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TRANSCRIPT
Investor Presentation
November 2014
All figures as at end of 30 September 2014, unless otherwise stated
Outline
1. Introduction
A. Executive Summary
B. Key Investment Highlights
D. Share Performance and Shareholder Structure
2. SODIC Backdrop
A. Company Overview / Track Record
B. Clean and Growing Land Bank
C. A Trusted Brand Name
D. Operational Efficient Model
5. Annex
F. Experienced Management Team
A. Awards
4. Resilient Financial Performance
A. Sales Performance & Unrecognized Revenues
B. Launched Projects’ Profitability
C. Delivery and Execution
D. 9M 2014 Vs. 9M 2013
C. 2014 Update
B. Egypt Macroeconomic & Real Estate Sector Overview
E. Well Rounded Corporate Strategy
Introduction
4
The government has embarked on a number of long awaited schemes that aim to address economic issues including subsidy reform, mortgage market stimulation and the launch of national projects such as the Suez Canal project
Such schemes are expected to have positive implications on macroeconomic indicators in the near future
Improving Macro Economic Indicators
Dispute free and constantly growing land bank with around 3.6mn sqm of raw land in Egypt (Eastown settlement with MoH in 2014)
Attractively located land bank, especially with the recent award of the 301 Feddan plot serving as one of a very few sizeable plots remaining in the New Cairo
Clean and Growing Land Bank
Ability to take a project from concept to delivery by leveraging on in-house capabilities
Successful navigation through different market conditions
Introduction of market tailored projects with new ticket price ranges
Efficient Operational Model
A leading real estate brand associated with the development of top quality projects
Successful launch of 9 projects with a reputation of on-time delivery when compared to other developers Trusted Brand Name
Proven Operational Track Record
Consistent recognition of positive net sales even during periods of economic disruptions
Collection rate of over 95%
A history of cumulative net sales of some EGP 10.4 bn and delivery of some 1,800 units
EGP 4bn of receivables and EGP 5.7bn of unrecognized revenue
Investment Synopsis
An experienced management team that has been able to navigate the company during times of economic disruptions
Management team is governed by international best practice corporate governance given fragmented shareholder base and active BoD
Experienced Management Team
An average GPM of 36% for launched projects
Exceptional performance during 9M14 compared to 9M2013, 316 units delivered during 9M 2014
Continuous ability to raise debt on the back of cash generation ability
Resilient Financial Performance
Encouraging Real Estate Market
Dynamics
A relatively young and growing population supported by an increasing rate of annual marriages coupled with an underserved mortgage market with below average consumer credit
Market characterized by a small number of densely populated cities, with low urbanization and a supply shortage of no less than 200K units per year
Well Rounded Corporate Strategy
EGP 17bn worth of residential units to be introduced over the next six years
Increasing the recurring income portfolio through including additional retail and commercial space as part of the developments
Tapping secondary city markets and possibly the secondary home market
Key Investment Highlights
2014 Update
Achievements and Updates
Eastown settlement, 301 award & new launches on Eastown Residences
2Q14
Eastown settlement with Ministry of Housing for an additional payment of EGP 900 million over 7 years unlocking some EGP 5 billion of residential inventory
Financial cleansing: reversal of non performing land sales & fully impairing Syria’s investment (FY 2013)
Ripplewood acquires 9.4% stake in SODIC (previously owned by EFG Hermes)
Eastown Residences (ETR) Phase V launch worth EGP 246 million selling out
301 Acre award letter received from New Urban Communities Authority
ETR Phase VI launch worth EGP 359 million selling out EGX approves capital increase subject to EGM approval
