ifeel aggregate y, c s 4

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    Outline

    I. Aggregate output and aggregateincome (Y)

    II. Equilibrium Aggregate Output(income)

    III. The multiplier

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    I. Aggregate Output and

    Aggregate Income (Y)

    Aggregate outputis the total quantityof goods and services produced (orsupplied) in an economy in a given

    period. Aggregate incomeis the total income

    received by all factors of production ina given period.

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    I. Aggregate Output and

    Aggregate Income (Y)

    Aggregate output (income) (Y)is acombined term used to remind you of theexact equality between aggregate output

    and aggregate income.

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    Income, Consumption,

    and Saving (Y, C, and S)

    Saving (S)is the part of its income that ahousehold does not consume in a given

    period. Distinguished from savings, which isthe current stock of accumulated saving.

    S Y C

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    Explaining Spending Behavior

    All income is either spent on consumption or saved inan economy in which there are no taxes.

    Saving = Aggregate Income Consumption

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    Household Consumption and

    Saving Some determinants of aggregate

    consumption include:

    1. Household income

    2. Interest rates3. Households expectations about

    the future

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    Household Consumption and

    Saving

    The relationship betweenconsumption and income iscalled the consumption

    function.

    For an individualhousehold, the consumptionfunction shows the level of

    consumption at each levelof household income.

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    Household Consumption and

    Saving

    The slope of the

    consumption function (b) iscalled the marginalpropensity to consume(MPC), or the fraction of achange in income that isconsumed, or spent.

    C a bY =

    0 1 b

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    An Aggregate Consumption Function

    C Y 100 75.AGGREGATEINCOME, Y

    (BILLIONS OFDOLLARS)

    AGGREGATECONSUMPTION, C

    (BILLIONS OFDOLLARS)

    0 100

    80 160

    100 175

    200 250

    400 400

    400 550

    800 700

    1,000 850

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    An Aggregate Consumption Function

    Derived from the Equation C= 100 +

    .75Y

    At a national income of

    zero, consumption is$100 billion (a).

    For every $100 billionincrease in income

    (D

    Y), consumption risesby $75 billion (DC).

    C Y 100 75.

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    Deriving a Saving Function

    from a Consumption Function

    S Y C Y - C = S

    AGGREGATEINCOME

    (Billions ofDollars)

    AGGREGATECONSUMPTION

    (Billions ofDollars)

    AGGREGATESAVING

    (Billions ofDollars)

    0 100 -100

    80 160 -80100 175 -75

    200 250 -50

    400 400 0

    600 550 50

    800 700 100

    1,000 850 150

    C Y 100 75.

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    Planned Investment (I)

    Investmentrefers to purchases by firms ofnew buildings and equipment and additions toinventories, all of which add to firms capital

    stock.

    change in inventory= production sales

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    The Planned Investment Function

    For now, we will assumethat planned investment isfixed. It does not change

    when income changes. When a variable, such as

    planned investment, isassumed not to depend on

    the state of the economy, itis said to be anautonomous variable.

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    Planned Aggregate Expenditure

    (AE)

    Planned aggregateexpenditureis thetotal amount the

    economy plans tospend in a givenperiod. It is equal toconsumption plusplanned investment.

    ICAE

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    II. Equilibrium Aggregate

    Output (Income)

    Equilibriumoccurs when there is notendency for change. In the macroeconomicgoods market, equilibrium occurs when

    planned aggregate expenditure is equal toaggregate output.

    aggregate output Yplanned aggregate expenditure AE=C+ Iequilibrium: Y= AE, orY= C+ I

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    II. Equilibrium Aggregate

    Output (Income)

    Y > C+ I

    aggregate output > planned aggregate expenditureinventory investment is greater than planned

    actual investment is greater than planned investment

    Disequilibria:

    C+ I > Yplanned aggregate expenditure > aggregate outputinventory investment is smaller than planned

    actual investment is less than planned investment

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    II. Equilibrium Aggregate

    Output (Income)

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    II. Equilibrium Aggregate

    Output (Income)

    C Y 100 75. I 25Deriving the Planned Aggregate Expenditure Schedule and Finding Equilibrium (All Figures in Billions ofDollars) The Figures in Column 2 are Based on the Equation C= 100 + .75Y.

    (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)

    AGGREGATEOUTPUT

    (INCOME) (Y)AGGREGATE

    CONSUMPTION (C)PLANNED

    INVESTMENT (I)

    PLANNEDAGGREGATE

    EXPENDITURE (AE)C+ I

    UNPLANNEDINVENTORY

    CHANGEY (C+ I)

    EQUILIBRIUM?(Y= AE?)

    100 175 25 200 100 No

    200 250 25 275 75 No

    400 400 25 425 25 No500 475 25 500 0 Yes

    600 550 25 575 + 25 No

    800 700 25 725 + 75 No

    1,000 850 25 875 + 125 No

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    II. Equilibrium Aggregate

    Output (Income)

    AE C I (1)

    C Y 100 75.(2)

    I 25(3)

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    The Saving/Investment

    Approach to Equilibrium

    If planned investment is exactly equal to saving, thenplanned aggregate expenditure is exactly equal to

    aggregate output, and there is equilibrium.

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    The S=IApproach to Equilibrium

    Aggregate output will be equal to plannedaggregate expenditure only when savingequals planned investment (S= I).

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    III. The Multiplier

    The multiplieris the ratio of the change in theequilibrium level of output to a change in someautonomous variable.

    In this chapter, for example, we consider plannedinvestment to be autonomous.

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    III. The Multiplier

    The multiplier of autonomous investmentdescribes the impact of an initial increase inplanned investment on production, income,

    consumption spending, and equilibriumincome.

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    III. The Multiplier Equation

    multiplierMPS

    1

    , or multiplier MPC

    1

    1

    The size of the multiplier depends on the slope of

    the planned aggregate expenditure line.

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    The Multiplier

    After an increase inplanned investment,equilibrium output is

    four times theamount of theincrease in plannedinvestment.

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    The Size of the Multiplier

    in the Real World

    The size of the multiplier in the U.S.economy is about 1.4. For example, asustained increase in autonomous

    spending of $10 billion into the U.S.economy can be expected to raise realGDPover time by $14 billion.

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    The Paradox of Thrift

    When householdsbecome concernedabout the future and

    decide to save more,the correspondingdecrease inconsumption leads toa drop in spendingand income.

    Households end up consuming less, butthey have not saved any more.

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