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1 Probabilistic Sensor Models Introduction to Mobile Robotics Wolfram Burgard

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Page 1: Introduction to Mobile Robotics Probabilistic Sensor Modelsais.informatik.uni-freiburg.de/teaching/ss17/robotics/slides/07... · Standard approach is triangulation Sensor provides

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Probabilistic Sensor Models

Introduction to Mobile Robotics

Wolfram Burgard

Page 2: Introduction to Mobile Robotics Probabilistic Sensor Modelsais.informatik.uni-freiburg.de/teaching/ss17/robotics/slides/07... · Standard approach is triangulation Sensor provides

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Sensors for Mobile Robots Contact sensors: Bumpers

Proprioceptive sensors Accelerometers (spring-mounted masses) Gyroscopes (spinning mass, laser light) Compasses, inclinometers (earth magnetic field, gravity)

Proximity sensors Sonar (time of flight) Radar (phase and frequency) Laser range-finders (triangulation, tof, phase) Infrared (intensity)

Visual sensors: Cameras

Satellite-based sensors: GPS

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Proximity Sensors

The central task is to determine P(z|x), i.e., the probability of a measurement z given that the robot is at position x.

Question: Where do the probabilities come from? Approach: Let’s try to explain a measurement.

Page 4: Introduction to Mobile Robotics Probabilistic Sensor Modelsais.informatik.uni-freiburg.de/teaching/ss17/robotics/slides/07... · Standard approach is triangulation Sensor provides

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Beam-based Sensor Model Scan z consists of K measurements.

Individual measurements are independent given the robot position.

},...,,{ 21 Kzzzz =

∏=

=K

kk mxzPmxzP

1

),|(),|(

Page 5: Introduction to Mobile Robotics Probabilistic Sensor Modelsais.informatik.uni-freiburg.de/teaching/ss17/robotics/slides/07... · Standard approach is triangulation Sensor provides

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Beam-based Sensor Model

∏=

=K

kk mxzPmxzP

1

),|(),|(

Page 6: Introduction to Mobile Robotics Probabilistic Sensor Modelsais.informatik.uni-freiburg.de/teaching/ss17/robotics/slides/07... · Standard approach is triangulation Sensor provides

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Typical Measurement Errors of an Range Measurements

1. Beams reflected by obstacles

2. Beams reflected by persons / caused by crosstalk

3. Random measurements

4. Maximum range measurements

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Proximity Measurement Measurement can be caused by … a known obstacle. cross-talk. an unexpected obstacle (people, furniture, …). missing all obstacles (total reflection, glass, …).

Noise is due to uncertainty … in measuring distance to known obstacle. in position of known obstacles. in position of additional obstacles. whether obstacle is missed.

Page 8: Introduction to Mobile Robotics Probabilistic Sensor Modelsais.informatik.uni-freiburg.de/teaching/ss17/robotics/slides/07... · Standard approach is triangulation Sensor provides

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Beam-based Proximity Model Measurement noise

zexp zmax 0

bzz

hit eb

mxzP2

exp )(21

21),|(

−−

η

<

=−

otherwisezz

mxzPz

0e

),|( expunexp

λλη

Unexpected obstacles

zexp zmax 0

Page 9: Introduction to Mobile Robotics Probabilistic Sensor Modelsais.informatik.uni-freiburg.de/teaching/ss17/robotics/slides/07... · Standard approach is triangulation Sensor provides

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Beam-based Proximity Model Random measurement Max range

max

1),|(z

mxzPrand η=smallz

mxzP 1),|(max η=

zexp zmax 0 zexp zmax 0

Page 10: Introduction to Mobile Robotics Probabilistic Sensor Modelsais.informatik.uni-freiburg.de/teaching/ss17/robotics/slides/07... · Standard approach is triangulation Sensor provides

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Resulting Mixture Density

=

),|(),|(),|(

),|(

),|(

rand

max

unexp

hit

rand

max

unexp

hit

mxzPmxzPmxzP

mxzP

mxzP

T

αααα

How can we determine the model parameters?

Page 11: Introduction to Mobile Robotics Probabilistic Sensor Modelsais.informatik.uni-freiburg.de/teaching/ss17/robotics/slides/07... · Standard approach is triangulation Sensor provides

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Raw Sensor Data Measured distances for expected distance of 300 cm.

Sonar Laser

Page 12: Introduction to Mobile Robotics Probabilistic Sensor Modelsais.informatik.uni-freiburg.de/teaching/ss17/robotics/slides/07... · Standard approach is triangulation Sensor provides

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Approximation Maximize log likelihood of the data

Search space of n-1 parameters. Hill climbing Gradient descent Genetic algorithms …

Deterministically compute the n-th parameter to satisfy normalization constraint.

)|( expzzP

Page 13: Introduction to Mobile Robotics Probabilistic Sensor Modelsais.informatik.uni-freiburg.de/teaching/ss17/robotics/slides/07... · Standard approach is triangulation Sensor provides

Approximation Results

Sonar

Laser

300cm 400cm

Page 14: Introduction to Mobile Robotics Probabilistic Sensor Modelsais.informatik.uni-freiburg.de/teaching/ss17/robotics/slides/07... · Standard approach is triangulation Sensor provides

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Example

z P(z|x,m)

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Discrete Model of Proximity Sensors

Instead of densities, consider discrete steps along the sensor beam.

