ipo review rating : unrated price band |...
TRANSCRIPT
IPO Review
ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
SBI Life Insurance Company (SBI Life) was established as a joint venture
between State Bank of India and BNPPC, an insurance subsidiary of BNP
Paribas. In FY15-17, growth in new business premium at 35.45% CAGR
was the highest among top five private life insurers in India. SBI Life offers
a vast product basket to customers including life insurance, health
insurance and pension products and services. It has a comprehensive
product portfolio of ~37 individual and group products, including a range
of protection and savings products to address the insurance needs of
diverse customer segments.
In terms of distribution strength, it has 95177 individual agents (as of July
31, 2017) and 24017 bank partner branches across the country. With AUM
at | 1012.26 billion as of June 30, 2017, SBI Life is one of the top five
largest insurers in India. In FY15-17, SBI Life saw robust growth of 35.45%
CAGR in NBP leading to an increase in market share among private life
insurers in India to 20.04% vs. 15.87% in FY15. On capital adequacy,
solvency ratio has been above 200% in last five fiscals (211% as of June
30, 2017) vs. IRDAI mandated minimum solvency ratio of 150%.
Key business aspects
Largest private life insurer with a consistent track record of rapid growth
SBI Life is India’s largest private life insurer, in terms of NBP generated in
each fiscal year, since FY10. In FY15-17, NBP increased at 35.45% CAGR;
highest among top five private life insurers (total premium in FY17).
Consequently, NBP market share among private life insurers increased
from 15.87% in FY15 to 20.04% in FY17. In FY15-17, SBI Life’s individual
rated premium (IRP) growth remained fastest at 37.9% CAGR among top
five private insurer (total premium in FY17) thereby increasing its market
share from 15.61% in FY15 to 20.69% in FY17 among private life insurers.
Expansive distribution with pan-India bancassurance, high agent productivity
SBI Life offers its customers access to products and services through an
extensive multi-channel sales network across India including branches of
its bank partners, individual agents, corporate agents, employees and
offices. As on July 31, 2017, it had a large distribution network comprising
95177 individual agents, 24017 branches of SBI. In FY17, bancassurance,
agents contributed ~53.03%, 22.31% of NBP, respectively.
Total cost, operating expense ratios reduces over time
The commission ratio was at 3.73% for SBI Life while operating expenses
ratio was at 7.83% in FY17. Among five private insurers, operating
expense ratio has improved in past five years, as player reassessed
productivity of various distribution channels and their operating efficiency
post FY10. SBI Life had the lowest operating expense ratio (as of FY17)
followed by ICICI Prudential Life Insurance. Operating expense ratio for
SBI Life declined substantially from 9.1% in FY15 to 7.83% in FY17.
Concerns
Termination of, or any adverse change in bancassurance agreement
Higher concentration of NBP generated by certain category of product
Adverse change in relationship with promoter & BNP Paribas Cardiff
Regulatory changes can have material impact on performance
Priced at 4.2x P/IEV (post issue FY17 IEV) on higher band
At the IPO price band of | 685-700, the stock is available at P/IEV multiple
of 4.2x FY17 (post issue) at the upper end of the price band. Post issue
market capitalisation is at ~| 70000 crore.
SBI Life Insurance Company Ltd
Price band | 685-700
Rating matrix
Rating : Unrated
Issue Details*
Issue Opens 20-Sep-17
Issue Closes 22-Sep-17
Issue Size (| Crore) 8220-8400
Price Band (|) 685-700
No of Shares on Offer (crore) 12.0
QIB (%) 50
Non-Institutional (%) 15
Retail (%) 35
Minimum lot size (No. of shares) 21
*Reservation for SBI Bank shareholders for up to 10%
of offered shares
Objects of issue
To achieve benefits of listing equity shares on Stock Exchanges and
sell up to 12 crore equity shares by the selling shareholders. Listing
of the equity shares will also enhance brand name and provide
liquidity to the existing shareholders
1997-98 2001-04 2006
HUL acquires 23% stake. Mitsubishi Corporation and
Shareholding Pattern Pre-Issue Post-Issue
Promoter & promoter group 96.1% 84.1%
Public 3.9% 15.9%
Financial Summary
| Crore FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
Premiums earned - Net 10702 12780 15666 20853
Total income 17369 23186 19120 30278Transfer to Shareholders'
account 823 707 652 655
PAT 728 815 844 955
Valuation Summary (at | 700; upper price band)
(x) FY14 FY15 FY16 Pre Post
P/E 96.2 85.9 82.9 73.3 73.3
P/NAV 20.9 17.3 14.8 12.6 12.6
P/IEV NA NA NA 4.2 4.2
Research Analyst
Kajal Gandhi
Vishal Narnolia
Vasant Lohiya
September 19, 2017
Page 2 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
Company Background
SBI Life Insurance Company (SBI Life) was established as a joint venture
between State Bank of India and BNPPC, an insurance subsidiary of BNP
Paribas (BNP Paribas was a top 10 global financial institution in terms of
revenues in 2016), in 2001. In FY15-17, growth in new business premium
at 35.45% CAGR was highest among top five private life insurers in India.
In terms of distribution strength, it has 95177 individual agents (as of July
31, 2017) and 24017 bank partner branches spread across the country.
With AUM at | 1012.26 billion as of June 30, 2017 (| 977.3 billion as of
March 31, 2017), SBI Life is one of the top five largest insurers in India. In
FY15-17, SBI Life witnessed robust growth of 35.45% CAGR in new
business premium, which led to an increase in market share among
private life insurers in India to 20.04% compared to 15.87% in FY15.
