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INTEGRATING CLIMATE VULNERABILITY & RISK ASSESSMENT INTO URBAN SPATIAL PLANNING PROCESS (CASE STUDY: BLITAR CITY, EAST JAVA, INDONESIA) SHINTA MICHIKO PUTERI, ST, MT. DR. IR. DENNY ZULKAIDI, MUP.

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Page 1: INTEGRATING CLIMATE VULNERABILITY & RISK ASSESSMENT INTO ... of CCSI 2014... · integrating climate vulnerability & risk assessment into urban spatial planning process (case study:

INTEGRATING CLIMATE

VULNERABILITY & RISK

ASSESSMENT INTO

URBAN SPATIAL PLANNING

PROCESS

(CASE STUDY: BLITAR CITY, EAST JAVA, INDONESIA)

SHINTA MICHIKO PUTERI, ST, MT.

DR. IR. DENNY ZULKAIDI, MUP.

Page 2: INTEGRATING CLIMATE VULNERABILITY & RISK ASSESSMENT INTO ... of CCSI 2014... · integrating climate vulnerability & risk assessment into urban spatial planning process (case study:

WRITER

SHINTA MICHIKO PUTERI, ST, MT

[email protected] ACCCRN Program Officer in Mercy Corps Indonesia Master, Urban Planning Program in Institut Teknologi Bandung

DR. IR. DENNY ZULKAIDI, MUP

[email protected] Assistant Professor in Institut Teknologi Bandung Doctor, Urban Planning Program in Institut Teknologi Bandung

Page 3: INTEGRATING CLIMATE VULNERABILITY & RISK ASSESSMENT INTO ... of CCSI 2014... · integrating climate vulnerability & risk assessment into urban spatial planning process (case study:

INTRODUCTION

• Climate risk assessment (CRA) as a major input for climate change adaptation planning process can address climate change challenge.

• Cities can maintain its environment quality, livelihood, and sustainability.

• Many methods of CRA already developed by research organization and its result is used by city government to be integrated into urban spatial plan.

• The current methodology is less workable for governments official’s with limited resources and capacity

• Integrated into spatial plan product, not the process, so there is no chance to improve urban spatial plan.

“This research aims to analyze a potential integration between spatial planning and climate risk assessment in order to develop a better planning process that considering climate change measures and its impact.”

Page 4: INTEGRATING CLIMATE VULNERABILITY & RISK ASSESSMENT INTO ... of CCSI 2014... · integrating climate vulnerability & risk assessment into urban spatial planning process (case study:

INTRODUCTION

CRA PROCESS CRA

OUTPUT

SPATIAL PLAN

PROCESS

SPATIAL PLAN

OUTPUT

POTENTIAL TO BE INTEGRATED

Page 5: INTEGRATING CLIMATE VULNERABILITY & RISK ASSESSMENT INTO ... of CCSI 2014... · integrating climate vulnerability & risk assessment into urban spatial planning process (case study:

THEORETICAL

FRAMEWORK

Climate Change Study

Causes, Impacts, Implications

Basic & Definition

Approach & Respond Strategy

Mitigation Approach

Adaptation Approach

Climate City Resilience Planning

Vulnerability & Risk Assessment

Adaptive Capacity

Adaptation Strategy

Spatial Planning Process

Data Analytical Stage

Data Collection Stage

INTEGRATION

Disaster Management as one of Climate Respond Strategy

Page 6: INTEGRATING CLIMATE VULNERABILITY & RISK ASSESSMENT INTO ... of CCSI 2014... · integrating climate vulnerability & risk assessment into urban spatial planning process (case study:

APPROACH & CASE

STUDY

Development of method framework of integrating CRA into urban spatial planning process

Pilot the method to cities in Indonesia using single case study of Blitar City

Method refinement

Page 7: INTEGRATING CLIMATE VULNERABILITY & RISK ASSESSMENT INTO ... of CCSI 2014... · integrating climate vulnerability & risk assessment into urban spatial planning process (case study:

APPROACH & CASE

STUDY

Methods used in this research are content analysis which is used in generating method framework of integration; and spatial multi criteria assessment to calculate risk level in Blitar City.

