innovating banking for greater financial inclusion david ferrand, fsd kenya
TRANSCRIPT
Didn’t happen by accident
Technology changed
the game...
…regulation enabled…
...and players
innovated
Dynamism evident at all levels
I&M
NIC
CBA
Citibank
CFC
NBK
Co-op
Standard
KCB
Barclays
2004
I&M
NIC
DTB
CBA
CFC Stanbic
Barclays
Standard
Co-op
Equity
KCB
0 100 200 300 400
2013
Top ten banks by assets (KShs bn)
But especially in relation to inclusion
Stanbic
CBA
Baroda
K-Rep
NBK
Standard
Barclays
KCB
Co-op
Equity
- 500,000 1,000,000
2005
SMEP
Faulu
NBK
KWFT
Barclays
Family
KCB
Co-op
CBA
Equity
2013
Number of deposit accounts across top ten banks
Immediate future looks positive
Global Findex shows formal exclusion already down to 25% (2014)
800,000 accounts to be opened for the poorest
FinAccess 2015 could show only 20% exclusion in Kenya?
Italy currently shows 13% and the US 6%
But…
…many new bank accounts are not used…
Adults in
Ken
ya
Bank
acco
unts
Activ
e ac
coun
ts -
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
25,000,000
2013 data (FinAccess)
… and active accounts are only used monthly on average
SA
CC
O
Mob
ile M
on
ey
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Series2 Series4 Series6 Series8 Series10
2013 data (FinAccess)
Why?
Financial diaries offers some insights into the lives of the poor
Insufficient income
Income and expenditure is volatile
Managing liquidity a
daily struggle
Money should be working
Active money managers, using formal and informal
tools
How do we tackle this?
1. Financial tools need to be low cost to use
2. Solutions must be relevant to needs
The cost challenge
Food48%
Housing8%
Education11%
Energy4%
Commu-nications
2%
Water1%
Transport5%
Household items/
cleaning supplies
2%
Other needs18%
Budget breakdown of a typical low-income household
The cost challenge:
Reaching people
Bank branches + mobile money agents
Bank branches
Over three quarters of the population within 5km of an access point
The cost challenge:
The role of ‘collabatition’
Credit information
sharing
Payment system interoperability
Cash-lite
The relevance challenge
Short-term liquidity
Longer-
term investment
.The liquidity-illiquidity preference
conundrum
Financial assets are small, illiquid and informal
225,750
2,425 8,700
Physical vs. financial assets (KSh)
Physical Assets--Illiquid Physical Assets--LiquidFinancial Assets
Formal9%
Informal91%
Financial assets
Liquid10%
Illiquid90%
The relevance challenge
010
20
30
Percent
0 200 400 600 800value
Distribution of routine expenditures by value (%)
Most transactions are very small
What do people do now?
DEVIC
EMob
ile
Mon
ey
Saving
s in
House
ROSCA
2
Credit
to
Clients
ROSCA
1
Current
Account
Savings
Account
Investme 1 ASCA 1
Mbao Pension Rent arrears Joint liability loan
Borrowi
n from
friends
Electric
it
arrears Shop
Credit
Low income are active money managers: using different tools for different jobs
BALA
NCE
2885
774
-
5700
7005800
7300 2000 1800 600400
900
0
0
333
0
Flow
s %
In
com
e35
%
19%
12%
9%
7%2% 1% 1% 0%
0%8%
5%
2%
1%
0%
#TX
10 6
34
359
318 1 1 1
1111
6
6
4
11
Asset
sLiabiliti
es
Median household in
study used 14 devices
A relevant financial tool?
M-Kopa• 5m homes off electricity
grid• Spend KShs 20,000 pa on
kerosene• Poor quality light• Negative health
implications
Kerosene lighting
• Solar light system• Cost KShs 20,000• Sold on credit• Pay by mobile money• Flexible pay when you can• Remote switch-off using
mobile • Daily cost less than
kerosene• After a year own the asset
M-Kopa solar
Is M-Kopa a ‘killer app’?
Sceptical view
Why it is a killer
app
Builds value: an asset and free cash-flow
Copes with problem of
income volatility
Substitutes for existing cash-flow
Is the remote switch
needed?
Just a credit product
Where are the next killer apps?
• Start with value creation for the client• Revenue model consistent with cash-flows• Deep segmentation – one size does not fit
all• Link to the ‘real economy’
New business strategies
• Smart phones are coming• Data analytics revolution: credit• Value addition – combine finance with other
services• Semi-customised solutions
Technology again the enabler
• Leveraging social capital• Using local know-how• The human dimension
Informal solutions can point the way