SBI Life has a comprehensive product portfolio of ~37 individual and
group products, including a range of protection and savings products to
address the insurance needs of diverse customer segments. In the
individual segment, participating products, non-participating protection
products, other non-participating products and unit-linked products,
contributed 10.77%, 0.95%, 1.69% and 50.36%, respectively, of new
business premium in FY17 (15.43%, 0.72%, 1.85% and 49.61% as of
Q1FY18). In the group segment, credit life group protection products,
other group protection products, group fund management products and
other group products contributed 2.72%, 1.14%, 31.73% and 0.65%,
respectively, of new business premium in FY17 (2.91%, 2.04%, 26.84%
and 0.6% in Q1FY18).
In FY17, SBI Life’s 13th month and 61
st month persistency ratios was at
81.07% and 67.18%, respectively, with 61st
month persistency ratio being
the highest among top five private life insurers (in terms of total premium
in FY17) in India. As of June 30, 2017, 13th month and 61
st month
persistency ratios were at 81.97% and 64.62%, respectively. Death claims
settlement ratio has improved from 92.33% in FY15 to 97.98% in FY17,
and was 89.61% as of June 30, 2017. On capital adequacy, solvency ratio
has been above 200% in the last five fiscals (211% as of June 30, 2017),
compared to the IRDAI mandated minimum solvency ratio of 150%.
Exhibit 1: Customer wise break-up of new business annualised premium equivalent (APE)
87.9 87.6 89.5 87.8
12.1 12.4 10.5 12.2
20
40
60
80
100
FY15 FY16 FY17 Q1FY18
(%
)
individual
Source: RHP, ICICIdirect.com Research
SBI Life has developed a multi-channel distribution network comprising
an expansive bancassurance channel, including State Bank of India, the
largest bancassurance partner in India (24017 branches and ~42 crore
customers) and a large and productive individual agent network
Page 3 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
comprising 95177 agents (as of July 31, 2017). Apart from these, other
distribution channels, including direct sales and sales through corporate
agents, brokers, insurance marketing firms and other intermediaries is
undertaken.
SBI Life commands strong brand equity in the financial sector. The
company has received various recognitions – recognised as among ‘The
Most Trusted Brands’ by The Economic Times Brand Equity – Nielsen
survey in FY17 for a sixth consecutive year. In addition, SBI Life was
awarded Life Insurance Company of the Year and Bancassurance Leader
Life Insurance (Large Category) at the Indian Insurance Awards 2016
organised by Fintelekt, the Economic Times Best Corporate Brand, 2016
and the LIMRA and LOMA Social Media Silver Bowl Awards, 2016 at the
Social Business Conference for Financial Services in Boston,
Massachusetts.
Product profile
SBI Life Insurance offers a vast product basket to customers, which
includes unit linked as well as non linked insurance products. In terms of
customer segments, it caters to individual as well as group customers.
Individual Products
Individual or retail life insurance products can broadly be classified into
two categories - non-linked life insurance products and linked life
insurance products. Non-linked life insurance products can be further
classified into participating, non-participating protection and other non
participating products. SBI Life had a comprehensive product portfolio
offering 29 individual life insurance products. These products include
child plans, retirement/pension plans, protection plans and savings plans,
with flexible and variable features addressing specific life insurance needs
of the customer. In addition, various riders providing additional benefits
for disability, illnesses and death due to accident are also provided
bundled with the main product.
Linked products
Unit linked insurance plans offer a combination of investment and
protection where the customer can choose the level of life coverage,
subject to minimum levels mandated by regulations. In this product,
customers have the flexibility to decide the asset classes in which their
contributions are invested, based on their risk appetite, and to transfer
money among different funds in a tax-efficient manner, depending on the
market outlook and changing risk appetite.
Non-linked products
Participating products (Par): Participating insurance products are those
for which the surplus is shared with policyholders in the form of bonuses
and, hence, are also referred as “with profit” products. These policies
usually have a minimum guaranteed amount that is payable on death or
maturity in addition to bonuses declared from time to time. The bonuses,
once declared, accrue to the policy and are guaranteed. Par products do
not have an explicit cap on charges as Ulips, have exit loads on policy
discontinuance and do not offer customers a choice of asset allocation.
As of June 30, 2017, SBI Life had a bouquet of 10 products in this
category.
Pure protection products
Pure protection products are those that offer benefits that are guaranteed
in absolute terms on occurrence of a particular event at the beginning of
the policy. These products do not entail any investment risk for
customers. These are protection oriented products, and generally expire
without value if the designated event does not occur. The risk covered in
Page 4 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
most cases covers death of the insured but may also include permanent
disability or diagnosis of critical illness. As of June 30, 2017, SBI Life has
seven products in this category.
Group products
Generally, group product customers are employers across a range of
industries, including banks and financial services companies as well as
professional, consulting and other firms and informal groups. SBI Life
Insurance’s group life products are broadly classified into four categories:
Group protection products (credit life): Group protection products provide
protection to banks, financial institutions or other groups or associations
in relation to repayment of outstanding loan amount in the event of death
or disability of the insured members of the group.
Group protection products: Group protection products provide life insurance
coverage to a group of individuals, where, upon death of a member, the
sum assured is paid to the member’s nominee. These products provide
benefits to both formal (employer-employee) and informal (non-
employer-employee) groups.
Group FM products: These are fund based group insurance (unit-linked and
variable insurance products), which cater to the needs of employers
looking at financial solutions to fund their employees’ benefit schemes
including gratuity, superannuation and leave encashment.
Other group products: These products consist of group immediate annuity
plans primarily for corporate clients (employer-employee groups) and
other informal groups, who wish to purchase an annuity to provide for
their annuity liability (existing or emerging or both) totally or partially.
Buyout of pension liabilities is a method by which an insured transfers
liability of a defined pension scheme completely to the insurance
company. The defined benefits of group members are protected and the
insured also gets rid of the risk of the pension scheme running into
deficits due to adverse changes in demographic/macroeconomic
scenarios, going ahead.
