india risk survey 2015 - pinkerton · 2020-05-09 · india risk survey 2015 | 5 executive summary...
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India Risk Survey 2015
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Disclaimer:
© Pinkerton and Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FICCI) 2015. All rights reserved. The content provided in the report is primarily based on data collected from the survey conducted by FICCI and Pinkerton. Though utmost care has been taken to present accurate information, FICCI and Pinkerton makes no representation towards the completeness or correctness of the information contained herein.
This document is for information purpose only. This publication is not intended to be a substitute for professional, legal or technical advice. FICCI and Pinkerton do not accept any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this document or its contents.
Report compiled & written by: Ravinder Paliwal (Pinkerton) Sumeet Gupta (FICCI)Sagarika Chakraborty (Pinkerton) Rashmi Sarita (FICCI)Niti Vig (Pinkerton) Osamazaid Rahman (FICCI)
Acknowledgment:We would like to express our highest appreciation and deepest gratitude to all those who gave us the prospect to complete this report.
INDIA CHAPTER
If a country could be a “buzz-word” then it is India at present, with its potential for economic growth in the coming years. India’s quest to invent solutions to accelerate its economic growth, is strongly interconnected with to its geo-strategic positioning, which not only aides to augment the net inflow of investments but also stands to reduce the impact of strategic and operational risks. The various risks associated in terms of financial frauds, cross-border issues, terrorism and the capability to combat the same through effective mitigation strategies, can be better managed by a nation by having the right partner countries. In addition to helping develop strategies, such partner countries put in the correct expectation in place of having a safe and conducive business environment for them to sustain ties – a basic necessity that any emerging country like India cannot ignore. The business environment has to be addressed holistically and all channels of governance, administration, law enforcement and judiciary have to collectively contribute to it. India has the right attributes with its independent mechanism exhibited through the judiciary and various other regulatory bodies like the Reserve Bank of India, Comptroller and Auditor General of India, etc. However, all the components of India as a country and well-crafted institution have to unite in efforts to achieve the larger picture that the citizens draw up for the nation as a whole.
The two critical factors – security of investment and ability to provide higher returns attached with convenience of doing business are measured worldwide through various indices. India has to work to obtain a better ranking on factors pertaining to Ease of Doing Business, Corruption Index, Intellectual Property Protection and other similar yard-sticks. These factors provide comfort to corporate entities and to an investor in assuring them that they have reached the opportune business destination.
The results of the India Risk Survey 2015 aptly reflect the changes in risk spectrum that India witnessed within the last year. While there is an overall sense of comfort owing to the recent political stability achieved at the Centre, the equally ardent need to deploy resources for handling corruption, information security and crime is evident as well. The recent set of economic projections depicting robust growth numbers for India have the potential for further improvement with parallel positive steps being taken to better the business environment and aid the overall scenario. We need to have stability and continuity of the policy regime and compliance to attract investment. We hope that the results of the survey will help us frame strategies to achieve that dream.
This survey is a result of the unwavering support from our fellow industry professionals. We would like to convey our earnest gratitude to all those professionals and organizations for their continuous endeavours to deliberate and mitigate risks, to make India a chosen business destination.
Foreword
Gurpawan SinghVice President - AsiaPinkerton
India has become a promising investment destination for foreign companies looking to do business in the country. The initiatives of the new Government like ‘Make in India’ with the aim of giving the Indian economy global recognition will go a long way in increasing the purchasing power of the common man, which will further boost demand and spur development, in addition to benefiting the foreign investors. The Union Budget 2015-16 was presented in the backdrop of an improving macro-economic situation. Measures announced like increased outlay for the infrastructure sector, lowering of corporate tax, etc., will not only provide a fillip to the ease of doing business in India, but will also set a clear road-map for double digit growth.
In such an economic scenario, risks to business establishments can prove to be a serious obstacle to development. In order to stimulate growth, we need a risk-free environment. India needs to urgently identify and assess factors that may jeopardize its economic achievements and could hinder future growth.
The India Risk Survey 2015 analyzes and quantifies ‘potentially destructive’ risks to business enterprises in the country. It provides a referral to understand the complexity of these new risks across the spectrum of stakeholders, i.e., policymakers, corporate and members of the civil society. It also aims to prioritize risks which will enable many industries, public and private, to allocate resources required for its mitigation. The survey is an attempt to sensitise the Government and the corporate world about the emerging risks and the danger they pose, so that a well-planned strategic policy decision could be formulated and implemented.
I am confident that this report will prove to be an important document for policymakers, senior executives and members of the civil society.
Foreword
Dr. A. Didar SinghSecretary General FICCI
India Risk Survey 2015 | 3
Contents
Executive Summary 5
Introduction 8
Trend Analysis 10
Overall Risk Ranking 14
Region Wise Risk Ranking 19
Industry Wise Risk Ranking 21
Risk Categorization 25
Risks - In Detail 26
Corruption, Bribery and Frauds 26
Terrorism and Insurgency 30
Information and Cyber Insecurity 33
Business Espionage 36
Crime 38
Strikes, Closures and Unrest 41
Accidents 44
Intellectual Property Rights 47
Fire 49
Workplace Violence & Sexual Harassment 51
Political & Governance Instability 53
Natural Hazards 55
Methodology and Respondents 58
4 | India Risk Survey 2015
India Risk Survey 2015 | 5
Executive Summary
The India Risk Survey 2015 (IRS 2015) attempts to showcase the views and perceptions of key business leaders, public figures, as well as professionals across various sectors and geographies regarding operational, safety and strategic risks. The survey spreads across the entire industry spectrum covering the different geographical zones of the country. The survey results will provide the industry and Government decision-makers with a very important tool to holistically analyze the impact of various risks so as to plan and execute strategies to prevent, mitigate or control the impact of these risks to business establishments.
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
Corrup
t o, B
ribe y &
i n
r
Cr ora
teF au
ds
o p
r Info mat
on
ri
& be
r Ise
cur
Cy
n
ity
Terro
rism
& Insu
rgenc
y
Bs ne
s Espi
nage
ui
s
o Crime
Se
re
trik
s,Clos
us
& Unre
stAc
dents
cit
Intell
ecua
l
Prope
rty Th
eftFir
e
Work
plce
Violen
ce
a
u
sn
& Sexal
Haras
met
l ta
&
n
Poi ic
l G
overn
ace
na
l t
I stbi
i y
Na ural H
azrds
t
a
10.269.47 9.24 9.23 9.03 8.87 8.32 7.93 7.70 7.54
6.855.54
(FIG
UR
ES IN
PER
CEN
TAG
E)
As evident, the survey encompasses 12 key risks that pose a threat to the entire economic system of the country; and though each risk is rated on a mutually exclusive basis for the purpose of the survey, a deeper reading would reveal their interconnectedness across domains.
Continuing with the trend evident from last year, the focus of the respondents for risk analysis continues to be on how the entire gamut of corruption, scams and corporate frauds are affecting the economy. In 2015, ‘Corruption, Bribery and Corporate Frauds’ continue to be ranked as the topmost risk. The recent news coverage and public uproar related to various cases involving major corporate houses, justifies this trend as having the highest mind recall value and has also been assigned the greatest concern in recent times.
Overall Risk Ranking
6 | India Risk Survey 2015
If one were to conduct a root-cause analysis of the major corporate frauds of recent times, a common cause that would emerge is pilferage of data / sensitive information. Information security is a growing concern keeping in mind the technological advancements and the tendency of corporate houses to create more and more intellectual property and competitive strategies. Any compromise with the same is interlinked with providing an opportunity for frauds and for the corporate to stand a risk of incurring unimaginable losses. The realization of every industry waking up to this as a looming threat is best defined through the ranking of ‘Information and Cyber Insecurity’ this year, which climbed up 3 positions from 2014 to be ranked at No. 2.
The entire gamut of risks faced by corporate houses has enabled a typical perception from respondents across the globe; they are concerned with both the gravest external threat and the most perceived internal threat.
Over the last few years in India, the rising threat of terror incidents in major cities has caused considerable alarm; the devastation from these incidents may have easily disrupted the entire business continuity structure of the land. This concern can also be said to be the fastest growing one amongst the Indian professionals and can be seen by the rise in ranking of the risk of ‘Terrorism and Insurgency’ from 10th position in 2014 to 3rd in 2015.
Similarly, when speaking of internal threat, the impact of business espionage can no longer be ignored. Recent occurrences only illustrate various modalities of insider threat and how it affects and compromises the health of a company. The rise in ranking of the risk of ‘Business Espionage’ from 9th position in 2014 to 4th in the current survey validates the stand to bring our attention to this shifting concern of business organization.
For any economy that faces the above-mentioned risks, the external threat or risk of ‘Crime’ cannot be ignored and the respondents to this survey have ranked the same at No. 5 in 2015. This is also supplemented by the growing instances of crime against women in India, which has not only come in for severe criticism within the country but has also been a topic of discussion in all international forums, affecting the image of India as a suitable business destination.
Top three risks in each region of India
North
South
East
West
Corruption, Bribery and Corporate Frauds
Strikes, Closures and Unrest
Corruption, Bribery and Corporate Frauds
Terrorism and Insurgency
Information and Cyber Insecurity
Information and Cyber Insecurity
Corruption, Bribery and Corporate Frauds
Corruption, Bribery and Corporate Frauds
Business Espionage
Crime
CrimeInformation and Cyber Insecurity
India Risk Survey 2015 | 7
Top three risks across industrial sectors
OVERALL RISK RANKING - YEARLY TRENDS
Sector No. 1 Risk No. 2 Risk No. 3 Risk
Manufacturing Strikes, Closures and Unrest
Corruption, Bribery and Corporate Frauds
Intellectual Property Theft
IT/ ITES Information and Cyber Insecurity
Business Espionage Workplace Violence and Sexual Harassment
Security Services
Information and Cyber Insecurity
Corruption, Bribery and Corporate Frauds
Terrorism and Insurgency
Education Terrorism and Insurgency
Crime Workplace Violence and Sexual Harassment
Financial Services
Corruption, Bribery and Corporate Frauds
Information and Cyber Insecurity
Business Espionage
Government / PSU
Terrorism and Insurgency
Accidents Corruption, Bribery and Corporate Frauds
Infrastructure Crime Corruption, Bribery and Corporate Frauds
Strikes, Closures and Unrest
0
5
10
15
12
34
56
78
910
1112
1
5
109
42
76
12
8
3
11
43
78
6
1
910
5
12
2
11
Corruption, Bribery & Corporate
Frauds
Information & Cyber
Insecurity
Terrorism &
Insurgency
Business Espionage
Crime Strikes, Closures &
Unrest
Accidents Intellectual Property
Theft
Fire Workplace Violence &
Sexual Harassment
Political & Governance Instability
Natural Hazards
2015 Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
2014 Rank 1 5 10 9 4 2 7 6 12 8 3 11
2013 Rank 4 3 7 8 6 1 9 10 5 12 2 11
The analysis of the above illustration does indicate that the top five risks that impact Indian business environment include ‘Corruption, Bribery and Corporate Frauds’, ‘Information and Cyber Insecurity’, ‘Terrorism and Insurgency’, ‘Business Espionage’ and ‘Crime’. The risks of ‘Strikes, Closures and Unrest’ and ‘Political and Governance Instability’, which were earlier in the top five risk brackets have dropped in the rankings from No. 2 and No. 3 positions to No. 6 and No. 11 respectively. This is a major shift in the yearly trends primarily due to the positive impact caused by a perceived stable Government coming to power at the Centre post the 2014 general elections.
