investor / analyst visit to braehead, 27 – 28 june 2013 ... · – secure further investment from...
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Investor / Analyst visit to Braehead, 27 – 28 June 2013 Corporate strategy overview David Fischel, Chief Executive
Welcoming remarks
David Fischel
Braehead Power Station - 1960s
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Taking derelict land…
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…and creating a destination
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2007
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2012
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Retail context
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• Population of Scotland 5.2m • Scotland retail spend 2013 - £14.2b, forecast 2020 - £16.9b (source: CACI)
(9% of UK total) • Average spend per head in Scotland in 2013 is £2,672, above the UK
average of £2,604 • Glasgow attracting significant investment – 2014 Commonwealth Games
(c£525m), Europe’s largest hospital campus (£1b), airport expansion (£290m) • Intu Braehead is Scotland’s best-ranked shopping centre (CACI) • Intu Braehead catchment 2.4m (45 minute drive time) • Intu Braehead attracts 74% of shoppers from its primary and secondary
catchments • Relatively affluent catchment – “Secure Families” represent 16% of intu
Braehead shoppers (9% Scotland average)
Corporate Strategy Overview
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Focus, scale and quality
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Providing great retail and leisure experiences
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Enhancing our dynamic retail and leisure destinations
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Digital reshaping retail
82% of UK consumers say social networks save them time in making a retail purchase
Consumers believe social media and online sources should be a fully integrated part of the store
There are 81.6m mobile handsets in the UK of them
• There are 21m mobile internet uses a month
• 39% want to use mobiles to receive personalised promotions
• 83% of users research online prior to in-store visit
• 42% of users use a mobile phone to locate products in-store
• 74% of users would be happy to receive retailer messaging whilst in store
• 68% of smartphone users use them in-store
• 44% of shoppers always check online before buying in-store
SOURCES: Cisco 2012; eConsultancy 2012; Deloitte 2012: Ofcom 2012
Q&A
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Key statistics 2012
• Average dwell time 106 minutes − in town centres 77 minutes − out of town centres 137 minutes
• Aggregate spend c £5 billion • Average spend per visit £16
− in town centres £11 − out of town centres £25
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New nationwide brand
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Bond issue significantly extends debt maturity profile Weighted average maturity c 8 years (was 6 years)
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019-2023 2024-2028 2029+
Annu
al r
epay
men
ts (£
'm)
Pro forma, adjusted for 2013 refinancing 31 December 2012 as reported
Key Messages
• Benefits of scale • Growth opportunities
– digital – physical
• Leading change • Capital structure
• Prospects for returns
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Mike Butterworth, Chief Operating Officer Update on operational strategy
Operational strategy Delivering growth
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Operational strategy
•Customer experience
•Asset management
•Development
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Asset management
•Tenant mix
•Encouraging commitment –
fewer temps
•Protect rental values
•Creative change
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Developments
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Developments
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Sidgate, intu Eldon Square – CAD drawing Platinum mall, intu Metrocentre – CAD drawing
Developments
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SEA LIFE, intu Trafford The Avenue, intu Potteries – CAD drawing
Developments
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Food Court, intu Lakeside – CAD drawing Intu Victoria Centre – CAD drawing
Developments
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Intu Bromley – CAD drawing Charter Place, intu Watford – CAD drawing
Drawing customers from further, for longer and more often
New Retailer Demand
Range &
Choice
Customer Experience
Footfall Dwell Time
Emerging
Segments
Asset
Property
World Class Service
Memorable Moments
Marketing
Experiences
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Martin Ellis, Construction Director
Developments
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intu Braehead planning application
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intu Braehead planning application Planning red line boundary around existing
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intu Braehead planning application Proposed building plots
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intu Braehead planning application Block plans
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intu Braehead planning application Shopping centre retail plans
New Retail
Existing Retail
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intu Braehead planning application Plans in context
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intu Braehead planning application Fitting into a masterplan
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intu Braehead planning application Building sections
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intu Braehead planning application Public realm
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intu Braehead planning application Transport interchange
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intu Braehead planning application Department store and public square
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Construction and development work
“£1 billion pipeline of
organic developments
over 10 years, including
major extensions at
intu Lakeside, intu
Braehead and intu
Victoria Centre, is
focused on projects
which position each of
our centres as broader
destinations, providing
top retailers and iconic
brands along with a mix
of leisure”
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Indicative timeline
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intu Watford
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intu Victoria Centre
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intu Broadmarsh
Nottingham intu
NCC
View of possible Southern Entrance showing linkages
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Asset management Julian Wilkinson, Asset Management Director
Strategy
Driving growth through active management
Tenant re-investment and commitment to the Centre
Consistent growth in rental income
The right space at the right rent Goal
Outcome
Letting strategy Improving tenant mix Sustainability with
key retailers Achieving ERV on review / renewal + +
1 2 3
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Strategy – intu Braehead 2011 reappraisal • Key tenant mix opportunities • Scope to expand catering offer • Low outlay, high impact environment improvements • Pockets of temporary lettings • Expiry profile 2014
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Improving tenant mix Attracting catalyst brands to enhance appeal to consumers and other retailers
Super regional centres – major destinations
intu Trafford Centre
Barton Square
158 acres land
M60
Coach House Premier Inn Petrol
Frankie & Benny’s
Bus station
Selfridges
Debenhams
M&S
The Great Hall
The Orient
John Lewis
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Improving tenant mix – example intu Trafford Centre Over 100 new brands since 2006
20 15 9 15 18 8 31
2011 2012 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Sele
cted
reta
ilers
join
ing
the
Cen
tre
No.
