investment week market focus 10 march 2020 · 10 credit analysts, with further hires planned active...
TRANSCRIPT
Investment Week – Market Focus
10 March 2020
This document is for Professional Clients only and is not for
consumer use.
Thomas Moore
Fund Manager, Invesco High Yield Fund (UK)
Opportunities in high yield bonds
Thomas Moore, Fund Manager and Senior Analyst
Thomas joined Invesco in June 2016 as a Senior Credit Analyst before being appointed Fund Manager for the Invesco High Yield Fund (UK) in December 2016.
Thomas began his career in New York in 1999 at Orion Consultants, where he held a number of roles
focused on US and international fixed income markets. In 2004 he moved to Morgan Stanley, where he held senior roles within the fixed income division. In 2011 he became Head of European Credit Analytics
before being promoted to Managing Director in 2012.
Thomas is a graduate of Harvard and Oxford Universities and holds an MBA from Columbia Business
School. He is also a CFA Charterholder.
Thomas Moore, Fund Manager Biography
Source: Invesco.
2
Strong heritage
▪ The team manages £10.9bn in high yield rated bonds
▪ The team has invested in high yield for over 25 years
Strong analytical resource
▪ 10 credit analysts, with further hires planned
Active & flexible approach
Invesco High Yield Fund (UK)Invesco’s strengths in high yield
Source: Invesco as at 31 December 2019.
3
The Invesco Henley Fixed Interest Team
Source: Invesco as at 31 January 2020. Years refers to time in team and () refers to industry experience. Subject to rounding.
4
Fund Manager Fund Manager/
Analyst
Analyst Markets & Risk Product Management
Alex Iv anova
Fund Manager, CFA
5 years (19)
Paul Causer
Team Co-Head
26 years (36)
Asad Bhatti
Fund Manager/
Senior Analyst, CFA
17 years (19)
Edward Craven
Senior Analyst, FCA
9 years (16)
Lewis Aubrey-Johnson
Head of Fixed Income
Products
16 years (23)
Paul Read
Team Co-Head
25 years (34)
Rhys Dav ies
Fund Manager/
Senior Analyst, CFA
16 years (18)
Tom Hemmant
Senior Analyst, ACA
9 years (17)
Dan Dewar
Head Dealer
7 years (26)
Alister Brown
Product Director
9 years (30)
Stuart Edwards
Fund Manager
14 years (23)
Thomas Moore
Fund Manager/
Senior Analyst, CFA
4 years (20)
Fund Management
Assistant
Jack Parker
Deputy Fund
Manager/Senior
Macro Analyst, CFA, 9 years (12)
Mark McDonnell
Macro Analyst
5 years (7)
Oliv ia Finch
Senior Dealer
7 years (9)
Mei Ong
Fund Management
Assistant
19 years (26)
Michael Matthews
Fund Manager
24 years (26)
Julien Eberhardt
Fund Manager/
Senior Analyst, CFA
11 years (14)
Jessica Svantesson
Credit Analyst
5 years (13)
Cathal Dowling
Product Director
6 years (21)
Roddy More
Analyst, CFA
3 years (6)
Samir Patel
Credit Analyst
2 years (13)
Sarah Williams
Credit Analyst
1 year (5)
Jonathan Oakley
Senior Dealer
<1 year (18)
Albert Karavis
Junior Dealer
<1 year (<1 )
Credit analysis
Source: Invesco as at 31 January 2020. Subject to rounding.
