investor presentation · presentation is as of january 31, 2019 and january 31, 2018, respectively,...
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Investor PresentationThird Quarter Fiscal 2019
March 26, 2019
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Safe Harbor Statements
This presentation is dated as of March 26, 2019 and speaks as of that date. Unless otherwise noted specifically, all “YTD 2019” and comparative “YTD 2018” information in this
presentation is as of January 31, 2019 and January 31, 2018, respectively, such dates being the close of our second fiscal quarter.
Forward-Looking Statements
This presentation contains statements that may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking
statements include any statements relating to our possible or assumed future results of operations, business strategies, growth opportunities, and performance improvements at our
stores. There are a number of known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other factors that may cause our actual results to differ materially from any future results expressed or
implied by those forward-looking statements, including our ability to execute our value creation plan or to realize benefits therefrom, as well as other risks, uncertainties and factors
which are described in our most recent annual report on Form 10-K and quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, as filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission and available on our
website. Any forward-looking statements contained in this presentation represent our current views as of the date of this presentation with respect to future events, and Casey's
disclaims any intention or obligation to update this presentation or revise any forward-looking statements attached in this presentation whether as a result of new information, future
events, or otherwise.
Use of Non-GAAP Measures
This presentation includes references to "EBITDA," which we define as net income before net interest expense, depreciation and amortization, and income taxes. EBITDA is not
presented in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States ("GAAP"). We believe EBITDA is useful to investors in evaluating our operating
performance because securities analysts and other interested parties use such calculations as a measure of financial performance and debt service capabilities, and it is regularly used
by management for internal purposes including our capital budgeting process, evaluating acquisition targets, and assessing store performance. EBITDA is not a recognized term under
GAAP and should not be considered a substitute for net income, cash flows from operating activities or other income or cash flow statement data. EBITDA has limitations as an
analytical tool, and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for analysis of our results as reported under GAAP. We strongly encourage investors to review our financial
statements and publicly filed reports in their entirety and not to rely on any single financial measure. Because non-GAAP financial measures are not standardized, EBITDA, as defined
by us, may not be comparable to similarly titled measures reported by other companies. It therefore may not be possible to compare our use of this non-GAAP financial measure with
those used by other companies. Reconciliations of EBITDA to GAAP net income for completed fiscal years can be found in our annual reports on Form 10-K, filed with the SEC.
Reconciliations of EBITDA to GAAP net income for the third quarter of our 2019 fiscal year and for the first three quarters of our 2019 fiscal year can be found in our quarterly report on
Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 1/31/2019, filed with the SEC.
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4th Largest Convenience Store Business in North America1
$4.6 billion+Total Enterprise Value
2,100+Locations in 16 States
37,000+Total Employees
600 million+Customers/Year
Stock Information
NASDAQ: CASY
Common Shares: 37.0 million
Market Cap: $4.6 billion
Avg Daily Volume: 339,000 shares
Investor Relations Contact
Bill Walljasper, CFO
(515) 965-6505
Positive ◊ Polite ◊ Professional ◊ Proud
LTM Growth
1 By number of stores in North America
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Unique Distribution Fulfills Store and Customer Needs
2 - Terre Haute, IN
Fuel Distribution
1
2
1 - Ankeny, IA
500 Mile Distribution Radius
1
2
Distribution Infrastructure
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Unique Store Base – 1,000 to 20,000 Population Communities
