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    The Political Environment: A Critical Concern

    Chapter 6 by Professor Riaz Khan

    .

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    Chapter Learning Objectives

    1. What does the sovereignty of nations mean and how can it affectthe stability of government policies, political parties and

    nationalism.

    2. The political risks of global business andthe factors that affect stability

    3. The importance of the political system to international marketingand its effect on foreign investments

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    Chapter Learning Objectives

    4. The impact of political and social activists, violence and

    terrorism on international business

    5. Assessing and reducing the effect of politicalvulnerability

    6. How and why governments encourage foreign investment

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    Introduction

    The political environment of countries is a critical

    concern for the international marketer

    International law recognizes the sovereign right ofa nation to allow or deny foreign firms to conduct

    Sovereignty refers to both the powers exercisedby a state in relation to other countries and thesupreme powers exercised over its own members

    A sovereign state is independent and free from allexternal control; enjoys full legal equality withother states; and governs its own territory

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    Stability of Government Policies

    Q: Radical shifts in government philosophy can occur when:

    1. An opposing political party ascends topower

    2. Pressure from nationalist and self-interestgroups

    3. Weakened economic conditions.4. Bias against foreign investment or

    conflicts between governments

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    Stability of Government Policies

    The stability or instability of prevailing government policies isa major concern of foreign businesses

    A change in government, whether by election or coup, does notalways mean a change in the level of political risk

    The ideal political climate for a multinational firm to conductbusiness is a stable, friendly government

    Be knowledgeable about the philosophies of all major politicalparties and their attitudes towards trade

    Conversely, radical changes in

    policies toward foreign businesscan occur in the most stablegovernments as well

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    Nationalism

    Nationalism refers to feelings of national pride and unity

    Feelings of nationalism are

    manifested by:1. Call to buy our countrys

    products only, e.g., BuyAmerican

    2. Restrictions on imports,

    restrictive tariffs, and otherbarriers to trade

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    Political Risks of Global Business

    Risks of global business include:

    1. Confiscation, Expropriation,and Domestication

    2. Economic Risks, and

    3. Price Controls

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    Confiscation, Expropriation, and Domestication

    Confiscation, the most severe political risk, is the seizing of a

    companys assets without payment

    Expropriation is where the governmentseizes an investment, but some

    reimbursement for the assets is made;often the expropriated investment isnationalized to become a government runentity

    Domestication occurs when the government mandates localownership and greater national involvement in a foreigncompanys management

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    Economic Risks

    International firms face a variety of economic risks

    Governments can impose restraints

    on business activity to:a) Protect national security

    b) Protect an infant industry

    c) To conserve scarce foreignexchange

    d) Raise revenue

    e) Retaliate against unfair tradepractices

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    Forecasting Political Risk

    Decide if risk insurance is necessary

    Devise an intelligence network and an early warning system

    Develop contingency plans for

    unfavorable future political events

    Build a database of past political eventsfor use in predicting future problems

    Interpret the data gathered by a companysintelligence network in order to adviseand forewarn corporate decision makersabout political and economic situations

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    Other Political Risks of Global Business

    2. Political and Social

    Activists

    3. Violence andTerrorism

    4. Cyberterrorism

    1. Political Sanctions

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    Assessing Political Vulnerability

    No absolute guidelines to assess if a firm faces political risks

    No specific guidelines to determine a products politicalvulnerability, but there are some generalizations

    Politically sensitive products includethose that:

    1. effect on the environment,

    2. exchange rates

    3. national and economic security

    4. affect public health, e.g., geneticallymodified (GM) foods

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    ReducingPolitical Vulnerability

    Relations between governments and MNCs are generallypositive if the investment:

    improves the balance of payments by increasingexports or reducing imports through importsubstitution

    uses locally produced resources

    transfers capital, technology, and/or skills

    creates jobs, and/or

    makes tax contributions

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    Reducing Political Vulnerability

    MNCs can use the following strategies to minimize politicalvulnerability and risk:

    Joint Ventures

    Expanding the Investment Base

    Licensing

    Planned Domestication

    Political Payoffs