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Document of The World Bank FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Report No. 61132-BI INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ASSOCIATION PROGRAM DOCUMENT FOR A PROPOSED GRANT IN THE AMOUNT OF SDR 22.1 MILLION (US$35 MILLION EQUIVALENT) TO THE REPUBLIC OF BURUNDI FOR A FIFTH ECONOMIC REFORM SUPPORT GRANT (ERSG V) November 15, 2011 Poverty Reduction and Economic Management 2 Country Management Unit AFCE1 Africa Region This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank authorization. Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized

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Page 1: INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ASSOCIATION PROGRAM …...DTIS Diagnostic Trade Integration Study EAC East African Community EC European Commission ECF Extended Credit Facility ECOSAT Encadrement

Document of

The World Bank

FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

Report No. 61132-BI

INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ASSOCIATION

PROGRAM DOCUMENT

FOR A

PROPOSED GRANT

IN THE AMOUNT OF SDR 22.1 MILLION

(US$35 MILLION EQUIVALENT)

TO

THE REPUBLIC OF BURUNDI

FOR A

FIFTH ECONOMIC REFORM SUPPORT GRANT (ERSG V)

November 15, 2011

Poverty Reduction and Economic Management 2

Country Management Unit AFCE1

Africa Region

This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their official

duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank authorization.

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Page 2: INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ASSOCIATION PROGRAM …...DTIS Diagnostic Trade Integration Study EAC East African Community EC European Commission ECF Extended Credit Facility ECOSAT Encadrement

REPUBLIC OF BURUNDI

Government Fiscal Year January 1–December 31

Currency Equivalents Exchange Rate Effective as of October 31, 2011

Currency Unit Burundi Franc

US$1.00 Fbu 1234.00

Weights and Measures Metric System

ABBREVIATION AND ACRONYMS

ADC Alliance Démocratique pour le Changement (Democratic Alliance for Change)

AfDB

API

African Development Bank

Investment Promotion Agency

APR PRSP Annual Progress Report

ARFIC Autorité de Régulation de la Filière Café (Coffee Regulatory Authority)

BINUB United Nations Integrated Office in Burundi

BOP Balance of Payments

BRB Central Bank of Burundi (Banque de La République du Burundi)

CAS Country Assistance Strategy

CASA Conflict Affected States in Africa

CEM Country Economic Memorandum

CENI Commission Electorale Nationale Indépendante (Independent National Electoral

Commission)

CIP Comité Interministériel de Privatisation (Interministerial Privatization Committee)

CNDD-FDD National Council for the Defense of Democracy-Forces for the Defense of Democracy

CFAA Country Financial Accountability Assessment

COMESA Common Market of Eastern and Southern Africa

COTEBU Complex Textile de Bujumbura (Textile Industries)

CP Completion Point

CWIQ Core Welfare Indicator Questionnaire

DBC Directorate of Budget and Control

DC

DeMPA

Directorate of Accounting

Debt Management Performance Assessment

DGP Planning Directorate

DFID Department for International Development (UK)

DPO Development Policy Operation

DRC Democratic Republic of the Congo

DTIS Diagnostic Trade Integration Study

EAC East African Community

EC European Commission

ECF Extended Credit Facility

ECOSAT Encadrement des Constructions Sociales et Aménagements des Terrains (Land Protection

for Social Habitat)

EERC Emergency Economic Recovery Credit

EMSP Economic Management Support Project

ERC Economic Rehabilitation Credit

ERSG Economic Reform Support Grant

EU European Union

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EXIM Export-Import

FAO Food and Agriculture Organization

Fbu

FDI

Burundi Franc

Foreign Direct Investment

FNL Front National pour la Libération

FPSDP Finance and Private Sector Development Project

FIAS Foreign Investment Advisory Service

GDP Gross Domestic Product

GER Gross Enrollment Ratio

GIZ German International Cooperation

GNP Gross National Product

GoB Government of Burundi

HIPC Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (Initiative)

HIV/AIDS Human Immunodeficiency Virus/Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome

HRMIS Human Resource Management Information System

ICA Investment Climate Assessment

ICAS Investment Climate Advisory Services

ICR Implementation Completion Results Report

IDA International Development Association

IFMIS Integrated Financial Management Information System

IFRS International Financial Reporting Standards (Normes Comptables du Secteur Privé)

IGE Inspection Générale de l’Etat (State Inspectorate General)

IMF International Monetary Fund

JSAN Joint Staff Advisory Note

LNBTP Laboratoire National de Bâtiments et Travaux publics (National Laboratory for Public

Work and Building)

LDP Letter of Development Policy

MCM Monetary and Capital Markets

MDG Millennium Development Goal

MDRI Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative

MOCI Ministry of Commerce and Industry and Tourism

MFEDP Ministry of Finance and Economic Development Planning

MTEF Medium-Term Expenditure Framework

MTFF Medium-Term Fiscal Framework

NIF Numéro d’Identification Fiscale (Tax Identification Number)

NGO Non Governmental Organization

NPV

NTB

Net Present Value

Non Tariff Barriers

OBR Office Burundaise des Recettes (Burundi Revenue Authority)

OCIBU Office de Café du Burundi (Burundi Coffee Board)

OECD/DAC Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development/Development Assistance

Committee

OHADA Organisation pour l'Harmonisation en Afrique du Droit des Affaires (Organization for the

Harmonization of Business Law in Africa)

ONATEL Office National des Télécommunications (National Office of Telecommunication)

OTBu Ordonnateur Trésorier du Burundi

OTB Office du Thé du Burundi (Tea Board)

OTRACO Office du Transport en Commun (Public Transport Company)

PAGE Projet D’appui à la Gestion Economique (Economic Management Support Project)

PEMFAR Public Expenditure Management and Financial Accountability Review

PE Public Enterprise

PER

PETS

Public Expenditure Review

Public Expenditure Tracking Survey

PFM Public Finance Management

PRGF Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility

PRSP Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper

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PSD Private Sector Development

REFES Technical Committee for Monitoring of Economic Reforms.

REGIDESO Régie des Eaux (National water and electricity enterprise)

RTFP Regional Trade Facilitation Project

SCEP Service Chargé des Entreprises Publiques (Public Entreprises Directorate General)

SDR Special Drawing Rights

SDRI Société Régionale de Dévéloppement de l’Imbo (Imbo Regional Development Company)

SIGEFI Système d’Information de Gestion Financière (Financial Management Information

System)

SIP Société Immobilière Publique (Public Mortgage Company)

SOGESTAL Société de Gestion des Stations de Lavage de Café (Coffee Washing Stations

Management Corporation)

SODECO Société de Déparchage et Conditionnement (Coffee Milling and Processing Company)

SOSUMO

SME

Société Sucrière de MOSO (Sugar processing enterprise)

Small and Medium Enterprise

SSA Sub-Saharan Africa

TF Trust Fund

UN United Nations

UNDP United Nations Development Program

UNOB United Nations Operation in Burundi

UPRONA Union pour le Progress National (Union for National Progress)

USAID United States Agency for International Development

VAT Value Added Tax

WBI World Bank Institute

WFP World Food Programme

WHO World Health Organization

Vice President: Obiageli Katryn Ezekwesili

Acting Country Director: Mercy Miyang Tembon

Country Manager: Mercy Miyang Tembon

Sector Director: Marcelo Giugale

Sector Manager: J. Humberto Lopez

Task Team Leader: Jean-Pascal N. Nganou

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REPUBLIC OF BURUNDI

FIFTH ECONOMIC REFORM SUPPORT GRANT (ERSG V)

TABLE OF CONTENTS

I. INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................................ 1

II. COUNTRY CONTEXT ....................................................................................................... 3

A. Political and Security Context .................................................................................... 3

B. Poverty Outlook and Social Development ................................................................. 4

III. RECENT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS ..................................................................... 5

A. Recent Economic Performance .................................................................................. 5

B. Food and Fuel Prices Crisis ........................................................................................ 9

C. Medium Term Macroeconomic Outlook .................................................................. 10

IV. GOVERNMENT PROGRAM AND PARTICIPATORY PROCESSES ...................... 13

V. BANK SUPPORT TO THE GOVERNMENT’S PROGRAM AND LESSONS

LEARNED........................................................................................................................... 14

A. Linkages to the CAS program, Africa Strategy, and previous operations and lessons

learned ...................................................................................................................... 14

B. Collaboration with the IMF and Other Donors......................................................... 15

C. Analytical Underpinnings ......................................................................................... 16

VI. THE PROPOSED OPERATION (ERSG V).................................................................... 16

A. Rationale for the Grant ............................................................................................. 16

B. Policy Areas .............................................................................................................. 17

C. Agreed Prior Actions for ERSG V and Areas for Discussion for the Next

Programmatic Series ................................................................................................. 29

VII. GRANT FEATURES ......................................................................................................... 33

A. Poverty and Social Impacts ...................................................................................... 33

B. Implementation, Monitoring and Evaluation ............................................................ 34

C. Fiduciary Aspects ..................................................................................................... 35

D. Disbursement and Auditing ...................................................................................... 36

E. Environmental Arrangements ................................................................................... 37

F. Risks and Risk Mitigation ........................................................................................ 38

LIST OF TABLES

Table 1: Economic Trends, 2006-2010 ........................................................................................... 9 Table 2: Economic Outlook - Main Economic Indicators, 2011-2013 ......................................... 11 Table 3: Structure of Public Finance and Financing Sources, 2011-2013 (Percent of GDP) ........ 11 Table 4: Indicators for PFM Reforms (ERSG IV-V Series) ......................................................... 22 Table 5: Indicators for Reforms in PSD and Measures to cope with the effects of Food and Fuel

Crisis (ERSG IV-V Series) ............................................................................................. 28 Table 6: Summary of Agreed Prior Actions for ERSG V ............................................................. 29 Table 7: Proposed Areas for Future Dialogue with the Authorities .............................................. 32

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LIST OF BOXES

Box 1: Provision of Program-Related Information to the Bank .................................................... 35

LIST OF CHARTS

Chart 1: Selected Macroeconomic Aggregates, 2001-2010 ............................................................ 8

LIST OF ANNEXES

Annex 1: Burundi ERSG V - Good Practice Principles on Conditionality ................................... 41 Annex 2: Burundi ERSG V – Lessons Learned from Other IDA operations ................................ 42 Annex 3: Burundi ERSG V – Analytical Underpinning – Key Recommendations ...................... 45 Annex 4: Burundi ERSG V - National Institutional Structure for the Monitoring and Evaluation

of the Reforms ............................................................................................................... 47 Annex 5: Burundi ERSG V - Letter of Development Policy ........................................................ 48 Annex 6: Burundi ERSG V – Targeting Performance of Electricity Subsidies in Burundi .......... 72 Annex 7: Burundi ERSG V - Prospects for Achieving the MDGs by 2015 .................................. 76 Annex 8: Burundi ERSG V - IMF Staff’s Assessment of Recent Economic Performance .......... 77 Annex 9: Burundi ERSG V - Policy Matrix: Objectives and Prior Actions (2010-2012) ............. 78 Annex 10: Burundi at a Glance (including Country Map) ............................................................ 83

The Burundi ERSG V was prepared by a IDA team consisting of : Jean-Pascal N. Nganou (TTL,

S.r Country Economist, AFTP2), Paolo Zacchia (Lead Economist, AFTP2), Jacques Morisset

(Lead Economist/Sector Leader, AFTP2), Maximillien Queraynne (Financial Management

Specialist, AFTFM), Nneoma Nwogu (Counsel, LEGAF), Aissatou Diallo (Sr. Financial

Officer, CTRLA), Aurelien Beko (Poverty Economist/Consultant, AFTP2), Nicaise Ehoué (Sr.

Agriculture Specialist, AFTSD), Bella Diallo (Sr. Financial Management Specialist, AFTFM),

Peggy Mischke (Energy Engineer, AFTEG), Sherri Archondo (Senior PSD Specialist, AFTFE),

Sulaiman Wasty (Consultant, AFTP2), Ferdinand Bararuzunza (Economist, AFTP2), Aurore

Simbananiye (Team Assistant, AFMBI), and Senait Yifru (Program Assistant, AFTP2). Useful

comments were received from Yutaka Yoshino (Senior Economist, AFTP2), Steffi Stallmeister

(Sr. Country Officer/Acting CPC, AFCE1), and Andrew Osei Asibey (Sr. Monitoring and

Evaluation Specialist, AFTDE) on the results framework. The team also benefitted from the

overall advice of J. Humberto Lopez (Sector Manager, AFTP2) and Mercy Tembon (Acting

Country Director, AFCE1), whose country knowledge and advice were extremely useful.

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i

REPUBLIC OF BURUNDI

FIFTH ECONOMIC REFORM SUPPORT GRANT (ERSG V)

GRANT AND PROGRAM SUMMARY

Borrower Republic of Burundi

Implementing Agency Ministry of Finance and Economic Development Planning

Financing Data IDA Grant

Terms: IDA standard grant

Amount: SDR 22.1 million (US$35 million equivalent).

Co-Financing Trust Fund (TF) Grant in an initial amount of NOK 54.29 million

(US$9.8 million equivalent, prior to administration fees of the TF) to be

contributed by Norway.

Operation type Single tranche to be disbursed upon effectiveness; second in a series of two

programmatic Development Policy Operations. The first operation was approved by the

Board on December 8, 2010 (Report No. 53720-BI).

Main Policy Areas (i) Public finance management (PFM) through improvements in budget

credibility, planning and controls;

(ii) Private sector development (PSD) through reforms to the legal and regulatory

framework, promotion of private investment and reforms in the energy, coffee

and tea sectors;

(iii) Specific actions toward social sectors are supported to assist the government

efforts to cope with the impact of the food and fuel prices crisis.

Key outcomes indicators I. Public Finance Management Reforms

(i) Percentage of national budget that has followed the medium term expenditure

framework (MTEF) process;

(ii) Amount of arrears toward suppliers (over 60 days) as a percent of total

expenditures;

(iii) Amount of civilian wage bill paid through newly installed human resources

information management system;

(iv) Public wage bill as a percent of GDP;

II. Private Sector Development Reforms

(v) Number of dossiers and amount of investment registered with the Investment

Promotion Agency (API);

(vi) Average time taken by the Investment Promotion Agency to process a

dossier;

(vii) Percentage of REGIDESO subscribers participating in the prepayment

program;

(viii) Average unplanned interruptions frequency in Bujumbura (number/year);

(ix) Number of restructuring and privatizations of public enterprises initiated;

(x) Number of publicly-owned coffee washing stations sold;

III. Food and fuel prices crisis related measures

(xi) The share of budget allocated to the school feeding program in the primary;

(xii) The share of budget allocated to the free health care program for children

under five and pregnant women during delivery.

Program Development

Objective(s) and Contribution

to CAS

The program aims at: (i) consolidating reforms already underway in public finance

management with the objective to improve budget credibility, planning, and controls,

and (ii) reenergizing the reform process in private sector development, including

through improvements in the legislative framework and competitiveness in the coffee

subsector. ERSG V will also lay the groundwork for reforms in future budget support

operations in the energy sector, which is critical to support private sector led growth.

Moreover, in a context of increasing international food and fuel prices, this operation

will support the authorities’ efforts to cope with the effects of an ongoing food and fuel

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ii

price crisis on the poor in the landlocked Burundi.

The program is aligned with the Bank’s Country Assistance Strategy (CAS), which is

based on Burundi’s PRSP. It aims to help reinforce a medium-term vision of

sustainable development, assisting Burundi’s transition from a post-conflict economy

to a developing economy. It provides a framework for World Bank Group support for

four years, from fiscal year (FY) 2009 through FY 2012. The CAS focuses on two

strategic objectives: (i) promote sustainable and broad-based economic growth; and (ii)

improve access to social services and consolidate social stability. Governance is a

cross-cutting CAS objective.

Risks and Risks mitigation

The main risks to the program, along with identified mitigation measures, are:

(a) On-going post-election transition (including the possible deteriorating political

and security situation) might delay or derail progress on reforms. This risk will be

mitigated by: (i) focusing on maintaining continuity of ongoing reforms (i.e., PFM and

PSD); (ii) building on high-level Cabinet seminar commitment and concrete action

planning to cement ownership of reforms; and (iii) maintaining dialogue with civil

society and the private sector to ensure demand-side pressure.

(b) Burundi’s ability to maintain macroeconomic stability might be under minded

by weak performance in the agricultural sector or a volatile external environment. The

country’s narrow export base creates risks for future debt distress. In the face of the

recent oil price shock, this operation supports the government efforts to cope with its

impact on poor households. Further, many public enterprises are in poor financial

shape creating risks of direct and contingent liabilities. IDA, IMF, and other

development partners have worked closely with the government to help with

monitoring macroeconomic performance and in taking corrective actions in a timely

manner. The government will need to ensure more grant funding and concessional

borrowing, and foster continued economic and export growth to avoid debt distress. In

the medium term, diversification of the economy through improvements in the business

environment and reforms in the mining sector will mitigate the vulnerability of the

economy to these shocks.

(c) Lack of technical capacity could lead to delays. The risk of weak technical

capacity is mitigated by: (i) focusing reforms on a limited (but key) number of

themes/areas; (ii) leveraging technical support from on-going IDA projects; and (iii)

working with other donors in the context of the partnership framework (Cadre de

Partenariat) to reduce the number of activities and better target technical assistance.

(d) Economic governance slippages could disrupt donor support. Recent reforms

in Procurement and other PFM areas, supported in part by ERSG II and III, have

helped to mitigate this risk. The proposed operation will attempt to continue this

progress with PFM reforms. The recent adoption of a national governance strategy

demonstrates the government’s commitment to improve governance. This commitment

will be further strengthened by the implementation of the recently adopted governance

strategy.

(e) Weather conditions strongly influence the performance of the agricultural

sector, as demonstrated in 2003 and 2005. This might impact the future ability of the

authorities to implement reforms in the export crop sector, and to maintain macro-

stability. In addition to the support provided by other development partners in Burundi

(e.g., USAID), the World Bank has an ongoing agro-pastoral project that aimed to

improve the resiliency of the agriculture sector to external shocks through technology

acquisition, small scale irrigation and improved market access.

(f) Policy reversal risk. Two recent instances have led to the possibility of this

risk. First, the recent decision to increase electricity tariffs, which triggered massive

protests, could be reversed. Second, the draft Privatization Law adopted by the Council

of Ministers is being questioned in the Parliament. This risk is mitigated through the

promotion of public debates to explain the merits of reforms. The Bank and other

interested development partners could provide technical assistance, if available.

Operation ID Number P119324

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1

PROGRAM DOCUMENT FOR A

PROPOSED FIFTH ECONOMIC REFORM SUPPORT GRANT (ERSG V)

TO THE REPUBLIC OF BURUNDI

I. INTRODUCTION

1. The proposed Fifth Economic Reform Support Grant (ERSG V) is the second in a

programmatic series of two operations (the first operation of the series, ERSG IV, was

approved in December 2010), designed to help the Government of Burundi (GoB) to

consolidate recent efforts to transform Burundi’s economy from a post-conflict to a sustainable

development oriented economy. In practice, these efforts consist to formulate and implement

policies to accelerate growth and promote human development, including through private sector

development. The new ERSG series builds on a series of two operations (ERSG II and III), and

draws further lessons from the Emergency Economic Recovery Credit (EERC, 2000), the

Economic Rehabilitation Credit (ERC, 2002), and ERSG I (2006).

2. The proposed ERSG V operation aims at reinforcing and operationalizing reforms,

which began during ERSG II and III and pursued under ERSG IV. It will support

government efforts to continue reforms in: (i) the public finance management system to

improve accountability and transparency in public spending; and (ii) the business

environment to foster private sector-led growth, particularly in the export crop subsector.

It proposes to: (i) consolidate reforms already underway in public finance management (as

identified in the 2008 Public Expenditure Management and Financial Accountability Review

(PEMFAR) and planned in the Public Finance Management (PFM) action plan for 2009-2011);

and to (ii) reenergize the reform process in private sector development (specifically through

improving the legal, and regulatory framework for the general business environment, and

through accelerating the coffee reform process). In addition, based on the knowledge

accumulated under the previous programmatic DPO series, the proposed operation will support

actions aimed at developing a strategic approach to the liberalization of the Burundian economy,

including public enterprises reforms, and the promotion of private investment.

3. The proposed ERSG V operation also assists the government efforts to cope with the

impact of the food and fuel prices crisis. In a context of increasingly volatile international food

and fuel prices and in response to a request from the authorities to the World Bank, this operation

provides further support to key policy measures aimed at protecting essential social programs

against the effects of major variations in international food and fuel prices on the most

vulnerable households.1 The authorities have initiated fiscal and social safety net measures aimed

to protect the poor while maintaining fiscal stability. Key social initiatives (about 0.7 percent of

GDP) targeting vulnerable groups include school feeding programs and free health care policy

for children below five and pregnant women during delivery. On the fiscal side, the authorities

introduced a fuel subsidy (primarily on diesel products which have a direct incidence on

transport costs). This action, which will lead to an erosion of revenues estimated at 0.3 percent of

GDP, envisages a full pass-through of fuel prices in the event of further increases in international

1 In 2008, a combination of short term interventions in Burundi included a temporary removal of all tariffs and taxes

on basic food items and a reduction of the tariffs on diesel to further ease up transportation costs of food imports. As

a result, government revenue was reduced while spending pressures increased.

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prices.2 To help finance these initiatives, the IMF’s Extended Credit Facility (ECF) program,

whose sixth review was approved by the IMF’s Board on July 13, 2011, accommodates a higher

level of domestic financing representing about 0.5 percent of GDP (assuming no additional

donor financing), a higher-than-expected tax revenue collection (0.4 percent of GDP) thanks to

an improved performance of the recently established Burundi Revenue Office (OBR)3 and the

use of the reserve fund (0.1 percent of GDP). However, support from the World Bank is essential

to relieve excessive pressure on domestic financing.

4. The program structure aims to maintain a balance between the need for essential

reforms and the simplicity dictated by the weak institutions and implementation capacity.

This balance is maintained with a particular bias toward deepening the reform process in areas

already supported by predecessor operations, where the government’s buy-in has already been

established. Overall, the program continues to support the establishment of new legal and

institutional frameworks to implement essential reforms.

5. The ERSG V operation is a single tranche operation in the amount of SDR 22.1

million (US$35 million equivalent). The disbursement of additional support provided through a

trust fund (TF) administered by the International Development Association (IDA), initially in the

amount of NOK 54.29 million (US$9.8 million equivalent, prior to trust fund administration

fees) to be contributed by Norway is expected to accompany this operation.4 Indicative policy

areas where progress will be monitored for a potential follow-up programmatic series (ERSG VI-

VII) are suggested in this document. These policy areas, which benefited from the conclusions of

the Cabinet Seminar (Bujumbura, March 22-23, 2011) and the findings of the Country Economic

Memorandum (CEM) report, were discussed with the authorities during the pre-appraisal

mission of the proposed operation and in the context of the preparation of a new Poverty

Reduction Strategy Paper (PRSP) during the course of 2011. Progress in the overall reform

program will be tracked under the new ERSG grant series through the prior actions of the

proposed ERSG V, developments pertaining to the already completed prior actions of ERSG IV,

indicative triggers for eventual new programmatic series, and other related measures in the

policy matrix.

6. While the ERSG series are risky operations, they are needed to support a politically

fragile country with important institutional weaknesses. Burundi is highly dependent on

budget support to enhance its transition out of a post-conflict to growth and human economic

development. The risks associated to this operation are counter balanced by potential rewards of

macroeconomic stabilization, which would be sustained through financial external support of the

budget and substantial fiduciary facilitation of core policy reforms. The fiduciary section of this

document outlines the measures that will be taken to mitigate the risks attached to these

operations.

2 If international fuel prices begin to decline, the subsidy will be reduced accordingly and in any case unwound by

end-2011. 3 The OBR formally began operations in July 2010. Preliminary data from September 2011 suggest that revenue

collection is about 29 percent higher than in the same period in 2010, as the result of improvement in revenue

administration and the collection of non-tax revenue. 4 Subject to the terms of the TF Grant Agreement to be signed between IDA and Burundi. This amount is also

subject to currency fluctuations between NOK and US$ as of the date of the receipt of Norway contribution.

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3

7. Following the successful experience of the first programmatic series of ERSG II-III,

the new ERSG series will attempt to mitigate risks through maintaining continuity in the

reforms and by leveraging on-going technical assistance and capacity building programs.

The design of the ERSG series as a two-operation programmatic series has maintained continuity

in the policy dialogue and reform agenda, and has been therefore a major way of mitigating the

risks associated with budget support operations. This effort has been further bolstered by

technical assistance and capacity building from the Economic Management Support Project

(EMSP), the Financial and Private Sector Development Project (FPSDP), and the newly

established Conflict Affected States in Africa (CASA) of the International Finance Corporation

(IFC), in partnership with the Investment Climate Advisory Services (ICAS) or Private Sector

Development (PSD)/Doing Business program, which contribute to strengthening institutional

capacity and support crucial reforms. The alignment of the ERSG series with the budget cycle is

expected to be completed under the next programmatic series (ERSG VI-VII) with release

planned for Q1 of FY13 (July 2012-June 2013), once the constitutional technicality5, which has

delayed the implementation of the budget alignment to the East African Community (EAC)

budget calendar, has been resolved.

8. The second programmatic series (ERSG IV-V) is consistent with the main objectives

identified by the Bank Strategy for Africa and the Country Assistance Strategy (CAS). The

proposed operation is aligned with the main themes of the Bank Strategy for Africa focused on

competitiveness, reduced vulnerability and improved governance and public sector capacity. It is

also consistent with the CAS objectives that focused on broad-based economic growth and social

stability.

9. At the conclusion of the proposed ERSG IV-V programmatic series, tangible

progress with respect to each component of the proposed reform program is expected,

including: (i) measurable improvements in public finance management; (ii) measurable

improvements in the environment for private sector development, with a focus on improved

performance of the energy sector; (iii) progress in the liberalization of the productive sector,

including the execution of the reform program in the coffee sector; and (iv) measurable progress

towards coping with the effects of an ongoing fuel and food crisis.

II. COUNTRY CONTEXT

A. POLITICAL AND SECURITY CONTEXT

10. Since the Arusha Agreement signed in August 2000, Burundi has experienced both

great strides and major setbacks on the road to lasting peace. The following initial political

steps were taken, including the formation of a transitional government in 2002, a new

constitution in February 2005, and presidential and parliamentary elections in August 2005. In

2006, a cease-fire accord was reached with the last hold-out rebel movement, the Front National

pour la Libération-Parti pour la Libération du Peuple Hutu (FNL-PALIPEHUTU), but sporadic

fighting continued. Two additional years of negotiations were necessary to reach a cessation of

5 According to the current national constitution of Burundi, the budget cycle follows a calendar year. Adoption of a

new cycle may require a constitutional amendment. The authorities are currently collecting all the issues, which may

require a constitutional amendment including the proposed changes in the schooling years. They plan to present

these in one legislative package to the Parliament.

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hostilities. In 2008 and 2009, FNL-PALIPEHUTU renewed its commitment to negotiated peace,

and was reintegrated into the political system. In April 2009 Front National pour la Liberation

(FNL) became Burundi’s 42nd

political party after removing the ethnically charged part of its

name PALIPEHUTU. Disarmament, demobilization, and reintegration efforts have continued

over the recent years. On July 28, 2011, the president of Burundi, President Nkurunziza launched

a transitional justice campaign promoting the formation of a Truth and Reconciliation

Commission and a Tribunal as stipulated in the 2000 Arusha peace accords.

11. Burundi's second democratic elections in 2010 represented a milestone in its

political transition. A second round of democratic elections under the new constitution of 2005

took place from May 24 to September 8, 2010. According to international observers, the

elections conformed to international standards despite minor irregularities during the local

council elections. However, thirteen opposition parties, alleging fraud and vote-rigging, formed a

coalition to boycott the presidential election, leaving President Nkurunziza to stand unopposed

who was re-elected for a second term, with 92 percent of the votes, in June 2010. Three political

parties, notably the Union pour le progress national (Uprona) and the Front pour la démocracie

au Burundi (Frodebu-Nyakuri branch), decided to participate in the legislative elections, which

took place in July 2010, and are now represented in the Parliament.

12. The security situation remains calm but fragile. The controversies over the election

results sparked violence that sometimes led to loss of life. The self exile of the FNL president

and former rebel leader Rwasa Agathon along with other opposition leaders in a consortium of

opposition parties, known as the Democratic Alliance for Change (ADC), created an atmosphere

of uncertainty. Although Rwasa denied any intention to return to armed struggle, sporadic and

targeted attacks on the population have continued such as a recent incident when gunmen killed

41 people in a town near the capital. A reform of the police is underway and expected to make

the force more professional.

13. In this divisive environment, the ruling party has made some efforts to reach out to

other parties. While the ruling party gained the majority in the parliamentary elections, the two

opposition parties who did not boycott the polls gained representation. The authorities appointed

members of these two parties in the government. While this step can only be seen as

preliminary, it indicates that the new government is willing to include other groups in the

decision-making process. Opposition parties that boycotted elections have alleged an absence of

political dialogue and persecution of opposition leaders. In addition to rendering the Ombudsman

Office fully operational, the government has also accelerated the creation of two other

institutions: the National Committee for Reconciliation and the National Council for Human

Rights, as a step to consolidating peace and reconciliation among different political interests.

B. POVERTY OUTLOOK AND SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT

14. For many years the conflict displaced a large portion of the rural population and

destroyed important economic and social infrastructure. As a result, poverty is particularly

widespread in rural areas. About 80 percent of the population suffers from food insecurity.

Surveys estimate that national poverty incidence stood at about 67 percent in 2006, a notable

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drop from 81 percent in 1998,6 yet far from the 2015 MDG target of 18 percent.

7 Rural poverty is

estimated to be twice that of urban areas. Regional differences are particularly acute, with

poverty rates fluctuating between a low 28.7 percent in Bujumbura to a high 82.3 percent in the

province of Kirundo. The intensity of poverty also varies among groups. Households living in

urban areas whose head or spouse has a better education and who benefit from better

employment are less likely to be poor.

15. Available social indicators show progress, but Burundi still ranks at the bottom (185th

out

of 187 countries listed) in the 2011 UNDP’s Human Development Index. Life expectancy rose

from 43 years in 2000 to 50.4 years in 2011. Vaccination rates have improved. In 2006, the

government announced that health services would be free to children under five and pregnant

women during delivery. As result, the proportion of children and pregnant mothers accessing

medical services increased from about 28 percent in 2006 to 69 percent in 2009 while under-five

mortality declined from 153.9 per thousand in 2005 to 141.9 per thousand in 2010.8 However,

the lack of essential medicine and qualified staff still severely affects service delivery. Limiting

the spread of HIV/AIDS continues to be one of the priorities of the government (the prevalence

rate in the general population was 2.9 percent in 2007). Although recent cases of Cholera are

blamed on the lack of availability of potable water, about 71 percent of the total population

benefit from safe water (above the Sub-Saharan Africa’s average of 58 percent). In education,

recent progress has to be consolidated to contribute to future growth. Education at all levels

suffers from a lack of qualified teachers, teaching materials, and adequate infrastructure.

