investor discussion pack - westpac · 3 investor discussion pack march 2005 presentation title...
TRANSCRIPT
Investor Discussion Pack
March 2005
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 20052
Index
Summary of results 3Segment contributions 5Market share 7
Business markets strategy 8 Institutional Bank 10New Zealand 12BT Financial Group 13Net interest income analysis 18
Loan and deposit growth 19 Margin analysis 20
Non-interest income 22 Expenses 23Risk management 26
Bad debt analysis 28Portfolio composition 29
Housing market 32 Dividends 36Capital 37Basel II and IFRS 38 Structured finance 40Strategy 42Executive team 45Known influences on 2005 earnings 47Investor Relations contacts 49
All amounts in $A unless otherwise specified
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 20053
2004 Result: maintaining consistent growth and return
• High quality result – maintaining the balance- Cash earnings $2,559m up 13%- Cash earnings per share of 139 cents up 11%- Cash return on average equity 21%- Full year dividend of 86 cents, fully franked up 10%- Expenses up 5%- Cost to income ratio 49.2% down 210 basis points
• Key drivers of growth- Solid growth in loans and acceptances up 14%- Disciplined pricing - margins down 9 bps- All businesses delivering double-digit growth in
cash earnings• Quality of earnings maintained
- Strong asset quality: net impaired assets to equity and general provisions down 40 bps
• Maintained leading sustainability position All comparatives on prior corresponding period
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 20054
2004 Cash earnings – maintaining the growth
97,3308,010Operating income83,0043,255Non-interest income
2,5592,5393,492(414)
(3,940)
4,755FY04
104,326Net interest income
132,271Cash earnings162,183Net profit after tax & OEI202,919Net profit before tax15(485)Bad debts(5)(3,763)Operating expenses
% ChangeFY03$m
2,271
2,559412
(133)
53
(44)
2,000
2,200
2,400
2,600
2,800
2003 Revenue Expenses Bad Debts Tax 2004
Movement in cash earnings ($m)*
* Tax-effected and excluding outside equity interest
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 20055
Sound contribution across all businesses
0 500 1000 1500
NZ
InstitutionalBank
BT
Business&
ConsumerBanking
2002
2003
2004
Cash earnings ($m)
$m
Growth 2003 – 2004 (%)
19
25
16
16
1. NZ % growth in AUD terms
1
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 20056
Composition of cash earnings and operating income
BCB - Consumer
27%
BCB - Business
25%
Institutional Bank19%
New Zealand
16%
BT8%
Other5%
Other2%
BCB Business
27%
Institut-ional Bank
15%
New Zealand
15%
BT8%
BCB Consumer
33%
Composition of 2004 cash earnings Composition of 2004 operating income
% of total group operating income
Mortgages 13%S&I 14%Cards 6%
Total Business and Consumer Banking
(BCB) 52.8%
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 20057
Aggregate market share
• Westpac has consistently maintained or increased its market share in key segments over the last three years (to 30 September 2004):
• Business lending up 220bps• Retail deposits up 130bps
• Cautious approach to housing and personal unsecured lending over the last three years has seen household credit down 110 basis points (to September 2004).
Australian financial system market share (%)
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Total credit Retail deposits Source: RBA, Westpac
14.0%13.3%12.5%13.7%
Dec 04%
-10bps14.1%14.1%Retail deposits
Credit-20bps14.6%13.9%Household (housing & other personal)
13.4%12.5%
Sep 04%
-10bps13.6%Total credit0bps11.9%Other (mainly business)
Change (bps) Sept– Dec qtr
Sep 03%
Australian market share – RBA financial system aggregates
Note: Westpac’s ‘household’ and ‘other’ market share statistics have been adjusted following the RBA’s revision of its methodology for calculating credit data to better reflect the impact of securitisation, announced 31 May 2004.
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 20058
Consistent strategy since 1999 to capture business market
• In 2004, business lending (SME and Middle Market) was up 15% against market growth of around 8%
• Strategy focused on better meeting the needs of small and medium businesses
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Australian business credit market share (%)
Source RBA, Westpac
What small and medium businesses are after
Business Online revamped and updated
Selective return of business bankers back to the branches
Decision making process streamlined in 1999
Further process improvement being rolled-out under re-engineering project (Pinnacle)
Implementation of industry specialist teams
Roll-out of business CRM underway
Better relationshipsFast decision makingKnow my business
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 20059
Business strategy is delivering
SME satisfaction1
45%
50%
55%
60%
65%
Jun-02
Sep-02
Dec-02
Mar-03
Jun-03
Sep-03
Dec-03
Mar-04
Jun-04
Sep04
WBCPeer Average
363432
2927
23 22*
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
2H01 1H02 2H02 1H03 2H03 1H04 2H04
Business loans and acceptances ($bn)
