international financial management by [email protected]
TRANSCRIPT
-
8/7/2019 international financial management by [email protected]
1/29
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL
MANAGEMENT
-
8/7/2019 international financial management by [email protected]
2/29
THE FOREIGN EXCHANGE
MARKET
The foreign exchange market is themarket where the currency of onecountry is exchanged for the currency of
another country. Most currencytransactions are channelled through theworld-wide interbank market. Interbankmarket is the wholesale market in which
major banks trade with each other.
2
-
8/7/2019 international financial management by [email protected]
3/29
Foreign Exchange Rates
A foreign exchange rate is the price of one currency quoted interms of another currency.
When the rate is quoted per unit of the domestic currency, it isreferred to as direct quote. Thus, the US$ and INR exchange ratewould be written as US$ 0.02538/INR.
When the rate is quoted as units of domestic currency per unit ofthe foreign currency, it is referred to as indirect quote.
A cross rate is an exchange rate between the currencies of twocountries that are not quoted against each other, but are quotedagainst one common currency.
Suppose that German DM is selling for $ 0.62 and the buying ratefor the French franc (FF) is $ 0.17, what is the DM/FF cross-rate? Itis:
3
$ 0.62 3.65
$ 0.17
US FF FF
DM US DM
v !
-
8/7/2019 international financial management by [email protected]
4/29
Foreign Exchange Rates
The spot exchange rate is the rate at which a currency can be boughtor sold for immediate delivery which is within two business days afterthe day of the trade.
Bid-ask spread is the difference between the bid and ask rates of a
currency. The forward exchange rate is the rate that is currently paid for the
delivery of a currency at some future date.
The forward rate may be at a premium or at a discount.
For a direct quote, the annualised forward discount or premium canbe calculated as follows:
4
Spot rate Forward rate 360Forward premium (discount)
Spot rate Days
! v
-
8/7/2019 international financial management by [email protected]
5/29
INTERNATIONAL PARITY
RELATIONSHIPS
There are the following four international
parity relationships:
Interest rate parity (IRP)
Purchasing power parity (PPP)
Forward rates and future spot rates
parity International Fisher effect (IFE).
5
-
8/7/2019 international financial management by [email protected]
6/29
Interest Rate Parity
It states that the exchange rate of two countries will be affectedby their interest rate differential. In other words, the currency ofa high-interest-rate-country will be at a forward discount relativeto the currency of a low-interest-rate-country, and vice versa.This implies that the exchange rate (forward and spot)
differential will be equal to the interest rate differential betweenthe two countries. That is:
Interest differential = Exchange rate (forward and spot)differential
6
/
/
(1 )
(1 )
F F D
D F D
r f
r s
!
-
8/7/2019 international financial management by [email protected]
7/29
Purchasing Power Parity
In absolute terms, purchasing power parity states that the exchange ratebetween the currencies of two countries equals the ratio between the prices ofgoods in these countries. Further, the exchange rate must change to adjust tothe change in the prices of goods in the two countries. In relative terms,purchasing power states that the exchange rate between the currencies of thetwo countries will adjust to reflect changes in the inflation rates of the twocountries. In formal terms, it implies that the expected inflation differentialequals to the current spot rate and the expected spot rate differential. Thus:
Inflationratedifferential= Currentspotrateandexpectedspotratedifferential
7
/
/
(1 ) ( )
(1 )
F F D
D F D
i E s
i s
!
-
8/7/2019 international financial management by [email protected]
8/29
Expectation TheoryofForward
Rates
The expectation theory of forward exchange rates states that the
forward rate provides the best and unbiased forecast of the expected
future spot rate. In formal terms, it means that the forward rate and the
current rate differential must be equal to the expected spot rate andthe current spot rate differential. Thus:
Forwardandcurrentspotratedifferential= Expectedandcurrentspotrate
differential
8
/ /
/ /
( )F D F D
F D F D
f E s
s s!
-
8/7/2019 international financial management by [email protected]
9/29
International Fisher Effect
In formal terms, the international Fisher
effect states that the nominal interest rate
differential must equal to the expectedinflation rate differential in two countries.
Thus:
Nominalinterestratedifferential= Expected
inflationratedifferential
9
(1 ) (1 )
(1 ) (1 )
F F
D D
r E i
r E i
!
-
8/7/2019 international financial management by [email protected]
10/29
Foreign Exchange Risk
Foreign exchange risk is the risk that the domestic currencyvalue of cash flows, denominated in foreign currency, maychange because of the variation in the foreign exchangerate. There would not be any foreign exchange risk if theexchange rates were fixed.
We can distinguish between three types of foreignexchange exposure:
Transactionexposure
Economicexposure
Translationexposure
10
-
8/7/2019 international financial management by [email protected]
11/29
TypesofExchange-Rate
Risk
Exposure
Translation ExposureTranslation Exposure -- Relates to the change in
accounting income and balance sheet statements caused
by changes in exchange rates. Transactions ExposureTransactions Exposure -- Relates to settling a particular
transaction at one exchange rate when the obligation was
originally recorded at another.
Economic ExposureEconomic Exposure ---- Involves changes in expected futurecash flows, and hence economic value, caused by a change
in exchange rates.
-
8/7/2019 international financial management by [email protected]
12/29
-
8/7/2019 international financial management by [email protected]
13/29
forwardcontractforwardcontract
A forwardforward contractcontract is a contract for the delivery ofa commodity, foreign currency, or financialinstrument at a price specified now, with delivery
and settlement at a specified future date Cost of forward contract is the difference
between the forward rate and the expected spot
rate (not the current spot rate) at the time cashflows are paid or received.
