iflos summer academy 2008 panel discussion “ship air emissions” peter m. swift, md, intertanko

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IFLOS SUMMER ACADEMY 2008 Panel Discussion SHIP AIR EMISSIONS” SHIP AIR EMISSIONS” Peter M. Swift, MD, INTERTANKO

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Page 1: IFLOS SUMMER ACADEMY 2008 Panel Discussion “SHIP AIR EMISSIONS” Peter M. Swift, MD, INTERTANKO

IFLOS SUMMER ACADEMY 2008

Panel Discussion

““SHIP AIR EMISSIONS”SHIP AIR EMISSIONS”

Peter M. Swift, MD, INTERTANKO

Page 2: IFLOS SUMMER ACADEMY 2008 Panel Discussion “SHIP AIR EMISSIONS” Peter M. Swift, MD, INTERTANKO

Shipping’s GREEN Credentials

• This car, weighing one tonne, uses 1 litre of fuel to move 20 kms

• This oil tanker uses 1 litre of fuel to move one tonne of cargo 2,500 kms

– more than twice as far as 20 years ago

Page 3: IFLOS SUMMER ACADEMY 2008 Panel Discussion “SHIP AIR EMISSIONS” Peter M. Swift, MD, INTERTANKO

Ship Air Emissions

• Drivers for change

• Regulating change

Page 4: IFLOS SUMMER ACADEMY 2008 Panel Discussion “SHIP AIR EMISSIONS” Peter M. Swift, MD, INTERTANKO

Pollutant Emissions – Revision of MARPOL Annex VI

• Driven by governments– IMO member states “prepared” since Convention adopted in

1997– Environmental impact often local/regional rather than global– EU Sulphur Directive in 1999 & Thematic studies (2000+) set

unilateral challenge– California (2005) led US programmes– Local legislation emerged in Norway et al, and pending in Japan

et al• Environmental Lobby coordinated and effective• Shipping Industry support initially very limited

– Many reactive, few pro-active, some very anti• Economic drivers mostly negative

– Extra costs for refiners and owners

Page 5: IFLOS SUMMER ACADEMY 2008 Panel Discussion “SHIP AIR EMISSIONS” Peter M. Swift, MD, INTERTANKO

Green House Gas (CO2) Emissions

• Driven primarily by a limited number of governments– Supported mostly by EU governments, plus Japan,

Australia and a few others– Only limited support in US (mostly environmental

interests)– Very little enthusiasm in much of the developing world

• Environmental Lobby growing– Not yet fully coordinated

• Maritime industries showing considerable support– Proactive involvement – Although “hesitant” on market based instruments

• Economic incentives strong– High cost of bunker fuel

Page 6: IFLOS SUMMER ACADEMY 2008 Panel Discussion “SHIP AIR EMISSIONS” Peter M. Swift, MD, INTERTANKO

Gasoline price at the pump(June 2008)

USD per litreUSD per litre

0.00

0.40

0.80

1.20

1.60

2.00

2.40

USA Japan Germany UK

Long haul seafreight rates

Refining,Marketing, profit

Oil price

Tax

Cost elements ingasoline price :

Page 7: IFLOS SUMMER ACADEMY 2008 Panel Discussion “SHIP AIR EMISSIONS” Peter M. Swift, MD, INTERTANKO

Gasoline price at the pump in Germany

€ per litre

Source: IEASource: IEA

€ € 1.0 € 1.1 € 1.51.0 € 1.1 € 1.5

0.0

0.4

0.8

1.2

1.6

01/2002 01/2004 06/2008

Cost of fuel increased by 44% since January 2004

Page 8: IFLOS SUMMER ACADEMY 2008 Panel Discussion “SHIP AIR EMISSIONS” Peter M. Swift, MD, INTERTANKO

Bunker price development 2000 - 2008USD/tonne, HFO 380 cst, Fujairah

USD/tonne

Source: Source: Bunker WorldBunker World 80

130

180

230

280

330

380

430

480

530

580

630

680

730

Jun-

99

Dec

-99

Jun-

00

Dec

-00

Jun-

01

Dec

-01

Jun-

02

Dec

-02

Jun-

03

Dec

-03

Jun-

04

Dec

-04

Jun-

05

Dec

-05

Jun-

06

Dec

-06

Jun-

07

Dec

-07

Jun-

08

Cost of fuel increased by 440% since January 2004

Page 9: IFLOS SUMMER ACADEMY 2008 Panel Discussion “SHIP AIR EMISSIONS” Peter M. Swift, MD, INTERTANKO

Ship Air Emissions

• Regulating change

The role of self regulation / voluntary measures

Page 10: IFLOS SUMMER ACADEMY 2008 Panel Discussion “SHIP AIR EMISSIONS” Peter M. Swift, MD, INTERTANKO

IMO “Regulation” – Stage 1

• Performance indexing : CO2 / work done– New Ships : Design Index– Ships in Service : Operational Index

• Best practice guidance on measures to reduce CO2 emissions

Page 11: IFLOS SUMMER ACADEMY 2008 Panel Discussion “SHIP AIR EMISSIONS” Peter M. Swift, MD, INTERTANKO

Parallel Voluntary Measures

• Speed optimisation

• Voyage optimisation

• Capacity optimisation

Page 12: IFLOS SUMMER ACADEMY 2008 Panel Discussion “SHIP AIR EMISSIONS” Peter M. Swift, MD, INTERTANKO

Voluntary Measures / IMO “Regulation” – Stage 2

Development of:

• New Ship Design Index – Reference Line / Benchmark (i.e. Target)

• New Ship Design Index – Rating Scale

Page 13: IFLOS SUMMER ACADEMY 2008 Panel Discussion “SHIP AIR EMISSIONS” Peter M. Swift, MD, INTERTANKO

Other Voluntary Measures- possible future regulation

Charterers / shippers

• Incentivised to select most efficient transportation system and to improve ship utilisation efficiency

Ports / terminals

• Incentivised to improve port efficiency• Reward environmentally friendly ships with lower port dues

Industry is currently developing a Port Efficiency IndexA Performance Indicator* of ship-port efficiency measuring:

Total CO2/ Unit of Cargo handled from arrival to departure

*i.e. an extension of the IMO New Ship Design Index / Operational Index [ & similarly for SOx, NOx & VOC emissions]

Page 14: IFLOS SUMMER ACADEMY 2008 Panel Discussion “SHIP AIR EMISSIONS” Peter M. Swift, MD, INTERTANKO

Voluntary/Regulatory Measuresto reduce VOC Emissions

• Tanker industry introduced voluntary measures to reduce VOC emissions from cargo on passage in 2002 – cutting these by approximately 80%

• IMO MARPOL Annex VI revisions will incorporate these in 2008, and take effect in 2010

Page 15: IFLOS SUMMER ACADEMY 2008 Panel Discussion “SHIP AIR EMISSIONS” Peter M. Swift, MD, INTERTANKO

THANK YOU

“Proud of our people, Proud of our ships”

For more information, please visit:

www.intertanko.com www.poseidonchallenge.com

www.shippingfacts.comwww.maritimefoundation.com