Strong start to the year’s sales, Solidaire settlement & drawdown on syndicated loan
3 mega villas sold in Allegria worth EGP 52 million; 27
offices sold in The Polygon worth EGP 79 million
Amicable Settlement with Solidere International (SI) unlocking 250,000 sqm of land in the heart of Westown, expected to generate some EGP 1.3 billion of sales
Westown Residences Phase X launch worth EGP 531 million selling out
SODIC West Syndication Drawdown: Tranche A worth EGP 330 million, refinancing 3 existing facilities
1Q14
Shoring up our finances, both debt & equity, ETR Launch fully sold
Signature of EGP 950 million loan with AAIB (301 Acre); EGP 255 million drawdown in less than 2 weeks
EGM approves EGP 1 billion capital increase to existing shareholders
Signature of EGP 300 million loan with CIB (SI Blocks) ETR Phase VI launch worth EGP 353 million selling out
3Q14 Capital increase 99.3% subscribed for, new launches on Westown & Villette (301 plot)
Successful closure of circa EGP 1bn capital increase New launches on Westown Residences Courtyard EGP 250
million Target to launch of first phase of Villete (301 Plot) in
December
4Q14
-
5,000.00
10,000.00
15,000.00
20,000.00
25,000.00
30,000.00
35,000.00
40,000.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00
13.00
14.00
15.00
16.00
17.00
18.00
19.00
Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14
Volumes OCDI '000 OCDI EGX 30
SODIC Performance² EGX 30 Performance Avg. Daily Trading Value (EGP mn)
High / Low ²
Exceptional share price performance and fragmented shareholder structure
1 As at 11/11/2014 ² Based on adjusted prices post rights issue
Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014
10% 18%
3% 15%
49%
20%
16.4 33.7 37.2
11.0 / 8.87 12.1 / 9.2 17.7 / 11.9
YTD¹ Stock Performance of +79% YTD¹ EGX Performance +39%
Share Performance & Shareholder Structure
SODIC’s Share Performance
Solidere settlement WTR Phase X launch Syndication drawdown
Eastown settlement 301 Acre award letter EGX approves capital increase ETR Phase V/VI launch Ripplewood acquires 9.4%
EGM approves capital increase 301 Acre loan & down payment CIB loan Positive Q2 results ETR Phase VII launch
Shareholder Structure
Share Information
No. of Shares Outstanding 338.9 mn Market Capitalization EGP 5.5 bn Symbol:
EGX: OCDI.CA Reuters: OCDI.CA Bloomberg: OCDA.CA
Index Inclusion: EGX 30 EGX 100 MSCI IMI
Capital increase 99.3% subscribed Westown Courtyard launch
SODIC Backdrop
SODIC is amongst Egypt’s leading real estate companies with a significant presence in high-end and upper-middle primary housing segment in Greater Cairo
Total land bank of 9.78 mn sqm with prime locations in East & West Cairo
Diversified launched project portfolio: 6 residential projects comprising 4,500 units 2 retail projects comprising 43,000 sqm of BUA 1 commercial project comprising 70,000 sqm of BUA
In-House execution capabilities: Design, Construction Management, and Facility Management
Publicly listed since 1996, non-family owned, with a strong corporate governance framework
Market Cap of some EGP 5.5 bn with a diversified shareholder base
Brief Overview
SODIC, Egypt’s trusted developer, emerging stronger post revolution
1 Since Inception, excluding Beverly Hills including commercial and retail ² As of 30th September 2014
Company Overview - Proven Track Record
Key Highlights
Of Contracted Sales 1, over 4,800 units
EGP 11.4 bn, Of unrecognized revenue²
EGP 5.1 bn, Of sellable inventory²
EGP 730 mn, Of receivables backlog²
EGP 4 bn,
Of non launched & raw land bank²
3.6 mn sqm Collection rate for receivables²
Over 96% Delivered units 1
Over 1,800 EGP 17.0 bn Expected Sales from Non Launched and Raw Land Bank
8 8
1 Excluding Syria Land Bank (Fully Impaired) 2 Includes Designopolis, BISC and Infrastructure assets
Launched Projects
63%
Unlaunched Projects
24%
Raw Land Bank 13%
West Cairo
Clean and Growing Land Bank1
Total Land Bank 2.2mn sqm Total Land Bank 7.5mn sqm
Total Land Utilization
9.78 mn sqm
Unlaunched & Raw Land Geographical Distribution
East Cairo
50.08%
West Cairo
49.92%
3.65 mn sqm
