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    INDIAA Strategic Overview

  • 8/3/2019 INDIA a Strategic Overview

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    Overview

    Organizing Framework

    External Factors

    Firm Level Factors

    Key Strategic Choices

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    Organizing Framework

    Country

    Environment Govt. Policy

    Competitor

    Capabilities

    Market

    Driven

    Value

    Proposition

    Resources &

    Capabilities

    Objectives &

    Motivations

    External Factors Firm Level Factors

    Firm

    Driven

    Key Strategic Choices?

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    External Factors

    Country

    EnvironmentGovt. Policy

    Competitor

    Capabilities

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    I. Country EnvironmentEco no mic Sta ts - Sn ap shot

    Source: http://investmentcommission.in

    Sound economic fundamentals Healthy average GDP growth of above 8% since 2003 Savings rate 32.4% in 2005-06 has been increasing at 7% CAGR since 2002 Forex reserves increasing at 30% CAGR since 2002 Interest rates high and stable at ~ 11.5% suggested strong demand for credit Inflation rates below compared to other emerging economies however recent

    spikes (6.6%) are a huge cause of concern.

    Rising income levels have led to increased consumer spending power

    6.6%5.0%Inflation

    -$640Per Capita

    $9.2B$15.7BFDI Inflow

    $18B$6.7BFII Inflow

    $276B$199BForex reserves

    -9.4%GDP Growth

    Current FiscalEnded 2007

    http://investmentcommission.in/http://investmentcommission.in/
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    I. Country EnvironmentEc ono mic S ta ts - GD P

    Source: MOSPI Statistics

    105 105 135 145

    103 125

    204 231191

    237

    398453

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    900

    1999-00 2002-03 2005-06 2006-07

    USD

    Billion

    Agriculture Industry Services

    India's GDP at Current Prices: 2002-07

    469556

    638737

    830

    477

    0

    100200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    900

    2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08

    (H1)

    USD

    Billion

    - Indias GDP has witnessed high growth and was

    the 2nd fastest growing GDP after China in 2006-07

    - $1 Trillion GDP (PPP)

    GDP Contributors (2006-07)

    Industry: 26% ($138B) growing at 16.2%

    Services: 55% (269B) growing at 16.3%

    Agriculture: 19% (73B) growing at 10.2%

    Huge Services contribution is a characteristic of adeveloped economy

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    I. Country Environment

    Source: World Economic Outlook IMF 2005,www.photius.com

    Ec ono mic S ta ts - GD P

    12th largest economy based on real GDP

    4th largest based on PPP

    http://www.photius.com/http://www.photius.com/http://www.photius.com/
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    I. Country Environment

    Gros s Dome stic Sav ings

    Source: Central Statistical Organization

    Gross D ome stic Inve stments

    -Very high Private sector savings mainly contributed by households

    -Increase in Gross Domestic Investment over Gross Domestic Savings a good sign

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    I. Country EnvironmentEc ono mic S ta ts - Per Capi ta In com e & Cons ump tion

    Source: http://indiabudget.nic.in,http://investmentcommission.in

    -Strong growth in per capita Income & Consumption; signaling economic prosperity

    -Boom in consumer spending Over 380M Indians (72M households) with annual income > $10,000 Fast growing disposable incomes, increased availability of credit cards and consumer finance Affinity towards western/ global brands Huge market especially for retail, telecom, automobiles, textiles, electrical appliances etc.

    http://indiabudget.nic.in/http://investmentcommission.in/http://investmentcommission.in/http://investmentcommission.in/http://indiabudget.nic.in/
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    I. Country EnvironmentEc ono mic S ta ts FD I & FII

    Net FII into India: 2001-07

    1.8

    0.6

    10.0 10.2 9.4

    6.7

    18.0

    02

    4

    6

    810

    12

    14

    1618

    20

    2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08

    (till 14

    January)

    USD

    Billion

    FDI Inflow - India: 2001-07

    4,2223,134 2,634

    3,755

    5,546

    15,730

    9,277

    0

    4,500

    9,000

    13,500

    18,000

    2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08

    (till

    October)