* Decline due predominantly to sale of AGC
Middle Market & Priority satisfaction1
55%
60%
65%
70%
75%
Jun-02
Sep-02
Dec-02
Mar-03
Jun-03
Sep-03
Dec-03
Mar-04
Jun-04
Sep04
WBCPeer Average
1 TNS Business Finance Monitor since June 2002.
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200510
Institutional Bank – reclaiming lead bank status
• Solid revenue growth of 10% • New income streams established (SCG)• Higher expenses from
- Restructuring charge $11m- Private equity performance fees $13m- Epic consolidation $22m
• In 2004, Financial markets result was consistent with expected volatility
Financial markets income ($m)
050
100150200250300
1H03 2H03 1H04 2H04FX Interest Rate Product FM Other
Lead bank relationship1 (%)
1 Peter Lee & Associates – 2004* Rank within each category
05
10152025303540
Aust
lead
bank
NZ
lead
bank
Deb
t Cap
ital
Mar
kets
top
bank
Lead
Dom
Tran
sact
ion
bank
FX m
arke
tsh
are
20032004
=1*
2*1*
1*
1*
2*2* 2*
2*
1*
Monthly average VaR ($m)
0369
121518
Jun03 Sep03 Dec03 Mar04 Jun04 Sep04
Monthly average VaRBoard Limit
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200511
Specialised Capital Group – a growing business
• The specialised capital group is an alternative investment fund manager and asset arranger
• Established capability boosted by ownership of Hastings Funds Management (51% ownership moving to 100% after June 2005)
• Strong governance model
• Leverage Westpac’s key strengths- Extension of intermediation capability- Detailed understanding of Australian
and New Zealand corporates- Established distribution channels- Complementary wealth management
operation• High growth business creating a
sustainable annuity income stream
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
2002 2003 At March 2005
Westpac Private Equity LimitedWestpac Funds Management LimitedHastings Funds Management
Funds under administration A$m
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200512
New Zealand – repositioning delivers growth
• Benefits from repositioning the business - Improved lending growth, particularly
housing- Increased brand awareness
• Momentum in all key segments• Effectively managing margins in a competitive
market• Total lending in New Zealand for year to
September 2004 increased 15% compared to total Private Sector Credit Growth of 12% for the same period.
NZ Housing market share monthly (%)
-10-505
1015202530
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Market share Share of new growth
NZ middle market market share1 (%)
1. TNS Business Finance Monitor Results
05
1015202530
2003 2004Westpac ASB National BNZ ANZ
NZ SME market share1 (%) change in measure from ACN to TNS
1. TNS Business Finance Monitor Results
10121416182022242628
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004WBC ASB National BNZ ANZ
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200513
BT Financial Group – sustained improvement
• Sustained fund performance improvement and ratings upgrades
• Well linked into Westpac customer base- 28% rise in corporate super FUA in
2004- Wrap FUA up 44% in 2004, including
$800m rise in Wrap from internal planners
• Good claims experience assisting life insurance performance
BT Core Fund vs S&P/ASX300 Accumulation Index
-2.0%
-1.6%
-1.2%
-0.8%
-0.4%
0.0%
0.4%
0.8%
1.2%
1.6%
May
-02
Sep
-02
Jan-
03
May
-03
Sep
-03
Jan-
04
May
-04
Sep
-04
Jan-
05
-8%
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
Monthly portfolio excess return (LHS)One-Year Excess Return (RHS)
29Organic growth
4Review of bank owned planner channel (Sunrise)
3782004 Expenses
9Investments in integration6Increase in share of group allocated costs
(39)Integration synergies realisedDuring 2004
3692003 expenses1
2004 BTFG Expenses ($m)
1. Grossed up for 1 month of BTFM
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200514
BTFG integration complete
• Project delivered on time and ahead on synergies
• $96m in synergies achieved in 2004 - $48m more than estimated at acquisition
• Incremental cost synergies of $20 in 2005• Of the $116m in synergies
- $5m are ongoing revenue benefits. - $111m are cost synergies ($5m of which
relate to BT New Zealand)• Finalisation of acquisition accounts resulting
in reduction to goodwill of $26m in Australia and $7m in New Zealand
• Goodwill charge in 2005 expected to be $64m
Synergies (expense and revenue) ($m)
