investor presentation citi conf kks rs sept 2014
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Investor Presentation Citi Conf KKS RS Sept 2014TRANSCRIPT
Lupin Ltd. Investor Presentation
September 3, 2014
Safe harbor statement
Materials and information provided during this presentation may contain ‘forward-looking statements’. These statements are based on current expectations, forecasts and assumptions that are subject to risks and uncertainties which could cause actual outcomes and results to differ materially from these statements.
Risks and uncertainties include general industry and market conditions, and general domestic and international economic conditions such as interest rate and currency exchange fluctuations. Risks and uncertainties particularly apply with respect to product-related forward-looking statements. Product risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited, to technological advances and patents attained by competitors, challenges inherent in new product development, including completion of clinical trials; claims and concerns about product safety and efficacy; obtaining regulatory approvals; domestic and foreign healthcare reforms; trends toward managed care and healthcare cost containment, and governmental laws and regulations affecting domestic and foreign operations.
Also, for products that are approved, there are manufacturing and marketing risks and uncertainties, which include, but are not limited, to inability to build production capacity to meet demand, unavailability of raw materials, and failure to gain market acceptance.
The Company disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
Parameter
Market Cap
Revenues
PAT
PAT%
Finished dosage mix
2005
Rs. 22 bn.
Rs. 1,161 cr.
Rs. 84 cr.
7%
45%
2014
Rs. 418 bn.
Rs. 11,087 cr.
Rs. 1,836 cr.
17%
90%
Lupin’s Journey
CAGR 39%
CAGR 28%
CAGR 41%
Lupin is a globally dominant generic force
7th
largest generics (by market cap3)
3rd
largest Indian Pharma (by total sales)
10th
largest generics (by sales3)
Globally
2.8%
IPM Market Share (by total sales1)
4th
largest South Africa generics2
Emerging markets
Strong presence in Australia Philippines Mexico
5th
largest US generics
(by prescriptions1)
8th
largest Japanese generics1
Advanced Markets
Presence in Europe
#1 in Anti-TB & Cephalosporins (globally)
Sources:
1 IMS MAT March 14
2 IMS MAT June 14
3 Bloomberg Industries GNRC
Global outlook
The last couple of years have seen higher approvals by US FDA. However industry feels that the future would be a scenario wherein there are fewer small molecule blockbuster drugs ahead for generics to pursue…
Source: FDA and EvaluatePharma
Fewer USFDA approvals vs. amount invested in R&D…
1
5 2 4 2 3 7 6 6 6 2
31
18 18 16
21 19
15 24
33
25
88 96
108 120
131 129 131 138 137 135
0
40
80
120
160
0
15
30
45
60
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Glo
bal R
&D
expe
nse
($b
n)
NM
Es +
Bio
logi
cals
Ap
pro
ved
Biologics NMEs R&D expenditure
…and patent cliff moving towards biologics……
Source: Broker notes
2
Global outlook
$73bn
$9bn
$58bn
$23bn Biologics
Traditional
0
10
20
30
40
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17
916 13 15
33
12 16 1712 13
11
7 3
14
51($
bn
)
Traditional Biologics
Source: Mergermarket and broker notes
Global outlook…..Consolidation
Global Pharma majors have taken bold steps towards consolidation
Derma
Ophtha
Combining Global OTC Business
Pfizer offering >$100bn for AZ
Diabetes business
Source: Mergermarket and broker notes
Global outlook…..Consolidation
Indian companies, increased geographic presence and acquired technologies…
Tech
no
logy
…And consolidation at trade channels creating margin squeeze for generics
Geo
grap
hy
Mexico
EU assets
South Africa
Critical to be a valued partner providing high
quality service and products
Partnered with
Partnered with
Market size across Globe
Developed markets Emerging Markets
356
224
116
190
81
349
222
112
168
73
0
100
200
300
400
North America Europe Japan APAC & Africa LatAm
($b
n)
1.1%
2012 2017
Emerging markets likely to grow much faster than the Developed Markets
Key Therapy Areas – Growth Profile
Growing Therapy Areas Losing Therapy Areas
Source: EvaluatePharma
73
16 13
42
14
91
68
90
19 14
45
13
83
63
129
21 16
51
14
90
56
12%
6%
4%
4%
0.4%
(0.3%)
(4%)
(6%)
(4%)
(2%)
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
(60)
(40)
(20)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Glo
bal
Mar
ket
Size
($b
n)
2013 2015 2018 2013-18 CAGR
Focus on: Complex generics Biosimilars Specialty business M & A that require investment in building capabilities …
1
What does this mean for Gx?
