investigating the potential for platform cost reductions · ungraded . 21 january 2016 ....
TRANSCRIPT
DNV GL © 2014
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21 January 2016 SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER DNV GL © 2014
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21 January 2016 M. Kvittem, A. Steinert (TUHH), M. Ebbesen, D. Merino
ENERGY
Scaling up floating wind
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Investigating the potential for platform cost reductions
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Agenda
Introduction
Optimisation tool
Case studies
Results: Costs
Results: Optimisation
Conclusions
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Introduction
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Cost Reduction for Offshore Wind
Our promise to the industry:
Do things RIGHT
Do things BETTER
Do things DIFFERENTLY
“DNV GL is committed to help drive the commercialisation of floating wind power technology”
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Technically ready does not mean it’s commercial
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Source: http://arena.gov.au/files/2014/02/Commercial-Readiness-Index.pdf
Floating Wind
Onshore Wind
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Optimisation tool
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Motivation
What are the cost drivers for floating wind turbines?
How does a platform scale with larger turbines?
What is the impact of various turbine parameters on the platform design?
– Tower top mass
– Maximum thrust force
– Hub height
How to change the geometry of the platform to obtain a cost-optimized structure?
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Semi-submersible optimisation
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Iterates through a large space of variables:
– Column diameter
– Column spacing
– Draught
– Heave plate size
Constraints for the design:
– Surge, heave and pitch periods
– Maximum static tilt in operation
– Maximum dynamic tilt in survival
– Maximum tower base bending moment
– Nacelle acceleration
Cost rates per steel mass unit based on type of structural element
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Optimisation tool
18/01/2016
Developed in collaboration with master student Alexander Steinert
Optimisation with respect to unit cost
Parameter influences
Turbine rating influence 0 Optimisation
loop
Environmental condition Turbine properties
Optimal solution Parameter influences
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Particle Swarm Optimisation (PSO)
Find: Optimal solution ( )
– Minimise cost (objective function)
– Satisfy design criteria (constraints)
Stochastic process
1 swarm particle = 1 Platform
18/01/2016
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Current limitations
Currently only tested for a semi-submersible type floater
Linear or linearized theory
Limited structural check
No fatigue limit state
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Case studies
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Scaling up platforms for 10 and 20 MW turbines
Extreme wind speed: 50 m/s
50 year significant wave height: 18 m
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Platform optimisation for different turbines
Environmental Condition
50-year event
Location: West of Norway
– 𝐻𝐻𝑠𝑠 = 10.96 𝑚𝑚
– 𝑇𝑇𝑃𝑃 = 11.06 𝑠𝑠
– 𝑈𝑈10 = 39.49 𝑚𝑚𝑠𝑠
Turbines
Adapted for floating support structure
– Reinforced tower base
Scaled thrust force, based on NREL turbine using rotor swept area
NREL FORCE DTU Rating 5 MW 7 MW 10 MW
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Results: Cost
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Support structure cost
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60% increase in cost from 10 to 20 MW.
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
10 MW 20 MW
Mill
ion
EU
R
Anchors
Mooring lines
Secondary steel
Heave plates
Bracings
Column
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Cost development
With slenderness ratio Without slenderness ratio
Cos
t [M
illio
n €]
Cos
t [M
illio
n €]
Cos
t pe
r M
W
[Mill
ion
€/M
W]
Cos
t pe
r M
W
[Mill
ion
€/M
W]
5 7 10 [MW]
1.8
1.6
1.4
16
12 8
8
6
1.2 1
0.8
5 7 10 [MW]
5 7 10 [MW]
5 7 10 [MW]
Steinert, 2015, Master thesis TUHH
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Results: Optimisation
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Optimisation progression Steinert, 2015, Master thesis TUHH
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Resulting optimal solutions
18/01/2016
Steinert, 2015, Master thesis TUHH
NREL 5 MW FORCE 7 MW DTU 10 MW Column diameter [m] (DC) 6 9 11 Heave plate diameter [m] (DHP)
15 22 25
Draft [m] 15 22 29 Platform radius [m] (R) 41 60 62 𝐃𝐃𝐇𝐇𝐇𝐇 𝐃𝐃𝐂𝐂⁄ 2.5 2.4 2.3 𝐑𝐑/𝐃𝐃𝐂𝐂 6.8 6.7 5.6
NREL 5 MW FORCE 7MW DTU 10 MW
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Conclusions
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Observations
Numerical optimisation is a useful tool for initial assessments
Column spacing prevailing parameter
Sensitive to structural component type prices
Structural design should be included in the optimisation loop
Will the cost per MW go down with increasing turbine size?
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Industrialisation of floating wind – IN-FLOAT
- Large potential for cost reduction through industrialisation
- Large potential for learning from onshore wind towers
- Large opportunities with bolted connections, casted nodes, and lightweight modules
- Expanded supply chain – increased competition
Open source concept. Improve it!
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www.dnvgl.com
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Email: [email protected]