46 48
65
51 54
85
116
96
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2003 2004 2005
Synergies estimated at acquisitionUpdated estimated synergiesActual synergies achieved
Acquisition provisions
334Fair value provision
825Restructuring provision
Sep 04Sep 03$m
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200515
Improved researcher ratings/net fund flows
Quarterly net funds flows ($m
-2,000
-1,500
-1,000
-500
0
500
1,000
1,500
Dec-02
Mar-03
Jun-0
3Sep
-03Dec
-03Mar-
04Ju
n-04
Sep-04
Retail flows Wrap FlowsInstitutional
Source: BTFG internal numbers
Large Cap Australian Equities – Flagship Retail Fund Ratings*
4 Star2 StarNavigator
BuySell360
Rating
BuySellInvestorweb
2 Star1 StarMorningstar
Recommend
3 star
A
Jan 05
1 starASSIRT
Hold
B
Dec 03Researcher
Lonsec
Van Eyk
*Retail flagship fund is the BT Australian Share fund
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200516
Growth in wealth products remains strong
5
n/an/a231.4Institutional310.4310.6Broking
10.058.0Retail
n/a16.3n/a13.7Margin lending58.476.6Life and risk320.049.8Wrap and master trust213.856.5Corporate super
RankMarket share(%)Rank
Market share (%)Product
Share of new businessCurrent Australian market share
Sources: Retail& Wrap & M’trust - ASSIRT Preliminary market share report Sept 2004Corporate super - Dexx&r Employer Super League Table Sept 2004Life and risk - Dexx&r Life analysis, Quarterly Statistics ending Sept 2004Margin lending - BT loan book verses RBA industry total – Dec 2004Broking - ASX market analysis Dec 2004Institutional - Investor Supermarket Dec 2004
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200517
Australian funds under management
40.5
3.7
8.1
10.0
3.1
2.8
5.2
7.6
Sept 03 Sept 04
Asset class $bn
63%27.643.5TOTAL
12%0.54.2Other*
81%6.58.0International Equities
84%9.211.0Australian Equities
81%2.63.2Property
33%1.54.6International Fixed Interest
55%3.15.6Australian Fixed Interest
61%4.26.9Cash
Retail %RetailTotal
*Includes FX, currency & asset allocation
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200518
Net interest income analysis
• Net interest income in 2004 up 10%
• Behind these movements has been
– Balance sheet growth up $565m
– Rising interest rates supporting deposit margins and earnings on free funds
– Additional hybrid capital contributing to reported spreads
– Business mix changes led to a decline in overall margins
4,326
4,755
222
197
9068
(182)
565
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
5,500
2003 BalanceSheet
Growth
Spread Hybrids FreeFunds
2004
Tax equivalent gross-up
Movement in net interest income ($m)
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200519
2004 Loan & deposit growth robust
67
66
139057
1H04 - 2H04
191175
22723337
8892
1H04
202188
22826367
9299
2H04
57Personal (loans & cards)1282Housing1189Consumer (Australia)
% Change1Loan growth $bn
1314
13151515
2H03- 2H04
2BT Financial Group
Business Unit
32Business (incl. equip. finance)22Westpac Institutional Bank25New Zealand ($NZ)
Group
185164
2H03
Avg. interest earning assetsNet loans and acceptances
1414
218
2878
172136
3518122449
131114Westpac Institutional Bank22324Business (Australia)34750Consumer (Australia)
88
163
129147Total deposits
Business Unit
1719New Zealand ($NZ)3441Other 2
Group
157179Ave interest bearing liabilities
Deposit Growth $bn
2. Other include Treasury and Pacific Banking1. % changes have been calculated before rounding of numbers
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200520
Analysis of group margin movements
2.62% (6bps)
(3bps) 1bps (6bps)3bps (1bps) 3bps 2.53%
2.4
2.5
2.6
2.7
2.56% 0bps 1bps 0bps 0bps 1bps (7bps)
2.50%
2.4
2.5
2.6
2.7
1H04 Assetspread
Asset mix Liabilityspread/mix
Fundingmix
Hybrids Other Free funds 2H04
(1bps)
Margins movement 1H04 – 2H04
Margin movement 2003 – 2004
2003 2004
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200521
2004 Margin and spread trends
• Impacting Australian spreads in 1H04: - Transitory change in the cash/bills
spread - Funding portfolio composition as strong
lending not matched by deposit growth - Mortgage spreads lower from product
mix changes- Cards spreads lower due to launch of a
low rate card(Virgin) and reduced revolver rates
2.022.162.332.26Equipment Finance
Australian product spreads
2.812.762.602.51Business Deposits
1.621.661.561.52Consumer Deposits
1.791.781.811.76Business