2. Non Launched Projects Westown Residential 359k sqm
Westown Retail/Commercial 91k sqm
The Strip (Phase 2) 104k sqm The Polygon 9k sqm Total Non Launched 563k sqm 3. Raw Land Al Yosr 1.26mn sqm Total Raw Land 1.26mn sqm
1. Launched Projects Land Area Allegria 2.4m sqm Forty West 56k sqm Westown Residence 584k sqm The Polygon 44k sqm The Strip 105k sqm Westown Hub 50k sqm CASA 294k sqm Beverly Hills 1.9m sqm Other2 260k sqm Total Launched Projects 5.7mn sqm
1. Launched Projects Land Area Eastown Residential 341k sqm Kattameya Plaza 126k sqm Total Launched Projects 418k sqm 2. Non Launched Projects Eastown Residential 358k sqm Eastown Retail 159k sqm 301 Acre Plot Residential 1.0mn sqm 301 Acre Plot Retail/Comm. 229k sqm Total Non Launched Projects 1.82mn sqm
East Cairo
All of the Company’s Land Bank in Egypt is free of any legal encumbrances
Prime locations, unencumbered & 63% utilized
9 9
Successful project launches and delivery
1 Comprised of 218 units for sale and 32 units for lease 2 Including areas earmarked for retail & commercial
A Trusted Brand Name
Westown Residence (“WTR”)
Location: West Cairo
Launch: December 2011
Land Area: 1mn sqm2
Type of Units: Various Types of Residential Units
Starting Delivery: 2014
Completion Date: 2017
Gross BUA BUA: 646k sqm2
Allegria
Location: West Cairo
Launch: January 2008
Land Area: 2.4mn sqm
Type of Units: Residential Single Family Units
Starting Delivery: 2010
Completion Date: 2015
Gross BUA BUA: 566k sqm
Forty West
Location: West Cairo
Launch: Feb. 2009
Land Area: 56k sqm
Type of Units: High-end Apartments
Starting Delivery: 2012
Completion Date: 2015
Gross BUA BUA: 46k sqm
The Polygon
Location: West Cairo
Launch: Dec. 2009
Land Area: 53k sqm
Type of Units: Integrated mixed-use office park
Starting Delivery: 2013
Completion Date: 2016
Gross BUA BUA: 91k sqm
Allegria Forty West
Westown Residences (“WTR”) The Polygon
7 Launched projects within SODIC West
1 2
3 4
Allegria
Location: West Cairo
Launch: March 2010
Land Area: 210k sqm
Type of Units: Retail stretch mall
Starting Delivery: 2012
Completion Date: 2015
Gross BUA BUA: 50k sqm
Successful project launches and delivery
A Trusted Brand Name
7 Launched projects within SODIC West
CASA
Location: West Cairo
Launch: July 2011
Land Area: 294k sqm
Type of Units: Only Apartments
Starting Delivery: 2013
Completion Date: 2015
Gross BUA BUA: 16k sqm
Westown Hub
Location: West Cairo
Launch: Oct. 2012
Land Area: 50k sqm
Type of Units: Entertainment retail complex
Starting Delivery: 2014
Completion Date: 2015
Gross BUA BUA: 12k sqm
The Strip CASA
Westown Hub
5 6
7
Successful project launches and delivery
A Trusted Brand Name
2 Launched projects within New Cairo, soon to launch on 301 Plot
Kattameya Plaza (“KP”)
Location: East Cairo
Launch: May 2010
Land Area: 126k sqm
Type of Units: Upper Middle Class Apart. Buildings
Starting Delivery: 2013
Completion Date: 2015
Gross BUA BUA: 121K sqm
Eastown Residences (“ETR”)
Location: East Cairo
Launch: May 2013
Land Area: 857k sqm
Type of Units: Residential Units
Starting Delivery: 2016
Completion Date: 2017
Gross BUA BUA: 644k sqm
8
301 Acre Plot
Location: East Cairo
Launch: 4Q14
Land Area: 1.2m sqm
Type of Units: Mixed use
Starting Delivery: 2018
Completion Date: 2022
Gross BUA BUA: 815k sqm*
Eastown Residences (“ETR”) Kattameya Plaza (“KP”)
301 Acres Plot
9
Ability to take a project from concept to delivery Depth of in-house capabilities including:
- Market research - Product development/ design - Finance - Licensing & permitting - Sales - Procurement & construction management - Delivery & operation
A developer building on the positives and tackling the challenges
Fully Integrated Developer
Strength Description
Proprietary, honed process Efficient management of input from all stakeholders
achieving optimal business cases Emphasizing on coordination between project
development and sales team Efficiencies & capabilities to standardize processes,
evolve & optimize products
Process Driven Development
Successful navigation through different market conditions including:
- Boom (2006-2008) - Global recession (2009) - Revolution year (2011) - Post Revolution, political/economic Unease - Revolution continues (2013) - Stability (post presidential elections - 2014)
Full Cycle Experience
Po
st-r
ev
olu
tio
n s
tra
teg
y s
hif
t o
f la
un
chin
g m
ark
et-
tail
ore
d p
roje
cts
New market needs Extensive interviews/focus groups with
potential customers Competition research/ sales analysis Review of SODIC’s experience during the
2009 recession
Assessments
4 key elements to target “Upper Middle Income Class” Affordability Functionality Exclusivity Safety
Outcomes
New products with ticket price of EGP 0.8 – 2.8 million Efficient structural design & construction Higher densities Smart design with unique features
Actions
Unparalleled success of WTR I – X and ETR I - VI Some EGP 4.2 billion of sales1 Higher margins Quicker process Market leader
Results
1 Includes all phases in WTR & ETR projects since launch to 30/9/2014, some 2,626 units.
Efficient Operational Model
A raw and unlaunched land bank of 3.6 million sqm1, perfectly positioned for growth
1 Excluding 1.56 million sqm in Syria. 2 Includes EGP 1.1 billion of land payments 3 Subject to change
SODIC Corporate Business Units Strategic Initiatives
Development
Develop functional, affordable, community centric products
Increase densities to improve land utilization
Shift from primarily residential to mixed use developer
Develop world class master plan for the 301 Acre plot
Sales & Marketing
Maintain “Market Leader” positioning
Increase the SODIC Family of Brands
Interaction with development ensuring best product offering
Prepared team for 301 launch ( 4Q 2014)
Spend EGP 1.9 billion in 20142
Deliver 441 units (310 West, 131 East)
Maintain reputation for delivery ahead of schedule
Bolster in house capabilities to reduce construction costs
Preparations for swift execution post 301 plot launch
Execution Finance
Swift drawdown to support timely execution
Improve internal book keeping to eliminate future surprises
Leveraging platform; Bringing to market some EGP 17 billion of new residential inventory
Expected Outcome (3-6 Years)
1
Collect some EGP 4 billion of receivables from existing sales; Maintain collection rate of over 95% 2
Timely execution spending, delivering more than 8,000 residential units 3
Positive free cash flows to equity post 2016 4
Increase recurring income portfolio (retail + commercial), from a current 47k sqm to 192k sqm3 5
Facility Management
Maintain best in class
customer service experience
Enhance value added services
Penetrate secondary homes & secondary city markets 6
Well Rounded Corporate Strategy
Experienced Management Team
SODIC is one of the few companies in Egypt that is not family owned & managed
Management with full economic cycle experience, successfully navigated global recession & revolutions
A development organization capable of monetizing land positions at optimal value
Diverse team assembled since 2006 with untapped capacity
Mr. Ahmed Badrawi
Chief Technical Officer
Eng. Shehab El Orabi
Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Omar El Hamawy
Chief Projects Officer
Mr. Hatem Halwagy
Chief Commercial
Officer
Mr. Ahmed Labib
Chief Projects Development
Officer
Mr. Basil Ramzy
Managing Director (Executive)
Dr. Hani Sarieldin Managing Director
(Executive)
Mr. Ahmed Badrawi
Chairman (Non-Executive)
15
Eng. Safwan Thabet
Mr. Shafik El Baghdady
Dr. Walid Abanumay
Mr. Sabah Barakat
Mr. Omar El Hamawy
Eng. Shehab El Orabi
Mr. Basil Ramzy
Member (Non-Executive)
Member (Non-Executive)
Member (Non-Executive)
Member (Non-Executive)
Member (Executive)
Member (Executive)
Member (Executive)
Executive Management
Board of Directors
Resilient Financial Performance
16
Sales Performance & Unrecognized Revenues1
FY 2014 is expected to be slightly higher than FY 2013
2013
Some EGP 10.4 billion of net sales since 2008 of which 50% yet to be recognized
Annual Net Sales (EGP Million)
17
1 Monthly Sales from January 2008 to Sept 2014. Unrecognized revenues accounting for EGP 5.1 billion as at 30th of September 2014. 2 Actual Contracted Net Sales as at 30th of September 2014.