    USD

    Million

    185 percent

    Increase

    Source: DIPP (October Report),SEBI

    -With improved performance on PE ratio and ROE, Indian markets have attracted large

    investments-India ranked 2nd in AT Kearneys FDI confidence index (2007)

    -FDI inflow in 2006-07 grew by 185% over 2005-06

    -Large FII activity has led to an upsurge in the Sensex

    http://dipp.nic.in/fdi_statistics/india_fdi_index.htmhttp://dipp.nic.in/fdi_statistics/india_fdi_index.htmhttp://www.sebi.gov.in/Index.jsp?contentDisp=FIITrendshttp://www.sebi.gov.in/Index.jsp?contentDisp=FIITrendshttp://dipp.nic.in/fdi_statistics/india_fdi_index.htm
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    I. Country EnvironmentEc ono mic S ta ts Fo rex & Deb t R atio

    Source: RBI Statistics

    India's Forex Reserves: 2001-08 (Till 28 December 2007)

    5475

    112

    141 152

    199

    276

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    2001-02

    2002-03

    2003-04

    2004-05

    2005-06

    2006-07

    2007-08

    (Till28

    December)

    USD

    Billion

    External Debt-to-GDP Ratio

    21.120.4

    17.8

    17.3

    15.816.4

    10

    13

    16

    19

    22

    2 001 -0 2 2 00 2-03 20 03 -0 4 2 00 4-05 2 005 -0 6 2 00 6-0 7

    Ratio

    - Increased investor confidence in Indiancompanies has increased cross borderborrowing by corporate houses

    - 2007-08 Forex reserves already 39% above2006-07

    - Steadily increasing Forex offer securityagainst possible currency crisis or monetaryinstability

    - Forex reserves are in excess of external debtindicating a strong economic platform

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    I. Country Environment

    Source: AT Kearney, Outlook Business,http://domain-b.com

    -Major sectors attracting FDI in 2007-08 are Services, Telecom,Electrical equipments, Real estate and Transportation

    -Mumbai, Delhi, Bangalore, Chennai and Hyderabad bring in nearly

    66% of total FDI inflows

    -Top corporate investors: Vodafone ($800M), Matsushita ($340M)

    -Top holdings investors: GA Global Investments ($258M)EMAAR Holdings, Mauritius ($200M)LB India Holdings, Mauritius ($120M)

    http://domain-b.com/http://domain-b.com/http://domain-b.com/http://domain-b.com/
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    I. Country EnvironmentEcono mi c St ats - Im ports & Ex por ts

    India's Imports: 2002-08

    6278

    112

    150

    191

    130

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08

    (April-

    October)*

    USD

    Billion

    India's Exports: 2002-08

    5364

    84

    103

    126

    86

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08(April-

    October)*

    USD

    Billion

    Petroleum products are the major contributors towardsIndias growing imports

    -Quality and cost advantage are the two importantparameters leveraged by the Indian producers toincrease exports

    -Services sector has been a major contributor toincreased exports

    Source: Ministry of Finance (November Report)

    http://finmin.nic.in/stats_data/monthly_economic_report/index.htmlhttp://finmin.nic.in/stats_data/monthly_economic_report/index.html
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    I. Country EnvironmentInvestment Routes

    Source: Invest Commission of India

    -Strategically important sectors are excluded from Foreign investment

    -E.g. Railways, Atomic Energy, Postal Service, agriculture

    Prior Permission

    General Rule-No prior permission required-100% equity

    By Exception-Prior Govt. approval needed-Equity Cap depending on sectorand market conditions

    Automatic Route

    Investing in India

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    I. Country Environment

    Source: Invest Commission of India

    FDI Cap in Manufacturing

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    Steel/

    Aluminium

    Textiles

    Electronics

    Hardware

    Chemicals

    Automobiles

    Auto

    components

    Gems

    Defense

    Equipment

    Mining

    genera

    l

    Atomic

    Minerals

    Coal/

    Diamond

    Industry

    F

    oreign

    EquityCap

    Domestic Equity

    Foreign Equity

    -100% Foreign equity in most cases

    -Manufacturing in defense, cigarettes, brewing, industrial explosives etc. subject toequity cap

