iproperty.com asia property market sentiment report (h2) 2014
DESCRIPTION
iProperty survey report for H2 2014TRANSCRIPT
2
INDEX CEO’s Note ……………………………………………………………………………..…….........3
Executive Summary……………………………………………………………………………….5
Methodology, Assumptions and Caveats ………………………………………….…6
Results Analysis – Asia Overview ………………………………………………………..7
Malaysia ………………………………………………………………………………………..……..9
Demographics ……………………………………………………………………….....13
Overseas Property …………………………………………………………………….29
Sentiments ………………………………………………………………………………..35
Indonesia ………………………………..………………………………………………………….47
Demographics ………………………………………………………………………..…49
Overseas Property ………………………………………………………………….…63
Sentiments ………………………………………………………………………………..71
Hong Kong…………………..………………………………………………………………………84
Demographics …………………………………………………………………………..87
Overseas Property ………………………………………………………………….…94
Sentiments ………………………………………………………………………………..98
Singapore ………………………………………………………………………………………….103
Demographics …………………………………………………………………………106
Overseas Property ………………………………………………………………..…124
Sentiments ………………………………………………………………………………135
3
CEO’s NOTE We are once again pleased to share with you the findings of our sixth iProperty.com
Asia Property Market Sentiment Survey Report. This survey reveals sentiments for
the second half of 2014 while comparing the sentiments on the property market in
the first half of the year.
Conducted for a month, 5th June 2014 - 8th July 2014, across our market-leading
network of property portals, the survey gathered close to 13,000 respondents.
Cautious optimism seems to be the phrase that describes the Asian property market
in 2014. Despite economic upheavals, especially due to the tapering US economy,
capital flows have been somewhat steady in the Asian markets.
In all countries surveyed, affordability continues to remain a major concern. All these
countries have introduced multiple new measures to cool the property market
and/or are looking into providing more affordable housing to the low- and middle-
income group via various schemes.
We wish to thank all the survey respondents for sharing their valuable input on the
property market. Without the involvement of these many individuals, this report
would not have been possible.
Should you have any comments and feedback pertaining to this report, please drop
is an email at [email protected]
Sincerely,
Georg Chmiel
Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer
The iProperty Group
4
5
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY In the sixth iProperty.com Asia Property Market Sentiment Report for H2 of 2014,
survey respondents in Malaysia (iProperty.com.my), Indonesia (Rumah123.com and
rumahdanproperti.com), Hong Kong (GoHome.com.hk) and Singapore
(iProperty.com.sg) revealed their intentions, preferences and motivations in
acquiring property.
6
METHODOLOGY, ASSUMPTIONS
AND CAVEATS This is the sixth iProperty.com Asia Property Market Sentiment Survey Report
conducted by the iProperty Group. Held twice yearly, the survey aims to provide the
general public, property investors, buyers, sellers and owners, including local and
expatriates with insights into the property market purely from a consumer
perspective.
In Malaysia, a total of 5,295 people responded to the online survey.
In Indonesia, a total of 2,590 people responded to the online survey.
In Hong Kong, the survey gathered a total of 1,940 respondents. The survey was
designed and conducted in both English and Chinese on www.GoHome.com.hk.
In Singapore, a total of 2,805 people responded to the online survey.
The analysis of data from each survey question only considered data from questions
that were not skipped.
7
RESULTS ANALYSIS
Overview
Malaysia and Singapore have seen a slowdown in property sales, while Indonesia has
seen a surge in local demand rather than the capital inflows that spurred record
home prices in neighboring Singapore and Hong Kong.
Majority of respondents are male, and most are married. Most respondents in
Malaysia and Singapore are ‘Executives/Managers’, while most respondents in
Indonesia are ‘Clerks/Administrators’.
Most respondents have lived in their current place for less than 5 years and majority
have 4 or more living under the same roof. The main motivation of purchasing
property are the desire to own their own home, to attain rental income and for long-
term investment.
In all countries surveyed, concerns about affordability remain. A considerable
percentage of respondents:
• Have trouble finding property that they can afford, and have insufficient
funds for a downpayment
• Are looking to purchase property locally within the next year
• Picked Location, Price and Size as the three key factors to focus on when
purchasing property
For overseas property, most respondents would only consider purchasing 2 years
from now. Australia is consistently the second choice for property investment in all
countries surveyed. Respondents in Singapore and Malaysia prefer to purchase
‘Private condominiums / serviced apartment’, while Indonesia prefers to purchase
‘Landed property’ overseas. Similar to the previous survey, those who find overseas
property attractive are looking to purchase for investment and/or migratory
purposes.
8
Asia’s outlook
While mature markets like China, Japan and India have experienced certain highs
and lows, several new markets like Philippines, Indonesia and Malaysia have
emerged. According to Knight Frank Wealth Report 2014, global investment in
commercial property is expected to increase by 11% in 2014 and 2015 to USD$593
billion and USD$657 billion (RM2.1 trillion) respectively.
In Asia-Pacific, transaction volume rose nine percent to USD$119 billion (RM388
billion) in 2013, up from the one percent increase posted in 2012. In Asia-Pacific,
transaction volume rose 9% to USD$119 billion in 2013, up from the 1% increase
posted in 2012. Head of Research for Asia-Pacific at Knight Frank, noted that the
Asian economic slowdown has been more evident in the occupier markets.
In a Cushman & Wakefield publication, ‘Asia Pacific 2014 – 2015 Forecasts: Regaining
Momentum’, moderate growth forecasts for Asia Pacific in 2014-2015 remain intact.
Regional gross domestic product (GDP) growth is projected to remain solid at 5.4%-
5.5% this year and rebound to 5.5%-5.8% in 2015.
Inflation is also expected to remain benign across much of the region, except in India
and Indonesia, where monetary policy will remain tight to fend off inflationary
pressures.
The Southeast Asian economies of Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines and Vietnam are
expected to grow more than 5% this year. Malaysia’s robust domestic demand will
remain crucial to maintaining its forward momentum, though sentiment is likely to
weaken following the implementation of the goods and services tax (GST) in 2015.
Indonesia will continue its underperformance as high interest rates and fuel prices
weigh on the economy. In Singapore, stable consumption, along with a pick-up in
exports, should allow the city-state to expand slightly above its projected long-term
trend rate (3.5%- 4%).
9
MALAYSIA: SLOWER MARKET
AMIDST ADJUSTMENT TO COOLING
MEASURES. A STRONGER SECOND
HALF IS EXPECTED, BUT THE LATEST
HIKE IN OPR IS EXPECTED TO LEND
A SLIGHT EFFECT.
The growth in the Malaysian House Price Index (MHPI) declined to 9.6% in the fourth
quarter of 2013, compared with 12.2% a year earlier, according to Bank Negara
Malaysia. This was the first time since the third quarter of 2011 that the MHPI was
below 10%, and the improvements were recorded across most states and most types
of dwelling.
Sales and new launches slowed in the last quarter of 2013, possibly due to the
various measures imposed to cool down the housing sector since 2010. Bank Negara
also said that it is possibly due to the wait-and-see attitude of some developers and
buyers following the prohibition on developer interest-bearing schemes in
November 2013, further increases in real property gains tax in January this year,
higher minimum purchase price for houses by foreigners, and uncertainties
regarding the potential impact of the goods and services tax.
Bank Negara said that although the MHPI had expanded annually by between 10%
and 12% since 2011, outpacing income and rental growth, the rate of growth in
house prices remained significantly below those observed in some neighbouring
economies.
Malaysia’s relatively young population and labour force, increasing urbanisation, and
general inclination to own a house, are factors that are expected to sustain strong
demand for affordable residential properties in major urban centres, likely
outstripping supply over the near and medium-term.
