investment climate statement the philippines6 direct investment trends : inward investment source:...
TRANSCRIPT
Copyright (c) Mizuho Bank, Ltd. All Rights Reserved.
Investment Climate Statement – The Philippines
October 2018
Mizuho Bank, Ltd.
Global Strategic Advisory Department
1
Economic Characteristics
Presence of financial conglomerates Overseas Filipinx Workers (OFW)
In the Philippines, the Spanish-based financial conglomerates had
great power, partially due to the history of Spanish rule. However,
now, except for the Ayala financial conglomerate, the Chinese
financial conglomerates have greater presence.
Financial conglomerates are said to actually control 70% to 80% of
the Philippine economy. They have developed businesses in the fields
of finance, real estate, communications, retail, food, and so on. In
recent years, they are actively developing infrastructure.
Many of the conglomerates exercise great influence in politics, for
example by producing members of parliament and governors from
their families.
Main financial conglomerates in the Philippines
The total amount remitted by OFWs in 2017 through banks to the
Philippines was USD28 billion (an increase of 4.3% from the previous year).
The remittance amount including non-bank transfers was approximately
USD31.2 billion, which accounts for about 10% of the Philippines’ GDP.
These remittances make a major contribution to Philippine economic growth
by supporting private consumption, together with making a major
contribution to the acquisition of foreign currencies in the Philippines.
One-third of all OFWs are permanent residents in the United States, and a
high percentage of them have high-paid occupations such as doctor, nurse, or
accountant. Meanwhile, looking at new destination countries where workers
are dispatched, demand is growing from Middle Eastern countries such as
Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, etc. Workers are often
dispatched there as construction workers or domestic workers (housemaids).
Remittance amount from OFWs
Sources: Compiled by the Global Strategic Advisory Department of Mizuho Bank, Ltd., based on data from the Central Bank of the
Philippines (BSP), etc.
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
(USD million)Name Main Companies Ethnicity
Ayala Group Ayala Corp. (conglomerate), Bank of Phil. Islands (bank), Pure
Foods (foods), Globe Telecom (telecommunications), etc.
Spanish
Soriano Group A. Soriano Corp. (ANSCOR, conglomerate), Int’l Container
Terminal Services (logistics), Phelps Dodge Phils., Inc. (copper
ore), etc.
Spanish
SM Group BDO Unibank (bank), SM (retail), etc. Chinese
JG Summit JG Summit Holdings (holding company), Robinson’s Land (real
estate), Universal Robina (foods), Digital Telecom Phil.
(telecommunications), etc.
Chinese
San Miguel Group San Miguel (beer), etc. Chinese
Yuchengco Group Rizal Commercial Banking Corp. (finance), etc. Chinese
LT Group Share Holdings (holding company), Philippine Airlines (airlines),
Allied Banking Corp. (finance), etc.
Chinese
Lopez Group Benpres Holdings (holding company), Manila Electric Com.
(MERALCO, electric power), Bayan Telecommunication
(telecommunications), etc.
Philippines
2
Trade Overview (1): Exports
Electronics products account for the majority of exports from the Philippines (2000: approximately 70%; 2016: approximately 50%) due to the entry of Western semiconductor manufacturers in the 1970s and the expansion of Japanese electrical equipment manufacturers in the 1980s and 1990s.
Looking at export destinations, the US was the largest (about 30%) by the mid-2000s. However, as exports shifted to electronics-related items, exports increased to Asian countries, which are manufacturing bases. The dependence on the US decreased proportionally.
Export trends (by country)
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Other Petroleum products
Copper ingot Food and beveragesFruits and vegetables Coconut productsTextiles and clothing Chemical products
Furniture and wood crafts Machinery and transportation equipmentElectronics products
(USD million)
Japan
21%
U.S.
15%
Europe
13%China
11%
Hong Kong
12%
Singapore
6%
South Korea
4%
Taiwan
4%
ASEAN (excl.
Singapore)
8%
Middle East
1%
Others
5%
Source: Compiled by the Global Strategic Advisory Department of Mizuho Bank, Ltd., based on data from the National Statistics Office
of the Philippines
Export trends (by commodity)
3
Trade Overview (2): Imports
The development of the Philippines manufacturing industry has been delayed in the capital goods and intermediate goods sectors. Imports of capital goods and intermediate goods also increase as exports increase, and so the trade deficit has become permanent.
In the past, the US and Japan were central as import partners. However, the proportion of Asian countries has risen due to trade expansion within Asia. Currently, China is the largest import partner.
Import trends (by country)
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Other FeedCommunications and electrical equipment Iron ore and steelChemical products PlasticsCereals Industrial equipmentTransport equipment FuelElectronics parts
(USD million)
Japan
12%
U.S.
9%
Europe
9%
China
18%
Hong Kong
3%
Singapore
7%
South
Korea
6%
Taiwan
6%
ASEAN (excl.