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    I. Country Environment

    Source: Invest Commission of India

    Infrastructure FDI Cap

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    Powe

    r

    Telecom

    Roads

    Ports

    Aviation&

    Airports

    Petroleum

    Urban

    Infrastructure

    Industry

    FDICap Domestic Equity

    Foreign Equity

    -100% Foreign equity permitted in power, roads, petroleum, urban infrastructure

    -Equity cap in Telecom, Aviation & airports

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    I. Country Environment

    Source: Invest Commission of India

    Services FDI Cap

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    Banking&

    Financail

    Services

    Insurance

    Retail

    RealEstate&

    Construction

    Tourism/

    Hotels

    Entertainment

    IT/ITeS

    Business

    Services

    Venture

    Capital

    Industry

    FDICap

    Domestic Equity

    Foreign Equity

    -100% Foreign equity permitted in IT & ITeS, Real estate construction, hotels, tourism,films, business services & consulting, venture capital etc.

    -Equity cap in banking, financial services, insurance, retail etc.

    -Retail being one of the biggest and most promising industries is most hurt by the cap.

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    I. Country Environment

    Source: http:ibef.org

    RetailRetail growth

    $330

    $427

    $637

    $13.20

    $93.94

    $223

    $0

    $100

    $200

    $300

    $400

    $500

    $600

    $700

    2007 2010 2015

    inb

    illions

    Indian Retail

    Organized Retail

    -Contributes 10% to GDP, 8% of employment-Expected CAGR at 20-25% until 2016

    -$47B in 2007 revenues, 30% growth-68% revenue from exports growing at 35%

    IT/ I Te S

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    I. Country EnvironmentTelecom

    -Revenues 2006 $20B, CAGR 21%-160M subscribers increasing at CAGR 38%-Staged to become the 2nd largest telecom network in2008 behind China-Worlds lowest call rates (2 cents/ min)-Thriving private sector-2nd highest FDI attractor

    -$7.7B market size, CAGR 19%, 2010 target $19B-Major growth in Television and Film segments

    Revenue growth20

    15

    1110

    9

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

    $Billi

    CAGR - 21%

    353402

    473562

    686837

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    2005E 2006F 2007F 2008F 2009F 2010F

    INR

    Billion CAGR 19%

    Source: http:ibef.org

    Medi a & En ter ta inm en t

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    I. Country EnvironmentAutomobiles

    -$34B market growing at 14%; 2nd largest 2 wheelermarket, 4th largest commercial vehicle market-$10M size in 2006, growing at 17%

    -$16B market, CAGR 30%-5% of GDP-Growth driven by IT/ ITeS, foreign businesses, risingincomes, consumer finance, organized retail etc.

    Size of Component Industry (US$ mn)

    3849 39654470

    5430

    6730

    8700

    10000

    FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY 06

    Source: http:ibef.org

    Real E stat e

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    I. Country EnvironmentPharmaceuticals

    -$8.7B market, 1.4% of GDP, CAGR 7%-4th largest market in world by volume, 13th largest byvalue-Currently only 30% of population tapped for modernmedicine-Huge base of talented scientists and medical experts-Local companies have 70% market share

    -$2B market, CAGR 37%-Exports of $760M-Bio-pharma is the biggest segment but agri-biotech andbio-services fast increasing

    Source: http:ibef.org

    Biotech

    8.2 8.79.4

    10.1

    10.811.6

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

    Projected Pharmaceutical market, 2004-2005

    0.50.7

    1

    5

    0

    0.5

    1

    1.5

    2

    2.5

    3

    3.5

    4

    4.5

    5

    2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2009-10

    Indian Biotech Market projected Size

    i

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    I. Country Environment

    Human Capital: critical mass of skilled manpower English speaking population Cost competitive labor Indigenous availability of raw materials Technology superpower

    - Software services grew at 50% CAGR over past decade- 65% of worlds CMMI level 5 cos. in India- Over 100 MNCs with R&D labs