(Ris
k Ra
nkin
g ov
er th
e Ye
ars)
8 | India Risk Survey 2015
Introduction
Globalization is an exciting term to be well acquainted with for an emerging nation like ours. However, along with exciting opportunities it also brings a complex melange of strategic and operational risks. Often, the most ignored challenge is that apart from financial stability, without the proper infrastructure in place to balance the risks, a lot of projects can land up in limbo and, as a consequence, force companies to retract their businesses. It cannot be ignored that the rising technological risks, especially cyber-attacks, and new political, economic, social and environmental realities are adding to the complexity of doing business in the country.
Like all positive waves of change, globalization brings along with it the risk of being challenged by unfavourable external factors. With continuous innovation of financial instruments, rapid expansion of financial assets and the growing trend of privatization, a large volume of international floating capital has brought along enormous impacts on the economic safety and financial stability of developing countries. This in turn has led to the exposure of newer operational and strategic risks that were earlier unknown to economies like ours. The consequences at stake are large, with higher costs of compliance, significant damage and losses, and tarnishing of the reputation of the organization. Thus, it has become imperative for the industry and business leaders to focus on corporate risk management capabilities.
India is strategically placed to ride the waves of change that are flowing in. With a new Government at the helm, there is a lot of optimism among the domestic and global investors. The “Make in India” and “Skilling India” initiative of the new Government to revive manufacturing in the country and be globally competitive, is believed to kick-start the recovery of the Indian economy. Most importantly, the thrust of the Government is on developing infrastructure, encouraging domestic industrial growth, fiscal prudence and bringing in major policy reforms to kick start the economy. The Government has undertaken major reform initiatives in the banking, insurance and financial sectors, which will help the industry in addressing some of the critical risks they face.
However, the above milestones can only be achieved if supported by a proactive and preventive risk landscape. A proactive risk management strategy would help business to de-risk and cope up with the existing and evolving risks. Our present economic growth demands a prudent and nurturing risk culture at an enterprise level and, optimal utilization of resources in a cost-effective and efficient manner.
8 | India Risk Survey 2015
India Risk Survey 2015 | 9
This survey is a joint effort by FICCI and Pinkerton to highlight the severity of such risks and their impact on the industry, across economic sectors and geographical regions of the country. The results of the survey are based on a collation of a set of 12 risks that have been identified after a series of brain-storming sessions. The India Risk Survey 2015 thus aims to focus on the major risks that have the potential to adversely impact businesses. The India Risk Survey 2015 also provides inputs that we hope will help our business leadership in devising a risk mitigation strategy to create a secure business environment. The applicability of the risks to an organization can vary and this document should only be treated as a humble input and not as a consultative or suggestive report.
India Risk Survey 2015 | 9
My compliments to FICCI and Pinkerton for steering the IRS over the years, rendering yeoman service in the security domain. This
compilation and categorization of the relevant risks is a good start point for any enterprise to strategize for their secure future. I am sure every well-meaning citizen as well as corporate, is concerned about the new world order threats and the associated risks. The industry as a whole
has to contribute with collaborative / synergistic efforts to mitigate the risks and thereby ensuring a conducive economic environment, which
will tone down the risk map of the country.
Raghu Raman, President – Security, Risk & New Ventures, Reliance Industries Limited
10 | India Risk Survey 2015
OV
ER
ALL
RIS
K R
AN
KIN
G -
YE
AR
LY T
RE
ND
S
0 5 10 15
12
34
56
78
910
1112
1
5
109
42
76
12
8
3
11
43
78
6
1
910
5
12
2
11
Corr
uptio
n,
Brib
ery
&
Corp
orat
e Fr
auds
Info
rmat
ion
& C
yber
In
secu
rity
Terr
oris
m
&
Insu
rgen
cy
Busi
ness
Es
pion
age
Crim
e St
rikes
, Cl
osur
es &
Unr
est
Acc
iden
ts
Inte
llect
ual
Prop
erty
Th
eft
Fire
W
orkp
lace
Vi
olen
ce &
Se
xual
H
aras
smen
t
Polit
ical
&
Gov
erna
nce
Inst
abili
ty
Nat
ural
H
azar
ds
2015
Ran
k1
23
45
67
89
1011
12
2014
Ran
k1
510
94
27
612
83
11
2013
Ran
k4
37
86
19
105
122
11
Trend Analysis
Whi
le a
naly
zing
the
tren
ds fo
r the
top
risks
that
impa
ct c
orpo
rate
Indi
a, it
em
erge
s th
at ‘C
orru
ptio
n,
Brib
ery
and
Cor
pora
te F
raud
s’ i
s ra
ted
as t
he t
op r
isk
for
anot
her
cons
ecut
ive
year
, w
here
as
‘Info
rmat
ion
& C
yber
Ins
ecur
ity’,
‘Ter
roris
m a
nd I
nsur
genc
y’,
‘Bus
ines
s E
spio
nage
’ an
d ‘C
rime’
ar
e am
ongs
t the
top
five
risks
. The
risk
of ‘
Terr
oris
m a
nd In
surg
ency
’ saw
a s
teep
rise
on
acco
unt
of in
crea
sed
inci
dent
s du
ring
the
last
yea
r. Th
e ty
pica
l nat
ure
of w
ork
of a
par
ticul
ar in
dust
ry /
se
ctor
doe
s in
dica
te v
aryi
ng p
erce
ptio
n of
ris
ks.
(Risk Ranking over the Years)
India Risk Survey 2015 | 11
Factors Influencing the Risk Gainers
Terrorism and Insurgency
Business Espionage
7
10
33
5
2
89
4
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2013 2014 2015
Terrorism & Insurgency Information & Cyber Insecurity Business Espionage
TREND
TREND
THREAT MAPPING
THREAT MAPPING
• Continuestoremainacomplex risk.
• Riseinriskperceptionover the last year - raising concerns.
• Growinginrecenttimeswith realization of business entities being exposed to unquantifiable losses.
• Attacksincludehighprofile bombings by Indian Mujahedeen (IM) and also ambush attacks by Maoists.
• Indiafacesincreasedthreats from various operational terror groups (of domestic and international origin).
• Tendencytonotreport/under report matter to authorities makes it difficult to get perpetrators under the legal ambit - provides comfort of gains surpassing risks of exposure.
12 | India Risk Survey 2015
Information and Cyber Insecurity
TREND
THREAT MAPPING
• Increaseintechnologicaladvancements has also consequently increased the threat of data pilferage.
• Modernevasivetechniquesand methods commonly in use to circumvent preventive security architecture.
• Increaseduseofsocialandcollaborative tools making it difficult to discern attacks.
Risk Assessment is an important step in preparing a Business Continuity and Disaster Recovery plan. A comprehensive risk assessment activity can
help an organization to recognise different types of threats it can be exposed to; the possible extent of damage and subsequently, required steps for damage control. India Risk Survey 2015 is an attempt to understand the contours of risk perception by various stakeholders, in order to present a blueprint to decision
makers for effective risk mitigation.
Harshavardhan Neotia, Senior Vice President, FICCI and Chairman, Ambuja Neotia Group
India Risk Survey 2015 | 13
Risk Ranking Comparison
Risk Ranking - Govt./PSU Vs Private Sector
Risk Ranking - Small Scale Vs Large Scale Industries
12
34
56
78
910
1112
4
7
1
5
2
6
9
3
1011
12
8
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Trro
rm &
eis
Inurgenc
s
yr
Crru
ption, B iber &
o
y
Corpora
e Frauds
t Inf rm
ation
o
C& y
er Inse
curity
b
F rei
Wrkp
lac Viole
ce
o
e
n
el
aram
& Sxu
aH
ssent
tuNa
ral z
Ha ards
Govt/PSU Private Sector
Accdeni
tsCrim
e
tries,
Closues
Sk
r
U& nrest
Bus ness i
Espionage
Pl
c&
v
o itial
Goernance
Instabil tyi
I tellet al
n
c u
roe
yhef
Pp
rt T
t
(RIS
K R
AN
K)
12
34
56
78
910
1112
1
8
54
23
9
11
67
10
12
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Corru
tion,
Brery
&
p
ib
rpa
Frad
Coor
te u
s
Terro
ri& In
surg
ncy
sm
e
I formati
on &
C yber
n
Ins
cuity
er de
nts
Acci
Inte
ctual
Prope
rty Th
eft
lleica
vea
ce
Polit
l & G
orn
n
stbil
i
Ina
ty
Turnover Less than INR 100 crores (USD 16.66 million)
Crime
Strike
s, Clos
ure s
Unre
&
st Fire
ss
spn
g
Buine
s Eio
ae
n
Work
plac
Vi lece
eo
& Sexua
l Hara
ssmen
t
Natural
Haz
ards
(RIS
K R
AN
K)
Turnover Above INR 100 Crores (USD 16.66 million)
The analysis of the risks as perceived by Government sector companies vis-à-vis the private companies reveals that Terrorism and Insurgency is perceived as the No. 1 risk by Government sector considering that Government infrastructure is often perceived as the prime target of terror attacks. The risk of ‘Corruption, Bribery and Corporate Frauds’ remains the highest concern for the Government as a whole along with the corporate tapestry of the land waking up to the increasing threat of Business Espionage. Amongst the larger companies, risks of ‘Information and Cyber Insecurity’, ‘Strikes, Closures and Unrest’ and ‘Corruption, Bribery and Corporate Frauds’ score high on the ratings vis-à-vis smaller companies, who view the risks of ‘Corruption, Bribery and Corporate Frauds’, ‘Crime’ and ‘Terrorism and Insurgency’ as the top risks.
