introduction to auto ancillary products in the us market ... · dealer purchases an extended...
TRANSCRIPT
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PwC China Autofacts Seminar 2016
Introduction to Auto Ancillary Products in the US Market: A Blueprint for China
December 2016
www.pwc.com
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PwC
Agenda
1. Ancillary Products Overview
2. China Opportunities
3. Next Steps
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PwC
Ancillary Products Overview
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PwC
Introduction to Auto Ancillary Product A variety of products exist, which enables dealers to have a comprehensive product offering and strengthens the relationship between OEMs, dealers and customers.
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Vehicle Service Contracts:
Tire & Wheel Protection:
Excess Wear & Tear:
Roadside Assistance:
Extended Warranty
Certified Pre-Owned
Tire & Wheel Protection
Appearance Protection
Roadside Assistance
Vehicle Protection Products
Certified Pre-Owned
A protection product is applied to or installed on a customer’s vehicle, and the product is warranted to prevent certain damage. In the event that the product fails, customers are eligible for repair or replacement of the damage, or reimbursement for the repair or replacement
Vehicle Protection Products
Services to assist motorists who have been left stranded as a result of a mechanical failure of their vehicle
Roadside Assistance
CommonAncillary Products
Covers the costs associated with vehicle repair, including parts, labor, and/or sales tax, for certain repairs or replacements that may be
required after expiration of the factory warranty
Extended Warranty
Repair or replacement of tires and/or wheels damaged due to contact with a
curb, pothole, or debris on the road such as a nail, rock, or tree limb
Tire & Wheel Protection
Protection against vehicle wear such as interior stains, tire wear, chips, dents
and dings that can incur substantial costs at end-of-lease
Appearance Protection
A certified pre-owned car or CPO is a type of used car. Most often late-model, they differ from other used cars by having been inspected, refurbished, and certified by a manufacturer or other certifying authority, and usually include a warranty.
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PwC
Common Sales ChannelAncillary products can be sold by a dealer but administered via an OEM or third party, where the OEM / third party generally assumes all claim payout responsibility.
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Customer Journey
How Dealers Offer Ancillary Products
Customer purchases a car. They are also offered to purchase an ancillary product to add additional
protection.
Dealer Group makes an agreement with OEM / third party provider to offer their ancillary at a fixed price per product sold. The third party
assumes all risk.
Dealer increases revenue from the sale of ancillary products. OEM / third-party increases
revenue from premiums minus payouts.
Customer meets with a Dealer Salesperson representative to go over ancillary product options and chooses one or more such as
appearance protection and extended warranty.
As part of the car purchasing process, a Dealer Salesperson
is able to rate and sell ancillary products off of the configured
platform.
Dealer Group updates process as necessary to offer the ancillary
products to customer within their dealerships.
The product price is marked up at the dealer’s discretion. This markup is configured
into the dealer’s platform(s).
¥
¥
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PwC
Ancillary Products Sales ChannelsAncillary products can be sold to consumers through a variety of sales channels, both within and outside the dealership
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Online
Customer purchases after-market products through an online website from varied sources
Third Party
Third party providers, such as lenders, offer after market products directly to the consumer in conjunction with other products purchased
OEM
OEM sells after-market products directly to the customer packaged with the vehicle sale
Digital
After-market products can be purchased through a digital portal, such as an app for a lender, dealer, OEM, or service provider
Service Drive
Customer is sold after-market products at the time their vehicle is being serviced
Dealership
Dealership sells after-market products to customer at time of sale as part of financing package
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PwC
Extended Warranties OverviewAn extended warranty provides coverage distinct from and sometimes in addition to an OEM warranty, insulating borrowers from repair costs.
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The dealership sells an extended warranty contract to expand
coverage beyond OEM warranty.
Dealer Group profits the markup of the extended warranty sold to the customer.
OEM / Third Party profits from premiums minus payouts/expenses.
Illustrative Example
Dealer purchases an extended warranty product from a OEM / third party provider. The third party provider assumes all risk.
Dealer Cost:-¥3,200
Dealer revenue:¥6,400
Dealer sales profit:¥3,200
Dealer revenue from repairs:¥3,100
The dealer services the vehicle, resulting in repair income for the dealer from the OEM/
third-party claims payout. The dealer and OEM strengthens customer relationships and loyalty
through repeated visits.