6.946.777.767.50Cards
1.181.181.221.22Mortgages
2H041H042H031H03Product
Indicative
1.8
2.3
2.8
3.3
3.8
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
1H02
2H02
1H03
2H03
2H04
MarginsSpreads
Long term Group margins and spreads
• Margins down 9 basis points over the year in line with long term expectations
• Spread down 12 basis points over year but flat over second half. 1H decline due to normal trend and some cyclical factors including the change in the monetary policy cycle
• Most of the easing in margins can be traced back to lower Australian spreads in the first half
Series break due to reclassifications
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200522
Non-interest income analysis
1,71627(14)18311,6544114726271,539
1,400
1,500
1,600
1,700
1,800
1H04
Financia
l Mark
ets
Specia
lised C
apita
l Grou
pBTFG Aus
t
Cards
Other c
ore
Norm non
-int in
come
Unit trus
t con
solid
ation
Policy
holde
r tax r
ecov
eries
2004
TPS reva
l
Epic
2H04
Non-interest movement 1H04 – 2H04 ($m)
Non-interest movement 2003 – 2004 ($m)
2003
3,004 (15)36
60 (39)
13033
3,17633 (14) 27
3,255
2,950
3,050
3,150
3,250
3,350
2004
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200523
Expense to income – comfortably under 50%
49495052
30354045505560
2H02 1H03 2H03 1H04 2H04
Banking – expense to income %
47.8%
5050
5351
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
2H02 1H03 2H03 1H04 2H04
Group - expense to income %
48.8%
5863 6162
3035404550556065
2H02 1H03 2H03 1H04 2H04
Total Wealth – expense to income % 58.6%
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200524
Expenses – continued tight management
• Strong revenue growth enabled an increase in investment spend leading cost growth to top of target range
• What we absorbed:- Compliance spend $12m- Project costs expensed $214m- Restructuring charges $24m271
42
156
44
20
9
2006(f)
38Productivity Improvement Programme
41
122
14
20
9
2005(f)
Cumulative total
Wealth integration
Other efficiency initiatives
Lending processes
Outsourcing
Cost Efficiency Pipeline $m
15-Gross up – 1 mth BTFM6$NZ impact
(3)Unit Trusts(22)Epic
(13)Private equity performance fees
4.7%3,7633,940Operating expenses
3,778
2003
3.4%3,908Adjust operating exp.
% Change2004$m
3.010.07.0Basel II
1.9
5.0
4.5-
11.0
2005 Expected
4.3Other (incl revised code of banking practice)
20.0 - 25.02.1Anti-Money Laundering
0.9Sarbanes Oxley1.0FSR
4.06.4IFRS
Expected spend after
FY05
Spend to 2004
Major compliance spending - $m
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200525
Deferred expenditure and capitalised software
300
66
19
61
29
13
11
26
31
45
Sep 2003
3
5
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
Amort-isationperiod (years)
64Other - New Zealand
58Standardised platform (One Bank)
36Institutional Bank (incl. Financial markets systems)
76Loan process re-engineering (Pinnacle)
45Customer relationship management (Reach)
12Product enhancement
21Channel development and distribution
377
29
36
Sep 2004
Total
Teller platform, New Zealand
Other - Australia
Capitalised software -major projects $m
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
2H03 1H04 2H04Deferred acquistion costsOther deferred expenditure
Deferred expenditure – ($m)
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200526
Supportive credit quality environment
• Forward indicators of credit quality remain strong
- Unemployment at generational low
- Consumer confidence is at a decade high, households positive about their finances
- Robust corporate profits
- Comfortable levels of business gearing
- No major corporate defaults
- Low delinquency rates across portfolio
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Sep-86 Sep-89 Sep-92 Sep-95 Sep-98 Sep-01 Sep-04
% index
Unemployment rate (lhs)Source: ABS, Westpac-MI
Households ‘stress’ not apparent
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
Mar-89 Mar-92 Mar-95 Mar-98 Mar-01 Mar-04
%
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8%
Source: ABS
Corporate balance sheets in good shapeDebt to equity ratio
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200527
Stressed exposures continue to decline
Categories of stressed exposuresas a % of total commitments (%)
Specific provisions / impaired assets (%)
General provisions / non-housing performing loans & acceptances (%)
• FY 04 coverage ratio is 2.5x.
