impacts of climate change on water resources in idaho prepared by zion klos phd student, college of...
TRANSCRIPT
Impacts of Climate Change on Water Resources in Idaho
Prepared by Zion KlosPhD Student,
College of Natural [email protected]
920-883-8617…feel free to e-mail or call me with questions!
Idaho’s climate is changing…
NCDC
Outline
• Observed (historic) and/or future predictions for changes in:– Precipitation– Snowpack– Streamflow– Stream temperature– Drought
Observed Precipitation Changes
NCDC
Precipitation Intensity
Analysis by Troy Magney
Precipitation: Future Predictions
Precipitation:2090 - 2099vs.1990 - 1999
Salathé Jr, E P, R Steed, C F Mass, and P H Zahn. "A High-Resolution Climate Model for the US Pacific Northwest: Mesoscale Feedbacks and Local Responses to Climate Change." Journal of Climate 21, no. 21 (2008): doi:10.1175/2008JCLI2090.1.
Outline
• Observed (historic) and/or future predictions for changes in:– Precipitation– Snowpack– Streamflow– Stream temperature– Drought
Observed Snowpack Changes
NCDC
April 1st Snowpack
1950-1997
Mote et al., 2005. Declining mountain snowpack in western N. America. Bull. Am. Met. Soc.
= decrease
= increase
Benton Spring Snow Courseelev. 1500 m (4920 ft)
Analysis by Ryan Niemeyer
Future Predictions for Snow vs. Rain
Future Predictions
for Snow vs. Rain
Outline
• Observed (historic) and/or future predictions for changes in:– Precipitation– Snowpack– Streamflow– Stream temperature– Drought
Statewide Streamflow Trends
Source of FundingState/Federal COOP – 9Corp of Engineers – 6USGS NSIP – 4Other Funding – 6Discontinued in FY05 – 1
Unregulated streams with at least 40 years of continuousstream discharge information
- 25 stations (as of FY06)
Courtesy of Greg Clark (USGS)
USGS
Statewide Streamflow Trends
Onset of Streamflow
Stewart, I T, D R Cayan, and M D Dettinger. "Changes Toward Earlier Streamflow Timing Across Western North America." Journal of Climate 18, no. 8 (2005): 1136-1155.
Midpoint of Annual Streamflow Runoff
Earlier by 10 days or more (2 sites)
Earlier by 0-4 days (18 sites)
Earlier by 5-9 days (6 sites)
Based on averagepre- and post-1980data
Courtesy of Greg Clark (USGS)
Outline
• Observed (historic) and/or future predictions for changes in:– Precipitation– Snowpack– Streamflow– Stream temperature– Drought
Analysis by Stephen Gillis
Stream Temperature
Outline
• Observed (historic) and/or future predictions for changes in:– Precipitation– Snowpack– Streamflow– Stream temperature– Drought
Drought:conceptualized through the Climatic Water Balance
Anyways, hope you’ll find this information useful!
Also, apologies if it’s too much doom and gloom… But hey, who doesn't
love some nice, warm weather!