State Total2With
Casey’ s
Without
Casey’ s
Arkansas 171 22 149
N. Dakota 45 11 34
Oklahoma 200 20 180
Kentucky 189 11 178
Tennessee 197 11 186
Ohio 447 7 440
Michigan 298 1 297
Subtotal –
Newer1,547 83 1,464
All States 3,858 1,194 2,664
State Total2With
Casey’ s
Without
Casey’ s
Iowa 252 230 22
Illinois 547 301 246
Missouri 306 185 121
Kansas 172 101 71
Minnesota 300 109 191
Nebraska 96 58 38
Indiana 262 80 182
S. Dakota 59 26 33
Wisconsin 317 21 296
Subtotal -
Core2,311 1,111 1,200
56%
15%
11%
18%Under5,000
5,000 to10,000
10,000 to20,000
Over20,000
Core States New States1
Stores by Population
1 States new to Casey’s within the last 10 years
2 Source: http://factfinder.census.gov; Estimated 2016 Pop.
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Fiscal 2018 by Category
Revenue Gross Profit
61%
26%
12%1%
Fuel
Grocery & OtherMerchandise
Prepared Food &Fountain
Other
23%
39%
35%
3%
Fuel
Grocery & OtherMerchandise
Prepared Food &Fountain
Other
$8.39 Billion $1.77 Billion
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Digital EngagementSame-Store Sales growth Expected starting FY2020
Value Creation Plan
Fleet CardExpected to Drive Increased In-Store Traffic and Fuel Sales starting FY2019
Focus on Operating ExpensesContinuing to Drive Efficiencies through Enhanced Cost Initiatives
Capital AllocationDisciplined Approach to Capital Allocation to Increase Shareholder Value
Board and GovernanceHigh Quality Independent Directors with World-Class Experience; Enhancing our Corporate Governance Profile
Price OptimizationProfitability Benefits Expected starting FY2019
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Customer
Data
Increased Fuel Sales
Higher
In-store Sales
Repeat Purchases
and Customer
Loyalty
Increasing Total Sales Through Fleet Card
» Over 1,000 new accounts and 6,000 new cards issued
since launching the program in late October 2018
» Fuel and in-store sales benefits starting Q3/Q4 FY2019
with future benefits expected as program ramps up
» Casey’s locations and prepared food offerings are ideally
aligned with third party study of fleet driver preferences
» Assumptions for incremental fuel volumes and in-store
sales were benchmarked off of industry best practices
and initial results are inline with our original assumptions
» Initial incremental fuel volume opportunity of 2%
Led by a team with relevant implementation and execution experience, the Fleet Card program is
expected to increase fuel sales and drive traffic within stores
Fleet Card
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Q4 FY2018
Q3 FY2019
Q4 FY2019
Q1 FY2020
Q1 FY2020
Q4 FY2019
Q1 FY2020
Vendors selected: PriceAdvantage for fuel and Dunnhumby
for In-Store
PriceAdvantage 100 store pilot completed
Next Steps
Fuel
Rollout of PriceAdvantage to all sites
All sites live on PriceAdvantage
Begin Integration of PriceAdvantage with point of sale
and digital price signs
In-Store
Complete Dunnhumby pilot
Rollout of Dunnhumby to more inside categories
(dependent on outcome of pilot)
Driving Performance Through Price Optimization
Centralized fuel
pricing strategy
driven by local
market dynamics
Fuel
Price Optimization provides visibility and precision to drive our pricing and promotion strategy
In-Store
Optimized product
pricing and
assortment across
all categories
Transforming our Marketing Process
Through New Technology
» Rules Based Pricing / Everyday Optimization
» Promotion Optimization
Price Optimization Roadmap
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Digital Journey
Enhancing Our Customer Centric Business Through Digital Engagement
Identify and
Understand
Customers
Provide Seamless
Convenience for
Customers
Implement Personalized
Marketing and Rewards
Expect to begin realizing significant benefits in FY 2020
Digital
Strategy
Website enhancement design phase
Enterprise and services integration
In-store technology design, build and pilot
Integrated commerce platform (imminent)
Enhanced customer analytics and digital
engagement
Partnered with Deloitte Digital team to
develop detailed business case and roadmap
New CMO who will lead digital
implementation
FY2019
FY2020-2021
Objectives
» Seamless: A frictionless e-commerce experience
across all customer facing touchpoints
» Agile: Exceed customer expectations through
technology and organizational capabilities
» Intelligent: Know every one of our customers
(through CRM analytics)
» Proactive: Acquire and continually delight our
customer (through CRM analytics, loyalty, digital
marketing)
Mobile app redesign and pilot
Mobile app launch
Loyalty program
In-store technology integration
Expansion of online products and services
Design
Build
Pilot
Implement
Enhance
Digital
Transformation
FY2018
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Continued Focus on Operating Expenses
» Discontinued Automatic Pay Raises for Store
Employees at 90 Days
» Refined Store Scheduling
» Adjusted Merit Pay Budget
» Adjusted Shift Differential Hours/Limit Shift Overlap
» Completed Pizza Delivery Actions and Enhanced
System for Ongoing Review
» 24 Hour Store Hours Adjustment and Enhanced
System for Ongoing Review
» New Fleet Management System
» Adjusted Merit Pay Budget
» Enhanced budgeted hours process to better align
with customer demand
» Continued evaluation of alternatives to optimize
distribution related to anticipated additional sales
volume
Cost Reduction Measures Operating Expenses at Unchanged Stores
% growth in store-level operating expenses
for open stores not impacted by recent growth programs
Implementation
Q4 FY2017
Q4 FY2017
Q1 FY2018
Q3 FY2018
Q3/Q4 FY2018 (for Fuel and Grocery)
Q4 FY2018
Q3 FY2018
Ongoing
4.5%
3.7%
5.7%
6.6%
4.2%
3.7%
FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 YTD FY2019
Q1 FY2019
Q2 FY2019
