importance of protection and prevention in cardiorenal disease - … · time to first occurrence of...
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Importance of protection
and prevention in cardiorenal
disease
John Deanfield, MD
London, United Kingdom
June 15, 2019 - Budapest, Hungary
Protection and Prevention in Diabetic Cardio-renal Disease
Professor John Deanfield - University College London, UKBudapest ERA EDTA - 15 June 2019
Deanfield UCL
CVD Challenge in Diabetes is Clear
Source: Seshasai et al, N Engl J Med 2011; 364:829-41
On average, a 50-year old with diabetes but no history of vascular disease is
~6 years younger at time of death than a counterpart without diabetes
Men Women
0
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
40 50 60 70 80 90
Age (years)
Years
of
life
lo
st
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
040 50 60 70 80 900
Age (years)
Vascular deaths Non-vascular deaths
Deanfield UCL
Need for Joint Approach…CVD and CKD Go Together!
Deanfield UCL
“It is observable, that the hypertrophy
of the heart seems, in some degree, to
have kept pace with the advance of
disease in the kidneys; for in by far the
majority of cases, when the heart was
increased, the hardness and
contraction of the kidney bespoke the
probability of long continuance of the
disease.”
- R Bright, 1836
Diabetes
CKD CVD
Cardio-renal Disease in Diabetes
Deanfield UCL
Novel treatments can improve cardio-renal outcomes in
patients with diabetes
Prevention is important as long term exposure to risk
factors drives cardio-renal disease
Never Too Late…Never Too Early…!!
Leveraged gain from early intervention on common
pathways to disease
Emerging early role for new drugs?
• Statins
• BP Lowering
• Metformin
• ACEi / ARB
SGLT2-iGLP1-RA
Evidence Based Cardiorenal Risk Reduction
Deanfield UCL
Empagliflozin, CV Outcomes and Mortality in T2DM
Source: Zinman N Engl J Med 2015;373:2117-28
Primary Outcome Death from Cardiovascular Causes
Death from Any Cause Hospitalization for Heart Failure
Deanfield UCL
Source: Marso SP et al. N Engl J Med 2016;375:311–322 Source: Marso SP et al. N Engl J Med 2016;375:1834–1844
LEADER
Time to first occurrence of CV death, non-fatal MI or non-fatal stroke
0 6 1 2 1 8 2 4 3 0 3 6 4 2 4 8 5 4
0
5
1 0
1 5
2 0
Pati
en
ts w
ith
even
t (%
)
Placebo
Liraglutide
HR: 0.87(95% CI: 0.78 ; 0.97)p<0.001 for non-inferiorityp=0.01 for superiority
Time from randomisation (months)
SUSTAIN 6
Semaglutide
Placebo
Pati
en
ts w
ith
even
t (%
)
HR: 0.74(95% CI: 0.58 ; 0.95)p<0.001 for non-inferiorityp=0.02 for superiority
Time from randomisation (months)
GLP-1RA CV Outcome Trials
Deanfield UCL
Source: Newman JD, et al, J Am Coll Cardiol 2018; 72(15):1856-69
Diabetes Treatment for CVD ReductionSGLT-2 Inhibitors GLP-1R Agonists
Deanfield UCL
Source: Newman JD, et al, J Am Coll Cardiol 2018; 72(15):1856-69
Renal Benefit from GLP-1RA and SGLT-2i
Deanfield UCL
9,900
individuals
with T2DM
and eGFR of
≥ 15mL/min;
Dulaglutide
v Placebo; >
two thirds
primary CV
prevention
Source: Hertzel C Gerstein, Lancet x.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(19)31150-XDeanfield UCL
REWIND
Cu
mu
lati
ve
(%
)
Time Since Randomisation (yrs)
Exciting New Era for CVD Management in DM
Diabetologists Cardiologists
Primary Care Nephrology
Deanfield UCL
A Thought…
“Why just strive to treat a
disease like Diabetes better
when you could prevent
it?”
Deanfield UCL
Source: IDF Diabetes Atlas. 7th edn. 2015
2015 2040
Source Bjerregaard et al, N Engl J Med 2018;378:1302-12
Diabetes Epidemic : Risk Factors start Early!
Deanfield UCL
The Ticking Clock: CV Risk Before Glucose(Nurses’ Health Study)
Source: Hu et al, Diabetes Care 2002; 25: 1129-1134
20 yr F/U of 117,629 women: n=1,508 diabetes at B/L;
n=5,894 developed diabetes; n=110,227 free from diabetes
0.0Re
lati
ve
ris
k o
f M
I o
r s
tro
ke
Nondiabetic
throughout
the study
Risk of event
prior to
DM diagnosis
Risk of event
after DM
diagnosis
Diabetic
at B/L
6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
5.02
3.71
2.82
1.0
Deanfield UCL
Source: Lean, M et al, Lancet 2018; 391: 541–51
Primary Care-led Weight Management For Remission of T2DM (DiRECT)
> 10kg Weight Loss 64%Remission
Deanfield UCL
Impact of GLP1-RA on Obesity
Source: O’Neil et al, Lancet 2018; 392: 637–49
Deanfield UCL
Four Weeks Of Liraglutide Inhibits Progression Of Atherosclerotic Lesions In ApoE-/- mice
Gaspari T et al. Diab Vasc Dis Res 2013;10:353‒60.
IMR
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Vehicle Lira Lira + Ex-9
*
IMR analysis performed in the aortic arch
Intima‒media ratio (IMR)
N=6‒10
Lesio
n a
rea (
%)
15
10
5
0
Vehicle Lira Lira + Ex-9
Oil red O staining performed in the aorta
Lipid deposition
N=13‒16
Vehicle Lira Lira + Ex-9
MM
I
M
I
Lesion development
Haemotoxylin and eosin staining in the aortic arch
Deanfield UCL
Semaglutide s.c. 2.4 mg once-weekly
Placebo s.c. once-weekly
Event driven1225 first MACEs Randomisation (1:1)
N=17,500 patientsMale or female
≥45 years of ageBMI ≥27
PriorMI
Prior stroke
PAD
SELECT: GLP1-RA in high CVD risk Non Diabetics
Primary endpoint:Time from randomisation to first occurrence of a composite endpoint consisting of either: • CV death• Non-fatal myocardial infarction• Non-fatal stroke
Deanfield UCL
CV RFs Drive Multiple Diseases Through Common Pathways
Obesity
Stress
BP
Smoking
Systemic Inflammation
Ageing
DiabetesCKD CVD
Cancer
Cholesterol
Oxidative Stress
DementiaStroke
Deanfield UCL
Impact of Periodontitis Treatment on Glucose Control, Vascular and Renal Function in T2DM
Source: D’Aiuto Lancet Diabetes 2018
In UK population
▪Severe in 5-10%
▪Mild/mod. in 40%
Deanfield UCL
How Early Should
Prevention Start?
“Poor Start in Life”
Deanfield UCL
Obesity at 2 yrs Predicts Status at 35 yrs...
Source: Ward et al, N Engl J Med 2017;377:2145-53
Deanfield UCL
Source: Twig G et al, NEJM 2016;374:2430-40
BMI During Adolescence and CV Mortality
Diabetes and Hypertension
Deanfield UCL
Cardio-renal Disease in Diabetes: Protection & Prevention
Deanfield UCL
New era for treatment of cardio-renal
disease
Earlier management is needed to target
disease in the population
Emerging role for new drugs and lifestyle in
pre-clinical disease
Final Thought…
“It should be the function of
medicine to have people die
young as late as possible”
- Ernest L. Wynder M.D
Deanfield UCL