ilri 40 years: livestock and healthy lives
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Emerging zoonotic infectious diseases – past trends and future predictions. Conceptual framework of the causal links between livestock keeping, nutrition and health outcomes among the poor Poster prepared for the ILRI@40 Workshop, Addis Ababa, 7 November 2014TRANSCRIPT
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Barbara Szonyi [email protected] Addis Ababa Ethiopia ● ilri.org
This document is licensed for use under a Crea@ve Commons ABribu@on –Non commercial-‐Share Alike 3.0 Unported License November 2014
June 2012
Conceptual framework of the causal links between livestock keeping, nutri@on and health outcomes among the poor
Right: Hypothesized causal linkages between livestock keeping and human nutri@on and health outcomes among the poor . ASF = animal-‐source food; HH = household; arrows indicate different causal linkages . Source: .F. Randolph et al. Role of livestock in human nutri@on and health for poverty reduc@on in developing countries. J. Anim. Sci. 2007. 85:2788–2800.
Emerging zoono@c infec@ous diseases – past trends and future predic@ons
Global distribu@on of rela@ve risk of an EID event. Maps are derived for EID events caused by (a) zoono@c pathogens from wildlife, (b) zoono@c pathogens from non-‐wildlife, (c) drug-‐resistant pathogens and (d) vector-‐borne pathogens. Green to red indicates low to high risk. Source: Jones, K et al. 2008. Global trends in emerging infec@ous diseases .Nature,:451 (7181), 990-‐993.
Maps of all zoono@c emerging infec@ous disease events (n = 202) since 1940 . Size of circles denotes number of events and color denotes breakdown of events in terms of type of zoono@c host. Source: D Grace et al. 2002. Mapping of poverty and likely zoonoses hot spots. Report to Department of Interna@onal Development, UK. Updated from Jones, K et al. 2008. Global trends in emerging infec@ous diseases .Nature,:451 (7181), 990-‐993.
Food-‐borne diseases in the developing world
Trends and challenges
Approach
Lec: Distribu@on of major food-‐borne zoonoses. Source: D Grace et al. 2002. Mapping of poverty and likely zoonoses hot spots. Report to Department of Interna@onal Development, UK.
Barbara Szonyi and Delia Grace
Livestock and healthy lives ILRI@40
1990 Rank Condi9on 1 Lower respiratory infec@ons 2 Diarrheal diseases 3 Preterm birth complica@ons 4 COPD 5 Malaria 6 Stroke 7 Protein-‐energy malnutri@on 8 Tuberculosis 9 Neonatal encephalopathy 10 Ischemic heart disease
2010 Rank Condi9on
1 Lower respiratory infec@ons 2 Diarrheal diseases 3 Ischemic heart disease 4 Malaria 5 Stroke 6 HIV/AIDS 7 Preterm birth complica@ons 8 Road injury 9 COPD 10 Low back pain
Trends of global disease burden
Rank 1990 Condi9on 1 Ischemic heart disease 2 Stroke 3 Low back pain 4 Road injury 5 Lung cancer 6 Major depressive disorder 7 COPD 8 Self-‐harm 9 Other musculoskeletal 10 Diabetes
Rank 2010 Condi9on 1 Ischemic heart disease 2 Stroke 3 Low back pain 4 Major depressive disorder 5 Lung cancer 6 COPD 7 Other musculoskeletal 8 Road injury 9 Diabetes 10 Falls
Top 10 causes of DALY in developed countries. Disability-‐adjusted life year (DALY) is a measure of overall disease burden, expressed as the number of years lost due to ill-‐health, disability or early death. Source: Ins@tute for Health Metrics and Evalua@on (IHME)
Top 10 causes of DALY in developed countries. Source: IHME