5
Asad Bhatti CFA Charterholder 17 years in team 19 years experience Emerging Markets, Metals & Mining
Rhys Davies CFA Charterholder 16 years in team 18 years experienceChemicals, Autos, Gaming, Rental, Construction, Distressed
Julien Eberhardt CFA Charterholder 11 years in team 14 years experience Banks: US, Europe, Japan
Edward Craven Fellowship Chartered Accountant 9 years in team 16 years experience Telecom, Media, Technology, Leisure
Tom Hemmant Associate Chartered Accountant 9 years in team 17 years experienceUtilities, Energy, Infrastructure, Paper & Packaging, Building materials, Construction
Jessica Svantesson MA International Business 5 years in team 13 years experience Infrastructure, Transport, Technology, Services
Thomas Moore CFA Charterholder 4 years in team 20 years experience Retails, Consumer, Food
Samir Patel CFA Level III Candidate 2 years in team 13 years experienceBanks (UK, Ireland, Nordics, Netherlands, Belgium, Spain, Portugal), Insurance
Sarah Williams CFA Level III Candidate 1 year in team 5 years experience General
A well resourced, highly experienced team
Why invest in high yield?High yield still the highest yielding asset class
Source: Bloomberg, ICE BofAML, 31 December 2019. Yield measure for equities is trailing 12mth dividend yield. JGBs is ICE BofAML Japan Government Index. EUR Govts is ICE
BofAML Euro Government Index. Gilts is ICE BofAML UK Gilt Index. USTs is ICE BofAML US Treasury Index. EUR IG is ICE BofAML Euro Corporate Index. GBP IG is ICE BofAML
Sterling Corporate Index. USD IG is ICE BofAML US Corporate Index. EM LC Sov is ICE BofAML All Maturity Emerging Markets Sovereign Bond Index. EM HC Govt is ICE BofAML
Emerging Markets External Sovereign Index. EUR HY is ICE BofAML Euro High Yield Index. GBP HY is ICE BofAML Sterling High Yield Index. USD HY is ICE BofAML US High Yield
Index. CoCos is ICE BofAML Contingent Capital Index. US equities is S&P500 Index, European equities is BE500 Index, Asian equities is FTSE All World Asia Pacif ic Index.
6
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120
Effe
ctive
yie
ld (
%)
Market value (USD trn)
JGBs EUR Govt
EM HC Gov GBP HY
USD HY
EUR HY
European Equities
US Equities
Asian Equities
USD IG
EM LC Gov
GBP IG
EUR IG
USTs
Gilts
Short treasuries
TIPS
CoCos
Why invest in high yield?Low short-term correlation to government bonds
Past performance is not a guide to future returns.
Source: Macrobond as at 29 February 2020. Fund performance figures are based on the Z (accumulation) share class, shown in sterling, inclusive of reinvested income and net of the
Ongoing Charge and portfolio transaction costs. Index f igures are total return, in sterling. Please note the ICE BofAML European Currency High Yield Index (GBP Hedged) and ICE
BoAML Gilt Index is not a target, constraining or comparator benchmark of the fund. The comparative information shown here is to illustrate the fund manager’s active investment
approach and provide broader market context.
7
High Yield spreads2019 a reversal of 2018
Source: Macrobond, ICE BofAML, 28 February 2020. Spread is Option Adjusted Spread.
8
31 Dec 2018 31 Dec 2019
Spread (bps) Effective Yield (%) Ave Price Spread (bps) Effective Yield (%) Ave Price
European (€/£) 522 5.07 96.15 324 2.92 103.2
European currency high yield corporatesYield and spread
Source: Macrobond, 2 March 2020. Yield is to maturity.
9
ECB and Fed continue to underpin markets
Source: Macrobond, 29 February 2020. All future data points are forecast.
10
Default rate expected to rise modestly
Source: Moody’s Default Trends – Global: December 2019 Default Report, 10 January 2020.
11
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
Sep 04 Sep 06 Sep 08 Sep 10 Sep 12 Sep 14 Sep 16 Sep 18 Sep 20
Global US Europe Current
Moody’s trailing 12-month high yield default rate with baseline forecast
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
Jun 0
4
Jun 0
5
Jun 0
6
Jun 0
7
Jun 0
8
Jun 0
9
Jun 1
0
Jun 1
1
Jun 1
2
Jun 1
3
Jun 1
4
Jun 1
5
Jun 1
6
Jun 1
7
Jun 1
8
Jun 1
9
Net Leverage
Net Leverage (Adj for composition last 4 quarters)
Issuer Net Debt / Leverage
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
6.5
7.0
Jun 0
4
Jun 0
5
Jun 0
6
Jun 0
7
Jun 0
8
Jun 0
9
Jun 1
0
Jun 1
1
Jun 1
2
Jun 1
3
Jun 1
4
Jun 1
5
Jun 1
6
Jun 1
7
Jun 1
8
Jun 1
9
EBITDA / Interest Expense
Percent of issuers below 2.5x Interest Cover (RHS)
Issuer EBITDA / Interest Expense
European high yield fundamentalsLeverage has risen but interest coverage ratio high
Source: J.P. Morgan, January 2020.