Laser sensor Sonar sensor

Page 16: Introduction to Mobile Robotics Probabilistic Sensor Modelsais.informatik.uni-freiburg.de/teaching/ss17/robotics/slides/07... · Standard approach is triangulation Sensor provides

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Approximation Results

Laser

Sonar

Page 17: Introduction to Mobile Robotics Probabilistic Sensor Modelsais.informatik.uni-freiburg.de/teaching/ss17/robotics/slides/07... · Standard approach is triangulation Sensor provides

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"sonar-0"

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 700 102030405060700

0.050.1

0.150.2

0.25

Influence of Angle to Obstacle

Page 18: Introduction to Mobile Robotics Probabilistic Sensor Modelsais.informatik.uni-freiburg.de/teaching/ss17/robotics/slides/07... · Standard approach is triangulation Sensor provides

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"sonar-1"

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 700 102030405060700

0.050.1

0.150.2

0.250.3

Influence of Angle to Obstacle

Page 19: Introduction to Mobile Robotics Probabilistic Sensor Modelsais.informatik.uni-freiburg.de/teaching/ss17/robotics/slides/07... · Standard approach is triangulation Sensor provides

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"sonar-2"

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 700 102030405060700

0.050.1

0.150.2

0.250.3

Influence of Angle to Obstacle

Page 20: Introduction to Mobile Robotics Probabilistic Sensor Modelsais.informatik.uni-freiburg.de/teaching/ss17/robotics/slides/07... · Standard approach is triangulation Sensor provides

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"sonar-3"

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 700 102030405060700

0.050.1

0.150.2

0.25

Influence of Angle to Obstacle

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Summary Beam-based Model Assumes independence between beams.

Justification? Overconfident!

Models physical causes for measurements. Mixture of densities for these causes. Assumes independence between causes. Problem?

Implementation Learn parameters based on real data. Different models should be learned for different angles at

which the sensor beam hits the obstacle. Determine expected distances by ray-tracing. Expected distances can be pre-processed.

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Scan-based Model Beam-based model is … not smooth for small obstacles and at edges. not very efficient.

Idea: Instead of following along the beam, just check the end point.

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Scan-based Model Probability is a mixture of … a Gaussian distribution with mean at distance to

closest obstacle, a uniform distribution for random

measurements, and a small uniform distribution for max range

measurements. Again, independence between different

components is assumed.

Page 24: Introduction to Mobile Robotics Probabilistic Sensor Modelsais.informatik.uni-freiburg.de/teaching/ss17/robotics/slides/07... · Standard approach is triangulation Sensor provides

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Example

P(z|x,m)

Map m

Likelihood field

Page 25: Introduction to Mobile Robotics Probabilistic Sensor Modelsais.informatik.uni-freiburg.de/teaching/ss17/robotics/slides/07... · Standard approach is triangulation Sensor provides

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San Jose Tech Museum

Occupancy grid map Likelihood field

Page 26: Introduction to Mobile Robotics Probabilistic Sensor Modelsais.informatik.uni-freiburg.de/teaching/ss17/robotics/slides/07... · Standard approach is triangulation Sensor provides

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Scan Matching Extract likelihood field from scan and use it

to match different scan.

Page 27: Introduction to Mobile Robotics Probabilistic Sensor Modelsais.informatik.uni-freiburg.de/teaching/ss17/robotics/slides/07... · Standard approach is triangulation Sensor provides

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Properties of Scan-based Model

Highly efficient, uses 2D tables only. Distance grid is smooth w.r.t. to small

changes in robot position.

Allows gradient descent, scan matching.

Ignores physical properties of beams.

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Additional Models of Proximity Sensors

Map matching (sonar, laser): generate small, local maps from sensor data and match local maps against global model.

Scan matching (laser): map is represented by scan endpoints, match scan into this map.

Features (sonar, laser, vision): Extract features such as doors, hallways from sensor data.

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Landmarks

Active beacons (e.g., radio, GPS) Passive (e.g., visual, retro-reflective) Standard approach is triangulation

Sensor provides distance, or bearing, or distance and bearing.

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Distance and Bearing

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Probabilistic Model 1. Algorithm landmark_detection_model(z,x,m):

2.

3.

4.

5. Return

22 ))(())((ˆ yimximd yx −+−=

),ˆprob(),ˆprob(det αεααε −⋅−= dddp

θα ,,,,, yxxdiz ==

θα −−−= ))(,)(atan2(ˆ ximyim xy

detp

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Distributions

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Distances Only No Uncertainty

P1 P2 d1 d2

x

X’

a

)(

2/)(22

1

22

21

2

xdy

addax

−±=

−+=

P1=(0,0) P2=(a,0)

Page 34: Introduction to Mobile Robotics Probabilistic Sensor Modelsais.informatik.uni-freiburg.de/teaching/ss17/robotics/slides/07... · Standard approach is triangulation Sensor provides

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P1

P2

D1

z1

z2 α

P3 D2 β

z3

D3

Bearings Only No Uncertainty

P1

P2 D1

z1

z2

α

α

αcos2 2122

21

21 zzzzD −+=

)cos(2)cos(2)cos(2

2123

21

23

2123

22

22

2122

21

21

βα

β

α

+−+=

−+=

−+=

zzzzDzzzzDzzzzDLaw of cosine

Page 35: Introduction to Mobile Robotics Probabilistic Sensor Modelsais.informatik.uni-freiburg.de/teaching/ss17/robotics/slides/07... · Standard approach is triangulation Sensor provides

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Bearings Only With Uncertainty

P1

P2

P3

P1

P2

Most approaches attempt to find estimation mean.

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Summary of Sensor Models Explicitly modeling uncertainty in sensing is key to

robustness. In many cases, good models can be found by the

following approach: 1. Determine parametric model of noise free measurement. 2. Analyze sources of noise. 3. Add adequate noise to parameters (eventually mix in

densities for noise). 4. Learn (and verify) parameters by fitting model to data. 5. Likelihood of measurement is given by “probabilistically

comparing” the actual with the expected measurement. This holds for motion models as well. It is extremely important to be aware of the

underlying assumptions!