Page 5 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
Exhibit 2: Geographical distribution of new business premium relating to individual products
Location FY15 FY16 FY17
Andhra Pradesh 309 303 392
Arunachal Pradesh 10 14 15
Assam 91 126 165
Bihar 143 200 266
Chattisgarh 103 124 144
Goa 16 22 31
Gujarat 185 277 433
Haryana 103 127 154
Himachal Pradesh 51 72 94
Jammu & Kashmir 18 23 32
Jharkhand 86 123 154
Karnataka 246 324 399
Kerala 212 257 394
Madhya Pradesh 170 210 270
Maharashtra 345 435 522
Manipur 6 9 11
Meghalaya 12 15 23
Mirzoram 3 4 4
Nagaland 7 9 11
Orissa 165 218 258
Punjab 109 133 181
Rajasthan 162 222 294
Sikkim 3 6 8
Tamil Nadu 281 348 452
Tripura 8 12 11
Uttar Pradesh 317 447 612
Uttrakhand 63 91 108
West Bengal 214 312 390
Andaman & Nicobar Islands 4 6 6
Chandigarh 8 13 18
Dadra & Nagar Haveli 0 0 1
Daman & Diu 0 0 0
Delhi 100 118 142
Lakshadweep 0 0 0
Puducherry 6 6 10
Telangana 200 373 462
Total 3,757 4,978 6,468
Source: RHP, ICICIdirect.com Research
Page 6 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
Financial Performance
SBI Life is India’s largest private life insurer, in terms of new business
premium at | 10000 crore and enjoyed a market share of individual rated
premium of 20.69% among private life insurers. AUM increased from
| 71338.9 crore in FY15 to | 97,736 crore in FY17, and was | 101226 crore
as on June 30, 2017. PAT increased at 8.24% CAGR from | 814.8 crore in
FY15 to | 954.6 crore in FY17 and was at | 313.4 crore for the three
months ended June 30, 2017. The company had 61st month persistency
ratios of 64.6% and solvency ratio of 211% as of June 30, 2017.
Exhibit 3: Trend in AUM
713.39
798.28
977.371,012.26
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
FY15 FY16 FY17 Q1FY18
| b
illion
Source: RHP, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 4: Healthy growth in premium
107.0
127.8
156.7 208.5 37.6
3.4%
19.4%
22.6%
33.1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
0
50
100
150
200
250
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 Q1FY18
| b
illion
Premiums earned - Net YoY growth (RHS)
Source: RHP, ICICIdirect.com, Research
Exhibit 5: PAT growth trend
728
815 844
955
313
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
0
400
800
1200
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 Q1FY18
| c
rore
PAT YoY growth (RHS)
Source: RHP, ICICIdirect.com, Research
Exhibit 6: Healthy return on net worth
23.922.0
19.2 18.6
5.5
0
10
20
30
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 Q1FY18
(%
)
Source: RHP, ICICIdirect.com, Research
Exhibit 7: Solvency ratio remains prudent (%)
223.0217.0 212.0
204.0211.0
100
200
300
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 Q1FY18
(%
)
Source: RHP, ICICIdirect.com, Research
Page 7 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
Life insurance industry – Quick snapshot
The Indian life insurance industry size was at | 4.2 trillion (total premium
basis) in FY17, making it the tenth largest life insurance market in the
world and fifth largest in Asia (Source: Swiss Re, sigma No 3/2017). In
FY01-17, Indian life insurance assets under management grew at 19%
CAGR to | 30 trillion while total premium grew at a healthy pace of ~17%
CAGR. Despite this, India continues to remain an under-penetrated market
with life insurance penetration (insurance penetration refers to premiums
as a percentage of GDP) at 2.7% in FY16 vs. 3.7% in Thailand, 7.4% in
South Korea and 5.5% in Singapore. Similarly, insurance density (per
capita premium or premium per person) also remains very low compared
to other developed and emerging market economies at US$47 in 2016.
Protection gap (actual insured for every US$100 of insurance protection
requirement) for India remains higher compared to other Asian peers at
~US$8.5 trillion as of FY14. (Source: Crisil report)
Exhibit 8: Insurance penetration (as percentage of GDP)
11.5
7.4 7.2
3.7
32.7
2.3
1.6
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
S.Africa S.Korea Japan Thailand US India China Indonesia
(%)
Source: RHP, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 9: Life insurance density (2016)
2803
2050
1725
616
222 196 19059 47 21
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
Japan S.Korea US S.Africa Thailand Brazil China Indonesia India Turkey
(U
SD
)
Source: RHP, ICICIdirect.com Research
With economic growth gradually picking up and structural drivers
including rising life expectancy, healthcare spending, pension needs in
place, this is expected to drive strong growth in the life insurance industry
in the next five years. In addition, prevailing low insurance density and
penetration will support growth in the life insurance sector on account of
the low base.
Page 8 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
According to Crisil Research, the new business premium for Indian life
insurance companies is expected to grow at 11-13% CAGR in FY17-22,
compared to 9% CAGR in FY12-17. Total premium in the Indian life
insurance market is expected to increase from | 4181 billion in FY17 to
| 7900 to 8100 billion by FY22. Improving economic growth, low inflation
and increase in financial savings, along with rising awareness of
insurance are expected be key catalysts for this growth. The
government’s focus on financial inclusion and initiatives including launch
of Pradhan Mantri Jeevan Jyoti Bima Yojana is expected to increase
awareness and open avenues for investments in insurance and other
savings products.
Structural strength to drive life insurance industry
Demographics strength: Currently, India has one of the youngest
populations in the world with a median age of 28 years. It is estimated
that 90% of India’s population will remain below 60 years of age by 2020.
Increase in proportion of individuals in the age bracket of 25-49, which is
the target population for the industry, is expected to boost industry
growth. Rapid urbanisation coupled with high share of working
population with rising affluence is expected to provide impetus to growth
in the Indian life insurance sector.