Singapore)
20%
Middle East
4% Other
6%
Source: Compiled by the Global Strategic Advisory Department of Mizuho Bank, Ltd., based on data from the National Statistics Office
of the Philippines
Export trends (by commodity)
4
Industrial Structure
Industrialization advanced faster in the Philippines than in surrounding Asian countries after World War II. However, subsequently the shift to export-oriented industries was delayed in the Philippines. So, the country’s manufacturing industry has been sluggish since then.
Meanwhile, the service industry has become the industry where people seek employment, and as a result, the unemployment rate is relatively high (⇒ wage increase rate is low).
In recent years, BPO business (included in “other services”) has grown into a major industry that accounts for about 10% of GDP. Sales in recent years have expanded by about 10% every year.
The Philippines GDP by economic sector (YOY)
Tertiary industry:
Approx. 54%
Secondary industry
Approx. 32%Primary industry:
Approx. 14%
Tertiary industry:
Approx. 58%
Secondary industry:
Approx. 27%
Primary industry:
Approx. 10%
Agriculture,
forestry, and
fishing
8.8%
Mining
1.0%
Manufacturin
g
23.2%
Electricity and
gas
3.3%
Construction
6.2%Wholesale and
retail
16.8%
Transportation and
telecommunications 7.6%
Finance
7.3%
Real estate and
leasing
11.6%
Public service
3.9%Other
services
10.4%
Agriculture,
forestry, and
fishing
13.3%
Mining
1.0%
Manufacturing
23.7%
Electricity and
gas
3.6%Construction
4.4%
Wholesale and
retail
16.5%
Transportation and
telecommunications
8.1%
Finance
5.7%
Real estate and
leasing
9.4%
Public service
9.6%
Other services
4.7%
2005 2016
Sources: Compiled by the Global Strategic Advisory Department of Mizuho Bank, Ltd., based on data from the National Statistics Office
of the Philippines, JETRO materials, NNA news, etc.
5
Industry Characteristics
Manufacturing: Development is delayed and the percentage of the working population is low. Reduction of the manufacturing cost through infrastructure improvement is expected.
BPO industry: This industry has grown into a major industry that accounts for about 10% of GDP. In the future, boosting of the value added will be an issue.
Retail: This industry is supported by robust domestic demand, and growth is expected in the future.
Features and trends of major industries
Sources: Compiled by the Global Strategic Advisory Department of Mizuho Bank, Ltd., based on data from the National Statistics Office
of the Philippines, NNA news, etc.
Development of manufacturing is
delayed; the percentage of the
working population in
manufacturing dropped from 9.3%
in 2005 to 8.2% in 2016
The types of businesses include
food processing, electronics-
related businesses
(semiconductors, etc.), and petro-
chemical products
Manufacturing
Features
Recent
trends
While labor cost is cheap in the
Philippines, the infrastructure is
weak. As a result, the high
manufacturing cost is a problem
Under the current administration,
infrastructure development is an
important policy, and reduction of
manufacturing cost is anticipated
BPO industry Retail
Because there are many English
speakers and labor is cheap, the
BPO (Business Process
Outsourcing) industry has
developed
It has grown into a major industry
that now accounts for about 10%
of GDP
Retail will experience strong
growth due to the continuing
population bonus and the increase
in middle-income earners
Due to high hurdles that restrict
foreign investment, major
financial conglomerates have a
strong presence
BPO in the Philippines focuses on
labor-intensive operations (call
centers are common)
In the future, it will be a challenge
to add value to the BPO industry,
such as by strengthening non-
voice fields (accounting, law,
healthcare, etc.)
The Philippines is a country made
up of many islands, and so
development of modern retail
markets is delayed outside urban
areas
In the future, modern retail
markets utilizing cold chains, etc.,
and EC are expected to expand
6
Direct Investment Trends : Inward Investment
Source: Compiled by the Global Strategic Advisory Department of Mizuho Bank, Ltd., based on data from the National Statistics Office
of the Philippines
Direct investment decreased due to the 2008 financial crisis, but it gradually recovered thereafter and hit a record high in 2012.
In 2014, direct investment decreased due to concern about electric power shortages and the turmoil in logistics due to regulation of heavy truck driving in Manila City that began in February of that year. (The truck regulation was lifted in September 2014.)
In 2017, the amount of approved FDI dropped by half because many companies decided to take a wait-and-see approach due to the impact of the regime change in the previous year and social unrest, including armed conflict with Muslim extremists. By industry, the manufacturing industry, which accounts for 52% of the total, decreased by 43%.
Meanwhile, domestic investment was steady. The total amount approved both domestically and overseas was PHP911.3 billion, an increase of more than 30% YOY.
Trends in foreign direct investment (approved) New FDI approved by business type (2017)
121,816
196,069
258,231
289,118274,014
186,943
245,216
219,039
105,639
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Japan The Netherlands Australia U.S.
Singapore South Korea China Other
(Peso million)
Manufacturing
52%
Real Estate-related
21%
Management operations, etc.