2013
8
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Improving tenant mix intu Braehead tenant mix evolution from opening in 1999
Lydia Brown providing moving image
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•Upper level double height signage zones
•Escalator removal to improve linkages and sight lines
•Mall de-cluttering
Improving tenant mix - recent initiatives Enhancing the environment to attract new retailers
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• Improvement of food court environment
• Development of distinct offers for ground and first floor
• Ground floor – 2011 casual dining offer - 3 new
restaurants and a 4th coming soon – Champagne Bar added – Other kiosks to be remodelled and
converted to restaurants in 2014 – Costa relocation
• First floor
– Consolidation of fast food offers – Tenant mix improvements e.g. Fuel
Juice Bars – Additional initiatives to generate
space - new fascias and relocations from ground floor
Improving tenant mix Extending the catering offer
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Sustainability with key retailers Meeting needs of existing retailers – up / down sizing, flagship configurations
Sustainability with key retailers - examples
Next 25,000 sq ft
M&S 83,000 sq ft
Ernest Jones 2,000 sq ft
Superdrug 8,000 sq ft
WH Smith 18,000 sq ft
42,000 sq ft
99,000 sq ft
5,000 sq ft
5,000 sq ft
8,000 sq ft
Next 23,000 sq ft
JD Sports 9,000 sq ft
Topshop 11,000 sq ft
34,000 sq ft
11,000 sq ft
11,000sq ft
intu Braehead FROM TO
intu Trafford Centre FROM TO
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• Next 34,000 sq ft. Opening 1 August 2013
• JD Sports 10,000 sq ft. Opening Oct/Nov 13
• Topshop/Topman. Full refit summer 2013
Sustainability with key retailers intu Braehead - repositioning anchor / MSU units
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Achieving ERV Establishing rental tone for upcoming lease expiry cycle
Achieving ERV
• intu Braehead – £250 Scottish Zone A (£335 English
equivalent)
• intu Trafford Centre – £400 Zone A (Prime)
intu Trafford Centre intu Braehead
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Achieving ERV Lease renewal strategy
• Strategy
– Early engagement with retailers – Secure MSU mix, rental tone and shop fit, e.g. Next – Secure large standard units e.g. JD Sports & Topshop/Topman – Establish appropriate mix of food, leisure and retail – Secure further investment from retailers e.g. Thorntons
• Successfully applied at intu Trafford Centre
– 63 expiries 2013, passing rent £15m, ERV £18m – Two thirds completed / under offer, in aggregate 2% ahead of ERV
• intu Braehead lease expiries 2014
– 45 expiries of original 15 year leases – passing rent £12.6m, representing 40% of rent roll – ERV £14.7m
• intu Braehead total reversion from expiries and reviews - £6.9m (21% of current contracted rent)
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Long term growth in rental income and capital value
Market value CAGR +3.0%
£406m £582m £1,230m £1,800m Market value CAGR +4.9%
CAGR +3.3% CAGR +4.8%
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intu Braehead
Long term rental growth Long term rental growth
intu Trafford Centre
Achieving ERV – example intu Trafford Centre Increase in zone A tone 2008 to 2012 – first floor
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Key
2008
2012
Achieving ERV – intu Braehead Zone A tone 2013 – evidence for 2014 lease expiry cycle
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2009
2013
Achieving ERV –intu Braehead Reversion to ERV *
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+21%
*Uplift from current contracted rent to ERV of occupied units based on 31 December 2012 valuation data.
Asset management - key messages
• Strong tenant mix – Strengthening range of brands – Food, retail, leisure – Complementary adjacent uses – Moved up 3 places to # 22 in PMA tenant mix rankings 2008 to 2012
• Improving operational metrics
– 2012 retailer sales up 4%, footfall down 1%
• Sound financial base – Sustainable rental levels – Reduced temporary lettings – Retailer buy-in - £8 million capital investment committed ytd 2013
• Scope for future rental & capital growth
– £250 Scottish ZA (£335 English equivalent) evidenced for 2014 expiry cycle
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