dinosaurs?

1/20/10 3 Carlsmith, Physics 107

Barringer Crater , Arizona

Asteroid Itokawa, seen from probe: http://antwrp.gsfc.nasa.gov/apod/ap070422.html

Artist rendition of Chicxulub impact site

Visit APOD for great Astronomy Pictures of the Day!

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Impact sites world wide

1/20/10 4 Carlsmith, Physics 107

Barringer Crater , Arizona

http://rst.gsfc.nasa.gov/Sect18/Sect18_1.html#18-2

We see impact craters on the Moon and on other planets. This map of recognized impact sites reveals a history of “visitors” to Earth.

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Close to home

1/20/10 5 Carlsmith, Physics 107

A Wisconsin impact site:

Glover Bluff Wisconsin, U.S.A. N 43° 58' W 89° 32' 8 km radius < 500 million years

http://www.unb.ca/passc/ImpactDatabase/images/glover.htm

So in a sense it can happen here!

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Chicxulub Impact – the culprit?

1/20/10 6 Carlsmith, Physics 107

Chicxulub impact in the Yucatan Peninsula is one of the largest short-term natural events known in the geologic record (of nuclear-comparative magnitude in excess of 100 trillion tons of TNT equivalent). It occurred 65 million years ago and led to a 200-300 km (>150 mi) wide and 16 km (10 mi) deep depression.

It has been proposed that this event had a catastrophic influence on the biosphere, ending the age of the dinosaurs.

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Sensing with gravity

1/20/10 7 Carlsmith, Physics 107

The  Mexican  na+onal  petroleum  company,  Pemex,  had  discovered  in  the  1950s  an  unusual  layer  of  broken  while  drilling  the  northern  coast  of  Mexico's  Yucatan  Peninsula.  A  magne+c  survey  revealed  later  a  large  circular  structure  centered  near  the  town  of  Chicxulub.  

The structure is confirmed with measurements of the variation of local gravity. Gravity is magical and universal.  

Gravity  anomaly  map  hGp://miac.uqac.ca/MIAC/chicxulub.htm  

hGp://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/fs-­‐0239-­‐95/fs-­‐0239-­‐95.pdf.  

hGp://science.jrank.org/pages/47689/gravity-­‐measurement-­‐interpreta+on-­‐anomalies.html  

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Videos: bombs and deep impacts

1/20/10 Carlsmith, Physics 107 8

Deep Impact (more) http://www.metacafe.com/watch/yt-1xlIw_PCT-Y/ deep_impact_1998_meteor_hits_earth_16x9_hd/

This movie is maybe scarier! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oclNvH82-Kk

Hiroshima http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x9lwvImJqT0&NR=1

‘Deep Impact’ movie trailer: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fLgSKv2P-ow

Browse orbits of near Earth objects: http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/orbits/

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SO what IS out there?

1/20/10 Carlsmith, Physics 107 9

http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/ca/

Christmas 2009 a smallish visitor missed Earth by 1 percent of the radius of the Earth’s orbit.

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Stuff found just within 60 days

1/20/10 Carlsmith, Physics 107 10

http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/risk/

Observations have errors. It is not possible to immediately predict the motions so an impact probability is computed for each object.

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What can one conclude?

1/20/10 Carlsmith, Physics 107 11

First thing to know in the number of objects as a function of object size. There are many small objects (meteorites) than large objects but these burn up in the atmosphere.

For a given size, estimate the impact probability based on observation and assumptions. For example, 1 million objects each with an impact probability of 1 in 100 million per year leads to a mean expected rate of 0.01 per year or 1 every 100 years.

For a given size, model the interaction with the Earth and the consequences.

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When might we become extinct?

1/20/10 12 Carlsmith, Physics 107

http://rst.gsfc.nasa.gov

Sigh of relief, but….

Christmas visitor size is rather common and relatively harmless.

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By the way

1/20/10 13 Carlsmith, Physics 107

It is not entirely clear that an impact killed the dinosaurs.

Yet.

Also, it seems unlikely our technology could avert a disaster. Something big enough to affect the Earth carries a lot of inertia and energy and requires deployment of something of similar scale. Simply effectively intercepting a post launch phase little ICBM is difficult!

Food for thought. The Earth is 4.5 billion years old. There have been about 4500 one in a million year events already.

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Science and policy

1/20/10 14 Carlsmith, Physics 107

How do we address fears of natural (and artificial) disaster ?

Keep our heads on. Study the problems and assess the risks. Be quantitative about consequences and probabilities. Follow up – more data, more observations help solidify understanding.

Then act to mitigate the consequences, if possible, when a real risk is identified.

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Science and the citizen

1/20/10 15 Carlsmith, Physics 107

How do you address fears of natural (an artificial) disaster and other questions involving science?

You can’t always leave questions to ‘experts’ for they could be working for the ‘dark side’ (big media, big oil, big tobacco, big drug companies, big government, some other government…) or you simply might believe or not like their answers! (Think about the “debates” about climate change and energy sources.)

Your generation has unprecedented access to information. Sift and winnow. Educate yourself and question authority.

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The role of physics

1/20/10 16 Carlsmith, Physics 107

Physics is about fundamental natural laws that govern such things as space, time, and the motion and interaction of objects.

Physics is also about the nature of matter (elementary particles, atomic nuclei, atoms, molecules, solids, liquids, gases, planets, stars, galaxies) and immaterial energy in the universe (light, gravitational waves, and other traveling force fields.

The goal of physical science is to understand everything.

Everything physical that is.

We are pretty close, and yet so far…

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Physics for Future Presidents

1/20/10 17 Carlsmith, Physics 107

Let’s learn just a little about physics and what it teaches in the context of contemporary issues.

Along the way, we will meet some magical things and demystify some things.

In its full glory, physics is a best expressed in the language of mathematics.

We will not use much math, only enough to get a sense of the quantitative nature of questions and answers.

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Logistics

1/20/10 18 Carlsmith, Physics 107

See course website at www.physics.wisc.edu for details.

M,W Lecture: one chapter per week, attendance required

A weekly paper (one page, two references) is required on your choice of discussion or internet research topics from text or alternate topic approved by the TA. Due in electronic drop box at LEARN@UW Thursday 8 AM.

F work session: attendance required 1) work multiple choice questions in text and hand in bubble sheet answers 2) presentations of best two student papers of the week

M,T Discussion: attendance required review of concepts and formula, presentation and discussion of preassigned discussion topics (graded)