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Importance of protection and prevention in cardiorenal disease John Deanfield, MD London, United Kingdom June 15, 2019 - Budapest, Hungary

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Page 1: Importance of protection and prevention in cardiorenal disease - … · Time to first occurrence of CV death, non-fatal MI or non-fatal stroke 0 6 1 2 1 8 2 4 3 0 3 6 4 2 4 8 5 4

Importance of protection

and prevention in cardiorenal

disease

John Deanfield, MD

London, United Kingdom

June 15, 2019 - Budapest, Hungary

Page 2: Importance of protection and prevention in cardiorenal disease - … · Time to first occurrence of CV death, non-fatal MI or non-fatal stroke 0 6 1 2 1 8 2 4 3 0 3 6 4 2 4 8 5 4

Protection and Prevention in Diabetic Cardio-renal Disease

Professor John Deanfield - University College London, UKBudapest ERA EDTA - 15 June 2019

Deanfield UCL

Page 3: Importance of protection and prevention in cardiorenal disease - … · Time to first occurrence of CV death, non-fatal MI or non-fatal stroke 0 6 1 2 1 8 2 4 3 0 3 6 4 2 4 8 5 4

CVD Challenge in Diabetes is Clear

Source: Seshasai et al, N Engl J Med 2011; 364:829-41

On average, a 50-year old with diabetes but no history of vascular disease is

~6 years younger at time of death than a counterpart without diabetes

Men Women

0

7

6

5

4

3

2

1

0

40 50 60 70 80 90

Age (years)

Years

of

life

lo

st

7

6

5

4

3

2

1

040 50 60 70 80 900

Age (years)

Vascular deaths Non-vascular deaths

Deanfield UCL

Page 4: Importance of protection and prevention in cardiorenal disease - … · Time to first occurrence of CV death, non-fatal MI or non-fatal stroke 0 6 1 2 1 8 2 4 3 0 3 6 4 2 4 8 5 4

Need for Joint Approach…CVD and CKD Go Together!

Deanfield UCL

“It is observable, that the hypertrophy

of the heart seems, in some degree, to

have kept pace with the advance of

disease in the kidneys; for in by far the

majority of cases, when the heart was

increased, the hardness and

contraction of the kidney bespoke the

probability of long continuance of the

disease.”

- R Bright, 1836

Diabetes

CKD CVD

Page 5: Importance of protection and prevention in cardiorenal disease - … · Time to first occurrence of CV death, non-fatal MI or non-fatal stroke 0 6 1 2 1 8 2 4 3 0 3 6 4 2 4 8 5 4

Cardio-renal Disease in Diabetes

Deanfield UCL

Novel treatments can improve cardio-renal outcomes in

patients with diabetes

Prevention is important as long term exposure to risk

factors drives cardio-renal disease

Never Too Late…Never Too Early…!!

Leveraged gain from early intervention on common

pathways to disease

Emerging early role for new drugs?

Page 6: Importance of protection and prevention in cardiorenal disease - … · Time to first occurrence of CV death, non-fatal MI or non-fatal stroke 0 6 1 2 1 8 2 4 3 0 3 6 4 2 4 8 5 4

• Statins

• BP Lowering

• Metformin

• ACEi / ARB

SGLT2-iGLP1-RA

Evidence Based Cardiorenal Risk Reduction

Deanfield UCL

Page 7: Importance of protection and prevention in cardiorenal disease - … · Time to first occurrence of CV death, non-fatal MI or non-fatal stroke 0 6 1 2 1 8 2 4 3 0 3 6 4 2 4 8 5 4

Empagliflozin, CV Outcomes and Mortality in T2DM

Source: Zinman N Engl J Med 2015;373:2117-28

Primary Outcome Death from Cardiovascular Causes

Death from Any Cause Hospitalization for Heart Failure

Deanfield UCL

Page 8: Importance of protection and prevention in cardiorenal disease - … · Time to first occurrence of CV death, non-fatal MI or non-fatal stroke 0 6 1 2 1 8 2 4 3 0 3 6 4 2 4 8 5 4

Source: Marso SP et al. N Engl J Med 2016;375:311–322 Source: Marso SP et al. N Engl J Med 2016;375:1834–1844

LEADER

Time to first occurrence of CV death, non-fatal MI or non-fatal stroke

0 6 1 2 1 8 2 4 3 0 3 6 4 2 4 8 5 4

0

5

1 0

1 5

2 0

Pati

en

ts w

ith

even

t (%

)

Placebo

Liraglutide

HR: 0.87(95% CI: 0.78 ; 0.97)p<0.001 for non-inferiorityp=0.01 for superiority

Time from randomisation (months)

SUSTAIN 6

Semaglutide

Placebo

Pati

en

ts w

ith

even

t (%

)

