intangibles at the heart of global value chains and the covid-19 … · 2020. 6. 17. · production...
TRANSCRIPT
Intangibles at the heart of global value
chains and the COVID-19 recovery
Ari Van Assche
HEC Montréal and CIRANO
1
Whither Intangibles?
• Firms in developed countries increasingly specialize in production of intangibles in GVCs.
• An explosion in ICT adoption has boosted the value capture of intangibles, disproportionately benefiting well-connected global cities.
• A key question is how COVID-19 has affected the heart of GVCs –intangibles – and the global cities in which they operate.
3
What are intangibles?
4
Intangibles are claims to future benefits that do not have a physical or
financial embodiment (Lev 2001).
Intangible are different than physical assets
5
Intangibles production is concentrated
in developed countries
6Intangibles attracted by skill-abundance and more effective intellectual
property rights and capital markets.
Within developed countries, intangibles
are concentrated in large urban areas
7
Source: Balland et al. (2020).
The importance of tacit knowledge exchanges in the production of intangibles
implies that there are significant agglomeration economies.
Agglomeration economies
• Glaeser (2011): Americans who live in big metropolitan
areas are more than 50% more productive than those who
live in smaller metros.
• Moretti (2019): top 10 US city-regions account for nearly
60% of inventors in biology, chemistry and medicine.
• Crescenzi et al. (2019): concentration patterns of skill-
intensive activities in large cities have increased over time.
8
Urban areas rely on international
connectedness to produce intangibles
9
Urban agglomerations are rarely self-sufficient in terms of the knowledge base they
draw upon. Many local firms deliberately establish linkages to other locations
to tap into pockets of complementary knowledge that is unavailable or
more expensive locally.
Source: Bathelt et al. (2004).
International connectedness
• Miguelez et al. (2019): The share of international co-
inventorship in total patents has more than doubled since
the 1980s.
• Adler & Florida (2019): location of firm headquarters is
influenced by a location’s airport connectivity.
• Turkina & Van Assche (2018): international
connectedness positively effects a cluster’s innovation
performance.
10
Intangibles capture more than 30
percent of GVC income
• Lead smartphone companies
capture between 30 and 40
percent of total value added
(Dedrick & Kraemer 2017).
• Share of intangible income in
total GVC income exceeds 30
percent since 2004 (Chen et al.
2018). 11
New ICT-based industrial revolution
• New ICT technologies allow firms to unbundle ideas and
products, which allow them to specialize solely on the
development of intangibles (Teece, 2018).
• Emergence of factory-less goods production (Kamal 2018;
Fort et al. 2018)
• Growing market concentrations, mark-ups and profits in
sectors that intensively use digital technology, and
especially in services, wholesale and retail (Calligaris et al.
2018; Hsieh & Rossi-Hansberg 2019)
13
Policies to improve Attractiveness
• Develop policies to make a location more attractive to
produce intangibles:
– Boost human capital development (e.g. education and
migration policies);
– Strengthen intellectual property rights protection;
– Deepen capital markets;
– Combat tax avoidance by multinationals;
– Horizontal industrial policies to stimulate innovation.
15
Policies to catalyze local Buzz
• Develop place-based policies that facilitate the local buzz by
(1) increasing the density of people and firms and (2)
strengthening the network connections among players, e.g.:
– Subsidies to newly established high-tech firms
– Programs to facilitate private-private, public-private and
public-public collaboration
16
Policies to strengthen Connectedness
• Develop policies that strengthen a location’s
connectedness to the global knowledge network, e.g.:
– Facilitate the transmission of goods, capital, information
and people (e.g. airport connectivity);
– Service trade liberalization;
– Focus not only on FDI attraction, but also on international
business promotion.
17
Reduced Attractiveness
• Human capital development in cities weakened due to disrupted education and limited immigration.
• Strained financial system limits funding opportunities.
19
Diminished Buzz
• Gartner survey of 229 HR managers
showed that half of companies had
more than 80% of employees
working from home during early
stages of pandemic and estimated
substantial long-term increases for
remote work after the pandemic.
• Mass working from home reduces
serendipitous meeting and tacit
knowledge exchanges that feed
agglomeration economies (Allen et
al. 2015).20
Lowered Connectedness
• International aviation shrank
by 98.4% yoy in April, while
domestic aviation drop
86.9% (IATA, 2020).
• Protectionism stifles a firm’s
ability to collaborate with
foreign partners.
21
Final remarks
• The question whether
“COVID-19 has broken the
GVC” depends on how it
affects its heart – intangibles.
• Key unknown is how social
distancing has affected work
productivity, creativity, and
innovation.
• More research needed on
how firms will reorganize
knowledge management in
times of social distancing.22