* Total $m amount of Watchlist, substandard, 90 Days past due but well secured and impaired loans
1.01.21.41.61.82.02.22.4
FY98 FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 1H04 FY04 1H05
WBC ANZ CBA NAB
Source: Most recently published company accounts
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
FY98 FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 1H04 FY04 1H05
Source: Most recently published company accounts
0.0%
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%
0.8%
1.0%
1.2%
1.4%
1.6%
Sep 99 Sep 00 Sep 01 Sep 02 Sep 03 Sep-04 Dec-04
Watchlist & substandard
90 days past due well secured
Impaired
2,727*3,601*
2,598*
2,623*2,667*
2,401*
2,180*
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200528
Bad debt analysis
2004 Bad debts by business unit
414Total
2New specific
Other1Write-offs
(2)W’backs/Recoveries4241Dynamic provision
NZ
WIB
BCB
34Write-offs
3Write-offs
236Write-offs
3716Dynamic provision(24)W’backs/Recoveries
11New specific
79New specific
(22)W’backs/Recoveries(5)(65)Dynamic provision
90(68)
82
340Dynamic provisionW’backs/Recoveries
New specific
43
14
8
16 16 17
32 3331
23
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Long run expectation 25-35 basis points
Total bad & doubtful debt charge to average loans and acceptances (basis points)
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200529
Composition of portfolio
57% 55% 54% 51% 49% 50% 50%
34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 42% 42%
8% 8%9%9%8%9%9%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Sep-01 Mar-02 Sep-02 Mar-03 Sep-03 Mar-04 Sep-04
Business / Corporate Consumer Mortgages Other Consumer
Total Committed Exposure1 by customer segment• Mortgages represent 42% of total commitments and 57% of funded lending
• 64% business / corporate exposure exceed investment grade
• Other consumer includes credit cards, personal lending and margin lending
Personal Loans
CardsMargin LendingOther
consumer5%
Mortgages57%
Business / Corporate
38%
On balance sheet lending - September 2004
17% 17% 18% 14% 13% 15% 14%
11% 8%
12% 12% 11%12% 12% 11%
16% 17% 15% 16% 16% 16% 17%0.7% 0.6%
7%7%8% 7%9%
11%
0.9%0.9%0.9%1.2%1.3%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Sep-01 Mar-02 Sep-02 Mar-03 Sep-03 Mar-04 Sep-04AAA to AA- A+ to A- BBB+ to BBB- BB+ to B+ <B+
Total Committed1 Business / Corporate exposure
1. Total committed exposures include outstanding facilities and un-drawn commitments that may give rise to lending risk or pre-settlement risk
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200530
Total exposure by region
• Exposures outside core markets represent less than 3% of total committed exposures – sub investment grade represent less than 0.3% of total exposures (excluding core markets of Australia and New Zealand)
$m Australia NZ/ Pacific Americas Europe Asia ex
Japan Japan Group
AAA to AA- 35,950 6,631 777 367 127 113 43,965
A+ to A- 14,195 2,649 1,284 1,717 - - 19,845 BBB+ to BBB- 25,419 5,374 686 1,198 59 - 32,736
BB+ to B+ 42,715 8,295 32 327 4 30 51,402
<B+ 1,362 521 49 231 3 - 2,165 Secured consumer 110,128 20,946 - - - - 131,075 Unsecuredconsumer 18,268 3,199 - - - - 21,467
248,037 47,614 2,828 3,841 192 143 302,654
1. Total committed exposures by booking office at 30 September 2004
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200531
Industry concentrations
Note: Excludes governments
0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10%
Non-Metal Product Manufacturing
Oil and Gas
Insurance
Mining
IT and Telecommunication
Healthcare
Metal Products
Forestry and Paper
Chemicals
Media and Publishing
Personal and Household Goods
Hospitality
Personal and Other Services
Personal and Household Goods Retailing
Transport and Postal Services
Utilities
Construction
Machinery and Equipment
Business Services
Food and Beverage
Agriculture and Fishing
Financial Institutions
Property
Banks
% of Total Committed Exposure - September 04
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200532
Housing demand and household debt
• The housing construction downturn is set to be mild compared with past cycles.
• Net overseas migration is up a third from the second half of the 1990s. This has boosted housing requirements by almost 15% from the late 1990s.
• Australian household debt levels lifted higher over the last decade from below average levels by international standards.
• This catch-up reflected Australia’s delayed shift to a low inflation, low interest rate environment.
• Household debt servicing costs are up, but may be at a peak
Immigration impacts housing needs
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
1990s H2 2003 1990s H2 2003
'000 pa
0
50
100
150
200
250
300'000 pa
Source: ABS, Westpac
Population change Housing requirements
immigration
natural increase
smaller households
rising population
demolitions, unoccupied
145
160 / 165
International household debt to income
0
50
100
150
200
250
1979 1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003
%
0
50
100
150
200
250%
Australia US Netherlands
Japan UK Germany
Source: RBA
Australian debt levels 'unusually' low in the 1980s
Household debt
01
23
45
67
8
9
10
Jun-76 Jun-80 Jun-84 Jun-88 Jun-92 Jun-96 Jun-00 Jun-04
%