¥
Concept AFC Financial Impact Dealer Impact Customer impact
Protect vehicle beyond factorywarranty
Administrative profit, investment profit, underwriting profit
Mark-up opportunities Peace of mind
Prevent sale of non-OEM after market products
Increase parts sale Increase part sales Assurance of quality
Drive service business to franchise dealer
Increase partner profit Servicing profit Leverage OEM quality
Enhance relationship Increase loyalty potential Increase repeat business potential No unpleasant surprises
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PwC
Appearance Protection Products OverviewAppearance protection products allow product purchasers to obtain repairs for minor cosmetic damages to their car.
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Illustrative Example
Concept AFC Financial Impact Dealer Impact Customer impact
Maintain vehicle appearanceUnderwriting profit, investing profit, administrative profit
Mark up, cross sell opportunities Protected from unexpected costs
Increase pride in ownership Increase loyalty Increase loyalty Higher perceived value of investment
Increase residual values Supports leasing brand perception Support used car business Maintain resale values
The dealership sells the appearance product to protect the vehicle against
minor cosmetic damage.
The dealer services the vehicle through it’s stores, resulting in repair income for the dealer from the OEM / third-party claims payout. The
OEM / dealer strengthens customer relationships and brand loyalty through
repeated visits.
Dealership purchases an appearance protection product
from a OEM / third party provider. The third party provider
assumes all risk.
Dealer Cost:-¥2,200
Dealer revenue:¥3,800
Dealer sales profit:¥1,600
Dealer revenue from repairs:¥1,900
Dealer profits the markup of the appearance product sold to the
customer.
¥
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PwC
Certified Pre-Owned OverviewCertified Pre-Owned (CPO) provides customers a vehicle inspected, refurbished, and certified under an OEM program. CPO car sales are becoming increasingly more profitable than new car sales.
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Dealer performs an inspection of the used car and makes any necessary repairs to certify the car per the OEM standards. Additional
costs include a license fee to the captive.
Dealer profits from selling the certified car at a premium price, and the
customer has assurance the car is higher quality than typical used cars.
Dealer purchases a used carvia it’s standard retail and wholesale
channels.
Illustrative Example
Dealer Cost:-¥10,200 Dealer cost for refurbishing to
CPO standard and captive license fee:
-¥2,400
Dealer sales revenue:¥18,200
Dealer Profit:¥5,600
By investing in performing the CPO inspection, the dealer is able to earn a
higher profit than selling a non-certified used car.
CPO
Used Dealer sales revenue:¥14,000
Dealer Profit:¥2,800
Dealer cost for conditioning: -¥1,000
¥
Concept AFC Financial Impact Dealer Impact Customer impact
Refurbish / Certify Used CarAdditional revenue / Increase brand perception
Mark up, cross sell opportunitiesConfidence in the safety / condition of a used car
Increase Used Car Business Increase loyalty Increase loyaltyMore economical pricing option versus a new car
Increase residual values Supports brand perception Support used car business Maintain resale values
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PwC
Here’s How a Dealership Could ProfitHypothetical based on 1,000 car sales / per annum
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Price Per Unit
Estimated Penetration
Units Sold
Total Revenue
Cost Per Unit
Total Cost Total Profit
Extended Warranty
¥6,400 35% 350 ¥2,240,000 ¥3,200 ¥1,120,000 ¥1,120,000
Appearance Protection ¥3,800 15% 150 ¥570,000 ¥2,200 ¥330,000 ¥240,000
Certified Pre-Owned
¥18,200 20% 200 ¥3,640,000 ¥12,600 ¥2,520,000 ¥1,120,000
Total ¥6,450,000 ¥3,970,000 ¥2,480,000
These products can also result in incremental revenue for a dealership / OEM through OEM parts purchases, service repairs and customer loyalty.
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PwC
Benefits of After-Market Ancillary ProductsIn addition to increased revenue and profitability for Auto Finance institutions, ancillary products produce benefits for dealerships and customers.
