investor presentation - jefferies · 2015-06-30 · company: largest pure play, wholly-owned...
TRANSCRIPT
Investor Presentation
Brixmor – A Superior Investment Opportunity
Company: Largest pure play, wholly-owned shopping center owner in the US
Geography: National grocery-anchored portfolio focused in the top 50 MSAs
Diversified high quality tenants: Kroger, TJX Companies, Walmart and Publix are largest tenants
Favorable industry dynamics: Limited new supply and stable macro recovery
Above-average growth: Generating above average FFO growth and leasing gains
Growth drivers: Below-market rents, occupancy upside, anchor space repositioning and increasing market rent environment
Attractive dividend: $0.225 per quarter (ex-dividend July 1, 2015) / 3.4% yield per share 1
Post IPO performance: Delivering attractive FFO per share growth and all-in returns to shareholders since IPO
2
Portfolio Primer
Largest pure play, wholly owned grocery-anchored shopping center portfolio
High quality asset base anchored in Top 50 US markets
Productive 70% grocery-anchored portfolio with average sales of $549 PSF, 40% above average US grocer 1
Embedded internal growth opportunities
National platform supported by regional operating structure
3
National Platform
PORTFOLIO QUICK FACTS
Number of shopping centers 520
GLA (SF) 87M SF
Average shopping center size 166,400 SF
Percent leased 92.4%
Percent billed 90.3%
Average ABR/SF $12.19
% of ABR in top 50 US MSAs 65%
Average shopping center age 32 years
Average shopping center effective age 2 15 years
% Community / % Neighborhood 63% / 37%
MARKET DATA at 3/31/15
NYSE symbol BRX
Share price (3/31/15) $26.55
52-week range $20.44 - $27.43
Equity market capitalization 3 $8.1B
Total enterprise value 3 $14.0B
Dividend yield 3 3.4%
Indicated annual dividend $0.90
Performance Snapshot
4
15 consecutive quarters of increases Top Line Rent Improvement
Positive growth trajectory: All operating metrics demonstrating continued momentum
MILESTONES
Completed largest debut unsecured credit facility in REIT history - $2.8B term loan / revolver
Completed inaugural $700M bond offering
Completed four secondary offerings reducing sponsor ownership to ~40%
Same property NOI growth of 3.4% in 1Q2015 NOI Growth
Increased 17 consecutive quarters on a year-over-year basis • Small shop occupancy up 130bps year-over-year Occupancy
3.9M SF of new leases executed TTM Leasing Volume
3 consecutive quarters of blended leasing spreads approaching 14% • New lease spreads 39.4% in 1Q2015 • Blended lease spreads of 13.7% in 1Q2015
Leasing Spreads
Increased FFO per share by 9% year-over-year • $0.49 in 1Q2015 (excluding non-comparable (non-cash) items) FFO
$0.13
$0.83 $0.90
2013 2014 2015E
Dividend Growth
81.9%
83.2%
1Q14 1Q15
$0.45
$0.49
1Q14 1Q15
FFO per Diluted Share Excluding Non-Comparable (non-cash) Items
Key Metrics
Operating fundamentals driving growth 1Q2015 FFO per diluted share up 9% year over year
92.3% 92.4%
1Q14 1Q15
Occupancy
5
6.1%
9.8%
12.6% 13.2% 13.7% $12.51
$13.69 $13.45 $13.53
$15.45
2012 2013 2014 TTM 3/31/15 YTD 2015
Total Rent Spread New ABR/SF
Lease Productivity
Total Occupancy 10bps improvement YOY
Small Shop Occupancy 130bps improvement YOY
Total 13.7% Total
8.9%
New Lease 39.4%
New Lease 17.5%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
45.0%
BRX Peer Group Average
Leading Rent Spreads – 1Q2015
Shopping Center Environment
Landlords have pricing power
• Growing demand to support store opening plans
New development remains at 38 year low
• Only 2.0M SF of strip shopping centers completed in 1Q2015 and 8.9M SF in TTM 1
• Significant portion of new construction is single tenant buildings or unanchored small centers, particularly convenience stores
No material increase in development activity expected by public REITs or private construction
• Traditional anchors for development (Target, Lowe’s, Home Depot, Kohl’s) have no significant new store opening programs
Expectation that these fundamentals will continue
6
New shopping center supply has declined by 90%, setting the stage for increased occupancy and robust rent growth
202 183 177
82
29 26 21 22 22
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
US Shopping Centers YOY Change In Inventory (M SF) 2
90% Decline
.