HR: 0.74(95% CI: 0.58 ; 0.95)p<0.001 for non-inferiorityp=0.02 for superiority

Time from randomisation (months)

GLP-1RA CV Outcome Trials

Deanfield UCL

Page 9: Importance of protection and prevention in cardiorenal disease - … · Time to first occurrence of CV death, non-fatal MI or non-fatal stroke 0 6 1 2 1 8 2 4 3 0 3 6 4 2 4 8 5 4

Source: Newman JD, et al, J Am Coll Cardiol 2018; 72(15):1856-69

Diabetes Treatment for CVD ReductionSGLT-2 Inhibitors GLP-1R Agonists

Deanfield UCL

Page 10: Importance of protection and prevention in cardiorenal disease - … · Time to first occurrence of CV death, non-fatal MI or non-fatal stroke 0 6 1 2 1 8 2 4 3 0 3 6 4 2 4 8 5 4

Source: Newman JD, et al, J Am Coll Cardiol 2018; 72(15):1856-69

Renal Benefit from GLP-1RA and SGLT-2i

Deanfield UCL

Page 11: Importance of protection and prevention in cardiorenal disease - … · Time to first occurrence of CV death, non-fatal MI or non-fatal stroke 0 6 1 2 1 8 2 4 3 0 3 6 4 2 4 8 5 4

9,900

individuals

with T2DM

and eGFR of

≥ 15mL/min;

Dulaglutide

v Placebo; >

two thirds

primary CV

prevention

Source: Hertzel C Gerstein, Lancet x.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(19)31150-XDeanfield UCL

REWIND

Cu

mu

lati

ve

(%

)

Time Since Randomisation (yrs)

Page 12: Importance of protection and prevention in cardiorenal disease - … · Time to first occurrence of CV death, non-fatal MI or non-fatal stroke 0 6 1 2 1 8 2 4 3 0 3 6 4 2 4 8 5 4

Exciting New Era for CVD Management in DM

Diabetologists Cardiologists

Primary Care Nephrology

Deanfield UCL

Page 13: Importance of protection and prevention in cardiorenal disease - … · Time to first occurrence of CV death, non-fatal MI or non-fatal stroke 0 6 1 2 1 8 2 4 3 0 3 6 4 2 4 8 5 4

A Thought…

“Why just strive to treat a

disease like Diabetes better

when you could prevent

it?”

Deanfield UCL

Page 14: Importance of protection and prevention in cardiorenal disease - … · Time to first occurrence of CV death, non-fatal MI or non-fatal stroke 0 6 1 2 1 8 2 4 3 0 3 6 4 2 4 8 5 4

Source: IDF Diabetes Atlas. 7th edn. 2015

2015 2040

Source Bjerregaard et al, N Engl J Med 2018;378:1302-12

Diabetes Epidemic : Risk Factors start Early!

Deanfield UCL

Page 15: Importance of protection and prevention in cardiorenal disease - … · Time to first occurrence of CV death, non-fatal MI or non-fatal stroke 0 6 1 2 1 8 2 4 3 0 3 6 4 2 4 8 5 4

The Ticking Clock: CV Risk Before Glucose(Nurses’ Health Study)

Source: Hu et al, Diabetes Care 2002; 25: 1129-1134

20 yr F/U of 117,629 women: n=1,508 diabetes at B/L;

n=5,894 developed diabetes; n=110,227 free from diabetes

0.0Re

lati

ve

ris

k o

f M

I o

r s

tro

ke

Nondiabetic

throughout

the study

Risk of event

prior to

DM diagnosis

Risk of event

after DM

diagnosis

Diabetic

at B/L

6.0

5.0

4.0

3.0

2.0

1.0

5.02

3.71

2.82

1.0

Deanfield UCL

Page 16: Importance of protection and prevention in cardiorenal disease - … · Time to first occurrence of CV death, non-fatal MI or non-fatal stroke 0 6 1 2 1 8 2 4 3 0 3 6 4 2 4 8 5 4

Source: Lean, M et al, Lancet 2018; 391: 541–51

Primary Care-led Weight Management For Remission of T2DM (DiRECT)

> 10kg Weight Loss 64%Remission

Deanfield UCL

Page 17: Importance of protection and prevention in cardiorenal disease - … · Time to first occurrence of CV death, non-fatal MI or non-fatal stroke 0 6 1 2 1 8 2 4 3 0 3 6 4 2 4 8 5 4

Impact of GLP1-RA on Obesity

Source: O’Neil et al, Lancet 2018; 392: 637–49

Deanfield UCL

Page 18: Importance of protection and prevention in cardiorenal disease - … · Time to first occurrence of CV death, non-fatal MI or non-fatal stroke 0 6 1 2 1 8 2 4 3 0 3 6 4 2 4 8 5 4

Four Weeks Of Liraglutide Inhibits Progression Of Atherosclerotic Lesions In ApoE-/- mice

Gaspari T et al. Diab Vasc Dis Res 2013;10:353‒60.