Exhibit 10: Indian working population
34.727.5 30.8
6.9
30.9
27.6
33.7
7.8
27.5
26
37
9.5
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
0-14 15-29 30-59 60+
(%
)
2000 2010 2020E
Source: RHP, ICICIdirect.com Research
Increase in share of financial savings and life insurance within: Higher
GDP growth compared to previous fiscals and control over inflation is a
key structural positive, which gives an impetus to overall savings in India.
Increase in financial savings, coupled with expected increase in share of
insurance as a percentage of financial savings, due to a significant
improvement in product proposition and delivery mechanism, is
expected to drive growth for the life insurance sector.
Page 9 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
Exhibit 11: Financial savings as percentage of GDP
23.222.4
23.625.2
23.1 23.622.4
20.2 20.419.2
10.1
11.911.3 11.6
9.9
7.4 7.4 7.4 7.47.9
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16
(%
)
Household Savings as a % of GDP Financial Savings as % of GDP
Source: RHP, ICICIdirect.com Research
Among financial savings, the share of life insurance has reached its peak
at 26% in FY10. However, a downturn in the capital market, increasing
inflation and regulatory changes in the sector led to a sharp deceleration
in the share of life insurance to 15.3% of financial savings in FY14. Post
FY14, there was a considerable revival, due to improving fundamentals
and pick-up in the sale of linked products. Further increase in proportion
of life insurance in financial savings provides an opportunity for growth in
the Indian life insurance industry.
Exhibit 12: Financial savings mix
10.5 12.7 9.8 12.7 11.4 10.9 8 10.7 13.5
50.4
57.5
40.2
50.8 56.3 56.1 60.546.9 41.3
22
21
26.2
19.521
17.8 16
1918.3
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16
(%
)
Currency Bank deposit Life Insurance premium Provident and Pension Fund Others
Source: RHP, ICICIdirect.com Research
Rise in healthcare spending: As per IRDAI data, only 35.9 crore people
(27% of total population) have health insurance coverage as of FY16. Out
of this, ~20% coverage is provided by commercial insurance providers
(life and non-life included), while the remaining are covered under central
or state government-sponsored schemes such as Central Government
Health Scheme and Employee State Insurance Scheme.
Page 10 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
Exhibit 13: Share of out-of-pocket mix (as % of total health expenditure) for other countries
62.4
54.8
46.9
36.1
32
13.911.9
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
India Singapore Indonesia S.Korea China Japan Thailand
(U
SD
)
% of Total Health Expenditure
Source: RHP, ICICIdirect.com Research
India’s total expenditure on health was 4.7% of GDP in 2014. As per the
World Health Organization (WHO), per capita health spending increased
from US$20 in 2000 to US$75 in 2014. Despite this, India has one of the
highest shares of out-of-pocket expenses at ~62.4% in FY14 in its overall
healthcare spending mix among Asian countries. Therefore, factors
including low penetration, rising cost of healthcare, constraints for
government spending, increasing demand for quality healthcare with
rising income underscore a massive opportunity in health insurance for
commercial insurance providers.
Historical evolution of Indian life insurance industry
The Indian life insurance sector was opened for private companies in
2000 with the commencement of operations by four private companies in
the first year. Further, eight companies got added to the list till 2009, with
total number of companies aggregating to 23. Among peers, LIC is the
only public sector life insurer. Since inception, the private sector has
grown significantly and currently accounts for ~53.9% of the individual
rated premium of life insurance industry in FY17. The Indian life insurance
industry has undergone various growth phases. The current structure of
the industry is depicted in Exhibit 14.
Exhibit 14: Structure of Indian life insurance industry
Source: RHP, ICICIdirect.com Research
Page 11 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
Private insurer gaining market share: In FY07-11, total premium growth
remained robust at 17% CAGR, owing to an aggressive foray by private
players. Since FY07, private players gained significant market share from
18% in FY07 to 30% in FY11, driven by Ulips. A favourable commission
structure (high upfront commission to intermediaries) and capital market
performance, supported growth in Ulips. On the distribution side, the
share of banking corporate agents in the individual new business
premium increased from 6% to 13% in FY07-11.
Exhibit 15: Trend in IRP for private players and industry
Source: RHP, ICICIdirect.com Research
Post the financial crisis in 2008 and regulatory changes in FY10, private
insurer market share on an individual rates premium (IRP) basis declined
to ~37.9% in FY14 from ~52% in FY10. However, driven by an improved
product design, primarily for linked products that offer a superior
customer value propositions and focus on bancassurance for marketing
their products, private insurers regained significant market share to 53.9%
in FY17.
Rationalisation in commission, operating expense: Post IRDAI regulations
in FY10, a significant decline was seen in commission on linked products.
Consequently, commission-expense ratio on total premium basis fell
considerably from 7.9% in FY07 to 5.3% in FY17. Among peers, LIC has
higher commission expense ratio at 5.5% (FY17) compared to private
insurers at 4.7%, owing to sourcing of significant proportion of individual
business through individual agents (96% in FY17).
Page 12 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
Exhibit 16: Commission expense ratio (as percentage of total premium)
11
9.9
8.5
7.5
5.75.3
5.75.3
4.9 4.7
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
(%
)
Private Insurer Industry LIC
Source: RHP, ICICIdirect.com Research
In FY07-10, private players had a higher operating expense ratio due to
high infrastructure costs incurred on increasing their geographic reach.
However, post regulatory changes in FY10, private players went into a
consolidation phase and began focusing on cost efficiencies. Therefore,
an improvement was witnessed in operating expense ratio from 21% in
FY10 to 15.7% in FY17. On a relative basis, LIC, being in a mature phase,
had lower operating expense ratio since FY07. However, since an
increase in salary in October 2010 (effective from August 2007), the
expense ratio has been higher compared to the previous period. Despite
a rise in operating expense ratio, the same remains lower for LIC
compared to private peers.