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160%
Interest cost to household income (lhs)
Household debt to household income (rhs)
Source: RBA
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200533
Mortgage portfolio – characteristics
40 41 43 45 46 47
2123
2528
31 33
1211
107
54
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
1H02 2H02 1H03 2H03 1H04 2H04
Australian Mortgage Portfolio$ bn
Owner occupiedInvestmentEquity Access CAGR = 14%
13%
36%
51%
Proportion of total
• Housing growth remained solid in 2004- Owner occupied up 4%- Investment up 18%- Equity Access up 20%
• Funding for alterations and additions boosted equity access lending
• Average LVR of new loans in 2004 was 65%—up from 63% in 2003
• Total bad debts (excluding dynamic provisioning) are less than 1 basis point
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200534
Mortgage – delivering profitable growth
• Mortgages lending up 12% in 2004 • Mortgages spreads down 4 basis points • Mortgage growth below system (with market
share easing) due to:- Holding the proportion of lending via
brokers constant- Not aggressively pursuing low-doc
lending- Avoiding higher risk investment lending
• Opportunity to improve sales force effectiveness remains
• Third party introduced loans represent 30% of new loans in 2H04 by value
• 26% of outstanding mortgage portfolio is broker originated
5
10
15
20
25
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Australian housing market share (%)
Source RBA
3130
31 3132 33
3132 32
30
3433
31 31
33
3130
2930 30
32
29 29
20
25
30
35
Mar
-03
Apr-0
3M
ay-0
3Ju
n-03
Jul-0
3Au
g-03
Sep-
03Oc
t-03
Nov-
03De
c-03
Jan-
04Fe
b-04
Mar
-04
Apr-0
4M
ay-0
4Ju
n-04
Jul-0
4Au
g-04
Sep-
04Oc
t-04
Nov-
04De
c-04
Jan-
05
%
Third party introduced loans(Proportion of total by value)
2.00.2
$bn
CBD ApartmentsLow Doc Portfolio
CBD and Low-Doc
< 1%2%
% of portfolio
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200535
Housing portfolio quality
• Nominal changes in sensitivities in 2004 compared to 2003 • Changes due to portfolio growth and levelling out of house prices• Capacity to absorb interest rate rises strong with 75% of amortising
borrowers repaying in excess of required minimum
Westpac 2003 stress testing results
Scenario BScenario ABase case
112.712.5
20.02.2
0.00.0
Combined effect $mCombined effect - bps
7.66.8
6.62.3
5.60.0
Unemployment rate - % Individual effect $m
2024.6
107.2
00.0
Housing prices fall - % Individual effect $m
11.19.3
9.13.7
7.10.0
Interest rates - % paIndividual effect $m
Westpac 2004 Stress Test Results
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200536
Strong dividend – sustainable pay-out ratio
61%
64%66%
69%
72%
75%
Derived maximum payout ratio
RWA Growth Scenarios
11%10%
9%
12%
8%
7%
1 Assumptions:– Return on equity 20%, ACE Ratio of 4.75%– Maximum payout ratio assumes Wealth business
continues to grow at current levels – Includes no buffer for volatility in earnings and
deductions (FITB/FCTR)– DRP dilution neutralised through stock
repurchases– Strong franking capacity, current balance $571m
62
5859 59
62 6163 62 63
61
50
55
60
65
1H00
2H00
1H01
2H01
1H02
2H02
1H03
2H03
1H04
2H04
Payout ratio (%)
Dividends per share (cents)
26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44
05
101520253035404550
1H00
2H00
1H01
2H01
1H02
2H02
1H03
2H03
1H04
2H04
Illustrative pay-out ratio analysis1
Presented July 2004
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200537
Capital - target ranges
• Capital levels at or above target ranges
• ACE ratio calculated on consistent basis ie. APRA deduction of deferred expenses ($269m) not removed
• Westpac will review its target capital ranges once impact of IFRS and Basel II becomes fully clear 4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
5.5%
6.0%
6.5%
7.0%
30 S
ept
2003
Cas
hEa
rnin
gs
Div
iden
ds
DR
P/O
ptio
ns
Buy
back
s
RW
A
Oth
er
30 S
ept
2004
5.05%
162 bps (100 bps)
(36 bps)(50 bps)
(22 bps)4.82%
23 bps
Adjusted common equity movement (%)
Capital ratios and target ranges (%)
3.0%3.5%4.0%4.5%5.0%5.5%6.0%6.5%7.0%7.5%8.0%
Mar-00
Sep-0
0Mar-
01Sep
-01
Mar-02
Sep-0
2Mar-
03Sep
-03
Mar-04
Sep-0
4
ACE Tier 1
Buybacks completed ($m)
505
1,682
407559
$0$200$400$600$800
$1,000$1,200$1,400$1,600$1,800
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200538
Basel II progress
• Basel II developments:
- Final accord released end June 2004 –recalibration of factors could still occur
- Start date delayed to 2008
• Westpac will be capable of Basel II reporting by end 2006
• Repeated quantitative impact studies show Westpac’s risk weighted assets falling by at least 25%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Corporate Mortgage Other Retail SME OtherExposure
Group 1 banksWestpac
Proportion of assets across classes
-80%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
Corporate Mortgage Other Retail SME OtherExposure
Group 1 banks
Westpac
Change in RWA under Advanced IRB
Group 1 banks are large, diversified with Tier 1 capital in excess of Euro 3bn
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200539
IFRS – key issues
Moderate increase - volatility moves with economic cycle
High impact - significant volatility if hedge accounting not achieved.