Disparities in education outcomes among gender and regions are large. Since the ―free school‖

policy was introduced in September 2005, primary education gross enrollment rate significantly

improved from 80 percent in 2003-04 to 146.6 percent in 2009. However, quality is low and the

completion rate is only 46 percent. It is unlikely that will reach the second MDG target (primary

completion rate of 100 percent). Enrollments in secondary and tertiary education are much

lower.

III. RECENT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS

A. RECENT ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE

16. Economic growth rates have been lower than PRSP projections (average real GDP

growth of 4 percent instead of the projected 7 percent in 2006-2009). Burundi’s economic

performance has been affected by a number of economic crises. Growth is volatile due to the

country’s dependence on widely fluctuating agricultural output. Agriculture accounts for about

46 percent of GDP and employs more than 90 percent of the work force. The service sector,

which is dominated by the public sector, accounts for 37 percent of GDP. The industrial sector is

6 The 1998 household survey was less exhaustive than the 2006 survey, and poverty figures cannot be compared, as

the earlier survey is likely to have overestimated poverty. The 1998 survey only included food consumption for

purchased products and self-consumption, but excluded food grants from government and non-governmental

organizations, such as the World Food Program (WFP), as well as private gifts. Both the 1998 and 2006 surveys

used cost of basic needs for estimating poverty rates (see 2008 PEMFAR for details). 7 According to data from the official World Development Indicator, the percentage of the population living below

the national poverty line in 1990 was 36.4 percent. This figure had roughly doubled by 1998 to 68.0 percent. 8 To achieve these results, the government raised the budget share of the health sector from about three percent of

the total budget in 2005 to 11.6 percent in 2010. Despite notable progress on the under-five mortality rates, their

level remains above the sub-Saharan Africa average (121.2 per thousand in 2010).

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still small (17 percent) but growing. Burundi’s economic growth rates have been modest

compared to other EAC countries. This difference is mostly explained by the low productivity in

agriculture due to insufficient modernization (low technology) and underinvestment during

several years of conflict. The lack of basic infrastructure (including feeder roads), poor

organization of farmers, and poor governance also affected the performance of the agriculture

sector and overall economic growth in Burundi.

17. In 2008, despite increases in food and fuel prices and energy shortages, Burundi’s

economy grew by 4.5 percent of GDP, owing to improved agriculture performance, an expansion

of manufacturing and increased donor financing to support the efforts of the government to cope

with the impact of a major food and fuel prices crisis. In 2009, Burundi felt the impact of the

global economic and financial crisis; real GDP growth slowed to 3.5 percent, mainly because of

lower than expected private transfers and foreign direct investment as well as continued energy

shortages.9 However, economic growth increased to 3.9 percent in 2010 as the economy was able

to emerge from the effects of the global crisis.

18. Recent developments in the domestic and international economies have created

upward pressure on local prices. Rates of inflation first, increased then decreased and now are

expected to remain in single digits beyond 2012 assuming the absence of new global shocks. In

2008, in the wake of an international food and fuel price crisis, inflation rose to 24.4 percent

(period average). In 2009, period average inflation decreased to 10.7 percent and declined further

to 6.4 percent in 2010.

19. Prudent monetary policy meant that credit to the economy has continued to recover

but at slow pace, rising from 10 percent in 2007 to about 19 percent on average in 2008-2009

(despite the global financial crisis). This was essentially driven by bank financing of the coffee

crop and business development, as well as the desire of the Central Bank to accommodate the

impact of higher oil and food prices in 2008. The managed floating exchange rate regime has

served Burundi well so far (the real effective exchange rate depreciated against the US dollar by

about 2 percent in 2009) but the authorities should move toward more flexibility in the exchange

rate policy to reduce the country’s current account deficit. Ongoing reforms in liquidity and

foreign exchange markets could help increase flexibility in the exchange rate. IMF’s Monetary

and Capital Markets (MCM) technical assistance is expected to deliver improvements in the

areas of Treasury bill and foreign exchange auctions, and coordination between the Treasury and

the Central Bank to strengthen liquidity management.

20. Despite some slippage in 2009, the authorities generally pursued prudent fiscal

policies during 2006–10 and contained the fiscal deficit. Stronger expenditure management,

accompanied by increased domestic revenue and foreign aid inflows helped maintain the fiscal

deficit (on a commitment basis before HIPC grants) to an average of 3.5 percent of GDP in

9 Previously anticipated strong growth in the agriculture and service sectors may have been dampened by the effects

of the financial crisis through the following channels: (i) a reduction in projected foreign direct investment, notably

in the coffee sector (e.g., limited response of foreign investors to the bidding invitations for the sale of coffee

washing stations); (ii) a decline in private transfers (e.g., worker remittances), which would affect households’

ability to maintain their level of both consumption and/or investment in productive activities; and (iii) a decline in

world coffee prices.

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2007-08, from an average 4.5 percent of GDP in 2005-06.10

Domestic revenue stabilized in 2010

at 19.1 percent of GDP (from 18.6 percent in 2009), reflecting improved collection of income

and other taxes. This level is higher than the average of 17.3 percent of GDP for post-conflict

countries. Overall fiscal outturn in 2010 (commitments basis after grants; excluding HIPC

grants) significantly improved to 3.2 percent of GDP from 5.2 percent in 2009.

21. A narrow export base and the reliance on oil and capital goods imports have

generated permanent current account deficits. In 2008, the current account deficit (including

official transfers) declined slightly to 15.0 percent (from 15.7 percent in 2007). In 2009,

however, the deficit increased to 16.1 percent mainly due to lower donor assistance, which

represents more than 60 percent of net current transfers. Even though Burundi’s trade balance

improved in 2009, it still reflects the country’s narrow range of exports, which consists almost

entirely of coffee and tea, and its dependence on imported oil and capital goods. The external

current account deficit is estimated to have declined to around 13.4 percent of GDP in 2010,

because of higher exports and official transfers.

22. The private sector’s contribution to growth remains limited. Foreign direct

investments (FDI) remain low in Burundi (less than one percent of GDP), despite a significant

improvement from US$0.5 million in 2007 to US$13.6 million in 2010, as a result of renewed

involvement of foreign firms in the banking and telecommunication sectors. Domestic private

investments remain low at about 7.6 percent of GDP (on average in 2005-2008).

23. Burundi’s external debt situation has improved, but remains vulnerable to debt

distress due to its narrow export base. In January 2009, Burundi reached the Highly Indebted

Poor Countries (HIPC) Completion Point (CP) and became eligible to US$833 million (net

present value) in debt relief, including US$425 million from IDA and US$38 million from the

IMF. This reduces the country’s public and publicly guaranteed debt by more than 90 percent in

net present value terms, and scheduled debt service by some US$30-40 million per year for the

next 30 years. Debt forgiveness will provide much relief to the country’s balance of payments.

Having reached the HIPC CP, Burundi was also granted further debt relief under the Multilateral

Debt Relief Initiative (MDRI). However, Burundi’s external public debt burden indicators are

expected to remain high over the medium term even after HIPC relief and MDRI assistance.

24. The authorities recently contracted a US$80 million line of credit with a 31.6

percent grant element to finance key energy infrastructure. On May 24, 2011, the

Government of Burundi and the Export-Import (Exim) Bank of India signed an agreement to

finance the Kabu 16 hydropower plant, which is considered as a priority project for the country.

An assessment undertaken by Bank staff indicated that the project is economically viable. To

limit budget risks, the authorities are implementing Bank supported measures to strengthen the

financial operations of the electricity company. Because the grant element of the line of credit is

less than the minimum of 50 percent agreed as part of the IMF program, Burundi requested a

modification of the zero limit on non-concessional external debt in the country’s arrangement

10

The authorities have shown restraint in adjusting their fiscal program to changing circumstances. Given the

volatile nature of foreign aid to Burundi, the 2008 and 2009 budget laws put more emphasis on the prioritization of

public expenditures and make the provision of non-priority expenditures contingent upon assured disbursement of

external budget support.

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under the Extended Credit Facility (ECF), to accommodate it. On October 21, 2011 the IMF

Board approved the request.11

Chart 1: Selected Macroeconomic Aggregates, 2001-2010

Source: IMF

11

See IMF Country Report No. 11/315 ―Request for Modification of Non-concessional External Debt Limit

Under the Extended Credit Facility‖, October 13, 2011.

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Real GDP growth (percent)

-5.0

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Inflation (percent)

-45

-40

-35

-30

-25

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Fiscal Deficit (percent of GDP)

Fiscal Deficit (Commitments basis; Excl. grants)

Fiscal Deficit (Commitments basis; after grants; excl. HIPC)

-50

-45

-40

-35

-30

-25

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Balance of Payments (percent of GDP)

Current Account Balance (Incl. Official transfers)

Current Account Balance (Excl. Official transfers)

Trade Balance

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25. Gross official reserves (in months of imports) continuously increased during 2005–

10, partly as the result of higher donor disbursements. Burundi’s foreign exchange position

fluctuated widely in the last decade, (starting with a low level of US$18 million in 2001)

depending on export performance and volumes of aid flows. Aid assistance is provided mainly

by the African Development Bank (AfDB), European Commission (EC), IDA, and bilateral

donors such as Belgium, France, Netherlands, Norway, and the United States. Increased

macroeconomic stability and increased donor funding (HIPC and MDRI relief, and IMF’s SDR

allocation, in particular for 2009) resulted in a build-up of foreign reserves. Gross international

reserves are estimated to have increased from US$323 million at end-2009 to US$332 million in

2010, i.e., about 4.9 months of imports on average.

Table 1: Economic Trends, 2006-2010

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Population (million) 7.5 7.7 7.9 8.2 8.4

Population growth (%) 3.8 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.6

GDP (current prices, US$ billion) 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.5

GNI per capita (Atlas method, current prices, US$) 100.0 120.0 140.0 150 n.a

Real GDP growth (%) 5.1 3.6 4.5 3.5 3.9

Inflation (average CPI, %) 2.8 8.3 24.4 10.7 6.4

Real effective exchange rate (% change) -2.7 -5.7 16.0 2.0 n/a

Terms of trade (% change) -2.9 -23.4 3.4 38.5 -8.7

Gross investment (% of GDP) 16.3 17.5 19.4 20.8 n/a

Gross national savings (% of GDP) 1.8 1.8 7.1 6.3 n/a

Overall fiscal balance (Excluding grants, % of GDP) -19.3 -19.8 -25.6 -32.1 -34.9

Overall fiscal balance (after grants, Excl. HIPC, % of GDP) -1.8 -3.3 -3.7 -5.2 -3.2

Current account balance (Incl. official transfers, % of GDP) -14.5 -15.7 -15.0 -16.1 -13.4

Overall balance of payment (% of GDP) 1.5 3.0 7.4 4.1 0.9

Gross international reserves (months of imports) 3.3 3.8 5.0 5.0 4.8

Export growth (f.o.b; US$; % change) 2.6 -9.7 15.1 21.5 37.7

Share of coffee in exports (%) 67.7 59.8 65.8 63.9 72.2

Debt service to exports ratio (%) 11.1 6.8 3.2 1.7 1.2

External debt stock (% of GDP) 165.1 155.0 129 27 28

Source: Burundi authorities; World Bank; IMF.

B. FOOD AND FUEL PRICES CRISIS

26. Burundi is highly vulnerable to external shocks and so has been severely hit by

recent food and fuel price increases. In 2008, the IMF listed Burundi among the 18 world’s

most vulnerable countries to balance of payments shocks caused by food and oil price increases.

Burundi is a net importer of food and oil products, and its landlocked position raises significantly

import costs. Indeed, food price increase in Burundi mainly reflects higher petroleum and

transport costs. Together, food and fuel imports represent an estimated 43 percent of total

imports.

27. From October 2010 to February 2011, the price of fuel in Burundi increased by at least

12 percent for gasoline and 15 percent for diesel, and, more importantly, by 17 percent for

kerosene, a source of energy mostly used by poor households. Transport costs increased by 7.4

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percent within cities and 20 percent from cities to the interior of the country. Fuel price increases

were accompanied by soaring domestic food prices. The price of rice increased by 3.5 percent

and the price of green bananas rose by 17.9 percent. Inflation is now projected to rise at 14

percent against the original target of 9 percent at end 2011.

28. The surge in food prices is expected to negatively impact the Burundian economy,

exacerbating the country’s food insecurity and chronic malnutrition rates that are among the

highest in the world. The authorities are addressing the situation through a combination of

measures. On the one hand, they are increasing spending (by 0.7 percent of GDP) on social

safety net programs targeting vulnerable groups notably school feeding programs and health care

for infants and pregnant women. On the other hand, they reduced excise taxes on: (i) kerosene by

96 percent; (ii) diesel by 55 percent; and (iii) gasoline by 17 percent. These measures are

expected to lower fiscal revenues by 0.3 percent. Thus, the fiscal impact of government actions

to address the food and fuel crisis is estimated at about one percent of GDP.

C. MEDIUM TERM MACROECONOMIC OUTLOOK

29. The proposed medium term macroeconomic outlook (2011-2013) is based on the

framework presented in the sixth review of IMF’s ECF program adopted by the IMF’s

Board on July 13, 2011. The IMF’s Board confirmed that Burundi’s performance under the

ECF-supported program has been satisfactory, and its economic outlook is broadly positive.

However, IMF’s Board recognized that the most imminent policy challenge is to preserve

macroeconomic stability while cushioning the impact of rising commodity prices. It also takes

into account the budget framework letter for the 2012 budget prepared by the authorities that is

based on a central medium term expenditure framework (MTEF). The budget framework letter

was approved by the Council of Ministers in June 2011.

30. The proposed medium term macroeconomic framework for 2011-2013 is adequate.

It projects that: (i) after some softening in 2009 following the global financial crisis, the

economy will continue to recover during 2011, but at a slower pace than previously anticipated;

(ii) after a peak of 12.5 percent in 2012, because of higher international food and oil prices, the

rate of inflation (period average) will gradually decline to about 10 percent in 2013 due to the

efforts of the Central Bank to gear monetary policy toward stabilizing prices while allowing

sufficient scope for improved economic growth; (iii) fiscal policy will remain prudent and

supportive of economic growth and poverty reduction, with stable government revenue (as a

ratio of GDP) and gradually declining public expenditure; (iv) export growth (US$ value) will

improve in 2011-13 (averaging about 5.5 percent), reflecting the impact of coffee reforms, while

import growth (US$ value) will slow down averaging about 7.6 percent for 2011-2013, despite a

peak of 23 percent in 2011 following the surge in global food and fuel prices; (v) the current

account deficit remains constant around 16 percent in 2011-2013; and (vi) external financing will

continue to be in form of grants and highly concessional loans in the medium term. The medium

term macroeconomic framework is summarized in table 2.

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Table 2: Economic Outlook - Main Economic Indicators, 2011-2013

Actual Projections Average

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2011-13

(annual percent change)

Real GDP growth 3.5 3.9 4.5 4.8 5.0 4.8

Consumer prices (period average) 10.7 6.4 8.2 12.5 10.2 10.3

Exports, f.o.b (change in US$ value) 21.5 37.7 3.9 20.7 -8.0 5.5

Imports, f.o.b (change in US$ value) -19.6 42.9 23.0 -0.3 0.0 7.6

(percent of GDP)

Current account deficit (incl. grants) -16.1 -13.4 -16.5 -16.9 -15.1 -16.2

Revenue (excl. grants) 18.6 19.8 19.4 19.8 20.0 19.7

Total expenditure and net lending 50.7 54.7 47.4 42.2 39.9 43.2

Overall balance (excl. grants)a -32.1 -34.9 -28.0 -22.4 -19.8 -23.4

Overall balance (incl. grants)b -5.2 -3.2 -3.1 -2.4 -0.9 -2.1

Gross international reserves c 5.0 4.8 4.7 5.0 5.5 5.1

Source: IMF. Note: a commitment basis,

b excluding HIPC,

c in months of imports.

Table 3: Structure of Public Finance and Financing Sources, 2011-2013

(Percent of GDP)

Actual Projections Average

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2011-13

Domestic revenue 18.6 19.8 19.4 19.8 20.0 19.7

Tax revenue 17 18.6 18.2 18.6 18.8 18.5

Non-tax revenue 1.6 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2

Total Expenditure and net lending 50.7 54.7 47.4 42.2 39.9 43.2

Current expenditure 25.8 26.7 27.4 23.5 22.6 24.5

Wages and salaries 11.7 11.7 11.8 11.6 11.2 11.5

Other current expenditure 14.1 15.0 15.5 11.9 11.4 12.9

Externally-financed special programs12 7.9 11.6 4.5 2.9 2.6 3.3

Capital and net lending 17 16.3 15.5 15.8 14.7 15.3

Overall balance, commitment basis

Excluding grants -32.1 -34.9 -28.0 -22.4 -19.8 -23.4

After grants, excluding HIPC -5.2 -3.2 -3.1 -2.4 -0.9 -2.1

Change in arrears 0.0 -1.0 -1.0 0.0 0.0 -0.3

Overall balance, cash basis

Excluding grants -32.1 -35.9 -29.1 -22.4 -19.8 -23.8

After grants, excluding HIPC -5.2 -4.3 -4.1 -2.4 -0.9 -2.5

Financing 30.4 35.2 29.1 21.6 18.2 23.0

Foreign grants 90.6 31.0 25.0 19.3 17.3 20.5

External borrowing -64.4 2.3 1.8 2.0 1.7 1.8

Privatization proceeds 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0

Domestic financing 4.2 2.0 2.2 0.4 -0.9 0.6

Financing gap/Errors and omissions 1.7 0.7 0.0 0.8 1.6 0.8

Source: IMF.

31. The medium-term outlook of growth should improve because of anticipated

agricultural productivity improvements. The rate of growth is projected to rise from 3.9

percent in 2010 to 4.5 percent in 2011 and to an average of 4.9 percent in 2012-2013. These

projections assume that growth would be supported by productivity improvements in the

12

Special programs are externally financed expenditures and include spending on elections (in 2010),

demobilization, technical assistance, and temporary social safety net programs. The decline in 2011 is due to the

withdrawal of one-off spending (elections, crisis related spending on social programs).

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agriculture sector (including coffee) and the secondary sector (mostly agro-industry, mining and

energy, and construction). In addition, a renewed impetus in the service sector, including

banking and telecommunications, within the East Africa Community (EAC) should have a

positive effect on Burundi’s economic growth. Finally, planned investments in the energy sector

should relieve a major constraint to economic growth.

32. Burundi will remain dependent on external assistance, both in the form of budget

support and project grants, to meet projected financing requirements over 2011-13. Aid

pledges (mostly grants) are projected to be at least 23 percent of GDP in the next three years,

unless some bilateral donors stop providing budget support. In recent years, overall, budget

support (excluding special programs) accounted for about 28 percent of total assistance to

Burundi.13

33. Should the recent increase in international fuel and food prices continue, the

medium term macroeconomic outlook may not be realized. First, in the absence of additional

financing, the overall fiscal deficit (including grants) may increase if the government carries out

new fiscal measures aimed at coping with the impact of rising international food and fuel prices.

These fiscal measures could include exempting a series of imported basic food staples (mostly

consumed by the poor) from excise taxes. At the same time government payments for food and

fuel would increase. This situation could jeopardize implementation of key social programs such

as school feeding and free health care for vulnerable populations. Second, a possible

underperformance of the newly created Burundi Revenue Office, due to its capacity constraints,

could disrupt the above framework. Third, the impact on Burundi of the ongoing European debt

crisis could materialize if its major trade partners are severely affected. In fact, Europe is the

premier trade partner of Burundi (destination for 60 percent of export and origin for 24 percent

for imports), current account balance for Burundi is vulnerable to the situation in Europe. As a

result, lower than projected foreign direct investment is also possible, notably in the privatization

of the tourism industry and coffee sector (e.g., limited response of foreign investors to the

bidding process for the sale of coffee washing stations, as was the case during the first bidding in

2009). Moreover, the amount of aid prospects could decline should an increased number of

development partners cut on their assistance to the country as a result of the Euro debt crisis.

Finally, and not the least, the prospect for another food and fuel crisis could put the program off

track given the vulnerability of Burundi’s economy to such external shocks.

34. The Burundian authorities are committed to take proactive measures to mitigate the

impact of the crises.

a. To prevent the potential adverse effects of a food and fuel crisis, the authorities plan to

take advantage of their experience in dealing with the 2008 crisis and will continue to

implement effective measures (tax exemption, supply-side measures and safety nets)

proposed at that time.

b. Implementing those measures may require that the authorities continue their efforts to

improve the prioritization/efficiency of public expenditure (through MTEF tool) in line

13

When special programs are considered, budget support accounts for about 50 percent of total assistance to

Burundi. Starting from 2012 Norway will no more provide budget support.

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with poverty reduction objectives. On the financing side, the combination of improved

tax collection and additional donor contribution will be needed. Although the recent

Cabinet’s adoption of the financial sector strategy and the national governance strategy

are important steps forward that may convince donors to continue or even increase their

support, effective implementation of these strategies will be key in reinforcing donors’

assistance to Burundi in the longer term.

c. The authorities are taking steps to improve the diversification of the economy by

reducing key constraints to investment and private sector development, including energy

bottlenecks. At the same time, the government has decided to accelerate implementation

of the regional integration agenda.

IV. GOVERNMENT PROGRAM AND PARTICIPATORY PROCESSES

35. The priorities of the government’s economic development program are clearly described

in the first Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper (PRSP) that was formally approved by the

government in September 2006, and discussed together with the Joint Staff Advisory Note

(JSAN) by the Boards of the Bank and the IMF in March 2007. The first PRSP emphasized four

strategic objectives: (i) governance and security; (ii) equitable growth; (iii) developing human

capital; and (iv) controlling HIV/AIDS.

36. Security and good governance are the highest priorities of Burundi’s PRSP. The

security objectives of the government include: (i) negotiating and implementing a permanent

cease-fire agreement with all rebel groups; (ii) demobilizing and reintegrating ex-combatants;

and (iii) maintaining the size of military and police forces at an appropriate – fiscally sustainable

– level, compatible with the country’s perceived security requirements. The governance

objectives include: (i) promoting a culture of democracy; (ii) strengthening transparency and

accountability in the management of public resources; and (iii) strengthening the rule of law and

the judicial system.

37. Equitable growth and developing human capital dominate the economic and social

development agenda of the government. According to the PRSP, promoting equitable growth

depends mainly on developing the rural sector, where more than 90 percent of Burundi’s poor

live. It also means: (i) improving the business environment and stimulating private sector activity

through economic liberalization and state divestiture; and (ii) rehabilitating economic

infrastructure – notably roads and power plants – devastated by thirteen years of civil war.

Developing the country’s human capital means increasing access to and improving the quality of

basic social services, notably primary health care and primary education.

38. The last objective of the PRSP is to fight HIV/AIDS, i.e., not only to stem the spread

of the disease, but also to reduce its impact on individuals, families, and communities.

39. The authorities continued to consult key stakeholders when preparing annual

reports on implementation of the first PRSP. The government has completed two annual

progress reports through participatory discussion with the civil society and the private sector.

The preparation of an overall evaluation of the PRSP followed a similar participatory process.

The dialogue with the private sector was intensified through a consultation framework (Cadre de

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dialogue public-privé) between the government and private sector, which was developed with

the support of the last ERSG series. Additional information on how the proposed operation

leverages available consultative frameworks and widens the policy dialogue can be found in the

section below devoted to implementation, monitoring, and evaluation.

40. Preparation of a second PRSP – based on the same participatory process – is

underway and expected to be completed in January 2012. While the second PRSP will

emphasize the same priorities as the first (governance and security, developing human resources

and the fight against HIV/AIDS), a new key pillar will emphasize the transformation of the

Burundian economy for sustained growth and job creation by alleviating key bottlenecks to

growth. These key development issues remain at the center of policy objectives of the country’s

leadership.

V. BANK SUPPORT TO THE GOVERNMENT’S PROGRAM

AND LESSONS LEARNED

A. LINKAGES TO THE CAS PROGRAM, AFRICA STRATEGY, AND PREVIOUS OPERATIONS AND

LESSONS LEARNED

41. The proposed operation is consistent with the main objectives of the Country

Assistance Strategy. Bank support to the government’s program is described in the FY09-FY12

Country Assistance Strategy (CAS) that was discussed by the Board on August 4, 2008. Based

on Burundi’s PRSP, the CAS aims to assist the country’s transition from a post-conflict to a

stable developing economy. It is focused on two strategic objectives: (i) promoting sustainable

and broad-based economic growth; and (ii) improving access to social services and consolidating

social stability.

42. The proposed operation is fully consistent with the Bank’s Strategy for Africa,

which mentions Burundi as a case of country extreme vulnerability to external shocks. The

proposed operation gives a high priority to (i) improving the competitiveness of Burundi’s

productive sector, (ii) reducing the country’s vulnerability to external shocks and (iii)

consolidating ongoing effort to strengthen PFM and governance.

43. To increase the competitiveness of Burundi's economy and reduce its vulnerability,

the proposed operation gives a high priority to increasing and diversifying production and

exports and improving the business environment through legal and regulatory reform and

infrastructure development. The introduction of central and sector MTEFs and their influence

on the budget framework letter (Lettre de Cadrage Macroéconomique et Budgétaire) will

improve the structure and the quality of public expenditures and in particular increase the share

of priority economic and infrastructure sectors in line with the key objectives of the second

PRSP under preparation. The revision of REGIDESO's tariffs is aimed to improve the

performance of the company and the supply of electric energy. The reform of the coffee sector

will increase production, export prices and farmers' income. A law on pre-cooperatives will

prepare a major restructuring of government support to agricultural development.

44. To reduce the vulnerability of the poor, notably to major changes in international

food and fuel prices, the proposed operation increases social protection expenditures (school

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feeding programs free health care for children under five and pregnant women) and reduces taxes

on fuel consumed by the poor and diesel used for transportation.

45. Improvements in public finance management include measures aimed at

streamlining budget execution and increasing the transparency of the voted budget and its

execution through publication on the website of the Ministry of Finance and Economic

Development Planning. Triggers for a future programmatic series will include evaluations by

users of the performance of basic services, will organize access to information, and will begin to

address the cost and the structure of the wage bill.

46. Previous operations and lessons learned. Five previous development policy operations

(DPOs)— the Emergency Economic Recovery Credit (EERC) in 2000, the Economic Recovery

Credit (ERC) in 2002, the first Economic Reform Support Grant (ERSG I) in 2006 and the

second and third (ERSG II and III) in 2008 and 2009 respectively—had two main goals: (i)

improving public sector governance and public finance management; and (ii) sustainable

economic growth, by stimulating private sector development. The Implementation Completion

Results Reports (ICRs) of the first three operations rated outcome and government performance

satisfactory or moderately satisfactory. Their lessons are summarized in Annex 2.

B. COLLABORATION WITH THE IMF AND OTHER DONORS

47. Most policy reforms supported by the Bank program are also supported by all the

major multilateral and bilateral donors operating in Burundi, including the African

Development Bank, the European Commission, USAID, Belgium, France and Canada. The

Netherlands and Norway co-financed the ERSG I and II grants, as well as ERSG III-IV.14

Norway will provide co-financing to the proposed operation (see Grant and Program Summary

Sheet and Sections VII.D-E). Meanwhile, the Netherlands opted to earmark its assistance for

2011 to the payment of arrears to civil servants due to the implementation of the 2006 civil

servant status (transposition decision). Several of the policy actions of the new programmatic

series will require technical assistance, which is provided in coordination with AfDB, EU, other

development partners and the IMF. Bank staff will continue to work closely with the IMF and

the donor community, and in particular, will use joint missions (whenever possible) and the

Cadre de Partenariat (Partnership Framework) involving all institutions providing budget

support with a view to improving consultations between development partners and better

coordinating programs both at the planning and implementation stages. A joint mission with

participation of donors interested/involved in PFM issues and/or budget support, organized by

the authorities, was conducted in September 2010. Another joint mission with the IMF was also

organized in June 2011. The main objectives of these missions included: (i) providing an

assessment of the PFM reform in the context of the PFM strategy; and (ii) evaluating future

prospects for PFM reform based on lessons learned.

14

Belgium also co-financed the second tranche of the ERSG I.

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C. ANALYTICAL UNDERPINNINGS

48. The Bank and other donors carried out various studies on Burundi. These studies

include: (i) the 2008 PEMFAR report;15

(ii) the 2009 PEFA report; (iii) the 2004 Diagnostic

Trade Integration Study (DTIS); (iv) the 2007 report on Sources of Rural Growth; (v) the 2008

Investment Climate Assessment (ICA); (vi) the 2008 EMSP-financed study on options for the

divestiture of assets in the coffee sector; (vii) the 2009 report on the legal and institutional

framework for privatization; (viii) the 2009 study on the options for pay reform which is being

updated; (ix) the 2010 Country Economic Memorandum; (x) the 2010 Public Expenditure

Review that focused on public investment; (xi) the background materials and the conclusions of

the October 2009 Consultative Group Meeting; and (xii) the policy notes prepared in the context

of the March 2011 cabinet seminar that provided additional inputs for the formulation of the

proposed new programmatic series. Annex 3 summarizes how recommendations from relevant

Economic Sector Work (ESW) reports informed the design of the proposed programmatic series.

VI. THE PROPOSED OPERATION (ERSG V)

A. RATIONALE FOR THE GRANT

49. To reinforce progress made over the course of the first ERSG series (II and III), and

ERSG IV, the proposed operation (ERSG V) focuses on: (i) improving budget credibility,

planning and controls (PFM component); and (ii) promoting private sector development

(PSD component). In addition, ERSG V will support government efforts to cope with the

international food and fuel prices crisis to maintain fiscal sustainability.

50. Public finance management reforms are complex, and require sustained effort over

time to take root and induce changes. For this reason, ERSG IV-V will consolidate measures

initiated under the earlier ERSG series while extending these reforms in scope and depth. The

PFM component of ERSG V has three main sub-components: (a) strengthening strategic and

budget planning to improve the quality of public spending; (b) reinforcing PFM systems and

their transparency; and (c) improving the management of the public wage bill.

51. Creating a basis for a strong private sector led growth requires good legal and

regulatory reforms, and specific actions to unleash growth in under-performing sectors

such as the export crop sector. As in ERSG III and ERSG IV, the PSD component of ERSG V

contains three main sub-components: (a) improving the legal and regulatory framework for

private sector development; (b) promoting private investment through improvements in the

economic infrastructure (including operations in the energy sector, the success of which is

critical to support a private sector led growth); and (c) restructuring the export crop sector. In

addition, ERSG V will support the authorities in their efforts to cope with the effects of

extremely volatile international prices of food and oil.

15

In addition to the recommendations of the 2008 PEMFAR report prepared jointly by the Government of Burundi

and World Bank, a study by the World Bank currently under preparation would update and revise, based on recent

payroll and staffing data, the recommendations of the 2009 study on pay reform options and those already made in

this area in several other reports.

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B. POLICY AREAS

52. The following section provides a more detailed description of the policy reforms

envisaged in each sector and sub-sector of the ERSG series. It identifies prior actions for this

operation as well as proposes indicative triggers for a possible next series. A number of

indicators are also described with the objective to monitor progress over time.