.
.
.
Acquisition / Disposition
Strategy
Capturing Occupancy Upside
Across Both Anchor and Small
Shop Space
Capitalizing on Below-Market
Expiring Leases and Significant Near-
Term Lease Rollover
Pursuing Value-Creating Anchor
Space Repositioning / Redevelopment Opportunities
Growth Strategy
7
Objective: Maximize total returns through combination of growth and value-creation at the asset level supported by stable cash flows
Long Term Mark-To-Market Opportunity
8
7.1% 14.6% 13.3% 11.9% 12.7% 10.0% 4.5% 4.5% 4.4% 15.3%
$10.98 $11.26
$12.15 $12.30
$11.54 $10.91 $11.18
$10.73 $10.22
$11.77
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024+
% of Leased GLA Expiring Avg. ABR/SF Expiring 1Q15 New Lease ABR/SF
Lease Expiration Schedule
On average, new lease ABR/SF is 37% above expiring lease ABR/SF through 2024+
1Q2015 New Lease ABR/SF $15.45
Potential for additional growth – occupancy is 290bps below peer group average 1
251 leases signed but not yet commenced, representing ~$28M of contractual rent
Measured occupancy growth reflective of focus on upgrading merchandise mix with strong, best-in class anchors and driving rents
• Continued anchor commencements is the foundation for small shop occupancy gains and NOI expansion
– Small shop (< 5K SF) occupancy improved 400bps in centers with at least one anchor (> 10K SF) commencement in the prior 24 months
• Small shop (<10K SF) occupancy increased 130bps Y-O-Y to 83.2%
17 consecutive quarters of year-over-year occupancy increases
Anticipated Occupancy Increases
9
90.8% 91.2%
92.3% 92.4%
95.3%
Mar-12 Mar-13 Mar-14 Mar-15 Peer Group Average
at Mar-15
Portfolio Occupancy
Occupancy improved 10bps Y-O-Y but remains 290bps below peer group
Occupancy by Unit Size
# Units GLA
(K SF) % of
Vacant GLA ABR/SF % Leased at
3/31/15 % Leased at
3/31/14
Anchor (≥ 10K SF) 1,880 60,861 35% $9.48 96.3% 96.7%
Small Shop (< 10K SF) 9,247 25,687 66% 19.34 83.2% 81.9%
BRX TOTAL 11,127 86,548 -- $12.19 92.4% 92.3%
1
2
Value Proposition: 2015E FFO Growth
10
-9.2%
-2.7% -1.0%
1.2%
4.6% 4.6% 5.6%
7.3%
9.4%
RPAI KRG KIM EQY REG WRI DDR FRT BRX
2015E FFO Growth 1
Largest pure play, wholly
owned shopping center portfolio
Embedded internal growth
opportunities
High quality asset base anchored in Top 50 markets
Productive 70% grocery-anchored
portfolio
National platform supported by
regional operating structure
The Factor
11
• 65% of ABR in top 50 MSAs • Strong demographics • Well-diversified credit tenancies
• Significant near-term lease rollover with below market rents
• Occupancy opportunity • Anchor space repositioning /
redevelopment
• Key landlord across retail space • Expansive scale and footprint • Local market knowledge
• Average sales of $549 PSF, 40% above average US grocer
• 80% ranked #1 or #2