instant replay in sports (statistics)

33
INSTANT REPLAY IN SPORTS Jonathan Nagar Weston McCollum Cody Kustrin De Nguyen

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Page 1: Instant replay in sports (statistics)

INSTANT REPLAY IN SPORTS

Jonathan Nagar

Weston McCollum

Cody Kustrin

De Nguyen

Page 2: Instant replay in sports (statistics)

Introduction

INSTANT REPLAY: The recording and immediate playback of a part of a live television broadcast of a sporting event (used by officials).

ISSUE: Controversial calls continue to affect the outcome of sporting events.

Page 3: Instant replay in sports (statistics)

Instant Replay JurisdictionNational Football League (NFL) Each team is allowed two instant replay reviews a

game (coach challenges). Challenges can be used on:

scoring playspass completionsout-of-bounds plays forward passed fumblesdown-by-contact plays forward progress plays touching of a kick and placement of the football.

Page 4: Instant replay in sports (statistics)

Instant Replay JurisdictionMajor League Baseball (MLB) Reviews boundary home run calls to

determine:Fair (home run) or foul.Whether the ball actually left the playing

field.Whether the ball was subject to spectator

interference.

Page 5: Instant replay in sports (statistics)

Instant Replay JurisdictionATP and WTA World Tour Tennis Review calls on balls in or out of the

playing surface.

National Hockey League (NHL) Review calls on controversial goals

scored.

National Basketball League (NBA) Review shots made before the buzzer.

Page 6: Instant replay in sports (statistics)

Questions To Be Answered Is Instant Replay at an appropriate level

in sports? Does Instant Replay have a positive

impact on sports? Does Instant Replay ultimately make the

games more fair?

Page 7: Instant replay in sports (statistics)

Questions To Be AnsweredConcerns: Does Instant Replay slow down the

pace of the game? Is it practical to implement Instant

Replay in Division II and III sports?

Page 8: Instant replay in sports (statistics)

World Cup: England vs. Germany

Page 9: Instant replay in sports (statistics)

Additional Controversies

MLB: Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Indians

Galarraga Perfect Game lost on final call. Philadelphia Phillies vs. Florida Marlins

Gaby Sanchez walk off hit ruled foul. (WS) San Francisco Giants vs. Texas

RangersDouble play was ruled safe at first base.

Page 10: Instant replay in sports (statistics)

Main Research HypothesisQuestion: Should Instant Replay be

further implemented in sports?

Page 11: Instant replay in sports (statistics)

Data Collection & PreparationCollection Methods Used Survey Monkey (Sample Size 40)

10 MC Scaled Response Questions.Used on Facebook as an event.

Interviews (Sample Size 20)

Target Audience Sports Fans/Followers

Page 12: Instant replay in sports (statistics)

Descriptive Statistics

How many hours a week do you spend watching sports?

0 to 5 - 13

6 to 10 -14

11 to 15 - 4

16 to 20 - 6

20+ - 3

Page 13: Instant replay in sports (statistics)

Descriptive Statistics

0 to 5 6 to 10 11 to 15 16 to 20 20+0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

Hours of sports watched per week

Mode is 6 to 10 hours

Median is 6 to 10 hours

Mean is 9.1125

Page 14: Instant replay in sports (statistics)

Descriptive Statistics Which sport do you

watch the most?

Baseball - 11

Basketball - 3

Football - 23

Hockey - 1

Soccer - 1

Tennis - 0

Other - 1 Baseball

Basketball

Football

Hockey

Soccer

Tennis

Other

0 5 10 15 20 25

Most Watched Sport

Page 15: Instant replay in sports (statistics)

Probability

Probability of choosing someone from our data who watches football the most.P(E)=23/40=.575

Probability of choosing someone that does not watch football the most.Using the complement rule: P(E)=1-

P(E)=.425

Page 16: Instant replay in sports (statistics)

Descriptive Statistics Have you ever

played sports at a competitive level?

Yes - 32

No - 8

80%

20%

Respondents who played a sport at a competitive level.

Yes No

Page 17: Instant replay in sports (statistics)

Descriptive Statistics Instant replay has a

positive impact on sports.

