interim results · 2019. 5. 13. · interim results for the six months ended 30 june 2012 . 0 10 20...
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Interim Results for the six months ended 30 June 2012
0 10 20 30 40 50
Holland, Norway,Germany
Italy, France, UK, US
Greece, Spain,Portugal, Ireland Youth
Unemployment
AverageUnemployment
Battlers
Middle
ranking
Successful
Jobs, jobs, jobs
Consequences of lack of competitiveness and financial imprudence
Source: KKR Global Macro Insights
0 10 20 30 40 50
Holland, Norway,Germany
Italy, France, UK, US
Greece, Spain,Portugal, Ireland
South Africa
YouthUnemployment
AverageUnemployment
Battlers
Middle
ranking
Successful
Jobs, jobs, jobs
Consequences of lack of competitiveness and financial imprudence
Source: KKR Global Macro Insights
Emerging market labour costs
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Mexic
o
Ta
iwan
US
A
UK
Japan
Sin
ga
pore
Isra
el
Kore
a
Neth
erl
and
s
Sou
th A
fric
a
Fra
nce
Port
ugal
Italy
Phili
pin
es
Ire
land
Spa
in
Cana
da
Gre
ece
Hu
ng
ary
Pola
nd
New
Zeala
nd
Austr
alia
Bra
zil
Ch
ina
Arg
entia
Sources: Respective National Banks
Percentage change in USD hourly manufacturing labour 2002 – 2010
Labour market rigidity
0 10 20 30 40 50
Portugal
Germany
Italy
South Africa
Ghana
Zambia
Mauritius
Kenya
Botswana
U.K.
Nigeria
Australia, USA
Source: KKR Global Macro Insights
Unemployment in SA
46%
14%
28%
12%
June 2011
Not economically active
Unemployed
Formal employment
Other employment
Source: Stats SA
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
Unemployment in SA
45%
14%
29%
12%
June 2012
Not economically active
Unemployed
Formal employment
Other employment
Source: Stats SA
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
“The skills shortage in South Africa will persist due
to a low rate of qualified individuals entering the
market place.”
Source: South Africa 2012 – The road to Mangaung, 22 May 2012, Rothschild
Skills shortage
“Out of a group of 100 Grade 1 pupils, only 40
will reach Grade 12
Of those, 28 will pass matric and 4 will enter
university
Of the 4, only 1 will graduate”
Eugene Daniels, former district director in the Western Cape now head of
education at the Citizen Movement for Social Change
Getting through school
Getting through school
0
Source: South Africa 2012 – The road to Mangaung, 22 May 2012, Rothschild
Green paper on HE
► University student headcount to grow from 900K to 1 500K by 2030
► College student headcount to grow from 330K to 4 000K by 2030
NSFAS loans and bursaries
► Funding in 2008 R2.4Bn
► Funding in 2011 R6.0Bn
Further increase in 2012
SETA funds proposal
► Amount available for reimbursement of corporates -10%
► This to be directed to finance FET Colleges
BUT, textbook crisis and schools closure protests
Increasing Government support for students at public
institutions
Agenda
Operations
Financial overview
Financial analysis
Prospects
Questions
Operations
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
Segmental structure
Group restructured into three segments
► Education split between Schools and Tertiary
Creation of Tertiary division
► Improved coordination of strategy
► More cost effective use of shared resources
► Maintains and builds brand equity
Segmental reporting modified accordingly
Schools division
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
Sport at Crawford
Matthew Brittain
Crawford College Sandton 2005 Olympic Gold Medallist Men’s Lightweight Coxless Four
Cameron van der Burgh
Crawford College Pretoria 2006 Olympic Gold Medallist 100m Breaststroke
Sport at Varsity College
Paralympics 4 x l00m relay new world record
Zivan Smith, Samkelo Radebe, Arnu Fourie and Oscar Pistorius
Tertiary division
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
Resourcing division
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
Tertiary division
New IIE degree programmes launched in association with The Open University, UK. Offers students access to international qualifications
The IIE continues to be well represented in regulatory structures and the private higher education sector
The first distance programme to be delivered in conjunction with the American Public University System (APUS) has been launched
Launch of the UFS/IIE joint venture for the offering of the distance LLB degree on Varsity College campuses took place on 25 July in Bloemfontein
Consolidation of three small campuses was initiated in April
► Part of overall action plan to address Tertiary division
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
Infrastructure
Three major infrastructure projects announced in May 2012:
► Phase II of Trinityhouse Little Falls campus
► Trinityhouse Heritage Hill Centurion
► Trinityhouse Palm Lakes KZN
In Aug 2012 results statement:
► 5 additional schools campuses, 4 in Gauteng and 1 in KZN
• Not yet launched but approved and announced
Capex in period R81 million
Capital commitments R1 118 million
Lease commitments R333 million
Continuing deal flow for acquisitions and capex
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
Trinityhouse
PALM LAKES - KZN
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
PALM LAKES - KZN
Trinityhouse
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
Trinityhouse
LITTLE FALLS PHASE II
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
Trinityhouse
LITTLE FALLS PHASE II
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
CrawfordSchools
FOURWAYS – NEW HALL
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
Crawford Pre-primary Fourways
BUSH BABIES – GRADE 000
Financial overview
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
Income statement insight
Rm 1H2011 1H2012 % growth
Revenue 791 850 +8%
EBITDA 143 127 -12%
Operating profit 110 92 -16%
HEPS and diluted HEPS 20.0 16.6 -17%
Free operating cash flow per share 70.3 71.5 +2%
Distribution per share 9.5 10.0 +5%
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
Balance sheet insight
Rm 1H2011 1H2012 % growth
NAV 706 755 +7%
Fixed assets 701 862 +23%
Debtors 126 154 +22%
Fees in advance 299 354 +18%
Net cash on hand 181 118 -35%
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
Financial analysis
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
Revenue trend
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
07 08 09 10 11 12
R'm
CAGR = 12%
Group revenue
Group operating margin
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
07 08 09 10 11 12
Cash flow generation
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
07 08 09 10 11 12
R'm
CAGR = 11%
Free operating cash flow before capex
Cash flow generation
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
07 08 09 10 11 12
R'm
Cash generated from operations
Cash from operations (after working capital)
Net cash position
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
0
50
100
150
200
250
07 08 09 10 11 12
R'm
HEPS trend
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
0
5
10
15
20
25
07 08 09 10 11 12
Cen
ts
Segmental analysis
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
Revenue
41%
46%
13%
2011
43% 44%
13%
2012
Schools Tertiary Resourcing
Segmental analysis
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
Operating profit
49% 41%
10% 68% 18%
14%
Schools Tertiary Resourcing
2012 2011
Education trends
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
0
100
200
300
400
07 08 09 10 11 12
R'm
CAGR = 17%
Schools revenue
Education trends
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
0
20
40
60
2011 2012
R'm
Schools operating profit
Education trends
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
0
100
200
300
400
07 08 09 10 11 12
R'm
Tertiary revenue
Education trends
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
0
10
20
30
40
50
2011 2012
R'm
Tertiary operating profit
Resourcing trends
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
20
40
60
80
100
120
07 08 09 10 11 12
R'm
Resourcing revenue
Resourcing trends
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
0
5
10
15
2011 2012
R'm
Resourcing operating profit
Prospects
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
Prospects
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
Source: TradingEconomics.com
Retail sales trend
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
Source: TradingEconomics.com
Retail sales trend
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
Source: Stanlib
Price indices
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
CPI
EPI
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
CPI and Education Price Index (EPI)
Year on year percentage change: 2001 to 2012
Perc
enta
ge
5.8
11.03
9.1
7.54
5.8
9.57
1.4
9.56
3.4
8.4
4.6
7.01
7.2
7.97
11.5
8.3
7.7
6.5
3.7
9.2
5.6
8.6
4.9
9.0
CPI
EPI
Source: Stats SA
Average annual investment trend
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
CAGR = 22%
For 2012:
Spent YTD R81m
Commitments R90m
Total R171m
R’m
Interim distribution trend
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
CAGR = 14%
Cen
ts
5 Year – Market cap index
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
5 yr ADH Mark Cap
JSE All Share Index
JSE Small Cap Index
Questions
Strategic Operations Financial
overview
Financial
analysis Prospects Questions