14 | India Risk Survey 2015
Overall Risk Ranking
Overall Ranking of Risks
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
Corrup
t o, B
ribe y &
i n
r
Cr ora
teF au
ds
o p
r Info mat
on
ri
& be
r Ise
cur
Cy
n
ity
Terro
rism
& Insu
rgenc
y
Bs ne
s Espi
nage
ui
s
o Crime
Se
re
trik
s,Clos
us
& Unre
stAc
dents
cit
Intell
ecua
l
Prope
rty Th
eftFir
e
Work
plce
Violen
ce
a
u
sn
& Sexal
Haras
met
l ta
&
n
Poi ic
l G
overn
ace
na
l t
I stbi
i y
Na ural H
azrds
t
a
10.269.47 9.24 9.23 9.03 8.87 8.32 7.93 7.70 7.54
6.855.54
(FIG
UR
ES IN
PER
CEN
TAG
E)
As with the earlier issues of the IRS, this year too IRS 2015 presents the perception of the risks by business leaders, professionals in public and private sectors spread across the country. As with any country, India continues to face a dynamic environment with regard to the changing threat perceptions. The IRS 2015 has aptly captured the movement of a particular risk in the spectrum comprising a set of 12 risks.
India Risk Survey 2015 | 15
‘Corruption, Bribery & Corporate Frauds’ - for the consecutive second year ranked as No. 1 risk by corporate India, reflecting continuing concerns of businesses affected by scams and unethical practices.
‘Terrorism & Insurgency’ - moved to 2nd position of ranking, highlighting the need to re-align security standards & measures.
‘Crime’ - at a ranking of No. 5 highlights the rising crime graphs in our cities & major towns, the violence against women & children to be a major and country wide concern.
‘Political & Governance Instability’ - witnessed a steep fall to 11th position of ranking, indicating a positive trend of growing confidence amongst the corporate sector towards the change in reins of the ruling party & faith in the improvement of the overall security environment prevailing in the country.
‘Information & Cyber Insecurity’ and ‘Business Espionage’ - being ranked amongst top 5 risks indicate the growing concerns of the corporate sector on the increasing incidents of frauds and loss of confidential information / data.
16 | India Risk Survey 2015
Corruption, Bribery & Corporate Frauds: Continues to be recognized as the Top Risk
Despite infrequent reporting, corporate
India waking up to the threat - voted as No. 1
Risk twice in a row.
Over the last few years this risk
continues to affect the Indian business
tapestry.
Sense of prevailing hope in newer
Government initiatives to help reflect a
downward trend in the near future.
CORRUPTION, BRIBERY &
CORPORATE FRAUDS
Terrorism and Insurgency: Finds itself amongst the Top Three Risks
The states of West Bengal, Bihar, Orissa, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Andhra Pradesh,
Telangana & Maharashtra continue to be worst
affected.Steep rise in ranking to current position of No. 2 from risk
ranking of 10, in light of rising incidents
of terror and maoist insurgency.
The presence of external & internal threat indicates a definite requirement for the Government to ramp up the security machinery
within the country.
TERRORISM & INSURGENCY
Globally there is a growing sense of optimism regarding India. There are always risks of potential frauds and India is not ignorant to such threats. Drawing on lessons from the past, investors need to be cautious and ensure that a thorough due diligence is conducted
on potential investees to ensure that the funds are channelized appropriately and are utilized in the best interests of all stakeholders.
Deepak Parekh, Chairman - Housing Development Finance Corporation
India Risk Survey 2015 | 17
Information and Cyber Insecurity: Continues to be amongst the Top Risks
Growing trend of incidents having international
linkages indicate an urgent need to incorporate
suitable changes at policy , process & technology level.Newer & innovative
challenges emerging in the cyber security domain - the same
can also be validated by the upward trend
in risk rankings.
The main objective behind such crimes being financial gain,
encashing on access to confidential information
and disruption of business operations.
INFORMATION & CYBER
INSECURITY
Business Espionage: Makes an Entry amongst the Top Risks
Employees remain the most potent threat; need for the companies to do thorough
background checks and impart periodic training
sessions.Surge in cases & increasing admittance by corporate houses indicates the risk to
be a growing cause of concern.
Thin line between competitive intelligence and business espionage
being increasingly breached & the need to tackle the same by
private and Government institutions.
BUSINESS ESPIONAGE
Continuous security innovation and improvisation has become the key need to compliment the highly dynamic business environment of
e-commerce. The entire department of security and investigations, should be aligned with the business profit goals and should contribute to the same
using the formula, loss prevented = profit gained for the organizationGaurav Datta, Director – Corporate Intelligence, Security & Safety,
Flipkart Internet Pvt. Ltd.
18 | India Risk Survey 2015
Crime: Graded Amongst the Top Five Risk
Crime against women & children continues to be unabated which has had a direct impact on
the image of the country internationally on social &
business parameters.The continuous increase in the crime rate remains a cause of concern for India.
Increasing & strong need to monitor & analyze the crimes occurring across
the various regions / cities of the country in
addition to curbing them.
CRIME
India Risk Survey 2015 | 19
Region Wise Risk Ranking
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
Terro
ri& In
surge
ncy
sm
Crime
Natural
Haz
ards iF re
Buss
Esp
nag
ines
ioe
Work
place
Violen
ce
&
xul H
arasm
et
Sea
s
n
10.87 10.499.64
8.65 8.62 8.39 8.22 8.04 7.49 7.34 6.855.39
(FIG
UR
ES IN
PER
CEN
TAG
E)
r
,
Co ruptio
n Bribery
& Corpora
te Fra
uds
tica
n
Poli
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8.82 8.68 8.58 8.57 8.09 7.996.86 6.81
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Risk Ranking – Eastern Region
Risk Ranking – Western Region
0.00
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10.02 9.67 9.39 9.32 9.148.70 8.38
7.94 7.79 7.696.76
5.20
(FIG
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PER
CEN
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Risk Ranking – Northern Region
20 | India Risk Survey 2015
Risk Ranking – Southern Region
Risk Ranking – as Perceived from Outside India
The analysis of the risks of the four geographical regions indicate that the risks of ‘Corruption, Bribery and Corporate Frauds’, ‘Information and Cyber Insecurity’ and ‘Crime’ continue to be graded as the top three risks. As the incidents indicate, Terrorism and Insurgency impacts the country’s eastern region the most. The southern region, however, has seen most incidents of ‘Strikes and Closures’ and accordingly this risk has been graded as No. 1 in the said region. The respondents residing abroad have perceived ‘Workplace Violence and Sexual Harassment’ as the No. 1 risk in India which is a cause for concern as it directly impacts India’s image internationally and also influences stakeholder’s confidence.
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
Strike
s, Clos
ures
& Unre
st
nfoma
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9.97 9.76 9.729.17 9.09 9.08
8.47 8.277.60
7.076.10 5.69
(FIG
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0.00
5.00
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place
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7.75 7.39
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(FIG
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India Risk Survey 2015 | 21
Industry Wise Risk Ranking
Risk Ranking – Education
8.75
8.94
9.41
10.29
10.81
11.32
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00
Business Espionage
Accidents
Corruption , Bribery & Corporate Frauds
Workplace Violence & Sexual Harassment
Crime
Terrorism & Insurgency
Risk Ranking – Financial Services
8.27
8.45
8.81
10.52
11.30
12.19
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00
Crime
Political & Governance Instability
Terrorism & Insurgency
Business Espionage
Information & Cyber Insecurity
Corruption , Bribery & Corporate Frauds
(FIGURES IN PERCENTAGE)
Indian Government’s poise and determination to achieve robust growth is constantly marred by rampant corruption across industries, Education and Academic Publishing sectors not untouched. Serious
repercussions lie towards quality of education resource. Checkpoints and constant rigor of effort to curtail malpractices are a must and would lead
to a brighter future of not only industries but our youth.
Ratnesh Jha, Managing Director Cambridge University Press, South Asia
22 | India Risk Survey 2015
Risk Ranking – Govt./PSU
8.32
8.63
8.80
9.25
9.46
11.43
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00
Strikes, Closures & Unrest
Information & Cyber Insecurity
Crime
Corruption , Bribery & Corporate Frauds
Accidents
Terrorism & Insurgency
(FIGURES IN PERCENTAGE)
Risk Ranking – Infrastructure
8.40
8.81
9.68
9.71
10.48
11.03
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00
Fire
Business Espionage
Accidents
Strikes, Closures & Unrest
Corruption , Bribery & Corporate Frauds
Crime
(FIGURES IN PERCENTAGE)
Risk Ranking – Hospitality
8.63
8.90
9.09
9.69
10.90
11.58
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00
Workplace Violence & Sexual Harassment
Crime
Strikes, Closures & Unrest
Fire
Accidents
Terrorism & Insurgency
(FIGURES IN PERCENTAGE)
India Risk Survey 2015 | 23
Risk Ranking – IT/ITES
8.52
8.58
9.37
9.60
10.00
12.52
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00
Intellectual Property Theft
Crime
Corruption , Bribery & Corporate Frauds
Workplace Violence & Sexual Harassment
Business Espionage
Information & Cyber Insecurity
(FIGURES IN PERCENTAGE)
Risk Ranking – Manufacturing
8.90
9.40
9.56
10.16
10.38
11.19
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00
Crime
Business Espionage
Accidents
Intellectual Property Theft
Corruption , Bribery & Corporate Frauds
Strikes, Closures & Unrest
(FIGURES IN PERCENTAGE)
Risk Ranking – Retail
8.58
8.58
8.68
9.76
9.96
11.14
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00
Accidents
Corruption , Bribery & Corporate Frauds
Business Espionage
Intellectual Property Theft
Crime
Strikes, Closures & Unrest
(FIGURES IN PERCENTAGE)
24 | India Risk Survey 2015
Industry wise ranking of the risks presents a very divergent view of the risks as they impact various sectors. The financial sector faces the risk of ‘Corruption, Bribery and Corporate Frauds’ as the biggest risk, as compared to ‘Information and Cyber Insecurity’ in 2014. The Government sector perceives ‘Terrorism and Insurgency’ as the biggest risk as against ‘Strikes, Closures & Unrest’ in 2014. The growing incidents of crimes have impacted our infrastructure development greatly in 2015, as against the 2014 trend when ‘Corruption, Bribery and Corporate Frauds’ was seen as the biggest risk in infrastructure sector. The retail sector continues to see ‘Strikes, Closures and Unrest’ as the No. 1 risk. The respondents of the telecommunication sector, having been witness to rising incidents of cyber-crimes, have ranked ‘Information and Cyber Insecurity’ as the No. 1 risk. The security services sector perceives the risks of ‘Information and Cyber Insecurity’ and ‘Terrorism and Insurgency’ as amongst the highest risks due to the diverse sectors that they operate in.