2
3
4
Lupin’s Transformation
Anti-infective and API focused domestic player
Generics formulation player focusing on domestic & advanced markets
Specialty generic player across the globe including emerging markets
Pre-2005
2005-2013
2014……..
Building Capabilities
• Technology and R&D
• Acquired Nanomi – a complex injectible platform in Netherlands
• Set-up a specialty R&D center in the US for Inhalation
• Built capabilities in:
• Respiratory
• Controlled substances
• Complex Injectables
• Dermatology
• Geographic spread – strengthening emerging market presence
• Acquired Opthalmic specialty company in Mexico – Laboratorios Grin
• Global Biosimilar program
• Two approvals in India
• Developmental JV in Japan – YL Biologics
Building Capabilities
• Continued focus on branded business in the US
• Acquired US rights for Alinia® Oral Suspension
• Co-marketing arrangement for Locoid® Lotion
• Launched Antara® low dose
• Investment in HR capital:
• Ms. Theresa Stevens – Chief Corporate Development Officer
• Dr. Maurice Chagnaud – President Europe & Head of Inhalation Strategy
• Dr. Matthew Davis as CMO - US & Head of Global Clinical Development –
Complex Generics & Specialty
• Dr. Xian-Ming Zeng - Sr. VP, Inhalation R&D
• Dr. Avinash Nangia - VP, R&D
Q1 2014-15 Performance Highlights
Business Growth – Last 12 Quarters 15
.4 17.4
17.9
18.8
22.2
22.4 24
.7
25.4
24.2 26
.3
29.8
30.5 32
.8
3.0 4.
1
3.8
3.8 4.
8
5.2 6.
3
6.6
6.9
7.4 8.1 8.8 11
.4
19%
23%21% 20%
22%23%
26% 26%29% 28%
27% 29%
35%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
Rs
bn
.
Revenues EBITDA EBITDA Margins
2014-15 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14
Revenues doubled growing at a rate of 6%1, whereas EBITDA tripled growing at a rate of 12%1 since last 12 quarters…
…EBITDA margins at 35% in Q1’15 vs 19% in Q1’12
Note: 1 Compounded monthly growth rates
Business Update
• Top-line increasing by 36% driven by
• Strong US foothold + new launches
• Increasing Gx penetration in Japan
• India business giving strong growth in chronic TAs
• Increased EBITDA margins to ~35% due to
• Increasing share of high margin US business
• Cost savings in manufacturing and other expenses
• Better Forex management
• Better Working Capital management
• WC Days reduced to 76 in Q1’15 from 92 at Q4’14 end
• Continues to enjoy Net Cash status; Strong muscle to acquire
P&L Highlights
Particulars (Rs mn) Q1FY15 % of net
sales Q1FY14 % of net
sales % YoY
growth
Net sales 32,840 100.0 24,207 100.0 35.7
Other operating income 568 1.7 555 2.3 2.3
Total revenue 33,408 101.7 24,762 102.3 34.9
Gross margin (excl. other operating income)
21,766 66.3 15,459 63.9 40.8
EBITDA 11,437 34.8 6,905 28.5 65.6
EBIT 10,351 31.5 6,281 25.9 64.8
Net profit 6,247 19.0 4,011 16.8 55.8
Business Split
US 49%
Europe2%
India23%
Japan10%
ROW7%
API9%
74% business from International markets
91% formulation business
US business comprises 7% branded formulations
US & Europe
0
3,000
6,000
9,000
12,000
15,000
18,000
Q1'14 Q1'15
10,681
16,429
SalesRs. mn
• US business grew 58% to Rs. 15,740
mm & EU business degrew by 7% to Rs.
