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Investor Presentation | July 2014

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Page 1: Investor Presentation | July 2014 · PCA to be submitted for final approval in July 2014 ! Final Form PPA to be agreed during Q3 2014 ! Power Plant EPC Selection H2 2014 ! Mine EPC

Investor Presentation | July 2014!

Page 2: Investor Presentation | July 2014 · PCA to be submitted for final approval in July 2014 ! Final Form PPA to be agreed during Q3 2014 ! Power Plant EPC Selection H2 2014 ! Mine EPC

DISCLAIMER!This document, which is personal to the recipient, has been issued by Ncondezi Energy Limited (the “Company”). This document does not constitute or form part of any offer or invitation to sell or issue, or any solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for, any securities of the Company, nor shall any part of it nor the fact of its distribution form part of or be relied on in connection with any contract or investment decision relating thereto, nor does it constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of the Company. In particular, this document and the information contained herein does not constitute an offer of securities for sale in the United States.

This document is being supplied to you solely for your information. The information in this document has been provided by the Company or obtained from publicly available sources. No reliance may be placed for any purposes whatsoever on the information or opinions contained in this document or on its completeness. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is given by or on behalf of the Company or any of the Company’s directors, officers or employees or any other person as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained in this document and no liability whatsoever is accepted by the Company or any of the Company’s members, directors, officers or employees nor any other person for any loss howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from any use of such information or opinions or otherwise arising in connection therewith.

Nothing in this document or in the documents referred to in it should be considered as a profit forecast. Past performance of the Company or its shares cannot be relied on as a guide to future performance.

Certain statements, beliefs and opinions in this document are forward-looking, which reflect the Company’s or, as appropriate, the Company’s directors’ current expectations and projections about future events. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. These risks, uncertainties and assumptions could adversely affect the outcome and financial effects of the plans and events described herein. Forward-looking statements contained in this document regarding past trends or activities should not be taken as a representation that such trends or activities will continue in the future. The Company does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this document.

This document has been prepared in compliance with English law and English courts will have exclusive jurisdiction over any disputes arising from or connected with this document.

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Page 3: Investor Presentation | July 2014 · PCA to be submitted for final approval in July 2014 ! Final Form PPA to be agreed during Q3 2014 ! Power Plant EPC Selection H2 2014 ! Mine EPC

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY!!  Power development company with thermal power plant and integrated coal mine project

–  First phase is developing 300MW with potential to scale up to 1,800MW

!  Focused on meeting SADC1 region energy demands, first 300MW targeted at Mozambican demand –  Potential to expand into South Africa, Zimbabwe, Botswana and Malawi

!  Completion of power offtake (PPA) and power concession (PCA) negotiations with Mozambican Government due Q3 2014 –  25 year exclusive offtake with EdM2

!  Targeting construction in 2015 and commissioning in 2018

!  Significant value unlock potential –  +$200m NPV at financial close – H1 2015 –  Equity IRR +18%

!  Ongoing negotiations with co-developers & strategic IPPs

!  Project strategic to Mozambique –  Cost competitive –  Mozambique demand focused –  Close to existing transmission infrastructure

3"1 Southern African Development Community 2 Electricidade de Moçambique (“EdM”) – Mozambican state power and transmission utility

Page 4: Investor Presentation | July 2014 · PCA to be submitted for final approval in July 2014 ! Final Form PPA to be agreed during Q3 2014 ! Power Plant EPC Selection H2 2014 ! Mine EPC

Legal Counsel EPC Selection – Power

Transmission Evacuation

Commercial Advisor - Power

Corporate Advisor Power, EPC Selection – Power & Mine Local Counsel

EPC Selection – Transmission Insurance Advisor

EXPERIENCED AFRICAN POWER TEAM & WORLD CLASS CONSULTANTS!

