introduction to nhs finance - future focused finance · •non-pay inflation – although national...
TRANSCRIPT
Introduction to NHS Finance
Budget Manager Training Programme
Mark Mawdsley, Commercial Finance Manager
Contents
2
1 The regulatory framework
2
3
4
Making the best use of resources
Where do we get our income from
The financial context
The Regulatory Framework
3
Understanding the regulatory
framework we work within.
The Development of
Foundation Trusts
• Created as public benefit companies under Health & Social Care Act 2003.
• Have a greater level of freedom:
– Regulated by Monitor not the DH;
– Greater governance freedoms; and
– Greater financial independence.
• Accountability to public via members and governors;
• All NHS Trusts are expected to become a FT;
• Application process through the National Trust Development Agency (NTDA;
• Monitored through financial ratios.
Why are Foundation Trusts
different?
• Not directed by the Government so have
greater freedom to decide their own strategy
and the way services are run;
• They can retain their surpluses and borrow to
invest in new and improved services; and
• They are accountable to their local
communities through their members and
governors, their commissioners through
contracts, Parliament & Monitor as their
regulator.
How does Monitor judge our
performance?
• From 1 October 2013, the Risk assessment framework replaced the
Compliance Framework.
• Key change is to move away from simply monitoring existing performance to
whether the FT is a “going concern” to ensure it has “Continuity of
Service”;
• The aim of the Risk assessment framework is to show when there is:
– a significant risk to the financial sustainability of a provider of key NHS
services which endangers the continuity of those services; and/or
– poor governance at an FT.
• Risks at each FT are assessed annually by reviewing three-year plans, the
current financial position is monitored every quarter.
• Under the current system BCH has reported at least Green for Governance
and a Continuity of Service Risk Rating (CoSRR) of 4 (1=Lowest Level,
4=Highest Level) for Finance for the last 2 financial years.
• BCH has a strong all round and preferable performance.
• Monitor’s view in June 2014 was that BCH was in the Top 20 financially
strong FTs.
Annual submissions to Monitor
In-year submissions to Monitor
The financial risk rating
Old System – 5 metrics in total
• Achievement of plan (10%):
– Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. (% of plan
achieved).
• Underlying performance (25%):
– EBITDA margin with 11% providing highest rating and need 5% to get average score.
• Financial efficiency:
– Return on assets (20%) – need 3% return to get average rating.
– I&E surplus margin (20%) – Need to get a surplus to get an average rating.
• Liquidity (25%):
– The number of days operating costs covered by cash reserves. The higher the
number of days the better the score.
New System – simplified 2 metrics
• Liquidity (50%):
– The number of days operating costs covered by cash reserves. The higher the
number of days the better the score.
• Debt Coverage (50%):
– The funds available to service debts/debt interest – this works against hospitals
with large PFIs
The governance rating
• Monitor will incorporate information across a number of areas:
– performance against selected national access and outcomes standards;
– CQC judgments on the quality of care provided;
– relevant information from third parties;
– a selection of information chosen to reflect quality governance at the organisation;
– the degree of risk to continuity of services and other aspects of risk relating to
financial governance; and
– any other relevant information.
• Monitor will:
– assign a green rating if no governance concern is evident;
– where they identify potential material causes for concern in one or more of the
categories they will replace green rating with description of issue and steps taken;
– assign a red rating if taking regulatory action.
• Monitor will be informed by the:
– seriousness of the issue;
– information they already have concerning the situation;
– effectiveness of the Trust’s initial response to it; and
– time-critical nature of the situation.
Indicators of Governance
concerns
The Governance rating
Trust Income
13
Where do we get our income
from?
Changing Contracting Situation
Clinical Commissioning Groups Potential Contract Value - £54m
Potential % of Clinical Income Portfolio - 24%
NHS England Potential Contract Value - £164m
Potential % of Clinical Income Portfolio - 73%
Non-Contracted Activity/Non-English Potential Contract Value - £6m
Potential % of Clinical Income Portfolio - 3%
14
Where do we provide services
to?
15
Where do we generate our
income from?
Healthcare Income £225m predicted in 2015/16
• From the provision of healthcare services:
– 46% of which is covered by a national tariff under payment by results;
– 52% of which is determined by locally negotiated prices;
– 2% balance is based on meeting a range of quality targets called CQUINs.
– We benefit from a subsidy to the tariff we receive called the paediatric ‘top-up’. For this we receive circa £17m (included in above %s).
Other Income Sources £21m predicted in 2015/16
• Private patients (less than 0.5% of total Trust Income);
• Training & education funding (3% of Total Trust Income);
• Research & development funding (less than 2% of Total Trust Income);
• Over 200 other sources including SLAs with other Acute providers.