Risk Ranking – Telecom
8.19
8.40
8.55
9.12
9.54
12.11
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00
Workplace Violence & Sexual Harassment
Corruption , Bribery & Corporate Frauds
Business Espionage
Fire
Intellectual Property Theft
Information & Cyber Insecurity
(FIGURES IN PERCENTAGE)
Risk Ranking – Security Service Providers
8.61
8.97
9.18
9.47
10.26
10.33
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00
Intellectual Property Theft
Business Espionage
Crime
Terrorism & Insurgency
Corruption , Bribery & Corporate Frauds
Information & Cyber Insecurity
(FIGURES IN PERCENTAGE)
Risk Ranking – NGO
8.39
9.67
10.26
10.49
11.31
11.89
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00
Political & Governance Instability
Accidents
Natural Hazards
Corruption , Bribery & Corporate Frauds
Crime
Workplace Violence & Sexual Harassment
(FIGURES IN PERCENTAGE)
India Risk Survey 2015 | 25
Categorization of Risk
Risk Categorization
The IRS 2015 categorizes the risks in three categories viz. Strategic, Operational and Safety risks. Strategic risks are those that impact directly the achievement of an organization’s business objectives. At the national level they are those risks which have a grave impact on the national security and its survivability. Strategic risks are majorly determined by the top leadership of the organization. Operational Risk is defined as the probability of loss occurring from the internal inadequacies of an organization or a breakdown in its controls, operations or procedures. Lastly, Safety Risk is the risk which has the potential to put employee safety at risk. These could be internal or external. Employees being critical assets to an organization, any potential hazard or threat to them affects the business continuity.
The graph below represents a particular risk that falls within the categories of either Strategic, Operational or Safety risks. The probability and impact of these risks illustrate their importance to the corporate sector. The categorization is generic; some of the risks considered ‘Strategic’ for some industries can be considered as ‘Operational’ for another set of industries.
HighLow Moderate
Hig
hM
od
era
teLo
w
Political & Governance Instability
Workplace Violence & Sexual Harassment
Strikes, Closures & Unrest
Information & Cyber Insecurity
CorruptionCorporate Frauds
, Bribery &
Business Espionage
Intellectual Property Theft
Crime
Accidents
PR
OB
AB
ILIT
Y
IMPACT
Strategic Risks Operational Risks Safety Risks
regime
Terrorism & Insurgency
Natural Hazards
Fire
26 | India Risk Survey 2015
Risks – in Detail
4
1
10
2
4
6
8
10
122012 2013 2014 2015
Corruption, Bribery and Frauds
‘Corruption, Bribery and Frauds’ retains the No. 1 spot in the Risk Ranking of India Risk Survey 2015
Trend
• TheriskofcorruptioncontinuestobeaseriousconcernforcorporateIndia.• WhileIndia’srankingintheglobalcorruptionindexsawanoverallimprovement
in 2014, ranking for the ease of doing business has seen a drop in the overall rankings.
• Various legislative and regulatory changes are being increasingly seen as aserious attempt by the Government to bring in transparency and accountability to the system.
India Risk Survey 2015 | 27
The Year-on-Year Ranking Story
The year-on-year analysis shows the growing importance and recognition of ‘Corruption, Bribery and Corporate Frauds’ as the leading risk to the Indian growth story. Various studies across industries indicate the maximum impact (on Indian companies in terms of both revenue and operations) being caused by frauds related to asset misappropriation, procurement, accounting, payrolls, counterfeiting and financial mis-statement. In a recent poll conducted and cited by The Economist1, 96 per cent of Indians said corruption was holding their country back and 92 per cent thought it has gotten worst in the past 5 years.
Further, as per the study by World Bank2 on the ‘ease of doing business’, India has a ranking of 142 among the group of 189 countries. India has also displayed a consistent rise in ranking in the Transparency International’s Corruption Perceptions Index3. While, in 2013 it was ranked 94th out of 175 countries, in 2014 it climbed up the charts to rank 85th compared to its neighbours Bhutan (30th), Bangladesh (145th), Myanmar (156th), China (100th), Nepal (126th), Pakistan (126th) and Sri Lanka (85th).
The only sight of relief is perhaps that the ‘corruption perception’ index by the International watchdog organization, Transparency International, has seen an overall improvement in India’s ranking from 94 to 85 from 2013 to 2014 respectively. This is a positive indication that Indian regulatory authorities are keen to implement policy changes that will indicate to the industry that measures to rein in corruption are being strengthened.
1 http://www.economist.com/news/briefing/21598967-graft-india-damaging-economy-country-needs-get-serious-about-dealing-it 2 http://www.doingbusiness.org/~/media/GIAWB/Doing per cent20Business/Documents/Annual-Reports/English/DB15-Chapters/DB15-Report-Overview.pdf3 http://www.transparency.org/cpi2014/results
DOMESTIC POLL - 92% Indians think that Corruption as a problem has gotten worse in the last 5 years
WORLD BANK STUDY - India ranks 142 amongst the group of 189 countries surveyed
TRANSPARENCY INTERNATIONAL’S CORRUPTION PERCEPTIONS INDEX - India ranks 85 out of 175 countries surveyed
28 | India Risk Survey 2015
Plunging Deep – Sector and Incidence Mapping
‘Corruption and Frauds’ in India has a far encompassing definition and spreads across all Governmental and non-Governmental sectors and domains. The Government sector along with the organized and unorganized corporate sectors have all been affected by frauds in recent times, irrespective of the nature and size of business.
Corruption, Bribery and Frauds – Reasons, Impacts and Combats
The reasons for the rise in the ‘Corruption, Bribery and Frauds’ risk category are varied and spread across multiple notions and theories. The popular explanation given for the rise of this particular risk is related to the economic state of India. Many are trying to survive the economic down-turn, despite the changing regulatory environment and the resulting pressure to remain profitable.
Common Frauds - 2014 (India Story)
Global Fraud Survey
Theft of Physcial Asset or Stock
Information theft, loss or attack
Corruption and Bribery
Internal Financial Fraud or Theft
Vendor, Supplier orProcurement Fraud
Management Conflict ofInterest
IMPACT
Loss of Credibility /
Investor Confidence
Lower Growth Rates
Brain Drain / Lack of Skilled
Manpower
Lower Foreign Investment
Economic Loss
India Risk Survey 2015 | 29
. Various steps have been put in place by the Indian Government and regulators in order to combat the growing risk of ‘Corruption, Bribery and Frauds’. In recent times, various amendments have been introduced to legislations like the Factories Act, Companies Act, etc. in order to comprehensively focus on fraud risk management and prescribes stringent punishment upon violation of its provisions. Further, through these already implemented changes and proposed amendments, focus is being put on the following:
• Prescribing greater responsibility and increased accountability for independentdirectors and auditors.
• Wideningrecognitionoftheroleofwhistle-blowerincontrollingtheinstancesoffraud.
• Mandatingproperandeffectiveduediligenceprocessesforproposedbusinesstransactions.
• Overall endeavour by financial institutions in India to recognize and report theincidents of frauds.
The modern outlook of the causes for NPAs, viz. the manifestation of strategic and operational risks, in additional to financial
risk, is juxtaposed with the traditional outlook of NPAs caused by financial turnarounds that increase the borrowers’ liability. Taking the
NPA bull by horn is a challenge, but not impossible if the internal processes are modelled on a more pre-emptive framework, where due
diligence is the key at every stage of the loan lifecycle.
B Mahapatra, ex Executive Director, Reserve Bank of India
FACTORIES ACT (2013) - Attempts to bring in transparency and accountability in the system
COMPANIES ACT (2013) - Attempts to focus comprehensively on fraud risk management and prescribes stringent punishment upon the violation of its provisions
THE LOKPAL AND LOKAYUKTAS ACT (2013) - Attempts to provide for the establishment of the institution of Lokpal to inquire into allegations of corruption against certain public functionaries in India
WHISTLE BLOWERS PROTECTION ACT (2011) - Attempts to provide a mechanism to investigate alleged corruption and misuse of power by public servants and also protect anyone who exposes alleged wrong-doing in Government bodies, projects and offices.
EXISTING STATUTORY COVERS - (a) Indian Penal Code (1860)(b) Income Tax Act (1961)(c) The Prevention of Corruption Act (1988)
(d) The Benami Transactions (Prohibition) Act (1988)(e) Prevention of Money Laundering Act (2002)
30 | India Risk Survey 2015
Terrorism and Insurgency
2
7
10
3
0
2
4
6
8
10
122012 2013 2014 2015
‘Terrorism and Insurgency’ climbs 7 places to attain the No. 3 position in the Risk Ranking of India Risk Survey 2015
Trend• Terrorismandinsurgencyrelatedincidentssawamarginalincreasein2014.• The States of Chhattisgarh and Jharkhand recorded maximum number of
incidents related to Left Wing Extremism, whereas maximum terror related incidents were reported from Assam.
The Year-on-Year Ranking Story
Terrorism has been one of the growing concerns for the Indian sub-continent in recent times. After the year 2000, serious attempts were made to stop the growing menace and India has been successful in combating causalities caused by terrorism. Incidents like the Mumbai attack in 2008 and other recent insurgent attacks in various parts of the country seem to be pushing the trend upwards.
To turn our attention to the Global Rankings, India ranks 6th on the Global Terrorism Index of 20144 (as provided by the Institute of Economics and Peace) out of a surveyed base of 162 countries. Another study conducted by the same institute, titled Global Peace Index 2014, also highlights the need for India to work on it’s internal conflict issues.5
Plunging Deep – Incidence Mapping
After numerous terrorist attacks over the last few years, India still stands. There have been a series of arrests wherein 77 people were nabbed across the country in 2014, in connection with terrorist plots and subversive activities. India has been on the radar of terrorists throughout the year. Sporadic terrorist activities were reported from the active regions. Jammu and Kashmir (J&K) reported an attack in March 2014, preceded by an ambush in Chhattisgarh. Similar attacks were witnessed in Assam.
4 http://www.dnaindia.com/india/report-global-terror-index-india-scores-786-on-a-scale-of-10-2037621 5 http://www.counterview.net/2014/08/global-peace-index-ranking-india-143rd.html
India Risk Survey 2015 | 31
In 2013-14, 205 of the country’s 640 districts continued to be afflicted by insurgent and terrorist activities, including 120 districts where the Maoists remained active; 20 districts in J&K were afflicted by Islamist separatist terrorism; and 65 districts in six north-eastern states where numerous terrorist and insurgent formations operate.
6 http://www.satp.org/satporgtp/countries/india/maoist/data_sheets/fatalitiesnaxal13.htm
• In 2013, around70per cent of attackswerenon-lethal.Therewere attacksby 43 terrorist groups who can be categorized as - Islamists, Separatists and Communists.
• Communistterroristgroups(Maoists)arebyfarthemostfrequentperpetratorsand the main cause of deaths in India.
• PoliceareoverwhelminglythebiggesttargetsofMaoists,accountingforhalfof all deaths and injuries. This is mainly through armed assaults, which have killed 85, and through bombings and explosions, which have claimed 43 lives.