12
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Gross issuance Redemptions Net of coupon issuance
European currency corporate high yield: issuance, redemptions and net of coupon issuance (€bn)
European corporate high yield issuance Supply less than ‘reinvestment demand’
Source: J.P. Morgan, 3 January 2020.
13
2019 gross issuance: €87.0bn
2019 redemptions: €69.6bn
2019 coupon payments: €13.9bn
2019 net issuance net of coupon €3.5bn
Source: Barclays, 3 February 2020. For illustrative purposes only.
14
European high yieldLargest issuers in index by amount outstanding
Barclays PEHY Non-Financials by amount outstanding
Issuer # Par O/S
($bn)
MV
(%)
YTW
(%)
OAS
(bps)
Telecom Italia 13 13.3 4.0 1.6 214
Telefonica 9 8.7 2.5 1.9 249
Autostrade Per L'Italia 9 6.3 1.7 2.2 274
SoftBank 8 6.1 1.7 2.6 324
Virgin Media 9 5.8 1.6 3.2 243
ThysenKrupp 5 5.7 1.6 1.2 189
Netflix 4 5.2 1.5 3.0 350
Casino Guichard 7 4.9 1.3 5.2 577
Fiat Chrysler 3 4.0 1.2 0.4 109
Altice 5 3.9 1.1 2.9 320
Barclays PEHY Financials by amount outstanding
Issuer # Par O/S
($bn)
MV
(%)
YTW
(%)
OAS
(bps)
Banco BPM 8 4.3 1.2 1.6 225
Unione di Banche Italiane 7 3.9 1.1 1.9 254
Monte Dei Paschi Di Siena 6 3.8 1.0 4.5 471
Intrum 4 3.6 1.0 2.6 291
Intesa Sanpaolo 3 3.3 1.0 1.4 201
Assicurazioni Generali 3 2.4 0.7 2.5 269
MPT Operating Partnership 4 2.4 0.7 1.6 163
Deutsche Bank 2 2.2 0.6 1.8 246
ADLER Real Estate 5 2.2 0.6 1.0 161
Unipol Gruppo 3 2.0 0.6 1.3 195
Date Issuer Coupon % Maturity Rating Ccy Size m Price 17/02/20
08/01/20 Altice 2.25 15/01/25 B EUR 600 99.4
09/01/20 Cellnex Telecom 1.00 20/04/27 BB+ EUR 450 99.8
13/01/20 EDP (Green hybrid) 1.70 20/07/80 BB EUR 750 100.4
14/01/20 Cyprus 0.625 21/01/30 BB+ EUR 1000 100.9
21/01/20 Monte Dei Paschi Di Siena 2.625 28/04/25 B- EUR 750 104.1
22/01/20 Techem 2.00 15/07/25 B+ EUR 1145 100.5
23/01/20 Altice 2.125 15/02/25 B EUR 500 99.1
30/01/20 Jerrold 4.875 15/01/26 BB- GBP 435 102.5
31/01/20 Frigoglass 6.875 12/02/25 B- EUR 260 100.0
04/02/20 Banijay Entertainment 3.5 + 6.5 01/03/25 / 01/03/26 B+ / CCC+ EUR 575 / 400 103.3 / 106.1
05/02/20 IM Group 6.625 01/03/25 NR EUR 200 102.9
06/02/20 Q-Park 1.50 / 2.00 01/03/25 / 01/03/27 BB- EUR 425 / 630 101.5 / 101.8
12/02/20 Unicredit (AT1) 3.875 Perp (03/27 call) EUR 1250 99.5
European high yieldRecent new issues
Source: Bloomberg, Invesco 17 February 2020. For illustrative purposes only.
