increasing pace and scale of fuels reduction and forest...

49
Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest Restoration in the Sierra Nevada and Forest Restoration in the Sierra Nevada Malcolm North, April Brough, Jonathan Long, Brandon Collins and Marc Meyer USFS PSW, USFS Region 5, and UC Berkeley

Upload: others

Post on 09-Jul-2020

2 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest Restoration in the Sierra Nevada and Forest Restoration in the Sierra Nevada Malcolm North, April Brough, Jonathan Long, Brandon Collins and Marc Meyer USFS PSW, USFS Region 5, and UC Berkeley

Page 2: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

Outline:1. Historical vs. Contemporary fire patterns1. Historical vs. Contemporary fire patterns2. Contemporary treatment rates3 Scaling Up: What are the opportunities with 3. Scaling Up: What are the opportunities with

mechanical treatment?

4. Scaling up using fire: comparing the ecological effects of fire suppression and managed wildfireeffects of fire suppression and managed wildfire5. Land management implications

Page 3: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

Historical vs. current stand conditions: re-measurement of 1911 timber surveys

Year Total basal area(ft2 ac‐1)

Number of trees > 6” (ac‐1)

Shrubs(% cover)

1911 70 19 65(ARPA, CEIN, QUCH, CHFO)

2013 248 225 52013 248 225 5

Page 4: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

Fire-Suppressed Forests: Homogeneity adversely

affects ecosystem services

1) High stem density: Many ecosystem processes (nutrient cycling, decomposition, etc.) stall.

2) High canopy cover: dramatically reduces variability in microclimate ) g py y yand wildlife habitat, reduces surface snowpack depth and possibly water production.

3) Fuels accumulations: Heavy litter and coarse woody debris3) Fuels accumulations: Heavy litter and coarse woody debris homogenizes the forest floor substrate reducing understory plant diversity and cover.

Significant reduction in habitat, species diversity and ecosystem function

Page 5: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

Within Stand Heterogeneity:ICO Pattern (Individual trees, Clumps of trees, Openings)

1929 ≥10 cm

**1929 ≥25 cm

Tree Groupings:

Trees/clump

#/ac % of all trees

Gap

*

** ** *

2007/2008

mp trees

Single 6 13

2‐4 tree 5 30

5 9 t 2 24p

Single2‐45‐9

≥10

5‐9 tree 2 24

>10 tree 1.4 33Lydersen et al. 2013. Forest Ecology and M t 304 370 382

% of plot area

Canopy Cover = 37%

Management 304: 370-382.

% of plot area

Page 6: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

Fuel loading and extreme fire weather

Rim fire had 10 high-severity patchesseverity patches over 1000 acres:

63,29617,5109,6542 2282,2281,2761 2621,2621,2271,142

Orange and Green are Aug. 22 and 23 with 98% weather

1,0731,025

98% weather conditions

Page 7: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

Ecological Impacts after High-Severity Fire

Wi h li id d h b b h fi ld f d dWithout live trees to provide seed, many patches become brush fields for decades

• The biggest problem is the lack of gg pheterogeneity

• Post burn is homogenous shrub fieldfield

• When forest eventually grows in, it also lacks variability

Page 8: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

Forest Homogeneity and Problem Wildfire

Malcolm North, USFS PSW Research Station [email protected]

Page 9: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

2) Contemporary Treatments Rates:How Much of the Sierra Nevada May Have Burned/Yr?

Page 10: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

Current Fuels Reduction vs. Historic Levels:• On FS land 18% (87,923 ac) of land that historically

b d/ (48 846 ) h f f f l d iburned/yr (487,846 ac) has some form of fuels reduction [only 7.6% intentional]

On NPS land 17% (11 279 ac) of land that historicalOn NPS land 17% (11,279 ac) of land that historical burned/yr (65,084 ac) has some form of fuels reduction• % high severity in wildfires: 33% (FS) vs. 15% (NPS)g y ( ) ( )Miller et al. 2012. Differences in wildfires among ecoregions and land management agencies in the Sierra Nevada region, California, USA. Ecosphere 3: article 80.

Page 11: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

3000000Prescribed fireMechanical

2. Contemporary “treatment” rates

2500000

MechanicalWildfireWhite firSequoia‐mixed coniferAspen

2000000

es

AspenFoxtail pineUpper cismontane mixed conifer‐oakWhitebark pineWhite bark pine‐mountain hemlock

1000000

1500000

Acre

pMixed coniferWhite bark pine‐lodgepole pineBlack oakEast‐side ponderosa pine

500000

1000000 Red firRed fir‐western white pineLower cismontane mixed conifer‐oakLodgepole pineJ ff i

0Annual Historic Backlog

Jeffrey pineWest‐side ponderosa pineJeffrey pine‐fir

Annual Treatment

Historic ac/yr

Backlog

Area category

Page 12: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

Effects of the Focus on Fire Suppression: C id l b l d iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all studies: per acre prescribed fire is the lowest cost treatment, mechanical often 2-4 times more and wildfire 6-15 times more.