Bank Negara said the earlier government measures had also resulted in reduced
credit-fuelled speculative purchases of residential properties where the annual
growth in the number of borrowers with three or more outstanding housing loans
has declined substantially to about 4%, from a peak of 15.8% prior to the
implementation of the measures, to account for only 3% of housing loan borrowers.
10
A survey by chartered surveyor and international property consultants CH Williams
Talhar & Wong (WTW) showed that the outlook for the property sector in Malaysia,
particularly the residential and industrial sub-segments, is expected to remain robust
in 2014 despite a minor setback due to the government’s cooling measures like the
Real Property Gains Tax and Developer Interest Bearing Scheme. GST is not entirely
zero-rated for residential properties as there is uncertainty on how the government
will resolve the grey areas concerning residential projects.
An analyst with RHB Research Malaysia believes that property sector will recover in
the second half of 2014 (2H14) driven by a stronger 2014 gross domestic product
(GDP) growth outlook and the implementation of the goods and services tax (GST) in
April 2015. Maybank IB Research remains cautious on the sustainability of property
demand. In discussions with bankers, they revealed that the loan rejection rate has
been as high as 40% to 50% nowadays (depending on product types; affordable
housing dominated by first-time buyers has lower loan rejection rate) compared to
10-20% a year ago.
Maybank IB Research also warned that with many potential buyers still looking to
buy properties for investment purposes, further tightening measures could
negatively hit demand, and in greater force. According to the research house,
demands for landed property under MYR1mil remained firm but pointed out that
discussions with property agents revealed a significant slowdown in demand for
high-rise luxury properties.
Some consultants opine that the rush on property purchases will balance the slower
first-half of 2014 with stronger demand as many potential property buyers are
currently in a “wait and see” situation.
Raise in interest rates
On 10th July 2014, Bank Negara raised the overnight policy rate (OPR) for the first
time in three years by 25 basis point (bps) to 3.25%, aiming to curb rising inflation
and household debt. The floor and ceiling rates of the corridor for the overnight
policy rate are correspondingly raised to 3.00% and 3.50%, respectively.
In its latest analysis, the central bank described the prospects for the Malaysian
economy to remain firmly on a steady growth path. A 25 bps hike in OPR will have a
3% impact on monthly payments in the property sector, eroding housing
affordability amongst Malaysians.
11
Graphs show loan applications and approvals between 2006 to 2014
(SOURCE: Bank Negara)
A simulation study suggests that in the current base lending rate of minus 2.4%, a
MYR3,000 per month instalment amount will be able to afford a property worth
MYR681,000. A 25bps rate hike will reduce the affordable property price by 2.92% to
MYR662,000.
According to a senior executive of a real estate agency, an increase of 0.25% in the
overnight policy rate (OPR) will not have a significant impact on borrowers for low-
cost and affordable housing priced between MYR45,000 and MYR450,000.
Property consultants expect fewer transactions as mortgage rates will rise in tandem
with the interest rate.
12
13
DEMOGRAPHICS: MARRIED
COUPLES WITH INCREASED
BUDGET FOR BOTH LONG-TERM
PROPERTY INVESTMENT AND
OWN-HOME PURCHASE
There are more male respondents in this survey compared to the last survey, up
from 57% to 61%. As with the previous few surveys, the survey is male-skewed.
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Male Female
61%
39%
Gender
14
In comparison with the previous survey, there is a huge increase in the percentage of
married respondents (from 41% to 54%), and this increase is directly from a drop in
respondents who are single (from 57% to 45%).
Most respondents are probably living with their spouse, their young children and/or
parents, as 55% of respondents have 4 or more people living in their household.
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Married Single Other
54%
45%
1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
One Two Three Four More than
Four
7%
19% 20%25%
30%
Marital Status
No of People in a Household
15
As for the age groups, the numbers are similar to the previous survey. Respondents
are largely from 20 to 40 years old, and majority of respondents are Malaysian
citizens.
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Below 20 20 - 30 31 - 40 41 - 50 51 and above
1%
37% 39%
14%9%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Citizen
Permanent Resident
Foreigner Residing in the Country
Non-resident in the country
91%
6%
1%
Age Group
Residence Status
16
Profession of respondents surveyed is consistent with the previous survey, where
most respondents are ‘Executives/Managers’, followed by ‘Professional/Technical’
and ‘Self-Employed’. The difference in percentage is rather insignificant.
Despite the upward percentage jump in married respondents, the household income
remains relatively unchanged. Majority of respondents (52%) fall into the
MYR90,000 and below group, while more than a quarter (27%) are from mid- to
upper middle-income group of MYR90,001 to MYR180,000. There is a slight increase
of those earning more than MYR300,000 (from approximately 3.4% to 5%).
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Executive / Managerial
Professional / Technical
Self Employed
Sales
CEO / Senior Management
Clerical / Administrative
Civil Servant
Student
Retired
Homemaker
Unemployed
40%
25%
8%
8%
5%
4%
3%
3%
2%
1%
1%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Below MYR30,000
MYR30,001 - MYR90,000
MYR180,001 - MYR300,000
MYR300,001 - MYR500,000
More than MYR500,001
Prefer not to say
9%
43%
27%
3%
2%
7%
Profession
Annual Household Income
17
Back in March 2013, the 2012 Household Income Survey conducted by the Statistics
Department announced that the Malaysian households’ monthly income rose from
MYR4,025 in 2009 to MYR5,000 in 2012. It’s a 7.2% increase in total. It was even
announced that all states in Malaysia recorded better average monthly household
incomes with Kuala Lumpur leading with the highest growth of 14.9% from
MYR5,488 to MYR8,586. However, with the prices of everyday items rising, the
significance of this means very little as our spending power remains weak.
Most of respondents (79%) are from Selangor and Kuala Lumpur. The most
affordable house in the Sime Darby-UM study is in Melawati and the household
income required to own a property in Melawati is MYR9,360. This means that even
the most affordable property is already beyond the reach of the majority in Kuala
Lumpur, Putrajaya and even Selangor. The property listed in Nilai requires a
household income of MYR9,430 which is almost twice the mean household income
of Negri Sembilan and even exceeds the mean household income of Kuala Lumpur.
Hence, it can be concluded that some properties in the selected areas are beyond
the reach of the majority in Kuala Lumpur, Putrajaya and Selangor.
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Selangor
Kuala Lumpur
Penang
Johor
Perak
Sabah
Sarawak
Putrajaya
Kedah
Malacca
Negeri Sembilan
Kelantan
Perlis
Pahang
Terengganu
Labuan
48%
31%
6%
5%
2%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Currently Residing in
18
Slightly more than half the respondents (53%) are interested in buying property,
while 21% are first-time homebuyers. That amounts to a whopping 74% who are
looking at property purchase either for own stay or investment.
Almost half (drop from 56% from previous survey to 49%) of respondents have
stayed in their current premises for 5 years or less, while almost a quarter (23%)
have been in the same abode for 6 to 10 years.
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Interested in Buying Property
First Time Home Buyer
Just Monitoring the market
Real Estate Professional / Property Agent
Interested in Selling Property
Interested in leasing and renting property
Looking to Rent our a Property
Expatriate
53%
21%
11%
5%
3%
3%
3%
1%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
0 - 5 years 6 - 10 years 11 - 20 years More than 20
years
All my life
49%
23%
15%
9%
3%
Consider Themselves
Years in Current Premises
19
95% of respondents currently own residential property, and they are mainly living in
terrace houses (48%) or condominiums/apartments (28%). This might mean that
married respondents would prefer to live in houses with their families.