15
Invesco High Yield Fund (UK) Rating and currency breakdown compared to index
Source: Invesco as at 31 January 2020. Figures may not sum due to rounding. *Index is ICE BoAML European Currency Index.
16
Rating % of fund Index*
Cash 2.34 0.00
BBB 5.96 0.00
BB 34.74 69.33
B 34.59 24.62
CCC 10.67 5.98
CC 0.60 0.05
C 0.00 0.02
D 0.00 0.00
NR 9.06 0.00
Equity 2.03 0.00
Total 100.00 100.00
Pre hedge currency breakdown % of fund Index*
GBP 39.40 11.33
USD 27.59 0.00
EUR 33.01 88.67
Total 100.00 100.00
Post hedge currency breakdown % of fund
GBP 99.31
USD 0.44
EUR 0.25
Total 100.00
Invesco High Yield Fund (UK) & European high yield by rating
Past performance is not a guide to future returns.
Source: Macrobond, ICE BofAML European Currency Index, 2 March 2020. Data rebased to 31/12/2016. Fund performance figures are based on the Z (accumulation)share class.
Performance figures for all share classes can be found in the relevant Key Investor Information Document. Fund performance figures are shown in sterling, inclusive of reinvested income
and net of the Ongoing Charge and portfolio transaction costs. Please note the ICE BofAML European Currency High Yield Index (GBP Hedged) is not a target, constraining or comparator
benchmark of the fund.
17
Invesco High Yield Fund (UK) and European currency high yield – cumulative total return (% GBP hedged)
-90%
-80%
-70%
-60%
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
HY non-financial 2018 price return
-10.0%
-8.0%
-6.0%
-4.0%
-2.0%
0.0%
Cumulative contribution to HY 2018 price return
Importance of single name credit analysisDispersion and contribution of 2018 returns
Source: Morgan Stanley Research, Markit iBoxx, 28 December 2018.
18
The positive price return
of the 9 best HY bonds...
...is offset by the negative performance of the 272 worst HY Bonds
Best Performers Worst Performers Best Performers Worst Performers
-80%
-30%
20%
70%
HY non-financial 2019 price return
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
Cumulative contribution to HY 2019 price return
High yield corporatesDispersion and contribution of 2019 returns
Source: Morgan Stanley Research, Markit iBoxx, 30 December 2019.
19
The positive price return
of the 267 best HY bonds...
...is partially offset by the
negative performance of the
38 worst HY Bonds
Best Performers Worst Performers Best Performers Worst Performers
Source: Morgan Stanley Research, Markit iBoxx, 30 December 2019. *Bloomberg composite as at 17 February 2020.
20
Winners and losersBest and worst index constituents: 2019 price %
Bond Rating* YTD % change
Aldesa 7.25% 2021 CCC+ 88.5
Douglas 8.75% 2023 CCC 47.6
Salini Impregilo 1.75% 2024 NR 44.4
Takko 5.375% 2023 B- 37.4
Douglas 6.25% 2022 B- 37.3
Takko 5.375% 2023 (144a) B- 36.8
DIA 1% 2021 CC+ 34.2
Altice 6.25% 2025 CCC+ 31.2
OHL 4.75% 2022 CCC+ 27.4
OHL 5.5% 2023 CCC+ 27.3
Bond Rating YTD % change
Safari Verwaltungs 5.375% 2022 CCC+ -13.1
Moby 7.75% 2023 DDD+ -14.7
Intralot 6.75% 2021 CCC -17.1
Eagle Intermediate 5.375% 2023 NR -17.7
Naviera Armas 6.5% 2023 B+ -21.1
Naviera Armas 4.25% 2024 B+ -23.4
Intralot 5.25% 2024 CCC -30.7
Pro-Gest 3.25% 2024 CCC+ -33.1
Hema 8.5% 2023 CC+ -34.0
Officine Maccaferri 5.75% 2021 C+ -44.9
Excludes bonds entering or exiting index, e.g. Thomas Cook 6.25% 2022 -92.2%
Index Current OAS (bps) Current effective yield (%) YTD Total Return (%) 2019 Total Return (%) 2018 Total Return (%)
£ HY 525 5.59 -0.42 13.37 -1.65
£ BB 329 3.63 0.29 13.35 -1.31
£ B 628 6.60 -1.12 14.48 -1.47
£ CCC & lower 1804 18.38 -3.26 4.85 -4.02
€ HY 409 3.35 -1.64 11.29 -3.63
€ BB 303 2.29 -1.45 10.84 -2.83
€ B 597 5.22 -2.51 10.43 -4.33
€ CCC & lower 920 8.55 -0.56 20.01 -12.57
$ HY 506 6.07 -1.54 14.41 -2.27
$ BB 333 4.37 -1.06 15.73 -2.46
$ B 534 6.32 -1.76 14.36 -1.54
$ CCC & lower 1182 12.81 -2.80 9.11 -4.15
High Yield returns
Source: Invesco, Bloomberg, 29 February 2020. Indices are BoAML. Return data in local currency.