Future costs of mechanical are likely to increaseFuture costs of mechanical are likely to increase, particularly for maintenance (2nd entry and on). High cost of many projects is in the small material

l ( f i ) hi h iremoval (often service contracts) which is sometimes offset with larger, commercial removal which will be absent in future entries.

Fuels treatment maintenance will eventually subsume the entire treatment effort leaving somesubsume the entire treatment effort leaving some proportion of the forest always in high fuel loads—‘backlog’.

Page 13: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

Fire is considered impractical: So what can mechanical fuels treatments achieve?

Scope of Analysis

Page 14: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

Hierarchy, types and criteria of mechanical treatment constraints used in our analysis.

CWHR (California Wildlif H bit tWildlife Habitat Relations) classification M and D refer to canopy cover 40-59% and 60-100%,4, 5 and 6 indicating a quadratic mean diameter of 11 24” >diameter of 11-24 , > 24”, and >24” with a multi-layer canopy, respectively.

WUI is the wildland urban interface.

Page 15: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

Reduction in FS acres from constraint levels – Scenario C

Page 16: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

• Acreage and % reduction constraints on mechanical treatment by National Forest.

• L0 is the acres of productive forest remaining after removing water, barren p g g ,and non-forested.

• Constraints L1-L3 are the percentage of reduction in productive forest (L2 reduction uses scenario.

• Total remaining is the productive forest acres that are available for• Total remaining is the productive forest acres that are available for mechanical treatment after all constraints are applied.

Page 17: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

Symbols show the percentage of mechanically available productive forest land left on each National Forest under four different operational constraint scenarios after all constraints (L0-L3) are applied.

90%

100%

and 

( ) pp

70%

80%

uctiv

e FS La

Operational

50%

60%

ble of Produ

D

OperationalConstraint Scenario 

30%

40%

ally Treatab C

BA

10%

20%

% M

echa

nic

0%MDF LNF PNF TNF TMU ENF STF SNF SQF INF

%

Page 18: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

Mechanical availability after L0

SNF example Scenario CSNF example - Scenario C

Page 19: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

Mechanical availability after L1

SNF example Scenario CSNF example - Scenario C

Page 20: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

Mechanical availability after L2

SNF example Scenario CSNF example - Scenario C

Page 21: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

Mechanical availability after L3

SNF example Scenario CSNF example - Scenario C

Page 22: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

Total and number of subwatersheds (HUs) on each National Forest with >25% Forest Service ownership of all burnable acres. The three categories are

l l t d b d th b f FS il bl t h i l t t tcalculated based on the number of FS acres available to mechanical treatment divided by the total burnable acres (across all ownerships) within the HU.

Page 23: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

Like Real Estate, Fuels Treatment Effectiveness is about location, location, location

M ifi i f b h dMagnification of subwatersheds around the Dinkey Creek Area

Mechanical as a tool for increasing fire use:Mechanical as a tool for increasing fire use:What does managed wildfire suggested about the opportunity to increase fire in the Sierra Nevada?

Page 24: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

Defining Resource Benefits of Wildland Fires in the Southern Sierra NevadaFires in the Southern Sierra Nevada

Marc Meyerh lSouthern Sierra Province EcologistUSDA Forest Service

Pacific Southwest RegionPacific Southwest Region

Page 25: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

Beneficial Fire EffectsBeneficial Fire Effects• Reduces fuel loading• Enhances structural heterogeneity• Promotes biodiversity• Promotes biodiversity• Facilitates regeneration of shade‐intolerant t itree species

Aspen Valley, Yosemite NP

Page 26: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

Beneficial Fire EffectsBeneficial Fire Effects• Reduces fuel loading• Enhances structural heterogeneity• Promotes biodiversity• Promotes biodiversity• Facilitates regeneration of shade‐intolerant t itree species

Aspen Valley, Yosemite NP

Page 27: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

Objective Approach• Natural Range of Variation (NRV) Concept

Identifies “natural” or historic reference– Identifies  natural or historic reference conditions indicative of a “healthy”, functional, and resilient ecosystemand resilient ecosystem

– New Forest Planning Rule

Photo Credit: A. Wieslander

Page 28: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

NRV Concept

• Incorporates diverse information sourcesHi i– Historic – Recognizes importance of indigenous influence

– Contemporary reference sites– Future projected changes

• Used in a variety of management applications

Sugarloaf Valley, Kings Canyon National Park

Page 29: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

Basic Questions:

• Do managed fires (wildland fire use, managed wildfire) in the Southern Sierra provide resource benefits based on the NRV concept?