Comments
Bad debt charges
Hedge Accounting
Key areas of impact
• IFRS project costs are within normal compliance spend and arise over 3 years
• Start date for comparatives may be delayed to 1 October 2004 following SEC ruling
• Planning to run the general ledger in parallel for 2005 (and potentially 2006) with only a summarised reconciliation on how pre IFRS reporting matches post IFRS reporting
• Ability to provide multi-year trend information is limited as no comparatives for IAS 32 & 39
• Short to medium term earnings volatility a key issue
• Conclusion on acceptable degrees of earnings volatility being assessed along with viability and cost/benefit of volatility-mitigating actions e.g. externalising hedges
• APRA released discussion paper on their proposed approach to adopting IFRS. This has somewhat reduced the uncertainty of overall implementation
05
1015202530354045
FY 97
1H 98
2H98
1H 99
2H99
1H 00
2H00
1H 01
2H01
1H 02
2H02
1H 03
2H03
1H04
2H04
Bad Debt charge before DPBad Debt charge including DP
Net bad and doubtful debt charges pre and post DP
Basi
s po
ints
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200540
Structured Finance – portfolio
• Westpac conducts certain structured finance transactions with exposure primarily to global financial institutions • Total portfolio size approx $10.6bn in 2004 with a mix of asset and liability transactions• Structured Finance transactions currently under review by the New Zealand Inland Revenue Department since
late 2003• Westpac initially sought multiple layers of advice to ensure the transactions conformed with New Zealand tax law
and this was confirmed by the IRD in a binding ruling on one transaction Other transactions were modelled on this ruling, and new recent advice confirms earlier view
• On 30 September 2004 Westpac received amended assessments relating to transactions in the 1999 year from the IRD. The maximum tax liability reassessed for the 1999 year is NZ$25m (including interest)
• Should the NZIRD take the same position across all of these transactions for the periods up to and including the year ended 30 September 2004, Westpac has calculated that the maximum potential overall primary tax liability in dispute would be approximately NZ$647m (tax effected) including interest
• On 21 September 2004 the NZ government announced a change in taxation rules with the introduction of a thin capitalisation regime to apply by 1 July 2005. New rules specific to banks will deny interest deductions if the Bank does not hold a level of capital equivalent to four percent of New Zealand risk weighted assets
• Change will make current structured finance activities in New Zealand uneconomic (no new transaction in over 2 years)
• Impact on Westpac:- Reduction in NZ Structured Finance revenue going forward, reducing from ~$85m 30 September 04,
~$39m to 30 June 05 and nil in 2006- Total Structured Finance portfolio revenue $173m at 30 September 04- Alternate transactions in other jurisdictions may see loss of NZ revenue offset by around half by 2006
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200541
Sarbanes-Oxley Act Section 404
• Westpac is required to comply with US Sarbanes-Oxley legislation as a result of its equity (ADR’s) and debt issuance program in the US.
• The key challenge with Sarbanes-Oxley is section 404. This section requires substantially increased management and external auditor attestation over the internal controls underpinning the financial statements including:
- Detailed documentation of controls- Testing of key controls - Assessing a company’s pervasive control environment and culture
• Non US companies are required to comply for 2006 year ends. • Market commentators are expecting up to 20% of registrants will disclose non-compliant 404
attestations.
Key objectives
Timeframe
Scope
Deliver clean attestation by October 2005
Seek to leverage project investment to deliver substantial improvement in control environment
Capture synergies across all compliance programs
Commenced June 2004, detailed assessment and testing underway, project complete by October 2005
Total project spend expected to be $5m in 2005. Dedicated project team of 30
Westpac’s Sarbanes Oxley project
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200542
Clear and simple strategy
Service – Profit Chain
Customer Focus
Internal Service Quality
Employee Commitment
Employee Retention
Employee Productivity
Superior Customer
Experience
Customer Satisfaction
Customer Loyalty
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Shareholder Value
Strategy Outcomes
Medium termObjectives
� Best practice employee commitment
� Service leadership in our industry
� Top quartile shareholder returns
� Leader in corporate responsibility
Employee Customer Shareholder
How?Differentiator: Superior
ExecutionOur high performanceculture:�Quality people�Effective people &
performance mgt processes
�Values
Vision
“To be a great Australian and NZ Company”
� A great place to work� A superior customer
experience� 1st quartile shareholder
returns� A good corporate citizen
Mission“To be at the forefront for service in our industry by
September 2005”
ValuesTeamwork
IntegrityPerformance
‘Ask Once’
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200543
Improving sustainability – staff, customers, community
Number 1 In the global banking sector 2004/2005 – for third consecutive year
Australia - Number 1 company overall – only company to receive a AAA rating.