    Entrepreneurial culture and abundant SMEs- Open to collaboration

    Large domestic market allowing scale economies- Growing youth segment with increased spending power ($42B/ yr)*- 300M middle consumer class expected to grow @ 8 %

    Fact or Advant age & M arke t Con di tion s

    C i

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    I. Country Environment

    Severe bottlenecks in road, airport, power, transportation Govt. commitment to ramp development

    -$13 B Golden Quadrilateral, $22 B Sagar Mala projects-$1.5 B investment in Mumbai-Delhi high speed freight corridor-New and modernized international airports in Mumbai and Delhi

    -Mobile telephony deregulated and showing vigorous growth-Electricity Act, 2003 passed, $75 B to be spent in 5 years

    Modern financial systems-ICT, Basel II compliance, RBI regulation-Retail banking, credit systems, microfinance increasing consumer finance

    Mature capital markets-SEBI regulations acquired international credibility-NSE 3rd largest in the world, BSE $640B market cap, Mutual funds $82B as of 2007-Private Equity $2.3B in investments; set to touch $25B by 2012

    Infr astruct ure

    I C E i

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    I. Country EnvironmentTo p citi es

    Kolkata

    Hyderabad

    Chennai

    Bangalore

    Pune

    Mumbai

    Surat

    AhmedabadDelhi

    Pop: 12.8MGDP: $40B growing at 8.4%FDI: $7.6B (23% of total)

    Ind: Telecom, IT, Hotels, Banking,Tourism, Retail , Manufacturing,Construction

    Pop: 3.8MGDP: $8.8B growing at 10.1%FDI: $1B (3% of total)

    Ind: Textiles, Petrochemicals,Pharma, IT, chemicals

    Pop: 3.2MGDP: $7.5B growing at 11.5%FDI: Included in AhmedabadInd: Gems, Textiles, Chemicals

    Pop: 16.4MGDP: $50B growing at 8.5%FDI: $8B (25% of total)Ind: Films, Financial Services,Media & Entertainment,Textiles, Seaport, IT, engineering,Diamond polishing, Healthcare

    Pop: 3.2MGDP: $12B growing at 7.4%FDI: Included in MumbaiInd: IT, Engineering, Mfg,Automobiles

    Pop: 6.8MGDP: $14.7B growing at 10.3%FDI: $2.3B (6.8% of total)

    Ind: Electronics & Telecom, IT,Biotech, Auto, Apparel, Real estate

    Pop: 13.2MGDP: $25B growing at 6.3%FDI: $0.4B (1% of total)Ind: Financial Services, , IT

    Pop: 3.6MGDP: $10.7B growing at 7.8%FDI: $1.3B (4% of total)Ind: IT, Pharma, Services,Real Estate

    Pop: 6.4MGDP: $15.8B growing at 6.2%

    FDI: $2.5B (7.5% of total)Ind: Automobiles, IT, Hardware Mfg,

    Healthcare, financial services

    Source: http://dipp.nic.in, compiled internet sources,http://mapsofindia.com

    I C E i

    http://dipp.nic.in/http://dipp.nic.in/http://mapsofindia.com/http://mapsofindia.com/http://mapsofindia.com/http://mapsofindia.com/http://dipp.nic.in/
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    I. Country Environment

    High foreign trade barriers: high corporate tax, complexindirect taxes, high tariffs, foreign equity cap etc. Stringent Labor Laws Corruption, bureaucracy Regulatory uncertainties in many sectors Strong IPR, enforceable laws, freedom of press,

    independent legal system

    Coalition govt. risky but fairly stable in terms ofsustained economic reforms

    Non- ma rket fo rc es

    E l F

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    External Factors

    Country

    EnvironmentGovt. Policy

    Competitor

    Capabilities

    II G P li

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    II. Govt. Policy

    Openness to foreign investments and operations-Sustained economic liberalization across all sectors-Increasing FDI limits except in strategically sensitive sectors-Continued reduction in foreign imports and tariffs

    Commitment to intl trade-Active participation in GATT & WTO negotiations

    Proactive regulations & legislations to enhance business

    environment-IPR legislations, RBI/ SEBI monetary & financial policies

    FDI & fin anc ia l p ol ici es refor ms

    II G t P li

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    II. Govt. PolicyEn abl ing Comp eti tion & C omp etit ivene ss

    Pa rtial / f ul l d is inve stment pr ospe ctsIndo Wagon Engg. Ltd.27%72%Heavy

    EngineeringJessop & Co. Ltd.