1. Public Finance Management

53. Background. Burundi has made significant progress toward sound public finance

management systems and practices. The basic legal framework for public finance (Loi

Organique) was overhauled in 2008 and the Ministry of Finance and Economic Development

Planning is determined to use the new law to bring about major changes in public finance

management.

54. The structure of approved budgets has improved and better reflects the PRSP

objectives. As a result of the HIPC process and other on-going reforms in the area of public

finance, fiscal expenditures are better allocated toward priority sectors, which remain a core

element of Burundi’s growth strategy. Since 2006, more than 70 percent of HIPC resources have

been allocated to social sectors (education and health). However, other domestically-financed

priority spending sectors (e.g., the infrastructure sector) continue to be underfunded.

55. Budget execution has been mixed over the past several years, but is beginning to

improve as reforms take root. Rates of budget execution in priority sectors were very low in

2006 but improved significantly in recent years rates following the creation of new entities

planned under the new procurement code and implementation of training programs on the code

for staff in ministries. While training on procurement should continue, the government must also

strengthen the units responsible for preparing investment projects. During the Cabinet Seminar

of March 2011, the participants reacted positively to two recommendations of the recent Bank’s

PER on: (i) more systematic use of cost-benefit analysis for the preparation of investment

projects; and (ii) mandatory project monitoring and evaluation reports. Rules on commitments

have been tightened and exceptional public spending procedures (Paiements sans

ordonnancements préalables), which were widely used in the past, have been brought under

control. Finally, most off-budget accounts have been closed.

56. Efforts to improve oversight institutions are beginning to have an effect. The

strengthened Cour des Comptes has begun to play a major role in auditing executed budgets and

reviewing critical public finance issues. Its special audit on off-budget accounts, performed at the

request of the Parliament, was instrumental in the closure of eight of the nine off-budget

accounts and integration of corresponding transactions in the 2009 budget. The capacity of Cour

des comptes was also reinforced with the appointment of 34 new magistrates in April 2011 for

six-year mandates.

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a. Strengthening government strategic planning to improve the quality of public spending

57. Following the adoption of a central MTEF16

and the institutionalization of the

MTEF process under ERSG IV, the gradual extension of medium-term expenditure

frameworks is expected to consolidate the link between strategic policy objectives and

budget allocations. This will done through three main measures: (i) improving the reliability of

macroeconomic and revenue projections in order to set credible spending caps, (ii) validation by

the Council of Ministers of multi-year inter-sector allocations reflecting the objectives of the

PRSP, and (iii) empowering line ministries to propose intra-sector allocations based on their own

strategies and priorities. With the help of donors, the government prepared sector MTEFs in

health, education, and agriculture. The development of three-year rolling MTEFs in key sectors

will address longstanding weaknesses in the link between recurrent and investment spending,

and will improve the prioritization of intra-sector expenditures.

58. Following the institutionalization of the MTEF process in 2010, at both central (Ministry

of Finance and Economic Development Planning) and sector levels, a large number of ministries

have begun to prepare sector MTEFs, notably in the context of the preparation of the second

PRSP. An agreed prior action for ERSG V is the use of the central MTEF for the preparation

of the budget framework letter (lettre de cadrage) requested for the 2012 budget. The

preparation of the second PRSP will also provide an opportunity to refine sectoral strategies, to

place these strategies within a medium term framework, and to define targeted outcomes for

service delivery. ERSG V will support this effort by reinforcing the role of the MTEF process.

59. The efficient allocation of expenditures to priority sectors also depends on the use of a

sound budget classification consistent with international guidelines (2001 Government Finance

Statistics Manual). The World Bank has continuously supported this measure, notably to

improve the tracking of pro-poor spending. A ministerial regulation of August 10, 2010 adopted

a new budget classification, which unifies budget and accounting classifications, simplifies the

structure of the budget, and plans to introduce (as of 2014) a program classification that will

better reflect the Government’s policy objectives and how these policies will be implemented.

An area for future policy dialogue in the context of a future programmatic series will be the

preparation of the next two draft budget laws on the basis of this new regulation, including

administrative, economic and functional classifications in the 2012 budget, and additional

classifications (beneficiaries of government transfers and subsidies, sources of financing and

counterpart funds) in the 2013 budget. Another area for future policy dialogue would be the

launching of public expenditure tracking survey (PETS), including beneficiary assessments of

service delivery in social sectors to better monitoring poverty-reducing expenditures.

60. Finally, an additional area for future policy dialogue will be the budget preparation’s

timetable. ERSG II and III already addressed this issue, and provided for an earlier submission of

the draft budget law to the Parliament. Since then, a number of constraints and circumstances

(the food crisis in 2008, the international financial and economic crisis in 2009, and presidential

16

A central MTEF (in contrast to sector MTEF) is a tool developed by central ministries such as the Ministry of

Finance and the Ministry of Planning (now combined into a single ministry: Ministry of Finance and Economic

Development Planning following recent government reshuffle), which indicates the global envelop of resources

expected based on macroeconomic projections and provides expenditures ceiling for each institutions financed

through the budget.

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and legislative elections in 2010) delayed the submission of draft budget laws to the Parliament

and the Cour des comptes, thus making it impossible to fulfill correctly their constitutional

mandate. For example, the 2011 draft budget law was received on December 21, 2010, more

than two months after the legal deadline and just before the beginning of the next fiscal year. The

timely submission of the draft budget will therefore be an area of reform and constant

improvements will be expected throughout the next programmatic series.

b. Reinforcing Systems for Transparent Public Finance Management

61. Improving public finance management procedures and practices is essential to make

the budget an effective instrument for growth and poverty reduction, and to demonstrate to

the donor community that the government is fully committed to continue and intensify the fight

against corruption.

62. The development of quarterly commitment plans initiated in March 2010 was

institutionalized in the context of ERSG IV when the Minister of Finance determined, for each

line ministry, commitment ceiling consistent with quarterly cash management plans. In addition,

the functionalities of Integrated Financial Management System (SIGEFI, in French) were

improved to accommodate the possibility of blocking automatically commitments in excess of

agreed quarterly commitments ceilings. Those actions will prevent the recurrence of excess

spending beyond the agreed threshold, as it occurred in 2007-08 leading to the accumulation of

large arrears (defined as invoices still unpaid 60 days after their due date).17

In the same vein, the

authorities have emphasized the need to extend the functionalities of SIGEFI and so include a

feature that blocks awards of public contracts to private entities, which do not hold a tax

registration number (numéro d’immatriculation fiscale - NIF), and/or have not paid their debt to

the government.

63. A culture of access to information will progressively improve the transparency of

public finance management. During the Cabinet Seminar of March 2011, the participants

recognized the need for a law on access to information regarding the management of public

affairs. The first step will be the publication of budget documents on government websites. An

agreed prior action is the publication on the website of the Ministry of Finance and Economic

Development Planning of the 2011 Budget Law and the budget implementation report for the

first and second quarter of 2011. While the number of Internet users remains limited in Burundi,

the agreed prior action will demonstrate the commitment of the government to increase

transparency and give the civil society adequate access to public finance information.

64. The next programmatic series will follow-up in this area, with the proposed publication

on the website of the Ministry of Finance and Economic Development Planning of the 2012 draft

Budget Law, in accordance with international best practices (Open Budget Index) to improve

Parliamentary oversight and better inform the civil society. The transmission of medium term

fiscal frameworks (MTFF) and MTEF to the Parliament before the review of the 2012 draft

budget law will also reinforce its ability to control the Government’s budget strategy and will

facilitate the organization of a pre-budget debate of the main orientations of the future budget

17

This definition is the IMF definition of payment arrears, which measures invoices that have not been paid 60 days

after their due date.

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proposals for the upcoming fiscal years in line with the provisions of the Budget Framework

Law (Loi Organique) No. 1/35 of December 4, 2008. Another action would be the adoption of a

decree on budget preparation (already under preparation) that would institute a non-binding

opinion of Cour des comptes over MTFF and of Conseil économique et social over MTEF

submitted to the Parliament for the pre-budget debate. This reform, which is based on the

practice of South Africa’s Fiscal Commission, and takes into account Burundi’s institutional

framework and weak capacities, would facilitate and clarify future Parliamentary pre-debates on

the government’s fiscal strategy.

65. The Cabinet Seminar also recognized the need for a law on access to information and a

whistleblower policy (to protect those who reveal corruption cases). This would be a possible

area for future policy dialogue for the next programmatic series.

66. In the context of the implementation of the public finance Loi Organique, a high

priority should be given to streamlining the chain of public expenditures. A decree on

budget execution, accounting and control, which was prepared and adopted by the Council of

Ministers in April 2011, introduces major changes in public spending procedures. It provides for

the elimination of redundant BRB controls, the progressive devolution of the budget authority to

line ministries, and the strengthening of internal control, through stronger oversight of

commitments and strict separation between the budget and accounting functions and the

suppression of OTBU (Ordonnateur Tresorier du Burundi). This decree also introduces elements

of accrual accounting and reinforces cash management. An agreed prior action for ERSG V

was the signing of this Presidential Decree, which should be in force for the execution of the

2012 Budget Law. This prior action was completed as the said decree was signed on October 18,

2011 under Decree No. 100/255.

67. External and internal oversight institutions have been strengthened, but virtually

nothing has been done so far to coordinate their programs, eliminate unnecessary

duplications and focus their activities on high priority objectives. The Inspection Générale

de l’Etat (State General Inspectorate) is the most appropriate institution to initiate a dialogue

with existing internal oversight departments and institutions, with a view to developing

consistent, risk-based audit work plans. The General Inspectorate of State (IGE) Decree No.

548/061 of January 25, 2010, creates within the IGE a new "division for the management and

coordination of sectoral inspections." This new division, however, has not yet helped IGE

exercise its coordination role. Staff has been appointed and a work program for the division is

under preparation. An area for future policy dialogue during the preparation of the next

programmatic series would be the provision by IGE of audit training for line ministries and the

adoption of a common work program, including a timetable for future coordination meetings

between the ministerial inspections and IGE. At the same time, the professional capacity of the

of the Cour des Comptes should be strengthened and its operational independence reinforced,

since the Court has a major role to play in enhancing the transparency of public finance

management and the accountability of the executive. The legal framework for the Court should

also be revised to secure its operational independence. The adoption by the Council of Ministers

and the submission to the Parliament of a legislation reinforcing the operational independence of

the Cour des Comptes, which is also included in the EC’s budget support program, has been

delayed due to recent changes in the leadership of the supreme audit institution. The EC provides

technical assistance for the preparation of this reform. An assessment report of audit and control

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institutions currently underway with EC support is expected to provide an updated diagnostic of

these institutions. In this context, the proposed prior action for ERSG V has been postponed and

would be an area for future policy dialogue during the preparation of the next programmatic

series.

c. Improving the Management of the Public Wage Bill

68. The rapid growth of the public wage bill remains an important PFM issue. The share

of the government wage bill in current expenditure steadily increased during the past decade,

from an average of about 37 percent of total recurrent spending in 2001-04 to an average of

about 45 percent over the past two years. At about 12.2 percent of GDP in 2010 (2010 Revised

Budget), the wage bill is significantly higher than the level of 6-7 percent of GDP in many other

low income countries.18

The government needs an effective human resource management

strategy, which should include: (i) adequate training, hiring and retaining of personnel with key

technical skills, such as doctors and nurses whose current salaries are relatively low; (ii)

substantial restructuring aimed at reducing the wage bill while improving the delivery of

services; (iii) appropriate institutional arrangements for managing the staffing and the salaries of

public employees; and (iv) improved coherence of recruitment and human resource planning

with the objectives of ministerial sector strategies.

69. A few key measures can facilitate the launching of reforms in the public

administration. First, ERSG IV introduced the installation and exploitation of software for

human resource management interfaced with SIGEFI. The software has been operational since

January 2011 and has already produced significant savings. Secondly, it is important that the

authorities validate the census of public employees to facilitate an updating of this database. This

updating has been postponed because of delays in mobilizing the funds necessary to finance it

but it is proposed to become a key trigger for future DPOs.

70. The government should set up within the Minister of Public Administration a technical

support unit (cellule d’appui) similar to the cellule created within the Ministry of Finance and

Economic Development Planning. Its role would be to design action plans aimed at improving

the management of the wage bill (in line with the ongoing MTEF process). The objective would

be to stabilize the level of the wage bill and eventually to bring it down to a more sustainable

level in terms of the share of public expenditure (say, 10 percent of GDP and 40 percent of

recurrent expenses), while at the same time creating more incentives for key professional staff

with a view to improving service delivery. The bureau of Amélioration des Structures de

l’Administration Publique (ASAP) should be restructured to serve as the proposed cellule

d’appui. This will be an area for future policy dialogue during preparation of future DPOs.

18

As in Burundi: Options for Reforming Staffing, Pay and the Management of Staff and the Wage Bill (January

2009), a report prepared for the Economic Management Support Project (EMSP) with financial support from the

Japanese Policy and Human Resources Development (PHRD) grant.

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Table 4: Indicators for PFM Reforms (ERSG IV-V Series)

Sub-Objective Indicator and Target Value

1. Strengthening strategic planning and

budget preparation

0 percent of national budget has followed the MTEF process. [8-31-2010]

50 percent of national budget has followed the MTEF process. [5-30-2011]:

The budget framework letter based on MTEF for 2012 budget was

approved by the Council of Ministers in May 2011.

100 percent of national budget has followed the MTEF process. [5-30-2012]

2. Improved Cash Management and

reduction in domestic payment arrears Peak arrears19 reduced by 50 percent compared to 2009.

[12-31-2010]: Done, no arrears.

Arrears reduced to 0. [12-31-2011] and [12-31-2012]: Done, no arrears as

of October 2011.

4. Improved transparent budget

execution* Budget is executed based on the disposition of a decree relative to the

management of public budget and budget execution manual.

[12-31-2011]: Not done but expected in December 2011.

5. Improved access to information

relative to public finance management* The 2011 budget is available on the website of the Ministry of Finance and

Economic Development Planning. [1-30-2011]: Done

Four quarterly budget execution reports for 2011 are available on the

Ministry of Finance and Economic Development Planning website.

[12-31-2011]: In progress- three quarterly budget execution reports for

2011 have been posted as of November 4, 2011.

6. Improving the human resource

planning and the management of the

public wage bill.

Software for the management of the wage bill (HRMIS) is designed and

installed. [1-31-2010]: Done: Since January 2011, the software is being

used for payroll management.

100 percent of the public civilian wage bill can be effectively managed

through HRMIS-SIGEFI. [12-31-2011] and [12-31-2012]: the

management is not yet fully effective due partly to delays in the

preparation of an implementation manual.

Note. * New indicators

2. Private Sector Development

71. Background. The development of the private sector is handicapped by cumbersome

regulation, low productivity, and other constraints. While many of the key laws governing

private sector activity have been recently modernized, appropriate implementing regulations

have not been prepared and approved and this leads to limited and arbitrary implementation.

However, since the country remains keen on reforming the business climate in order to promote

a private sector-led economic growth, development partners, including the Bank’s financial and

private sector development (PSD) project and IFC programs are supporting the government in

these efforts. According to the 2012 Doing Business report, Burundi was listed among the top 10

investment climate reformers and its ranks improved from 177th

in the 2011 report to 169th

.20

Although such rankings only give an indication of the overall enabling business environment, it

has signaled the government’s commitment.

72. Historically, investment promotion has always been limited in Burundi and the

dialogue between the public and private sectors has been weak. As a result of limited

consultation and cooperation with the private sector, decision-makers in the public sector are not

well informed and often do not foresee how their decisions will impact the private sector. In

addition, when the government implements reforms that might benefit private enterprises, such

19

Defined as invoices not paid 60 days after due date. 20

Significant improvements in the ―protecting investors‖ indicator largely explain the change in Burundi ranking.

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as the recent Investment Code, many private sector operators are not informed about the benefits

from these reforms.

73. A 2007 study found that the government owned shares in 48 entities (40 enterprises and 8

financial institutions), with many of them facing a dire financial situation and major governance

problems typically found in many low income countries, including political interference. ERSG I

promoted a progressive approach to the reform of the public enterprise sector, which a few

simple privatization operations that did not require extensive preparatory work, while helping the

government prepare more complex privatization programs. The results were mixed and the

proceeds of privatization transactions remained modest. The government liquidated several

bankrupt enterprises, sold some public properties, re-launched bids for the sale of its shares in

some companies and banks, and—with the Economic Management Support Project (EMSP)

funding—finalized studies on the financial condition of seven major public enterprises. Under

ERSG II, the government launched a study of available institutional capacity for the management

of public enterprise reform and ERSG III supported the completion of audits for eight public

enterprises, including Air Burundi, Société Régionale de Développement de l’Imbo (SRDI),

Société Immobilière Publique (SIP), Hôtel Source du Nil, Agence de Location de Matériels

(ALM), Laboratoire National de Bâtiments et Travaux Publics (LNBTP), Encadrement des

Constructions Sociales et Aménagement des Terrains (ECOSAT), and Office du Transport en

Commun (OTRACO). The privatization of the Hôtel Source du Nil and Hôtel Novotel is being

discussed with international companies.

74. The progress of coffee sector reform has been subject to many delays and reversals.

Reforms began in 1992, but were interrupted by the civil war. They were resumed in 2005,

setback in 2007 and accelerated in 2008. The government still owns most of the sector’s assets

(120 washing stations and two large dry mill factories), which are operated by local enterprises

(Sociétés de Gestion de Stations de Lavage (SOGESTAL) and Société de Deparcharge et de

Conditionnement (SODECO)) under a lease agreement with the government, which was

amended in 2009 (see below). In 2009, the government launched the bidding for the privatization

of 117 washing stations, but only 13 coffee washing stations have been sold.

75. An effective private sector development strategy will require actions on many

fronts. The reforms being targeted within the ERSG IV-V framework are: (i) promoting private

investment and private sector development through improvements in the legislative framework

and economic infrastructure; (ii) facilitating the restructuring or privatization of public

enterprises; and (iii) modernization of the export sectors. The ERSG IV-V program also includes

reforms aimed at mitigating the impact of fuel and food prices crises. Full implementation of the

measures proposed under this new programmatic series should lead to measurable improvements

in the business environment and accelerate the development of the private sector, as described in

Table 5.

a. Promotion of Investment and Private Sector Development

76. Energy sector reforms. Weak energy supply is a major obstacle to private sector

activity. In the 2007 Investment Climate Assessment (ICA), electricity was identified as a major

constraint by 72 percent of the firms interviewed (much more that the 55 percent average for all

African countries). Since September 2009, Burundi experienced an unprecedented energy crisis,

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which paralyzed much of the country’s productive sector. Not only electricity was not available

to households, but small businesses, the agro-industrial sector, trade and industrial activities were

severely affected by the energy crisis. According to the Ministry of Energy and Mining and

Régie de Production et de Distribution d’Eau et d’Electricité (REGIDESO) (a public utility

company) the crisis had several causes including the obsolescence of available equipment, the

drought, and the lack of investment and maintenance in this vital sector.

77. A number of reforms have been initiated to improve the financial viability of

REGIDESO. First, to improve cost recovery, REGIDESO has begun to use a pre-paid system for

both public and private subscribers. About 50 percent of ministries (mainly ministries whose

electricity consumption is limited) have already subscribed to the pre-payment system.

Additionally, to reduce operational losses, the government should review tariff levels, which date

back to the 1980s. The completion of an on-going tariff study for water and electricity is

important to initiate critical policy and institutional reforms. In addition, this tariff study should

be accompanied by an assessment of the poverty impact of the proposed tariffs to ensure that the

changes envisaged will not put undue pressure on the poor although they don’t have access to

electricity (See Annex 6 for details of an impact analysis of tariff changes on the poor). An

agreed prior action is that the Council of Ministers should adopt a revised tariff structure based

on the results of the tariff study and the poverty impact analysis, and put in place appropriate

measures (including accelerating the ongoing prepayment program) to improve the financial

viability and operational performance of REGIDESO. The authorities should also launch a

campaign to sensitize the public and make it aware of the revised tariffs and the schedule for

their application. Following a series of communication campaign and debates with the civil

society initiated by the government and the Parliament, this prior action was completed. The new

tariff structure will be in force starting from January 2012.

78. In fact the proposed changes in electricity tariffs are not likely to have a negative

impact on the poor. Annex 6 provides a detailed analysis of the impact analysis on the poor of

subsidized electricity tariffs both in typical low income countries and in Burundi. Based on the

Core Welfare Indicator Questionnaire (CWIQ) survey of 2006, it estimates that current

electricity subsidies in Burundi have virtually no impact on the condition of the poor especially if

that impact is compared to that of other programs like food transfers and public spending on

education and health. This is largely explained by the fact that connection rates to the network

are small (three percent at the national level) and are concentrated on households located in the

top deciles of per capita consumption. In the case of Burundi, one could even argue that an

increase in electricity tariffs could benefit the poor if it enables REGIDESO to extend

connections to a larger segment of the population or to reduce current subsidies to this company.

It should also be noted that the proposed increase in electricity tariffs will keep a ―social tranche‖

(tarif social, in French) providing electricity at a lower unit price for consumers with the least

electricity consumption. These consumers tend to be poorer than the average residential

consumer.

79. These reforms should help to improve the financial viability and efficiency of public

utility services. Following the validation of the tariff study through a participatory process (e.g.,

consultations with various stakeholders including private sector and households), the Bank

advised the government to introduce appropriate measures (a combination of tariff adjustments

and government subsidies) to improve the financial viability and the operational performance of

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REGIDESO. In the context of ERSG IV, the government helped expand the prepayment system

to cover at least 25 percent of subscribers (of a total of 45,000 subscribers) including public

institutions. There are currently more than 50 percent of REGIDESO customers who subscribed

to the prepayment system.

b. Facilitating the Restructuring or Privatization of Public Enterprises

80. Revision of the Privatization Law. A new Privatization Law has been prepared,

approved by the Parliament and promulgated by the government, but is considered unsatisfactory

by the private sector, donors, and many public institutions. One of the provisions in this law

requires that all the privatizations, regardless of their size, should be approved by the Parliament.

Implementation of this provision would politicize the process and make progress in this area

extremely cumbersome. A revised draft law was approved by the Council of Ministers and

submitted to the Parliament in November 2010. The objective of the new law would be to

modernize the legislative framework and to ensure that the withdrawal of the state from

productive sectors will not result in uncompetitive market outcomes (creation of private

monopolies). Adoption of the new Privatization Law by the Council of Ministers and submission

to the Parliament was a condition of effectiveness for ERSG IV. The draft law seems to be facing

some challenges in the Parliament and could be subject to modifications, which could change the

spirit and pertinence of the document. Further delays in Parliamentary approval of the draft law

may complicate implementation of the privatization program of the government.

81. Restructuring of public enterprises. To ensure the continuity of the reform process, the

2005-07 audits of Air Burundi, SRDI, SIP, Hôtel Source du Nil, ALM, LNBTP, ECOSAT, and

OTRACO were published on a government website of the government in the context of ERSG

IV. The action plans for the restructuring or privatization of these enterprises should be adopted

by the Council of Ministers. This is an agreed prior action for ERSG V. This prior action is

completed as of February 2011 when the Council of Ministers approved the global action plan of

the ministry in charge of privatization, which included the road map for the

restructuring/privatization of these public companies. For the reform to be successful, it is

equally important that this process be accompanied with a communication campaign, as is being

done for the coffee sector reforms (described below). The communication issue will be

considered among the policy areas to be discussed in the context of the next DPO programmatic

series.

c. Modernization of Export Sectors

82. Continuing reforms of the coffee sector. Coffee accounts for more than 60 percent of

Burundi’s export earnings and is the main source of cash income for more than 600,000 rural

families that are among the poorest in the country. The Burundian coffee sector is increasingly

inefficient and suffers from low and declining productivity due to: aging plantations, high

intermediary costs, and an inadequate incentive framework. Yields are approximately half those

in neighboring countries (250/250 grams per tree, versus 450/500 grams in Kenya). Production

follows a cyclical pattern and declines significantly from year to year.21

These large variations in

21

From 42,000 tons in the early 2000s, production dropped to 6,500 tons in 2007-08, recovered in 2008-09 to reach

about 25,400 tons, but is expected to decline again to 12,000 tons or less in 2009-10.

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coffee output are one of the factors that explain the recent fluctuations in the country’s GDP

growth rates.

83. Reforming the coffee sector is of high priority. The country’s ecological conditions are

favorable to the production of high quality coffee that could sell at premium prices on specialty

markets. Despite a market structure that allows direct contracting with international coffee

buyers, most of the production is sold on the commodity market at relatively low prices due to an

ill-adapted processing strategy that does not foster specialty coffee. As a result, fully-washed

coffee, which commands premium prices, accounts for only 60 percent of the production versus

more than 75 percent when the washing stations were built in the 90s. Declining and volatile

production also affects buyers’ perceptions on the reliability of Burundi as a supplier. Inefficient

intermediation under the present ownership structure and marketing rules further increases costs

and reduces returns to farmers, which are among the lowest in the sub-region.

84. The ERSG IV-V program, the Financial and Private Sector Development project as

well as the Agro-Pastoral Productivity and Market Development Project will support

implementation of the strategy. The ultimate objective is to improve the competitiveness of the

filière, to align the long term interests of the private sector and smallholders operating in the

vicinity of the washing stations, and to provide added value by adequately financing the sector,

modernizing washing stations and other factories and promoting high quality products in a

growing world market of coffee specialty.

85. The risk exists that political, institutional, financial, and technical factors may derail

implementation of the strategy. Local institutions responsible for planning and monitoring

privatization schemes (Service Chargé des Entreprises Publiques, SCEP) may lack the necessary

expertise to complete the operation, and the lack of credit may endanger the financing of the next

crop. So far, however, the government seems determined to fully implement the reform. The

ministry responsible for governance and privatization has undertaken a communication campaign

aimed at informing the general public and engaging all the stakeholders in the reform as

evidenced by recent actions. Moreover, a conference of potential investors was organized in June

2009, and a Presidential Decree established the regulatory authority for the coffee filière.

Subsequently, the publication of the bidding documents for the sale of coffee washing stations

was undertaken. The signing of amendments (August 21, 2009) by the relevant parties put an end

to the main clauses of a 30-year lease agreement between the companies managing washing

stations (SOGESTALs) and the Burundi Coffee Board (OCIBU), thus paving the way for the

sale of the first 13 washing stations to an international investor in August 2009. In the context of

the 2010 elections, the government decided to postpone the launching of the second phase of the

bidding process for the remaining washing stations until after the coffee harvest (after August

2010). The Comité Interministériel de Privatisation (Inter-Ministerial Privatization Committee,

CIP) has approved the launching of the second phase of the sale of washing stations. However,

the Coffee Reform Committee and other institutions involved in the reforms decided to conduct

an evaluation of the first phase before launching the second phase. This evaluation has been

completed and its recommendations are being integrated in the new draft bidding documents for

the second phase. While the authorities have demonstrated a strong commitment to launching the

second phase for the remaining 104 state-owned coffee washing stations before the end of 2011,

the appointment by ministerial ordinance of a commission in charge of preparing these bidding

documents for the sale of those washing stations in addition to the preparation of a work program

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with a clear timetable and deliverables by the Commission is an agreed prior action for ERSG

V. This prior action has been completed on October 5, 2011 through Ministerial Ordinance No.

214/CAB/14 that setup the Commission and after the preparation by the Commission of a work

program. As of November 4, 2011, the commission transmitted their final draft report to the CIP

for the final decision to launch the bidding process.

86. The adoption by the Council of Ministers of a draft law on the organic framework for

pre-cooperative groups also is an agreed prior action for ERSG V. This action is necessary for

the successful continuation of the reform, as the reform strategy calls for cooperative

organizations22

to take a 25 percent stake in the coffee washing stations. Existing legislations

such as the 1992 Law on Non-Profit Organizations and the 1996 law on cooperatives are not

appropriate to regulate these organizations. These legislations include a minimal capital

requirement, which is much higher than the capital of what could be called agriculture

cooperatives in Burundi. Rather than undertaking a complete revision of existing texts, which

will be done in due course, the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) recommended the

preparation of a legislation focused on agriculture pre-cooperative groups. The draft bill prepared

in February 2010 is based on several EAC examples including Rwanda and Tanzania. It provides

for a transitional period of three years to allow a pre-cooperative to migrate to the status of a

cooperative as defined by the law. This prior action was completed as the Council of Ministers

adopted the draft legislation on May 11, 2011.

87. Modernization of the Mining Sector. The mining sector represents a good opportunity

to diversify the Burundian economy, which depends largely on the highly variable production of

the agricultural sector. In the past, gold used to be one of the main export products, reaching up

to 30 percent of exports in the early 1990s. Since then, the civil conflict hampered the

development of the mining sector, and the technology and infrastructure under-pinning the sector

have become out-dated. To attract investment to leverage the country’s large deposits of several

minerals, such as nickel, coltan, and cobalt, which until now have not been exploited

commercially, the country will need to improve the regulatory environment for the sector. The

Mining Code23

currently in force dates back to the mid 1970s and is no longer consistent with

international practices. In 2008, the government launched a comprehensive study of the sector

including the mining legislation and regulation and safety and environmental concerns. A draft

law has been prepared and is being revised by the authorities. The adoption of a new mining

code by the Council of Ministers and its submission to Parliament was a proposed prior action

for ERSG V but was postponed to the next programmatic series due to the need for further

consultations as requested by the authorities.

3. Food and fuel prices crisis

88. Coping with rising food and fuel prices. As discussed earlier, the authorities are taking

a number of measures to mitigate the impact of the increasingly volatile international food and

fuel prices, including (i) increasing (by 0.7 percent of GDP) public spending on social safety net

programs targeting vulnerable groups, notably school feeding programs and heath care for

22

Referred to as ―pre-cooperative‖ groups in the draft law, the term cooperative was judged to be inappropriate to

these entities as the size of their capital base remains relatively small. 23

Code Minier et Pétrolier de la République du Burundi (Decree-Law No 1/138 of July 17, 1976).

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infants and pregnant women; and (ii) reducing excise taxes compared to their 2009 levels by at

least (a) 70 percent on kerosene, (b) 60 percent on diesel, and (c) 34 percent on gasoline. The

temporary reduction of excises on petroleum products is an agreed prior action for ERSG V.

This prior action is completed as Ministerial Ordinance No. 750/346 of March 25, 2011 enacted

a temporary reduction of excise taxes on kerosene, diesel, and gasoline.

Table 5: Indicators for Reforms in PSD and Measures to cope with the effects of Food and Fuel

Crisis (ERSG IV-V Series)

Sub-Objective Indicator and Target Value

1. Strategy for promotion of

investment Number of dossiers registered with the API in the second half of 2010

is 30 percent higher than in the first half of 2010 – and - the average

dossier takes no more than 2 weeks to process. [12-31-2010]: Done

Number of dossiers registered with the API as well as the value of

investments in 2011 is 15 percent higher than in 2010 - and - the

average dossier takes no more than 1 week to process. [12-31-2011]:

Done

Number of dossiers registered with the API in 2012 as well as the

value of investments is 20 percent higher than in 2010 – and - the

average dossier takes no more than 3 days to process. [12-31-2012]

2. Financial viability of

REGIDESO and improved

reliability of electricity

provision

More than 25 percent of non industrial subscribers enrolled in prepay

program. [12-31-2010]: Done

More than 75 percent of non industrial subscribers are covered under

the prepayment program. [12-31-2011]: Not done but expected to

be done in 2012. Currently 50 percent of customers are covered.