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Residualvalue
Brand image
Dealerprofitability
CustomerLoyalty
Part Sales
Profitability
Appearance Protection
Maintenance
Extended Warranty
Ancillary Product Driver
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PwC
Ancillary Product Profitability Components- UnderwriterUnderwriting profit, administrative profit, and investment profit each contribute to the overall profitability of most ancillary products.
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Underwriting profit is the difference between the remaining money in a reserve and the pay-out of all accepted claims over the lifetime of an ancillary product. Actuarial models determining estimated pay-out are modelled conservatively to minimize the likelihood of a negative underwriting profit.
Underwriting Profit
Administrative profit is the remaining revenue after S,G&A expenses have been covered. For administrators that assume no risk of the ancillary product and handle only sales, marketing, and distribution of an ancillary product, this is the sole profit source.
Administrative Profit
Investment income is the interest earned on the funds in the reserve for claim pay-out that are not withdrawn from the reserve. The interest compounds over the contract lifetime.
Investment Income
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PwC
Sample Profitability Analysis of Ancillary ProductsUnderwriting profit emerges when cumulative claim payouts are less than the conservative actuarial models for expected cumulative claims.
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¥0
¥500
¥1,000
¥1,500
¥2,000
¥2,500
¥3,000
¥3,500
1 2 3 4 5
Cu
mu
lati
ve
Cla
im P
ay
ou
t (Y
ua
n)
Contract Year
Expected vs. Actual Cumulative Claim Payout
Cumulative Expected Claims Cumulative Actual Claims
¥ Profit
Unused payout reserves will accrue investment income
over the lifetime of the ancillary product contract
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PwC
Sample Profitability Analysis of Ancillary Products (continued)The prepaid sum received at the beginning of a contract is the basis for cash on hand over the contract lifetime, generating investment income.
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¥0.0
¥500.0
¥1,000.0
¥1,500.0
¥2,000.0
¥2,500.0
¥3,000.0
¥3,500.0
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ca
sh o
n H
an
d
Ancillary Product Contract Year
Prepaid Contract Funds Balance
Administrative funds Payout Reserves
Cash on hand is a combination of reserve funds and administrative funds, both of
which are received in full at the beginning of the contract
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PwC
U.S. Market Assurance ProvidersA variety of assurance product providers are offered in the US market, including in-house products and third party providers.
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OEM’sOffer their own assurance products through dealers
*Underwriting risk owned by dealer group
Note: Only OEMs provide certified plans in the USSource: PwC Market Research
December 2016PwC China Autofacts Seminar 2016
Independent Providers
Offer third party assurance products at dealer partners
Large Dealer Groups
Offer their own assurance products through their dealer network *Underwriting risk owned by dealer group
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PwC
China Opportunities
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PwC
Auto Finance Is Expected To Grow Rapidly in ChinaAuto finance penetration in China is currently low, but is anticipated to gain popularity to the level of other markets. As the China market matures, the opportunity for assurance products will also rise.
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12%
20%27%
43%
50%
2011 2013 2015E 2018E 2020E
Projected Growth in Penetration of Auto Financing (China)
Penetration* of Auto Financing 2015
Asia Europe Americas
20% -
40% -
60% -
80% -
China (27%)
Japan (50%)Germany (65%)
UK (70%)
US(84%)China lagged behind developed countries in penetration of auto finance products in 2015
Penetration of auto insurance products was estimated to be below 5% in 2014 in China
Figures in China are expected to match current penetration in developed Asian markets (Japan) by 2020
Source: PwC Autofacts; China Association of Automotive Manufacturers; China Auto Finance Report 2014 and 2015 ; Bloomberg ; NexAssure Group
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PwC
The US Market May Serve as a Template for Product PenetrationWhile there are many differences between the US and China market, factors such as over-dealerization and shrinking front-end profits could lead to a push towards more finance and insurance profit, as observed in US historically.
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Maintenance /PPM
GAP Insurance
Vehicle Service Contracts
Road Hazard / Tire
Appearance
Lease Wear / Tear
US Market Penetration
(Range)
20%-50%
10% -20%
5% -10%
15% -25%
10% -20%
25% -40%
Source: PwC Market Research December 2016PwC China Autofacts Seminar 2016
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PwC
Case Study: Major AFC’s Entry into Established F&I MarketA major captive AFC recently entered the US F&I market with branded products, gained 9% market penetration in one year, and forecasts penetration to grow to 20% in 3 years.