    Sterlite Industries50%26%MetalsHindustan Zinc

    TCS-100%ITCMC

    Group of auction buyers-90%TourismIndia Tourism Development Corp.

    54% Suzuki, rest IPO-100%AutomotivesMaruti Udyog Ltd.

    Reliance Petro Investments34%26%Oil & GasIndian Petrochemicals Ltd

    45% Tata Group26%25%TelecomVidesh Sanchar Nigam Ltd.

    Sterlite Industries49%51%MetalsBharat Aluminum Company

    Bidder/ buyerStakeresidualStake soldSectorPrivatized/ DisinvestedCompanies

    II G t P li

    http://images.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://www.gtforum.com/SponsorImages/nalco%2520blue%2520logo%252011aug04.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.gtforum.com/agenda/detail.asp%3Fagenda_id%3D108&h=125&w=448&sz=10&hl=en&start=7&sig2=e5sqW9I8fUYiGji_i40eCg&tbnid=yH6El2WGtL6c0M:&tbnh=35&tbnw=127&ei=a6cJSKH5CZnihQOc3JnDAw&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dlogo%2Bnalco%26gbv%3D2%26hl%3Denhttp://images.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://www.melcocastings.com/images/logo_ntpc.gif&imgrefurl=http://www.melcocastings.com/client.html&h=73&w=87&sz=4&hl=en&start=1&sig2=-svCkZ47DefHgmjeyQawNg&tbnid=gW5NAXg8YtLXgM:&tbnh=65&tbnw=77&ei=KacJSNayBY68gQPehtXJAw&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dlogo%2Bntpc%26gbv%3D2%26hl%3Denhttp://images.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://www.tiedubai.org/admin/imgdb/Indian%2520Airlines%2520logo1.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.tiedubai.org/fullevent.asp%3FNewsID%3D44&h=449&w=2669&sz=97&hl=en&start=1&sig2=pr6icZpLowVGY59dLPog_w&tbnid=G02fB-TTpNbFTM:&tbnh=25&tbnw=150&ei=DqcJSJf-C6P2hQO9huDCAw&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dlogo%2Bindian%2Bairlines%26gbv%3D2%26hl%3Denhttp://images.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://www.gemofnet.com/images/clients_logo/gail.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.gemofnet.com/clients.htm&h=35&w=75&sz=14&hl=en&start=16&sig2=eMnaCCEX_GoD1o8rg5DxTQ&tbnid=09o15rvdtaLpQM:&tbnh=33&tbnw=71&ei=zqYJSK7pKI68gQPahtXJAw&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dlogo%2Bgas%2Bauthority%2Bof%2Bindia%26gbv%3D2%26hl%3Denhttp://images.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://www.qbtpl.net/AISRA/sail_logo.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.allindiasteelra.com/section/tech_news&h=66&w=174&sz=6&hl=en&start=12&sig2=tC87wuTUMc8VZo-7kFL1zw&tbnid=eqeYrUx2bw7AcM:&tbnh=38&tbnw=100&ei=zqYJSK7pKI68gQPahtXJAw&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dlogo%2Bgas%2Bauthority%2Bof%2Bindia%26gbv%3D2%26hl%3Denhttp://images.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://www.siliconeer.com/past_issues/2005/February2005-Files/IT-LOGO-MTNL.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.siliconeer.com/past_issues/2005/february2005.html&h=99&w=300&sz=5&hl=en&start=5&sig2=7IlV70hsI7CQR4mfiUiosw&tbnid=KqcCbQQ3RPBpDM:&tbnh=38&tbnw=116&ei=cKYJSKyZIo-ugQPS7tTCAw&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dlogo%2BMTNL%26gbv%3D2%26hl%3Denhttp://images.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://www.flyoft.com/images/air-india-logo.gif&imgrefurl=http://www.flyoft.com/&h=44&w=201&sz=2&hl=en&start=7&sig2=Z0jDR03Lrm-FHcdrUsBYxA&tbnid=G5GQdchwpennfM:&tbnh=23&tbnw=104&ei=VKYJSL2LMIKGgQOm2I3DAw&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dlogo%2BAir%2Bindia%26gbv%3D2%26hl%3Denhttp://images.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://www.nlgi-india.org/images/small_logo.gif&imgrefurl=http://www.nlgi-india.org/aboutus.htm&h=84&w=68&sz=2&hl=en&start=11&sig2=qkmHnvNE9Vdl2ZslbeHRqQ&tbnid=Nr20TR5tBzuapM:&tbnh=76&tbnw=62&ei=OKYJSNSXOIemgQPU8oDDAw&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dlogo%2Bindian%2Boil%2Bcorporation%26gbv%3D2%26hl%3Denhttp://images.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://www.indianionexchange.com/images/logo_ongc.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.indianionexchange.com/clients.html&h=50&w=100&sz=10&hl=en&start=9&sig2=c5AVm4RIXEWqP4ZbbPq5NA&tbnid=Mt3Zu4ckrwzCTM:&tbnh=41&tbnw=82&ei=CKYJSL-LI5bKgQPm6tXDAw&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dlogo%2BONGC%26gbv%3D2%26hl%3Den
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    II. Govt. Policy