Channel mix shift towards bancassurance, direct sales: A significant shift
in the channel mix of the Indian life insurance sector has been witnessed
from earlier agency-only model to a diversified distribution mix. Further, a
cap on ULIP charges, introduced in 2010, has led to rationalisation of
owned agency network and provided a shift towards third-party channels.
Consequently, the share of bancassurance has increased from 6% of
individual business, on a new business premium basis, in FY07 to 24% in
FY17, while the share of new business premiums from individual agents
declined from 90.5% in FY07 to 68.9% in FY17. A higher share of agency
channel in the retail new business premium can largely be attributed to
LIC. In FY17, bancassurance contributed to ~53.9% of new business
premiums for private sector companies, led by a well-developed banking
sector in India with a nationwide presence of branches.
Direct distribution channel has also gained importance over the years for
private sector companies. In FY17, direct sales contributed 5% of new
individual business premiums for private sector companies.
Page 13 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
Exhibit 17: Individual new business premium (for industry) by various distribution channels
90.583.7
79.6 79.6 78.9 78.7 77.5 78.471.4 68.5 68.9
5.6
8.09.7 10.6 13.3 15.0 16.2 15.6
20.8 24.0 23.6
0
20
40
60
80
100
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
(%
)Individual Agents Corporate Agents – Banks Corporate Agents – Others Brokers Direct Selling
Source: RHP, ICICIdirect.com Research
Key strengths and strategies:
Largest private life insurer with a consistent track record of rapid growth
SBI Life is India’s largest private life insurer, in terms of new business
premium (NBP) generated each fiscal year, since FY10 (Source: Crisil
Report). In FY15-17, NBP increased at a CAGR of 35.45%, which is the
highest among the top five private life insurers (in terms of total premium
in FY17) in India. The company increased its market share of NBP among
private life insurers in India, from 15.87% in FY15 to 20.04% in FY17, and
market share of NBP in the entire life insurance industry from 4.89% in
FY15 to 5.8% in FY17.
The company is able to leverage its diversified product portfolio to
capitalise on favourable industry opportunities. As a result, gross written
premium (GWP) and new business annualised premium equivalent (APE)
increased at a CAGR of 27.80% and 36.59%, respectively, in FY15-17. It
also issued the highest number of individual life policies annually among
private life insurers in India since FY14 (Source: Crisil report). The number
of policies issued by SBI Life increased at a CAGR of 6.42% from
1,126,211 in FY15 to 1,275,550 in FY17.
Exhibit 18: NBP and growth (SBI Life)
5529.1
7106.5
10143.8
9.1%
28.5%
42.7%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
FY15 FY16 FY17
| c
rore
NBP YoY growth (RHS)
Source: RHP, ICICIdirect.com, Research
Exhibit 19: NBP comparison (FY17)
101.46
86.96
78.63
36.7732.9
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
SBI Life HDFC
Standard Life
ICICIPru Max Life Bajaj Allianz
(| b
illion)
Source: RHP, ICICIdirect.com, Research
SBI Life has increased the market share of individual rated premium
among private life insurers in India from 15.61% in FY15 to 18.83% in
FY16 and to 20.69% in FY17. In FY15-17, individual rated premium
increased at a CAGR of 37.90%, the fastest among the top five private life
insurers (in terms of total premium in FY17) in India.
Page 14 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
Ensure profitable growth through balanced product portfolio, expansive
distribution network
As of June 30, 2017, SBI Life had a comprehensive product portfolio of 37
individual and group products, including a range of protection and
savings products to address the insurance needs of diverse customer
segments.
The company’s focus on maintaining a diversified product mix has
resulted in the value of new business margin of 15.4% in FY17. The
company’s strategy is to further optimise its product portfolio by
maintaining a balance between unit-linked, participating and non-
participating products. In addition, the protection product portfolio is
aimed at expanding with particular emphasis on credit life protection
products. The company plans to reduce its focus on group products due
to the inherent competitive nature of the business and high guarantee
obligations related to such products.
Exhibit 20: Product mix – NBP (SBI Life)
34.945.5 50.5
65.154.5 49.5
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
FY15 FY16 FY17
Linked Non-Linked
Source: RHP, ICICIdirect.com, Research
Exhibit 21: Comparison of product mix - NBP (FY17)
50.535.24
79.13
24.42
41.72
49.564.76
20.87
75.58
58.28
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
SBI Life HDFC Standard
Life
ICICIPru Max Life Bajaj Allianz
Linked Non-linked
Source: RHP, ICICIdirect.com, Research
In FY17, participating products, non-participating protection products,
other non-participating products and unit linked products contributed
| 1092.3 crore, | 96 crore, | 171.7 crore and | 5107.9 crore, respectively,
representing 16.89%, 1.48%, 2.66% and 78.97%, respectively, of
individual NBP. In the group products business, group protection (credit
life) has been a key focus area while NBP from these products has
increased by 15.06% from | 239.6 crore in FY16 to | 275.7 crore in FY17.
SBI Life’s liability profile reflects diversified individual product portfolio
with participating products, non-participating protection products, other
non-participating products and unit-linked products accounting for
23.42%, 2.25%, 9.60% and 64.73%, respectively, of policyholders’
reserves as of March 31, 2017.
Focus on persistency ratios
In FY17, 13th month and 61st month persistency ratios were at 81.07%
and 67.18%, respectively. In FY15, FY16, and FY17, 13th month
persistency ratio was at 79.27%, 80.69% and 81.07%, respectively,
showing a gradual improvement. In FY15, FY16, and FY17, 49th month
persistency ratio was 64.54%, 76.90% and 62.46%, respectively. The
decline in FY17 is primarily attributable to a decline in share of single
premium. The 61st month persistency ratio was at 40.65%, 53.78% and
67.18%, respectively. The increase in 61st month persistency ratio was
achieved by increasing its focus on customer satisfaction on all aspects of
business operations, including quality of distribution and superior
customer satisfaction.