13
-
8/7/2019 international financial management by [email protected]
14/29
Foreign Currency Option
The foreign currency option is the right (not
an obligation) to buy or sell a currency at an
agreed exchange rate (exercise price) on or
before an agreed maturity period.
The right to buy is called a call option and
right to sell a put option.
A foreign currency option holder will exercise
his right only if it is advantageous to do so.
14
-
8/7/2019 international financial management by [email protected]
15/29
MONEY MARKET OPERATIONS
Another hedging technique is the money marketoperations. Suppose, Air India can borrow FF 1,000million now, convert them into rupees at the current
exchange rate and invest in the money market in Indiafor six months. If interest rate parity holds, thedifference in the forward rate and the spot rate is thereflection of the differences in the interest rates intwo countries. Thus, Air India will be able to hedgeagainst the change in the exchange rate.
15
-
8/7/2019 international financial management by [email protected]
16/29
Structuring International
Trad
eT
ransactions In international trade, sellers often have difficulty
obtaining thorough and accurate credit information
on potential buyers. Channels for legal settlement in cases of default are
more complicated and costly to pursue.
Key documents are
(1) an order to pay (international trade draft),
(2) a bill of lading, and
(3) a letter of credit.
-
8/7/2019 international financial management by [email protected]
17/29
International
Trad
eD
raft The internationaltradedraft(billofexchange)internationaltradedraft(billofexchange)is a
written statement by the exporter ordering the
importer to pay a specific amount of money at aspecified time.
SightdraftSightdraftis payable on presentation to the party
(drawee) to whom the draft is addressed.
TimedraftTimedraftis payable at a specified future date after
sight to the party (drawee) to whom the draft is
addressed.
-
8/7/2019 international financial management by [email protected]
18/29
Time Draft Features An unconditional order in writing signed by the
drawer, the exporter.
It specifies an exact amount of money that the
drawee, the importer, must pay.
It specifies the future date when this amount
must be paid.
Upon presentation to the drawee, it is acceptedaccepted.
-
8/7/2019 international financial management by [email protected]
19/29
T
imeD
raftF
eatures The acceptance can be by either the draweedrawee or a
bankbank.
If the drawee accepts the draft, it is
acknowledged in writing on the back of the draft
the obligation to pay the amount so many
specified days hence.
It is then known as a tradedrafttradedraft(bankersbankers
acceptanceacceptance if a bank accepts the draft).
-
8/7/2019 international financial management by [email protected]
20/29
BillofLading
It serves as a receipt from the transportation companyto the exporter, showing that specified goods havebeen received.
It serves as a contract between the transportation
company and the exporter to ship goods and deliverthem to a specific party at a specific destination.
It serves as a document of title.
Bill of LadingBill of Lading -- A shipping document indicating
the details of the shipment and delivery of goods
and their ownership.
-
8/7/2019 international financial management by [email protected]
21/29
LetterofCredit
A letter of credit is issued by a bank on behalf of the importer.
The bank agrees to honor a draft drawn on the importer,provided the bill of lading and other details are in order.
The bank is essentially substituting its credit for that of theimporter.
Letter of Credit - A promise from a third party (usually a
bank) for payment in the event that certain conditions
are met. It is frequently used to guarantee payment ofan obligation.
-
8/7/2019 international financial management by [email protected]
22/29
Countertrade
Used effectively when exchange restrictions exist or other
difficulties prevent payment in hard currencies. Quality, standardization of goods, and resale of goods that
are delivered are risks that arise with countertrade.
CountertradeCountertrade -- Generic term for barter and other
forms of trade that involve the international sale of
goods or services that are paid for -- in whole or in part-- by the transfer of goods or services from a foreign
country.
-
8/7/2019 international financial management by [email protected]
23/29
Forfaiting
The forfaiter assumes the credit risk and collects the amount
owed from the importer. Most useful when the importer is in a less-developed
country or in an Eastern European nation.
ForfaitingForfaiting -- The selling without recourse of medium-
to long-term export receivables to a financial
institution, the forfaiter. A third party, usually a bankor governmental unit, guarantees the financing.
-
8/7/2019 international financial management by [email protected]
24/29
-
8/7/2019 international financial management by [email protected]
25/29
POLITICAL RISK OF FOREIGN
INVESTMENTS
There are two ways in which a firm can handle thepolitical risks in the investment evaluation.
The firm may increase the cost of capital (discount rate)to allow for the political risks
or
Adjust the investments cash flows to account forpolitical risk.
25
-
8/7/2019 international financial management by [email protected]
26/29
FINANCING INTERNATIONAL
OPERATIONS
Eurocurrency Loans
Eurobondsand ForeignBonds
Depository Receipts
26
-
8/7/2019 international financial management by [email protected]
27/29
Costand RiskofInternational
Financing
A firm may be capable of raising funds below
market rate due to government subsidies, tax
asymmetries government regulations.
Borrowing in local currency to finance a
foreign investment can expose a company to
foreign exchange risks.
27
-
8/7/2019 international financial management by [email protected]
28/29
THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY SYSTEM
world monetary and financial organization thatfacilitates transfer of funds between parties, conversionof national currencies in to one another and
international credit creation.There are some aspect of international monetarysystem.
1- exchange rate regimes
2- the adjustment process how does the systemfacilitate the process of coping with paymentsimbalances between trading nation
-
8/7/2019 international financial management by [email protected]
29/29
Bibliography
VAN HORNE ,FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
POLICY, Pearson education, twelfth edition,
2004
PANDEY, I.M. , FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
tenth edition
VIJ, MADHU, International Financial
Management, Excel Books, third Edition,
2010