    Special Economic Zones (SEZ)- SEZs offering tax holidays, no import/ export tariffs- Along with physical infrastructure development could boost manufacturing

    capabilities

    Distortions in market processes- Purchase preference to public enterprises anti-competitive (concrete sleepers forrailways)- Deliberate interconnectivity issues between private telecom operators and BSNL

    Anti-competitive policies

    - Trade Policy: Anti-dumping measures, Inverted duty structures- Labor Policy: Exit difficult, Inspection regime creates high entry barriers- Frequent price regulations in commodities like oil, grains, coal

    En abl ing Comp eti tion & C omp etit ivene ss

    E t l F t

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    External Factors

    Country

    EnvironmentGovt. Policy

    Competitor

    Capabilities

    III C tit C biliti

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    III. Competitor Capabilities

    Innovative & Creativity-Knowledge of domestic needs & quick product roll out-Asian Paints, Tata Motors, Godrej refrigerators, Bajaj Auto, Amul

    Access to technology becoming flat-Mainly through JVs and collaboration: MUL-Suzuki, Reliance-Dow Chemicals,

    Hero-Honda, GSK-Ranbaxy-Global acquisitions: Tata-Corus, Tata-Jaguar, ONGC, ICICI Bank, Infosys, Aditya

    Birla group

    Access to global markets- Exports & Operations: IT, Pharma, FMCG, Textiles, Gems, Auto

    Strong domestic penetration-Monopolies in many manufacturing sectors: Reliance 54%, Grasim 91%, Exide

    Batteries 62%-Access to bottom of pyramid in the rural areas

    Local Firms

    III C tit C biliti

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    III. Competitor CapabilitiesMajor de als by Indi a In c. ab road