We get paid in three ways
1. By a nationally determined tariff for eg: – accident & emergency;
– planned inpatient and planned emergency care;
– Outpatients procedures and attendances;
– Diagnostic imaging in Outpatients;
– Best practice tariffs;
– CF Pathway;
– Direct access.
2. By a locally determined tariff with a range of commissioners where activity can be quantified and costs attached.
3. By a ‘block contract’ for a range of services where eg we cannot identify an activity or the agreement is to supply a service irrespective of volume.
Payment by Results
• Implemented to:
– improve efficiency;
– increase value for money;
– facilitate choice;
– reduce waiting times; and
– improve quality and service innovation.
• PBR uses a national tariff of fixed prices that reflect national average prices for hospitals;
• Patient treatments within a cluster of diagnosis and procedure that consume the same level of resource are assigned to a Healthcare Resource Group;
• A range of areas are excluded from the national tariff e.g. high cost drugs;
• PBR does allow unbundling of the tariff to enable different aspects of treatment to be provided by different service providers – Diagnostic imaging unbundled in 2013/14;
• Increasing use of Best Practice Tariffs.
2015/16 Tariff
National tariff was consulted on in December 2014 Tariff Decision • 2015/16 tariff objected to by over 50% (by supply) of provider organisations including BCH. Our
objections were based on; – Proposed 50% marginal rate on specialised services given our portfolio would have a clear impact; – Proposed 1.9% efficiency was too high.
• Monitor offered providers the choice of an enhanced alternative putting a further £0.5bn into the provider sector. This was termed the Enhanced Tariff Option (ETO) and was a voluntary interim arrangement. The alternative is to remain with the Default Tariff Rollover (DTR);
• This was the biggest decision the Trust has had to make in this year’s planning round. ETO • Base tariff remains the same; • MRET (marginal rate emergency threshold) – increased from current 30% to 70% (initial 2015/16 tariff
said 50%); • Marginal cost reimbursement for specialised services increased to 70% (from proposed 50%); • Gross tariff deflator reduced to 3.5% from 3.8% (of this the tariff deflator drops from 1.9% to 1.6%) ; • 2.5% CQUIN (quality incentive payments) funds available; • CNST (insurance contribution) funding available; • Requirement to take part in national benchmarking exercise; • Early intervention mental health monies available. DTR • Current 2014/15 prices remain until they are formally suspended – gain on efficiency; • MRET remains at 30%; • No CNST or mental health funds available; • No/limited CQUIN funds or lower efficiency available for the whole of 2015/16.
20
Tariff Decision and Impact
£m
Base Tariff compared with 2014/15 -3.1
Default Tariff Rollover (DTR) compared with 2014/15 -4.7
Enhanced Tariff Option (ETO) compared with 2014/15 -2.4
Benefit of ETO over DTR 2.3
Source: Contracting Department Impact Analysis March 2015
For BCH there was a clear benefit in accepting the ETO. Additionally, for BCH the nature of the Trust’s balanced portfolio is important.
£'000 % £'000 %
Planned Care -889.0 -1.31 -497,948.0 -2.44%
Emergency Care 271.0 5.78 106,293.3 6.40%
Outpatients -447.0 -3.29 51,618.6 0.94%
Total -1,065.0 -1.23 -340,036.1 -1.24%
Source: National Casemix Office
BCH Income Impact v 14/15 National Income Impact v 14/15
HRG CZ14U Major Nose Procedure 18 years & under
21
PBR Example 1
HRG PA15A Acute Bronchiolitis with CC
22
PBR Example 2
Outpatient – Paediatric ENT
and Gastroenterology.
23
Factor determining price receive - ENT £
1st attendance single professional £105
1st attendance multi-professional £138
Follow up attendance single professional £63
Follow up attendance multi-professional £82
Factor determining price receive - Gastroenterology £
1st attendance single professional £247
1st attendance multi-professional £262
Follow up attendance single professional £157
Follow up attendance multi-professional £157
Issues
• Tariff does not = price it is based on average costs.
• Best practice tariffs are being introduced: – Per 2013/14 PbR Guidance “277. A best practice tariff (BPT) is a national
tariff that has been structured and priced to adequately reimburse and
incentivise care that is high quality and cost effective. The aim is to reduce
unexplained variation in clinical quality and universalise best practice.” –
Paediatric Diabetes and Paediatric Epilepsy impact on BCH.