Page 8: INTEGRATING CLIMATE VULNERABILITY & RISK ASSESSMENT INTO ... of CCSI 2014... · integrating climate vulnerability & risk assessment into urban spatial planning process (case study:

CLIMATE RISK

ASSESSMENT METHODS

HAZARD ANALYSIS VULNERABILITY ANALYSIS

RISK ANALYSIS

Overlay Hazard & Vulnerability

Direct such as:

Flood, Drought, Landslide

Indirect such as

Vector Born Disease, Crop Failure

Physical Electricity Clean water House Sanitation Road

Social Population Health Education Social capital Community preparedness

Economical Income Employment Household & region asset Subsidies & budget

Institutional Mainstreaming Crisis management Institution Collaboration Good governance

Environmental Ecosystem services Land use

Methods:

Spatial multi criteria assessment

Page 9: INTEGRATING CLIMATE VULNERABILITY & RISK ASSESSMENT INTO ... of CCSI 2014... · integrating climate vulnerability & risk assessment into urban spatial planning process (case study:

HAZARD IN

BLITAR

Source: Disaster Management Plan East Java Province, 2012; Analysis Result, 2013

Blow up and overlay disaster maps: • Flood • Extreme Weather • Epidemic & Vector Born

Disease • Drought • Landslide

Page 10: INTEGRATING CLIMATE VULNERABILITY & RISK ASSESSMENT INTO ... of CCSI 2014... · integrating climate vulnerability & risk assessment into urban spatial planning process (case study:

VULNERABILITY IN

BLITAR

Source: Analysis Result, 2013

Used indicators:

• Physical Electricity, telephone, clean water access, water scarcity water quality, sanitation, drainage, waste collection and management

• Economical Income, employment, household and region asset

• Social Population, health, education

• Environmental Land use

Page 11: INTEGRATING CLIMATE VULNERABILITY & RISK ASSESSMENT INTO ... of CCSI 2014... · integrating climate vulnerability & risk assessment into urban spatial planning process (case study:

RISK IN

BLITAR

Source: Analysis Result, 2013

Page 12: INTEGRATING CLIMATE VULNERABILITY & RISK ASSESSMENT INTO ... of CCSI 2014... · integrating climate vulnerability & risk assessment into urban spatial planning process (case study:

SPATIAL PLAN IN

BLITAR

Source: Blitar Spatial

Plan, 2011-2030

Spatial Planning Pattern City Service Center Planning

Page 13: INTEGRATING CLIMATE VULNERABILITY & RISK ASSESSMENT INTO ... of CCSI 2014... · integrating climate vulnerability & risk assessment into urban spatial planning process (case study:

SPATIAL PLAN IN

BLITAR

Strategic City Area Planning Housing Planning

Source: Blitar Spatial

Plan, 2011-2030

Page 14: INTEGRATING CLIMATE VULNERABILITY & RISK ASSESSMENT INTO ... of CCSI 2014... · integrating climate vulnerability & risk assessment into urban spatial planning process (case study:

RESULT

DATA COLLECTION

Physical & Environmental Data

Social & Cultural Data

Economic Data

DATA PROCESSING ANALYSIS

Physical & Environmental Analysis

Social & Cultural Analysis

Economic Analysis

SPATIAL PLANNING FORMULATION

CIT

Y S

PA

TIA

L P

LA

N P

RO

CE

SS

Spatial Plan Product / Output 1. Purpose, policy, strategy 2. Spatial planning structure 3. Spatial planning pattern 4. Strategic city area

DATA COLLECTION

Physical & Environmental Data Social & Cultural Data Economic Data Institutional Data

CIT

Y R

ES

ILIE

NC

E

PL

AN

NIN

G P

RO

CE

SS

DATA PROCESSING ANALYSIS

Vulnerability & Risk Assessment Hazard Analysis Vulnerability Analysis Risk Analysis

CITY RESILIENCE STRATEGY FORMULATION

Climate Change Adaptation Strategy

SP

AT

IAL

UT

ILIZ

AT

ION

CO

NT

RO

L &

MO

NIT

OR

ING

OF

SP

AT

IAL

UT

ILIZ

AT

ION

INTEGRATION PROCESS NORMAL PROCESS

“OUTPUT” CITY SPATIAL

PLAN THAT

ALREADY

MAINSTREAMING CLIMATE CHANGE

ISSUE

Page 15: INTEGRATING CLIMATE VULNERABILITY & RISK ASSESSMENT INTO ... of CCSI 2014... · integrating climate vulnerability & risk assessment into urban spatial planning process (case study:

CONCLUSION

The result of shows that Climate Risk Assessment can be integrated into three stages of urban spatial planning process, these are:

(1) Data collection;

(2) Data processing analysis; and

(3) Planning formulation.

Based on pilot result in Blitar, Climate Risk Assessment has been proven to improve urban spatial planning product in four contents, which are:

(1) Purpose, policy, and strategy of spatial planning;

(2) (2) Spatial planning structure;

(3) (3) Spatial planning pattern; and

(4) (4) Strategic city area.

Page 16: INTEGRATING CLIMATE VULNERABILITY & RISK ASSESSMENT INTO ... of CCSI 2014... · integrating climate vulnerability & risk assessment into urban spatial planning process (case study:

THANK YOU