SBI Life’s business performance and profitability is dependent on
ensuring high proportion of renewals of policies at the end of their terms
Page 15 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
and persistency ratios reflect the company’s ability to retain customers in
this competitive market. Therefore, the company has introduced a
number of initiatives to improve persistency of existing policies, including
data analytics. Within the operational framework, the company’s
dedicated renewal business vertical continues to focus on collection of
renewal premiums and servicing policyholders.
Exhibit 22: Comparison of 13th and 61st month persistency (FY17)
81.1 80.985.7
80.4
68.267.2
56.8 56.253.0
31.6
0
20
40
60
80
100
SBI Life HDFC Standard
Life
ICICIPru Max Life Bajaj Allianz
(%
)
13th month 61th month
Source: RHP, ICICIdirect.com Research
Expansive distribution with pan-India bancassurance, high agent productivity
SBI Life has developed a multi-channel distribution network comprising
an expansive bancassurance channel, including State Bank of India (the
largest bancassurance partner in India). In addition, a large and
productive individual agent network comprising 95177 agents (as of July
31, 2017) as well as other distribution channels including direct sales and
corporate agents, brokers, insurance marketing firms and other
intermediaries are utilised for distribution. As of July 31, 2017, the
company had 803 branch offices in 29 states and seven union territories
across India, set up primarily for an agency network. The company also
makes significant direct sales, primarily comprising sale of group
products, as well as standardised individual products sold through online
offerings. In addition, the company also has tie-ups with 53 corporate
agents and 121 insurance brokers as of July 31, 2017. These partners are
supported by dedicated sales team comprising business development
managers and area managers.
Page 16 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
Exhibit 23: Channel-wise individual new business premium for industry
90.583.7
79.6 79.6 78.9 78.7 77.5 78.471.4 68.5 68.9
5.6
8.09.7 10.6 13.3 15.0 16.2 15.6
20.8 24.0 23.6
0
20
40
60
80
100
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
(%
)
Individual Agents Corporate Agents – Banks Corporate Agents – Others Brokers Direct Selling
Source: RHP, ICICIdirect.com, Research
Exhibit 24: Individual new business channel mix (FY17)
22.0
6.516.3
8.3 9.0
41.9
25.7
39.8
20.4
0.4
0.0
40.0
80.0
SBI Life HDFC Std
Life
ICICIPru Max Life Bajaj Allianz
(%
)
Individual Agents Corporate Agent - Banks Others
Source: RHP, ICICIdirect.com, Research
In FY17, SBI Life collected the highest amount of NBP generated by
private life insurers in India both through the bancassurance channel as
well as through individual agent network. In addition, it has also
developed long standing institutional relationships with large corporate
with respect to group life insurance products, particularly for group
protection (others) and Group FM products.
1) Pan India bancassurance network
State Bank of India is the largest bancassurance partner in India and
provides SBI Life with a large distribution network and significant
technology support. SBI Life has also been licensed the use of the “SBI”
logo pursuant to the SBI Trademark Licensing Agreement. They also have
bancassurance partnerships with 17 regional rural banks, and more
recently with the Punjab & Sind Bank and South Indian Bank.
Bancassurance contributed 47.82%, 54.43% and 53.03% of NBP in FY15,
FY16 and FY17, respectively. Individual NBP contributed by
bancassurance channel increased at a CAGR of 46.72% from | 1944.3
crore in FY15 to | 4185.3 crore in FY17, compared to a CAGR of 27.2% for
private life insurers in India during the same period.
2) High agent productivity
SBI Life’s exclusive individual agent network contributed 32.85%, 27.47%
and 22.31%, respectively, of total NBP in FY15, FY16 and FY17,
respectively. As of July 31, 2017, the company had over 95177 individual
agents. Individual NBP contributed by individual agents has increased at
CAGR of 13.24% from | 1719.2 crore in FY15 to | 2204.4 crore in FY17,
compared to CAGR of 9.39% for private life insurers in India during the
same period (Source: Crisil Report). The company’s individual agent
network generated NBP of | 2,34,501 from individual products per agent,
reflecting highest productivity among all private life insurers in India in
FY17. Relatively higher productivity of sales agents was largely
contributed by established brand, strong sales management practices, an
attractive rewards and recognition programme, technology driven sales
platforms, effective sales support and training provided to agents.
Page 17 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
Exhibit 25: Comparison of agent productivity (FY17)
2.3
1.0
1.3
1.7
1.1
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
SBI Life HDFC
Standard Life
ICICIPru Max Life Bajaj Allianz
(| lakhs)
Agent productivity
Source: RHP, ICICIdirect.com, Research
Exhibit 26: Geographic distribution of individual NBP (FY17)
67.24
80.81 80.2677.39
73.45
38.34
58.5355.82
50.09 50.56
0
20
40
60
80
100
SBI Life HDFC
Standard Life
ICICIPru Max Life Bajaj Allianz
(%
)
Top 10 states Top 5 states
Source: RHP, ICICIdirect.com, Research
Total cost and operating expense ratios reduced overtime
Total costs consist of commission expenses and operating expenses. The
commission ratio was at 3.73% for SBI Life while operating expenses
ratio was at 7.83% in FY17.
Commissions increased 9.67% from | 714.25 crore in FY16 to | 783.3
crore in FY17. This increase was primarily due to an increase in NBP by
42.74% and an increase in renewal business premium by 24.69% YoY in
FY17. Operating expenses relating to insurance business increased
11.17%, from | 1481.4 crore in FY16 to | 1646.8 crore in FY17. This
increase was primarily due to an increase in business promotion
expenses and employee remuneration and welfare benefits expenses.
Among top five private insurers, the operating expense ratio has
improved substantially in the past five years, as players reassessed
productivity of various distribution channels and their operating efficiency
post FY10. SBI Life had the lowest operating expense ratio (as of FY17)
followed by ICICI Prudential Life Insurance. The operating expense ratio
for SBI Life declined substantially from 9.1% in FY15 to 7.83% in FY17.