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Regular Operating Environment
Global Financial Recession
Regular Operating Environment
Jan 25th Revolution Regular Operating
Environment June 30th
Revolution
2014
Regular Operating Environment
Cumulative Net Sales (EGP mn) Net Sales (EGP mn)
2 1,884
849
1,839
6
1,619
2,478
2,019
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
Launch of: • WTR phases 7, 8
& 9 • Eastown
Residences “ETR” phases 1 to 4 account to 50% of total sales
Allegria Phase 1&2 launch
Some 650 Allegria units contracted
Launch of: • Allegria phase 3 &
4 • The Polygon • Forty West • The Strip
Cumulative Sales: EGP 2.7 Billion
KP launch achieving EGP 250 million of sales
Cumulative Sales: EGP 4.6 Billion
Launch of: • Small offices in The
Polygon • Westown Residences
“WTR” Phase 1 Turmoil causing EGP
735 million in cancellations
Cumulative Sales: EGP 4.6 Billion
Launch of: • Allegria phase 5 • WTR Phases 2 to
6 WTR achieved
sales of some EGP 1 billion
Cumulative Sales: EGP 6.2 Billion
Launch of: • WTR phases 10 • ETR phases 5-7 • WT Courtyard
Expected to launch EGP 650 million on new 301 project in 4Q14
6,019 6,437 6,720 6,826 8,338 8,855
10,000
Phase I Phase II Phase III Phase IV Phase V Phase VI Phase VII
Project Profitability
Launched Projects’ Profitability GPM of 36% on some EGP 10 billion of unit sales
Pricing Ability
Sellable Inventory Profitability 1 Percentage Sold (Value)
18
1 All figures in EGP unless otherwise stated 2 Unsold Allegria inventory amounts to EGP 188 mln (16 units), displaying an average price per unit of EGP 12 million 3 Includes the investment cost of leasable assets 4 Expected gross profit margin, excluding NPV adjustments
Total Inventory Development Cost3 Sold
Inventory Projects’
GPM 4
Project (EGP millions)
Allegria2
Polygon
Forty West
KP
WTR (I-X)
Total
4,392 2,731 4,202 38%
712 639 539 31%
589 495 394 33%
641 438 624 33%
2,233 1,304 2,220 42%
10,747 34%
Sold Unsold
96% 4%
76%
67% 33%
99% 1%
93% 7%
24%
ETR (I-VII) 2,179 1,490 2,043 27% 94%
10,023
6%
7,097
Eastown Prices (EGP/sqm)
May ‘13 May ‘13 June ‘13 Sept. ‘13 May ‘14 June ‘14 Launch Date
66% increase
Sept ‘14
97% 3%
Delivery and Execution1
SODIC delivered some 316 units during 9M 2014 across 8 different projects, namely: Allegria, Kattameya Plaza, Forty West, The Polygon, The Strip, Casa ,WT Hub & WT Residences
Project Number of
Units Delivered
Units %
Delivered Investment
Cost2 %
Completion3 Delivery
Start Date Delivery End Date
1 All figures as at 30th of Sept 2014. 2 Investment cost represents the expected construction and land costs. Figures are in EGP millions. 3 Percentage completion represents the actual earned value, calculated on a weighted average basis per project phase. 4 Westown Residences Phase I shows an 96% development completion on a standalone basis. 5 CASA is a jointly owned project (80% Palm Hills subsidiary & 20% SODIC). SODIC owns 63 apartments ⁶Polygon phase I
Over 4,900 units under development (36% delivered) with an investment cost of some EGP 7.4 billion
Delivery Execution
19
Allegria
Kattameya Plaza
Forty West
WT Residences (I-X)
The Polygon
The Strip
WT Hub
Total
1,255 1,094 87% 2010 2,731 95%
474 382 81% 2013 438 99%
133 55 41% 2012 495 96%
1,391 87 6% 2013 1,304 34%4
250 110 44% 2013 639 91%⁶
84 24 29% 2012 241 76%
47 2 4% 2014 66 100%
4,983 1,801 36% From 2010 to 2017 EGP 7,400mn NA
2015
2015
2015
2017
2016
2015
2015
ET Residences (I-VII) 1, 286 - - 2016 1,490 16% 2017
CASA5 63 46 73% 2013 NA 100% 2015
9M 2014 Vs 9M 2013
Building on strengths
Item (in EGP mn unless otherwise stated)
9M 2014
20
9M 2013 Variance
%