100 percent of non industrial subscribers are covered under the

prepayment program. [12-31-2012]

2 fewer days of blackouts per month in Bujumbura compared with

2007. [12-31-2012]

3. Effective reform of public

enterprises (PEs).

8 Audits are finalized and published on the SCEP’s website.

[12-31-2010]: Done

Action plans and audits for 8 PEs are publicly available. [12-31-2011]: Done

Restructuring/ privatization of at least 3 PEs has begun.

[12-31-2011]

Restructuring/ privatization of at least 5 PEs has begun.

[12-31-2012]

4. Private sector led growth in

the coffee sector. At least 30 washing stations are sold to private investors.

[12-31-2011]: Not yet done. Realistic assessment to be done early

in 2012.

The majority (at least 60) washing stations are sold to private

investors. [12-31-2012]

5. Coping with the impact of a

food and fuel crisis Kerosene and diesel exempted from excises given their impact on

households. [12-31-2011]: Done

Expenditures increased toward gratuity program for pregnant women

and children under five. [12-31-2011]: Appropriations not reduced

toward this program.

Expenditures increased toward school feeding programs.

[12-31-2011]: Appropriations not reduced toward this program.

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C. AGREED Prior Actions for ERSG V and Areas for Discussion for the Next

Programmatic Series

89. Table 6 provides a summary of the ERSG V agreed prior actions (description and

implementation status as well as the adjustments to triggers formulated in ERSG IV).

These actions have been discussed with the authorities during the preparation missions for the

proposed operation in December 2010, March 2011 and June 2011. More details on each prior

action have been provided earlier under the policy areas section.

Table 6: Summary of Agreed Prior Actions for ERSG V

Triggers Agreed prior actions Status

PRIORITY 1: TRANSPARENT SYSTEM OF PUBLIC FINANCE MANAGEMENT ALIGNED

TO PRSP OBJECTIVES

Objective 1.1: Strengthening strategic and budget planning to improve the quality of public spending

1 The Recipient has adopted a budget

framework for the preparation of its 2012

budget law, consistent with its medium

term expenditure framework for the

period 2011-2014 (MTEF), consequently

bringing the spending thresholds for its

ministries’ budget allocations in line with

the MTEF.

Same. Completed. Approved

by the Council of

Ministers in June 2011.

The MTEF report is

being finalized.

Objective 1.2: Reinforcing systems for transparent public financing

The Council of Ministers adopts and

submits to Parliament a bill, which

reinforces the operational independence of

the Cour des Comptes and internal

procedures.

Replaced by agreed prior

action #2. Kept among possible

measures of future

DPOs. A diagnostic

study is underway

supported by E.U.

2 The Recipient has issued a

decree to establish the general

regulations on public budget

management designed to

improve the management of

its budget execution and

public accounting.

Completed. The decree

was discussed and

adopted by the Council

of Ministers in April

2011. The decree was

signed by the President

on October 18, 2011.

Objective 1.3: Improving the management of the management of the public wage bill

The process of updating information on

staff turnover since April 2007 is

concluded and the database is validated by

the Council of Ministers.

Replaced by agreed prior

action #3. Kept among possible

measures of future

DPOs. Postponed due to

delays in support to

undertake this exercise.

Additional financing now

secured to support action

in the next series.

3 The Recipient has disclosed

to the public its budget law

for 2011 and the

corresponding report on the

implementation of said law

for the first two quarters of

said year.

Completed. The 2011

budget law has already

been released on the

website of the Ministry

of Finance and Economic

Development Planning.

First and second

quarterly Budget

execution reports are

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Triggers Agreed prior actions Status

now posted on the

website of the Ministry

of Finance and Economic

Development Planning

(www.finances.gov.bi).

PRIORITY 2: IMPROVING BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT AND PROMOTING THE

DEVELOPMENT OF PRIVATE SECTOR

Objective 2.1: Promoting private investment through improvements in the legislative framework and

economic infrastructure

4 The Recipient has (i) completed a water

and electricity tariff study and, on the

basis of the study, (ii) has revised said

tariffs in order to improve the financial

viability and operational performance of

REGIDESO and (iii) has launched a

campaign to sensitize the public and make

it aware of the revised tariffs and the

schedule for their application.

Same. Completed. Tariff study

has been completed. The

Council of Ministers

adopted on June 1 the

revision of tariffs. The

details for the

implementation of this

decision were specified

in September 2011 after

a communication

campaign by the Second

Vice President and the

support of the measure

by the Parliament.

Objective 2.2: Facilitating the restructuring or privatization of public enterprises

5 The Recipient’s Council of Ministers has

adopted, on the basis of technical and

financial audits, a draft action plan with a

timetable for the privatization and/or

restructuring of eight pre-identified state-

owned enterprises,24

so as to rationalize

their operations.

Same. Completed. The SCEP

prepared the exposé de

motif (rationale) to

accompany the action

plan, which was adopted

as a part of the global

action plan of the

Ministry. The audits of

these SOEs for 2008-10

are underway with

EMSP/FPSD financing.

Objective 2.3: Restructuring of the export sector

6 The Interministerial Privatization

Committee (CIP) launches application for

tender (CAD) for the 104 washing stations

remaining in the coffee sector.

The Recipient has appointed,

by ministerial ordinance, a

commission responsible for

the preparation of the bidding

documents for the sale of 104

state-owned washing stations

in the coffee sector and the

aforementioned commission

has established its work

program with a clear

timetable and deliverables.

Completed. Evaluation

of the first phase was

completed. A

commission was recently

appointed by ministerial

ordinance to prepare the

documents for the call

for sale. The commission

has concluded its work

and the revised bidding

documents have been

transmitted to the CIP.

The CIP will authorize

the launch of the tender

for sale process once

24

The eight state-owned enterprises (SOEs) include Air Burundi, SRDI, SIP, Hotel Source du Nil, ALM, LNBTP,

ECOSAT, and OTRACO,

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Triggers Agreed prior actions Status

they approved the

revised bidding

documents.

7 The Recipient’s Council of Ministers has

approved and submitted to the Recipient’s

parliament a draft law on agricultural Pre-

cooperatives Groups consistent with the

Recipient’s coffee sector privatization

strategy.25

Same. Completed. Draft law

was adopted by the

Council of Ministers in

May 2011.

The Council of Ministers adopts and

submits to Parliament a mining code

which respects international best

practices.

Postponed. Postponed. On track but

could not be completed

by the planned Board

date of ERSG V. A draft

code is available. The

oversight committee

completed its last

revisions of the draft

code. A second round of

consultations involving

the OBR and the

Ministry of Finance and

Economic Development

Planning is planned for

the fiscal aspects of the

draft code.

PRIORITY 3: COPING WITH THE EFFECTS OF FOOD AND FUEL CRISIS

8 The Recipient has temporarily

reduced excise taxes on the

following petroleum items

from their levels as listed in

the 2009 Ministerial

Ordinance, to a minimum of

70 percent on kerosene, 60

percent on diesel and 34

percent on gasoline.

Completed. This is a

new agreed prior action.

90. The current operation lays the groundwork for continued reforms in the targeted priority

areas. The preparation missions of ERSG IV-V have also identified with the authorities a list of

critical areas and triggers that could be considered during the preparation of next programmatic

series. Those triggers are indicative and assume that the next series will also focus on the same

priority areas as the current series.

25

The key aspect of the draft Law on Pre-Cooperative Groups is that the draft law is consistent with the reform

strategy for the coffee sector, as per the advice of a local lawyer.

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Table 7: Proposed Areas for Future Dialogue with the Authorities

PRIORITY 1: TRANSPARENT SYSTEM OF PUBLIC FINANCE MANAGEMENT ALIGNED TO PRSP

OBJECTIVES

Objective 1.1: Strengthening strategic and budget planning to improve the quality of public spending

1. Prepare the 2012 draft budget law according to the new budget classification (main classifications).

2. Prepare the 2013 draft budget law with additional classification (beneficiaries and sources of funding).

3. Submit the 2012 draft budget law to Parliament earlier than the submission date for the 2011 draft budget law.

4. Submit the 2013 draft budget law to Parliament by the end of October 2012.

5. Conduct PETS in social sectors including beneficiary assessments and a household expenditure/income survey.

6. Submit to Parliament the MTFF and MTEF for 2013-2015.

7. Organize a pre-budget debate in line with the PFM Loi Organique.

Objective 1.2: Reinforcing systems for transparent public financing

8. The Council of Ministers adopts a law on the access to information relative to public affairs.

9. The draft budget law and enacted budget are available on the website of the Ministry of Finance and Economic

Development Planning.

10. The General Inspectorate of State (IGE) conducts training for ministerial inspection and adopts a joint audit work

plan.

11. The Council of Ministers adopts and submits to Parliament a draft law reinforcing the independence of Cour des

comptes and its magistrates.

12. Signing of the decree on budget preparation creating a non biding opinion of Cour des comptes over MTFF and

Conseil Economique et Social (CES) on MTEF.

13. Transmission to Parliament of the opinions of Cour des comptes over MTFF and CES over MTEF.

Objective 1.3: Improving the management of the management of the public wage bill

13. Creation within the Ministry of Public Administration of a technical support unit (Cellule d’appui) whose responsibility

includes among others, the preparation of action plans for improving the efficiency of public service and wage bill

management.

14. Prepare the execution manual for users of new payroll and human resource (HR) management software

PRIORITY 2: IMPROVING BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT AND PROMOTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF

PRIVATE SECTOR

Objective 2.1: Improving the legal and regulatory framework for private sector development

15. Adoption by the Council of Ministers of an action plan aimed at reforming business regulation and the practice of

creating and operating businesses through a substantial reduction (minimum 10 percent) of the time and costs associated

with these procedures.

16. The action plan should be based on the implementation texts of the major business codes recently enacted (Investment

code, Commerce code, and Corporations code).

Objective 2.2: Promotion of private investment through improvements in the economic infrastructure

17. The Council of Ministers adopts an action plan for the application of those measures needed to improve the investment

climate and to promote competition in the petroleum sector taking into consideration the recent experiences using the quasi-

automatic price adjustment mechanism for petroleum products.

Objective 2.3: Restructuring of the export sector

18. The authorities continue to follow the reforms in the coffee sector.

19. The Council of Ministers adopts a reform strategy for the tea sector (liberalization, creation of appropriate institutions,

and revitalization of the sector).

20. The Interministerial Privatization Committee (IPC) prepares and publishes bidding documents for the sale of SOSUMO.

21. The Council of Ministers adopts and submits to Parliament a mining code which respects international best practices.

PRIORITY 3: IMPROVING THE RESILIENCY OF THE ECONOMY TO EXTERNAL SHOCKS

22. Increased budget allocation toward various measures aimed at improving agricultural productivity (feeder roads,

irrigation, fertilizers and access to technology).

23. Adequate sufficient budget allocation to protect vulnerable groups (health care, and school feeding programs).

24. Issue regulations related to the mandatory preparation of municipal land-use plans.

25. Implement a capacity-building program for coffee cooperatives and the private sector.

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VII. GRANT FEATURES

A. POVERTY AND SOCIAL IMPACTS

91. The proposed ERSG series is expected to support the development and poverty

reduction program of the government. Improvements in the management of scarce public

finance resources will make more funds available to finance PRSP priorities and to achieve the

government’s poverty reduction objectives. The 2010 CEM provides indicative results of higher

growth and lower poverty incidence under an accelerated reforms scenario that includes a

substantial increase in public spending for infrastructure.26

Such an effort could lead to an

acceleration of economic growth, up to nine percent over the period 2010-15, which in turn

would lead to a reduction in the poverty rate by more than 11 percentage points to 27 percent in

2015, compared to 38 percent in the baseline. These results, however, would still be insufficient

to achieve the MDG targets by 2015.

92. Three measures supported by this operation could have a significant distributional

impact. First, as mentioned above and in Annex 6,27

an increase in water and electricity tariffs

will not have a significant impact on the poor. Higher electricity tariffs will not affect directly the

poorest households who do not have access to electricity, but indirectly by helping increase

connections to a larger segment of the population. Such an increase will also hurt current

consumers even though lower tariffs will be used for the first tranche of consumption. Second,

similarly, privatization of public enterprises and coffee washing stations will transfer assets from

the public sector to the private sector. And third, finally, measures to protect the most vulnerable

households against the impact of the food and fuel prices crisis is expected to have a positive

poverty impact. The government and the Bank will monitor the distributive impact of the

supported reforms. Among the alternatives being considered by the government is the possibility

to conduct a poverty assessment with the support of the Bank. The Bank will also support the

efforts of the authorities to undertake an effective communication campaign on the ongoing

reforms.

93. Business climate reforms are expected to have long-term positive growth and poverty

implications. The CEM posits that the successful implementation of structural reforms (e.g.,

privatization, regulatory reforms), required to improve the overall business climate, along with

PFM reforms and the necessary investments in infrastructure (including energy) would

ultimately result in accelerated growth in human capital, infrastructure, and private investment.

Consequently, a faster pace of poverty reduction may well be within reach and depends primarily

on the authorities’ commitment, willingness and ability to forcefully deepen reforms and swiftly

implement policies.

26

This increase is justified by the reallocation of nonproductive expenditure toward socio-economic priority

expenditures following the consolidation of peace and therefore the reduction of military expenditure as well as

continued rationalization efforts of the national budget. 27

This annex provides, based on a CWIQ survey of 2006, a poverty and social impact analysis (PSIA), which gives

the rationale for a tariff structure change and compares various subsidies.

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94. The coffee sector reforms aims at accelerating long-term growth by increasing production

factors and the income of producers. In particular, the regulatory reform is expected to give

farmers additional options for selling their crop, thus should increase their bargaining power and

therefore producer prices. . The proposed ERSG V also supports a reform of the cooperative

system to ensure that the collective interests of coffee producers will be taken into account

during the liberalization of the coffee filière. Finally, the Autorité de Régulation de la Filière

Café (ARFIC), the coffee sector regulator, will continue to monitor the impact on the growers of

the first sale of 13 coffee stations. ARFIC considers that, so far, despite minor problems, things

are moving in the right direction.28

Webcor in particular has designed a good business plan,

which includes training and other incentives for the farmers.29

B. IMPLEMENTATION, MONITORING AND EVALUATION

95. Monitoring and evaluation arrangements for this operation will continue to rely on

government arrangements with the aim of strengthening government capacity and institutions,

with particular attention to the regularity and quality of the M&E process and its outcomes.

Sector or subject specific technical units who work on the details of the reform program

(including prior actions and triggers) feed information to the Coordinating Technical Unit, which

includes a representative from the Secretariat Permanent pour le Suivi des Reformes

Economiques et Sociales (Permanent Secretariat for Economic and Social Reforms, REFES).

REFES is the technical committee that follows up the progress in the implementation of the

PRSP as well as the global reform programs of the government, provides regular progress reports

to national policy makers (such as the second vice presidency and the inter-ministerial committee

for the follow up of the reforms located at the second vice presidency), and seek policy guidance.

Strengthening the institutional and technical capacity of REFES would endow both the

government and donors with a better M&E system.

96. The Coordinating Technical Unit in turn reports to the Policy Committee, mandated by

the Second Vice-President and presided by the Minister of Finance. This Policy Committee

includes representation by different relevant ministries and representation by the second Vice-

Presidency. This committee supervised the implementation of the economic reforms included in

the first ERSG programmatic series (II-III) and will supervise the development and

implementation of the ERSG V reform program (see Annex 4).

97. The operation benefits from the consultation mechanism established for the PRSP,

among others. The Comité des Reformes at the Ministry of Finance and Economic

Development Planning works closely with the Permanent Secretariat for economic reform in the

PRSP secretariat, and it is with these institutions that the operation was designed and prepared.

The new PRSP is being prepared, including the launching of consultations with civil society and

28

These problems are the result of different pricing structures. The coffee growers who sell their coffee to the 104

washing stations that have not been sold to Webcor and are managed by the SOGESTALS receive first an advance

payment (72 percent) and then a bonus when the washed coffee is sold. Webcor opted for a different system and

pays immediately the totality of the crop on the basis of world prices at the time of the purchase. This should

normally be beneficial to the farmers who like to be paid as soon as possible. However, as a result of the recent

increase in international coffee prices, the coffee growers selling their coffee to SOGESTALS received a slightly

higher price. 29

The private Swiss company that purchased the 13 coffee washing stations following the 2009 bidding process.

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other stakeholders, the team will continue to work with these entities to ensure that the proposed

reform program is in line with their discussions. The operation further consults with the chamber

of commerce on private sector issues and on the public-private consultations.

98. The M&E structure takes into account the scope of the proposed reform in each

sector or area in defining the nature and complexity of the national intervention. The

existing technical units at the MFEDP, Ministry of Public Administration and Labor (MFP) and

Ministry of Commerce remain primary interlocutors for the development and follow up of

reform program in PFM and PSD. The technical unit at the Ministry of Commerce is

complemented by representatives from private sector (petroleum sector reform) and other

relevant ministries (such as the Ministry of Finance and Economic Development Planning,

MFEDP) to ensure inter-ministerial coordination and development of a unified vision for the

PSD reforms and their expected outcome. For reforms in the coffee, sugar and tea sectors, public

enterprises and energy sectors, the contact for technical monitoring and evaluation is directly

with the related institutions.

99. The World Bank will work closely with the government and other international partners

within the Cadre de Partenariat to monitor the reform agenda under the proposed grant.

100. To facilitate the monitoring of program implementation, the authorities will prepare and

forward to the Bank a bi-monthly progress report on the program, within two weeks of the end of

the period. The following box summarizes the type of information to be included in the

monitoring report.

Box 1: Provision of Program-Related Information to the Bank

1. Table of quarterly implementation of the 2011 national budget (economic and administrative

classification);

2. Comparison table of budget execution in the priority sectors (health, education, agriculture,

infrastructure, social protection) and of pro-poor spending (following the 2008 revised methodology)

in 2009 and 2010-12, reported on a quarterly basis;

3. Total public expenditures without prior authorization recorded in 2009, 2010, 2011 and 2012;

reported on a quarterly basis;

4. Total public expenditures on extra-budgetary accounts (excluding National Road Fund) in 2009,

2010, 2011 and 2012;

5. On a quarterly basis during the course of program implementation a quarterly basis over the course

of the program a table with (a) the average time, maximum and minimum between the following

dates: (i) legal commitment; (ii) commitment accounting; (iii) receipt of bills; (iv) liquidation; (v)

authorization; and (iv) payment by ministry; and (b) the total amount of bills in arrears by

Department (defined as invoices unpaid 60 days after due date);

6. Quarterly assessment of government arrears vis-à-vis REGIDESO;

7. MFEDP and REFES will also provide the Bank with any information that is deemed necessary to

ensure effective monitoring of the program.

C. FIDUCIARY ASPECTS

101. Like many low-income countries, Burundi’s financial management systems suffer from

serious weaknesses in budget formulation and execution, financial reporting, procurement, and

oversight systems. There is also typically a weak linkage between agreed policies, budget

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planning, and execution. In the case of Burundi, the destruction of relevant institutions and

human resource base during the years of conflict has contributed to these fiduciary risks. The

provision of budget support is acceptable if clear expenditure priorities and a strong government

commitment for addressing institutional weaknesses reduce the risk to an acceptable level

relative to expected benefits. Budget support has already helped strengthen Burundi’s public

financial management systems, including transparency and accountability. Improvements in this

area continue to be both a precondition for, and objective of the proposed ERSG V.

102. A safeguards assessment of the Burundi Central Bank (Banque de la République du

Burundi, or BRB) was performed in 2006 and was updated respectively in June 2008 and

December 2010. The update found that since the previous assessment, certain safeguards had

been strengthened (e.g., external audits have been completed on a more timely basis and audited

financial statements comply with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and are

published). However, the 2008 assessment also identified significant control weaknesses and

recommended more robust controls over domestic disbursements to the government and its

creditors, including contracting an external auditor to review such controls. Other key safeguards

recommendations include a system to monitor the status of audit and safeguards

recommendations, continuation of semi-annual audits of disbursements to the government, and

establishing guidelines for investment operations. The Governor of the Central Bank and the

authorities have committed to implementing these recommendations. On June 2011, the

authorities recruited an international auditor to: (i) monitor the full implementation of all the

recommendations formulated in Deloitte's 2010 special audit reports (consistent with the 2010

agreed-upon action plan between Burundi's central bank and the Ministry of Finance and

Economic development Planning); and (ii) verify on a test basis the controls on significant

domestic disbursements and transfers executed by the central bank on behalf of the government

or its creditors during the first half of 2011. All of these recommendations, already monitored

under the current IMF’s ECF program,30

are expected to be followed under the successor ECF

program. In view of the outstanding implementation of the recommendations contained in the

action plan, this operation will, as in previous operations, require the use of dedicated account at

the BRB as further outline in the next section.

D. DISBURSEMENT AND AUDITING

103. A single-tranche of SDR 22.1 million (US$35 million equivalent) will be disbursed upon

effectiveness. The proposed grant will follow the Bank’s disbursement procedures for

development policy operations. Grant proceeds will be disbursed against satisfactory

implementation of the development policy program. The additional support of NOK 54.29

million (US$9.8 million equivalent, prior to trust fund administration fees) will be available to be

disbursed upon effectiveness of the Trust Fund Grant Agreement to be signed between the IDA

and the Recipient. The proposed IDA grant will follow the Bank's disbursement procedures for

development policy operations. The proposed grant will follow similar disbursement procedures

as in the case of the first programmatic series (ERSG II-III) and ERSG IV.

104. Once the IDA grant is approved by the Board and becomes effective, and provided the

Association is satisfied with the program being carried out by the Recipient and with the

30

The seventh review of the current ECF program is expected to be presented at the IMF’s Board in January 2012.

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appropriateness of the Recipient's macroeconomic policy framework, the proceeds of the grant

will be deposited at the request of the Recipient by IDA in a dedicated account at the Central

Bank (Banque de la République du Burundi, BRB) designated by the Recipient and forming part

of the official foreign exchange reserves of Burundi. Within a week, the BRB will credit the

local currency (Burundi Franc) equivalent of the grant proceeds to the government Treasury

account. The BRB will not impose any charges or commissions on the government for these

transactions. The conversion from United States Dollar to Burundi franc will be based on the

prevailing exchange rate on the date that the funds are credited to the Treasury Account. The

government will be required to provide confirmation to IDA that an amount equivalent to the

grant proceeds from the IDA has been credited to the Treasury Account, with an indication of the

exchange rate applied and the date of the transfer. The Government of Burundi will provide a

written confirmation to IDA within thirty days of disbursements. The confirmation will include

the local currency amount credited to account that is used to finance budgeted expenditures, the

exchange rate applied and the date of the transfer. If the proceeds of the grant are used for

―excluded expenditures‖ as defined in the Financing Agreement, IDA will require, the Recipient

to refund an amount equal to the amount of said payment to IDA promptly upon notice from

IDA. Amounts refunded to the Association upon such request shall be cancelled. The

administration of this grant will be the responsibility of the Ministry of Finance and Economic

Development Planning. IDA reserves the right to request an audit of the dedicated foreign

currency account. The disbursement of additional support provided through a TF administered

by IDA, in the amount of NOK 54.29 million (US$ 9.8 million equivalent) to be contributed by

Norway, could follow the same process.

E. ENVIRONMENTAL ARRANGEMENTS

105. The prior actions of the proposed ERSG V operation are not likely to cause significant

effects on Burundi's environment, forests and other natural resources. ERSG IV-V will provide

general budget support to the government of Burundi. Policy actions aimed at improving public

finance management procedures and practices and creating a positive environment for private

sector development are, in themselves, not likely to cause significant effects on the country’s

environment, forests, or natural resources.

106. The coffee sector reform component of the program, which the government has begun to

implement, following a review of the conclusions and recommendations of a divestiture study,

aims to increase coffee output, improving quality, and increasing the share of producers in border

prices. The increase in output is expected to come—at least initially—from improvements in

productivity of existing coffee growing areas, which fell to extremely low levels over the past 15

years and more efficient use of available land, not through forest clearing and extending

production into marginal lands and commons. Improvement in the quality and price of Burundi’s

coffee is expected to come from more effective use of existing washing stations and from a better

marketing strategy. Ideally the reform program will help restore the production of Burundi’s

coffee to the level already reached before the crisis of the 1990s. No significant environmental

impact is foreseen as a result of increased coffee output initially. A detailed and comprehensive

analysis of potential environmental impacts and mitigation options recently undertaken through a

―strategic environmental assessment‖ (SEA) of the coffee sector in Burundi confirmed our

predictions of limited environment impact of coffee reform. A similar exercise for other export

crops is also envisaged in the near future.

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107. For the reform of public enterprises, the SCEP, which is the technical agency in charge of

managing the privatization or restructuring of public enterprises, has begun to require

environmental impact assessments in bidding and proposal documents. The capacity of the SCEP

to assess the quality of these documents or to follow through on their recommendations remains

low. In one case, that of the privatization of Abattoir du Bujumbura (the state-owned

slaughterhouse), SCEP is partnering with Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit

(German International Cooperation, GIZ), which has taken the lead in Burundi to improve

environmental protection, to assure that the environmental action plan for the privatization is

being respected. This approach should be encouraged for future privatizations.

F. RISKS AND RISK MITIGATION

108. Despite the commitment of the government, which remains unequivocally strong,

including at the highest level, the years of civil conflict have accentuated the weak technical

capacity and sub-optimal institutional and organizational arrangements. As a result, the expected

outcomes of the ERSG V are subject to a number of risks. These risks are mitigated to a large

extent by several factors,31

including: (i) the design of the proposed operation; (ii) the strength of

the government’s ownership and commitment, affirmed at the highest level, to implement the

proposed measures and the government’s resolve to advance its reform agenda; (iii) an active

and continuous policy dialogue between the Bank and the government; and (iv) a close

collaboration with other donors to provide technical assistance and ensure full financing of the

reform program.

109. Political risks. The main political risks are linked to the recent 2010 communal,

presidential and legislative elections. Local council elections began in May 2010, followed by

presidential elections in late June 2010 and an election in the National Assembly (lower

chamber) in late July 2010. These elections, the second since the end of civil strife, led to some

changes in key players in the executive or legislative levels. As mentioned in the section on the

political context, there have been some cases of election related violence during and after the

election. This risk is heightened by the fact that the former head of one of the opposition parties

has gone into hiding. This risk will be mitigated by: (i) focusing on ensuring the continuity of

reform efforts that have already begun and for which wide support has already been established

(i.e., PFM); (ii) building on the high-level Cabinet Seminar commitment and concrete action

planning to cement ownership within the new government; (iii) sequencing of reforms (i.e.

privatization/restructuring of PEs) to better align with election cycle; and (iv) maintaining a

dialogue with civil society and the private sector to ensure demand side pressure for targeted

reforms.

110. Macroeconomic risk. The success of the proposed reform program is contingent on

Burundi’s ability to continue to maintain macroeconomic stability, in conformity with their IMF

31

As a result of the risks identified, the Bank faces reputational risks in supporting programs in post-conflict

countries, especially as regards political instability that leads to substantial delays in reform implementation and

governance issues. However, it should be noted that in the context of Burundi, the cost of the Bank not getting

involved will be higher than these reputational risks. To mitigate these risks, the team will work closely with the

authorities to ensure that: (i) simplified and realistic measures are included in the program; (ii) governance measures

are implemented, especially in public finance management; and (iii) the locomotives of growth are started at the

earliest.

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program. The weak performance of the agricultural sector and external shocks have affected

economic growth and overall macroeconomic performance. The ongoing food and fuel crisis is

an example of the vulnerability of Burundi to external shocks. The narrow export base and low

revenue mobilization capacity exacerbate debt distress risks for both the short and longer terms.

Further, many of the public enterprises are in poor financial shape and can have serious impact

on the government budget in terms of direct and contingent liabilities. Moreover, if the Burundi

Revenue Office is not able to increase domestic revenues as quickly as projected, there is a slight

risk that the financing gap in the following years may be larger than initially projected. IDA,

IMF, and other development partners will work closely with the government to help in

monitoring macroeconomic performance and in taking corrective actions in a timely manner.

The government will need to ensure more grant funding and concessional borrowing, and foster

continued economic and export growth to avoid debt distress. In the medium term,

diversification of the economy—a main objective of the authorities and the proposed ERSG

program—through improvements in the business environment and reforms in the mining sector

will mitigate the vulnerability of the economy to these shocks.

111. Institutional capacity risk. Lack of technical capacity could lead to delays in the

implementation of reforms, thus posing a significant risk to the proposed operation. Some

improvements in capacity building have been achieved in the Ministry of Finance and Economic

Development Planning, and some line Ministries, but significant weaknesses persist, particularly

as the ERSG series will attempt to begin working in new sectors. The risk of weak technical

capacity is mitigated by (i) concentrating on a limited number of themes/areas; (ii) leveraging

technical support from ongoing IDA projects (i.e. Economic Management Support Project and

Financial Sector Development Project); (iii) working with other donors to reduces the number of

activities to be implemented by the government and better target the focus of technical

assistance.

112. Fiduciary and economic governance risk. As the recent PEMFAR and the PEFA

revealed, economic governance remains a challenge and a source of continued risk. Recent

reforms in Procurement and PFM, supported in part by ERSG II and III, have helped to mitigate

this risk. The proposed operation will attempt to continue this progress with PFM reforms. The

Cabinet Seminar cemented recognition of the importance of reforms to making fiscal space and

receiving external support needed for achieving the development vision. The recent drafting of a

national governance strategy, following the GAC survey and the 2008 PEMFAR, could also be

perceived as evidence of the government commitment to improve governance. This commitment

will be further confirmed with the implementation of the recently adopted governance strategy

by the government for which improving governance remains on top of its key priorities.

113. Exogenous risks including weather. Weather conditions have a strong influence on the

output of the agricultural sector, as demonstrated in 2003 and 2005. This might impact the future

ability of the authorities to implement reforms in the export crop sector, and to maintain macro-

stability. In addition to the support provided by other development partners in Burundi (e.g.,

USAID), the World Bank has an ongoing agro-pastoral project that aimed to improve the

resiliency of the agriculture sector to external shocks through technology acquisition, small scale

irrigation and improved market access.

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114. Policy reversal risk. Two recent instances have led the likelihood of this risk. First, the

recent decision to increase electricity tariffs could be reversed. The decision of the government

to increase electricity tariffs triggered massive protest from consumers and the civil society,

which could have forced the Council of Ministers to reverse its position. In that case, removing

the energy bottleneck, viewed by the private sector as priority, would have been significantly

compromised. Second, the draft Privatization Law, adopted by the Council of Ministers in

November 2010, may be facing some challenges in the Parliament, which could change the spirit

and pertinence of the proposed law.32

This risk is mitigated through frequent communication

campaign and public debates to explain the merits of reforms undertaken. In fact, as a result of

communication campaign and consultations with the civil society, the government, supported by

the Parliament, was able to proceed with the tariff increase (effective starting from 2012). At the

request of the authorities, the Bank and other development partners could provide technical

assistance to the government in this area, if available.

