international economics: theory, application, and policy, ch. 16; charles van marrewijk, 2006 1...

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International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 16; Charles van Marrewijk, 2006 1 igure 16.1 Paul Romer (1955– )

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International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 16; Charles van Marrewijk, 2006 1

Figure 16.1 Paul Romer (1955– )

International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 16; Charles van Marrewijk, 2006 2

Figure 16.2 A complete world

good X

good Y

A

B

ppf

good X

good Y

A

B

ppf

International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 16; Charles van Marrewijk, 2006 3

Figure 16.3 New goods and variety

Number of varieties

quantity

q

Nt = 0 Nt = 1 Number of varieties

quantity

q

Nt = 0 Nt = 1

International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 16; Charles van Marrewijk, 2006 4

Figure 16.4 Quality ladders

variety

quality

1 2 3 4 5 9876 1413121110 1615

1

4

3

2

7

6

5

10

9

8

11

12

quality at t = 1

quality at t = 0

variety

quality

1 2 3 4 5 9876 1413121110 1615

1

4

3

2

7

6

5

10

9

8

11

12

quality at t = 1

quality at t = 0

International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 16; Charles van Marrewijk, 2006 5

Figure 16.5a USA; GDP per capita, international 1990 G-K dollars

USA; per capita GDP (1990 G-K $), log scale

1000

10000

100000

1870 1900 1930 1960 1990year

per

capi

ta G

DP

International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 16; Charles van Marrewijk, 2006 6

Figure 16.5b France, share of income invested

France, share of income invested, 1950-2000 (%)

0

10

20

30

1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000year

inco

me

sh

are

inve

ste

d (

%)

average

International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 16; Charles van Marrewijk, 2006 7

Figure 16.6 Steady state equilibrium in the neoclassical growth model

0

1

2

3

0 5 10 15 20

capital-labor ratio k

tkn)(

E

G

F

tks

International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 16; Charles van Marrewijk, 2006 8

Figure 16.7 ‘Explained’ growth & Solow residual. (a) USA ‘explained’ economic growth (%)

a. USA 'explained' economic growth, 1970-2003 (%)

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

labour force

capital stock

total

International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 16; Charles van Marrewijk, 2006 9

Figure 16.7  ‘Explained’ growth & Solow residual. (b) USA actual growth & Solow residual

b. USA actual growth and Solow residual, 1970-2003 (%)

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

GDP

Solow residual

International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 16; Charles van Marrewijk, 2006 10

Figure 16.8 Log income per capita I, 1990 G-K $

6

7

8

9

10

1870 1890 1910 1930 1950 1970 1990

Australia

Austria

Belgium

Canada

a

6

7

8

9

10

1870 1890 1910 1930 1950 1970 1990

Denmark

France

Finland

Germany

b

International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 16; Charles van Marrewijk, 2006 11

Figure 16.8 Log income per capita I, 1990 G-K $

6

7

8

9

10

1870 1890 1910 1930 1950 1970 1990

ItalyNorw ay

Netherlands

Japan

c

6

7

8

9

10

1870 1890 1910 1930 1950 1970 1990

USA

UK

Sw itzerlan

Sw eden

d

International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 16; Charles van Marrewijk, 2006 12

Figure 16.9 Log income per capita II, 1990 G-K $

5

6

7

8

9

10

1870 1890 1910 1930 1950 1970 1990

Argentina

BrazilChile

Bangladesh

a

5

6

7

8

9

10

1870 1890 1910 1930 1950 1970 1990

Colombia

Indonesia India

China

b

International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 16; Charles van Marrewijk, 2006 13

Figure 16.9 Log income per capita II, 1990 G-K $

5

6

7

8

9

10

1870 1890 1910 1930 1950 1970 1990

Korea

Peru

Mexico

Pakistan

c

5

6

7

8

9

10

1870 1890 1910 1930 1950 1970 1990

Taiw an

Philippines

Thailand

d

International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 16; Charles van Marrewijk, 2006 14

Figure 16.10 Evolution of Nt and xt over time

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

0 2 4 6 8 10

Number of varieties N

Pro

duct

ion

leve

l of

varie

ty x

t0

t1

t2

International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 16; Charles van Marrewijk, 2006 15

Figure 16.11 Evolution of agglomeration, the Herfindahl index

Herfindahl index

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0 200 400 600 800

reallocation

International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 16; Charles van Marrewijk, 2006 16

Figure 16.12 Dynamics of city size; cities 3, 6, and 9

Evolution of the share of manufacturing

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800

3

6

9

3

66

6

9

International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 16; Charles van Marrewijk, 2006 17

Figure 16.13 Economic structure in France and the USA, 1970-2003

a. France; value added composition (% of GDP)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

valu

e a

dd

ed

(%

of G

DP

)

s ervices

m anufacturing

agriculture

International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 16; Charles van Marrewijk, 2006 18

Figure 16.13 Economic structure in France and the USA, 1970-2003

b. USA; value added composition (% of GDP)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

valu

e a

dd

ed

(%

of G

DP

)

s ervices

m anufacturing

agriculture

International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 16; Charles van Marrewijk, 2006 19

Figure 16.14 Economic structure in Brazil, China, and India, 1960-2003

a. Brazil; value added composition (% of GDP)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

valu

e a

dd

ed

(%

of G

DP

)

s ervices

m anufacturing

agriculture

International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 16; Charles van Marrewijk, 2006 20

Figure 16.14 Economic structure in Brazil, China, and India, 1960-2003

b. China; value added composition (% of GDP)

0

10

20

30

40

1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

valu

e a

dd

ed

(%

of G

DP

)

s ervices

m anufacturing

agriculture

International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 16; Charles van Marrewijk, 2006 21

Figure 16.14 Economic structure in Brazil, China, and India, 1960-2003

c. India; value added composition (% of GDP)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

valu

e a

dd

ed

(%

of G

DP

)

s ervices

m anufacturing

agriculture