• How managed and suppression wildfires compare?

Sierra San Pedro Martir, Baja California

Page 30: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

Resources• Vegetation• Wildlife habitat• Watersheds/water quality/ q y• Air quality• Economic• Economic• Cultural

Page 31: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

Resources• Vegetation• Wildlife habitat• Watersheds/water quality/ q y• Air quality• Economic• Economic• Cultural

Page 32: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

Forest VegetationForest Vegetation• Natural Range of Variation (NRV) ‐ Based on 

Region 5 Ecology Program NRV Assessments

• Indicators– Fire severity proportions– High severity patch size (mean and max)

Harden Fire, Yosemite N

Page 33: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

MethodsMethods• Focus on national forests of the Southern Sierra Nevada (SQF, SNF, INF, STF)

• Total of 20 fires analyzed– Recent ignitions (2000‐2011)– Larger fire size (>800 acres)– Dominated by mid‐elevation forest types (mixed conifer, yellow pine, and red fir)

– Mostly on Sequoia NF– Mostly on Sequoia NF– Available fire severity data

Page 34: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

MethodsMethods• Focus on national forests of the Southern Sierra Nevada (SQF, SNF, INF, STF)

• Total of 22 fires analyzed– Recent ignitions (2000‐2011)– Larger fire size (>405 ha) on NFS lands– Dominated by mid‐elevation forest types (mixed conifer, yellow pine, and red fir)

– Available fire severity data (1‐yr post)– Available fire severity data (1‐yr post)

Page 35: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

Results: Fire SeverityResults: Fire Severity

Black Mountain Grove Rx Fire, Robert S d USFS

Page 36: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

NRV and Wildfire ComparisonNRV and Wildfire Comparison

aa

Page 37: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all
Page 38: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all
Page 39: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all
Page 40: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all
Page 41: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all
Page 42: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

Conclusions• Managed wildfires in the ecoregion were:

– Within NRV• Fire severity proportion• High‐severity patch size – mean and max

• In contrast, suppression wildfires were: 1.Outside the NRV and potential habitat suitability1.Outside the NRV and potential habitat suitability2.More costly per acre across a range of total fire sizes

Illilouette Basin, Yosemite NP

Page 43: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

Conclusions• Managed wildfires in the ecoregion were: 

– Within NRV• Fire severity proportion• High severity patch size – mean and max

• In contrast, suppression wildfires were: – Outside the NRV

Illilouette Basin, Yosemite NP

Page 44: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

Management Implications• Results support the expanded use of managed wildland fires to achieve resource benefits in the southern Sierra Nevada national forests

Lion Fire, Golden Trout Wilderness, Sequoia NF; Phil Strand, USFS

Page 45: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

Management Implications• Results support the expanded use of managed wildland fires to achieve resource benefits in the southern Sierra Nevada national forests

• Increase in the “pace and scale” of ecological restoration across large landscapes

• Demonstration Areas or Firesheds

Lion Fire, Golden Trout Wilderness, Sequoia NF; Phil Strand, USFS

Page 46: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all
Page 47: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

• Even if the current rate of mechanical treatments were increased 4 5 times it would still be less than

Summary I:

were increased 4-5 times, it would still be less than 1/3 of what is needed

• The problem is that current practices often concentrate on containing fire, sustaining large trees

The 2007 Moonlight Fire

and preserving current habitat, maintaining stasiswith stand-level management.

• This approach is fundamentally at odds with dynamics in fire-dependent forests and will constraindynamics in fire dependent forests and will constrain rather than facilitate an adaptive forest response to climate change. Frequent, low-intensity fire is the g q ybest means of making many Sierra Nevada forests resilient to climate change.

Page 48: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

Summary II:• There is little incentive to treat areas with high ecological value because of potential litigation and g p ghigher costs due to management restrictions.

• The pattern and scale of current treatments is anThe pattern and scale of current treatments is an order of magnitude too low and leaves 2/3’s of FS lands constantly with elevated fuel loads.

• Progress against this persistent backlog is unlikely unless contiguous firesheds are identified, treated, Currently habitat for gand moved out of the suppression land base.

• The New Forest Planning Rule and next

sensitive species, such as this fisher, is often left untreated

The New Forest Planning Rule and nextround of plans may provide an opportunity to address the cultural, regulatory andi i i l b i i d fiinstitutional barriers to increased fire use.Outside the box: We have to try something substantial

different

Page 49: Increasing Pace and Scale of Fuels Reduction and Forest ...sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Community... · Cidlb ld iCosts vary widely but general trends are consistent amongst all

What can we do?• Encourage FS culture to support fire use

W k h i li d d h f i h• Work to change current air quality standards that are out of step with science

Questions?