Residential properties are the most transacted type of properties in the Klang Valley,
making up 75% in the last three years, and condominiums received the highest
demand from homebuyers. This trend is similar in Selangor.
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Residential Property
Shop/Commercial Buildings
Car Park
Land
95%
10%
9%
9%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Terrace House
Private Condominium / Serviced…
Flat/Walk-up Apartment
Semi-detached House
Bungalow
Shop Office
SOHO
Retail Space
Hotel / resort
Factory / industrial property
48%
28%
10%
8%
5%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Properties Owned
Currently Residing In
20
As always, online is the preferred source of information for respondents. A distant
second is newspapers / magazines, while real estate agents and professionals are
third in the list.
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
iProperty.com
Newspapers / magazines
Other Web Portals
Talk to Real Estate Professional /
Property Agent
Refer to Family members and friends
Attend porperty seminars /
exhibitions
Television / radio
93%
53%
49%
32%
29%
21%
6%
Source of Information
21
A large percentage (57%) are interested in purchasing new properties, while 34% are
on the fence. The top three sources of information for new properties are:
1. Online property websites and search engines
2. Directly from developers
3. Property exhibitions
According to an industry body, Malaysian Internet Exchange (MyIX), Malaysia’s
Internet usage rose 51% in 2013. Internet traffic consumption today showed the
biggest annual percentage increase ever in more than a decade. Plus, in early 2014,
On Device Research published a report on Mobile Malaysia: ahead of the pack,
which showed that 47% of Malaysians own more than 1 mobile phone. These
figures, plus respondents’ sentiment, confirm a known fact – digital media is here to
stay (and is growing rapidly!).
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Yes
Maybe
More Interested in resale property
No
57%
34%
5%
4%
Interest in New Property
22
Apart from detailed information about the property, which is still the most
important information property purchasers require, the type of information
respondents seek has changed quite a bit.
This survey Last survey
1 Detailed information about
the property
Detailed information about the
property
2 Property price comparisons
High quality photos
3 Reviews on property/location Property price comparisons
4 High quality photos
Neighbourhood information
5 Price growth comparison Compare features
6 Compare features
Read reviews
7 Display of average asking
prices
Interactive maps
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
Currency convertor
Video presentation on the property
Research mortgage financing
Home buyer assistance
Update/Summary on Government Regulations
Agent contact information
A home-buyers checklist
Home mortgage calculator
Interactive maps
Display of average asking prices
Neighbourhood information
Compare features
Price Growth comparison
Hi-quality photos
Reviews on the property/location
Property price comparisons
Detailed information about the property
6%
18%
19%
20%
23%
26%
26%
32%
32%
40%
40%
41%
48%
54%
66%
73%
85%
Information Required
23
The main percentages remain relatively unchanged from the previous survey. A
quarter of respondents (25%) are looking into property purchase in the next 6
months.
There does not seem to be an increased urgency despite the uncertainty of whether
buyers will have to bear any rise in costs for new houses from the implementation of
the Goods and Services Tax (GST) on 1st April 2015.
CIMB Research said the impact of the measures introduced during the government’s
Budget 2014, is going to be negative in the short-term, but should be positive over
the longer-term as it will help remove froth from some segments in the market.
Some measures introduced in Budget 2014 include Real Property Gains Tax (RPGT)
to 30% for gains on properties disposed of within the holding period of up to three
years. For disposals within the holding period of up to four and five years, the rates
are decreased to 20% and 15% respectively. The government also introduced a new
minimum price for property that can be purchased by foreigners, from MYR500,000
to MYR1 million.
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Within the next 6 months
6 - 12 months from now
1 - 2 years from now
At least 2 years or more from now
Not interested at the moment
25%
30%
26%
13%
6%
When to Purchase
24
Most respondents still feel that property prices are too high (up from 57% in the
previous survey to 67%), while the other two co-related reasons are trouble finding
properties that they can afford, and insufficient funds for a down payment.
Affordability seems to be a constant and growing concern. Plus, with the lack of
wage increase and assistance for the middle-income group, these might be the
reasons that a higher percentage of respondents compared to the last survey, are
motivated to purchase property as a long-term investment and for rental income.
The desire to accumulate asset surpassed respondents desire to own a home of their
own (which was the main motivation in the last survey).
H2 2014 H1 2014
1 For long-term investment
Desire to own a home on my own
2 Desire to own a home on my
own
For long-term investment
3 For rental income
For rental income
4 Desire for a home in a better
area
Desire for a larger home
5 Desire for a larger home
Affordability of homes
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Property prices are too high
Not having enough money for a down
payment
Cannot find a property that is affordable
Waiting to see what measures will be
announced in Budget 2015
Unpredictable proeprty market
Banks making it too hard to qualify for a
home mortgage
Concerned that that the value of the
property will decline after buying it
Lack of good financing options
Having too much debt from from college
and student loans
67%
36%
36%
24%
21%
18%
17%
16%
6%
Reasons for Not Purchasing
25
The top five considerations when purchasing property remain unchanged from the
previous round – Location, Price, Size, Security and Facilities.
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
For long-term investment –…
Desire to own a home on my own
For rental income
Desire for a home in a better area
Desire for a larger home
Affordability of Homes
For short- term investment – capital gain
Change in family situation
Retirement
Desire to be closer to job/school/transit
Purchase home for family member or relative
Job-related relocation or move
Desire to be closer to family/friends/relatives
Desire for a smaller home
45%
44%
40%
27%
26%
25%
24%
13%
12%
11%
10%
8%
6%
6%
2%
0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00
Location
Price
Security
Size
Potential capital Appreciation
Potential rental yield
Facilities
Developer’s track record and …
Status of property…
Financing eligibility/process
Eligibility for housing…
Recommendations
10.24
10.17
7.90
7.55
6.63
6.56
6.15
5.88
5.65
4.83
3.54
2.89
Motivation to purchase
Factors of Consideration
26
As the main motivation is for long-term investment, respondents might have
preferred high-rise buildings as they fetch better rental yield and provide additional
income, and can achieve a substantial amount of capital appreciation as well
(although this would likely be less than a landed property).
During the second half of 2013, rents of existing high-end condominiums in Kuala
Lumpur city have remained stable, ranging from MYR3 to MYR5.50 per square foot
(psf) per month, according to Knight Frank’s report. Next to KL City, Bangsar’s high-
end condominiums have rents ranging from MYR2.50 to MYR4.50 psf, followed by
Damansara Heights with rents between MYR2.50 and MYR4.00 psf.
According to Global Property Guide’s website, Malaysia has a small rental market.
Only 6% of the housing stock is in the private rental sector. About 85% of total stock
is owner-occupied, while government-provided housing accounts for 7% of the
stock.
This round, there is greater interest in homes under PR1MA, Malaysia My First Home
scheme, and Malaysia My Second Home scheme. On a separate note, the National
Housing Council was set up in 2014 to develop strategies and action plans in a
holistic manner, coordinate legal aspects and property price mechanism, and ensure
provision of homes in a more efficient and expeditious manner.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Private condominiums/serviced…
Terraced House
Semi-detached house
Homes under PR1MA…
Detached House
Homes under Malaysia My First…
Flat/walk-up apartment
Bungalow
Office / Retail
Homes under Malaysia My Second…
Student Housing
Government Housing
Retirement Homes
Industrial
Hotels
Not considering
70%
69%
40%
25%
19%
19%
18%
16%
15%
12%
10%
9%
6%
4%
3%
1%
Types of property interested in
27
Consistent with previous survey’s result, the top three preferred locations to
purchase property is Klang Valley, Selangor, and Putrajaya. Penang and Johor is at a
distant fourth and fifth position respectively.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
Selangor
Kuala Lumpur
Putrajaya
Penang
Johor
Perak
Negeri Sembilan
Malacca
Sabah
Sarawak
Kedah
Pahang
Kelantan
Terengganu
Perlis
82%
78%
25%
22%
15%
8%
8%
7%
3%
3%
2%
2%
1%
1%
0%
Preferred Location
28
There is a big dip (from 68% in the previous survey to 54%) for those with a budget
of less than half a million Ringgit. On the other hand, these respondents have
increased their budget to the MYR500,001 to MYR800,000 range.