    Other Major Acquirers

    Acq. Corus Plc for $12BAcq. Jaguar &Land Rover for $2.3B

    Acq. Novelis Inc. for $6B

    Acq. REpower for $1.6BAcq. Whyte &

    Mackay for $1.1B

    Acq. Algoma Steel for $1.6B

    E t l A l i

    http://www.bigbase.in/images/logo-godrej.jpghttp://images.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://www.cartype.com/images/page/mahindra_logo.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.cartype.com/page.cfm%3Fid%3D1393%26alph%3DAll%26dec%3DAll&h=133&w=223&sz=52&hl=en&start=1&sig2=C6krNHZRqnGIZ5gtkLa2cQ&um=1&tbnid=wHHBE-nisJdZFM:&tbnh=64&tbnw=107&ei=3fv3R63KApTopgSowKmYAQ&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dmahindra%2Band%2Bmahindra%2Blogo%26um%3D1%26hl%3Den%26rlz%3D1G1GGLQ_ENUS240http://www.indiaprwire.com/downloads/611.jpghttp://images.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://bp0.blogger.com/_1pKvii0Z9Cs/RfvYUUHiqeI/AAAAAAAAAfE/JDREwCr0GvA/s200/asian_paints_31082006_8.jpg&imgrefurl=http://marketingpractice.blogspot.com/2007/03/asian-paints-every-color-tells-story.html&h=143&w=200&sz=7&hl=en&start=4&sig2=ZVMJdJXVFW4x1kj_p7VsvA&um=1&tbnid=Aian9nXBWVuISM:&tbnh=74&tbnw=104&ei=gvv3R9veG6mMpwTPsuCUAQ&prev=/images%3Fq%3DAsian%2Bpaints%2Blogo%26um%3D1%26hl%3Den%26rlz%3D1G1GGLQ_ENUS240http://www.bg-india.com/media/images/150_ongc.jpghttp://trak.in/wp-content/uploads/2007/09/wipro-logo.pnghttp://images.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://www.areasq.co.uk/images/events/infosys_logo_3.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.areasq.co.uk/casestudies/index.php&h=437&w=1119&sz=159&hl=en&start=1&sig2=APDpEQhs9RlxStJmJ5IdZg&um=1&tbnid=aMhk48hLmn9fHM:&tbnh=59&tbnw=150&ei=Fvv3R9fyG5aypgTtxM2WAQ&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dinfosys%2Blogo%26um%3D1%26hl%3Den%26rlz%3D1G1GGLQ_ENUS240%26sa%3DXhttp://www.sixsigmadss.com/images/Bharat%20Forge.gif
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    External Analysis

    Huge market potential, Value conscious consumers demandingbest quality for lowest prices, high cultural sensitivity Heterogeneous market, mostly fragmented few concentrated 3rd party distributors critical in supply chain to cover markets

    Global emergence of local players reducing leveling the MNCadvantage Unavoidable destination for IT, Biotech and Retail Monopolies, Collusion and Price rigging exist in some sectors

    -Pharma, Cement, Transportation, Petrochemicals

    Nationally strategic industries dominated by state entities Fairly stable economic policies

    Conclusions

    Fi L l F t

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    Firm Level Factors

    Value Proposition Resources &

    Capabilities

    Objectives &

    Motivations

    I C t E i t

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    I. Country EnvironmentMajor MNC s

    I C t E i t

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    I. Country EnvironmentMajor MNC s

    I V l P iti

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    I. Value Proposition

    Western brands but at value for money-Winners: LG, Samsung, Unilever, Reebok-Losers: Sony, Apple, Tang, Levis, Nike

    Customized and localized brands for the taste conscious- Winners: McDonalds, Unilever, Nestle* (Maggi), LG, Samsung, Nokia- Losers: Kelloggs, GM, KFC, Thompson, Philips, FIAT, Dominos

    Tight product positioning and customer segmentation-Winners: Parker, Mont Blanc, LG, Lee, Arrow-Losers: Pierre Cardin, Sony, Lacoste, Levis, GM, Ford

    Super accessibility to untapped segments- Winners: Gillette, ITC Ltd., Unilever, Nokia, Coke

    Sense dynamic local needs and innovate-Winners: Tata Motors, Godrej Appliances, ICICI Bank Ltd., Nokia-Losers: Citigroup, Standard Chartered, Motorola, Siemens

    Firm Le el Factors

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    Firm Level Factors

    Value Proposition Resources &

    Capabilities

    Objectives &

    Motivations

    III Resources & Capabilities

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    III. Resources & Capabilities

    Brand power-Penetration among youth and upper class (Lee, Reebok, L'Oreal)-Ability to lure local firms into collaboration (Suzuki, Honda, Wal-Mart, Dow

    chemicals)