• Separatistgroups,includingthoseinAssamandMeghalaya,wereresponsiblefor 16 per cent of the deaths.
Source: Global Terrorism Index 2014 (Institute of Economics and Peace)
The analysis of fatalities pattern6 indicates that the Indian states of Chhattisgarh and Jharkhand remained most prone to the incidents of Left Wing Extremism during the last three years 2013 - 2015. More than 50 per cent of the total fatalities reported across India occurred in these two states. The Indian state of Assam witnessed majority of incidents related to terrorism during the last three years, i.e. 2013 to 2015. Maximum fatalities were reported in 2014 from Assam which stood at 305 vis-à-vis 101 in 2013. Terror related deaths in the state of Jammu and Kashmir also saw a marginal increase in 2014 with a figure of 193 vis- à -vis 181 in 2013.
Businesses are exposed to the intrinsic risks of political, economic and financial market developments, both global and regional. How fast one manages
to get back to ‘business as usual’ in the event of a terrorist attack, fire, flood or any other major interruption, will depend on the effectiveness of the risk
mitigation plan one puts into use. The study of risks is thus an important part of business continuity management for an organization.
Dr. Jyotsna Suri, President, FICCI and CMD, Bharat Hotels Ltd.
32 | India Risk Survey 2015
Terrorism and Insurgency – Impact and Combat
Between terrorism and insurgency, India has suffered on multiple fronts. Apart from creating a vulnerable domestic environment with sceptical citizens, terrorism also affects the way the world sees a country as a potential business opportunity.
Realizing this, the Indian Government has launched multiple policy and strategy-led initiatives in order to ensure a peaceful life for its citizens and also to provide for comfort when it comes to grooming the business landscape of the land.
Source: South Asian Terrorism Portal
304
193
388407
161
408
2816
43
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
Civilians Security Force Personnel
Terrorists
2013 2014 2015 (upto Feb)
Figure: Shows the fatalities during terrorist attacks
IMPACT
Negative Impact on
Investment and Trade
Changes in Consumer Spending
GDP Decrease
Increased Cost of Insurance
Increased Government
Spending
India Risk Survey 2015 | 33
1
3
5
20
2
4
6
8
10
122012 2013 2014 2015
Information and Cyber Insecurity
‘Information and Cyber Insecurity’ climbs 3 places to attain No. 2 position in the Risk Ranking of India Risk Survey 2015
Trend• There has been a steep increase in cyber crime as per available data from
CERT-IN.• Themainobjectivebehindsuchcrimesisfinancialgain,encashingonaccess
to confidential information and disruption of business operations.• Increasedvulnerabilityandinstancesofcyber-attacksonmobilecomputingand
cloud platform.
The Year-on-Year Ranking Story
After the USA and China, India ranks 3rd in terms of prevalence of internet users across the world. This, while an indication of the growing technological advancement of the country, is also an indication of the perils that come along with such advancement when we account for the fact that India is also amongst the top 10 spam-sending countries of the world7. India was ranked among the top five countries to be affected by cyber crime as per the Internet Security Threat Report 2014 by Symantec8.
7 As per the 2014 report released by Microsoft - http://gadgets.ndtv.com/internet/news/india-ranked-fourth- in-list-of-spam-sending-nations-microsoft-4970488 http://www.itu.int/en/ITU-D/Cybersecurity/Documents/Symantec_annual_internet_threat_report_ITU2014 .pdf
Risks in all its form and shape is a reality; businesses not just in India, but across the world deal with risk on a daily basis. From dealing with terror attacks to cyber security to porous information silos that hold private data in public offices, risk mitigation has become a round the year concern for
businesses world over. As India continues to push herself to the centre-stage of the global economy, we can only expect a more heightened sense of real and perceived, risks and create an army of risk mitigation professionals to
make on-ground environment more conducive for business continuity.Dilip Chenoy, MD & CEO, National Skill Development Corporation.
34 | India Risk Survey 2015
Plunging Deep – Incidence Mapping
As per the NCRB 2013 Report a total of 5,370 cases were registered under the IT Act and IPC during 2013 as compared to 3,405 cases during the previous year (2012), thus showing an increase of 57.7 per cent in 2013 over 2012. As per available data, India ranks 3rd after the USA and Japan when accounted for the risk of being affected by online banking malware, with majority of the instances being attributed to phishing and debit / credit card frauds9.
This is truly in line with the global statistics - as per 2014 World Economic Forum Report, ‘Cyber Crime’ has been identified as amongst the top 10 risks that impacts the globe. As per the Internet Security Threat Report 2014 by Symantec global survey of end-users, 38 per cent of mobile users had already experienced mobile cyber crime.
Cases Registered Persons Arrested
2011 2171 1592
2012 3405 2004
2013 5370 3074
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
Figure: 2013 NCRB Report shows the statistics of IT Crimes registered in India under IT Act (2008) & IPC
9 Trend Micro’s 2014 Threat Round Up Report - http://gadgets.ndtv.com/internet/news/india-third-most- affected-by-online-banking-malware-report-543205
Risk management ensures that an organization is ever watchful and well equipped to handle any crisis effectively. Hence it is very critical for any organization to have this as one of the top priorities and embed the risk
management culture within the organization
Mahendra Singh Karakoti, Director Security –
Greater India, Schneider Electric
India Risk Survey 2015 | 35
Information and Cyber Security – Impact and Combat
It is incorrect to assume that information breaches and cyber-attacks only affect the individual. From an organizational perspective, it seeks to make an entire proprietary information base vulnerable and accounts for loss both in terms of money and intangible resources. Furthermore, on the national front, the advancement in technology makes the threat of such attacks rely heavily on the defence and security angle and demands utmost caution and vigil.
IMPACT
Affects Personal Saving
Breaches
Threat To National Security
Reputational Loss
Affects Organizational Infrastructure and Security
Decreased Business Potential
It is incorrect to assume that information breaches and cyber-attacks only affect the individual. From an organizational perspective, it seeks to make an entire proprietary information base vulnerable and accounts for loss both in terms of money and intangible resources. Furthermore, on the national front, the advancement in technology makes the threat of such attacks rely heavily on the defence and security angle and demands the utmost caution and vigil.
Keeping the above in mind, the Indian police have established special cyber crime units and Government has also set up cyber forensic labs across the country. The Government of India unveiled the National Cyber Security Policy 2013 on 2nd July 2013. Apart from the above legislations, the IPC seeks to cover the offences with regard to cyber crime that demand a seriousness of criminality. In recent times the Information Technology Act 2000 (amended in 2008), aims to curb cyber crimes and provide a legal framework for e-commerce transactions.
Objectives of Cyber Policy 2013• Establishasecurecybereco-systeminthecountry.• Framework fordesignofsecuritypoliciesandcompliancetoglobalsecurity
standards and best practices. • StrengthentheRegulatoryFramework.• Enhance&createNational&Sectoral level24x7mechanisms forobtaining
strategic information regarding threats. • ImprovevisibilityofintegrityofICTproductsandservices.• Createworkforcefor5,00,000skilledprofessionalsinthenext5years.• Providefiscalbenefittobusinessesforadoptionofstandardsecuritypractices
and processes.• Protectionofinformationduringprocess,handling,storage&transit.• Effective prevention, investigation and prosecution of cyber crime and
enhancement of law enforcement capabilities.
Figure: Snapshot of Key Objectives of Cyber Policy 2013
36 | India Risk Survey 2015
8
9
4
0
2
4
6
8
10
122012 2013 2014 2015
Business Espionage
‘Business Espionage’ climbs 5 places to attain No. 4 position in the Risk Ranking of India Risk Survey 2015
Trend• BusinessEspionageisconsideredtobeoneoftherapidlyemergingrisksfor
corporate India.• Employeesremainthemostpotentthreat;needforcompaniestodothorough
background checks and impart periodic training / sensitization sessions to their employees.
The Year-on-Year Ranking Story
India ranks 60th out of the total 148 economies considered in the Global Competitiveness Index10 of the World Economic Forum. The study that also considers business espionage, amongst other needs and combats of the economy, displayed insufficient contribution by India to combat its internal problems.
Plunging Deep – Incidence Mapping
Wiki leaks11 and numerous espionage scandals point towards the poor nature of controls on handling and storage of confidential data. The recent exposure pertaining to confidential documents having been leaked from the Petroleum Ministry is a grim reminder of the fact that Corporate Espionage remains a potent risk having wide ramifications. Allegations are that energy ‘consultants’ employed moles in the Ministry to routinely get tip-offs on policy moves, which they then shared with private oil firms for hefty payments. Apparently, although not corroborated, a ballpark figure of INR 10,000-crore (USD 1.66 billion) scam is doing the rounds12. The current scandal is also reminiscent of the Radia-tapes scandal that got blown up in 2010.
10 http://www.rediff.com/business/slide-show/slide-show-1-special-most-competitive-countries-in-the-world- india-ranks-60/20130905.htm11 http://www.thehansindia.com/posts/index/2015-02-25/Corporate-espionage-13364512 http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/opinion/all-you-wanted-to-know-about/article6925800.ece
India Risk Survey 2015 | 37
As early as 2007, a top Indian business house filed a complaint against its then managing director’s secretary, who was caught sending board meeting agendas to a rival via email13.
Corporate Espionage – Impact and Combat
Often corporate espionage is associated with technology-heavy sectors that include computer software and hardware, bio-technology, aerospace, tele-communications, transportation and engine technology, automobiles, machine tools, energy, etc.
While companies invest heavily in technology, it is equally important to establish company policies and procedures to prevent an employee from purposely / inadvertently sharing confidential information. Special care should be taken of the new employee who joins from a competitor. Employees must be encouraged to report potential violations, so that they can be investigated and resolved promptly.
The laws of the land also seek to combat instances of corporate espionage by general provisions of IPC, involving criminal conspiracy, theft, receiving stolen property etc., and also invocation of the Official Secrets Act 1923, which is meant to be used for instances that undermine national security. Data theft, often perceived to be the main reason behind an instance of corporate espionage, is also covered in India under the Information Technology (Amendment) Act, 2008.
13 http://www.business-standard.com/article/companies/corporate-espionage-is-not-new-to-india-inc-say-ceos-115022000432_1.html
As the business environment is becoming much more complex, factors affecting the outcome of business endeavors have become far too many,
demanding effective management of the risks attendant to them. Successful organizations manage these risks effectively to convert them into meaningful
business opportunities. The outcome of this broad-based survey, the quintessence of the risk perception of top industry leaders, on the 12 most
important risks that are organization agnostic, has remained to be a major source of input in guiding our risk management efforts.