690mm
• Good contribution from new
launches
• 4 new launches in US, the portfolio
totaling to 731
• US Market Share: No. 1 in 31 products
& top 3 in 53 products.2
• Total of 200 ANDA filings, of which 103
have been approved (4 in the quarter)
• 8 filings during the quarter
• Will see more niche / complex generics
filings + launches
Note: 1 As of 30-June-14 2 IMS MAT Mar 2014
0
1,500
3,000
4,500
6,000
7,500
9,000
Q1'14 Q1'15
5,894
7,615
Sales
India
Note: 1 IMS MAT Jun 2014; 9% is the Apr-Jun quarter YoY growth for IPM
Rs. mn
• Grew by 29% YoY vs IPM growth of 9%1
• Retains 11th position in the IPM1
• 29% YoY growth and 32% QoQ growth
• High growth in all therapies with highest in Asthma, Diabetic, CVS and GI segments
• Current field force of 5,424 (~4,800 sales reps)
• Launched 16 new products during Q1’151
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
Q1'14 Q1'15
2,923
3,415
Sales
Japan
Growth in local currency 13%
• Kyowa (excl. Irom) grew by 19%; Irom
slipped by (4%) YoY
• Kyowa showed strong matured
products growth
• Irom decrease due to dip in
outlicensing business
• Product Launches- Kyowa: 2; Irom: 1
Rs. mn
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
Q1'14 Q1'15
1,9672,140
Sales
ROW
Rs. mn
Note:
1 IMS MAT Mar 2014
2 IMS MAT May 2014
• Growth of 28%
vs industry
growth of 8%2
• Grew mainly due
to new launch
and oncology
division
• Ranked 25th2
pharma
• 5 products
launched during
the quarter
• Growth of 20%
in local currency,
due to strong
matured
products growth
• 4th largest
generic company
& #1 CVS player1
• Registered one
product during
the quarter
South Africa Philippines
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
Q1'14 Q1'15
2,429
2,925
Sales
API
US and Europe grew by 256%
Domestic business grew by 42%
Emerging markets saw marginal decline
Rs. mn
R&D
• R&D expenses for Q1FY15 are Rs. 2,439 m, 7.4% of net sales vs 1,956m in Q1FY14
• Talent pool of 1,400+ scientists
• 200 ANDA filings, of which 103 have been approved (4 in the quarter)
• FTFs - 30 filings till date (US$ 13.7 bn) with 15 Exclusives (US$ 1.5 bn)
• New R&D center in the US for Inhalation
• Acquired Nanomi – Complex Injectables depot platform
• First NCE moving into Phase II & two additional NCEs’ entering into Phase I
• Pipeline of 10 bio-similar drugs in various phases of development
1,956 2,172 2,710
2,456 2,439
8.1% 8.3% 9.1%
8.0% 7.4%
Q1FY14 Q2FY14 Q3FY14 Q4FY14 Q1FY15
FY 14 – Rs.9,294 m; 8.4% of net sales
Awards & Accolades
• ATD (erstwhile ASTD) BEST Award 2014 for
Learning & Development
• Consistently ranked among top 2 Pharma
companies for past 4 years by Great Place to
Work
• The Economic Times 500 rankings - India’s
Most Resilient Companies – 2013-14
• Dr Kamal Sharma - Best CEO - Business Today
Awards 2013
• Ms. Vinita Gupta – Forbes Asia
Businesswomen - Power 50
THANK YOU