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Challenge: Enter the mature US F&I market with branded after-market products, targeting a penetration of 20% in three years
Product Offerings: The OEM chose the most significant F&I products in the market* to offer through their captive, including:
Long Term Profitability of F&I Products in the US Market
• US captives generate on average ~$800 profit from F&I products with an approximate penetration of ~20% across all vehicles leased and sold, resulting in an increased profit of ~$160 per sale
• Mature players in the F&I market see on average a ~40% market penetration, resulting in an increased profit of ~$320 per sale
Year 1: 9% market penetration
Year 2: 11% market penetration
Year 3 (F):20% market penetration
Year 0:0% market penetration
*non-exhaustive list
Vehicle Service Contract (VSC)
Guaranteed Auto
Protection (GAP)**
Planned Prepaid
Maintenance (PPM)
Road hazardLease wear and
tearAppearance
**GAP may not be a permissible product in China
Source: PwC market researchDecember 2016PwC China Autofacts Seminar 2016
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PwC
High Growth Potential ProductsAs China’s Dealer Groups profitability from car sales begin to flatten, PwC sees Ancillary products as a new revenue opportunity as demonstrated by the US and other developed markets. Certified Pre-Owned, Extended Warranty, and Appearance protection products may have the greatest initial potential viability in China.
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Tire & Wheel Protection:
Excess Wear & Tear:
Roadside Assistance:
Extended Warranty
Certified Pre-Owned
Tire & Wheel Protection
Appearance Protection
Roadside Assistance
Vehicle Protection Products
Certified Pre-Owned
A protection product is applied to or installed on a customer’s vehicle, and the product is warranted to prevent certain damage. In the event that the product fails, customers are eligible for repair or replacement of the damage, or reimbursement for the repair or replacement
Vehicle Protection Products
Services to assist motorists who have been left stranded as a result of a mechanical failure of their vehicle
Roadside Assistance
CommonAncillary Products
Covers the costs associated with vehicle repair, including parts, labor, and/or sales tax, for certain repairs or replacements that may be required
Extended Warranty
Repair or replacement of tires and/or wheels damaged due to contact with a
curb, pothole, or debris on the road such as a nail, rock, or tree limb
Tire & Wheel Protection
Protection against vehicle wear such as interior stains, tire wear, chips, dents and
dings that can incur substantial costs at end-of-lease
Appearance Protection
A certified pre-owned car or CPO is a type of used car. Most often late-model, they differ from other used cars by having been inspected, refurbished, and certified by a manufacturer or other certifying authority.
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PwC
Potential Additional Revenue (+46%)
Current Revenue Level (2015)
0 6000 12000 18000
Dealer Revenue
Top 100 Dealer Total Revenue (in 100,000 RMB)
New Car Used Car Services and Accessories
Financing and Insurance Additional Used Car Sales Additional Ancillary Product Sales
Maturity of China’s Auto MarketChinese automotive market is 0n a trajectory to further mature – despite double digit growth in recent years new car sales are gradually declining. With an aging car population and OEM parts passing their manufacturer warranty, ancillary products along with other aftermarket products/services should gain viability, similar to the U.S. market.
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Percentage of Revenue from Sales Type (Top 100 Dealer)*
Dealer Revenue Streams – Current + Potential Future Revenue from Ancillary Products **- Hypothetical
In 2015, less than 20% of China’s major dealers’ revenue comes outside of new car sales. As China’s
automotive market continues to mature, this percentage will likely to increase to a level that is
similar to the U.S.
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
US
China
New Car Sales Used Car Sales Services and Accessories Financing and Insurance Other
* China Automobile Dealers Association, 2015** China Automobile Dealers Association, 2015 and PwC Analysis
December 2016PwC China Autofacts Seminar 2016
As China’s automotive market matures, developing other profit centers (i.e. through offering ancillary
products and certified used car) could bring an enormous amount of additional revenue and are the main source of revenue growth potential, as
evidenced in the matured automotive market
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PwC
In Near Future, Chinese Lenders Are Anticipating a Surge in Volume and Variety of Ancillary Product OfferingMost lenders participating in PwC’s 2016 Auto Lending survey strongly indicate an interest in expanding and growing their ancillary product offerings to the Chinese market.
