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Using Social Network Analysis in Focused Deterrence Initiatives Presented to Justice Research and Statistics Association January 24, 2018 Dr. Tracey Rizzuto Associate Director School of Human Resource Education and Workforce Development

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  • Using Social Network Analysisin Focused Deterrence Initiatives

    Presented toJustice Research and Statistics Association

    January 24, 2018

    Dr. Tracey RizzutoAssociate Director

    School of Human Resource Education and Workforce Development

  • • Actors (e.g., a group or gang members)

    • Ties (e.g., involvement in a common criminal incident)

    Note: Role (offender/victim) not often differentiated.

    Social Networks & Criminal Webs

  • Linkage Vs. Social Network Maps

  • OJJDP Community Violence

    Unfunded – 2011Funded- 2012

    2012-BRAVE Project Director

    -Consult D. Kennedy, NNSC

    -LSU Research Partner

    - Exxon-Mobile Industrial Partner

    -Chief Fealey, Officer Training

    -1st Community Engagement Meeting

    -Service Provider Network formed

    -Living Faith press conference

    -Univ. of Cincinnati training

    2013-OJJDP grant expansion

    -Byrne Criminal Justice Innovation (BCJI) awarded

    - City of Milwaukee training

    2014-NNSC training

    -Project Safe Neighborhood (PSN) expansion

    -”Cops & Clergy” training

    2015-IDP training-Crime Strategies Unit (CSU) introduced

    New Form

    New Norm

    2016-18-Community building & relationship formation-Project Safe Neighborhoods (PSN) - Youth Gun Accident Prevention & Wellness Promotion

    Baton Rouge Area Violence Elimination (BRAVE)

  • Focused Deterrence“Pulling levers”

    Show that the cost of crime outweighs the benefits. (Zimring & Hawkins, 1973)

    • Identify the primary crime and target offenders.

    • Communicate these messages:o You are targeted by the initiative.

    Here’s why…o Levers are in place. They are…o Community imperative:

    Crime must stop!

    • “Pull levers” that:o sanction target offenders and their groupso offer preventative services/resources

    • Convene an interagency team.

  • Focused Deterrenceaided by Social Network Analysis

    Show that the cost of crime outweighs the benefits. (Zimring & Hawkins, 1973)

    1. Identify the primary crime and target offenders

    2. Communicate these messagesYou are targeted by the initiative. Here’s why…Levers are in place. They are…Community imperative: Crime must stop!

    3. “Pull levers” that:sanction target offenders and their groupsservice

    4. Convene an interagency team.

  • SNA Terms & ConceptsNetworks are comprised of…

    (2) Types of Actors:Egos (focal actors) who are connected to Alters by one or more types of interdependencies (ties).• E.g., friendship, kinship, common incidents,

    financial or information exchange, or relationships of beliefs, knowledge or prestige.

    Criminal incident links people to an event, place and/or time.

    Social Network Analysis (SNA)= • Analytics about the network of actors linked to incidents• Graphic depiction of the network of actors linked to incidents

    Me

    Spouse

    Friend

    Co-worker

    Super-visor

  • Whole (“Complete”) Networks• For defined populations.

    Rare in crime mapping.

    • Contains information about o actual and potential ties

    • Snow ball samplingo “Who else do you know in this

    gang?”

    • Inclusive population censuso Historical records

    Joe Bonanno

    Carmen Celante

    Lucky Luciano Francisco

    Costiglia

    Giuseppe Profaci

  • • More common in crime mapping• Ties from egos (targets) to their alters.

    E.g.1, John is a group-member with 6 criminal associates

    Note: Ties are UNDIRECTED.

    Ego NetworksE.g., 1

  • E.g.2, John is a group-member who sells narcotics to 6 criminal associates

    Note: Ties can be DIRECTED to illustrate flow of resources.

    Ego NetworksE.g., 2

  • E.g.3, Ego can also be a target group with 6 criminal incidents

    Ego NetworksE.g., 3

  • Focused Deterrenceaided by Social Network Analysis

    Show that the cost of crime outweighs the benefits. (Zimring & Hawkins, 1973)

    1. Identify the primary crime and target offenders

    2. Communicate these messagesYou are targeted by the initiative. Here’s why…Levers are in place. They are…Community imperative: Crime must stop!

    3. “Pull levers” that:sanction target offenders and their groupsservice

    4. Convene an interagency team.

    The NeedThe MethodThe Proof

  • Among the Top 25 “Most Dangerous Cities”

    in the U.S.- Business Insider, 2012

    60% Group Member Involved

    1. Identify Target OffendersThe NeedThe MethodThe Proof

    What are the groups?Who are the members?

  • 1. Identify Target OffendersThe NeedThe MethodWhich groups/associates Homicide ReviewGroup Audit

    The Proof

    Who is committing violence?Is it gang-related?Are these people

    operating as a group?