4"

Ncondezi Board Management Team

Michael Haworth Non-Exec Chairman

!  Director of Strata Limited, extensive investment banking experience at J.P Morgan in natural resources

Manish Kotecha Chief Financial Officer

Paul Venter CEO

!  +39 years experience in Africa, Russia & Asia, mining, power generation & transport logistics

!  Ex-Prophecy Coal, Gobi Coal & Energy, EN+, Eskom

Hanno Pengilly Chief Development Officer

Dr Estevão Pale NED

!  Ncondezi’s rep on Liaison Committee with EdM & Government !  CEO, Companhia Mocambicana de Hidrocarbonetos, formerly

National Director of Mines & Energy

David Eshmade Country Manager

Christiaan Schutte NED

!  +20 years at Eskom in Group Generation & Technology divisions

Peter O’Connor NED

!  +20 years working for Eskom across Generation Transmission, and Capital Expansion divisions

Jacek Glowacki NED

!  +30 years international experience in the power sector !  CEO & Chairman of Polenergia, a Polish IPP

Page 5: Investor Presentation | July 2014 · PCA to be submitted for final approval in July 2014 ! Final Form PPA to be agreed during Q3 2014 ! Power Plant EPC Selection H2 2014 ! Mine EPC

MOZAMBIQUE HAS THE HIGHEST ENERGY CONSUMPTION GROWTH IN THE SADC REGION!!  Currently generates in excess of 2,000MW (2nd largest in SDAC)

–  1,300MW exported to South Africa

!  Power demand growth at c80MW p.a (14%), the highest in SADC (avg. 3%)

!  Large incentives to expand power generation –  Imports account for 4% of domestic consumption in 2013 but accounted for 40% of total

expenditure –  c. 20% of households have access to electricity –  Projected GDP growth of 7-8%

!  Existing under utilised transmission infrastructure –  300-600MW of capacity –  Plans to expand by over 3,000MW in 2020

!  Potential to sell into SADC region –  Mozambique already sells to SA, Zimbabwe, Botswana

& Namibia

5"

Southern African Power Pool

Page 6: Investor Presentation | July 2014 · PCA to be submitted for final approval in July 2014 ! Final Form PPA to be agreed during Q3 2014 ! Power Plant EPC Selection H2 2014 ! Mine EPC

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COAL FIRED POWER GENERATION STRATEGIC TO MOZAMBIQUEINSTALLED AND FUTURE CAPACITY�

!  Installed Capacity –  Cahorra Bassa (Hydro) 2,075MW –  Mavuzi (Hydro) 60MW –  Aggreko (Gas) 100MW !  Commissioning Phase��–  Kuvaninga (Gas) 40MW –  Ressano Garcia (Gas) 160MW !  Development (2017-2018) –  Moatize (Coal) 50MW1

–  Ncondezi (Coal) 300MW !  Development (2022+) –  Mpanda Nqua (Hydro) 1,500MW –  Cahora Bassa N.B. (Hydro) 1,245MW –  STE backbone (Transmission) +3,000MW

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1 Available for grid consumption

Page 7: Investor Presentation | July 2014 · PCA to be submitted for final approval in July 2014 ! Final Form PPA to be agreed during Q3 2014 ! Power Plant EPC Selection H2 2014 ! Mine EPC

NCONDEZI POWER PLANT OVERVIEW�

!  First Phase 2x150MW Power Plant

!  Circulating fluidised bed (CFB) combustion technology

!  25 year life

!  EDM exclusive offtaker for 300MW

!  Supplying Mozambican Northern Grid (c.91km away)

!  Coal supply to come from Ncondezi Mine (c.2km conveyor)

!  Transmission evacuation route approved by EdM

!  Commercial Operations Date (CoD) target H1 2018

!  Potential to expand up to 1,800MW �

7"

Cahorra Bassa (2000MW)

Ncondezi (300-1,800MW)

Page 8: Investor Presentation | July 2014 · PCA to be submitted for final approval in July 2014 ! Final Form PPA to be agreed during Q3 2014 ! Power Plant EPC Selection H2 2014 ! Mine EPC

BASE MAP OF POWER PLANT AND MINE!