• Non elective-care tariff adjustment – was 30% - now 50%
• Specialist top up: – Paediatrics 64% and 44%
– Orthopaedics 24%;
– Spinal Surgery 32%
– Neurosciences 28%
• Coding and data collection are important if we: – Want good quality information
– Are to be appropriately rewarded
• Commissioning quality initiative – CQUIN
• We need to look for new income streams.
Depth of diagnosis coding
Depth of procedure coding
Summary of coding depth by
specialty
Using Resources
Making the best use of the
resources we have available.
Where do we spend the money
we have available?
• Most of the money we get is spent on staff almost 67p out
of every £1.
• Therefore using our staffing resource efficiently is crucial
to the delivery of the savings targets we have to make.
• Independent benchmarking shows opportunities for
efficiencies when compared to similar organisations in all
staff groups other than estates.
• Other major spend categories:
– Drugs £22m;
– Clinical Supplies £21m;
– Clinical Negligence £1.6m;
• Overall Spend is Pay £157m and Non-Pay £80m.
Why do we need to make
efficiencies?
We have set a 4.0% efficiency requirement across all budgets in 2015/16, in effect this means taking £10million savings out of the Trust’s budget. Against those budgets we can influence, this equates to 4.9%. So why is this necessary?
1
• Legacy CIP not met by the Trust – shortfall on savings achieved in previous year
2
• Efficiency assumed in the original tariff – for every £1 we received in 2014/5 we will now receive 98.4p
3
• Pay inflation – Doctors and Agenda for Change staff will receive a pay rise in 2015/16. This is unfunded as is the rise in Employer pension costs.
4
• Non-pay inflation – although national inflation is low, NHS inflation especially drugs continues to rise. No external funds are provided.
5
• Allowance for cost pressures – there are numerous local pressures to be met eg loss of education and R&D income.
6 • Total
£1.00m
£3.35m
£2.31m
£2.34m
£1.00m
£10.0m
0.5%
1.7%
1.1%
1.1%
0.5%
4.9%
CIP in the outside world
ETO DTRRejected
both
Average
CIP %
No of
Trusts
with
known CIP
Specialist focus hospitals £2,222,714 9 5 4 5.90% 8
Medium sized university and specialist hospitals £9,268,052 20 15 2 3 8.10% 13
Larger university & specialist hospitals (>£690m turnover) £13,924,363 15 2 2 11 7.80% 13
ALL AUKUH Trusts £25,415,129 44 23 4 18 7.00% 34
No of Trusts opting forCIP required to break
even in 15/16Aggregate
turnover 13/14
£000s
No of
Trusts
Making Efficiency Savings
• We need to make sure that we have made best use of taxpayers money.
• Cash releasing savings – decrease in the amount of money that we spend on services.
• Non-cash releasing savings – More activity for the same costs – for example through reducing the average length of stay.
• Our cash releasing savings target:
– 4.0% - £10.0 million
– Split between trust-wide schemes and local schemes;
– How do we engage clinicians in delivering this?
– Do we change our approach in future years?
Why do we need a financial
surplus?
• There are four good reasons why we need to
make a surplus:
1. To provide financial cover for unforeseen
events.
2. To provide money to modernise equipment and estate. £35m Clinical Build.
3. To provide funds for service innovation and
improvement.
4. The credibility of the organisation with key
stakeholders.
Why are clinicians so important
in helping manage finances
• Improving quality of care and providing more responsive
services for patients can only be advanced if there is strong
involvement of local clinicians.
• This includes having the understanding, the tools and the
ability to manage resources effectively and use them well to
the benefit of patients.
• This is not about focusing on cost and cost alone. It is about
how money can best be used to improve the quality of care.
• The efficient use of resources and good quality services go
hand in hand.
• This is enshrined in the Medical Leadership Competency
Framework developed with the Academy of Medical Royal Colleges.
The Financial Context
Understanding the current
financial context.
Where does NHS Money Go?
Back in 2010/11
• The coalition Government agreed that the NHS
would be ‘protected’.
• What did this actually mean?
• No cash reduction at overall NHS level.
• Only minimal real growth.
• Sir David Nicholson, the Chief Executive of the
NHS, indicated that between £15bn to £20bn
needed to be saved on a budget of £105bn.
• Ageing population
• Medical technology
• NHS inflation
• Have things changed?