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25%Respondents plan on expanding their current or adding new VSC
products
Respondents intend on adding new liability or comprehensive insurance
offerings
58%
Source: PwC 2016 Auto Lending Survey - China participant responses
December 2016PwC China Autofacts Seminar 2016
There is a strong push to expand or grow Ancillary Vehicle Protection and Liability Insurance in China.
75%Respondents are considering adding new ancillary vehicle protection
products
Assurance/Ancillary products will play an increasingly significant roles in
market
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PwC
Next Steps
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PwC
Where are you on the Auto Assurance product adoption curve?Various factors play into where you are relative to the industry. The questions to address are: where are you now, where do you want to be, and how do you get there?
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Digitization
Product mix
Idlers
Highly risk-averse and cost conscious
Followers
Quick to adopt proven methods once costs are reduced
LeadersRisk-tolerant and willing to pay
a leader premium
Common Sales channels
Pr
ofi
les
Traits
Other considerations
Dealer / Customer expectations
Technology impact
Business transformation needs
Market necessityCompany strategyEase of
adoption
Mainframe Based Legacy
Platforms
Paperless ContractsCloud Based Platforms
Mobile Sales
Limited Product Diversity No Dealer
Customization
Diversified Multi-Product Line-Up
Tailored Programs for Dealers
Reinsurance Program for Dealers
Predictive AnalyticsDigital Integration
Online Sales
Service Drive
At Point-of-Sale
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PwC
Idlers: Considerations for a successful product launch
PwC China Autofacts Seminar 2016
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December 2016
Financial Considerations
Product Considerations
• Develop strategic positioning for an ancillary product unit to support profitability across divisions
• Gain an early mover advantage in the market and gain dealer loyalty
• Position products to help cement customersloyalty in addition to driving core financial profitability
.
Capabilities Considerations• Create or leverage a sales channel to
deliver products to deliver • System to support amortization of
premiums and tally claims • Servicing, claims and risk management
functions to supports product• Build capabilities to support multiple
products and allow for future growth in Chinese market
Strategic Considerations
• Work closely with dealer partners in development of products
• Start simple and expand product line-up over time
• Be prepared to fine tune products and offerings quickly to respond to market demands
• Design customer and dealer friendly products
• Conduct Actuarial analysis and projections to understand costs and revenues over time
• Creation of business case justifying investment into ancillary products
• Understand and estimate incremental profitability to the AFC, the OEM, as well as dealer partners
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PwC
Leaders/ Followers: Considerations for a successful product launch
PwC China Autofacts Seminar 2016
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December 2016
Financial Considerations
Product Considerations
• Review initiatives / planned investments for the existing ancillary product unit to support the firms strategic objectives
• Conduct gap assessments against industry benchmarks to assess areas needed for improvement
• Gain competitive advantage with dealerships by offering reinsurance programs
Capabilities Considerations
• Leverage existing platforms to the extent possible when expanding the product line-up
• Enhance system capabilities to support new products and service offerings
• Rollout and retrain field teams, dealerships and additional sales channels on new products/services
Strategic Considerations
• Utilize data mining and predictive analytics to promote products with maximum profitability
• Design products and dealer programs to facilitate the sale of multiple products per vehicle
• Consider linking financing products with ancillary products to create bundled offerings
• Support larger dealer groups with customized solutions to meet their needs
• Investigate tax and accounting benefits of setting up a reinsurance structure
• Actuarial analysis to determine best new products opportunities in Chinese market
• Leverage existing product data to underpin projected financials on new products
• Understand and estimate incremental profitability to the AFC, the OEM, as well as dealer partners
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Paul KramarzDirector, Vehicle Lending and Leasing
PricewaterhouseCoopers LLPThree Embarcadero Center, San Francisco, CA 9411 USA+1 415 [email protected]
Bryan IgnozziPrincipal, Vehicle Lending and Leasing
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