21
▪ Primary factor behind spread moves in 2019 is the shift in central bank support of risk assets
▪ COVID-19 has reversed spread tightening of H2 2019
▪ Alert to default risk – although this remains manageable at the broad market level
▪ Market-wide re-pricing could lead to opportunities at single name level; central banks’ support
should limit volatility in the medium term
▪ At a broad level, high yield remains the highest yielding asset class
Current views
Source: Invesco, 28 February 2020.
22
Invesco High Yield Fund (UK)
▪ Fund launched 14 May 1999, managed by the Invesco Henley Fixed Interest Team
since June 2001
▪ New track record from March 2009*
▪ Managed by Thomas Moore
▪ IA £ High Yield sector
▪ Low correlation to government bonds
Invesco High Yield Fund (UK)Key features
Source: Invesco. Data as at 31 December 2019. *The fund w as previously in the IA Global Bond sector which permitted FX risk; a f lexibility which the fund used. On transferto the new IA
£ High Yield sector, the fund was obliged to re-start its performance track record as its FX exposure had previously been higher than the maximum 20% permitted in the new sector. These
key features may be a mixture of internal, sector and prospectus guidelines. For the full objectives and investment policy please consult the current prospectus.
24
Jan 19 Feb 19 Mar 19 Apr 19 May 19 Jun 19 Jul 19 Aug 19 Sep 19 Oct 19 Nov 19 Dec 19 Jan 20
Liquidity 6.0 6.7 5.3 6.0 2.4 6.0 5.2 4.5 2.3 6.6 7.5 7.5 4.9
Cash 1.5 2.0 0.3 0.5 -2.8 0.4 -0.6 1.1 0.0 4.4 5.3 5.2 2.3
Bonds maturing within 1 year* 4.5 4.7 5.0 5.5 5.2 5.6 5.8 3.4 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.4 2.5
Government** 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Defensive 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.1 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.4
Investment grade & Senior banks 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.1 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.4
Credit risk 89.6 88.7 90.2 89.6 91.9 88.1 89.1 89.6 92.0 87.7 86.9 87.0 89.7
Peripheral government 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Subordinated banks 19.4 20.5 20.8 22.0 22.4 23.0 23.5 23.6 25.8 25.4 25.5 24.4 25.6
Subordinated insurers 3.8 3.9 3.4 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5
Corporate high yield 60.3 58.2 59.6 58.3 59.9 55.8 56.5 56.7 57.9 54.8 53.3 54.6 56.1
Hybrids & convertibles 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.1 2.0 2.0 2.7 2.7 2.7
EM 3.2 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.9 3.7 3.5 3.5 3.7 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.9
Equities 2.5 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.0
Invesco High Yield Fund (UK)Current investment themes (%)
Source: Invesco as at 31 January 2020. Excludes derivatives and therefore may add to more or less than 100%. *Bonds with less than a year to maturity are excluded from other categories
to prevent double counting. **Government includes agency & supranational. Figures may not sum due to rounding.