Gross Contracted Sales
Net Contracted Sales
Net Contracted Sales From New Launches
Cash Collected
CAPEX
Number of Units Delivered (units)
Value of Units Delivered
Gross Profit
Net Profit
2,156
2,019
2,159
1,965
0%
3%
Number of Units Sold (units) 901 1,099 -18
1,348 1,285 5%
60%
546 628 -13%
316 347 -8%
903 672 34%
309 252 23%
110 80 38%
Debt Raised/Secured 2,150 343 526%
Cash at banks & on hand 1,034 456 127%
1,478 925
Annex
21
Awards
A globally recognised developer
22
EUROMONEY CITYSCAPE
EUROMONEY MINISTRY OF TRADE & INDUSTRY
2013: Allegria - best residential project – Built
2013: The Polygon - best commercial and mixed use project – Future
2014: Best office business developer in Egypt (Polygon)
2011: Best developer overall Egypt 2011: Best mixed use developer Mena 2011: Best residential developer Mena
2010: Enterprise Innovation Award for registering all of its trademarks with the Internal Trade Development Authority, an affiliate of Ministry of Trade and Industry
BUSINESS TODAY EUROMONEY
CNBC PROPERTY AWARDS EUROMONEY
2010: Best developer overall Egypt 2010: Best mixed use developer Mena
2011: Best company by BT100 rank
change at the BT100 Crystal Awards
CNBC Arabian Property 2009: Allegria best architecture
CNBC Property 2008: Allegria best development in Egypt with a 5-star award
CNBC Property 2008: Allegria best golf course development with a 4-star award
2007: Allegria award of merit from the American Society of Landscape Architects (ASLA) for its master plan, developed by world-renowned master planners EDAW
Egypt Macro Economic and Real Estate Sector Overview
23
8.1%
9.8% 10.8%
13.7%
12.0% 12.0%
10.4%
June 10 June 11 June 12 June 13 June 14 June 15 June 16
12% 11%
9%
7%
10% 10%
8%
June 10 June 11 June 12 June 13 June 14 June 15 June 16
24
The government has
embarked on a
number of schemes
that aim to address
economic issues
These initiatives are
expected to have
positive effects on
macro economic
indicators
Recent Government Initiatives
Subsidy Reforms
In July 2014, the Egyptian government kicked off a much-awaited fiscal consolidation, aiming to bring the fiscal deficit towards a sustainable path and revive economic growth. The approved measures constitute:
Rationing wide-range of fuel products Re-pricing of electricity and outlining a five-year plan for phasing out fuel subsidies Increasing sales taxes on tobacco and alcohol
1
Item Annual Saving
(EGP Bn)
Diesel 16.8
Gasoline 8.9
Fuel Oil 4.0
Natural Gas 3.7
Electricity 8.5
Cigarettes & Alcohol
4.5
Total 46.4
% of GDP 2.0%
Mortgage Finance 2
The government is stimulating private and household credit through the launch of an EGP 10bn programme by CBE to promote mortgage finance
The programme would lend banks funds at preferential rates for maturities of more than 10 years that would be utilized in the financing mortgage for low and middle income families
Suez Canal & New Road Network
The government recently announced to build a new Suez Canal alongside the existing 145-year-old historic waterway with an estimated cost of USD 8.2 bn (including building underground tunnels) to be completed in five years. The new canal is set to boost annual revenues to USD13.5 bn by 2023 from USD5.2 bn in FY12/13
3,600 KM of new roads to be constructed at a cost of EGP 36 billion
Macroeconomic Indicators
Real GDP Growth2 5.2%
1.8% 2.2% 2.1% 2.3%
3.3%
4.5%
June 10 June 11 June 12 June 13 June 14 June 15 June 16
Budget Deficit (%GDP)3
Inflation2
1 Source: Bloomberg, Reuters, EFG Hermes Research 2 Source IMF 3 Expected budget deficit is based on press release by the Ministry of Finance
3
Improving Macro Economic Indicators1