Exhibit 27: Expense ratio – SBI Life
4.7 4.5
3.7
9.19.4
7.8
0
2
4
6
8
10
FY15 FY16 FY17
(%
)
Commission ratio Operating Expense ratio
Source: RHP, ICICIdirect.com, Research
Exhibit 28: Comparison of expense ratios – FY17
3.73 4.13.4
9
2.4
7.83
12.27
10.54
14.76
17.1
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
SBI Life HDFC
Standard Life
ICICIPru Max Life Bajaj Allianz
(%
)
Commission ratio Operating Expense ratio
Source: RHP, ICICIdirect.com, Research
Second highest AUM in industry
SBI Life reported AUM of | 97,736.6 crore in FY17, of which equities
constituted 23.19%, government securities constituted 46.28% and
corporate bonds constituted 21.89%. As of March 31, 2017, SBI Life was
the second highest among top five private life insurers (in terms of total
premium in FY17) in India. AUM has grown to | 101226 crore as on June
30, 2017.
Page 18 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
Exhibit 29: Net investment income and yield on AUM – SBI Life
| crore
Investment
Income Yield
Investment
Income Yield
Investment
Income Yield
Investment
Income Yield
With Interest, Amortisation, Dividends and Realized gains / losses
Shareholders’ Funds 276 9.8% 318 9.2% 402 9.7% 107 10.0%
Participating Funds 641 9.8% 802 8.4% 11, 512.47 8.7% 357 8.9%
Non-Participating Funds 1,989 9.9% 2,238 9.4% 2,617 9.2% 770 9.5%
Linked Funds 5,827 24.1% 3,294 10.8% 4,007 11.0% 1,003 10.0%
With Interest, Amortisation, Dividends and Realized and Unrealized gains / losses
Shareholders’ Funds 450 16.2% 291 8.2% 521 12.3% 133 11.9%
Participating Funds 1,335 20.9% 690 6.8% 1,839 13.4% 743 17.3%
Non-Participating Funds 3,399 16.9% 2,037 8.3% 3,542 12.0% 1,035 12.2%
Linked Funds 7,613 27.6% 301 0.6% 5,527 14.4% 1,480 13.5%
FY15 FY16 FY17 Q1FY18
Source: RHP, ICICIdirect.com Research
Robust financial position supported by high operating efficiencies
SBI Life was profitable within the first five years of operations. It has
demonstrated consistent profitability since FY10 and declared dividends
every year since FY12. In addition, it has maintained solvency ratio at
over 2x in the last five fiscals, which was at 2.04x as of March 31, 2017,
compared to IRDAI mandated solvency ratio of 1.50. Since FY08, no
additional capital was raised by the company. NBP, gross written
premium and new business annualised premium equivalent increased at
CAGR of 35.45%, 27.80% and 36.59%, respectively, in FY15-17, while
their individual rated premium increased at 37.9% CAGR in the same
period.
Based on embedded value report issued by the independent actuary,
embedded value was | 16537.9 crore as of March 31, 2017 and VNB
margins were at 15.6%. In the last three fiscals, the company has
reported average RoE of 20.14%.
Exhibit 30: Solvency ratio (FY17)
204 192
281309
580
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
SBI Life HDFC
Standard Life
ICICIPru Max Life Bajaj Allianz
(%
)
Source: RHP, ICICIdirect.com, Research
Exhibit 31: Three year average RoE
20.14
29.4531.23
23.65
12.2
0
10
20
30
40
SBI Life HDFC
Standard Life
ICICIPru Max Life Bajaj Allianz
(%
)
Source: RHP, ICICIdirect.com, Research
Page 19 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
Key risks and concerns
Termination of or any adverse change in bancassurance agreement
Bancassurance represents SBI Life’s largest distribution channel. In FY15,
FY16 and FY17, the bancassurance channel contributed 51.8%, 60.7%
and 64.7%, respectively, of its new business premium (NBP) from
individual products. In particular, the company has entered into
bancassurance arrangements with its promoter, State Bank of India (SBI).
In FY15, FY16 and FY17, NBP generated through SBI represented 38.3%,
42.7% and 41.5%, respectively. The bancassurance distribution channel
benefits from inherent cost efficiencies resulting in lower cost of sales and
greater profitability. Thus, termination of or any adverse regulatory
changes could restrict company’s ability to further grow the business.
Higher concentration of NBP generated by a certain category of products
In FY17, unit-linked products (ULIP) represented 79% of SBI Life’s New
Business Premium (NBP) earned from individual product business and
79.2% of new business annualized premium equivalent in individual
segment. Any adverse regulatory or market development that affects
sales of Ulip could materially impact business. Further, if growth of Ulip or
pure protection products is not as anticipated, the company’s value of
new business and profitability would be adversely impacted. If unit linked
funds underperform their respective benchmarks, the company may be
unable to market these products in the future and may be in a
disadvantageous position as compared to competitors.
Any adverse change in relationships with promoter and BNP Paribas Cardiff
SBI Life benefits from its relationship with SBI and BNP Paribas Cardiff, in
particular drawing from their established brand equity and goodwill
among customers. This relationship has enabled the company to enhance
brand, access specialist industry expertise, grow its business and
maintain market position. SBI is the largest bancassurance partner in India
and provides SBI Life with a large distribution network and significant
technology support. SBI Life have also been licensed the use of the “SBI”
logo pursuant to the SBI Trademark Licensing Agreement. Thus, any
adverse change in continuing relationship with SBI and BNP Paribas
Cardiff may adversely impact the company’s performance.
Changes in regulatory environment…
The company is subject to a complex regulatory framework in India. The
laws and regulations or the regulatory environment may change at any
time. In particular, any adverse change in IRDAI policies, including with
respect to investment or provisioning or rural and social sector
obligations, may result in inability to meet such increased or modified
regulatory requirements or could require company to increase coverage
to relatively riskier segments and increase the cost of compliance with
such changing regulations.