25
Portfolio weight1 (%) Average yield2 (%)
Corporates High yield3
Hybrids
Emerging Markets
54.7
2.7
2.9
6.7
3.7
10.3
Financials Bank subordinated debt
Insurance subordinated debt
Legacy Tier 1
AT1 and T2 Cocos
5.1
16.6
2.5
4.0
4.5
3.0
Invesco High Yield Fund (UK)Sources of yield
Source: Invesco as at 31 January 2020. 1Excludes bonds with less than one year to maturity or three months to call. 2Weighted average yield. 3High yield corporate bonds, excluding
emerging markets and distressed bonds.
26
▪ Shop Direct £ 7.75% 2022
(B, price 97.8, yield 8.6%, spread 814bps
–Concerns around PPI claim funding have abated, yet bonds still trade at a discount
▪ Pinewood £ 3.25% 2025 (BB+, price 102.2, yield 2.8%, spread 213bps)
–Low yield but guaranteed income stream from Netflix & Disney minimises risk
▪ Matalan £ 6.75% 2023 (B, price 90.9, yield
10.4%, spread 930bps) and 9.5% 2024 (CCC, price 86.8, yield 13.9%, spread 1256bps)
– Business has performed well, but concerns around retail sector have kept spreads wide
▪ Commerzbank $ 8.151% 2029 (call)
(BB, price 137.5, yield 3.5%, spread 198bps)
– Subordinated bond trades at a meaningful discount to senior debt
Invesco High Yield Fund (UK)Examples of holdings
Source: Invesco, Bloomberg, as at 31 January 2020. Spread is YAS OAS Spread. For illustrative purposes only.
27
Top 10 issues % of fund
Commerzbank 8.151% 2031 2.54
Shop Direct 7.75% 2022 2.40
Dutch Lion 11.25% 2020 2.07
Olympic Entertainment 8% 2023 2.02
Lloyds 13% perp 1.65
PureGym 6.375% 2025 1.63
Burger King France 8% 2022 1.57
Unicredit 8% perp 1.55
TeamSystem FRN 2023 1.53
Matalan 9.5% 2024 1.31
Total of top 10 issues 18.27
Top 10 issuers % of fund
Lloyds 2.68
Commerzbank 2.54
Co-Op 2.46
Matalan 2.41
Shop Direct 2.40
Premier Food 2.10
Dutch Lion 2.07
Olympic Entertainment 2.02
Barclays 1.73
TDC 1.64
Total of top 10 issuers 22.04
Source: Invesco as at 31 January 2020. Figures may not sum due to rounding.
28
Invesco High Yield Fund (UK)Issue and issuer exposure
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
6.5
Jan 1
3
Ma
r 13
Ma
y 13
Jul 13
Sep
13
Nov 1
3
Jan 1
4
Ma
r 14
Ma
y 14
Jul 14
Sep
14
Nov 1
4
Jan 1
5
Ma
r 15
Ma
y 15
Jul 15
Sep
15
Nov 1
5
Jan 1
6
Ma
r 16
Ma
y 16
Jul 16
Sep
16
Nov 1
6
Jan 1
7
Ma
r 17
Ma
y 17
Jul 17
Sep
17
Nov 1
7
Jan 1
8
Ma
r 18
Ma
y 18
Jul 18
Sep
18
Nov 1
8
Jan 1
9
Ma
r 19
Ma
y 19
Jul 19
Sep
19
Nov 1
9
Jan 2
0
Invesco High Yield Fund (UK) Sterling Investment Grade European High Yield
Underlying yield of Invesco High Yield Fund (UK) versus market yields (%)
Invesco High Yield Fund (UK)Underlying yield (%)
Source: Invesco, Bloomberg as at 31 January 2020. The yield of the Invesco High Yield Fund (UK) is the underlying yield. Share class in 2012 is Acc (trail). Share class in 2013-2018 is
Z (Acc). Sterling investment grade yield is yield to maturity of ICE BofAML Sterling Corporate Index. European high yield is yield to maturity of ICE BofAML European Currency High Yield
Index. Please note the ICE BofAML European Currency High Yield Index (GBP Hedged) and ICE BofAML Gilt Index is not a target, constraining or comparator benchmark of the fund. The
comparative information shown here is to illustrate the fund manager’s active investment approach and provide broader market context.