This sentiment is in tandem with the rise in average prices in properties. By property
type, nationally, during the year to Q3 2013:
• The average price of terraced houses rose by 7.8% y-o-y to MYR238,337
• The average price of detached houses increased 15.1% y-o-y to MYR458,858
• The average price of semi-detached houses rose by 14.7% to MYR421,622
• The high-rise price index soared 13.7%, to an average price of MYR248,567
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Below MYR500,000
MYR500,001 - MYR800,000
MYR800,001 - MYR1 million
MYR1 Million - MYR 3 million
Above MYR3 million
53%
33%
8%
5%
1%
Budget to Purchase
29
OVERSEAS PROPERTY: SEEN AS A
GOOD INVESTMENT, AND
AUSTRALIA IS STILL THE PREFERRED
INVESTMENT LOCATION
There is a drop (from 51% to 45%) of those who are not considering overseas
properties, while there is a slight increase of those who are interested (from 21% to
23%).
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
No
Undecided
Yes
45%
33%
23%
Interest in Overseas Property
30
94% of respondents do not own properties overseas. The remaining 6% purchased
properties In Singapore (43%), Australia (28%), and United Kingdom (16%).
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Yes
No
6%
94%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Singapore
Australia
The United Kingdom
The United States
New Zealand
China
Hong Kong
Philippines
Thailand
Indonesia
India
Vietnam
43%
28%
16%
13%
10%
8%
8%
5%
5%
5%
3%
2%
Currently Own Property Overseas
Country Property Is Located In
31
The properties were mainly purchased via developer (45%) and local agent (42%)
from country of origin.
The top three preferred overseas property location has remained consistent
throughout four surveys – Australia, Singapore, and the United Kingdom. These
investment locations are chosen probably because Malaysians are familiar with
them, perhaps having studied or worked there. According to HSBC, Australia appeals
to Malaysian investors for its proximity, quality education and lifestyle.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Purchased via developer
show/seminar/exhibition in your
country of origin
Used a local agent from country of
origin to purchase
Contacted agent online from the
country where the property is located
45%
42%
13%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
Australia
Singapore
United Kingdom
New Zealand
Thailand
United States
Indonesia
China
Vietnam
Japan
Hong Kong
Philippines
India
Macau
39%
20%
12%
9%
5%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
1%
1%
0%
How They Purchased
Where they want to Purchase
32
‘Private Condominium / Serviced Apartment’ (67%) is still the favourite type of
property to purchase overseas.
The main budget for overseas properties are ‘Below MYR500,000’ and ‘MYR500,001
to MYR800,000’.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Terrace house
Flat/walk-up apartment
Semi-detached house
Bungalow
SOHO
Retail space
Shop Office
Hotel / Resort
Factory / Industrial Property
67%
31%
26%
16%
14%
14%
6%
6%
4%
2%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
Below MYR500,000
MYR500,001 - MYR800,000
MYR800,001 - MYR1 million
MYR1 million - MYR3 million
MYR3 million and above
32%
31%
22%
13%
2%
Type of Property They Want to Purchase
Budget
33
40% of respondents are only looking into overseas property investment two years
from now, while 35% do not have any plans of purchasing.
The main reason for entertaining the idea of overseas property investment is the
same as local properties – good investment. Migration is the second reason that
respondents find overseas properties attractive.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Within the next 6 months
6 to 12 months from now
1 to 2 years from now
No plan
At least 2 years or more from now
3%
7%
15%
35%
40%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
It is a good investment
Expect to migrate or retire to that
country in the future
For vacation / residential purpose
For my children to study aboard
The potential yield is high
Favourable exchange rate
The economic slowdown in that country
has brought prices down
The country has housing policies that
encourage foreign ownership
39%
19%
12%
10%
9%
5%
4%
2%
When to purchase
Why They Want to Purchase
34
Consistent with answers for information search for local properties, respondents
look to online sources, followed by newspapers / magazines.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
iProperty.com
Other web portals
Newspapers / Magazines
Attend exhibitions that feature
overseas property projects
Talk to real estate professional /
property agents
Refer to family members and friends
61%
54%
34%
31%
25%
23%
Where They Source for Information
35
SENTIMENTS: DESPITE MEASURES
OUTLINED IN BUDGET 2014,
PROPERTY PRICES ARE STILL SEEN
AS NOT AFFORDABLE. MOST
BELIEVE THAT THE 6% GST WILL
LEND TO AN INCREASE IN
PROPERTY PRICES. Affordability and rising house prices are still the biggest concerns, followed by
stringent home financing policies and high interest rates, and poor building quality.
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Affordability and rising house prices
Poor building quality
Stringent home financing and high
interest rates
Errant developers
Economic and political uncertainties
83%
53%
46%
36%
31%
Current Views on the Property Market
36
Additionally, on a scale of 1 (very affordable) to 10 (not affordable at all), the
respondents chose an average of 7.29, slightly lower than the previous survey which
was at 7.5.
The affordability index has been trending down since 2009 after the hikes in the BLR
(to 6.6%, from 5.6% over 2009-2011) and higher property prices (+12.5% CAGR vs
income growth of +6% between 2010 and 2013). This would impact investment
decisions for new purchases and could eventually lead to a decline in property sales.
Maybank IB Research also pointed out that household debt had reached a high of
86.8% of nominal GDP at the end of 2013, and could possibly climb to 88% by the
end of this year. It also said that it remained neutral on the property sector, and
that key risks included further tightening measures and interest rate hikes.
On 10th July 2014, Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) raised the overnight policy rate
(OPR) by 25 basis points to 3.25%, the first time since May 2011 with economists
expecting the rate hike to address the potential rise in financial imbalances. BNM
said going forward, the overall growth momentum was expected to be sustained
while inflation has been relatively stable.
CIMB Research said loan growth may slow down in an environment with a higher
interest rate but the impact would not be big as the magnitude of the rate hike is
expected to be small (less than one percentage point) at 25bps to 50bps in 2014 to
2015.
0 2 4 6 8 10
Current Property Prices7.29
Current Views on the Property Market
37
Respondents are loyal to their favourite investment hotspots in and out of Selangor.
The three main areas that respondents think will be the next investment hotspots in
Selangor are Petaling Jaya, Ara Damansara, and Puchong.
Outside Selangor, the top three areas remain the same as the last survey, with a new
state appearing in the third spot to tie with Melaka:
1. Iskandar Malaysia, Johor
2. Georgetown, Penang
3. Melaka, Melaka & Nilai, Negeri Sembilan
5% 15% 25% 35% 45%
Petaling Jaya
Ara Damansara
Puchong
Kajang
Cyberjaya
Bukit Jalil
Shah Alam
Sungai Buloh
Seri Kembangan
Bangsar
Putrajaya
Rawang
Klang
Gombak
Rawang
41%32%
29%26%
24%24%
23%22%
18%18%
16%12%
10%6%
0%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Iskandar Malaysia, Johor
Georgetown, Penang
Melaka
Nilai, Negeri Sembilan
Nusajaya, Johor
Seremban, Negeri Sembilan
Johor Bahru, Johor
Ipoh, Perak
Kota Kinabalu, Sabah
Kuantan, Pahang
Kuching, Sarawak
60%
58%
29%
29%
29%
28%
24%
21%
11%
5%
5%
Hot Spots in Selangor
Hot Spots Outside Selangor
38
47% of respondents opined that transactions will remain more or less the same,
while slightly more compared to the previous survey, from 35% to 37%, provided
positive sentiment.