8"

Phase 1 - 300MW!

Phase 2 - 300MW!

Transmission line!

Coal Mine!

Page 9: Investor Presentation | July 2014 · PCA to be submitted for final approval in July 2014 ! Final Form PPA to be agreed during Q3 2014 ! Power Plant EPC Selection H2 2014 ! Mine EPC

PROJECT PROGRESS UPDATE!Delivered " Power Framework Agreement with DoE1

" PPA HoTs with EdM

" Transmission Agreement HoTs with EdM

" Mine Concession granted

" Power Plant ESIA approved

" Mine ESIA approved

" Power Plant EPC binding bids received

" Mine EPC and Contractor binding bids received

" Transmission line RFQ tendered

" Govt & EdM project shareholding participation agreed

" Advanced negotiations on PPA & PCA

9"

Next Milestones !  PCA to be submitted for final approval in July 2014

!  Final Form PPA to be agreed during Q3 2014

!  Power Plant EPC Selection H2 2014

!  Mine EPC and Contractor Selection – H2 2014

!  Project / Financial Close – H1 2015

!  Construction – H2 2015

!  CoD – H1 2018 1 Department of Energy

Page 10: Investor Presentation | July 2014 · PCA to be submitted for final approval in July 2014 ! Final Form PPA to be agreed during Q3 2014 ! Power Plant EPC Selection H2 2014 ! Mine EPC

ATTRACTIVE PROJECT ECONOMICS FOR PHASE 1 300MW!Pricing

!  Indicative tariff range agreed

!  25 year offtake (Power Purchase) agreement in final stages of negotiations

Capital Cost & Opex

!  EPC binding bids on capex received

!  Contractor binding bids on delivered coal price

!  Financing proposals of between 70-85% debt finance

Economics

!  Annual revenues $200m, +50% EBITDA margins

!  Estimated project NPV at Financial Close >$200m

!  Estimated NPV at CoD of >$1.0bn

!  Target equity IRR of 18-20% achievable

!  Economics to be finalised on receipt of approved Power Concession and Power Purchase Agreements 10"

Page 11: Investor Presentation | July 2014 · PCA to be submitted for final approval in July 2014 ! Final Form PPA to be agreed during Q3 2014 ! Power Plant EPC Selection H2 2014 ! Mine EPC

INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS!!  Strong regional demand backdrop and expansion potential

!  Significant momentum in project development –  Key commercial parameters agreed –  Finalising HoTs into binding agreements

!  Clear pathway to unlocking value –  Binding Final Form Power Purchase Agreement targeted for H2 2014 –  Co-developer / Strategic Partner to be announced in H2 2014 –  Financial Close targeted for H1 2015

!  Compelling project economics / value prospect –  Target Equity IRR of +18% –  Expected Project NPV of >$200m at Financial Close –  Expected Total net equity cash flows >$2bn over 25 years

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Page 12: Investor Presentation | July 2014 · PCA to be submitted for final approval in July 2014 ! Final Form PPA to be agreed during Q3 2014 ! Power Plant EPC Selection H2 2014 ! Mine EPC

Appendices!

Page 13: Investor Presentation | July 2014 · PCA to be submitted for final approval in July 2014 ! Final Form PPA to be agreed during Q3 2014 ! Power Plant EPC Selection H2 2014 ! Mine EPC

NCONDEZI POWER PROJECT BENEFITS TO MOZAMBIQUE!"  Security of supply - dedicated mine mouth power station

"  Affordable source of electricity

"  Proven and reliable technology

"  Energy portfolio diversification - reduced exposure to hydro and gas

"  Ideally sized and located - not reliant on large longer term transmission projects