    Deep pockets-Heavy investments in marketing & advertisements (P&G, Unilever, Pepsi,Vodafone, New York Life Insurance, Skoda, L'Oreal)

    -Ability to sustain long trial periods (Coke, GM, Sony)

    Unique aspects-Finance: Posco, Vodafone, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs

    -Technology: IBM, Coke, Sony, Apple, RIM, SAS, SAP

    -Operational: Toyota, GE

    Global experience-Knowledge economies out of learning from other markets: Org designs, local mgmt,

    localization techniques, local sourcing, govt./ local partnerships (J&J, IBM, LG, GE)-Ability to exploit scale economies (Hyundai, PC manufacturers)

    MNCs

    Firm Level Factors

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    Firm Level Factors

    Value Proposition Resources &

    Capabilities

    Objectives &

    Motivations

    III Objectives & Motivations

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    III. Objectives & Motivations

    Access to large and growing emerging market-Tap 300M strong middle class with spending power e.g. Levis, Nike, MTV,McDonalds, Yum!, Pepsi, Nokia-Tap other regional markets through India as a strategic hub e.g. Hyundai, IBM

    Access to low cost sourcing, investor pressure-Product sourcing: Walmart, Tesco, Marks & Spencer, Adidas

    -Material sourcing: Cummins, Hyundai, GE, Suzuki, IKEA, Ford-Offshore services: GE, GSK, Pfizer-Manufacturing base mainly for low end generic products

    Access to global intellect-MNC R&D investments-Local talent: GE, ABB, Volvo

    Learnings from China-To make early investments-Hedge against excessive reliance on China and other countries

    Conclusions Firm Level Analysis

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    Conclusions - Firm Level Analysis

    Consider how India fits the global strategy-Is it to grow, to preempt competition, to strategically strengthen domestic/ other

    markets, reap economies of scale/ scope, low cost sourcing?

    Is there a substantial value proposition you can offer?-Consumer tastes are diverse form those of developed or other emerging countries

    Evaluate resources vis--vis the strengths/ weaknesses ofcompetitors

    -Will you compete on cost basis or through differentiation?-Do you have the required resources that will be required?-The required capabilities to execute?

    Key Strategic Choices

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    Key Strategic Choices

    Greenfield-If focus is more on global markets and cost reduction through sourcing-If focus is use as regional hub e.g. GE, IBM-Exceptions if absolutely confident about local market Hyundai, Unilever, Nokia

    Acquisitions-Acquisition has had a bad record of legal issues including licenses, visa etc.

    JVs/ Partnerships-If focus is on domestic market, most sought after mode of entry-Tie up with local partner to mitigate non market forces (GSK with Ranbaxy)

    Mode of Entry

    Commitment of senior management and selection of local partners withcomplementary interests is crucial.

    Key Strategic Choices

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    Key Strategic Choices

    Decentralization preferable to Global strategy-Local CEOs (Pepsi, Hutch, Unilever),-If expat CEO, then strong local No. 2 (Hyundai, LG, GE)

    Understand Indian market & consumer needs-Hire local staff in key areas of marketing and operations (HLL, LG, Nokia, GE)

    -Make customer a part of product development (Schiller Healthcare)

    Comparative Performance Hyundai vs. GM/ Daewoo,

    McDonalds vs. KFC

    Localization & Adaptation

    Key Strategic Choices

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    Key Strategic ChoicesInnovation in logistics to cover markets

    Dispersed population, 70% in rural areas

    12 million retail outlets, underdeveloped transportation

    Many companies work with ~ 500 distributors, in addition to

    wholesalers and franchised outlets (LG, HLL)

    Direct sourcing from village farmers eliminating middleman

    (Nestle, PepsiCo, ITC, Reliance Retail)

    Retain Local Talent

    Most talent migrates to developed countries of the West forhigher wages and opportunities

    High Turnover rate especially in IT

    Create best possible incentives for employees

    Overview

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    Overview

    Organizing Framework External Factors

    Firm Level Factors

    Key Strategic Choices