GovernanceMetrics International – One of 26 (out of 2,588) companies globally to achieve a top 10.0 score for corporate governance
Leadership (%)Westpac senior leadership provides a clear sense of direction - % favourable
Consumer satisfaction% of main financial institution customers very or fairly satisfied quarterly moving average
55
60
65
70
75
2000 2001 2002 2003
WBC Peer Avg
30
40
50
60
70
80
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200544
Strategic options
Keep open mind but low probability
• No compelling offshore competitive advantage• Low synergies• Learn from others’ mistakes
International expansion
Maintain watching brief• No major capability gaps• Very limited opportunity to generate value at
current prices• Disciplined adherence to criteria has served us
well-Aligned with strategic direction -Strict valuation criteria-Not unduly diverting
Acquisition
StatusCommentsOption
• Aust/NZ lowest risk and highest value available• Significant opportunities still remain within
existing customer franchise• No diversion risk
Aggressively pursueOrganic growth
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200545
An experienced executive team
Joined Westpac in 2002 with acquisition of BT. First joined BT in 1991 holding various roles across the organisation.
Feb 2005Chief Executive Officer BT Financial Group
Rob Coombe
Joined Westpac 1982, Appointed CFO in Feb 2001. Previously Deputy CFO and has held CFO roles in both retail and institutional banking
Jan 2001Chief Financial OfficerPhilip Chronican
BiographyDate joined Group
Executive
TitleName
Mar 1999
Apr 2002
Jan 2002
May 2002
Nov 2002
Oct 1990
Group Executive New Zealand & Pacific Banking
Group Executive Business and Consumer Banking
Group Executive Business & Technology Solutions & Services
Group Executive Westpac Institutional Bank
Group Executive People and Performance
Chief Executive Officer
Joined Westpac in 1994, in current role since October 2002. Ann has headed People and Performance for the Group and was CEO Bank of Melbourne following the Merger in 1997
Ann Sherry
Joined Westpac in April 2002 as Group Executive New Zealand & Pacific Banking. Appointed to current role in August 2002. Extensive experience in retail banking including CEO Australian Financial Services for National Australia Bank and CEO Bank of New Zealand
Mike Pratt
Joined Westpac to current role in January 2002. Michael has 30 years experience in Information Technology covering a broad range of industries
Michael Coomer
Joined Westpac 1996, in current role since 2002. Previously with AIDC, Citicorp Global Asset Management and Citigroup
Philip Coffey
Joined Westpac 2000, as Group Secretary and General Counsel. Previously Partner of a Major Law firm, Mallesons Stephen Jaques. In current role since 2002
Ilana Atlas
Joined 1990, CEO since 1999. Headed all major business units in Westpac prior to CEO appointment in March 1999. Extensive prior experience in financial sector including in the IMF and the Australian Federal Treasury
David Morgan
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200546
Credit growth supported by GDP multiplier
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Dec-80
Dec-83
Dec-86
Dec-89
Dec-92
Dec-95
Dec-98
Dec-01
Dec-04
ratio
-1
0
1
2
3
4ratio
Source: ABS, RBA
period average
Credit growth relative to nominal non-farm GDP
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200547
Known influences on 2005 earnings – at Nov 2004
• Lower credit growth• Income loss from NZ structured finance. Impact expected to be $20m
to $40m in 2005 depending on alternative transactions• Continuing competition – particularly in deposits
5-8Interest Income
29-31
25-35 bps
2-4
5-9
Medium term ranges
(%)
• Nothing to suggest would be outside current range
• Current environment suggests we will continue to be at the bottom of the range
• Compliance project spend increasing• Higher superannuation charges• Increased amortisation of capitalised software• Sticking to 2-4% target, although likely to be at top of range
• Cards impact will not be repeated• Financial markets environment more stable
Specific influences in 2005
Bad Debts
Tax Rate
Expenses
Non-Interest Income
Conversion to IFRS likely to alter the treatment of key drivers and broaden the range of outcomes in any one yearNB: This is not earnings guidance
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200548
Where are the risks?
Risk Probability of occurrence
• Further intensified competition Medium
• Impact of new entrants Medium
• Housing market collapse Low
• Blow-out in bad debts Low
• Greater than expected funds outflows Low
• Re-regulation Low
• New wave of corporate collapses Low
• Global economic recession Low
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200549
Investor relations contacts
Westpac’s Investor Relations Team
Andrew Bowden 61 2 9226 [email protected]
Hugh Devine 61 2 9226 [email protected]
Suzanne Evans 61 2 9226 [email protected]
AddressLevel 2560 Martin PlaceSydney NSW 2000AustraliaFax 61 2 9226 1539
For further information on Westpac including:
• Annual reports• Financial result announcements• Presentations and webcasts• Corporate history• Key policies
Please visit our dedicated investor website
www.westpac.com.au/investorcentre
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack March 200550
Disclaimer
The material contained in this presentation is intended to be general background information on Westpac Banking Corporation and its activities.
The information is supplied in summary form and is therefore notnecessarily complete. Also, it is not intended that it be relied upon as advice to investors or potential investors, who should consider seeking independent professional advice depending upon their specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs.
The financial information contained in this presentation includesnon-GAAP financial measures. For a reconciliation of these measures to the most comparable GAAP measure, please refer to full year financial statements filed with the Securities Exchange Commission and Australian Stock Exchange.