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ITU Internet Report 2002
INTERNET FOR A MOBILE INTERNET FOR A MOBILE GENERATIONGENERATION
www.itu.int/mobileinternet
ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation
Mobile and Internet: Identical twins born two years apart?
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1992 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 2000 0102
46
810
1214
1618
Mobile subscribersInternet users
Mobile penetrationInternet penetration
Users (millions) and penetration per 100 pop.
ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation
Distribution of mobile and Internet users by region, 2001
Asia-Pacific, 32%
Europe, 29%
Africa, 1%
Americas, 37%
Estimated Internet users, 500 million
Asia-Pacific, 38%
Europe, 31%Africa,
3%
Americas, 28%
Mobile phone users948 million
ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation
Upwardly mobile in Asia
Source: ITU World Telecommunications Indicators Database
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001
Korea (Rep. of)
Taiwan,ChinaCellular penetration rates, developed Asia, 1991-2001
Hong Kong
Singapore
Asian leaders in mobile teledensity
72.3
59.1
16.5
13.8
9.4
7.9
7.9
7.0
6.9
5.6
Japan
Rep. of Korea
Finland
Canada
Singapore
US
Germany
Italy
UK
France
Mobile Internet penetration, 2001
Mobile Internet users as a percentage of total mobile users
Asian leaders in mobile Internet penetration
Source: MPHPT (Japan)
e.g. Japan: 3G FOMA phones
with i-mode (NTT DoCoMo)
ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation
What is the “Mobile Internet”?• It is a combination of:
– mobile (wireless) technologies– and information and data communications
services– …with, eventually, the flexibility of IP
networks?
• It implies a convergence of:– terminals– networks– services and applications– corporate structures
ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation
Mobile Internet – enabling technologies and applications
• Network evolution: from 2G to 3G –higher speeds, increased bandwidth efficiency
• “Alternative networks”: e.g wireless LANs –802.11 series
• Mobile User interface: i-mode, WAP• Messaging (SMS, EMS, MMS)• Evolution of digital content, e.g.
location-based services (LBS)• Growing importance of
security (WEP, WPKI)
ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation
Global
1'000
100
10
1
Range (metres)
Data rate (Mbit/s)0.1 1 10 100
3G
Wireless LAN
GPRS & CdmaOne (2.5G)
Bluetooth
High-speed 3G is only part of the overall picture
ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation
The 3G rollercoaster
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
03/00 07/00 7/00 10/00 11/00 12/00 12/00 01/01 01/01 03/01 03/01 07/01 09/01 12/01
UKGermany
Netherlands
Italy
Austria
Korea (Rep.)Switzerland
CanadaNZ Australia
Belgium
Greece
Denmark
Czech Rep.
Prices per inhabitant, in US$
Note: Excludes licences awarded via “beauty contests”Source: ITU
ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation
Market Trends• Where demand has been greatest
– The ‘first-movers’: HK, Japan and Korea • Evolution of corporate strategies • Factors hindering market development
– Low availability of adequate handsets– Plethora of standards/formats– Lack of evolved billing models
• The economics of success– Avoiding pure tech-push plays– Partnership and collaboration– Encourage revenue-sharing & transparent tariffs
ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation
What of digital content? • User sessions tend to be short (unlike the
“browsing” behaviour of the fixed-line Internet)
40%
40%
10%
8%
2%Average length of mobile data sessions, 2001
Less than 5 minutes
5-9 minutes10-19 minutes20-29 minutes
30 minutes or more
Note: Based on responses to user survey
Source: Jupiter Media Matrix, BCGCustomiza
tion + Communica
tion
• Thus, “killer app” cannot be pure content
ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation
Towards a mobile information society: “Pardon me, ma’am, but is that your tooth ringing?”
• The advent of “pervasive” miniaturized mobile devices will transform our lifestyles– Can you swallow a mobile phone?
• Implications of location-based services (LBS)– Can you easily be found in an emergency (e911)? – Can wireless implants track your every move?
• Consumer protection, e.g. health, SPAM, – How to re-assure the end-user while fostering
development?
ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation
Highlights of ITU Report “Internet for a Mobile Generation”• 180 pages of information and analysis
• Table of contents includes: technologies, market trends, regulatory/policy aspects, mobile information society
• Analysis supported by country-specific case studies
• Over 70 pages of statistical tables presenting latest available data.
• The ITU Mobile/Internet Index**
ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation
The ITU Mobile / Internet IndexWhat it is:
•A measure of current information and communication technologies (ICT) development, with a focus on mobile and Internet
•A measure of an economy’s ability to take advantage of these technologies in the future
What it is not:•A measure of the “mobile Internet” in an economy
•Limited to mobile and Internet development only
ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation
The Top 25Economy Score Rank GDP
Hong Kong, China 65.88 1 $24'249Denmark 65.61 2 $30'902Sweden 65.42 3 $25'654Switzerland 65.10 4 $33'522United States 65.04 5 $37'769Norway 64.67 6 $35'265Korea (Rep.) 63.42 7 $8'828United Kingdom 63.00 8 $24'607Netherlands 62.25 9 $23'995Iceland 62.03 10 $32'069Canada 61.97 11 $23'256Finland 61.22 12 $23'883Singapore 60.58 13 $21'188Luxembourg 58.58 14 $44'664Belgium 57.80 15 $22'498Austria 57.72 16 $23'286Germany 55.53 17 $22'675Australia 55.40 18 $19'474Portugal 55.13 19 $11'014Japan 54.94 20 $34'337France 52.45 21 $21'862Greece 51.44 22 $10'707Italy 51.13 23 $18'788Czech Republic 50.95 24 $4'963New Zealand 50.47 25 $11'847
ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation
#1: A ‘networked’ Hong Kong
85.5 % mobile penetration
45.9 % Internet penetration
43.5
44.7
45.5
45.9
50.0
51.1
51.6
59.6
60.5
67.9
Canada
Denmark
Japan
Hong Kong, China
United States
Korea (Rep.)
Sweden
Norway
Singapore
Iceland
Internet users, top 10 by density, per 100, 2001
Source: ITU
78.3
79.0
80.7
80.8
82.082.5
83.9
85.5
96.6
96.7
United Kingdom
Sweden
Austria
Israel
Iceland
Norway
Italy
Hong Kong, China
Taiwan, China
Luxembourg
Mobiles, top 10 per 100 inhabitants, 2001, millions
Source: ITU
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002.8
Mobile users, Hong Kong, China (million)
Analogue
Digital, 800/900 MHz
"Activated" prepaid
usersPCS 1.7/ 1.8 GHz
2.5G usersOther prepaid
Source: OFTA
ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation
For more information: www.itu.int/mobileinternet