29
Invesco High Yield Fund (UK)Performance
Past performance is not a guide to future returns. The IA £ High Yield Sector is a comparator benchmark. Given its asset allocation the Fund’s performance can be compared against
the Benchmark. How ever, the Fund is actively managed and is not constrained by any benchmark. Source: Lipper as at 31 January 2020. Fund performance figures are based on the
Z (accumulation) share class. As this was launched on 12 November 2012, for the periods prior to this launch date, performanc e figures are based on the Accumulation share class,
w ithout any adjustment for fees. Performance figures for all share classes can be found in the relevant Key Investor Information Document. Fund performance figures are shown in sterling,
inclusive of reinvested income and net of the Ongoing Charge and portfolio transaction costs. Sector average performance is calculated on an equivalent basis. *Invesco High Yield Fund (UK) w as launched on 14 May 1999. How ever, as the fund changed sector on 1 March 2009, sector performance figures are only shown since that date.
30
Cumulative returns, % YTD 1 year 3 years 5 years Since 2 Mar 2009*
Invesco High Yield Fund (UK) 0.49 12.93 20.18 27.20 249.07
IA £ High Yield NR 0.31 8.86 13.66 24.51 154.69
Rank 9/29 1/28 1/28 6/26 1/17
Quartile 2 1 1 1 1
Annualised returns, %
Invesco High Yield Fund (UK) n/a n/a 6.32 4.93 12.12
IA £ High Yield NR n/a n/a 4.36 4.48 8.94
Rolling 12-month returns, %31/01/2015
31/01/2016
31/01/2016
31/01/2017
31/01/2017
31/01/2018
31/01/2018
31/01/2019
31/01/2019
31/01/2020
Invesco High Yield Fund (UK) -3.94 10.17 10.69 -3.85 12.93
IA £ High Yield NR -2.64 12.51 5.75 -1.27 8.86
Calendar year returns, % 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Invesco High Yield Fund (UK) 15.28 -4.41 35.80 9.97 3.09 -1.25 7.80 9.39 -4.56 14.87
IA £ High Yield NR 12.03 -3.93 19.61 7.03 1.25 -0.61 9.95 6.14 -3.44 11.46
Quartile 1 3 1 1 2 2 4 1 4 1
Fund Running
yield (%)
Distribution
yield (%)
Underlying
yield (%)
Redemption
yield (%)
Modified
duration
Invesco High Yield Fund (UK) 5.81 5.83 5.08 4.95 3.72
Fund yields & duration
Source: Invesco as at 31 January 2020. Yields quoted are for the Z Accumulation share class, yields on other share classes may differ. Please see ‘Important information’ for the yields
disclosure.
31
Annual capital return, income and total return, based on an initial investment of £10,000 on 31 December 2009
Capital performance
(income paid out)
Income paid out
(annual total)
Total return
(with income reinvested)
Value at
end of year
Invesco
High Yield
Fund (UK)1
IA £
High Yield
sector average1
Invesco
High Yield
Fund (UK)
IA £
High Yield
sector average
Invesco
High Yield
Fund (UK)1
IA £
High Yield
sector average1
2010 £10,992 £10,569 £515 £553 £11,528 £11,366
2011 £10,001 £9,576 £542 £507 £11,019 £11,080
2012 £12,868 £10,835 £613 £531 £14,964 £13,434
2013 £13,536 £11,040 £585 £454 £16,455 £14,552
2014 £13,477 £10,694 £475 £446 £16,964 £14,894
2015 £12,773 £10,175 £554 £390 £16,753 £14,964
2016 £13,105 £10,670 £630 £439 £18,060 £16,841
2017 £13,556 £10,780 £754 £456 £19,756 £17,815
2018 £12,173 £9,937 £807 £489 £18,855 £17,192
2019 £13,104 £10,587 £823 £520 £21,659 £19,164
Invesco High Yield Fund (UK)
Past performance is not a guide to future returns.