32

Adoption of the new Privatization Law by the Council of Ministers and submission to the Parliament was a

condition of effectiveness for ERSG IV.

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Annex 1: Burundi ERSG V - Good Practice Principles on Conditionality

Principle 1: Reinforce country ownership

The Government of Burundi is strongly committed to the reforms supported under the operation. The grant supports

the government’s PRSP, which was developed in a participatory manner involving consultation of a wide range of

stakeholders and including 17 provinces and sectors. The process was led by the Permanent Secretariat for

Monitoring Economic and Social Reforms, with the support of international partners and local non-governmental

organization (NGOs), quantitative and qualitative surveys were undertaken in all the provinces and more than 145

grassroots civil society groups were consulted. The Bank has actively supported the government in this process. The

new PRSP, under preparation, is following the same participatory process.

Principle 2: Agree up front with the government and other financial partners on a coordinated accountability

framework

The government and the budget support donors have agreed on a common framework ―Cadre de Partenariat‖ and

the government is implementing a PFM action plan based on the PEMFAR (2008) and the PEFA (2009) around

which donors can consolidate their support.

Principle 3: Customize the accountability framework and modalities of Bank support to country

circumstances

The ERSG series is fully aligned with the PRSP and has been developed through extensive consultations with the

government, the private sector, and development partners. The ERSG series should be seen as the overall umbrella

for the Bank’s support and policy dialogue, which is complemented by specific projects providing focused

investment assistance. Budget support is seen as necessary instrument to address the budgetary needs of Burundi

while strengthening the government’s systems. The series is designed to give the necessary space to develop critical,

but sensitive, reforms in coffee and public enterprise reform as well as reviewing progress made in the energy sector

reform. This approach is fully consistent with the government objectives, and in some areas broadens the setting of

the policy dialogue to multiple stakeholders, beyond government policy declarations.

Principle 4: Choose only actions critical for achieving results as conditions for disbursement

The ERSG series focuses on a few selected prior actions and triggers that are based on the PRSP. The prior actions

and indicative triggers were chosen based on extensive discussions with the authorities and the private sector to

identify the actions that would be critical steps for implementing the government’s program within a realistic

timeframe. They would provide meaningful outcomes and help loosen major constraints or facilitate further reforms.

A higher number of measures are included in the policy matrix (Annex 9) as measures of progress to monitor the

overall progress of the reform program.

Principle 5: Conduct transparent progress reviews conducive to predictable and performance-based financial

support

A full and close supervision of the program progress review will take place in line with the agreed Partnership

Framework between the Government of Burundi and the budget support donors.

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Annex 2: Burundi ERSG V – Lessons Learned from Other IDA operations

The lessons of these operations can be summarized as follows:

Bank-financed Development Policy Operations had a major influence on government

policies. Specifically: (i) they helped stabilize the economy and improve public finance

management systems; and (ii) they encouraged the government to give high priority to pro-

poor public spending in key economic and social sectors.

Selectivity and donor coordination is important in the selection of prior actions and

triggers. The design of some DPOs (notably ERC and ERSG I) was too complex33

and

beyond the capacity of weak public institutions in a post-conflict situation. This was

exacerbated by the need for the government to implement policy reforms supported by

other donors, which, according to government officials, served the same objectives as the

Bank’s program, but whose conditions and timetables were not always fully consistent with

specific aspects of Bank operations.

ERC and ERSG I addressed politically sensitive privatization and export crop

restructuring issues, which should have been better prepared, both technically and

politically. This preparation should have included not only detailed diagnostic studies, but

also extensive consultations with all stakeholders, including farmers’ organizations and

potential domestic and foreign investors. The Economic Management Support Project

(EMSP), approved by the Board in 2004 and restructured in 2007, eventually financed

these studies and extensive consultations with stakeholders were organized in 2008.

ERSG II and III adopted a programmatic approach to reform, thus helping to ensure

the continuity of reforms in an otherwise unpredictable post-conflict policy

environment. By approaching complex reforms, such as that in the coffee sector, in a

gradual programmatic manner, the government was able to build buy-in and make progress

on more politically sensitive reforms.

It is more effective to continue reforms in which the government has already taken

ownership, than to begin reforms in new domains. ERSG II and III built off reforms,

where a strong dialogue had already been established with the authorities under earlier

operations (ERC and ERSG I), or where the government advised they hoped to make

progress.

The design of the proposed programmatic series also benefits from lessons learned from,

and synergies with, other on-going and forthcoming IDA funded operations.

The relative success of the public finance management components of the Bank’s

program is largely due to the achievement of IDA’s EMSP. The project provided

financial technical assistance support for the design of major PFM reforms, including

preparation of new codes (e.g., organic law of finance, and procurement code), census of

the public service workforce, implementation of PFM-related capacity-building programs,

and introduction of PFM information systems. It also supported the design and

implementation of the preferred strategic option for the reform of the coffee filière and the

privatization of processing facilities in the sector. Most of the business environment

33

ERSG I had two tranches, 12 prior actions and nine triggers.

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legislations so far enacted (e.g., Commerce Code, Company Code, and Investment Code)

were supported through EMSP, with complementary support from the IFC. The preparation

of business environment-related implementation texts are expected to be undertaken with

support from the Financial and Private Sector Development Project currently managed by

the project implementation unit (PIU) of EMSP.

With respect to the involvement of beneficiaries in the assessment of public services,

the proposed operation series draws lessons from two existing projects: (i) The

Burundi Community and Social Development Project (PRADECS), which supports the

newly designed policies of the various sectoral ministries to reach out to the rural poor by

putting them at the center of the daily management of the basic social infrastructure that

benefit them; and (ii) the Health Sector Development Support project, which is currently

experimenting in performance based financing. Lessons learned from their preliminary

experience should help to enrich the analytical base for looking at the quality of service

delivery and the effective use of beneficiary assessment and performance based budgeting

in future operations.

There are strong synergies between the reforms supported in the proposed

programmatic series and the activities of the Agro-Pastoral Productivity and Markets

Development Project recently approved by the Board (May 2010). The program

document for this project recognizes that, “on-going and projected reforms in the

coffee and tea sectors, as well as the development of small entrepreneurs in the

horticulture subsector are vital to increasing the contribution of export crops to growth.

This will depend critically on increased productivity, as well as on improvement of the

investment climate and access to rural finance.‖ The new agricultural operation will help to

spur growth in the rural sector through support to agricultural productivity and improved

access to markets.

The Multi-Sectoral Water and Electricity Infrastructure Project and the Emergency

Energy Project (grant of IDA’s Crisis Response Window) focus on urgent investments

to rehabilitate the energy and water sector. While this project also supports the

strengthening of the capacities of the public utilities company, later operations in the

programmatic series will attempt to reinforce these efforts by supporting much needed

reforms of the sector.

The Financial and Private Sector Development Project (FPSDP), already managed

within the same project implementation unit as ESMP, will support targeted reforms

in privatization and public-private dialogue. The project also supports follow-on

activities which started under EMSP. These include, among others, technical assistance to

improve performance and corporate governance of PEs by reinforcing SCEP’s overall

capability and monitoring of PEs, and supporting ongoing privatization efforts, and

promoting public-private dialogue by strengthening the institutional framework of private,

parastatal, and public enterprises that are pivotal to private sector development and regional

integration (i.e., the Arbitration Center, the Chamber of Commerce, the Association of

Women, etc.).

The IFC also supports a complementary set of advisory services. In the past several

years the IFC has taken a key role in supporting the business environment through

investments and advisory services to government and businesses. In the financial sector,

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the IFC Financial Advisor Service is currently scoping potential interventions, including

agribusiness and SMEs. It is also expected that the IFC Investment Climate Team, in

cooperation with the IFC Conflict Affected States in Africa (CASA) program, will help the

authorities to undertake a range of reforms including: (i) Doing Business; (ii) business

taxation; (iii) public-private dialogue; (iv) support to the implementation of the EAC

Common Market Protocol; and (v) reform communication.

Finally, the Emergency Demobilization and Transitional Reintegration Project (and

its predecessor operation the Burundi Emergency Demobilization, Reinsertion and

Reintegration Program), support the ongoing reforms by helping the authorities to

resolve some of pressing issues related to the transition to peace. The demobilization

process of ex-combatants is complementary to the on-going reforms in PFM as

demobilization has created some fiscal space for other priority and social expenditures (see

PEMFAR 2008 for more details). Further, by providing support to demobilized ex-

combatants, this project help to alleviate some of the short term political and social

pressures the authorities face working in a fragile state, so that they are able to take on

forward looking reform efforts.

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Annex 3: Burundi ERSG V – Analytical Underpinning – Key Recommendations

Analytical Report Recommendation Link to ERSG Series

Public Finance Management

PEMFAR

(2008)

PEFA (2009)

―…the government should progressively begin the

introduction of a medium-term expenditure

framework for broad categories of expenditure…‖

(PEMFAR).

―The absence of an MTEF prohibits the

optimization of actions in the medium term and

timely planning of resource availability.‖ (PEFA).

Expansion of MTEF process beyond

the pilot sectors (including a list of

priority expenditures to be protected in

case of drastic budget cuts) to improve

budget planning and credibility.

PEMFAR

(2008)

PEFA (2009)

The government should, ―Produce, on a quarterly

basis, a global cash management plan and a

sectoral plan for each ministry and disseminate it

publicly….‖ (PEMFAR).

―The implementation of cash management plans on

the basis of actual receipts and engagement

platforms would contribute to an improvement [in

resolving arrears].‖ (PEFA).

Focus on strengthening cash

management and linking cash

management in a more direct manner to

commitment plans.

Cabinet

Seminar Policy

Notes (2011)

―In the short to medium term, the authorities

should: (i) accelerate PFM reforms (fiduciary

controls) to improve the transparency in the

management of public expenditure and avoid the

misappropriation of resources…‖

Efforts to introduce a decree

establishing the rules for the

implementation of

the national public budget and control

along the lines of the Loi Organique.

PEMFAR

(2008)

Study on the

options for pay

reform

(2009/2010)

On the management of the public wage bill, the

PEMFAR suggests, among others: ―(a) The

MEFDC and MFP to work more closely together

on salary and staffing issues; (b) Establishment of

clear staffing targets for line ministries that are in

line with a lower wage bill [objective]; (c) MFP to

monitor implementation of agreed staffing ceilings;

and (d) Setting up a human resources management

information system…‖

These suggestions figure into the

proposed and agreed prior actions and

triggers for the series.

Cabinet

Seminar Policy

Notes (2011)

The authorities should: (i) finalize and adopt the

National Governance Strategy and its action plan;

and (ii) strengthen transparency in public finance

management by improving access to information

relative to public finance. In this regard, voted

national budget bills and quarterly budget

execution reports should be released on a

government website (e.g. Internet site of the

Ministry of Finance and Economic Development

Planning).

This recommendation is reflected into

the proposed and agreed prior actions

for the series.

Private Sector Development

CEM (2010)

ICA (2008)

―Improve the regulatory environment to attract

domestic and foreign investment. Critical

components are the implementation of the

investment code, the finalization of the revision of

the tax code and the establishment of an export and

investment promotion agency.‖

The program will focus on the

implementation of the new investment

code, including the operationalization

of the new investment promotion

agency.

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Analytical Report Recommendation Link to ERSG Series

CEM (2010) ―The government has recently undertaken to

reform the legal framework (of the mining sector)

to make it more conducive to the development of

the sector. A number of international companies

have been interested in investing in commercial

exploration of the mineral resources. If these

reform and exploration efforts prove successful,

one or more mineral deposits could be developed

on an industrial scale.‖

The program will support the

government’s on-going efforts to

modernize the mining sector.

CEM (2010)

Cabinet

Seminar Policy

Notes (2011)

―In a shorter term, the authorities should improve

the financial viability of the REGIDESO (the

electricity generation and supply organization in

Burundi), by: (i) improving its cost recovery

through the pre-payment system, that is already

operational; and (ii) undertaking a tariff revision on

the basis of the conclusions of a recent tariffs study

for water and electricity.‖

The program supports ongoing reforms

in the energy sector.

CEM (2010)

Report on the

weaknesses of

legal and

regulatory

framework of

privatization

(2009)

―The Service Chargé des Entreprises Publiques

(SCEP) …does not have the capacity and the

resources necessary to bring about substantial

improvements in the performance of the sector and

to plan and monitor the privatization program

envisaged by the government.‖

The program supports the

implementation of the action plans that

produced in the recent technical and

financial audits of the 8 PEs, as well as

communication campaigns to bring the

various stake holders into the process.

CEM (2010)

Sources of

Rural Growth

(2007)

―Most important is the complete implementation of

the ongoing privatization agenda. Next steps

include the setting up of an efficient regulatory

agency and the development and strengthening of

producer organizations.‖

The program supports on-going

privatization efforts in the coffee sector

and proposes to expand a similar

approach to the tea and sugar sectors.

Cabinet

Seminar Policy

Notes (2011)

―… the authorities should: …adopt a draft pre-

Cooperative law, consistent with the liberalization

strategy of the coffee sector, to provide the legal

framework for the creation of producer

associations…‖

The prior action on the adoption of the

draft pre-cooperative law is consistent

with the recommendation.

General Approach

WBI’s

Governance

and Corruption

diagnostic

survey (2008)

Some of the key lessons learned from this exercise

include: ―(i) It is possible to achieve targeted

results that are above current national performance

levels; (ii) Results build on results when capacity is

unleashed and participants become motivated and

confident; (iii) Leaders play a critical role in

articulating the strategy that translates development

vision into rapid results; (iv) Leaders at all levels

should engage in leadership development (from the

highest level in the hierarchy to the operational

level — that is, the level of those who manage

programs and projects) and should work toward a

collective leadership.‖

The policy dialogue pursued during the

preparation and evaluation of the

proposed program draws strongly from

these lessons learned. The policy

dialogue targets leaders at all levels,

particularly on more complex reforms.

For example, with the progressive

introduction of the MTEF, the team has

worked with government counterparts

from the technical level all the way to

the second vice presidency. Further,

the approach has favored building the

capacity of the authorities to implement

reforms by matching strategic technical

assistance to the reforms, where

necessary.

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Annex 4: Burundi ERSG V - National Institutional Structure for the Monitoring and Evaluation of the Reforms

SCEP

Technical Committee to coordinate the

development and follow-up of the

ERSG II-III and ERSG IV-V , including

focal points from technical groups

below and representative of the REFES.

Policy Committee to Promote

Economic Reforms, presided by

the Minister of Finance (MF)

Technical Group in

on the PFM reforms

(MFEDP, MFP)

Technical Committee for the

improvement of the business

environment, including

representatives from private sector,

MOGG, and MFEDP.

Contact: Chief of Staff, MoCIT.

*Coffee Reform

Committee

*Tea Reform

Committee

*Energy sector reform

(REGIDESO, MEM)

*Petroleum Reform

and Pricing

Committee (MFEDP,

MoCIT, and private

sector)

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Annex 5: Burundi ERSG V - Letter of Development Policy

REPUBLIQUE DU BURUNDI

~W~ ~

MINISTERE DES FINANCES ET DE LA PLANIFICATION DU DEVELOPPEMENT ECONOMIQUE CABINET DU MINISTRE

NIRef. : 5401, 15 .. ? 'b-J 2011

Objet: Lettre de Politique de DeveJoppement pour Ie Cinquieme Don d'Appui a Ja R6forme Economique (DARE V).

Monsieur Ie President,

Bujumbura, Ie /v::; 1 ;\ " 12011

A Monsieur Robert ZOELLICK President de la Banque Mondiale 1818 H Street, NW Washington, D.C.20433.

Nous avons I'honneur de vous transmettre ci-joint la Lettre de Politique de Developpement (LPD) convenue dans Ie cadre du nouveau programme d'appui budgetaire entre Ie Burundi et l'Association Internationale de Developpement (IDA) au titre du serna Don d'Appui a la Reforme Economique (DARE V).

Le Gouvernement du Burundi a mis en Oluvre avec succes Ie programme 2010-2011 appuye par la quatrieme operation de Don d'Appui a la Retorme Economique (DARE IV). Durant cette periode, des resultats appreciables ont ete enregistres dans la gestion transparente et efficace des finances publiques, I'amelioration du climat des affaires en vue de stimuler Ie developpement du secteur prive ainsi que la promotion de I'expansion des secteurs a haut potentiel de croissance et la diversification des exportations du pays notamment dans les secteurs agricoles et miniers.

Au niveau politique, les institutions issues des elections de 2010 travaillent d'arrache-pied pour asseoir la paix sociale dans tout Ie pays. Un cadre de dialogue permanent des partis politiques a ete institue pour permettre aux partis politiques de discuter de la vie du pays en general et des questions politiques en particulier. D'autres initiatives importantes pour la stabilisation politique telles que la creation d'institutions nationales sur les droits de I'homme et de Justice transitionnelle ont ete prises en 2011 . Un projet de loi portant statut de l'Opposition politique a ete adopte par Ie Conseil des Ministres et se trouve sur la table du Parlement pour adoption. Le 11 fevrier 2011, l'Ombudsman a commence a fonctionner officiellement (Ia loi portant organisation et fonctionnement de l'Ombudsman a ete promulguee Ie 25 janvier 2010). Bref, Ie Gouvernement poursuivra les efforts entrepris pour assurer Ie bon fonctionnement du systeme democratique, consolider la bonne gouvernance, et promouvoir Ie dialogue politique et social.

Les grandes priorites du Gouvernement restent la consolidation des acquis economiques et sociaux du CSLP 1, ella mise en Oluvre du CSLP2 (en cours de finalisation) qui remettra Ie pays sur la voie de la croissance, en privilegianl les axes stralegiques suivants : (i)Renforcer I'Etat de Droit, consolider la Bonne Gouvernance et promouvoir I'egalite du genre ; (ii) Transformer I'economie par une croissance soutenue creatrice d'emplois a travers notamment I'investissemenl dans Ie secteur de I'energie electrique ; (iii) Ameliorer I'acces aux services de base de qualite afin de renforcer la solidarite nationale et (iv) Bien gerer

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2

Toutefois, -Ies defis de la recherche de cette croissance forte et partagee restent immenses et la crise energetique a empire la situation. La mobilisation des moyens financiers consequents reste la cle de reussite pour faire face aces defis.

C'est dans ce cadre, que Ie Gouvernement du Burundi sollicite un nouvel appui de I'IDA pour faciliter la realisation d'un programme de retormes economiques sur la periode du 1 er juillet 2011 au 30 juin 2012 dans Ie cadre du DARE V pour un montant equivalent a 22,1 millions de droits de tirages speciaux(DTS), soit 35 millions de dollars E.U.

Les priorites mises en avant dans Ie cadre du DARE V concernent la gestion trans parente et efficace des finances publiques, I'amelioration du climat des affaires et developpement du secteur prive.

Cette Lettre de Politique de Developpement expose aussi la strategie de reformes economiques a moyen terme que Ie Gouvernement s'engage a realiser dans Ie cadre du don et au-dela, afin de renforcer les actions de lutte contre la pauvrete avec I'appui des autres partenaires au developpement du Burundi.

Les politiques et mesures indiquees dans la lettre de politique de developpement contribueront a renforcer les efforts entrepris en matiere de gestion des finances publiques et a ameliorer Ie climat des affaires, en vue d'accelerer la croissance economique et d'assurer I'irreversibilite des progres atteins.

Toutefois, Ie Gouvernement reste pret a adopter toute mesure additionnelle que I'IDA jugerait necessaire pour assurer Ie succes du programme.

Enfin, dans Ie but de faciliter Ie suivi des progres accomplis dans la mise en reuvre des politiques et mesures contenues dans ce programme, Ie Gouvernement reste pret a repondr.e favorablement a toute demande d'informations de la part de I'IDA.

Les autorites burundaises souhaitent que la Lettre de Politi que de Developpement et Ie document de programme qui I'accompagne soient rendus publics. Elles autorisent par consequent leur publication et leur affichage sur Ie site de la Banque Mondiale, une fois que ces documents sont transmis au Conseil d'Administration. Le Gouvemement fera autant sur ces sites officiels .

Veuillez agreer, Monsieur Ie President, I'expression de notre haute consideration.

