importance of javakhq. why should we care? 1. final siege
TRANSCRIPT
Importance of Javakhq
Why Should We Care?
1. Final Siege
Tough Neighborhood!!!
Tough Neighborhood!!!
Meskhetian Turks
• Meskhetian Turks lived in Javakhq
Meskhetian Turks
• Meskhetian Turks lived in Javakhq
• In 1944, Stalin deports Meskhetian Turks.
Meskhetian Turks
• Meskhetian Turks lived in Javakhq
• In 1944, Stalin deports Meskhetian Turks
• In 1999, Georgian government obliges to repatriate Meskhetian Turks by 2016, now numbering 200,000
Question:
If de-Armenization of Javakhq succeeds, who will be the new settlers?
Question
If de-Armenization of Javakhq succeeds, who will be the new settlers?
AnswerMeskhetian Turks
Consequences
Consequences
• Land link between Turkey and Azerbaijan
• Complete encirclement and blockade of Armenia by a Turkish element– Armenia ceases to be a viable state and
becomes an “Armenian reservation”– The population of Armenia emigrates and,
eventually, becomes assimilated– Final stage of the Genocide is complete
Final Solution!!!
2. Transportation Corridor
A. Export Route
B. Transportation Projects
A. Armenia’s Export Routes
What are Armenia’s Options of Export Routes?
What are Armenia’s Options of Export Routes?
TurkeyBlockade
AzerbBlockade
What are Armenia’s Options of Export Routes?
TurkeyBlockade
AzerbBlockade
Iran
Long/
Expensive
Sanctions
Turkish Population
What are Armenia’s Options of Export Routes?
TurkeyBlockade
AzerbBlockade
Iran
Long/
Expensive
Sanctions
Turkish Population
Georgia
Short/Cheap
Good International Relations
Armenian Minority
Currently, Georgia is Armenia’s Primary Export Route
“Armenian” Javakhq
• Guarantee of Armenia’s open communication routes to the outside world
• Serious restrain on Tbilisi from deepening its strategic partnership with Turkey and Azerbaijan
B. Transportation Projects
• Baku – Tbilisi – Ceyhan (BTC) oil pipeline
• Baku – Tbilisi – Erzerum (BTE) gas pipeline
• Kars – Alhalkalak – Tbilisi -Baku (KATB) railroad
• Kars – Alhalkalak – Tbilisi - Baku highway (planned)
BTC/BTE Pipeline Route
BTC/BTE are Azerbaijan’s primary source of income
KATB Railroad Route
To Baku
KarsGyumri
Akhalkalak
KATB Railroad Goals
• Connect Turkey and Azerbaijan (Turkish control), bypassing the Kars - Gyumri railroad (Armenian control)
• Isolate Armenia and strengthen its blockade
• Increase flow of Turks and Georgians into Javakhq (service personnel and security forces) to push out the Armenian population
Solution
• Support and assist local Armenians so they remain in Javakhq
– By not emigrating, they will continue constituting majority population
• Republic of Armenia will continue to assert control over Javakhq and all its transportation routes
– Armenia’s control over regional transportation corridors increases its influence in the region
Q & A