Sethu S Raman, SVP & Chief Risk Officer, Mphasis
38 | India Risk Survey 2015
4
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2012 2013 2014 2015
Crime
‘Crime’ continues to be in the top 5 risks at No. 5 position in the Risk Ranking of India Risk Survey 2015
Trend• Thenumberofrapecasesinthecountryroseby35.2percentin2013over
2012 as per NCRB.• Anincreaseof52.5percentincasesofcrimeagainstchildrenwasreportedin
NCRB report 2013 over 2012.
The Year-on-Year Ranking Story
India ranks 143rd out of the 162 countries surveyed in the Global Peace Index14, by the Institute of Economics and Peace.
Amongst the Indian cities, as per the Crime Index of 2015, Gurgaon and Noida emerge as the top two Indian cities with high Crime Index and low Safety Index15.
Plunging Deep – Incidence Mapping
National Crime Research Bureau (NCRB) 2013 report indicates that amongst the top 10 states reporting incidents of Indian Penal Code (IPC) Crimes, the highest number of crimes were reported from Maharashtra, followed by Madhya Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu. The states that saw the highest percentage increase in crime rate from 2012 include Gujarat at 21 per cent, followed by Maharashtra at 15.6 per cent, Rajasthan at 14.8 per cent and Bihar at 14.2 per cent. Crime against women increased by 26.7 per cent in 2013 as compared to the previous year. There were 3,09,546 cases of crime against women reported in 2013 against 2,44,270 in 2012, with the highest number recorded in Andhra Pradesh. The number of rape cases in the country rose by 35.2 per cent to 33,707 in 2013 from 24,923 in 2012 with Delhi reporting an increase of 146 per cent with 585 rape cases in 2012 compared to 1,441 rape cases in 2013, which
14 http://www.livemint.com/Politics/pB9TRumrCih5IFtqEejuCI/India-ranks-143-in-global-peace-index-Syria-most- violent-R.html15 http://www.numbeo.com/crime/rankings.jsp
India Risk Survey 2015 | 39
is the highest in India. Delhi is followed by Mumbai, which registered 391 rape cases, tourist city Jaipur registered 192, while Information Technology hub Bengaluru registered 80 rape cases in 2013. Madhya Pradesh recorded the most rapes in 2013 among all other states with 4,335, followed by Rajasthan (3,285), Maharashtra (3,063) and Uttar Pradesh (3,050). The most horrifying fact is that majority of the offenders are known to the victims in 94.3 per cent of rape cases.
0
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Rape 21397 22172 24206 24923 33707
Kidnapping 33860 38440 44664 47592 65461
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Top 10 States for IPC Crimes
Figure: 2013 NCRB Report shows the trend of crime against women 2009 - 2013
40 | India Risk Survey 2015
Crime – Impact and Combat
Crime permeates across all social and economic strata of the country and affects many irrespective of social status and financial standing. There is a strong need to monitor and analyze the crimes occurring across the country with the purpose of regulating them. Though the task of crime regulation remains the responsibility of the Government, private agencies also play a decisive role in reporting them and putting in measures to control them.
Major Categories of Crime in India
ORGANIZED CRIME
(Illegal Drug Trade,
Arms Trafficking)
CYBER CRIMEPETTY CRIME
CRIME AGAINST WOMEN
(Rape, Dowry, Female Infanticide, Domestic Violence)
India Risk Survey 2015 | 41
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Strikes, Closures and Unrest
‘Strikes, Closures and Unrest’ slips 4 positions to attain a lower peceived Risk Ranking of No. 6 in the India Risk Survey 2015
Trend• Majority of strikes, closures and unrest have been reported from new
manufacturing facilities. • The incidents of strikes, closures and unrest are on the decline from 2013
onwards as per figures available with Labour Bureau.
The Year-on-Year Ranking Story
While India ranked 6th out of 25 countries in the Contigent Workforce Index (CWI) 2014 Rankings for Contingent Workforce Engagement16, the World Bank report on Doing Business in 201517 places India at a dismal 142nd position out of 189 countries surveyed with labour unrest being cited as one of the major parameters for distress.
The CWI report takes into account the potential for labour market efficiency and displays that India scores well in terms of manpower availability. However, a contrary report from the World Bank cites the lack of available skill set, disparity between management and union, and inefficient and archaic laws to be the major pull back forces that are preventing India to unleash its labour potential.
Plunging Deep – Incidence Mapping
The labour markets have undergone tremendous change over the last three decades. As per the India Labour and Employment Report 2014, majority of the unrest has been noticed in new manufacturing units.
16 http://www.manpowergroupsolutions.com/manpowergroup-solutions/Home/resources/71fa1428-b9b2- 4f23-a42d-9e108d9895a2/CWI_report_FINAL_Lores.pdf17 http://www.doingbusiness.org/data/exploreeconomies/india
42 | India Risk Survey 2015
Lately, the cases of strikes, closures and unrest in India have seen a decline. However January 2015 witnessed major unrest in two critical sectors of the economy — coal and banking. The unions of Coal India, the company which produces nearly 80 per cent of the coal in India, went on a five day strike, starting on 6th January 2015. This strike reportedly was the biggest industrial strike in the last couple of decades. The strike was reportedly called off on 8th January 2015 after timely intervention by the Coal and Power Minister. Yet again, the present Government averted a major strike,
REASONS FOR
UNREST
Wages
Service Conditions
Union Issues
Govt. Regulations
which would have involved 1 million bank employees in India to go on their longest strike in five decades by agreeing to work on an amicable solution by February 2015. The strike called by the employees of the public sector banks, which account for 75 per cent of India’s bank operations, was to be held from 21st January 2015 to 24th January 2015.
Manday Lost Workers Affected
2012 10951022 1098915
2013 3026341 741998
2014 1854877 361571
0
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4000000
6000000
8000000
10000000
12000000
Strikes & Lockouts (2012 -2014)
Strikes, Closures and Unrest – Impact and Combat
Based on an internal analysis and industry wide study, it is evident that incidents of strikes, closures and unrest do indicate that they often result in civic disturbance and violence. Also, the direct fallout of these incidents is the threat of increased financial loss to Indian and foreign companies operating in India and, more importantly, the reputational loss due to adverse media coverage affecting the business prospects and overall security perception of the region.
The country faces various issues leading to labour unrest and strikes. While a few stem from unclear regulations, the majority of the instances are backed by issues between the workforce and management on matters pertaining to wages, service conditions and other benefits.
Source: Labour Bureau
India Risk Survey 2015 | 43
To build competitive businesses, especially in the manufacturing sector, the managements will have to focus on collaboration, engagement, creativity, talent up-gradation and evolve a culture of productivity, quality and efficiency. Further, the problems with respect to the above are not recent and the Government has over the years introduced various measures to combat the same. These include formal policies, recommendations and also non-binding advisories to both the formal and informal sector.
Direct Impact on Organizational
Growth
Instable Political and
Labor Situation
Lockout- Increase in Unemployment
IMPACT OF STRIKES
Industrial Disputes Act, 1947
Industrial Employment
(Standing Orders) Act, 1946
The Trade Unions Act, 1926
While there are close to 44 central labour laws and above 100 state labour laws, unfortunately all do not address the concerns of the globalised economy. The matters related to industrial relations, are at present regulated by three main central enactments: The Trade Unions Act, 1926, Industrial Employment (Standing Orders) Act, 1946 and Industrial Disputes Act, 1947.
Subsequent to stable Government at center, the major risks for power & renewable sector now remain at State level on Political & Governance issues especially on regular tariffs revisions & compliance to renewable
purchase obligations. Strikes, Closures & Unrest will keep affecting 1) under construction coal thermal projects on account of non-clarity in new land
acquisition process & for short term political gains of local politicians and 2) Coal mining projects due to transfer of operating mining assets from
incumbent entity to new winners.
Dr Harish K Ahuja, President - Strategy & Corporate Affairs, Hindustan Power Projects Pvt. Ltd.
44 | India Risk Survey 2015
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Accidents
‘Accidents’ retain its position at No. 7 in the Risk Ranking of India Risk Survey 2015
Trend• Two-wheelersaccountedforhighestnumberoffatalities.• In2013,asperMinistryofRoadTransportandHighway,atotalof4,86,476road
accidents took place in India and 1,37,572 persons were killed. This translates into one road accident every minute and one death due to road accident in every four minutes.
• Delhirecordslargestnumberoffatalaccidentsamongallmegacities.
The Year-on-Year Ranking Story
Road safety continues to remain a national concern, with road safety injuries accounting for the leading cause of deaths, disabilities and hospitalisation, with severe socio-economic costs, across the world.
According to the latest World Health Organization report, India records the highest number of road deaths in the world followed by China and the USA. Within India, as per the last available Road Accidents in India (Report) published by Union Ministry of Road Transport and Highways, Tamil Nadu recorded highest number of road accidents in 2013, followed by Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh, Karnataka and Andhra Pradesh.
Tamil Nadu 31%
Maharashtra
27%
Madhya Pradesh
22%
Karnataka
20%
Major States Affected By Road Accidents In India
India Risk Survey 2015 | 45
Plunging Deep – Incidence Mapping
According to the data released by the Ministry of Road Transport and Highway, there has been a marginal decline in the number of road accidents, the number of persons killed and the number of persons injured in road accidents. The total number of road accidents marginally declined from 4,90,383 in 2012-13 to 4,86,476 in 2013-14. Despite the reduction in the number of persons killed during 2013-14, the accident severity (number of persons killed per
Figure : Road Accidents Trend
Accidents Killed Injured
2013 4,86,476 1,37,572 4,94,893
2012 4,90,383 1,38,258 5,09,667
0
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Source: Ministry of Road Transport and Highway
Source: Ministry of Road Transport and Highway
100 accidents) increased as compared to the previous year. These numbers translate into one road accident every minute, and one death due to road accident every four minutes.18
In the biggest industrial accident in recent years, six employees of Bhilai Steel Plant, Chhattisgarh were killed and over 30 injured after a gas leak in June 201419. There was an increase in structural collapses (11.22 per cent) in 2013 from previous year. Mumbai had the highest number of incidents of ‘Collapse of Structure’ (118 cases) which accounted for 50.0 per cent of injured persons and 55.8 per cent of deaths. Accidents related to mines or quarry disaster also increased during 2013. There were 955 deaths due to ‘Factory/Machine Accidents’ wherein maximum cases were reported in Aurangabad (200) which rendered one dead, while Delhi, Faridabad, Kanpur, Ludhiana, Raipur, and Surat together (100 deaths) accounted for 10.5 per cent of total such accidents.20
18 Ministry of Road Transport and Highway. “Road Accidents in India 2013”. New Delhi, Government of India. August 2014. Web: http://morth.nic.in/showfile.asp?lid=1465
19 Express News Service, “Chhattisgarh: 6 dead, over 30 injured in gas leakage at Bhilai Steel Plant.” The Indian Express, June 12, 2014. Web: http://indianexpress.com/article/india/india-others/five-killed-in-gas-leakage-at-bhilai-steel-plant/
20 National Crime Records Bureau, Ministry of Home Affairs. “Accidental Deaths & Suicides in India - 2013”. New Delhi, Government of India. June 26, 2014. Web: http://ncrb.gov.in/
Two Wheeler
Light Vehicles
Trucks
Other Vehicles
Pedestrians
Bicycle
Not Known
29%
17%
13%
12%
9%
9%
11%
Figure : Percent Fatalities 2013
46 | India Risk Survey 2015
Accidents – Impact and Combat
Accidents can cause huge loss to the exchequer and prove to be a great liability on the ruling Government to combat the growing menace through stringent application of rules and regulations. Majority of the accidents are caused owing to a boom in population and the absence of matching infrastructure and regulatory system, to match such high speed growth. The Government of India has in the recent past brought about stringent laws with respect to road rage, drunken driving, labour fatalities and has also arranged for various support initiatives in the form of highway patrolling, emergency support across cities and spreading awareness about programs for road and industrial safety.
