impact evaluation 4 peace 24-27 march 2014, lisbon, portugal 1 youth retraining programs for the...
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Impact Evaluation 4 Peace24-27 March 2014, Lisbon, Portugal
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Latin America and the Caribbean’s Citizen SecurityTeam
Challenge of territories where state has failed
• State has the capacity to provide public services
• But incapable of ensuring public safety
• Police corruption and incompetence
• Youth at risk due to lack of opportunities
• Ni estudia Ni trabaja (nini)
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State cannot even patrol the small towns and neighborhoods
Gang activity and underlying insecurity that is not directly related to drug traffic
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Challenge was geocoded all participants
• Matched sample of youth outside Zapopan municipality
• Analysis of targeting using census tracts (~4000 inhabitants) and electoral precincts (~700 voters)
• Two year panel study to measure employment, school enrollment, self esteem
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Evaluation fraught with many challenges
• Oversampling of youth with no internet access
• Use of social media for information of program and enrollment
• Attrition in the panel expected to be high
• Cost of evaluation compared to program
• Local government capacity to partner in evaluation
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