Facing very real pressures in the next few years…
Eco
no
mic
Political
Technological
Social £
•Increased morbidly across children and
young people •Retirement of
paediatric consultant workforce across the
West Midlands – increasing the demand
for our services
•Review of tariff likely •Changing nature of commissioning for specialist paediatric services •Growing support for a health campus at UHB •Legal challenges to reconfigurations
•Predicted ‘no-growth’ in acute sector •Pay restraint likely to come under pressure in 2013/14 and beyond •NHS inflation remains high – tariff is therefore likely to reduce in real terms value •Local authority financial squeeze
•New facilities at Manchester, planned at Liverpool & Sheffield •Cost of entry for new technologies becoming increasingly prohibitive
There remains a significant
challenge for the NHS
39
Annual productivity growth assumptions Funding requirement in 2020/21 above inflation
0.80% £21bn
1.50% £16bn
2-3% £8bn
Source: Health Foundation April 2015
NHS England estimates of funding pressures facing the NHS in England by the end of the decade
External Views Foundation Trust Network
• There will be a small but growing number of Trusts running annual deficits and without
financially sustainable plans;
• Greater flexibility and scope for innovation around T&Cs of employment are essential;
• The current track record in realising substantial savings through extensive reconfiguration is
not a cause for optimism;
• McKinsey’s international Hospital Institute believes that there are no current international
examples of hospitals systematically realising savings of 5% or more on a sustainable basis;
Association of UK University Hospitals
• Workforce reductions expected to be significantly greater in most organisations in 2013/14;
• Financial landscape is deteriorating in majority of Trusts.
Nuffield Trust
• Post 2014/15, to avoid cuts to the service or a
fall in the quality of care patients receive, the
NHS must achieve unprecedented sustained
increases in productivity or funding will need to
increase in real terms;
• Future pay settlements will be crucial to
limiting the levels of efficiency required;
• “This represents a profound challenge for the
NHS”
Where Are We Now?
Where Are We Now?
2014/15 …. Not a good year!
3rd quarter financial reports paint gloomy picture - Local NHS bodies have produced their gloomiest figures for years, with providers in particular showing significant aggregate deficits in the first few months of 2014/15.
• Reports from Monitor, the NHS Trust Development Authority and NHS England showed an aggregate year-to-date overspend of over £0.5bn in trusts, foundation trusts and clinical commissioning groups. This includes the first aggregate foundation trust deficit.
• Monitor said foundations reported an aggregate year-to-date deficit of £321m in the 3rd quarter of the financial year with a projected deficit of £375m. In its report on 3rd quarter performance, the regulator said 78 foundations reported deficits. Financial pressure was felt particularly in the acute sector, where 72% of trusts reported deficits, accounting for 100% of the total gross deficit.
• The FT sector’s performance at Q3 is as follows:
2014/15 summary
What About BCH 2014/15?
Category Sub-Set Metric Period Plan Actual Variance Weight Score Category Sub-Set Metric
Continuity of Service Risk Rating * YTD 4 4 0.00 50% 50% 100%
Continuity of Service Risk Rating * Forecast 4 4 0.00 50% 50% 100%
Debt Service Cover Rating * YTD 4 4 0.00 0% 0% 100%
Debt Service Cover Rating * Forecast 4 4 0.00 0% 0% 100%
Liquidity Rating * YTD 4 4 0.00 0% 0% 100%
Liquidity Rating * Forecast 4 4 0.00 0% 0% 100%
I&E Position (£m) In-Month -0.40 -1.14 -0.74 10% -8% -82%
I&E Position (£m) YTD 4.38 4.40 0.02 30% 30% 100%
I&E Position (£m) Forecast 4.38 4.40 0.02 30% 30% 100%
I&E Position (£m) Underlying 2.10 2.10 0.00 30% 30% 100%
Profitability - EBITDA (£m) In-Month -0.59 -0.65 -0.07 15% 13% 88%
Profitability - EBITDA (£m) YTD 11.82 11.53 -0.29 35% 34% 98%
Profitability - EBITDA (£m) Forecast 11.82 11.53 -0.29 50% 49% 98%
Cash (£m) YTD 45.49 51.55 6.05 50% 57% 113%
Cash (£m) Forecast 45.49 52.32 6.82 50% 58% 115%
Capital Expenditure (£m) YTD 12.74 12.14 -0.60 50% 48% 95%
Capital Expenditure (£m) Forecast 12.74 12.14 -0.60 50% 48% 95%
CIP Achievement (£m) In-Month 1.32 0.47 36% 10% 4% 36%
CIP Achievement (£m) YTD 9.46 6.91 73% 20% 15% 73%
CIP Achievement (£m) Forecast 9.46 6.91 73% 35% 26% 73%
CIP Achievement (£m) Recurrent 9.46 6.42 68% 35% 24% 68%
Income per £1 Pay Expenditure (£) YTD 1.56 1.57 101% 50% 50% 101%
Income per wte (£) In-Month 70.27 80.94 115% 50% 58% 115%
% of Pay Bill on Temporary Staff (%) in-Month 5.0% 5.5% 110% 25% 23% 110%
% of Pay Bill on Temporary Staff (%) YTD 5.0% 5.3% 106% 75% 71% 106%
Contract Penalties/CQUIN Target (£m) YTD 5.01 4.93 -0.08 50% 49% 98%
Contract Penalties/CQUIN Target (£m) Forecast 5.46 5.23 -0.23 50% 48% 96%
OVERALL 96%
Temp Spend 93%
FINANCIAL BALANCED SCORECARD - MARCH
97%
Liquidity
Efficiency
CQUIN/
Penalties
100%
82%
96%
114%
95%
68%
100%
88%
109%
85%
Governance
I&E and
Profitability
CoSRR
I&E
Profitability
108%
Cash
Capex
CIP
Productivity
What About BCH 2015/16?