It will remain more or less the
same
Yes, Definitely
Not Sure
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
47%
37%
16%
Will property Transactions Pick Up in the Next 6 Months?
39
Most respondents are not interested as they deem that properties in Iskandar
Malaysia are either too expensive (27%), or they are just not looking for properties in
Johor Bahru (37%). This might be due to the lack of knowledge of properties in Johor
Bahru and respondents might also be more comfortable purchasing properties in
Kuala Lumpur or Petaling Jaya.
Iskandar Malaysia has always been the influencing factor in Johor property. Iskandar
Malaysia has five flagship zones, two of which are now inundated with upcoming
property developments and catalytic government plans to develop the regional
socio-economic hub.
Iskandar Malaysia property projects have been largely marketed to attract
Singaporeans, hence many Malaysians might be less familiar with the masterplans
for each zones.
Kuwait Finance House Research (KFHR) said for the first-half of 2014, cooling
measures will dampen speculation but Iskandar is a long-term play, with the
foundation and infrastructure for Phase 1 (2006-2010) already laid down and with
raised cumulative committed investments reaching MYR131.6 billion. The report also
said that the whole of the Iskandar project is expected to be completed in 2025, and
by then it is set to prosper and live up to its vision to be a preferred location to
invest, live, work and play.
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
Yes, I think Iskandar is a safe and good
investment
Yes, but I will wait for a few years
before I purchase
No, the properties are too expensive
No, I am not looking for properties
anywhere in Johor Bahru
20%
20%
27%
33%
Interest in Purchasing Property In Iskandar Malaysia
40
74% of respondents feel foreign property buyers have led to the escalation of
property prices.
Under Budget 2014, Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak doubled the
minimum property price for foreigners from MYR500,000 to MYR1 million.
Specifically, the MYR1 million price threshold took effect on 1 March 2014 for all
federal administered territories – Labuan, Putrajaya and Kuala Lumpur. Johor
followed in May and the Johor government also eyed an additional two percent tariff
for overseas buyers across all property segments. Penang is the only Malaysian state,
where foreigners are subject to a MYR1 million minimum price on the mainland and
MYR2 million if it is a landed property on the island. Penang is also considering a
three percent levy on foreign property buyers, according to its Chief Minister Lim
Guan Eng.
According to CBRE Malaysia, in spite of the curbs, Malaysian properties are still
cheaper than those in Singapore. A 1,000 sq ft condo in the city-state sells for
USD800,000 (MYR2.61 million) to USD960,000 (MYR3.14 million), while a similar-
sized flat in Kuala Lumpur goes for about USD374,000 (MYR1.22 million).
According to real estate consultancy Knight Frank, luxury residences in Malaysia sell
for between USD2,300 and USD5,600 per square meter, much lower than
USD27,600 to USD33,700 in Singapore and USD43,700 to USD53,500 in Hong Kong,
Average rental yields are also more attractive in Malaysia at 4% to 6%, compared to
3% in Singapore and 2.5% in Hong Kong.
Mortgage terms are also better for non-residents in Malaysia, with buyers able to
borrow 70%of a property's value. That's more generous than the 40% to 60% in
Singapore, and 30% to 50%in Hong Kong.
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Yes
Uncertain
No
74%
14%
11%
Are Foreign Buyers Driving up Property Prices
41
43% of respondents surveyed feel that the measures are ‘Average’, while 20% feel
that they are ‘Fair’.
As for Budget 2014’s impact on the industry, majority are split between ‘Too early to
tell’ (33%) and ‘No’ (36%).
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Average
Fair
Bad
Good
Undecided
Excellent
43%
20%
18%
11%
8%
2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
No
Too early to tell
Unsure
Yes
35%
33%
21%
11%
Views on Budget 2014
Effectiveness of Budget 2014 on the Property Market
42
Analyst from RHB Research believes that Malaysia’s property sector will recover in
the second half of 2014 driven by a stronger 2014 gross domestic product (GDP)
growth outlook and the implementation of the goods and services tax (GST) in April
2015. However, with the fresh hike in interest rates due to the OPR increase by Bank
Negara Malaysia, there might be a slight hinge in recovery.
The implementation of the GST from 1 April 2015 is expected to spur demand for
big-ticket items, such as white goods and properties, as consumers rush to make
purchases to avoid paying the tax.
Having said that, 41% of respondents replied that GST will not stop them from
investing. This coincides with the fact that there is no increase in respondents who
are looking to purchase property in the next year.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
No
Yes
I Don't Know
41%
34%
25%
Will GST Stop Them from Investing
43
Almost half (45%) of respondents feel that loan applicants should be offered loans
on a case-by-case basis. This might be due to the respondents’ psychographics as
53% of respondents are interested in purchasing property, and might also be
stemmed from the affordability factor where they might fear denial of loans.
26% of respondents surveyed think that the penalty is fitting. However, 40% of
respondents feel that a bigger penalty should be implemented.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Yes, but they should offer loans on a
case-by-case basis
Yes, people should not be able to
purchase something they can’t afford
No, people should be able to purchase
any property they desire
45%
38%
17%
0% 20% 40%
Yes, but it should be a bigger penalty
No, it is too small a penalty
Yes, it is fitting
No, it is too severe
40%
28%
26%
6%
Is Bank Negara’s Loan-to-value ratio on net income as opposed to gross income
fair?
Changes to National Housing Development to fine developers RM 500,000
and jail time for up to three years for abandoned projects fair?
44
The top five schemes that respondents would like delivered in Budget 2015 are:
1. Better control on house prices
2. Better public transportation
3. More low cost & affordable housing in strategic locations
4. Reduction in income taxes
5. Reduce interest rates on housing loans
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Better control on house prices
Better public transportation
More low cost & affordable housing…
Reduction in income taxes
Reduce interest rates on housing…
Reduce import duty taxes on cars
Free education across all levels
Stricter regulations on foreign…
Abolish Tolls
Lower the Real Property Gains Tax
Remove the Stamp Duty
Better healthcare
Continue to provide subsidies on…
Improve road conditions
Impose stricter enforcements…
Increase the Sin Tax on Tobacco…
62%
40%
39%
27%
25%
16%
14%
12%
13%
11%
10%
9%
8%
7%
4%
3%
Schemes for Budget 2015 to Deliver
45
The three more important considerations for PR1MA affordable homes are still the
same as the last survey:
• Location
• Public Transport
• Amenities
The 1Malaysia People’s Housing (PR1MA) project has received 500,000 applications
since registration was opened last year. In March 2014, Minister in the Prime
Minister’s Department Datuk Seri Shahidan Kassim said the online applications were
for 80,000 houses. The 80,000 houses approved under this first phase are in the
analysis and planning stages. He also said that the government would also have a
meeting with PR1MA Malaysia Corporation to discuss the second phase involving an
additional 80,000 houses for this year. These units form part of the 500,000 to be
rolled out by the company by 2018. Property consultants have said that Perbadanan
PR1MA Malaysia should develop them in or near city centres where the demand is.
To date, PRIMA homes are in Nusantara Prima, Johor Baru and Alam Damai, Cheras.