Inability to control operating and other expenses
The company’s products are priced based on assumptions for expenses it
expects to incur. These assumptions for expenses include policy
acquisition cost, infrastructure related costs, employee costs, policy
maintenance cost and other support costs. Expenses may be higher than
expected due to changes in regulations, competition dynamics,
distributor pressures, and other factors. The bancassurance expenses
may increase owing to the IRDAI mandated non-exclusive arrangements
with banks and insurance companies. In addition, since a significant
portion of expenses are fixed, in the event future sales are lower than
expected, expenses may not decrease in proportion, or at all, which could
adversely impact the company’s profitability and business prospects.
Page 20 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
Financial Summary
Exhibit 32: Policyholders Account
(| Crore) FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
Premiums earned - Net 10345.3 10701.9 12780.0 15665.5 20852.5
Income from Investments 4374.0 6354.0 10242.9 3340.9 9295.0
Other income 12.0 12.4 13.9 19.7 67.4
Contribution from the Shareholders' account 244.3 301.1 149.7 93.7 62.7
Total 14,975.6 17,369.4 23,186.5 19,119.8 30,277.6
Commission 510.1 557.6 603.7 714.3 783.3
Operating expenses 1000.2 1089.4 1167.5 1480.9 1646.5
Benefits paid (Net) 7778.7 8780.2 8197.6 7958.5 9526.1
Change in valuation of policy liabilities 4741.1 5922.8 12284.1 7986.9 17241.0
Others 0.7 1.5 2.7 7.4 24.1
Provision for tax 210.0 205.9 228.1 327.2 402.2
Surplus/(deficit) after tax 734.8 811.9 702.7 644.7 654.5
Transfer to Shareholders' account 741.1 823.3 707.3 651.8 654.7
Source: RHP, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 33: Shareholders Account
(| Crore) FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
Amounts transferred from Policyholders' account 741.1 823.3 707.3 651.8 654.7
Income from investments 157.1 209.5 283.6 325.7 409.8
Total 898.2 1,032.8 990.9 977.5 1,064.5
Expenses other than insurance 23.8 4.1 11.8 28.7 27.1
Contribution to Policyholders' account 244.3 301.1 149.7 93.7 62.7
Others 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0
Profit before Tax 630.2 727.7 829.4 855.2 974.7
Provision for tax 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0
PAT 630.2 727.7 814.9 844.2 954.7
Source: RHP, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 34: Balance Sheet
(| Crore) FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
Sources of Funds
Share capital 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000
Reserve and surplus 1709 2320 2991 3691 4465
Credit/[debit] fair value change account 27 36 65 42 87
Networth 2736 3356 4056 4733 5552
Policyholders' funds 49545 55647 68170 75991 93673
Funds for Future Appropriations 23 12 7 0 0
Total Liabilities 52304 59015 72233 80724 99225
Applications of Funds
Shareholders’ investments 1812 2353 3070 3565 4296
Policyholders’ investments 21688 25324 31504 38256 46962
Asset held to cover linked liabilities 26548 28597 34810 36022 44573
Loans 0 1 2 124 178
Fixed assets - net block 286 308 298 447 538
Deferred tax asset 0 0 0 0 0
Net current assets 1976 2434 2552 2311 2678
Debit Balance in Profit & Loss Account (Shareholders' account) 0 0 0 0 0
Total Assets 52308 59017 72236 80724 99225
Source: RHP, ICICIdirect.com Research
Page 21 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
Exhibit 35: Key Ratios
(Year-end March) FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
Valuation
No. of Equity Shares (Crore) 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Diluted EPS (|) 6.3 7.3 8.2 8.4 9.6
NAV (|) 27.4 33.6 40.6 47.3 55.5
IEV (| crore) NA NA NA NA 16538
P/E 111.1 96.2 85.9 82.9 73.3
P/NAV 25.6 20.9 17.3 14.8 12.6
P/IEV NA NA NA NA 4.2
Efficiency Ratios (%)Commission expenses as a % of Gross
Premium 4.9 5.2 4.7 4.5 3.7
Management expenses incl commission as a % of Gross Premium14.5 15.3 13.8 13.9 11.6
Return Ratios and capital (%)
Return on Net worth 25.7 23.9 22.0 19.2 18.6
Return on Embedded value NA NA NA NA 23.0
Solvency Ratio 216 223 217 212 204
Persistency Ratio (%)
13th Month 0.86 0.80 0.79 0.81 0.81
25th Month 0.80 0.82 0.74 0.73 0.74
37th Month 0.60 0.72 0.79 0.69 0.67
49th Month 0.24 0.55 0.65 0.77 0.62
61th Month 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7
Source: RHP, ICICIdirect.com Research
Page 22 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
RATING RATIONALE
ICICIdirect.com endeavours to provide objective opinions and recommendations. ICICIdirect.com assigns ratings to its
stocks according to their notional target price vs. current market price and then categorises them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold
and Sell. The performance horizon is two years unless specified and the notional target price is defined as the analysts'
valuation for a stock.
Strong Buy: >15%/20% for large caps/midcaps, respectively, with high conviction;
Buy: >10%/15% for large caps/midcaps, respectively;
Hold: Up to +/-10%;
Sell: -10% or more;
Pankaj Pandey Head – Research [email protected]
ICICIdirect.com Research Desk,
ICICI Securities Limited,
1st Floor, Akruti Trade Centre,
Road No 7, MIDC,
Andheri (East)
Mumbai – 400 093
Page 23 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
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report accurately reflect our views about the subject issuer(s) or securities. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s)
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ICICI Securities Limited has been appointed as one of the Book Running Lead Managers to the initial public offer of SBI Life Insurance Company Limited. This report is prepared on the basis of publicly
available information.