LA MIN ISTRE DES FINANCES ET DE LA PLANIFICATION DU DEVEL ESSl'4PMIQUE

_

~~~~~~£L~' ,.

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REPUBLIQUE DU BURUNDI

CINQUIEME DON D'APPUI BUDGETAIRE ET DE SOUTIEN A LA REFORME ECONOMIQUE (DARE V)

LETIRE DE POLITIQUE DE DEVELOPPEMENT

Octobre 2011

IIP age

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Introduction

1. Le Gouvernement sollicite I'appui de I'IDA pour completer Ie financement de son programme de politique economique de 2011. Le but de ce programme est de poursuivre les efforts entrepris depuis Ie premier CSLP pour ameliorer les fondamentaux de I'economie burundaise. Ses objectifs peuvent etre resumes de la fa90n suivante : (i) maintenir I'inflation a un taux de 1 chiffre ; (ii) ameliorer la composition des depenses publiques au profit des secteurs prioritaires, tout en preservant la viabilite budgetaire ; (iii) renforcer la gestion des finances publiques (GFP) et la bonne gouvernance ; et (iv) renforcer les systemes de controle interne de la Banque Centrale. Un emploi prudent de ces instruments de politique economique permettra au Gouvemement de poursuivre et con solider la stabilisation macroeconomique qui conditionne Ie succes des rEiformes : a la fois les rMormes structurelles globales et I'appui au secteur prive qui a ete intensifie des 2011 en vue d'une croissance plus forte et d'une reduction plus rapide de la pauvrete.

2. Pour Ie Burundi, I'exercice 2011 co'incide avec I'elaboration du CSLP 2 qui operationnalisera la Vision « Burundi 2025 ». Cette vision est un instrument de planification a long terme, qui va guider les politiques et les strategies de developpement durable, afin de satisfaire les besoins des generations presentes sans compromettre les chances des futures generations. N'eussent ete les tensions budgetaires et financieres resultant de la hausse des prix alimentaires et energetiques commencee en 2010, Ie programme de developpement du Gouvemement aurait ete fonde sur des bases plus solides. Avec I'appui de ses partenaires, Ie Gouvernement a mis en ceuvre des mesures d'attenuation des effets de la crise, grace notamment a des programmes cibles en faveur des burundais les plus vulnerables. Le bilan de la mise en ceuvre du CSLP 1 montre que I'economie du Burundi a progressivement acquis la capacite de resister aux chocs externes et de preserver la dynamique des progres realises depuis 2007 dans chacun des quatre domaines socio-economiques du programme. Aujourd'hui, Ie Gouvemement veut non seulement con solider les acquis economiques et sociaux du CSLP 1, mais egalement changer les mentalites et transformer les bases de I'economie burundaise en vue d'atteindre un taux de croissance de 4,9% des 2012. En fait cette croissance pourra alteindre 6% si les parten aires du pays augmentent leurs appuis notamment dans Ie domaine de I'energie et de I'infrastructure et si la securite est completement retablie sur toute I'etendue du territoire. La mise en ceuvre du CSLP 2 (en cours de finalisation) mettra Ie pays sur celte voie d'une croissance forte et partagee en privilegiant les axes strategiques suivants : (i) Renforcer l'Etat de droit, consolider la bonne gouvernance et promouvoir I'egalite du genre ; (ii) transformer I'economie pour une croissance soutenue, creatrice d'emplois ; (iii) ameliorer I'acces et la qualite des services de base pour renforcer la solidarite nation ale ; et (iv) gerer I'espace et I'environnement pour un developpement durable.

3. Commencees en 2010, les crises alimentaires et energetiques menacent a nouveau I'equilibre budgetaire et financier. Sur la base des resultats (positifs) de la gestion des crises en 2008, Ie Gouvernement estime qu'il faudra mobiliser environ 22 milliards de francs burundais (BIF) pour altenuer I'impact de ces crises sur Ie succes des rMormes structurelles, sur la croissance economique et sur les conditions de vie en milieu rural, ou vit 90% de la population. Afin de ne pas compromettre Ie retablissement des equilibres financiers en tame de puis 2009, Ie programme du Gouvernement doit etre soutenu massivement pour combaltre cette crise dont les effets sont deja visibles par exemple sur la position exteneure du pays.t

Malgre la forte augmentation des besoins de financement induite par deux chocs exogenes, Ie Gouvernement est fermement resolu a poursuivre les efforts entrepris et a consolider les resultats obtenus dans Ie but : (i) de promouvoir la transparence des systemes de gestion des finances publiques ; (ii) d'ameliorer Ie climat des affaires et de developper Ie secteur prive ; et (iii) d'assurer la continuite des filets de securite crees depuis la crise de 2008 et d'alleger la pression fiscale sur les denrees alimentaires et les carburants en faveur des menages les plus pauvres.

I Les effe1s les plus visibl es sonl : a) I'augmentalion de 10 facture petroliere el du coal des produils . Iimenlaires; b) Ie ralentissement de la croissance economique ; et c) 1a hausse des depenses publiques, en general, et des depenses pro-pauvres. e,,!. p.!rtic~.!~e.r: _ __ . _ .. 21 P age

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4. Le Gouvernement sait qu'iI doit encore relever de nombreux defis pour assurer I'emergence economique du pays a moyen terme. Malgre les progres realises lors de la mise en ceuvre du premier CSLP, beaucoup reste a faire. Le CSLP 2 distingue quatre defis majeurs : (i) I'intensification des systemes de culture, (ii) I'efficacite de la depense publique, (iii) Ie developpement du secteur prive ; et (iv) I'energie.

(i) L'intensification des systemes de cultures

L'intens~ication des systemes de cultures est essentielle afin d'assurer la securite alimentaire face a la croissance demographique et pour reduire la pauvrete en milieu rural. Or la production vivriere a tres peu augmente depuis 2006. Le defi est donc de diversifier la production, de promouvoir des cultures a haut rendement, de redynamiser la recherche et la vulgarisation agricole, de promouvoir I'utilisation d'intrants, d'ameliorer les systemes d'irrigation et de reorienter <les ressources publiques vers Ie secteur agricole.

(ii) L'efficacite de la de pense publique

Bien qu'elle represente pres de 45% du PIB en 2010, la depense publique n'a pas ete a mesure de dynamiser I'activite economique et de reduire la pauvrete monetaire. La faiblesse relative des depenses en capital, la priorite accordee aux secteurs securitaires et aux services sociaux, la gestion inefficace et Ie manque de previsibilite des ressources exterieures; tous ces facteurs expliquent I'inadequate performance de la depense publique. Pour que la depense publique soit veritablement au service de la croissance economique et de la lulle contre la pauvrete, iI faut que Ie Gouvernement - de concert avec ses bailleurs de fonds - renforce les methodes de planification, d'execution, de suivi et d'{waluation de ses depenses. Celle demarche s'appuiera sur des outils efficaces (strategies sectorielles, CDMT, cadre logique) et sur un systeme statistique fiable.

Un aspect particulier du probleme de I'efficacite de la depense publique est la mailrise de la masse salariale dont la part du PIB a dangereusement augmente, atteignant 11 .8% en 2011 . En outre la qualite de la depense publique necessite une gestion rigoureuse des recrutements, de la gestion des carrieres et de la notation des fonctionnaires.

(iii) Le developpement du secteur prive

Jusqu'a present, I'economie burundaise a ete principalement dominee par Ie secteur public. Elle a main tenant besoin d'un secteur prive fort et dynamique pour stimuler une croissance soutenue. Le developpement du secteur prive n'est envisageable que si Ie climat des affaires s'ameliore de fa90n notable. A cette fin, d'importants obstacles doivent etre surmontes, notamment Ie manque d'infrastructures, les problemes d'acces au financement, la rigidite des reglementations, la lourdeur des procedures et I'absence de services de conseil et d'appui.

(iv) L'energie

Le deficit energetique, la faiblesse de la production d'electricite et Ie manque de fiabilite de cette production sont des obstacles majeurs a la croissance. Les problemes energetiques du pays freinent Ie developpement de I'industrie et des investissements etrangers. L'energie est donc un enjeu vital pour la reussite du CSLP 2. Le developpement du secteur energie necessite la mobilisation de ressources considerables au niveau des budgets nationaux, de I'aide internationale et des investisseurs prives.

5. Un appui massif et coordonne des bailleurs de fonds est necessaire pour renforcer I'efficacite du programme du Gouvernement. Le Burundi a donc besoin d'un cadre de reference pour une politique commune des bailleurs de fonds. La nouvelle politique de I'aide, qui sera adoptee dans les prochaines semaines, a deja obtenu I'adhesion des partenaires techniques et financiers qui ont participe activement a I'elaboration du CSLP 2 dans les ateliers techniques et les groupes sectoriels du Groupe de Coordination des Partenaires. C'est dans ce cadre que la presente lellre de politique de developpement definit Ie programme de reformes du Gouvernement pour 2011 pour

311'age

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lequel I'appui de I'IDA est sollicite. En outre, la letlre identifie des indicateurs de performance qui permettront d'evaluer la qualite de la mise en ceuvre du programme. C'est dans un souci d'efficacite que les autorites ont tenu 11 impliquer tous les acteurs dans la conception des futures reformes dont la mise en ceuvre fera I'objet de communications regulieres.

II Developpements Recents et Programme de Politique

6. Malgre les crises rtlcentes, Ie Burundi espere que sa performance economique restera favorable au cours des prochaines annees. Le taux de croissance annuel du PIS a atteint 4,2% au cours de la periode 2006-2009. Ce resultat est encourageant, meme s'iI est infeneur a I'objectif de 7%, vise dans Ie CSLP 1, qui aurait permis d'atteindre certains des objecUfs des OMD. Une relance economique est probable. En effet I'economie burundaise a acquis une capacite de resistance aux chocs qui I'ont secouee au cours des dernilires annees. En 2008, malgre la severite des crises alimentaire et energetique de I'epoque, Ie taux de croissance atteint 4,5%. En 2009, Ie taux de croissance a chute it 3,5% a cause des effets (differes) des crises de I'annee precedente et de la nouvelle crise economique et financiere mondiale. Mais grace aux retormes structurelles en faveur du developpement du secteur prive, au fonctionnement effectif de l'Office Surundais des Recettes (OSR) et aux appuis budgetaires de ses partenaires, Ie Gouvernement a pu ratteindre une croissance economique de 3,9% en 2010. II compte poursuivre les prognis accomplis, atteindre un taux de croissance de 4,2% en 2011 et d'au moins 4,9% des 2012.

7. Pour atteindre cet objectif, Ie Gouvernement s'efforcera d'exploiter pleinement toutes les opportunites de I'economie nalionale. Pour realiser une croissance forte et durable capable de reduire la pauvrete de fa~on significative, Ie Gouvernement s'attaquera a la resolution des grands defis identifies dans les strategies sectorielles et dans Ie CSLP 2 en cours de finalisation. Des r€!formes importantes - lancees dans Ie cadre des precedents DARE, avec I'appui d'autres bailleurs de fonds (notamment la Commission Europeenne. et autres bilateraux) - ont jete les bases: (i) d'une amelioration sensible du climat des affaires, de la gouvernance et de la transparence budgetaire et fiscale ; (ii) de I'innovation et d'investissements massifs dans les secteurs porteurs de croissance, y compris Ie capital humain; (iii) d'une reduction du deficit en infrastructures productives telles que I'energie; et (iv) d'une croissance de la production et de la productivite agricole, creatrice d'emplois grace it la diversificalion des produits et a I'amelioration des systemes de commercialisation. Ce sont les memes principes qui inspireront la selection des programmes et activites permettant d'atteindre les principaux objectifs du Gouvernement.

8. Le Gouvernement sait qu'une croissance economique forte passera par une promotion agressive de I'industrie et des services marchands. L'agriculture, qui domine I'economie burundaise (en moyenne 46% du PIS), va continuer de jouer un role moteur dans la croissance des services (en moyenne 37% du PIS en 2004-2009) et de I'industrie (en moyenne 17%). Ce r61e preponderant s'explique par la forte contribution du secteur agricole aux recettes d'exportation (plus de 60% de 2006 a 2009) et a la creation d'emplois (plus de 90% de la population active travaille dans I'agriculture). Une profonde transformation de I'economie burundaise, creatrice d'emplois et de revenus salariaux et fiscaux, necessitera une promotion agressive des services et de I'industrie (donc du secteur prive), dont les parts du PIS devront donc fortement augmenter. En accord avec ses partenaires, Ie Gouvernement a defini un programme de r€!formes prioritaires pour 2011 centre sur deux principaux objectifs strategiques, a savoir : (1) ameliorer Ie climat des affaires et promouvoir Ie secteur prive ; (2) consolider les resultats obtenus sur Ie plan de la transparence des systemes de gestion des finances publiques. Pour assurer la mise en ceuvre effective de ces reformes, Ie Gouvernement devra aussi meltre en place des mesures permettant d'attenuer les effets des crises alimentaires et energetiques actuelles dont Ie coUt sera finance avec I'appui des bailleurs de fonds.

9. Le Gouvernement va multiplier les actions pour faire du secteur prive Ie pivot du developpement economique et social du Burundi. En 2010, Ie Gouvernement a aug mente les ressources publiques affectees au secteur agricole afin d'accroitre une productivite encore insuffisante pour garantir la securite alimentaire. De nouveaux investissements agricoles ont ete realises en vue d'attenuer I'impact des fluctuations cycliques de la

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production (notamment la production de Cafe), des aleas climatiques, de certaines degenerescences varietales et des plmuries en semences et produits phytosanitaires de qualite. En plus de ces appuis indirects aux activites privees, les autorites ant donne des signaux forts qui demontrent leur volonte d'ameliorer Ie classement du Burundi selon I'indicateur du « Doing Business » pour 2012. Grace au Comite Decisionnel cree a cet effe!, on note aujourd'hui une reduction sensible des delais necessaires pour obtenir un permis de construire, effectuer un transfert de propriete, et creer une entreprise. Assainir la situation financil~re de la REGIDESO, lancer la seconde phase de la vente des stations de lavage du cafe, et preparer la restructuration des entreprises publiques sont des mesures prioritaires dont Ie Gouvemement poursuivra la mise en Clluvre dans Ie cadre de la sene programmatique des DARE IV et V. Dans chacun de ces domaines, des progres importants ont ete realises, notamment I'installation de compteurs electriques avec prepaiement pour plus de 25% des abonnes, I'evaluation de la premiere phase de vente des stations de lavage, et I'adoption par Ie Conseil des Ministres et la sou mission au Parlement de la loi revisee sur les privatisations.

10. Le retour de la securite et de la paix s'est confirme en 2010. Une etape decisive a ete la transformation du demier mouvement arme en parti politique. Les elections generales de mai et septembre 2010 - qui ont reelu Ie President sortant, Mr Pierre Nkurunziza - confirment Ie choix du processus democratique, com me I'unique moyen de surmonter les divergences et de regler les problemes politiques et sociaux du Burundi. Malgre Ie coOt de ces elections, partiellement finance par les parten aires du pays, les auto rites gouvernementales ont su maintenir Ie cap des ~formes et eviter la surchauffe qui aurait pu resulter de la mise en Clluvre des promesses electorales. Pour consolider Ie processus de reconstruction politique, condition d'une croissance forte et durable, un forum des partis politiques a ete cree en 2010 pour un dialogue continu sur les questions concernant Ie bien-etre de la population. D'autres initiatives importantes pour la stabilisation politique, telles que la creation d'institutions nationales sur les droits de I'homme et la justice transition nelle, ant aussi ete prises en 2011 . Le 11 fevrier 2011, l'Ombudsman a commence a fonctionner offciellement (Ia loi portant organisation et fonctionnement de l'Ombudsman a ete promulguee Ie 25 janvier 2010). Bref, Ie Gouvernement poursuivra les efforts entrepris pour assurer Ie bon fonctionnement du systeme democratique, can solider la bonne gouvernance, et promouvoir Ie dialogue politique et social.

11. Dans eet environnement apaise, Ie Burundi est parvenu a retrouver un taux d'inflation a 1 chiffre (6,4% en 2010).2 La flambee recente des cours des produits petroliers devrait entrainer une hausse du prix des importations du fa~ de la pression exercee sur Ie coG! du transport. Compte tenu d'une part de la hausse du prix des importations, et d'autre part des efforts que fera Ie Gouvernement pour contr61er I'augmentation de la masse monetaire, accroitre la production vivriere et ameliorer sa distribution et sa commercialisation, il est probable que la hausse des prix que devront supporter les menages burundais sera de I'ordre de 8,4% de 2008 a 2010. En effet, pendant la crise de 2008, Ie taux d'inflation, qui, en glissement annuel, avait atteint 26% en 2008, a pu etre reduit a 4,6% en 2009, et 6,5% en 2010. II semble cependant qu'avec la montee des prix des produits petroliers et energetique, I'inflation atteindra 10,4 % en 2011 . Cependant, I'objectif a moyen terme du Gouvemement est de ramener Ie taux d'inflation en dessous de 10%, grace a I'application des mesures et la mise en place des instruments de politiques definis en accord avec Ie Fonds Monetaire International dans Ie cadre de la Facilite Elargie de Credit. Pour suivre les progres vers I'accomplissement de cet objectif, I'indicateur de reference sera I'indice des prix a la consommation calcule par I'ISTEEBU sur base de I'evolution des prix d'un panier de biens de consommation sur Ie Marche Central de Bujumbura. Comme cet indicateur est inadequat, Ie Gouvernement va redoubler d'efforts pour convaincre ses partenaires de I'aider a actualiser ce panier en realisant en 2012 une enquete budget-consommation.

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12. Le deficit budgetaire (base caisse) a diminue depuis 2009, atteignant 4,3% en 2010, soit un niveau proche de I'objectif du Gouvernement. La baisse du deficit est la consequence d'une bonne gestion des depenses publiques, qui privilegie les depenses pro-pauvres, de I'operationnalisation de I'OBR dont les recettes (19,8% du PIB) ont surpasse les previsions de 2010, et d'une meilleure coordination des politiques monetaire et budgetaire grace a la production regulh~re de plans de tresorerie (Comite de Gestion de la Tresorerie) en coherence avec les plans d'engagement, et a la rationalisation des comptes de l'Etat (fenmeture des demiers comptes hors budgets depuis la fin decembre 2010). En outre, conformement aux objectifs du CSLP et des OMD, les autorites augmentent constamment les depenses destinees it la lutte contre la pauvrete. Celles-ci devraient de passer 14% du PIB en 2010 (contre 12,3% en 2009). Compte tenu des financements addition nels massifs (environ 22 milliards de BIF) qu'il faudra mobiliser pour faire face a la crise energetique et alimentaire, Ie Gouvernement prendra de nouvelles mesures pour controler Ie volume et ameliorer I'efficacite de la depense gr~ce notamment au gel des recrutements, it la « contractualisation » du personnel de la sante (pour ameliorer la qualite des soins), a une politique reduisant a zero Ie charroi de l'Etat, et a la rationalisation des eftectifs des corps de defense et de securite, Ie but etant de creer plus d'espace fiscal et budgetaire.

13. Selon la derniere revue du FMI, Ie budget 2011 est conforme aux objectifs macroeconomiques convenus. Le cadre macroeconomique a ete revise pour tenir compte des eftets de la crise energetique et alimentaire sur les depenses et financements publics et sur la position exterieure du Burundi. En outre, soucieux d'accelerer la progression vers les OMOs, Ie Gouvernement a continue d'ameliorer la composition des depenses publiques, augmentant les depenses pro-pauvres de 15 milliards de BIF, et reduisant de fa90n substantielle les droits d'accise sur Ie petrole lampant et Ie diesel. Grace it ces mesures, I'impact de la crise sur les conditions de vie des menages les plus pauvres sera moins grave. Les depenses de croissance ne sont pas aftectees. En eftet,

. I'agriculture (irrigation moderne et adaptee, repeuplement du cheptel, approvisionnement en semences de qualite) et I'energie (barrage hydroelectrique de 10,4 megawatts) ont re9u des credits additionnels. Enfin, la position exteneure devrait continuer it s'ameliorer grace aux mesures de liberalisation et de diversification des exportations. Des 2011, Ie Gouvernement va mettre en oeuvre les operations de privatisation des 104 stations de lavage restantes, ce qui devrait generer d'importantes recettes budgetaires en fin 2012. Mais I'amelioration de la position exterieure du pays risque d'lltre limitee par les consequences de la hausse des prix des produits energetiques et alimentaires sur Ie coOt des importations. L'extension des mesures de privatisation du secteur cafe encouragera de nouveaux investissemenls qui permettront Ie rajeunissement des plantations, arreteront donc progressivement Ie declin et la cyclicite de la production. Le Gouvernement va donc continuer d'appuyer les secteurs cafe et the : (i) en encadrant les associations de producteurs ; (ii) en investissant dans I'irrigation et la distribution de produits phytosanitaires ; et (iii) en adaptant la loi sur les privatisations en fonction des meilleures pratiques internationales.

14. Malgre les contraintes financieres resultant de la crise mondiale, Ie Gouvernement va conserver Ie filet de securite mis en ptace en faveur des populations pauvres et vulnerables. Oepuis 2008, Ie Gouvernement a pris un certain nombre de mesures d'aide aux populations vulnerables afin de proteger leurs conditions de vie deja precarisees par les crises successives recentes. Les reductions tarifaires temporaires et ciblees pour les importations de produits alimentaires et petroliers consommes par les pauvres ont ete combinees avec des filets de securite sociale (i.e., supplements nutritionnels, mesures urgentes de securite alimentaire, cantines scolaires, transferts de kits aux agriculteurs, microcnidits agricoles pour les ruraux, assistance aux refugies et deplaces, etc.). Enfin, pour accroitre la production agricole, Ie Gouvernement a organise I'approvisionnement des paysans en semences et engrais, lance la rehabilitation du systeme d'inrigation de la plaine de I'lmbo, et entrepris la rehabilitation des infrastructures de base. Le Gouvernement souhaite poursuivre ces programmes pendant les prochaines annees afin d'ameliorer Ie niveau de vie des plus pauvres.

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III Les Principales Realisations des DARE II, III et IV

15. Les reformes du Gouvernement refletent sa determination a atteindre les objectifs de developpement du CSLP. Le programme de reformes est articule autour des objectifs suivants: (i) consolider la stabilite macroeeonomique ; (ii) des retonmes structurelles visant a ameliorer Ie systeme de gestion des finances publiques, la politique monetaire et la politique de change; et (iii) renforcer I'efficacite du systeme productif, notamment par la privatisation des entreprises publiques et la restructuration du secteur des exportations (cafe, the, coton). Sur chacun de ces axes, la sarie des DARE, en combinaison avec les programmes des autres bailleurs, a perm is des avancees significatives qu'it convient de rappeler.

16. La mise en ceuvre de retormes globales concernant la gestion des finances publiques a produit des resultats substantlels. Le Parlement a adopte une nouvelle Loi Organique des Finances Publiques et une nouvelle Loi sur les Marches Publics. Ces deux lois integrent les principes modemes de gestion et de transparence et specifient les concepts, principes et responsabilites regissant I'action des agents publics. Un decret sur Ie cadre de preparation budgetaire a ete adopte et est applique. Pour ameliorer la qualite des depenses publiques, une enquete PETS a ete realisee en 2007 et a donne lieu a I'adoption de plans d'actions en 2009; I'introduction d'un CDMT central dans la preparation budgetaire a ete n~alisee ; elle garantit la coherence entre les plans budgetaires et les objectifs du CSLP. Par ailleurs, les comptes extrabudgetaires ont ete elimines et des plafonds d'engagement ont ete fixes (de concert avec les sectoriels) pour venir a bout des arrieres de paiement et tendre vers I'unite de la tresorerie. En complement aces reformes lancees dans Ie cadre de la premiere serie des DARE, une Loi instituant la Taxe sur la Valeur Ajoutee a ete promulguee Ie 17 Fevrier 2009 et I'elimination de toutes les exonerations de fiscalite indirecte a ete decidee et incorporee dans Ie nouveau Code des Impots. Le Gouvernement a acheve Ie recensement des fonctionnaires civils de I'Etat, de la police et des forces armees. La base de donnees mise en place 11 cet elfet est en attente d'actualisation pour que des cartes magnetiques d'identification personnelle soient distribuee~ a tous les fonctionnaires. Entretemps, it y a eu installation d'un logiciel de la paie interface avec Ie SIGEFI. Une Strategie de Gestion des Finances Publiques (SGFP) a ete adoptee en mai 2009 par Ie Conseit des Ministres. Le suivi de sa mise en reuvre - jusqu'en 2012 - est fait regulierement grace a des rapports trimestriels valides par Ie Comite de Pilotage des Retormes des Finances Publiques. Un projet de deeret portant Reglement General de Gestion des Budgets Publics a ete adopte par Ie Conseit des Ministres. Une nouvelle· nomenclature de classification budgetaire et comptable harmonisee avec Ie Plan Comptable de l'Etat de 2008 a ete adoptee par Ordonnance Ministerielle 540/1210 du 10 AoOt 2010. Une convention entre !'Etat et la B.R.B., clarifiant Ie role du caissier de l'Etat, a ete signee en Fevrier 2010. Un projet de decret presidentiel portant sur la Gouvernance Budgetaire est en cours d'elaboration avec I'appui d'un expert du F.M.I. /I traitera notamment des questions relatives aux modalites d'application du prinCipe de legalite des recettes et des depenses, definira les objectifs et la fonmulation des politiques economiques et budgetaires (cad rage macroeconomique, coherence entre politique eeonomique et politique budgetaire, respect des criteres de I'EAC, soutenabitite de la dette, CDMT, et budgets-programmes). II traitera egalement des regles relatives aux Lois de Finances, notamment leur structure et I'amelioration des procedures budgetaires tant au niveau du Gouvernement que du Parlemen!. La mise en reuvre des 19 programmes de la SGFP par des groupes techniques multisectoriels et par la Cellule d'Appui au Cadre de Partenariat est actuellement une realite.

17. Des progres appreciables ont egalement ete realises dans la mise en ceuvre de mesures visant a faciliter les actlvites du secteur prive. Un nouveau Code des Investissements conforme aux meilleures pratiques internationales a ete promulgue en septembre 2008, et devrait contribuer a I'amelioration du climat des alfaires, apres harmonisation avec Ie nouveau Code des ImpCits. Le Conseil des Ministres a adopte des projets de Codes du Commerce et des Societes Privees et Publiques conformes aux normes internationales. Leur formulation a suivi un processus largement participatif. Le decret portant creation du cadre de dialogue public-prive a ete signe par Ie President de la Republique en juin 2008 et Ie Tribunal de Commerce a rMuit de plus de 10% Ie nombre des litiges qui passaient plus de 60 jours en delibere. L'Agence Burundaise de Promotion des Investissements (API) est

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pleinement fonctionnelle depuis 2010. La reforme du secteur financier a egalement progresse par I'adoption d'une strategie de reforme du secteur financier. II s'agit egalement de I'adoption par Ie Parlement d'une nouvelle Loi portant statuts de la Banque Centrale de la Republique du Burundi (BRB.) qui renforce son independance et sa gouvernance. La BRB a en outre mis en ceuvre d'importantes mesures visant a renforcer son systeme de controle interne et de gestion des risques en application des recomrnandations du rapport d'evaluation des clauses de sauvegarde financiere du FMI. Toutes ces actions renforcent les mesures directernent soutenues par les DARE.

18. Des avancees significatives ont ete rI!alisees dans la reforme de la filiere cafe. Apres I'adoption par Ie Conseil des Ministres d'une strategie de desengagement de l'Etat en 2008, un decret presidentiel a mis en place l'Organe de Regulation du Secteur Cafe (ARFIC), lan9ant ainsi Ie processus de cession des actifs de l'Etat dans Ie secteur. Bien avant cela, Ie Gouvernernent avait adopte un nouveau reglernent des ventes qui ouvrait les exportations de cafe aux operateurs locaux et internationaux. L'application de ce reglement s'est traduite par I'entree effective d'exportateurs dans un rnarche devenu cornpetitif et transparent. En plus de la creation de I'ARFIC, Ie DARE III a soutenu : (i) des carnpagnes nationales de sensibilisation sur les avantages de la privatisation des actifs du secteur cafe; (ii) Ie lancement de I'appel d'olfre international pour la vente de ces actifs ; et (iii) I'abrogation de la convention de 50 ans qui liait les SOGESTALS 11 I'OCIBU. La vente a reussi en ce qui concerne 13 stations de lavage qui ont ete reprises par un groupe international repute.

IV Les Detis du DARE V

19. La mise en ceuvre du DARE V progresse parallelement ilia preparation du CSLP 2 qui avance bien. En ce qui concerne les axes strategiques retenus, Ie CSLP 2 completera et approfondira les programmes et activites lances pour atleindre les objectifs du premier CSLP 1. Le processus CSLP 2 a alteint une etape cruciale ou les partenaires et la societe civile examinent au niveau sectoriel la pertinence et Ie realisme des programmes proposes dans Ie plan d'actions prioritaires.

20. Le DARE V completera les reformes lancees par les precedents DARE sans pourtant s'ecarter du programme du Gouvernement. La recherche de synergies est en elfet un critere que Ie Gouvernement va privilegier dans la definition des actions prealables du DARE V. Dans celte optique, Ie CSLP 1 est la premiere reference des politiques auxquelles Ie DARE V contribuera. Les trois priorites operationnelles du CSLP conformes d'ailleurs aux objectifs du Gouvernement sont les suivantes : (i) une gestion transparente et efficace des finances publiques; (ii) I'amelioration du climat des alfaires et Ie developpement du secteur prive ; et (iii) I'expansion des secteurs a haut potentiel de croissance et la diversification des exportations du pays (agriculture et mines).

V Les Actions PrI!alables du DARE V

V.1. Transparence des Systilmes de Gestion des Finances PubJiques

21. Dans ce do maine, trois mesures sont concernees : (i) I'approfondissement progressif des reformes visant a introduire les processus des CDMT et des plans d'engagement dans les procedures de preparation budgetaire ; (ii) la signature d'un decret presidentiel portant Reglement General de Gestion des Budgets Publics (RGBP); et (iii) la publication de la loi portant fixation du budget general du Burundi pour I'exercice 2012.

22. Adoption de la lettre de cadrage du budget general de 2012. Grace a I'extension progressive du processus des CDMT, il sera possible d'utiliser un CDMT central 2012·2014 pour la preparation de la leltre de cadrage du projet de Loi de Finances 2012. La mise au point du mecanisme des CDMT centraux et I'extension progressive des CDMT sectoriels a un plus grand nombre de secteurs permeltront I'utilisation systematique du processus dans la planification des depenses. Un CDMT central pour 2012·2014 a deja servi de base pour la preparation de la letlre de cadrage du projet de Loi de Finances 2012 et pour la fixation des plafonds de depense des dilferents ministeres et institutions.

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23. Signature d'un decret presidentiel portant Reglement General de Gestion des Budgets Publics (RGBP)

Nouvelle « constitution financiere » du Burundi, la loi organique sur les finances publiques (LOFP) promulguee en decembre 2008 prevoit I'adoption d'un certain nombre de textes d'application. Le Raglement General de Gestion des Budgets Publics est Ie principal texte d'application de la LOFP dont il developpe les principales dispositions. II s'applique au budget de l'Etat et a celui des etablissements publics. Ce projet de decret a ete analyse et approuve par Ie Conseil des Ministres et iI a ete signe par Ie President de la Republique.

Les travaux de preparation d'un decret sur la gouvernance budgetaire, d'une ordonnance sur les contr61eurs des engagements de depenses et d'une ordonnance sur les ragies ont egalement ete engages.

24. Publication de la loi portant fIXation du budget general du Burundi pour I'exercice 2011. Pour plus de transparence, la loi des Finances 2011 , elaboree sur la base du CDMT adopte en decembre 2010, a ete publiee sur Ie Site Web du Ministere des Finances (www.tinances.gov.bi). Dela meme fayon, I'execution de ce budget pour Ie premier et Ie second trimestre a ete publiee sur Ie meme site.

V.2.Amelioration du Climat des Affaires et Deve/oppement du, Secteur Prive

25. Dans ce domaine, cinq mesures sont concernees: (i) la revision des tarifs d'electricite; (ii) un plan d'actions pour la restructuration eUou la privatisation d'entreprises publiques ; (iii) la mise sur pied d'une commission chargee de la preparation du lancement d'appel d'offres pour la privatisation des stations de lavage du cafe qui restent dans Ie domaine public; (iv) I'adoption d'un projet de loi portant creation des groupements pre·cooperatifs ; et (v) des mesures visant a attenuer les effets de la crise sur les plus pauvres.

26. La revision des tarifs d'electricite vient completer la grande campagne d'installation des compteurs avec prepaiement. Dans Ie cadre d'une reforme visant a ameliorer la performance technique de REGIDESO et II retablir la viabilite financiEi re de I'entreprise, une etude sur les tarifs d'electricite, combinee avec I'analyse de I'impact sur la pauvrete d'une eventuelle reforme tarifaire, a servi de base pour une revision du niveau et de la structure de ces tarifs, dans Ie cadre d'un vaste programme de rehabilitation operationnelle et de redressement financier de la REGIDESO. Sur Ie terrain, une campagne de sensibilisation nationale s'avere necessaire pour garantir I'adhesion de la societe civile et de la population a la reforme,

27. Adoption d'un projet de plan d'actions pour la 'restructuration ou la privatisation des entreprises publiques. Les audits des huil entreprises publiques ont ete publies et ont servi de base pour I'elaboration d'un plan d'actions et d'un calendrier pour la privatisation ou la restructuration de ces entreprises. Ce plan I calendrier sera adopte par Ie Conseil des Ministres et accompagne par un expose des motifs. Le Gouvernement lancera une strategie de communication destinee a sensibiliser I'opinion publique en expliquant les nombreux avantages qui justifient un tel programme.

28, Mise en place d'une Commission chargee du Ian cement de I'appel d'offres pour les stations de lavage du cafe qui demeurent dans Ie domaine public. La reprise de 13 stations de lavage par un groupe international repute et Ie retablissement progressif d'un climat d'investissement plus favorable permellent d'esperer que la plupart des stations qui sont encore dans Ie domaine public interesseront des investisseurs prives. Le Gouvernement a donc I'intention ferme de relancer Ie processus. Le Comite Interministenel de la Privatisation sera donc charge de lancer des appels d'offres pour la vente des 104 stations qui demeurent dans Ie domaine public. Pour ce faire, Ie DAO doit etre revise en tenant compte des le90ns de la premiere phase de privatisation et des resultats de la campagne de communication. Un volet important de celie campagne sera I'explication du traitement de la part reservataire.

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29. Un projet de loi sur les pre-cooperatives. Le secteur agricole emploie 90% des Burundais et c'est 97% des pauvres qui vivent en zones rurales. Le Gouvernement accorde donc une haute priorite au developpement du secteur, qui repose non seulement sur la promotion du cafe et autres cultures de rente, mais encore sur I'expansion et la diversification des cultures vivrieres et sur I'amelioration de la productivite. Le Gouvernement eslime que les associations de producteurs peuvent jouer un r61e capital dans ce processus. II compte donc prendre les mesures necessaires pour promouvoir et encadrer ces associations. L'une de ces mesures est la definition du cadre juridique dans lequel operent les cooperatives. Le Conseil des Ministres adoptera donc un projet de loi sur Ie statut et Ie fonctionnement des cooperatives.

30. Mesures visant it aUenuer les eftels de la crise sur les plus pauvres. Sous I'effet combine de la crise de I'energie et des denrees alimentaires, Ie Gouvernement a pris des mesures a court terme pour soulager les plus pauvres en exonerant les droits d'accises sur Ie petrole lampant et sur Ie diesel que .les cam ions utilisent pour transporter les produits alimentaires. L'impact de cette mesure est estime a une perte de recettes budgetaires de plus ou moins 8 milliards. De meme, Ie Gouvernement a continue de financer Ie programme de canlines scolaires, en partenarial avec Ie PAM, et d'assister les populations pauvres par la distribution de vivres aux plus demunis par l'intermediaire du Ministere charge de la Solidarite Nationale.

VI Conclusion

31. Telles sont done quelques unes des mesures qui dominent I'action du Gouvernement au cours de cette annee 2011 . Ce programme, qui a ete discute avec les experts de la Banque Mondiale, sera suivi de fayon rigoureuse par les autorites. Pour renforcer sa collaboration avec la Banque Mondiale et faciliter les echanges ae vues entre les deux parties, Ie Gouvernement s'engage a fournir dans les delais prevus les informations suivantes :

• Un tableau sur I'execution du budget 2010 (classification administrative et economique), taus les trimestres.

• Un tableau comparant I'execution des budgets 2009 et 2010 des secteurs prioritaires (sante, education, agriculture, infrastructures, protection social e) et des depenses pro-pauvres (selon la methodologie revisee en 2008), taus les trimestres.

• Le total des depenses sans engagement prealable en 2009, 2010 et 2011 , taus les trimestres. • Le total des depenses sur comptes hors budget (sauf Ie Fonds National Routier) en 2009, 2010 et

2011. • Pendant I'execution du programme, un tableau comportant : a} les delais moyens, maximaux et

minimaux entre: (i) I'engagement juridique ; (ii) I'engagement comptable ; (iii) la reception des factures; (iv) la liquidation; (v) I'ordre de paiement; et (vi) Ie paiement par Ie ministere des Finances; et b) Ie montant total des arrieres par Ministere (toute facture non payee 60 jours apres I'echeance), taus les trimestres. .

• Une evaluation des arrieres de paiement du Gouvernement a ta REGIDESO, taus les trimestres.

10 I P age

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REPUBLIC OF BURUNDI Bujumbura, November 10, 2011