As at August last year, out of the 20,519 units that were approved by Perbadanan
PR1MA’s board of directors, 31.7% are in city centres, including 4,636 units in Kuala
Lumpur and 1,877 units in Kuching, Sarawak.
In May 2014, MRT Corp Chief Executive Officer Datuk Azhar Abdul Hamid said that
the progress on the highly anticipated MRT project is slightly ahead of schedule, with
more than half of its tunnelling works completed.
With the two key considerations in the early stages of development, time will tell if
measures taken will address the issue of affordability.
0 1 2 3 4 5
Location
Public Transport
Amenities
Gated &guarded property
Highway Adjacent
4.44
4.24
4.01
3.45
3.24
Factors With Regards to PR1MA
46
More than half (55%) of respondents think that Goods and Services Tax (GST) will
affect their purchase decision, as they (85%) believe that it will increase property
prices.
With the imposition of GST next year, the cost of local residential properties is
estimated to increase by 3 to 4%. Whether the increased cost will be transferred to
house buyers depends on demand for the property concerned. For highly-demanded
residential properties, the increased cost is expected to be borne by house buyers.
For those in the less demanded areas, extra cost due to GST would likely be
absorbed by the developers.
Goods and services will be categorised under three groups – ‘standard rated’ where
6% GST will be imposed; zero rated and exempt rated.
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Yes
No
Unsure
55%
26%
19%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Property prices will increase
Property prices will only increase in
prime and high-density areas
Property prices will not be affected
85%
10%
3%
Will GST affect Their Decision to Purchase Property
How will GST affect the Property Market
47
INDONESIA: BUYERS ARE IN STILL
IN WAIT-AND-SEE MODE AFTER
THE ELECTION
Prospective buyers are in a wait-and-see mode, hence there is reduced demand in
the second quarter, the lowest in the past five years. Market is expected to pick up
again later this year as the elections are over.
The real estate sector has shown growth since last year, with property shares on the
Indonesian Stock Exchange rising by more than 70% in the first five months of this
year. Occupier demand has been propelled by strong economic growth, growing
middle class, purchasing power, and an attractive market for business and foreign
investment.
The World Bank predicts solid future growth for Indonesia's economy, although
there is much work to be done in improving infrastructure within Jakarta to ensure
further expansion in the property market.
A joint study by the Washington-based Urban Land Institute (ULI) and the Jakarta
branch of PricewaterhouseCoopers, Emerging Trends in Real Estate: Asia Pacific
2013, found that Jakarta ranked first as the most preferred destination for real
estate investment in the region.
PriceWaterHouseCoopers (PWC) and Urban Land Institute USA have placed
Indonesia as one of the big three Asian countries with the highest potential for
property investment. Jakarta and Bali are the two cities in the country that offer
great prospects.
Barriers for housing mortgage
Prospective buyers are in a wait-and-see mode, hence there is reduced demand in
the second quarter, the lowest in the past five years. Market is expected to pick up
again later this year as the elections are over. Jakarta Governor Joko Widodo,
popularly known as Jokowi, will lead Indonesia as its new president as he faces the
challenge of uniting the country’s population of 250 million.
70% of Indonesia’s total workforce are informal sectors, under non-payroll and most
of them are associated with poverty. Hence, they are deemed as non-creditworthy.
The vast majority of low-income housing are self-help housing, with incremental
housing based on financial ability.
48
http://siteresources.worldbank.org/FINANCIALSECTOR/Resources/Session2_NugrohoTriUtomo.pdf
Indonesia was ranked 53rd in a survey of distribution efficiency of countries by the
World Bank. By comparison, Thailand ranked 35th and Malaysia 25th. President Joko
Widodo has pledged to accelerate administrative and budgetary efforts to expand
and upgrade facilities like roads, ports and airports. Whether Indonesia will be able
to build up necessary infrastructure fast enough depends on the new
administration’s commitment to budgetary and policy reforms.
However, even as the government tightens control on property sales, there is also a
long-standing housing shortage. The report cited a developer as saying that the big
cities would need about 13 million new housing units, including 200,000 in Jakarta.
Real estate firm Knight Frank said that Jakarta topped the list of its index of price
growth in the world’s luxury real estate markets. Prices in the city have increased by
38% last year. Average property prices in Jakarta currently stand at USD346 per
square foot, up from USD250 in the previous year.
A senior BI (Bank Indonesia) official has said that housing demand is approximately
13 to 15 million units, while yearly supply was 1 to 1.5 million.
49
DEMOGRAPHICS: MARRIED
INDIVIDUALS WITH SLIGHTLY
MORE BUDGET LOOK FORWARD
TO OWNING THEIR OWN HOUSE,
PREFERABLY IN JAKARTA
The breakdown of gender and marital status is the same as Malaysia – majority are
males (from 64% in the previous survey) to 69%. The number of male respondents
has increased steadily since the past two surveys.
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Male
Female
69%
31%
Gender
50
Similar to the previous survey, most respondents (43%) fall into the 31 - 40 age
bracket.
The National Population and Family Planning Board (BKKBN) estimate the nation’s
young age population will likely peak between 2025 and 2035, when the productive
age population outnumbers the elderly and children. Around 60% of Indonesia’s
population of about 250 million population is in the working age of 15 to 64 years
old. Such a youthful population is attracting companies abroad to tap into
Indonesia’s potential labor pool.
By comparison, in developed countries such as Japan, birth rates are not keeping up
with an aging population that would ensure strong economic growth for the future.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Below 20
20 - 30
31 - 40
41 - 50
Above 50
1%
31%
43%
20%
5%
Age Group
51
Majority of respondents (72%) are married and almost all respondents (99%) are
citizens of Indonesia.
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Other
Single
Married
2%
26%
72%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Indonesian Citizen
Non Citizen Residing in Indonesia
Not living in Indonesia
99%
0.5%
0.5%
Marital Status
Residency Status
52
The percentages are similar to the previous survey. The respondents are mainly from
Capital City District of Jakarta (37%), while 20% of respondents are from West Java,
and 12% of respondents are from East Java.
Most of the respondents are Clerks/Administrators (up from 36% in the last survey
to 39%), while 17% are entrepreneurs. Those who are Executives/Managers
comprised 12% of respondents.
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
DKI Jakarta
Jawa Barat
Jawa Timur
Banten
Jawa Tengah
Bali
Sulawesi Selatan
Sumatera Utara
Yogyakarta
Aceh
Kalimantan Barat
Kalimantan Selatan
Kalimantan Timur
Kepulauan Riau
Nusa Tenggara Barat
Sumatera Selatan
37%19%
12%9%
7%3%2%2%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Clerical / Administrative
Self Employed
Executive / Managerial
Civil Servant
Professional / Technical
Sales
Homemaker
Student
CEO / Senior Management
Retired
Unemployed
40%
17%
12%
9%
8%
5%
4%
3%
1%
1%
0%
Where They Are From
Profession
53
A large percentage (60%) fall into the ‘Below IDR100 million’ annual household
income, and 21% belong to the ‘IDR101 million and IDR200 million’ group.
According to government data, of 114 million workers in Indonesia last year, 86.5%
were unskilled, while only 8% were trained and 3.8% skilled, and the remaining
lightly skilled.
If Indonesia does not upgrade its human resources and provide skilled workers as
well as adequate job opportunities, many of its youth will face unemployment.