Poor Adherance to Safety Instructions
Poor Compliance of Traffic Norms
Compromise in Safety Standards to Save on Costs
MAJOR CAUSES OF ACCIDENTS
India Risk Survey 2015 | 47
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Intellectual Property Rights
‘Intellectual Property Rights’ slips 2 positions to rank at No. 8 in the Risk Ranking of India Risk Survey 2015
Trend• IntellectualPropertyRights(IPR)beingincreasinglyrecognizedasimportantto
economic growth.• Theworstimpactofcounterfeitingofgoodshasbeenwitnessedacrossauto
parts industry, FMCG, pharmaceutical, computer hardware and software, alcohol, tobacco and mobile phone sectors.
The Year-on-Year Ranking Story
India’s need to strengthen its Intellectual Property Rights (IPR) remains an important adjunct to its efforts for maintaining present as well as ensuring future competitiveness.
Plunging Deep – Incidence Mapping
The Chhattisgarh sterilisation tragedy of November 2014 which left 13 women dead due to the counterfeit drug used during tubectomy operations is a grim reminder for India to address the threats posed on account of weak enforcement of IPR regime. Also, popular consumer brands and channel partners are turning the heat on India’s leading online retailers for not only undercutting prices but also encouraging the sale of counterfeit goods by sellers of dubious origins on their sites21.
There is an urgent need for integration of IPR into the country’s innovation and commercialization process. This has become all the more important with the present thrust by the Government of India towards “Make in India”. Looking at the recent pattern of incidences occured of IPR violation, counterfeiting and copy right infringement, effective measures need to be undertaken to improve this situation. The recently concluded Global Intellectual Property Convention22 in January 2015 at Mumbai also highlighted the need
21 http://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2014-12-03/news/56684849_1_snapdeal-counterfeit-goods-vivek-prabhakar
22 http://www.iprconference.com/admin/uploads/GIPC per cent202015 per cent20- per cent20IPR per cent20Policy per cent20Recommendations.pdf
48 | India Risk Survey 2015
for a draft National IPR Policy to holistically address the IP ecosystem in the country. It clearly indicates how greater coordination within the Government for enforcement will be achieved. One of the positive steps taken in this regard has been the decision to revise the Preferential Market Access policy and exempt the private sector from this requirement.
Intellectual Property Rights – Impact and Combat
The infringement of intellectual property rights has a far-reaching impact on loss of revenue and reputation. Further, it also gives rise to a parallel economy that is mainly funded by the channels of terrorism and other black money sources. This exposes a country to various threats including that of national security.
Realizing the impacts caused by such infringement, stringent regulations have been put in place in India. The Code of Criminal Procedure, the Indian Penal Code as well as the Patent Act, 1970, grant exclusive rights to the holder of the intellectual property as well as provides for punishment for the violation of Intellectual Property. Besides the amendments made in these acts, Special Intellectual Property cells are set up in major cities and suo moto raids are also being carried out. Further, there is also an attempt to bring about relevant amendments to various other legislations and set up industry bodies to further the cause.
India Risk Survey 2015 | 49
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Fire
‘Fire’ climbs 3 places to attain the No. 9 position in the Risk Ranking of India Risk Survey 2015
Trend• Major reasons for fire threatscanbeattributed tonon-compliance tosafety
norms and non-renewal of safety licenses.• Fire related incidents majorly reported from various sectors like railways,
defence, industries, city centres, logistics domain and during festivals.• Existenceofpoor infrastructureobsoleteequipmentand lackofpreparation,
including non-up-gradation of skills of firemen amplifies the threat.
The Year-on-Year Ranking Story
As per the Allianz Global Corporate Speciality Risk Barometer Report of 201423, fire accounts for 25 per cent of the business threats in Asia Pacific, including India. Compared to 2013, in 2014, India witnessed considerable number of fire incidents in domestic, Government (PSUs, railways, defence establishment and buildings), corporate (manufacturing, energy exploration, corporate hubs), important city centres and places of national importance.
Plunging Deep – Incidence Mapping
The fire services in India do not holistically support effective protection against increasing incidents of fire. Most of the fire stations lack special fire-fighting appliances and communication facilities.
In 144 towns having a population of more than one lakh, there is huge deficiency of fire-fighting infrastructure. In these cities alone, fire services need an additional 1,257 fire stations, 2,230 water tenders, 61 rescue tenders, 1,633 ambulances and 1,633 extra-heavy water tenders to provide adequate fire-fighting facilities as per norms fixed by the Standing Fire Advisory Council (SFAC).24
23 http://www.agcs.allianz.com/about-us/news/press-riskbarometer2014/24 http://ndrfandcd.gov.in/Fire.aspx
50 | India Risk Survey 2015
Snapshot: Fire Fighting Capability• Against70,868firestationsasperStandingFireAdvisoryCouncilnorms,only
1,705 Fire Stations exist.• Shortageof97.59percentfirestations,96.28percentfiremanand80.04per
cent fire tenders and rescue vehicles. • Urbanfireserviceshavedeficienciesof72.75percentinfirestations,78.79
per cent in man power and 22.43 per cent in fire fighting and rescue vehicles.
Source: NDRFANDCD, MHA India
Fire – Impacts and Combats
In India, more infrastructure is being built with every passing year; there is an urgent need that norms, as laid down under the National Building Code, 2005 (NBC) be followed. These norms give out detailed fire safety measures including safe exits and provision of staircases at appropriate locations. It is also essential that the organizations evolve detailed fire safety plans, which greatly help during an incident, as these plans capture all the essential and critical information about a building and the possible hazards that may be encountered during the handling of fire incidents. There is an urgent need for the creation of adequate number of well-staffed fire stations in each state to extend fire cover to all areas within a reasonable time.
India Risk Survey 2015 | 51
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Workplace Violence & Sexual Harassment
‘Workplace Violence and Sexual Harassment’ slips 2 positions to rank at No. 10 Risk Ranking of India Risk Survey 2015
Trend• WorkplaceviolenceandsexualharassmentcontinuetobaffleIndia.• Casesofsexualharassmentatworkplacearehighintheunorganizedsector.
The Year-on-Year Ranking Story
As per the 2014 survey of Association of Threat Assessment Professionals, around 95 per cent of the respondents recognized Workplace Violence to be a considerable threat across the organizations. As compared to years before 2012, the Society for Human Resource Management (SHRM) Survey on Workplace Violence reports an increase of 15 per cent in reported incidents of workplace violence, including India.
25 http://www.fairwear.org/ul/cms/fck- uploaded/documents/fwfpublications_reports/StandingFirmReportFWF2013.pdf
2011 2012 20130
10000
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11009 8570 12589
Section 354 (assault)
Section 509 (insult)
Workplace Violence Against Women
Source: NCRB
Plunging Deep – Incidence Mapping
As per a survey by Fair Wear Foundation, an independent non-profit organization, violence against women is one of the most widespread violation of human rights. Diverse forms of harassment or violence have been reported by a disturbingly high percentage, especially against workers in garment industries. Approximately 60 per cent of the factory workers have experienced some type of harassment at work, verbal abuse or physical abuse25.
52 | India Risk Survey 2015
26 http://www.business-standard.com/article/companies/17-women-face-sexual-harrassment-at-work-place-oxfam-112112700191_1.html
According to an opinion poll conducted by Oxfam India and the Social and Rural Research Institute, titled ‘Sexual Harassment at Workplaces in India 2011-2012’26, 17 per cent of working women in India say they have experienced workplace sexual harassment. The survey covered 400 women in Delhi, Mumbai, Bangalore, Chennai, Kolkata, Ahmedabad, Lucknow and Durgapur, across both the formal and the informal sectors.
Workplace Violence – Impact and Combat
Workplace violence provides for an unstable internal workplace environment as well as a poor perception of external stakeholders. This not only causes reputational loss, but often increases the cost of doing business for a company. The Government and the judiciary branch must protect the rights of the employees and ensure that their grievances are heard. Regular trainings to increase knowledge of employees, formation of anti-harassment policies and committees and employee helplines are some of the major preventive actions against workplace violence in an organization. Keeping this in mind and accordingly giving due importance and much-needed constitutional sanctity to this important topic, the Union Government promulgated the Sexual Harassment of Women at Workplace (Prevention, Prohibition, and Redressal) Act, 2013.
IMPACT
Increased Cost of Doing
Business
Stalling of Corporate Growth
Reluctance in Workforce Participation
Sceptical Foreign
Investors
Reputational Risk
Figure: Shows violence against women
India Risk Survey 2015 | 53
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Political & Governance Instability
‘Political and Governance Instability’ shows a drastic decline from No. 3 position to No. 11 in the India Risk Survey 2015
Trend• Theeraofcoalitioncomestoanendwiththeresultof2014GeneralElections;
the perceived risk has seen a steep downward trend and has fallen by 8 notches compared to the earlier ranking.
• Indiapolityseenasmaturing;keenonnational issuesrather thanremainingfocused at regional level.
• Theinfluencesoftheregionalpartiesappeartobeonthedeclineatthenationallevel.
The Year-on-Year Ranking Story
The 2014 Political Risk Report shows India doing fairly well in terms of perceived themes of governance framework, political violence, business and macroeconomic risk and societal forced regime change risk. India ranks 47th in this survey and also scored fairly high in the non-disparity chart between political freedom and social gains within the country.
-1.18
-1.21
-124
-1.27
-1.30
2013 World Bank Index for Political Stability and Absence of Violence (India)
20112010 2012 2013 2014
India
The 2013 World Bank Index for Political Stability and Absence of Violence in India also clearly indicates how the country is on a healthy upward trend of improvement and shows promises of robust growth. The associated graph clearly shows a healthy rise in the negative growth index towards a positive quadrant and better future.