Strongly Agree - 23

Somewhat Agree - 14

No Opinion - 2

Somewhat Disagree - 1

Strongly Disagree - 0 Strongly Agree

Somewhat Agree

No Opinion Somewhat Disagree

Strongly Disagree

0

5

10

15

20

25

Instant Replay: positive impact?

Page 18: Instant replay in sports (statistics)

Hypothesis Test for Positive Impact

Page 19: Instant replay in sports (statistics)

Descriptive Statistics Instant replay is at an

appropriate level in sports.

Strongly Agree - 5

Somewhat Agree - 24

No Opinion - 5

Somewhat Disagree - 5

Strongly Disagree - 1 Strongly Agree

Somewhat Agree

No Opinion Somewhat Disagree

Strongly Disagree

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Appropriate Level

Page 20: Instant replay in sports (statistics)

Hypothesis Test for Appropriate Level

Page 21: Instant replay in sports (statistics)

Descriptive Statistics Instant replay slows

down the pace of the game.

Strongly Agree - 11

Somewhat Agree - 15

No Opinion - 1

Somewhat Disagree - 11

Strongly Disagree - 2

Strongly

Agree28%

Somewhat Agree38%

No Opin-ion3%

Somewhat Dis-

agree28%

Strongly Disagree5%

Pace of the game: slower?

Page 22: Instant replay in sports (statistics)

Hypothesis Test for Pace of Game

Page 23: Instant replay in sports (statistics)

Descriptive Statistics It is practical to

implement instant replay in Division 2 and 3.

Strongly Agree - 5

Somewhat Agree - 12

No Opinion - 7

Somewhat Disagree - 7

Strongly Disagree - 9 Strongly Agree

Somewhat Agree

No Opinion Somewhat Disagree

Strongly Disagree

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

Instant Replay: Used in Di-vision 2 and 3 sports?

Page 24: Instant replay in sports (statistics)

Hypothesis Test for Replay in Division II and III

Page 25: Instant replay in sports (statistics)

Descriptive Statistics Instant replay corrects

official/referee decisions.

Strongly Agree - 25

Somewhat Agree - 13

No Opinion - 1

Somewhat Disagree - 1

Strongly Disagree - 0

Strongly Agree

Somewhat Agree

No Opinion Somewhat Disagree

Strongly Disagree

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Corrects official de-cisions?

Page 26: Instant replay in sports (statistics)

Hypothesis Test for Correcting Mistakes

Page 27: Instant replay in sports (statistics)

Descriptive Statistics Instant replay

ultimately makes the games being played more fair.

Strongly Agree - 19

Somewhat Agree - 17

No Opinion - 2

Somewhat Disagree - 2

Strongly Disagree - 0

Strongly Agree48%Some

what Agree43%

No Opinion

5%Somewhat Disagree

5%

Makes games more fair?

Page 28: Instant replay in sports (statistics)

Hypothesis Test for Fairness

Page 29: Instant replay in sports (statistics)

Descriptive Statistics

0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2

-1.5

-1

-0.5

0

0.5

1

1.5

f(x) = 0.5 x + 0.125

Linear Regression Scatter Plot

Y

Predicted Y

Linear (Predicted Y)

X Variable 1

Y

Page 30: Instant replay in sports (statistics)

Conclusion and Recommendations The average (mean) for hours of sports

watched per week was 9.1125 75% of the sample played sports at a

competitive level at some point in their lives.

37 of the 40 people surveyed agreed that instant replay has a positive impact on sports.

65% also agreed that usage of instant replay slows down the game.

Page 31: Instant replay in sports (statistics)

Conclusions and Recommendations 29 of the 40 people sampled agreed that

instant replay is at an appropriate level at this time.

23 of 40 feel that it is not practical to implement instant replay in Division II and Division III sports.

95% of the sample agreed that instant replay corrects mistakes made by officials.

90% of the people surveyed agreed that instant replay makes the game play more fair.

Page 32: Instant replay in sports (statistics)

Conclusions and Recommendations Given the data collected, we determined

that instant replay should be implemented across all professional sports.

For the sports in which instant replay is already utilized, it should be refined and used to a further degree.

As a group, we collectively believe in the usage of instant replay for professional and college sports.

Page 33: Instant replay in sports (statistics)

Suggestions for Improving Study Conduct survey to broader age groups. Ask more questions regarding each

sport individually. Acquire a larger sample size with more

participants.