There is an increase of respondents who are first-time homebuyers (from 33% to
37%), and more than a third (33%) are on the sidelines watching the market.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Less than IDR100 million
IDR100 million – IDR200 million
IDR201 million – IDR300 million
IDR301 million – IDR400 million
IDR401 million – IDR500 million
IDR501 million – IDR600 million
Lebih dari IDR601 million
Prefer not to say
60%
20%
5%
2%
1%
1%
1%
9%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
First Time Home Buyer
Just Monitoring the market
Interested in leasing and renting property
Interested in Selling Property
Interested in Buying Property
Real Estate Professional / Property Agent
Looking to Rent our a Property
37%
33%
8%
7%
6%
6%
4%
Annual Household Income
Consider Themselves
54
44% of respondents do not own any property, which corroborates with the fact that
there are more first-time homeowners in this survey. There is also a slight drop
(from 40% to 36%) of those who own a property.
Those who own a property are living in houses (88%).
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
None
1
2
3
4
More than 4
44%
36%
11%
4%
1%
3%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Parents/Family Home
Rental Property
Rented Apartment
Boarding / Home Office
56%
38%
3%
2%
No of Properties owned
Currently Living in
55
More than half (52%) of respondents have been living at their current place for 5
years or less, while 61% of respondents have 4 or more people living under the same
roof.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
0 - 5 years
6 - 10 years
11 - 20 years
More than 20 years
All my life
52%
21%
14%
10%
3%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
1
2
3
4
More than 4 people
6%
12%
21%
27%
34%
No of people in a household
Years lived in current premises
56
Respondents who do not own any property are either currently living with their
parents or in their family home (56%), which co-relates to the larger number of
people living under one household. 38% of respondents surveyed are renters.
These demographics are similar to the previous survey.
The top four sources of information for property are:
1. Online search engines
2. Property exhibitions
3. Magazines
4. References from family and friends
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Parents Home / Family Owned
Contract / lease homes
Renting an Apartment
Boarding / Home Office
56%
38%
3%
2%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Rumah123.com
Other websites
Property Exhibitions
Family and Friends
Newspapers / Magazines
Real Estate Agents / Professionals
Television / Radio
87%
54%
40%
38%
37%
13%
9%
Sources of Information
Owns No property, Living in
57
52% of respondents are interested in new developments, while 37% are ambivalent
about it. They would seek information online, at property exhibitions, newspapers
and directly from developers. It is interesting to note that they would reach
developers directly only after scouring three other sources of information.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Yes
Maybe
No
More interested in second hand
property
52%
37%
5%
5%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Online – Search Engines
Property Exhibitions
Print Ads
Directly from developers
Refer to family members and friends
TV / Radio
SMS Ads
66%
53%
35%
34%
31%
14%
3%
Interest in New Developments
Source of Information on New Developments
58
68%
47%
34%
25%
23%
18%
16%
16%
13%
11%
10%
10%
7%
4%
1%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Desire to own a home on my own
For long-term investment –…
Desire for a home in a better area
Affordability of homes
Desire for a larger home
Desire for vacation…
Change in family situation
Retirement
Desire to be closes to…
For rental income
Purchase home for family member…
Desire to be closer to…
For short- term investment – capital …
Job-related relocation or move
Desire for a smaller home
34% are looking to purchase property in the next year, while 29% would purchase at
least two years from now.
The top three motivations for purchasing property are:
1. Want to own their own house
2. For long-term investment / increase assets
3. Want to own a house in a better area
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Not interested at the moment
Within the next 6 months
6 - 12 months from now
1 - 2 years from now
At least 2 years or more from now
12%
14%
20%
25%
29%
When to Purchase
Motivation to Purchase
59
The top two reasons across three countries (Malaysia, Singapore and Indonesia) are
the same for these two questions.
Most respondents either do not have enough to place a down payment, or property
prices are too high.
Location, Price and Size are the three factors that respondents look into when
considering to purchase a property.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Not having enough money for a down payment
Property price is too high
Can’t find a property that I can afford
Banks making it too hard to qualify for a home
mortgage
Lack of good financing options
Waiting to see what measures will be announced
in Budget 2015
Unpredictable property market
Having too much debt from college and student
loans
Concerned that the value of the home will decline
after buying it
55%
45%
44%
25%
11%
9%
7%
5%
4%
0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0
Location
Price
Size
Security
Facilities
Status of property (freehold/leasehold)
Potential rental yield
Potential capital Appreciation
Developer’s track record and reputation
Financing eligibility/process
Eligibility for housing schemes/programs
Recommendations
10.8
10.7
8.7
8.5
7.3
6.1
5.7
5.2
5.0
4.0
3.8
2.1
Reasons for Not Purchasing
Factors of Consideration
60
The three types of preferred properties are as below.
52% of respondents would consider Jakarta, while 34% would pick Bogor. The
growth in the economy, the buying power of the middle class, increase in traffic
issues and rise in fuel prices, have been major drivers for people to be located closer
to the areas of the workplace and within the more central Jakarta areas
In the Indonesian capital of Jakarta, not even the notorious traffic congestion can
slow the voracious demand for property. Roughly 10 million people live within the
urban core of this vast city while a further 28 million populate the suburbs.
With affluent cash-buyers and local businesses driving the housing market at a rapid
pace, anyone with a hope of climbing on the property ladder has to move fast to
secure value.
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Houses
Kiosk/Shop
Private condominiums/serviced apartments
Land
Student Housing
Villa
Flat/walk-up apartment
Warehouse
Office / Retail
Hotels
91%
25%
24%
24%
18%
9%
4%
3%
2%
2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Jakarta
Bogor
Tengerang
Bekasi
Depok
52%
33%
24%
20%
19%
Properties Interested In
Where They Want to Purchase
61
The top five information that respondents seek to help in the decision-making
process are:
1. Detailed information, including facilities
2. Price comparison
3. Quality photos
4. Facilities in area
5. Analysis of KPR (Kredit Pemilikan Rumah)
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Detailed information about the property /facilities
Property Price Comparisons
Hi-quality Photos
Amenities near property
Mortgage analysis
Mortgage Calculator
Reviews on the property/location
Display of Average Asking Prices
Interactive maps
Compare Features
Price Growth comparison
Agent contact information
Update/Summary on Government Regulations
A Home-buyers check-list
Property videos
Currency Conversion
80%
64%
56%
42%
39%
37%
35%
29%
24%
23%
22%
22%
20%
12%
11%
5%
Information They Want to See
62
In this survey, respondents have increased their budget. There are more
respondents with a budget between IDR201 million and IDR300 million (from 22% to
25%), and those with a budget between IDR300 million and IDR500 million (from
18% to 22%). Those with budget surpassing IDR3 billion also increased from 1% to
2%.
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
Less than IDR200 million
IDR200 million- IDR300 juta
IDR300 million- IDR500 juta
IDR500 million- IDR1 billion
IDR1 billion - IDR2 billion
IDR2 billion - IDR3 billion
Above IDR 3 billion
31%
25%
22%
13%
5%
1%
2%
Budget
63
OVERSEAS PROPERTY: GENERALLY
UNINTERESTED, ALTHOUGH
AUSTRALIA IS GAINING
POPULARITY Majority of respondents do not own overseas properties.
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Yes
No
3%
97%
Currently Own Property Overseas
64
Those who own properties overseas purchased them in:
1. Singapore
2. Australia
3. Malaysia and the United States.
The property transactions were mainly made at property exhibitions in Indonesia.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Singapore
Australia
Malaysia
USA
The UK
New Zealand
Thailand
China
Hong Kong
Phillipines
Vietnam
58%
29%
20%
20%
16%
9%
7%
7%
7%
4%
4%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Purchased via developer
show/seminar/exhibition in your
country of origin
Used a local agent from country of
origin to purchase
Contacted agent online from the
country where the property is located
62%
36%
30%
Where They Purchased
How They Completed The Purchase
65
60% of respondents are not looking to purchase properties overseas. For those who
are considering overseas property, they would only be interested at least 2 years
from now.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
No
Unsure
Yes
60%
30%
10%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Within the next 6 months
6 to 12 months from now
1 to 2 years from now
At least 2 years or more from now
3%
2%
8%
87%
When They Want to Purchase
Considering to Purchase Property Overseas
66
There is a slight drop in preference for Singapore, while the interest in Australia has
seen a steady increase.