MINISTRY OF FINANCE

AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT PLANNING

OFFICE OF THE MINISTER

Reference: 540/2582/2011 TO: MR.ROBERT ZOELLICK

President of the World Bank

1818 H Street NW

Washington DC 20433

Subject: Development Policy Letter

for the Fifth Economic Reform Support Grant (ERSG V)

Mr. President

We are honored to send you the Letter of Development Policy (LDP) agreed by the Burundi and

the International Development Association (IDA) in the context of a new budget support

program involving a fifth economic reform support grant (ERSG V).

The Government of Burundi implemented successfully its 2010-2011 program supported by the

fourth economic reform support grant (ERSG IV). During that period significant progress was

made towards more transparent and efficient public finance management, improvement in the

business climate to stimulate private sector development, expansion of sectors with high growth

potential and diversification of exports, notably in the agricultural and mining sectors.

On the political side, the institutions established following the 2010 elections work hard to

promote social peace over the totality of the country’s territory. A permanent dialogue

framework for political parties has been created to enable the parties to discuss political and

other issues concerning the life of the country. In 2011, the government took a number of

important initiatives to promote political stability, including the creation of national human rights

and transitional justice institutions. A draft bill on the organization of the political opposition

parties has been approved by the Council of Ministers and submitted to the Parliament. On

February 11, 2011 the Ombudsman’s office started its operation officially (the law concerning

the creation and operation of the Ombudsman was promulgated on January 26, 2010). The

government will pursue ongoing efforts to ensure a sound implementation of the democratic

system, improve governance and promote political and social dialogue.

The main priorities of the government remain the consolidation of the results already obtained

during the first PRSP and implementation of the second PRSP (which is being finalized). This

second PRSP, which will put the country’s economy on a growth path, will give priority to the

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following strategic objectives: (i) strengthen the rule of law, support good governance and

promote gender equality; (ii) transform Burundi’s economy to achieve sustained growth and

create jobs, notably through investment in the electric power system; (iii) improve access to, and

the quality of, basic services to strengthen national solidarity; and (iv) good management of

available space and environment in support of sustainable development.

Nevertheless promoting a strong and shared growth is a major challenge and the recent electric

power crisis did worsen the country’s economic situation. Mobilizing large sources of financing

is essential to achieve success.

In this context, the Government of Burundi requests the support of IDA to facilitate

implementation of its economic reform program for the July 1, 2011/June 30 2012 period

through an ERSG V grant amounting to DTS22.1 million, equivalent to US$35 millions.

The main priorities of ERSG V are: transparent and efficient public finance management,

improving the business climate and promoting private sector development.

This Letter of Development Policy also outlines the medium-term economic reform strategy

which the government is committed to implement during the grant period and beyond, in order to

intensify measures aimed at reducing poverty in cooperation with the other development partners

of Burundi.

The policies and measures described in the Letter of Development Policy will consolidate efforts

already made to strengthen public finance management and improve the business climate, in

order to accelerate economic growth and make future progress irreversible.

Nevertheless, the government is ready to adopt additional measures that IDA would find

necessary to ensure the success of the program.

Finally, to better monitor results achieved in implementing the policies and measures included in

the program, the government will respond positively to IDA’s enquiries and will provide the data

requested.

The Government of Burundi expresses the wish that the Letter of Development Policy and the

corresponding Program Document should be published. It therefore authorizes their publication

on the World Bank website when these documents have been submitted to the Board of

Executive Directors. The Government of Burundi will do the same on its own website.

With the expression of our high consideration

The Minister of Finance and Economic Development Planning

Clotilde Nizigama

[signature]

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Burundi – Letter of Development Policy - Translation

REPUBLIC OF BURUNDI

ECONOMIC REFORM SUPPORT GRANT (ERSG V)

LETTER OF DEVELOPMENT POLICY

October 2011

I. Introduction

1. The government requests IDA support to complete the financing of its economic policy

program for 2011. The government plans to continue ongoing efforts – initiated in the context

of the first PRSP – to strengthen Burundi’s economic performance. The main objectives of the

program are as follows: (i) keep the rate of inflation below 10 percent; (ii) improve the structure

of public expenditures by increasing the share of priority sectors while protecting the viability of

the country’s budget; (iii) improve governance and strengthen public finance management; and

(iv) strengthen internal control mechanisms within the central bank. A careful use of these

various economic policy instruments will further stabilize the country’s macroeconomic position,

a pre-condition for the success of overall structural reforms and also more specific reforms

geared towards private sector development, reforms which the government will intensify in 2011

to accelerate economic growth and poverty reduction.

2. The 2011 fiscal year also is for Burundi the year during which the government will prepare a

second PRSP, that will help implement the ―2025 vision‖, a long-term planning instrument that

will dominate future sustainable development policies and strategies aimed at meeting the needs

of present generations, without compromising the prospects of future generations. In 2010,

increases in international prices of food and energy created budgetary and financial management

problems that affected implementation of the country’s economic development program. With

the help of its partners, the government initiated well targeted safety net programs aimed at

mitigating the impact of the crisis on the most vulnerable groups. According to the report

evaluating the performance of the first PRSP, Burundi’s economy has been increasingly capable

of resisting external shocks, thus protecting progress made since 2007 in the four main economic

and social sectors of the program. Now the government wants to build up on the economic and

social achievements of the first PRSP and embark on programs that will radically change the

country’s economic situation and the people’s mindset thus leading to a 4.9 percent growth rate

in 2012. The rate of growth could increase further to 6 percent, provided the country’s partners

increase their assistance in key energy and infrastructure sectors and security is maintained over

the totality of the country’s territory. Implementation of the second PRSP (which is being

finalized) will put the country on a path of strong and shared growth by giving priority to the

four following strategic objectives: (i) strengthening the rule of law, improving governance and

promoting gender equality; (ii) transforming the country’s economic situation and promoting

sustained growth and employment; (iii) improving access to and the quality of basic services in

support of national solidarity; and (iv) managing space and environment for sustained

development.

3. A food and energy crisis started in 2010 threatens again fiscal equilibrium. Based on the

successful management of the 2008 crisis, the government estimates at 22 billion Burundi francs

the funds required to mitigate the negative impact of the new crisis on the effectiveness of

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structural reforms, overall economic growth and also living conditions in rural areas which

include 90 percent of the country’s population. To avoid compromising the success of programs

initiated in 2009 to restore fiscal equilibrium, government efforts need to be massively supported

to fight adequately the negative impact of the crisis, which is already visible notably on the

external position of the country.34

Despite a massive increase in the financing gap created by these two exogenous shocks, the

government remains determined to consolidate results already achieved with a view to: (i)

promoting transparency in public finance management; (ii) improving the business climate and

promoting private sector development; and (iii) stabilizing the safety net programs initiated

during the 2007 crisis, and reducing taxes on food and fuel used and consumed by the poorest

households.

4. The government recognizes that engineering medium-term economic growth is a major

challenge. Despite progress achieved in implementing the first PRSP, many challenges remain

and much more needs to be done. The second PRSP identifies four main challenges: (i)

intensifying cultivation systems, (i) efficient public spending, (iii) private sector development

and (iv) energy.

(i) Intensifying cultivation systems

More intensive cultivation systems are essential to ensure food security, despite high population

growth rates, and reduce poverty in rural areas. The growth of food crop production since 2006

was very modest. The challenge for the future is to diversify output, to promote the development

of high quality products, to give a new impetus to agricultural research and extension services, to

promote the use of agricultural inputs, to improve irrigation systems and to allocate more

resources to the agricultural sector.

(ii) Efficient public spending

Public spending, which accounted for 45 percent of GDP in 2010, has been unable to stimulate

economic activity and reduce monetary poverty. The low share of capital expenditures, the high

priority accorded to security and social sector services, inefficient public finance management

and unpredictability of donor funding contributed to the poor performance of public spending.

Public spending will stimulate economic growth and reduce poverty provided public

expenditures planning, execution, monitoring and evaluation is strengthened, in cooperation with

donors. Achieving this objective will require efficient planning instruments (sector strategies,

MTEFs, logical framework), and a reliable statistical system.

(iii) Private sector development

Burundi’s economic performance, which so far largely relied on public sector spending and

activity, now needs a strong and dynamic private sector, capable of stimulating sustained growth.

Private sector development will depend on substantial improvements in the business climate.

34

The most obvious consequences of the crisis are: a) increased cost of petroleum imports and higher food prices; b)

slower economic growth; and c) increased public expenditures, notably pro-poor public spending.

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This means removing a number of constraints including the lack of infrastructure, inadequate

access to financing, rigid regulations, cumbersome procedures and the lack of advisory and

support services.

(iv) Energy

Inadequate energy supply and an electric power generation system which does not meet the

demand and is highly unreliable are major constraints that slow down foreign investment,

industrial development and the growth of the service sector. Increased and improved energy

production is essential for the success of the second PRSP. To that end the country needs to

mobilize huge financial resources from the government, donors and private investors.

5. A massive, well coordinated inflow of donor assistance is necessary to improve the

efficiency of the government program. Burundi will need an adequate policy framework which

will serve as a reference for future donor programs. The new aid policies that will be adopted

within the next few weeks have already been approved by the country’s technical and financial

partners. They are contributing to the elaboration of the second PRSP through their participation

in technical workshops and sector groups in the context of the Partners Coordination Group. The

present development policy letter, which describes the reform program for which IDA assistance

is requested, is in line with the agreed policy framework. It also identifies performance indicators

that will facilitate an evaluation of the program’s implementation. To make the process more

efficient, the government involved all the actors in the design of reform measures whose

implementation will be systematically reported.

II. Recent developments and policy reform program

6. Despite the negative impact of recent crises, the country’s economic performance will not

change significantly over the next few years. The rate of growth of GDP reached 4.2 percent in

2006-2009. This is less than the 7 percent objective of the first PRSP, which would have enabled

the country to reach some of its MDG goals. However, Burundi’s economy should recover since

it has become more capable of absorbing the shocks that affected the country’s performance over

the past few years. The rate of growth of GDP was 4.5 percent in 2008 despite severe food and

energy crises. In 2009, the delayed impact of 2008 developments and the new world economic

and financial crisis led to a decline in the GDP growth rate to 3.5 percent. However, the

combined impact of structural reforms in support of private sector development, the operation of

Burundi’s Revenue Authority and budget support provided by donors led to a 3.8 percent growth

rate in 2010. The government is confident that it will be able to keep the momentum and increase

economic growth to 4.2 percent in 2011 and at least 4.9 percent in 2012.

7. To achieve that ambitious objective, the government will take advantage of all available

economic opportunities. In this context, a strong and sustainable economic growth rate, capable

of reducing poverty, will require persistent efforts to address the challenges that have been

identified in sectoral strategies and are clearly articulated in the second PRSP (under

preparation). In the context of the preceding series of ERSGs, and with the support of other

donors, notably the European Union and a number of bilateral donors, the government launched

important reforms that paved the ground for: (i) significant improvements in the business

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climate, governance and financial transparency; (ii) innovations and massive investment in high

growth sectors and human resource development; (iii) improvements in economic infrastructure,

notably energy; and (iv) increased agricultural production and productivity, and job creation

through economic diversification and improved access to markets. The same policy framework

will continue to dominate the selection of concrete measures that will help achieve the objectives

described in paragraph 1.

8. The government recognizes that stimulating growth will require vigorous efforts to

promote the development of industry and services. The agricultural sector, which accounts for

about 46 percent of GDP, will continue to play a major role in the growth of industry (an average

of 17 percent of GDP in 2004-2009) and the service sector (an average of 37 percent of GDP),

notably trade and other commercial services. The dominant role of agricultural production is due

to the strong contribution of the sector to export earnings (more than 60 percent in 2006-2009)

and to the fact that agriculture employs more than 90 percent of the country’s labor force. To

trigger economic changes capable of creating jobs, and generating income and tax revenue, it is

essential to promote aggressively the industrial and service sectors, thus increasing their share of

GDP, and to expand private sector activity. The government – in cooperation with its partners –

has organized its 2011 reform program around two major strategic objectives: (1) improving the

business climate and promoting private sector development; and (2) improving the transparency

of its public finance management. To ensure timely implementation of its reform program, the

government will initiate measures aimed at mitigating the impact of the ongoing food and energy

crisis, whose cost will be financed by donors.

9. The government will intensify measures aimed at making the private sector the main

engine of economic growth and social development. In 2010, the government allocated more

public resources to the agricultural sector in order to increase productivity and improve food

security. New investments in agriculture were implemented to mitigate the impact of cyclical

fluctuations (notably in the coffee sector), climate change, varietal degradation, and lack of high

quality seeds and other inputs. In addition, the government signaled its intention to improve the

country’s ranking in the Doing Business Indicator for 2012. Thanks to the creation of an ad hoc

Decision Committee, significant progress has been achieved in terms of reduction in the time

required to obtain construction permits, execute property transfers and create new enterprises.

Improving the financial viability of REGIDESO, launching the second phase of the sale of coffee

washing stations, and restructuring public enterprises also are among the priority measures that

the government will implement in the context of the ERSG IV and V programmatic series. In

each of these areas progress has already been made in terms of enlisting more than 25 percent of

REGIDESO customers in pre-payment mechanisms, evaluating the first phase of the sale of

washing stations, and approval by the Council of Ministers and submission to the Parliament of a

revised bill on the privatization of public enterprises.

10. Restoring peace and security also is an area in which progress was made in 2010. An

important result is the conversion of the last rebel movement into a political party. The 2010

electoral process – that re-elected President Pierre Nkurunziza – consolidated the democratic rule

as the only acceptable method to settle political and social disputes. Despite the cost of these

elections – supported by the country’s partners – the government continued to implement its

reform program and was able to control inflationary pressures linked with a variety of electoral

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promises. To consolidate the political reconstruction process, which is essential to promote

strong and sustainable economic growth, the government, in 2011, created a Forum of political

parties aimed at stimulating a continuous dialogue on issues related to the population’s welfare.

Other useful measures were also taken in 2011 to stabilize the political situation, including the

creation of national institutions aimed at protecting human rights and the introduction of a

―transitional justice system‖. February 11, 2011 was the date at which the Ombudsman officially

started its activity (the law creating the position of Ombudsman and defining his role was

promulgated on January 25, 2010). In brief, the government plans to pursue ongoing efforts to

support the democratic process, improve governance and promote an effective economic and

social dialogue.

11. In this peaceful environment, Burundi was able to reduce the rate of inflation below 10

percent (6.4 percent in 2010).35

Higher petroleum prices should increase the price of imports

through its impact on transport costs. The combined effect of higher cost of imports and

measures taken by the government (to contain the growth of money supply, increase food

production and improve its marketing and distribution) should lead to an 8.4 percent increase in

prices paid by Burundian households (from 2008 to 2010). The rate of inflation that reached 26

percent in 2008, declined to 4.6 percent in 2009 and 6.5 percent in 2010. However, the increase

in the price of petroleum and energy should lead to an increase in the rate of inflation to 10.4

percent in 2011. The government is determined to keep the rate of inflation below 10 percent

through the use of appropriate instruments and implementation of policies designed in agreement

with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) within the framework of the Extended Credit

Facility. To monitor progress towards that objective, the government will use the consumer price

index, which ISTEEBU calculates on the basis of a basket of consumer goods sold on

Bujumbura’s central market. Conscious that the CPI index is inadequate, the government will

make additional efforts to mobilize help from its partners in order to carry out a household

consumption survey in 2012 to update the basket of goods used by ISTEEBU.

12. Since 2009, the budget deficit (on cash basis) declined to 4.3 percent of GDP in 2010 and

has been kept at a level close to the government target. The decline in the deficit is due to

good public expenditure management – which gives priority to more efficient pro-poor

expenditures – to the operation of Burundi’s Revenue Authority (at 19.8 percent of GDP, its

revenue surpassed 2010 forecasts), to improved coordination of budget and monetary policies

(through periodic preparation of cash management plans consistent with commitment plans), and

through more rational government accounting (closure of last off-budget accounts by the end of

December 2010). In addition, the government keeps increasing poverty alleviation expenditures,

in line with PRSP and MDG objectives. Pro-poor expenditures should have gone up from 12.3

percent of GDP in 2009 to more than 14 percent in 2010. Considering the size of additional

resources (about Fbu 22 billion) that should be mobilized to fight the energy and food crisis, the

government will look for additional savings and increased efficiency by freezing recruitment,

remunerating health personnel on a contractual basis (to improve the quality of health services),

reducing to virtually zero the fleet of government vehicles, and rationalizing the use of defense

and security personnel, to create budget and fiscal space.

35

This is the average monthly rate of increase of consumer prices from 2009 to 2010.

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13. The most recent IMF review concluded that the 2011 budget was in line with agreed

macroeconomic objectives. The macroeconomic framework has been revised to take into

account the impact of the food and energy crisis on public expenditures and on Burundi’s public

finance and external position. To accelerate progress towards the MDGs, the government further

improved the structure of public expenditures, including an increase by Fbu 15 billion in pro-

poor expenditures, and reduced substantially taxes on kerosene and gasoil. These measures will

cushion the negative impact of the crisis on poor households. Growth-oriented public spending

has not been affected. Additional funds have been allocated to agriculture (modern and other

irrigation schemes, distribution of cattle, and supply of quality seeds) and energy (a 10.4 MW

hydroelectric plant). In addition, the country’s external position should improve thanks to export

liberalization and diversification measures. In 2011, the government will privatize the 104

remaining coffee washing stations and this should generate additional export receipts before the

end of 2011. However, higher prices of food and energy will increase the cost of imports, thus

reducing the expected improvement in the external position. Expanding the coffee sector

privatization process will induce new investments including the rehabilitation of existing

plantations which will gradually stop the decline and the cyclical variations in coffee output. The

government will continue to support the coffee and tea sectors as follows: (i) support to producer

associations; (ii) investments in irrigation and agricultural inputs; and (iii) improving the

privatization law in line with the best international practices.

14. The safety net will be maintained despite financial constraints resulting from the

international crisis. Since 2008, the government took a number of measures aimed at helping

the most vulnerable groups and protecting them against the negative impact of recent crises. In

addition to temporary, well- targeted tariff reductions on imports of food and petroleum products

consumed by poor households, social safety net measures have been adopted (food supplements,

emergency food security assistance, school feeding programs, distribution of kits to farmers,

micro-credits for rural population, assistance to refugees and displaced persons, etc.). To increase

agricultural production, the government distributed seeds and fertilizers to farmers, initiated the

rehabilitation of the Imbo plain irrigation system, and rehabilitated basic infrastructure facilities.

To help the poor, the government will continue to implement these programs over the next few

years.

III. Main Achievements of ERSG II, III and IV

15. The reforms undertaken by the government show its determination to achieve the

development objectives of the PRSP. The reform program is structured around the following

objectives: (i) strengthening the macroeconomic stabilization process; (ii) structural reforms

aimed at improving public finance management and monetary and exchange rate policies; and

(iii) increasing efficiency and productivity notably through privatization of public enterprises and

restructuring of the export sector (coffee, tea and cotton). In each of these areas, the ERSG series

– together with programs supported by other donors – led to significant progress that should be

highlighted.

16. Implementation of overall public finance management reforms produced substantial

results. The Parliament adopted a new Organic Public Finance Law and a new Public

Procurement Code. These two laws integrate modern public finance management systems and

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define clearly concepts, principles and responsibilities applicable to government agents. A decree

regulating the budget preparation process has been issued and is in force. To improve the quality

of public expenditures, a Public Expenditure Tracking Survey (PETS) was carried out in 2007

and led to the definition of action plans in 2009. Introducing the central MTEF system in the

budget preparation process ensures the coherence of budget plans with PRSP objectives. Off-

budget accounts have been closed and commitment ceilings have been defined (in cooperation

with sector ministries) to eliminate arrears and unify cash accounting. In addition to reforms

initiated in the context of the first ERSG series, a law creating the added value tax was

promulgated on February 17, 2009 and all indirect tax exemptions have been eliminated (a

provision included in the new tax code). The government completed a census of civil service

staff, including police and defense personnel. The data base established in this context will soon

be updated thus allowing for the distribution of digital ID cards to all the civil servants. Payroll

software has been interfaced with SIGEFI. In May 2008 the Council of Ministers adopted a

Public Finance Management Strategy. Its implementation until 2012 is monitored through

quarterly reports validated by the Steering Committee for Public Finance reforms. A draft decree

regulating budget management has been approved by the Council of Ministers. A new budget

and accounting classification consistent with the State Accounting Plan of 2008 has been

adopted under Ministerial ordnance 540/1210 of August 10, 2010. A convention between the

government and the central bank that clarifies the functions of the BRB as the government

cashier was signed in February 2010. A draft presidential decree on budget governance is being

prepared with the help of an IMF expert. It will address a variety of budget issues, including

implementation of the principle of legality of revenue and expenditures, the definition of

economic and budget policy objectives (macroeconomic framework, budget policies consistent

with macroeconomic objectives, implementation of EAC convergence criteria, debt

sustainability, MTEFs and program-budgets). The decree will also address rules governing

Budget Laws, notably their structure and ways and means of improving government and

Parliament budget procedures. The 19 programs included in the Public Finance Management

Strategy are effectively implemented with the help of multi-sector technical groups and the

Partnership Framework Support Unit.

17. Implementation of measures aimed at stimulating private sector activity has also made

significant progress. A new Investment Code in line with the best international practices was

promulgated in September 2008. It should help improve the business climate, when the

provisions of the Investment and Tax Codes have been harmonized. The Council of Ministers

adopted a draft Commerce Code and a draft Code on public and private companies that are

consistent with international norms and were prepared on the basis of a participative process. A

decree creating the Public/Private Dialogue Framework was signed by the President in June 2008

and the Tribunal of Commerce reduced by more than 10 percent the number of cases that have

not been adjudicated within 60 days. The Investment Promotion Agency has been operating

since 2010. The financial sector reform has progressed with the adoption of a financial sector

reform strategy. The Parliament has adopted new statutes for the central bank, which strengthen

the Bank’s independence and governance. The central bank also adopted important measures

aimed at improving its internal control mechanisms and risk management systems in line with

the recommendations of the IMF report on financial safeguards. All these actions increase the

effectiveness of measures supported by the ERSG series.

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18. Significant progress has also been made towards reforming the coffee sector. In 2008,

the adoption by the Council of Ministers of a coffee sector disengagement strategy was followed

by a presidential decree creating the Coffee Sector Regulation Agency and launching the

privatization process. Earlier, the government had adopted new regulations opening coffee

exports to local and international operators. Implementation of the new regulations induced new

operators to enter a market that was becoming more transparent and more competitive. In

addition to the creation of the regulation agency, ERSG III supported: (i) national

communication campaigns aimed at showing the merits of the coffee sector privatization

process; (ii) the international bidding procedure for the sale of government assets in the coffee

sector; and (iii) cancellation of the convention between SOGESTALs and OCIBU. The result of

the procedure was the sale of 13 washing stations to a reputable international group.

IV. The ERSG V challenges

19. Implementation of ERSG V coincides with the preparation of the second PRSP, which

is making progress. The second PRSP has selected strategic priorities that will deepen and

supplement programs and activities aimed at achieving the goals of the first PRSP. Preparation

of the second PRSP has reached an important stage, when government partners and the civil

society review the relevance and feasibility of sector programs proposed in the priority action

plan.

20. The ERSG V is in line with the government program and will complete the reforms

launched during the previous ERSGs. Creating a synergy is one of the criteria that will inspire

the selection of the ERSG V prior actions. The first PRSP provides the reference for the policy

framework which ERSG V will support. Three main operational priorities – consistent with the

government program – will emerge: (i) transparent and efficient management of public finances;

(ii) improving the business climate and stimulating private sector development; and (iii)

promoting sectors with high growth potential and diversifying exports (in agriculture and

mining).

V. The Prior Actions of ERSG V

V.1. Transparent Public Finance Management Systems

21.In this area three measures are particularly relevant: (i) expanding and deepening ongoing

reforms aimed at introducing the MTEF and commitment plan processes in budget preparation;

(ii) signing a presidential decree for overall budget regulation; and (iii) publishing the budget law

for 2011.

22. Adoption of the framework letter (lettre de cadrage) for the 2012 budget. Thanks to a

gradual extension of the MTEF process, a central MTEF for 2012-2014 will be used to help

prepare the lettre de cadrage for the 2012 budget. Completing the central MTEF process and

extending sector MTEFs to more sectors will enable the government to use systematically these

instruments in planning public expenditures. A 2012-2014 Central MTEF was used to prepare

the lettre de cadrage for the 2012 budget law and for determining commitment ceilings for

ministries and other institutions.

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23. Signing of presidential decree on Overall Budget Management Regulation. The Organic

Public Finance Law, which is the ―financial constitution‖ of Burundi and was promulgated in

December 2008, provides for the adoption of a number of implementation documents. The

Overall Budget Management Regulation, which provides a detailed definition of its principles, is

the main implementation document for the Organic Law. It is applicable to the budget of the

government and of other government institutions. The draft decree has been analyzed and

approved by the Council of Ministers and will soon be signed by the President for effective

implementation. A decree on budget governance, an ordinance on commitment controllers

(contrôleurs des dépenses engagées) and an ordinance on government agencies are also under

preparation.

24. Publication of the 2011 budget law. The 2011 budget law – prepared on the basis of the

MTEF – was approved in December 2010 and, for more transparency, was published on the web

site of the Ministry of Finance and Economic Development Planning (www.finances.gov.bi).

Budget execution reports for the first and second quarters have also been published on the same

web site.

V.2. Improving the business climate and promoting private sector development

25. Five measures have been taken to that end: (i) revision of electricity tariffs; (ii) an action

plan for restructuring and/or privatizing public enterprises; (iii) Appointment of a Commission

by Ministerial Ordinance to prepare the launching the bidding procedure for the privatization of

the coffee washing stations that remain in the public sector; (iv) adoption of a draft law on the

creation of pre-cooperative movements; and (v) mitigating the impact of the crisis on the poorest

groups.

26. The revision of electricity tariffs follows a vast campaign for the installation of pre-

payment meters. A reform aimed at improving the technical performance of REGIDESO and

restoring its financial viability, provided for a study of electricity tariffs combined with an

analysis of the impact of the tariff reform on the poor. The study served as a basis for revising

the level and the structure of electricity tariff. A national campaign is necessary to mobilize the

support of the population and the civil society.

27. Adopting an action plan for restructuring or privatizing public enterprises. Audits of

eight public enterprises have been published and served as a basis for preparing an action plan

and timetable for restructuring/privatizing these enterprises. The action plan and the timetable,

together with the rationale for the measure (exposé des motifs), will be approved by the Council

of Ministers. The government will launch a communication strategy aimed at explaining the

merits of the program.

28. Appointment by Ministerial Ordinance of a Commission in charge of preparing the

launching the bidding procedure for the coffee washing stations that remain in the public

sector. Thanks to the purchase of 13 washing stations by a reputable international group and the

gradual restoration of a more favorable business climate, the government hopes that most of the

washing stations that remain in the public sector will be viewed as attractive by private investors.

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Consequently, the government plans to launch again the bidding procedure. The Inter-ministerial

Privatization Committee will be responsible for launching the bidding procedure for the 104

stations in the public sector. Bidding documents must be revised taking into account the lessons

of the first phase and of the new communication campaign. An important theme of the campaign

will be explanations about the part réservataire (shares of the washing stations reserved for

producers’ associations).

29. A draft law on pre-cooperatives. The agricultural sector employs 90 percent of the

Burundian population and 97 percent of the poor live in rural areas. The government, therefore,

gives a high priority to the development of that sector, i.e. not only coffee and other export crops,

but also expansion and diversification of food crops and improved productivity. The government

believes that producers’ associations can play a crucial role in this area. It plans to take

appropriate measures to promote and guide these associations. One of these measures is the

definition of the legal framework within which cooperatives will operate. The Council of

Ministers will adopt a draft law on the statutes and operations of the cooperatives.

30. Mitigating the impact of the crisis on the poor. Because of the combined impact of the

food and energy crisis, the government took a number of short-term relief measures for the

poorest people: tax exemption for kerosene and gasoil used by trucks to transport food crops.

The cost of the measure (in terms of lost revenue) is estimated at more than 8 billion. The

government also continued to support school feeding programs in partnership with WFP and to

distribute food to the poor through the Ministry responsible for National Solidarity.

VI. Conclusion

31. These are some of the measures that will dominate the government program during 2011.

This program was discussed with World Bank staff and will be closely monitored by the

government. To strengthen its cooperation with the World Bank and facilitate exchange of views

between the parties, the government will provide, on a timely basis, the following information:

2010 budget execution tables (administrative and economic classification) on a quarterly

basis.

A table comparing budget execution of priority sectors (health, education, agriculture,

infrastructure, and social protection) and pro-poor expenditures (based on the revised

2008 methodology) also on a quarterly basis.

The total of payments made outside prior commitment (paiements sans ordonnancement