The IA £ High Yield Sector is a comparator benchmark. Given its asset allocation the Fund’s performance can be compared against the Benchmark. However, the Fund is actively
managed and is not constrained by any benchmark. Source: Lipper, 31 December 2019. 1Capital return f igures (Z accumulation share class) are measured in sterling, with income
paid out and net of the Ongoing Charge and portfolio transaction costs. Total return f igures (Z accumulation share class) are measured in sterling, with income reinvested and net of the
Ongoing Charge and portfolio transaction costs. As the Z accumulation share class was launched on 12 November 2012, for the periods prior to this launch date, performance figures are based on the Accumulation share class, without any adjustment for fees. Performance figures for all share classes can be found in the relevant Key Investor Information Document. Sector
average performance is calculated on an equivalent basis.
32
The value of investments and any income will fluctuate (this may partly be
the result of exchange rate fluctuations) and investors may not get back the full amount invested.
The securities that the fund invests in may not always make interest and other payments nor is the solvency of the issuers guaranteed. Market conditions, such as a decrease in market liquidity for the securities in which the fund invests, may mean that the fund may not be able to sell those securities at their true value. These risks increase where the fund invests in high yield or
lower credit quality bonds.
The fund has the ability to make use of financial derivatives (complex
instruments) which may result in the fund being leveraged and can result in large fluctuations in the value of the fund. Leverage on certain types of transactions including derivatives may impair the funds’ liquidity, cause them to liquidate positions at unfavourable times or otherwise cause the fund not to achieve its intended objectives. Leverage occurs when the economic
exposure created by the use of derivatives is greater than the amount invested resulting in the fund being exposed to a greater loss than the initial investment.
The fund may be exposed to counterparty risk should an entity with
which the fund does business becomes insolvent resulting in financial loss.
The fund may invest in contingent convertible bonds which may result
in significant risk of capital loss based on certain trigger events.
As one of the key objectives of the fund is to provide income, the ongoing
charge is taken from capital rather than income. This can erode capital and reduce the potential for capital growth.
The funds performance may be adversely affected by variations in interest rates.
Investment risks
33
This document is for Professional Clients only and is not for consumer
use.
This document is marketing material and is not intended as a
recommendation to invest in any particular asset class, security or strategy. Regulatory requirements that require impartiality of investment/investment strategy recommendations are therefore not applicable nor are any prohibitions to trade before publication. The information provided is for illustrative purposes only, it should not be relied upon as recommendations
to buy or sell securities.
Data as at 31.01.2020, unless otherwise stated.
Where individuals or the business have expressed opinions, they are based
on current market conditions, they may differ from those of other investment professionals and are subject to change without notice.
The distribution yield estimates the cash distribution to the shareholders: in addition to expected cash income, it includes the amortised annual value of unrealised capital gains/losses of current bond holdings, calculated with reference to their historic purchase price and expected redemption value (known as ‘effective yield from purchase price’ method). The distribution
yield for this fund is gross of the ongoing charge, which is charged to capital.
The underlying yield is calculated in the same way as the distribution yield,
but is always net of the ongoing charge. The underlying yield for this fund is, therefore, lower than the distribution yield by the amount of the ongoing charge.
The running yield estimates expected cash income into the fund from coupons of current bond holdings and, where applicable, dividends from current equity holdings. The running yield for this fund is gross of the ongoing charge, which is charged to capital.
The redemption yield estimates the annualised total return: in addition to expected cash income, it includes the amortised annual value of unrealised
capital gains/losses of current bond holdings, calculated with reference to their current market price and expected redemption value. The redemption yield is net of the ongoing charge.
For the most up to date information on our funds, please refer to the relevant fund and share class-specific Key Investor Information Documents, the Supplementary Information Document, the Annual or Interim Reports and
the Prospectus, which are available using the contact details shown.
Important information
Issued by Invesco Fund Managers Limited, Perpetual Park, Perpetual Park Drive, Henley-on-Thames, Oxfordshire RG9 1HH, UK.
Authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority.
34