54 | India Risk Survey 2015
•Therewerearecordnumberof434politicalpartiesatthenationalandregionallevel,over8,000candidates were in fray and the voter turnout was over 66.38 per cent, which has been the highest so far.
•BJPwon282seatsonitsownandhas336seatsalongwithitscoalitionpartnersoutofatotalof 545 seats. The total seat tally of all the regional parties was around 40 per cent of the Lok Sabha seats, the balance 60 per cent being in favour of BJP (52 per cent) and Congress Party (8 per cent).
•Candidateswonwithlargermarginsthanthepreviouselectionsthusrepresentingalargermajority of population support.
Changing Landscape
Prime Minister Narendra Modi is largely seen as the architect of the National Democratic Alliance’s (NDA’s) victory. It is analyzed that the PM’s ability to push key reforms early will further consolidate BJP’s position at the state level. In September 2014, Standard & Poor’s (SP’s)27 Ratings Services revised its outlook on India to stable from negative, citing the improved political setting of the country, which will offer a conducive environment for reforms, boost growth prospects and improve fiscal management.
Plunging Deep – Incidence Mapping
The general elections of 2014 and thereafter the state elections of Haryana, Jammu and Kashmir, Maharashtra, Delhi, etc. indicate a definite shift in the political dynamics of India. This transition is led by an evolving mind-set of the Indian masses that are keen to have a single party leading the Government at the Centre or the State. The era of coalition Governments at the Centre which began in 1980’s appears to be coming to an end. In this context the General Elections of 2014 gave forth some interesting statistics:
POLITICALLANDSCAPEIN INDIA 2014
Economic Growth
Numero Uno to PoliticalAspirations
BJP EnjoysStatus of Pan
India Party
Centre-States Relation
SeesImprovement
Majority inRajya Sabha
Crucial to PoliticalStability
27 http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/sp-upgrades-india-outlook-stable-negative-better-politics-market-cheers-move-1467354
India Risk Survey 2015 | 55
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Natural Hazards
‘Natural Hazards’ show a decline in risk perception with a rank standing at No.12 in the India Risk Survey 2015
Trend• Floods, earthquakes and storms remained the most frequently occurring
natural hazards in India.• Cyclone“Hudhud” inAndhraPradeshandfloods inJammu&Kashmirhave
caused approximately INR 27,608 crore (approx. USD 4.5 billion) damage.• Tourismandhospitalityaretheworsthitsectorsduetonaturaldisasters.
The Year-on-Year Ranking Story
India, on account of its geographical position, climate and geological setting, is the worst affected theatre of natural hazards in the South-Asian region. Drought, floods, earthquakes and cyclones devastate the country with grim regularity year after year. They are increasing in frequency, causing more and more injury, disability, diseases and death, adding to the health, economic and social burden of a developing nation.
As per the 2014 report of Natural Hazards Risk Atlas28, which assesses 197 countries on physical and economic exposure to 12 types of natural hazards, including flooding, storm surge, earthquakes, tsunamis, cyclones, wildfires and volcanoes, India ranks at No. 5 with a risk categorization as “extreme” ahead of the Philippines and Indonesia.
Further, as per the 2014 Mind the Risk29 report published by Swiss Re, the Indian eastern metropolitan of Kolkata ranked No. 7 in a global assessment of natural disaster risk. The report which assessed 616 cities around the world for five perils - earthquake, storm, storm surge, tsunami and river flood analyzed that about 17.9 million people in Kolkata face all five types of natural disaster risk. The other Indian cities that figured in the report are Mumbai (for risks from storms and storm surges), Chennai (for risks from storms and tsunami) and Delhi (for risks from earthquakes and river flooding).
28 http://maplecroft.com/portfolio/new-analysis/2014/02/19/natural-hazards-risk-atlas-2014/29 http://www.downtoearth.org.in/themes/DTE/images/Swiss_Re_Mind_the_risk.pdf
56 | India Risk Survey 2015
Plunging Deep – Incidence Mapping
Maple Croft’s Climate Change and Environmental Risk Atlas, 201430 reveals that 31 per cent of global economic output will be based in countries facing ‘high’ or ‘extreme risks’ from the impacts of climate change by the year 2025, with India ranking 20th in the said report.
From floods in Jammu and Kashmir to cyclone “Hudhud” in Andhra Pradesh, 2014 witnessed quite a lot of natural calamities in India.
One of the most destructive cyclones in the history of India, the tropical cyclone “Hudhud”, hit Visakhapatnam in Andhra Pradesh in October 2014.
Key Facts
• More than58.6percentof landmassprone toearthquakesofmoderate tohigh intensity.
• Over40millionhectares(12percent)oflandpronetofloodsanderosion.• Approx.5,700kms,of7,516kmscoastlinepronetocyclonesandtsunamis.• 68percentofcultivableareaisvulnerabletodrought.• Hillyareasatconstantriskfromlandslidesandavalanches.
Figure: Shows Vulnerability to Natural Hazards
30 http://www.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/content/383304/climate-change-and-environmental-risk-atlas-2014/
India Risk Survey 2015 | 57
31BharadwajSharma,2014.“FloodsCause₹5,700CroreLosstoJ&K;Trade,TourismWorstHit.”International Business Times, India Edition. September 15, 2014. Web: http://www.ibtimes.co.in/floods-cause-5700-crore-loss-jk-tourism-worst-hit-assocham-609093
Natural Hazards – Impact and Combat
Perhaps the most eye-opening event was the Jammu and Kashmir floods of September 2014 which were the worst in the past century. It caused over 200 deaths and blocked access to basic services for more than a million people. The floods impacted trade, vehicles, hotels, restaurants, horticulture and handicraft in the state. While the overall loss to hotels, trade, agriculture, roads and bridges is estimated to be around INR 2,630 crore (approx. USD 438 million); railways, power and communication in the hills may have incurred losses of over INR 2,700 - 3,000 crore (approx. USD 450 to 500 million). The worst hit was tourism industry as the state economy is heavily dependent on tourism related sectors like trade, hotels, eateries, transport. In 2013-14, service sector contributed approximately 56.5 per cent to state’s economy31.
It clearly depicted the vulnerability and the impact of natural hazards and the far reaching and lasting consequences. Further, the impact of such a disaster also helped in mapping of the interplay between the vulnerability of the geo-economic conditions and the omnipresent hazards that need to be accounted for.
DISASTER VULNERABILITY
UNDERLYING CAUSES
DYNAMIC PRESSURE
UNSAFE CONDITIONS TRIGGER EVENT
• Limited Access to Resources
• Illness and Disability
• Poverty
•Education, Training and Skills
• Population Expansion• Urbanization• Uncontrolled
Development • Environmental
Degradation
Lack of Institutions, • Dangerous Location• Perilous
Infrastructure • Low Standard of
Living
••••••••••
EarthquakeTsunamiFloodsCyclonesVolcanic EruptionsDroughtLandslideWarTechnological Accident Environmental Pollution
HAZARD
Ministry of Home Affairs (MHA), Government of India has undertaken several initiatives for building disaster resilient communities in India. In the recent past, several steps have been taken for strengthening existing preparedness, mitigation and response mechanisms of the states. This also includes release of funds by the Government of India to the State Governments under Centrally Sponsored Schemes (Plan and Non - Plan) and through externally aided programmes.
58 | India Risk Survey 2015
Methodology And Respondents
The aim of the IRS 2015 is to quantify twelve prominent risks and rank them as per their criticality to the respective businesses and regions of India by the IRS team. The methodology adopted included an online risk survey covering various industries and regions, both in India and abroad. The respondents included were from lower, middle and upper management professionals. The results that were received through this process are presented in the form of graphical descriptions along with the trend observed for each risk in the report. The highest risk has been categorized as No. 1 and the lowest risk is ranked as No. 12.
East8%
North45%
OutsideIndia8%
South16%
West23%
Legal / HR / Finance26%
Management41%
Other Risk Functions 11%
Security Management
22%
Region-wise Contribution
Industry-wise Contribution
Designation-wise Contribution
58 | India Risk Survey 2015
India Risk Survey 2015 | 59
60 | India Risk Survey 2015
India Risk Survey 2015 | 61
Garry Singh
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Pinkerton Consulting & Investigations is the world’s oldest
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Pinkerton enables businesses to pursue their business
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Established in 1927, FICCI is the largest and oldest apex
business organisation in India. Its history is closely
interwoven with India’s struggle for independence, its
industrialization, and its emergence as one of the most
rapidly growing global economies. FICCI has contributed to
this historical process by encouraging debate, articulating
the private sector’s views and influencing policy.
A non-government, not-for-profit organisation, FICCI is the
voice of India’s business and industry.
FICCI draws its membership from the corporate sector, both
private and public, including SMEs and MNCs; FICCI enjoys
an indirect membership of over 2,50,000 companies from
various regional chambers of commerce.
FICCI provides a platform for sector specific consensus
building and networking and as the first port of call for Indian
industry and the international business community.
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Pinkerton is the industry's leading provider of risk management services and solutions for organizations throughout the world.
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Pinkerton traces its roots to 1850 when Allan Pinkerton founded The Pinkerton National Detective Agency. Throughout its rich history, Pinkerton created forerunner to the Secret Service, hired the country's first woman detective, and has remained the industry leader in developing innovative security and risk management solutions for national and international corporations.
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The overriding principles of our firm are honesty and ethical conduct. To uphold our reputation for reliability and accuracy, Pinkerton places utmost importance on integrity. It has allowed us to sustain our commitment throughout our 160 year history.
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Our Values –
Integrity –
Vigilance –
Excellence –
Established in 1927, FICCI is the largest and oldest apex
business organisation in India. Its history is closely interwoven
with India’s struggle for independence, its industrialization, and
its emergence as one of the most rapidly growing global
economies. FICCI has contributed to this historical process by
encouraging debate, articulating the private sector’s views and
influencing policy.
A non-government, not-for-profit organisation, FICCI is the voice
of India’s business and industry.
FICCI draws its membership from the corporate sector, both
private and public, including SMEs and MNCs; FICCI enjoys an
indirect membership of over 2,50,000 companies from various
regional chambers of commerce.
FICCI provides a platform for sector specific consensus building
and networking and as the first port of call for Indian industry
and the international business community.
To be the thought leader for industry, its voice for
policy change and its guardian for effective implementation.
To carry forward our initiatives in support of rapid,
inclusive and sustainable growth that encompass health,
education, livelihood, governance and skill development.
To enhance efficiency and global competitiveness of Indian
industry and to expand business opportunities both in domestic
and foreign markets through a range of specialised services and
global linkages.
Our Vision:
Our Mission:
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