IMR

0.4

0.3

0.2

0.1

0.0

Vehicle Lira Lira + Ex-9

*

IMR analysis performed in the aortic arch

Intima‒media ratio (IMR)

N=6‒10

Lesio

n a

rea (

%)

15

10

5

0

Vehicle Lira Lira + Ex-9

Oil red O staining performed in the aorta

Lipid deposition

N=13‒16

Vehicle Lira Lira + Ex-9

MM

I

M

I

Lesion development

Haemotoxylin and eosin staining in the aortic arch

Deanfield UCL

Page 19: Importance of protection and prevention in cardiorenal disease - … · Time to first occurrence of CV death, non-fatal MI or non-fatal stroke 0 6 1 2 1 8 2 4 3 0 3 6 4 2 4 8 5 4

Semaglutide s.c. 2.4 mg once-weekly

Placebo s.c. once-weekly

Event driven1225 first MACEs Randomisation (1:1)

N=17,500 patientsMale or female

≥45 years of ageBMI ≥27

PriorMI

Prior stroke

PAD

SELECT: GLP1-RA in high CVD risk Non Diabetics

Primary endpoint:Time from randomisation to first occurrence of a composite endpoint consisting of either: • CV death• Non-fatal myocardial infarction• Non-fatal stroke

Deanfield UCL

Page 20: Importance of protection and prevention in cardiorenal disease - … · Time to first occurrence of CV death, non-fatal MI or non-fatal stroke 0 6 1 2 1 8 2 4 3 0 3 6 4 2 4 8 5 4

CV RFs Drive Multiple Diseases Through Common Pathways

Obesity

Stress

BP

Smoking

Systemic Inflammation

Ageing

DiabetesCKD CVD

Cancer

Cholesterol

Oxidative Stress

DementiaStroke

Deanfield UCL

Page 21: Importance of protection and prevention in cardiorenal disease - … · Time to first occurrence of CV death, non-fatal MI or non-fatal stroke 0 6 1 2 1 8 2 4 3 0 3 6 4 2 4 8 5 4

Impact of Periodontitis Treatment on Glucose Control, Vascular and Renal Function in T2DM

Source: D’Aiuto Lancet Diabetes 2018

In UK population

▪Severe in 5-10%

▪Mild/mod. in 40%

Deanfield UCL

Page 22: Importance of protection and prevention in cardiorenal disease - … · Time to first occurrence of CV death, non-fatal MI or non-fatal stroke 0 6 1 2 1 8 2 4 3 0 3 6 4 2 4 8 5 4

How Early Should

Prevention Start?

“Poor Start in Life”

Deanfield UCL

Page 23: Importance of protection and prevention in cardiorenal disease - … · Time to first occurrence of CV death, non-fatal MI or non-fatal stroke 0 6 1 2 1 8 2 4 3 0 3 6 4 2 4 8 5 4

Obesity at 2 yrs Predicts Status at 35 yrs...

Source: Ward et al, N Engl J Med 2017;377:2145-53

Deanfield UCL

Page 24: Importance of protection and prevention in cardiorenal disease - … · Time to first occurrence of CV death, non-fatal MI or non-fatal stroke 0 6 1 2 1 8 2 4 3 0 3 6 4 2 4 8 5 4

Source: Twig G et al, NEJM 2016;374:2430-40

BMI During Adolescence and CV Mortality

Diabetes and Hypertension

Deanfield UCL

Page 25: Importance of protection and prevention in cardiorenal disease - … · Time to first occurrence of CV death, non-fatal MI or non-fatal stroke 0 6 1 2 1 8 2 4 3 0 3 6 4 2 4 8 5 4

Cardio-renal Disease in Diabetes: Protection & Prevention

Deanfield UCL

New era for treatment of cardio-renal

disease

Earlier management is needed to target

disease in the population

Emerging role for new drugs and lifestyle in

pre-clinical disease

Page 26: Importance of protection and prevention in cardiorenal disease - … · Time to first occurrence of CV death, non-fatal MI or non-fatal stroke 0 6 1 2 1 8 2 4 3 0 3 6 4 2 4 8 5 4

Final Thought…

“It should be the function of

medicine to have people die

young as late as possible”

- Ernest L. Wynder M.D

Deanfield UCL

Page 27: Importance of protection and prevention in cardiorenal disease - … · Time to first occurrence of CV death, non-fatal MI or non-fatal stroke 0 6 1 2 1 8 2 4 3 0 3 6 4 2 4 8 5 4