Planned government initiatives to address long-standing economic issue
900
270
Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14
35 33 30 28 27 27 26 25 24 22 20 18 16 16 15 15 16 16 14 15 15 16 15 15 14 14 13 14 16 15
19 19 19 19 18 17 17 17 17 18 17 17 17 17 17 17
Jan-11 Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 Jan-12 Apr-12 Jul-12 Oct-12 Jan-13 Apr-13 Jul-13 Oct-13 Jan-14 Apr-14 Jul-14 Oct-14
Following the 30th of June
protests and the ouster of
ex president Morsi,
several Macro indicators
showed signs of
improvement with CDS
spread dropping from an
alarming 900 bps and a
drop in 1 year T-bill yield
Macro risk receded with
the support package
promised by Saudi Arabia,
UAE and Kuwait. The aid
received pulled the breaks
on further devaluation of
the EGP and revered the
constant decrease in
Egypt’s foreign reserves
Improving Macroeconomic Indicators1
Egypt’s macroeconomic backdrop
25
Recent Government Initiatives
Egypt Spot & 12 Months Non Deliverable Forward
1 Source: Bloomberg, IMF, CBE 2 Due to the Monetary Police Committee’s decision to raise overnight lending and deposits rate by 100 bps
CDS Spread (basis points)
Post 30th June Protests
Post 25th Jan Revolution Post Presidential Elections
1 Year T-Bill Yield (%) Dollarization (% of Total Deposits)
Due to MPC’s decision to raise lending and deposits
rate by 100 bps
2
23%
19%
Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14
Stable FX Reserves (USD Billion)
Country Received Total Pledged
USD 4.0 bn USD 6.9 bn
USD 8.6 bn USD 12.2 bn
USD 3.0 bn USD 4.0 bn
USD 15.6 bn USD 23.1 bn
Incoming International Support Packages
7.1
7.9
Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14
Spot Forward
14.9%
12.2%
Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14
5.8
7.14
967 1,048
1,466 1,510
2,083 1,788 1,771
1,452
2,814
3,202
1,784
3,106
3,747
1Q11
2Q11
3Q11
4Q11
1Q12
2Q12
3Q12
4Q12
1Q13
2Q13
3Q13
4Q13
1Q14
21%
22%
20%
13%
11%
7%
4%
2%
21%
23%
19%
13%
11%
7%
4%
2%
25% 15% 5% 5% 15% 25%
<10
10-20
20-30
30-40
40-50
50-60
60-70
>70
Female Male
Young population to fuel growth
26
Egypt's large and
growing population is
a key asset compared
to its MENA
counterparts
The country is set to
exhibit a strong
working age
population growth
over the coming period
The growing marriage
rate (standing at 933
thousands marriages
per annum), coupled
with increasing
urbanization levels
have resulted in an
increased demand for
housing units
Recent government
initiatives relating to
mortgage financing
are expected to further
enhance demand
Market Drivers Remain Intact
Population & Growth Vs Arab States
1 Source: CAPMAS, IMF, US Census, Central Banks of respective countries and Industry reports; Data as at 31/12/2013 2 Source: Jones Lang LaSalle, Bloomberg, Company Financial Statements 3 Key developers include SODIC, Palm Hills and Talaat Mostafa
Demographics
Gross Pre Sales for Key Developers3 (EGP mn. FX Rate) Market Characteristics / Trends
87
33 32 28 25
5 4 3 2
2% 1% 1% 2%
3%
5%
3%
2%
6%
-
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90 Population (mn) Growth (%)
World Average: 1.2%
Young population
(around 60% below the age of 30)
Encouraging Real Estate Market Dynamics1
Encouraging Real Estate Market Dynamics2
Market characterized by a small number of densely populated cities, with low urbanization. Cairo is one of the most dense metropolitan areas in the world
Sales are supported by a large population with an increasing number of marriages to spur demand
Strong pent-up demand still not matched by equal supply (housing gap estimated at not less than 200k units annually)