2014/15 Annual
Plan
2015/16
Provisional Plan -
Year 2 of 2014/15
Op Plan
2015/16
Provisional Plan
£'000 £'000 £'000
Income from activities
Elective Inpatients 25,894
Elective Day Cases 16,964
Non-Elective 33,478
Outpatients 23,029
ED 4,843
Other 113,102
ROH 475 476 470
Total Income from Activities 217,785 215,159 225,799
Other Income 19,877 21,086 21,088
Operating Expenses -225,841 -223,855 -237,334
EBITDA 11,822 12,390 9,553
Interest Receivable 243 188 150
Depreciation -4,624 -5,291 -4,559
Profit/(Loss) on Asset Disposal 0 0 0
Impairment 0 0 0
PDC Dividend -2,762 -2,979 -2,730
Interest Paid -300 -300 -300
Net Surplus/(Deficit) 4,379 4,008 2,113
EBITDA Margin % 4.2% 4.2% 3.7%
I&E Surplus % 1.8% 1.7% 0.9%
214,683 225,329
Key Risks As reported at the March FRC the key financial risks for 2015/16 are as follows:
• CIP delivery – in value terms at £10m this is the Trust’s biggest CIP target yet. Performance in 2014/15 has improved on previous years although this falls short of the target needed in 2015/16;
• The threat to contract income through the fine/penalty regime. This is an area that will be targeted in 2015/16. We were fortunate to escape penalties during Q1-Q3 in 2014/15 and this will not be an option in 2015/16. Mitigations around demand management will be pursued by the Contracting Team;
• The demand risk and the impact of receiving 70% for specialised services above the Stated Base Value (SBV). This risk will be tempered the higher that the SBV can be negotiated. Further mitigations around market share and demographic growth will also be pursued;
• CAMHs Community contract. Financial mitigations for this have been put in place. However, the full magnitude of what is required will not be known prior to the agreement of the 2015/16 Plan;
• Controlling our temporary pay bill. At just under £10m this is an area where greater financial rigour will benefit the efficiency and core finance agenda.
Since the March FRC meeting no events have occurred which require further risksto be added to the above.
14
Forecast Original Revised
Outturn Base £4.1m Plan
Statement Metric 2014/15 2015/16 2015/16
SOCI EBITDA 11.09 9.0 9.1
SOCI EBITDA margin 4.5% 3.8% 3.7%
SOCI Net Surplus/(Deficit) 4.4 4.1 2.1
SOFP Cash and Cash Equivalents 52.3 37.7 40.8
SOFP Net Current Assets (Liabilities) 31.1 18.0 16.9
SOFP Total Assets Employed 133.1 137.3 133.7
Risk rating
COSRR Liquidity ratio score 4 4 4
COSRR Capital servicing capacity score 4 4 4
COSRR OVERALL Continuity of Service Risk Rating (CoSRR) 4 4 4
Finance Is Everyone’s
Responsibility Academy of Medical Royal Colleges says
• Clinicians should understand the basics of NHS Finance.
• Senior clinical staff should be familiar with the financing arrangements for their service and understand the basics of budgetary management.
• Clinicians should be encouraged to take financial responsibility for their service with freedom to makes changes to improve their services.
• Clinicians have the right to expect prompt, reliable information presented in a way they understand.
NHS Leadership Academy - Managing resources Leaders manage resources: knowing what resources are available and using their influence to ensure that resources are used efficiently and safely, and reflect the diversity of needs. Competent leaders: •Accurately identify the appropriate type and level of resources required to deliver safe and effective services •Ensure services are delivered within allocated resources •Minimise waste •Take action when resources are not being used efficiently and effectively