"  Scalability - potential to scale up to 1800MW meet future demand

"  Increase in economic investment and national income

"  Job creation and skills development

"  Government revenues from taxes and levies

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Page 14: Investor Presentation | July 2014 · PCA to be submitted for final approval in July 2014 ! Final Form PPA to be agreed during Q3 2014 ! Power Plant EPC Selection H2 2014 ! Mine EPC

THE NCONDEZI COAL MINE WILL SUPPLY THE POWER PLANT!•  Mine will be located next to power plant

•  Open pit, low strip mining contractor operation •  c.2km conveyor to power plant

•  Key permitting completed

•  Mining Concession granted & ESIA approved Coal Supply Agreement HoT agreed

•  25 year fuel supply

•  Mine to ring-fence coal resources

•  Financing to be secured via 100% bankable offtake agreement with power plant

•  Bindings bids from mining contractors received

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Global Resource Measured JORC Resource

+4Bt 120Mt

Production 1.3Mtpa

Life of Mine 25 years

contingency up to 40 years

Life of Mine Opex $15-20/t

Coal Transfer Pricing $22.50 – 26.50/t

(based on mine post tax IRR of 18%)

Capex Excluding Box Cut $53m

Ungeared NPV $37m

Optimised Mine Feasibility Study

Page 15: Investor Presentation | July 2014 · PCA to be submitted for final approval in July 2014 ! Final Form PPA to be agreed during Q3 2014 ! Power Plant EPC Selection H2 2014 ! Mine EPC

MINE OVERVIEW – CONCESSION MAP & RESOURCE BLOCKS!

15"Source: Company!

Page 16: Investor Presentation | July 2014 · PCA to be submitted for final approval in July 2014 ! Final Form PPA to be agreed during Q3 2014 ! Power Plant EPC Selection H2 2014 ! Mine EPC

MINE OVERVIEW – RING FENCING OF REQUIRED RESOURCES!!  +4Bt Concession coal resource

!  Mining Concession issued August 2013

!  ESIA approved October 2013

!  Mining area identified in South Block to feed 300MW power station –  810Mt mineable JORC resource

!  Area within South Block ring fenced to provide sufficient product –  For 25 year life of mine (ca. ROM 50Mt) plus a 40%

contingency (ca. ROM 20Mt) –  Key for bankable CSA between mine and power plant

!  Infill drilling in ring fenced area to upgrade resource to measured category –  Drilling completed September 2013 –  Lab results completed October 2013 –  Updated resource published November 2013

16"

Previous Mine area Drill Spacing!

Updated Mine area Drill Spacing!

Source: Company!

Source: Company!

Page 17: Investor Presentation | July 2014 · PCA to be submitted for final approval in July 2014 ! Final Form PPA to be agreed during Q3 2014 ! Power Plant EPC Selection H2 2014 ! Mine EPC

NCONDEZI TRANSMISSION CONNECTION LINE!!  Electricity generated at Power Plant will be evacuated

into national grid via new 85km transmission line

!  Transmission evacuation study complete

!  Route and technical specification approved by EdM –  400kV double circuit line, initially operated at 220kV –  Allows for easy expansion to 600MW

!  Transmission line to connect to grid will be Build Own Transfer –  EdM will own, operate and maintain new line –  Lump sum and/or fixed monthly payment to

Ncondezi –  Power sold to EdM at power plant gate

!  EPC tender process to commence Q2 2014

!  Future potential to expand –  Matambo substation into Zimbabwe, South Africa and Botswana –  Connect to Malawi (<100kms) –  Connect to future north south backbone line (STE Project)

17"

Matambo

Ncondezi.220.kV.substation

300.MWPower&Plant

85.km Chimuara

190.km

294.km

104.km

Ncondezi.power.plant

Ncondezi.mining.load

M M M M

Coal&Mine

EDM

Existing.EDM.Transmission.Lines

New.Transmission.Infrastructure

Transmission Solution!

Source: PNO Evacuation Study!