préalables) in 2009, 2010 and 2011, every quarter.

The total of payments on off-budget accounts (except the National Road Fund) in 2009,

2010 and 2011.

During program execution, a table indicating: a) average, maximal and minimum time

elapsed between: (i) legal commitment; (ii) accounting commitment; (iii) reception of

bills; (iv) liquidation; (v) payment order; and (vi) payment by the Ministry; and b) total

amount of arrears by Ministry (any bill that has not been paid within 60 days following

the due date), every quarter.

An estimate of government arrears on payments to REGIDESO every quarter.

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Annex 6: Burundi ERSG V – Targeting Performance of Electricity Subsidies in Burundi

Rationale for and against Residential Electricity Consumption Subsidies

In a Sub-Saharan African context, it is tempting to subsidize electricity services. As the

population is overwhelmingly poor (68 percent), the need to make service affordable appears to

be paramount. Electricity is more and more considered as a basic necessity, it has important

benefits for education and health outcomes, and it contributes to productivity and thereby

economic growth. Yet for many households the cost of a standard electricity bill is high since

electricity often represents from three to five percent of the total consumption of households

connected to the network, and sometimes more. Since in many cases sixty percent of a

household’s budget must be devoted to food to cover nutritional needs, this makes it difficult for

households connected to the grid to pay for electricity without sacrificing other basic necessities.

The desire to make electricity affordable combined to high levels of poverty has led many

governments and regulatory agencies to maintain tariffs at an artificially low level. The tariffs

have often not followed the general increase in the cost of living, nor have they factored in the

recent increases in oil prices. As a result, most utilities are not able today to properly maintain

their network, yet alone expending it. At the same time, increasing tariffs is politically difficult

for governments and regulatory agencies. First, such increases in tariffs would be highly visible

for electricity customers who will feel it right away (especially as bills are paid only once a

month, for relatively large amounts for the poor), while they may not know much about the cost

structures of their utilities and the need for such tariffs increases. In addition, such increases in

tariffs affect urban populations disproportionately, but these are the populations that (at least in

some countries) are likely to be more vocal in their opposition to such increases.

While the temptation is high to keep subsidizing electricity tariffs for residential customers (as

well as in some cases for commercial and industrial customers, but for other reasons), the cost of

doing this is high for the budget, the economy, and the population, and actually especially the

poor. The cost of generating, transmitting and delivering electricity is often high, in part because

the populations served by the electricity network are small in many countries in West and

Central Africa. This may prevent to some extent the utilities to reap the full benefit of

economies of scale. In addition, many countries are landlocked, with high transportation costs,

and limited hydroelectric power, which also contributes to high generation costs due to the need

to rely on thermal power. Thus, due in part to high and increasing generation costs, subsidies

that may appear to be limited at the household level tend to be very expensive at the

macroeconomic level, especially when compared to the limited resources available to

governments through taxation and foreign aid. Under strict budget constraints, subsidizing

electricity has a direct cost in terms of crowding out today or in the future (through the

accumulation of debt for the utilities but guaranteed by governments) resources for public

interventions aimed at poverty reduction, for example through programs for employment

creation or improvements in education and health service provision.

In addition, there is one additional perverse incentive that derives from the inability of utilities to

cover their costs due to low tariffs. When utilities are operating at a loss, or at least cannot

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properly fund their maintenance and investment costs, they have no incentives to expand the

network, since expanding the network would imply increasing their losses. At the margin, new

customers may be poorer than existing customers, thereby increasing the cost of delivery and

also increasing the risk of non-payment. Furthermore, when investments are not sufficient,

expanding the network to new customers is also problematic because of the limited generation

capacity installed, which translates into service disruptions. Finally, adding consumption

through an expansion of the network often tends to further increases the average cost of

generating electricity, since at the margin, even when countries have access to cheap

hydroelectric power, the additional demand must be met through more costly fuel generation.

The upshot of the above is that many utilities are trapped in a vicious circle. For the poor, the

benefits of network extension are much larger than the benefits from the subsidization of

electricity consumption. At the same time, without enough revenues to cover their operating and

maintenance costs fully, utilities cannot seriously think about network expansions, as this might

exacerbate their losses. In addition, poor quality of service, which is in part the consequence of

a lack of revenues, limits the willingness of customers to pay a higher price for a service that is

considered by them as deficient, due for example to repeated cuts. As to regulatory agencies and

governments, given also price increases for oil and thereby for the cost of generating power, they

are under pressures to reduce existing subsidies, especially in the context of their broader

commitment to implement poverty reduction strategies, but the fear of a backlash makes such a

reduction in subsidies difficult to implement. All parties are then trapped into a situation that

does not benefit them. In order to move forward, it is necessary to assess whether electricity

subsidies are indeed a good option for reaching the poor in comparison with alternatives.

Targeting Performance of Electricity Subsidies in Burundi

The 2006 QUIBB (Questionnaire des Indicateurs de Base du Bien-être) survey enables us to

measure the targeting performance of electricity subsidies in Burundi, and to compare this

performance to that of other social programs and public expenditures categories. We use that survey

because it is the latest nationally representative household survey available in Burundi with detailed

information on consumption, including for electricity. Two indicators are used for the analysis of

targeting performance. The first parameter, omega (Ω), is equal to the share of the subsidies

allocated to the poor divided by the proportion of the poor in the total population. A value of 1

for this indicator suggests that targeting is neutral. A value greater (less) than 1 implies that, on

average, the poor receive more (fewer) subsidies that the population as a whole. The second

parameter, gamma (), is the share of subsidies received by the poor. Note that this share

depends on the poverty incidence since a smaller share of the poor in the population normally

leads to a smaller share of subsidies they receive. In order to assess who benefits from existing

electricity subsidies, we used the data from the survey as well as the (inverted block) tariff

structure for Burundi’s REGIDESO at the time of the implementation of the survey.

Table 1 gives the values of and not only for residential electricity subsidies, but also for a

range of other subsidies and programs, including water subsidies, food transfers, and public

spending for education and health. The poor are defined as those who cannot satisfy their basic

needs, and they account for about two thirds of the population. Of all the programs considered in

table 1, electricity subsidies are the least well targeted to the poor. The value of suggests that

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only six percent of the subsidies benefit the poor, and the value of 0.10 for implies that on

average, a randomly chosen household among the population as a whole would benefit from an

electricity subsidy ten times larger than what would be received by a randomly chosen household

among the poor. The performance of electricity subsidies in reaching the extreme poor (defined

as those who cannot satisfy their basic food needs) is even weaker – with only three percent of

the subsidies reaching the extreme poor. Many other programs or categories of public spending

also have relatively weak targeting performance, including especially subsidies for piped water,

but none of the programs is as poorly targeted to the poor as electricity subsidies.

Table 1: Performance of Electricity Subsidies and other public transfers, CWIQ 2006

Poverty Extreme poverty

Utility subsidies

Electricity subsidies 0.10 0.06 0.06 0.03

Water subsidies 0.15 0.09 0.12 0.05

Food transfers

Private transfers 0.82 0.56 0.75 0.37

World Food Program transfers 0.89 0.60 0.84 0.41

Public spending for education

All cycles 1.08 0.72 0.77 0.51

Primary 1.10 0.73 0.79 0.53

Secondary 0.79 0.53 0.52 0.35

Higher 0.49 0.32 0.13 0.09

Public spending for health

All consultations 0.89 0.60 0.60 0.40

Public hospital 0.81 0.54 0.54 0.36

Public dispensary 0.91 0.61 0.62 0.41

Source: World Bank staff estimation using the CWIQ survey 2006.

Why are electricity subsidies so poorly targeted to the poor? A big part of the explanation lies in

the fact that according to the national survey, connection rates to the network are extremely small

(three percent at the national level), and concentrated among households located in the top

deciles of the distribution of consumption per capita, as shown in table 2. This also means that

an increase in tariffs for electricity, although costly for households currently connected to the

network – but warranted given the cost of providing the service, would have a very small impact

on poverty. In a situation such as that of Burundi, one could even possibly argue that to the

extent that an increase in electricity tariffs for households already connected to the network

would make it feasible for the REGIDESO to extend connections to a large segment of the

population, the increase in tariffs could potentially benefit the poor through a larger pool among

them benefitting from the service. Now, the fact that an increase in average residential tariffs is

necessary and could potentially benefit the poor by making resources available for a network

expansion (or for other social programs that better reach the poor) does not mean that efforts to

make electricity affordable to the minority of households connected to the grid that are indeed

poor should be abandoned. It remains beneficial to keep a social tranche in the inverted block

tariff structure to provide electricity at a lower unit price for those consumers who consume the

least quantity of electricity and indeed tend to be poorer than the average residential consumer.

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Table 2: Performance of Electricity Subsidies and other public transfers, CWIQ 2006

Decile of

consumption

Access to electricity at the

neighborhood/village level

(1)

Take up rate where

households have access

(2)

Connection rate to the

electricity network

(3)=(1)*(2)

1 3.7 9.7 0.4

2 4.1 10.6 0.4

3 6.7 8.1 0.5

4 5.1 9.5 0.5

5 7.0 4.9 0.3

6 7.7 13.0 1.0

7 7.5 30.2 2.3

8 9.3 21.0 2.0

9 13.5 26.5 3.6

10 29.1 67.0 19.5

Total 9.4 32.5 3.0

Source: World Bank staff estimation using the CWIQ survey 2006.

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Annex 7: Burundi ERSG V - Prospects for Achieving the MDGs by 2015

Goal 1: Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger

Unlikely. The internationally agreed baseline year of 1990 for the MDGs coincides with the beginning of a decade

of political turmoil and civil war during which GDP fell by almost 20 percent. The national poverty headcount

increased from 36 in 1990 to 81 percent in 1998. However, according to a 2006 household survey, about 67 percent

of the population still lives below the national poverty line (the MDG target is 18 percent).

Meeting the hunger target is unlikely. Malnutrition rates were very high even before the crisis, and in 2000 Burundi

had the highest under-five malnutrition rates in Africa with 57 percent. However, according to national nutrition

surveys, malnutrition rates decreased to 53 percent in 2005 and 46 percent in 2007 (the MDG target is 23 percent).

Goal 2: Achieve universal primary education

Likely. Burundi will potentially meet the target for ensuring that all boys and girls complete a full course of primary

schooling. Since free universal primary education was introduced in September 2005, gross enrollment reached

close to 100 percent. But completion rates remain low at only 37 percent.

Goal 3: Promote gender equality and empower women

Likely. The target on gender equality in primary education will very likely be met with the ratio of girls to boys

estimated at 0.8 in 2000, 0.9 in 2005, and 0.95 in 2008. The target on women participation in parliament has been

met. However, women’s lack of control over resources will remain a key challenge.

Goal 4: Reduce child mortality

Highly unlikely. Child and infant mortality rates remain high at 190 and 114 (per 1,000 live births) but show

improvements from their 2000 peak rates of 291 and 156, respectively. Communicable diseases, such as malaria,

diarrhea, respiratory infections, and the compounding effect of malnutrition are the major causes of mortality and

morbidity especially among children.

Goal 5: Improve maternal health

Highly unlikely. Maternal mortality remains very high at 1,000 (per 100,000 live births). At the same time, the

proportion of births attended to by skilled health personnel is only 31 percent, well below the MDG goal of 100

percent. The key challenges to enhance utilization of health services are: (i) cost to households; and (ii) lack of

trained people.

Goal 6: Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases

Likely. Burundi will potentially meet the HIV/AIDS target. Overall HIV prevalence of 2.9 percent is low. However,

Burundi’s rate of 12 percent HIV affections among pregnant women is quite high compared with neighboring

countries (Rwanda 9.8 percent, Uganda 8.5 percent, and Tanzania 7.5 percent).

Goal 7: Ensure environmental sustainability

Unlikely. About 71 percent of the population has access to improved water resources. Among these, 75 percent live

in urban areas and only 45 percent in rural areas.

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Annex 8: Burundi ERSG V - IMF Staff’s Assessment of Recent Economic Performance

INIf-PNAT IONAL MONETARY FUND ,~­RHAnON5 QEAA.Q1 M'Nl

Pr= ~Ie= NO.I] / 280

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE July 13, W] 1

Inte maliooal Monetary Fund Wash ir.gton, D.C. 20431 USA

H U Encutin Bond COlDp l~t~, Sixth Revi~w UndH t h ~ ECf Art'au~~ID~I1I rm· But' undi aud AI'pt'on" US$ I O.5 :\ Iilliou Di,b"t'S~ID~I1I

1k Bt~Ti, .. Bo:ard of tbr InlrmaTiooal Moottary Fund (Thlf) l00.y comp]tlW Ibr sixth my", of Burundi 's ttooomic program supponw by the Btten<led C....tit Facitity (EO) 1k approval will mabl~ 3D immtdi.11~ di~t in an 3DlOIIII.l tqUi'"3.lmt to SDR 6.6millioo (about US$10.5 millioo) , bringing 100al di,buJ=nrnts UD<kr tbt ~ to an :nnoont ~qw\'alenllo SDR 46.2 millioo (about US$73.2 million).

In rornpltling tbt R\~~'\'i . tbt Board apprO\,"" 3D :rugmentlTion of x«ss by 3D :arnowIt

N[Ui\"alenl to SDR 5.0 millioo 10 mitig:lt~ lbr irnp.lCl oftbt fuod and fuel crisis 00 tbt bal3DC~ of p")menlS. and 3D aten>ion of tbt EO an-.ngen>enl to end-January 2012. Burundi's EO .~ was appr",,",, 00 July 7. 2008 by the Bt~Ti, .. Bo:ard (Stt Prr>s Rtle;l,e No (81167).

Following tbt Btttuti, .. Board's disru<OOn. !>Ir. N30yuki Shinohar:i. Dtputy Man:oging Dir«lor and Acting Chair . .>ai<l:

'"p.rnmnance UD<kr tbt ECF-supponw program has been >3ti,bcTory. and Burundi's ttooomic outlook is broa<lly posiTiv". 1k most imminenl policy challeng~ is to presen .. macrottooomic stability while rusbioning the irnp.lct of rising rommodity pri~.

'1M rni=! 2011 program "PP'opoiat~ly addfe;se; priority ooc:i.>lllffils in tbt ronlat of ~ fi",al coosoli<l:uioo. Hown·ft. the fuel subsidy .honld bt btnft targeted 10 the most ".lner.Ibl~ groups. O\~ tbr medium lnm enh3Dcing m~ mobilization. prioritizing spen&ng. and !dying on grant. and highly ronce;,iooal fm:mcing \\;11 bt key to tbt susl:tinability ofThe fiscal positloo.

"Cohereoc~ of !IlODeTaf)' and fi",al policies is • r~t for effttti, .. macrOttOOOlllic policymaking With tbt r~ttlll fue] and food price incr~ases f~g into OOmestic price;. !llOtItIary policy should bt tighTened to curb price P'=urtS and btnft ancbor infl:llion ""'P«tltions.

10 raise Iong-1t1m gro\\1h. it will bt critical 10 ac""Ier:II~ structur.ll rdhrIlls. panicularty in tbr coffee :rnd financia] stcrors. Impr",ing go,~ will bt import:mt for continued 00n0r support" Mr. Shinoh:n:i added.

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Annex 9: Burundi ERSG V - Policy Matrix: Objectives and Prior Actions (2010-2012)

Medium Term

Objectives

POLICY ACTIONS Target and actual Outcomes Observation Responsible

Entity

ERSG IV Prior Actions and

Effectiveness Condition

(Prior actions are in bold and the effectiveness condition is

underlined)

ERSG V Prior Actions Indicators Baseline

(Year) 2010 2011 2012

1. PUBLIC FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT

Strengthening strategic and budget planning to improve the quality of public spending

1.1. Strengthening

strategic planning and budget

preparation

Ministries of Finance and

Planning jointly develop a

central medium term

expenditure framework for

the period 2011-13,

supported by

macroeconomic forecasts

derived from the

macroeconomic model of the

Ministry of Planning.

The Recipient has adopted a

budget framework for the

preparation of its 2012 budget

law, consistent with its

medium term expenditure

framework for the period

2011-2014 (MTEF),

consequently bringing the

spending thresholds for its

ministries’ budget allocations

in line with the MTEF.

Percent of national

budget that has followed the

MTEF process

A draft of the

central MTEF has been

prepared. The

Ministry of Planning has

pushed the

effort forward, with the

support of sectoral

ministries, but

without that of the Ministry of

Finance.

[1-31 2010]

Target: 0%

Actual: 0%

[8-31-2010]

Target: 50%

Actual: 50%

[5-30-2011]

Target: 100%

Actual: N/A

[5-30-2012]

The preparation

of the budget in 2012 was based

on a budget

framework letter supported by

MTEF process.

This is the first time that this

letter with MTEF was

approved by the

Council of Ministers in line

with the PFM

Loi Organique.

Ministry of

Finance and Economic

Development

Planning

Reinforcing systems for transparent public financing

1.2. Reliable

financial

management information system.

The Recipient has disclosed to

the public its budget law for

2011 and the corresponding

report on the implementation

of said law for the first two

quarters of said year.

Publication of the

national budget

and budget execution reports

Neither budget

laws nor

execution reports are

published on

the website of government.

[12-31-2010]

N/A Target: 2011

budget law

available on the website of

the Ministry

of Finance and

Economic

Development Planning.

Actual: Done. [1-30-2011]

Target: Four quarterly

budget

execution reports for

2011 budget

law are posted on the

Target:

Budget laws

and execution reports are

published on

the government

website.

Actual: N/A

[12-31-2012]

The 2011 budget

law has already

been released on the MFEDP

website.

Three quarterly budget execution

reports are

posted on the said website.

The report for

the last quarter is to be posted in

December.

Ministry of

Finance and

Economic Development

Planning

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Medium Term

Objectives

POLICY ACTIONS Target and actual Outcomes Observation Responsible

Entity

ERSG IV Prior Actions and

Effectiveness Condition

(Prior actions are in bold and the effectiveness condition is

underlined)

ERSG V Prior Actions Indicators Baseline

(Year) 2010 2011 2012

said site.

Actual: 75% Done.

[12-31-2011]

The Recipient has issued a

decree to establish the general

regulations on public budget

management designed to

improve the management of

its budget execution and

public accounting.

Availability and

implementation of

a decree

governing the

general rules for budget

management and controls.

No texts enacts

the

management of

budget

execution and public

accounting along the lines

of the Budget

Framework Law (Loi

Organique)

[12-31-2009]

Target:

Preparation of

a draft decree

Actual: A draft decree

was prepared with support

from IMF

technical assistance.

[12-31-2010]

Target:

Issuance of a

decree

establishing

the rules of public budget

management and controls.

[4/15/2011]

Actual: Done

with delay.

[10/18/2011]

Target: The

management

of budget

execution and

controls are guided by a

Presidential Decree.

Actual: N/A

[1-31-2012]

The decree was

discussed and

adopted by the

Council of

Ministers in April 2011. The

decree was issued on

October 18,

2011.

Ministry of

Finance and

Economic

Development

Planning

1.3. Improved Cash Management and

reduction in interior

payment arrears

Improve the quality of

quarterly commitment plans

through: (i) their compliance

with the annual cash

management plan and (ii)

verification of the

breakdown of engagement

by ministry in consultation

with ministries.

Amount of arrears towards suppliers

as a percent of to

total expenditures

(this will measure

the extent to

which the system is preventing their

accumulation –

defined as invoices that have

not been paid 60

days after their due date).

Peak arrears toward

suppliers

accumulated in

October 2009

to a height of 3

to 4 billion of Fbu (0.4-0.5 %

of annual

expenditures). Arrears were

cleared by the

end of 2009, however.

[10-31- 2009]

Target: Peak arrears

reduced by 50

percent

compared to

2009.

Actual: Peak

arrears were

reduced to zero (i.e.,

100%)

[12-31-2010]

Target: Arrears

reduced to 0.

[12-31-2011]

Actual: No

arrears accumulated.

[10-31-2011]

Target: Arrears

reduced to 0.

Actual: N/A

[12-31-2012]

No arrears accumulated

since December

2010.

Ministry of Finance and

Economic

Development

Planning

Improving the management of the public wage bill

1.4. Improving the

human resource

planning and the management of the

public wage bill.

Introduction/installation of a

new payroll software

interfaced with the country’s

public finance management

information system

(SIGEFI) to improve payroll

management.

Percentage of

civilian wage bill

paid through new management

information

system.

SIGEFI in

place, but does

not include a module for

public wage

bill management.

[12-31- 2009]

Target:

Software for

the management

of the wage

bill is designed and

installed.

Actual:

Software

Target: 100%

of the public

civilian wage bill can be

effectively

managed through

HRMIS-

SIGEFI.

Actual: 100%

Target: 100%

of the public

civilian wage bill can be

effectively

managed through

HRMIS-

SIGEFI.

Actual: N/A

Software is fully

operational since

January 2011 but training will

continue to be

needed for the sustainability of

the tool.

Ministry of

Public

Administration and Labor;

Ministry of

Finance and Economic

Development

Planning, Council of

Ministers.

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80

Medium Term

Objectives

POLICY ACTIONS Target and actual Outcomes Observation Responsible

Entity

ERSG IV Prior Actions and

Effectiveness Condition

(Prior actions are in bold and the effectiveness condition is

underlined)

ERSG V Prior Actions Indicators Baseline

(Year) 2010 2011 2012

available and

installed.

[12-31-2010]

of the civilian

payroll is

managed through the

software

[12-31-2011]

[12-31-2012]

Public wage bill

as a percent of

GDP.

The public

service wage

bill amounted

to about 12.2% of GDP (Based

on the 2010 budget).

[1-31-2010]

Target: The

public service

wage bill

amounts to 12 % of GDP.

Actual: 11.7%

[12-31-2010]

Target: The

public service

wage bill

amounts to 12% of GDP.

[12-31-2011]

Actual: 1.8%

[10-31-2011]

Target: The

public service

wage bill

amounts to 11 percent of

GDP.

Actual: N/A

[12-31-2012]

Ministry of

Public

Administration

and Labor; Ministry of

Finance and Economic

Development

Planning

2. PRIVATE SECTOR DEVELOPMENT

Promoting private investment development through improvements in the legislative framework and economic infrastructure

2.1. Strategy for

promotion of investment

The effective operation of

the Investment Promotion

Agency is ensured through

the allocation of appropriate

personnel, budget and a

work program.

Number of

dossiers registered with API.

100 dossiers

recorded.

[12-31-2009]

Target:

Number of dossiers

registered

with the API in the second

half of 2010 is

30 percent higher than in

the first half.

Actual: 130%

higher.

[12-31-2010]

Target:

Number of dossiers

registered

with the API in 2011 is 15

percent

higher than in 2010.

Actual:

Expected to

meet target.

[12-31-2011]

Target:

Number of dossiers and

amount of

investment registered

with the API

in 2012 is 20 percent

higher than in

2010. Actual: N/A

[12-31-2012]

For the first year

of API existence, number of

investment

requests was increased by

130% during the

second half of 2010 compared

to the first.

API

Average time

required to process a dossier.

Average time

to process a dossier is 4

weeks.

[12-31-2009]

Target: The

average dossier takes

no more than

2 weeks to process.

Actual: Dossiers

make less

than 2 weeks.

[12-31-2010]

Target: The

average dossier takes

no more than

1 week to process.

Actual: N/A Expected to

meet target.

[12-31-2011]

Target: The

average dossier takes

no more than

3 days to process.

Actual: N/A

[12-31-2012]

API

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81

Medium Term

Objectives

POLICY ACTIONS Target and actual Outcomes Observation Responsible

Entity

ERSG IV Prior Actions and

Effectiveness Condition

(Prior actions are in bold and the effectiveness condition is

underlined)

ERSG V Prior Actions Indicators Baseline

(Year) 2010 2011 2012

2.2. Financial

viability of

REGIDESO and improved reliability

of electricity

provision

REGIDESO undertakes

necessary investment to

expand pre-payment

program to cover at least 25

percent of subscribers

(including government

institutions).

Percent of

subscribers

enrolled in prepayment

program.

Prepayment

system

established, but coverage is

18.7%.

[12-31-2007]

Target: More

than 25% of

non industrial subscribers

enrolled in

prepay program.

Actual: 31% of non-

industrial

customers subscribe.

[12-31-2010]

Target: More

than 75% of

non industrial subscribers

are covered

under the prepayment

program.

Actual: 50%

[12-31-2011]

Target:

100%of non

industrial subscribers

are covered

under the prepayment

program.

Actual: N/A

[12-31-2012]

REGIDESO

The Recipient has (i)

completed a water and

electricity tariff study and, on

the basis of the study, (ii) has

revised said tariffs in order to

improve the financial viability

and operational performance

of REGIDESO and (iii) has

launched a campaign to

sensitize the public and make

it aware of the revised tariffs

and the schedule for their

application.

Average

unplanned

interruptions frequency in

Bujumbura

(number/year).

51

interruptions

Source:

Burundi –

Emergency Energy Project

(P122217)

[12-31-2009]

Target: 56

Actual: 56

[12-31-2010]

Target:45

Actual: N/A

[12-31-2011]

Target: 30

Actual: N/A

[12-31-2012]

REGIDESO

Facilitating the restructuring or privatization of public enterprises

2.3. Effective reform

of public enterprises

(PEs).

The Council of Ministers

adopt and submit to

Parliament a new revised privatization law satisfactory

to the Bank, which meets

modern international best

practice.*

The SCEP makes the 8

technical and financial

audits conducted on the PEs

public through the

publication of these audits

on its newly developed

The Recipient’s Council of

Ministers has adopted, on the

basis of technical and

financial audits, a draft action

plan with a timetable for the

privatization and/or

restructuring of eight pre-

identified state-owned

enterprises, so as to

rationalize their operations.

Number of

restructuring/

privatizations begun.

The current

privatization

law includes dispositions

which are

blocking

progress on

privatization.

The new law is in the process

of being

drafted.

[12-31-2009]

Target: Eight

(8) audits are

finalized and published on

the SCEP’s

website.

[12-31-2010]

Actual: Done

and posted in

the website.

Target:

Action plans

and audits for 8 PEs are

publically

available.

Restructuring/

privatization

of at least 3 PEs has

begun.

[12-31-2011]

Actual: Done

and posted in

Target:

Restructuring/

privatization of at least 5

PEs has

begun.

[12-31-2012]

Actual: N/A

The revised code

is still pending in

the Parliament.

SCEP.

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82

Medium Term

Objectives

POLICY ACTIONS Target and actual Outcomes Observation Responsible

Entity

ERSG IV Prior Actions and

Effectiveness Condition

(Prior actions are in bold and the effectiveness condition is

underlined)

ERSG V Prior Actions Indicators Baseline

(Year) 2010 2011 2012

website. 8 audits of PEs

underway.

[08-31-2009]

the website.

Modernization of export sectors

2.4. Private sector led growth in the

coffee, sugar and tea

sectors.

The Recipient has appointed,

by ministerial ordinance, a

commission responsible for

the preparation of the bidding

documents for the sale of 104

state-owned washing stations

in the coffee sector and the

aforementioned commission

has established its work

program with a clear

timetable and deliverables.

The Recipient’s Council of

Ministers has approved and

submitted to the Recipient’s

parliament a draft law on

agricultural Pre-cooperatives

Groups consistent with the

Recipient’s coffee sector

privatization strategy.

Number of coffee washing stations

sold.

Thirteen (13) coffee washing

stations were

successfully sold in the first

round of

bidding.

[12-31-2009]

N/A The measure

was

postponed due to elections.

Target: At least 30

washing

stations are sold to private

investors.

[12-31-2011]

Actual: 0

A number of washing

stations is

expected to be sold during

the second

phase of bidding

process.

[10-31-2011]

Target: The majority (at

least 60)

washing stations are

sold to private

investors.

Actual: N/A

[12-31-2012]

Evaluation of the first phase was

completed. A

Commission prepared the

documents for

the call for sale. Effective

launching is

expected soon.

Draft law was

adopted by the Council of

Ministers in May

2011.

SCEP

3. Food and Fuel prices related Measures

3.1. Coping with the

effects of the food and fuel prices crisis.

The Recipient has temporarily

reduced excise taxes on the

following petroleum items

from their levels as listed in

the 2009 Ministerial

Ordinance, to a minimum of

70 percent on kerosene, 60

percent on diesel and 34

percent on gasoline.

Share of budget

allocated to the school feeding

program in the

primary

0.5% of budget

[12-31-2010]

N/A Target: At

least 0.6% of budget

[12-31-2011]

Target: At

least 0.7% of budget.

[12-31-2012]

Ministry of

Finance and Economic

Development

Planning Share of budget

allocated to the

free health care program for

children under

five

1.5% of budget

allocated

[12-31-2010]

N/A At least 1.5%

of budget

[12-31-2011]

At least 1.6%

of budget

[1-31-2012]

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83

Annex 10: Burundi at a Glance (including Country Map)

Burundi at a glance POVERTY and SOCIAL

,0(), Population, mid-year (millions) GNI per capita (A tlas me/hod. US$) GNI (Atlas method, US$ billions)

Average annual growth, 2003'()9

Population (%) Labor force (%) .

Most recent estimate (lates t year available, 2003'()9)

Poverty (% of population below national poverty line) Urban population (% of /o/al population) Ufe expectancy at birth (years) Infant mortality (per 1,000 l;ve bitths) Child malnutrition (% of children under 5) Access to an improved water source (% of population) Literacy (% of population age 15+) Gross ptimary enroHment (% of school-8(.16 population)

Male Female

KEY ECONOMIC RATIOS and LONG-TERM TRENDS

GOP (US$ billions)

Gross capital formation/GOP Exports of Roods and services/GOP Gross domestic savir19s/GDP Gross national S8vil"l9s/GDP

Current account balance/GOP Interest payments/GOP Total debt/GOP Total debt service/exports Present value of debt/GOP Present value of debt/exoorts

1989-99 (average annual growth) GDP -2.7 GOP per capita -4.0 Exports of Roods and services "

STRUCTURE of the ECONOMV

(% of GOP) Agriculture Industry

Manufacturing Services

Household final consumption expenditure General90v't final consumption expenditure Imports of goods and services

(average annual growth) Agriculture Industry

Manufacturirl!=l S8fVices

Household final consumptioo expendi tUre Geoeral9QV't final consumption expenditure Gross capital formation Imports of Roods and services

Note: 2009 data are prel iminary estimates.

1989

1.1 16.5

9.7 3.3

-6.1 1.'

79.8 364

1999..09

2.8 0.0

1989

53.7 19.7 13.3 26.7

86 .• 10.2 22.9

1989-99

-1 .5 -3.8 -7.4 -2.5

-3.5 -1.1 OA 0.7

Sub-Saharan

Burundi Africa

8.3 840 150 1,126 1.2 946

3.0 2.' 4.' 2.9

11 37 50 52

101 81 25

72 60 66 62

136 100 139 10' 132 95

1999 2008

0.81 1.2

'.9 7 .•

-2.5 -0.1

-5.9 -5.9 1.0 0.7

140.4 123.5 46.1 21.7

2008 2009

4.' 3.' 1.4 0 .•

1999 2008

43.7 17.9 8.2

38.5

84.3 18 .2 16.0

1999-09 2008

-1 .6 -6.2

10.4

This table was produced from the Development Economics LOB database .

Low-Income

84. 512 433

2.2 2 .•

29 57 76 28 64 66

104 107 100

2009

1.3

0.3 39.1

11 .7

2009-13

2009

2009

2125111

Development diamond"

Ufe expectancy

GNI /. "- G,~ pe,

~ /' primary

capita enrollment

Access to improved water source

--__ -- low-incomegroop

Economic ratios'

Trade

~+ Domestic Capital savings

Indebtedness

--"",""", --Low-~group

Growth of capital and GOP (%)

.~ V¥.'; :: ~ ~

--= - =

• The diamonds show four key indicators in the country (in bold) compared with its income.group averaQe. If data are missirl!=l, the diamond will be i llCOlllplete.

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84

Burundi

PRICES and GOVERNMENT FINANCE 1989 1999 2008 2009 Inflation {OM

Domestic prices (% change) ~

h ~

?:': Consumer prices 11.7 3.4 5.0

~

Implicit GOP dena tor 14.8 15.0 25.1 13.6 " Government finance " (% of GOP, includes current grants) Current revenue 21.1 16.2

" " " ". " .. Current budget balance 6.2 -2.6

--GDPdeftelO< _c-Overall surplus/deficit -4.3 -6.6

TRADE 1989 1999 2008 2009 Export and Import levels (US$ mill.)

fUSS millions) Tolal exports (fob) 93 55 "" Coffee 75 42

Tea 6 12 ~

Manufactures 4 1 ,~

Tolal imports (cit) 184 111 ,,. Food 10 11 Fuel and energy 20 18 ~

Capital Roods 65 33

Export price index (2000=100) 155 118 ro " " " " .. .. Import price index (2000=100) 75 63 .-- . Irn\lOrtt

Terms of trade (2000=100) 205 187

BALANCE of PAYMENTS 1989 1999 2008 2009 Current account balance to GOP (%)

(USS mil/ions) E)(ports of goods and services 109 61 Imports of poods and services 256 129 Resource balance -147 -68 ~

Net income -18 -11 -34 • Net current transfers 31

Current account balance -68 -48 -68 • Financing items (net) 118 19 -n Changes in net reserves -50 29

Memo; Reserves including QOld (US$ millions) Conversion rate (DEC, IocaIlUS$) 158.7 563.6 1,185.7 1,230.2

EXTERNAL DEBT and RESOURCE FLOWS 1989 1999 2008 2009 Composition of 2009 (tebt (VS$ mill.)

(USS millions) Total debt outstanding and disbursed 889 1,135 1,443 518

IBRD 0 0 0 0 Go 7 IDA 328 599 819 147

Total debt service 43 29 19 19 IBRD 0 0 0 0 IDA 3 12 4

Composition of net resource flows Official grants 74 60 442 1,441 Official cre(titors 91 7 14 15 Private creditOfs -6 0 0 0 Fore~n direct investment (net inflows) 1 0 4 10 Portfolio equity (net inflows) 0 0 0 0

World Bank program Commitments 53 12 0 0 Disbursements 45 15 14 9 A - IBRO E - B~ateral

Principal repayments 1 8 0 0 B - IOA 0 - Other mul!:ilaleral F - Private

Net flows 44 8 14 9 C_IMF G - Short-term

Interest payments 2 4 4 1 Net trans fers 42 3 10 8

Note: This table was produced from the Development Economics LOB database. 2/25/11

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Mt. HehaMt. Heha(2,670 m)(2,670 m)

Most distantMost distantheadwater ofheadwater ofthe Nile Riverthe Nile River

C I B I T O K EC I B I T O K EN G O Z IN G O Z I

K AK AYYA N Z AA N Z A

B U B A N Z AB U B A N Z A K A R U Z IK A R U Z I

K I R U N D OK I R U N D O

M U Y I N G AM U Y I N G A

C A N K U Z OC A N K U Z O

R U Y I G IR U Y I G IG I T E G AG I T E G A

M WM WA R OA R O

R U TR U TA N AA N AB U R U R IB U R U R I

M A K A M B AM A K A M B A

MM UU RR AA MM VV YYAA

BB UUJJ UU

MM

BB UURR AA

Nyanza-LacNyanza-Lac

RumongeRumonge

MabandaMabanda

MatanaMatana

BukirasaziBukirasazi

MutangaroMutangaro

RusibaRusiba

MusadaMusadaBuhigaBuhiga

BururiBururi

MwaroMwaro

GitegaGitega

MuramvyaMuramvya

BubanzaBubanza

KayanzaKayanzaNgoziNgozi

CibitokeCibitoke

RuyigaRuyiga

CankuzoCankuzo

KaruziKaruzi

MuyingaMuyinga

KirundoKirundo

RutanaRutana

MakambaMakamba

BUJUMBURABUJUMBURA

C I B I T O K EN G O Z I

K AYA N Z A

B U B A N Z A K A R U Z I

K I R U N D O

M U Y I N G A

C A N K U Z O

R U Y I G IG I T E G A

M WA R O

R U TA N AB U R U R I

M A K A M B A

M U R A M V YA

B UJ U

M

B UR A

Nyanza-Lac

Rumonge

Mabanda

Matana

Bukirasazi

Mutangaro

Rusiba

MusadaBuhiga

Bururi

Mwaro

Gitega

Muramvya

Bubanza

KayanzaNgozi

Cibitoke

Ruyiga

Cankuzo

Karuzi

Muyinga

Kirundo

Rutana

Makamba

BUJUMBURA

DEM. REP.OF CONGO

RWANDA

TANZANIA

Kanyaru

Rusiz

i

Rum

pung

u

Kagera

Ruvuv

u

Ruvuvu

Ruvuv

u

Luvi

ronz

a

Mwerusi

Muragarazi

LakeTanganyika

LakeKivu

LakeCohoha

LakeRweru

To Kasulu

To Uvira

To Kibondo

To Kakonko

To Nyakanura

To Rulenge

To Kigali

To Gitarama

To Butare

To Cyangugu

Mt. Heha(2,670 m)

Most distantheadwater ofthe Nile River

29°E

29°E

30°E

30°E

31°E

31°E

4°S 4°S

3°S 3°S

BURUNDI

This map was produced by the Map Design Unit of The World Bank. The boundaries, colors, denominations and any other informationshown on this map do not imply, on the part of The World BankGroup, any judgment on the legal status of any territory, or anyendorsement or acceptance of such boundaries.

0 10 20 30

0 10 20 30 Miles

40 Kilometers

IBRD 33380

SEPTEMBER 2004

BURUNDI

SELECTED CITIES AND TOWNS

PROVINCE CAPITALS

NATIONAL CAPITAL

RIVERS

MAIN ROADS

PROVINCE BOUNDARIES

INTERNATIONAL BOUNDARIES