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Disciplined Approach to Capital Allocation
» Anticipated tax reform benefits
» Reduced capital requirements for store upgrades
– Since FY2009, store base has been significantly
upgraded, addressing targeted locations
– Based on a holistic analysis of market and store
characteristics, future capital requirements for
replacements and remodels will be limited
Capital Allocation Priorities
» Invest in high return growth and profitability initiatives
– Digital Engagement
– Price Optimization
» Disciplined store growth
» Strategic acquisition opportunities
» Return capital to shareholders
Disciplined Approach to Capital
2%7%
21%26%
34%39%
45%
53%
61%
69%
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
FY 09 FY 10 FY 11 FY 12 FY 13 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY 17 FY 18
Nu
mbe
r o
f S
tore
s
New Store Constructions Acquisitions
Replacements Major Remodels
% of Total Store Count
~69% of total stores have been
replaced, remodeled, acquired,
or newly constructed since FY09FY2019 Budget ($,MM)
New Store Construction & Acquisitions $ 318
Replacements 33
Maintenance 54
Transportation & Information Systems 61
Total Capital Expenditures $ 466
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Disciplined Approach to Capital Allocation (cont’d)
Share Repurchases
Dividends
» Completed Initial $300 Million Authorization in May 2018
» New $300 Million Authorization Through FY2020
» 18 Consecutive Years of
Dividend Increases
» Board Approved a Quarterly
Dividend Increase to $0.29
Per Share at June 2018
Meeting
$0.72
$0.80
$0.88
$0.96
$1.04
FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
1,808
1,878
1,9311,978
2,073
2,123
FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 YTD FY2019
Store Growth
FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
YTD
FY2019
New
Builds44 45 51 48 85 41
Acquired
Stores28 36 5 22 26 13
» Current 2019 Guidance: 55-60 New Builds, 20+ Acquired Stores
Unit Growth by Year
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World Class Board to Support Casey’s Strategy
Casey’s Recently Added High Quality Independent Directors
» Elected Independent Chairman
» Added 5 Highly Qualified Independent Directors
– 8 of 9 Directors are Independent
– 5 Female and 4 Male Directors
– Geographic Diversity Among Directors
– Average Director Tenure is Four Years
» Adopted Proxy Access
» Implemented Director Age Limit
» Implemented Director Tenure Limit
» Adopted Majority Voting in Director Elections
» Based on Recent Iowa Law Change will Begin a
Phased Declassification of the Board Starting in
2019
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Prepared Food & Fountain Category
$659
$781
$881$953
$1,006
$764$820
FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 YTD 2018 YTD 2019
61.1%
59.7%
62.5%62.3%
61.0%
61.5%
62.2%
FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 YTD 2018 YTD 2019
$403
$466
$550
$594$614
$470
$511
FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 YTD 2018 YTD 2019
Revenue (in Millions) Gross Profit Dollars (in Millions)
Gross Profit Margin %
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Grocery & Other Merchandise Category
$1,583
$1,795
$1,974$2,087
$2,184
$1,672$1,807
FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 YTD 2018 YTD 2019
32.1% 32.1%
31.9%
31.5%
31.8%31.9%
32.2%
FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 YTD 2018 YTD 2019
$508
$576
$629
$657
$694
$534
$583
FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 YTD 2018 YTD 2019
Revenue (in Millions) Gross Profit Dollars (in Millions)
Gross Profit Margin %
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Fuel Category
1,666
1,8171,952
2,0622,199
1,6661,750
FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 YTD 2018 YTD 2019
16.1
19.3 19.618.4 18.5 19.2
20.8
FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 YTD 2018 YTD 2019
$268
$351
$382 $378
$407
$320
$365
FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 YTD 2018 YTD 2019
Gallons Sold (in Millions) Gross Profit Dollars (in Millions)
Gross Profit Margin (cents per gallon excl CC Fees)
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Recent Sales and Margin Trends
Fiscal Year
Fuel
Gallons
Grocery &
Other
Merchandise
Prepared
Food &
Fountain
2014 3.1% 7.4% 11.8%
2015 2.6% 7.8% 12.4%
2016 3.0% 7.1% 8.4%
2017 2.1% 2.9% 4.8%
2018 2.3% 1.9% 1.7%
YTD 2019 (1.4%) 3.0% 1.8%
Current 2019
Guidance(2.0%) - (0.5)% 1.5% - 3.0% 1.5% - 3.5%
Same-Store Sales Average Margin
Fiscal Year
Fuel
Cents per
Gallon 1
Grocery &
Other
Merchandise
Prepared
Food &
Fountain
2014 16.1 32.1% 61.1%
2015 19.3 32.1% 59.7%
2016 19.6 31.9% 62.5%
2017 18.4 31.5% 62.3%
2018 18.5 31.8% 61.0%
YTD 2019 20.8 32.2% 62.2%
Current 2019
Guidance19.0 - 21.0 31.5% - 32.5% 60.5% - 62.5%
1 Fuel cents per gallon excluding credit card fees
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Fuel Margins Trend Higher
9.9
11.5
10.210.6 10.5
9.8
11.1
9.6
10.9
10.1
10.7
11.5
10.4
13.9
12.9
13.9
15.2 15.1
14.4
16.1
19.319.6
18.418.5
20.8
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
20.0
22.0
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 YTD2019
Ce
nts
Pe
r G
allo
n 1
Fiscal Year
1 Fuel cents per gallon excluding credit card fees
FY1995 through FY2007 Average ~10.5 CPG
Since FY2007 Annual
Margins Trending Higher
1
2
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$365
$479
$560
$509
$486
$397
$457
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 YTD 2018 YTD 2019
EBITDA & Diluted Earnings Per Share (EPS)
$3.26
$4.62
$5.73
$4.48
$3.81
$3.20
$4.83
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018* YTD 2018 YTD 2019
EBITDA (in Millions) Diluted EPS
* FY2018 figures exclude one-time benefit from Tax Cuts and Jobs Act