(including BPO)
13%
Energy-related
5%
Other
9%
7
The Attractions and Pointers (Issues) for Investors
The Philippines has abundant human resources with high English ability and low wages. It has the potential to be an attractive consumer market.
Meanwhile, the Philippines is in the developmental stage. It is necessary to pay attention to the lack of infrastructure and non-transparent policy management, etc.
Under the sponsorship of the president, security measures and anti-poverty measures are being implemented, and the number of crimes has decreased greatly. However, there are security problems such as armed conflict with Islamic extremists in some areas.
Sources: Compiled by the Global Strategic Advisory Department of Mizuho Bank, Ltd., based on data from various public sources
Abundant labor force
Low wage levels for workers
High number of English speakers
Pro-Japanese sentiment
Market with latent potential
Geographical proximity to Japan
Weak infrastructure environment
Support industries still emerging
High corporate tax rates compared
to other ASEAN members
Security/safety problems
Non-transparent policy
management
Relatively expensive electricity
Attractions for foreign investors Pointers (issues) for foreign investors
8
About the Mizuho Bank Manila Branch
Address
25th Floor, Zuellig Building, Makati Avenue corner
Paseo de Roxas, Makati City 1225, Metro Manila,
Philippines
Tel. 63-2-860-3500
Open Monday - Friday
Activities
Deposits
Lending
L/C issuance, acceptance, and confirmation
Acceptance and negotiation of import/export bills
Remittances, foreign exchange contracts
Guarantees Access from the airport
approximately 45 minutes by taxi
Source: Compiled by the Global Strategic Advisory Department of Mizuho Bank, Ltd.
9
Business Cooperation (1): Bank of the Philippine Islands (BPI)
Established in 1851, BPI is the oldest bank in the Philippines.
BPI is part of the Ayala Group, a Spanish financial conglomerate with the
longest history of any financial conglomerate in the Philippines.
Branches: 820 domestic branches and 5 foreign branches
ATMs: 2,575 ATMs
Shareholder structure: Ayala and affiliates, 48.3%; Roman Catholic Archbishop
of Manila, 8.3%; GIC Private Limited (formerly known as Government of
Singapore Investment Corporation), 5.6%, Other, 37.8%
Ratings: Moody’s Baa2; Fitch BBB-
Financial information: Total assets: PHP1,450,197 million; loan balance:
PHP800,170 million; current net income: PHP18,039 million
Purpose of signing MOU
To promote cooperation in various fields such as local settlement business,
business matching, foreign exchange-related guarantee transactions, etc.,
through a partnership with a major local bank that possess advantages
financially and in its domestic network
To establish a system that can support domestic settlement transactions (salary
transfers, etc.) that has been flowing to local banks (including study of an
efficient payment scheme from Mizuho Bank’s accounts to affiliated
employees’ accounts, etc.)
Content of MOU
1. Local currency services
2. Introduction of local partners and
local sales outlets, etc.
3. Mutual cooperation on developing the
local debt market
4. Exchange of information on local
financial markets and regulations
BPI outline
Sources: Compiled by the Global Strategic Advisory Department of Mizuho Bank, Ltd., based on the bank’s website, etc.
10
Business Cooperation (2): The Department of Trade and Industry (DTI)
DTI (Department of Trade and Industry)
The DTI is a government body responsible for industrial
development and the promotion of trade and inward direct
investment.
The Philippine Economic Zone Authority (PEZA) and the Board
of Investment (BOI) are both DTI affiliates which encourage
inward foreign direct investment.
Purpose of the signing of a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU)
Through the MOU, smoother support will be offered for Japanese
companies to expand their investment in the Philippines to
domestic demand-oriented industries. This will be achieved
through collection of information from the DTI and visits to
individual companies together with the DTI.
(Mizuho Bank is the first Japanese bank to sign an MOU with the
DTI.)
Contents of the MOU
1. Mutual cooperation on attraction of
Japanese companies and their expansion
into the Philippines
2. Collaboration on the introduction of
companies for investment, arrangement
of interviews in the Philippines, and
investment promotion activities
Sources: Compiled by the Global Strategic Advisory Department of Mizuho Bank, Ltd., based on the bank’s website, etc.
11
Disclaimer
© 2018 Mizuho Bank, Ltd.
These materials have been prepared solely for the purpose of providing information relating to financial solutions, and are not intended to induce
or introduce readers to engage in any particular financial transaction. Nor do they assume any transaction with any Mizuho Financial Group
company.
These materials have been prepared based on information adjudged to be reliable and accurate, but Mizuho Bank, Ltd., does not guarantee its
reliability or accuracy. Readers are requested to exercise their own judgment when using these materials and, if necessary, to consult with
lawyers, certified public accountants, tax accountants, and other experts in this regard.
The entire content of these materials is subject to the copyright of Mizuho Bank, Ltd., with all rights reserved. Accordingly, these materials, in
whole or in part, may not be (i) copied, photo copied, or reproduced in any other means, or (ii) redistributed without written consent of Mizuho
Bank, Ltd.