Inefficiencies of public sector players led to emergence of a number of mega private sector developers
Summer 2014 witnessed an increasing demand for secondary homes
Disclaimer
27
This Presentation is intended for information purposes only and does not constitute or form part of an offer for sale or subscription or an invitation or solicitation of an offer to subscribe for or purchase securities of any kind and neither this document nor anything contained herein shall form the basis of any contract or commitment from any party whatsoever. Information, including but not limited to financial information, in this presentation should not be considered as a recommendation in relation to holding, purchasing or selling shares, securities or any other instruments in or, in entities related to, SODIC or any other company. This Presentation contains important and privileged information on SODIC which is solely owned by SODIC and may not be relied on or used by any person whosoever for any purpose, and therefore shall be kept secret and confidential by any receiving party. This document includes forward-looking statements. The words "believe", "anticipate", "expect", "intend", "aim", "plan", "predict", "continue", "assume", "positioned", "may", "will", "should", "shall", "risk" and other similar expressions that are predictions of or indicate future events and future trends identify forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements include all matters that are not historical facts. In particular, the statements regarding strategy and other future events or prospects are forward-looking statements. Recipients of this document should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements because they involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that are in many cases beyond the control of the Company. By their nature, forward-looking statements & projections involve risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and the Company's actual results of operations, financial condition and liquidity, and the development of the industry in which the Company operates may differ materially from those made in or suggested by the forward-looking statements contained in this document. The cautionary statements set forth above should be considered in connection with any subsequent written or oral forward-looking statements that the Company, or persons acting on its behalf, may issue. Various factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements in this document including worldwide economic trends, the economic and political climate of Egypt, the Middle East and changes in business strategy and various other factors. All information contained in this presentation, including but not limited to information relating to the Egyptian real estate and financial markets, are compiled from sources known to be reliable and/or publicly available data reasonably assumed to be accurate (the “Source Data”). The Source Data may contain errors and/or inaccuracies; SODIC provides no warranties or guarantees of any kind, expressed or implied, and accepts no responsibility whatsoever, with regard to the accuracy, completeness or correctness of the Source Data used in the Presentation. This disclaimer is to be considered an integral part of the Presentation and SODIC’s liability in respect of this Presentation and is to be governed by Egyptian law under the jurisdiction of Egyptian courts.
Thank You
For SODIC investor relations enquiries contact: Heba Makhlouf [email protected] Tel: +202 3854 0121 SODIC IR website: ir.SODIC.com SODIC corporate website: www.SODIC.com