  • 1. Identify Target OffendersThe NeedThe MethodWhich groups/associates Homicide ReviewGroup AuditSocial network analysis of associates, potential members, and conflicts/collaborations

    The Proof

    Blocks = people linked by violenceDirected Line=violent offense against someoneColor=group member

    Insight:• Potential members• Potential informants

  • 1. Identify Target OffendersThe NeedThe MethodWhich groups/associates Homicide ReviewGroup AuditSocial network analysis of associates, potential members, and conflicts/collaborations

    The Proof

    Blocks = people linked by violenceDirected Line=violent offense against someoneColor=group member

    Insight:• Potential members• Potential informants• Potential new groups/clusters

  • 1. Identify Target OffendersThe NeedThe MethodWhich groups/associates Homicide ReviewGroup AuditSocial network analysis of associates, potential members, and conflicts/collaborations

    The Proof

    Insight:• Which groups are active

    (or are about to be)

    Conflict/Collaboration

  • 1. Identify Target OffendersEvaluative Uses

    1. Increases/Decreases in group-related violence over time

    2. Increases/Decreases in group-on-group violence over time

    3. Coupled with GIS, increases/decreases in group activity in target areas

    The NeedThe MethodThe Proof

  • 2. Communicate Message

    • Aiding Call-ins and Custom Notifications

    The NeedThe MethodThe Proof

  • Differences in…• Violence• Influence• Power

    Group NetworkCircle = OffenderLine = Violent incident

    3

    2

    2

    1

    The NeedThe MethodThe Proof

    2. Communicate Message

  • Differences in…• Violence• Influence• Power

    Group NetworkCircle = OffenderLine = Violent incident

    3

    2

    2

    1

    3 3

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    The NeedThe MethodThe Proof

    2. Communicate Message

  • Differences in…• Violence• Influence• Power

    Group NetworkCircle = OffenderLine = Violent incident

    3

    2

    2

    1

    Influencer

    The NeedThe MethodThe Proof

    2. Communicate Message

  • Differences in…• Violence• Influence• Power

    Group NetworkCircle = OffenderLine = Violent incident

    3

    2

    2

    1

    Mastrobuoni, G. & Patacchini, E. (2012). Organized Crime Networks. Review of Network Economics, 11 (3)

    Power

    2. Communicate MessageThe NeedThe MethodThe Proof

  • 3. Communicate & Pull LeversEvaluative Uses

    • Track pre-to-post declines in criminal activity among Call-in participants

    The NeedThe MethodThe Proof

  • Evaluative Uses• Track pre-to-post declines in criminal activity

    among the associates of Call-in participants

    The NeedThe MethodThe Proof

    3. Communicate & Pull Levers

  • 4. Convene a TeamThe NeedThe MethodThe Proof

    Complex social problems require multi-sector collaboration (Kania & Kramer, 2011).

  • The NeedThe MethodThe Proof

    4. Convene a Team

  • 4. Convene a TeamThe NeedThe MethodThe Proof

  • 4. Convene a TeamThe NeedThe MethodThe Proof

  • The NeedThe MethodThe Proof

    4. Convene a Team

    Rizzuto, Brown & Singh (under review)

  • 4. Convene a Team

    Evaluative Uses• A picture says a 1000

    words!

    • Metrics to tracko Growth in ties

    (collaborations) per partner over time

    o Growth in average ties (collaborations) across the initiative

    o Collaborative density over time

    The NeedThe MethodThe Proof

    2014

    2016

  • Social Media* o Facebooko Instagramo Youtubeo Snapchat*with caution

    Where to find networks?

    Jerrika Harvey Nicosha Henry

    Jebria LeeAshlee AugustusTyja Dixon

    Keiara Lee Miracle Green

    Dantonio Lee

    Chelsea DixonTyesha FollinsZhane JenkinsTerriqua Jones

    Dimecia WilliamsMikiara Williams

    Khalilah Jenkins

    Tundra Applewhite

    Derita Gray

    Taylin Johnson

    Coriel Jenkins

    Kenosha Gray

    Ebony WilliamsJaquinta Brady

    Frank Hooks

    Heather Domino

    Legend

    KA

    KA & Social Media

    Social Media

    Archiveso Criminal incident

    reportso National

    Integrated Ballistics Information System (NIBIN)

    o Jailhouse call data

    Jerrika Harvey

    Nicosha Henry

    Jebria Lee

    Ashlee Augustus

    Tyja Dixon

    Keiara Lee

    Miracle Green

    Dantonio Lee

    Chelsea Dixon

    Tyesha Follins

    Zhane Jenkins

    Terriqua Jones

    Dimecia Williams

    Mikiara Williams

    Khalilah Jenkins

    Tundra Applewhite

    Derita Gray

    Taylin Johnson

    Coriel Jenkins

    Kenosha Gray

    Ebony Williams

    Jaquinta Brady

    Frank Hooks

    Heather Domino

    Legend

    KA

    KA & Social Media

    Social Media

  • THANK YOU!Dr. Tracey Rizzuto

    School of Human Resource Education and Workforce Development

    [email protected]

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    Slide Number 1Social Networks & Criminal WebsSlide Number 3Slide Number 4Slide Number 5Slide Number 6Slide Number 7Slide Number 8Focused Deterrence�“Pulling levers”Focused Deterrence�aided by Social Network AnalysisSNA Terms & ConceptsWhole (“Complete”) NetworksEgo Networks�E.g., 1Slide Number 14Ego Networks�E.g., 3Focused Deterrence�aided by Social Network AnalysisSlide Number 171. Identify Target Offenders1. Identify Target Offenders1. Identify Target Offenders1. Identify Target Offenders1. Identify Target Offenders2. Communicate MessageSlide Number 24Slide Number 25Slide Number 26Slide Number 273. Communicate & Pull LeversSlide Number 294. Convene a Team4. Convene a Team4. Convene a Team4. Convene a Team4. Convene a Team4. Convene a TeamWhere to find networks?THANK YOU!