Countries H2 2014 H1 2014 H2 2013 H1 2013
Singapore 60% 69% 58% 56%
Australia 38% 37% 26% 23%
Malaysia 24% 24% 17% 15%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Singapore
Australia
Malaysia
UK
Japan
USA
Hong Kong
New Zealand
Thailand
China
Macau
Vietnam
Phillipines
India
60%
37%
24%
15%
14%
12%
9%
9%
6%
6%
3%
3%
2%
1%
Preferred Overseas Location
67
Respondents’ budget for overseas property is similar to the last survey, with more
opting for budget between IDR1 billion and IDR3 billion.
38% would spend less than IDR1 billion, while those who would spend above IDR3
billion are 27% (up from 33%). 34% (up from 28%) would spend between IDR 1
billion and IDR 3 billion.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Less than IDR 1 billion
IDR1 billion - IDR3 billion
IDR3 billion - IDR5 billion
IDR5 billion - IDR10 billion
Above IDR10 billion
38%
34%
14%
8%
5%
Budget to Purchase
68
The preference for local and overseas properties is rather different. Most would
prefer to purchase residential buildings overseas.
Local Overseas
1 House Apartment
2 Commercial House
3 Land Condominium
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Apartment
Houses
Private condominium / serviced…
Villa
Flat / walk-up apartment
Retail space
Land
Boarding Home
Hotel
SOHO
Warehouse
53%
48%
17%
15%
13%
11%
9%
6%
5%
4%
2%
Type of Properties Interested In
69
The top reasons overseas property are attractive to respondents are:
1. Good investment
2. For holiday / stay
3. Potential capital appreciation
With the growing needs for children’s overseas education, holiday homes, a better
retirement life and diversified wealth opportunities among the affluent, overseas
property investments are becoming an integral part of their lifestyle and wealth
portfolios.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
It is a good investment
For vacation/residential purpose
The potential yield if high
For my children to study aboard
I expect to migrate or retire to that
country in the future
The country has housing policies that
encourage foreign ownership
The exchange rate works in my favour
The economic slowdown in that country
has brought prices down
61%
42%
40%
22%
16%
16%
11%
6%
Why the Location is attractive
70
The main source of property information is consistent with local property
information search. Websites / online search engine is favoured, while exhibitions
are preferred over references from friends and family.
Newspapers and magazines dropped out of the top three sources; it was second
preferred channel in the previous survey.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
iProperty.com
Other web portals (Google, Yahoo,
etc)
Attend exhibitions that feature
overseas property projects
Refer to family members and friends
Newspapers/magazines
Talk to real estate professionals /
property agents
65%
60%
28%
24%
20%
16%
Sources of Information For Overseas Property
71
SENTIMENTS: AFFORDABILITY
CONCERNS ARE PREVALENT, WHILE
A LARGE PERCENTAGE ARE
UNAWARE OF SOME FINANCING
SOLUTIONS AND HOUSING
POLICIES Most respondents (37%) are concerned about affordability and rising property
prices. Another key concern is financial policies for homes and interest rates.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Affordability and rising property
prices
Stringent home financing and high
interest rates
Errant developers and poor building
quality
Economic and political uncertainties
37%
30%
19%
14%
Main Concerns On Property Market
72
Affordability is again reflected. On a scale of 1 (very affordable) to 10 (very
unaffordable), the average rating sits at 6.9, slightly higher than 6.68 in the previous
survey.
An Al Jazeera report in May highlighted that a small two-room apartment far from
the city centre in Jakarta can cost up to US$80,000 (S$101,100) — increasingly out of
reach of regular Indonesians.
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Affordability
6.9
View on Current Affordability Levels
73
More than half (55%) of respondents disagree with the revocation of Housing
Financing Liquidity Facility (FLPP). Reportedly, starting April 2015, the government
will impose revocation of FLPP for residential homes.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Disagree
Agree
Unsure
55%
23%
22%
Views on the Revocation of Housing Financing Liquidity Facility
74
However, another 55% agree that Bank Indonesia should maintain its LTV policy,
despite 57% saying it plays a role in their property purchase decision.
The growth of banking house mortgages (KPR) in Central Java slowed down due to
the implementation of loan to value (LTV) policy. After the implementation of LTV,
the banking house mortgages for large-house is at 0.38% (quarter-to-quarter), lower
than the growth of house mortgage in the previous period of 1.55%. The middle-
segment house mortgage growth of 0.73% (quarter-to-quarter), is lower than the
growth of 2.89% in the previous period.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Yes
Unsure
No
55%
26%
19%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Yes
Unsure
No
57%
25%
18%
Should Bank Indonesia Maintain its LTV policy
Has the LTV policy played a role in your property purchase?
75
60% of respondents surveyed opine that the elections will affect the property
market, while 75% think that the property market will benefit in a positive way after
the election.
According to Jones Lang LaSalle Indonesia, once the new president is elected,
Indonesia can have clearer business projection. Residential property remains a
“popular investment vehicle for cash-rich Indonesians.
A senior associate director for research and advisory of Cushman & Wakefield
Indonesia said that prospective buyers are in a wait-and-see mode, reducing demand
in the second quarter to the lowest in the past five years. But the market is expected
to pick up again later this year after the elections.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Yes
No
60%
40%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Yes
No
75%
25%
Will the property market experience an upward trend after the 2014
presidential elections
Will the property market benefit in a positive way after the elections
76
69% of respondents are accepting of super-block mega-projects in grade 2 cities in
Indonesia.
In a recent study by Moody’s Investors Service, the agency stated that buyers are
holding off acquisitions until the results of the elections are determined. Combined
with higher mortgages, loan restrictions and Indonesia’s slowing economy, revenue
growth in the property sector is expected to slow to 11% in 2014, from 29% in 2013;
as a result of a high base of comparison last year and slower-than-expected
marketing sales.
Global property services firm Jones Lang LaSalle Indonesia forecasted a softer
market demand in the luxury apartment segment, although the 2014-15 outlook is
still upbeat due to limited luxury supply. The condominium segment, however, is
expected to weaken in the coming months as a reaction to increased interest rate of
7.5% recently imposed by the Indonesian central bank.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Yes
No
69%
31%
Positive about the presence of super-block mega-projects that are now
beginning to explore grade 2 cities in Indonesia
77
However, despite this acceptance, they (87%) are also worried about surging
property prices that might take place.
60% are not aware of the government’s Public Housing Saving programme
(Tabungan Perumahan Rakyat/Tapera).
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Yes
No
87%
13%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Yes
No
40%
60%
Aware of the Government’s Public Housing Saving Programme
Concerned About Surging Property Prices if flooded with new mega-city
developments
78
Regardless, 57% do not mind cutting their income by 3% each month for Tapera.
Majority of respondents feel that the increase in Sale Value of Tax Object (SVTO) will
affect the value of their property.
The government’s policy to increase the SVTO of land and buildings at 140% is
expected to lead to decreased turnover for homes and property sales.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Yes
No
Unsure
57%
30%
13%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Agree
Disagree
Unsure
68%
21%
11%
Agreeable to Income being cut by 3%each month for Public Housing Savings
Will the Sale Value of Tax Object have an impact on the value of your
property
79
According to respondents, the three main actions that will give developers a bad
reputation are:
• Developers do not build as per promotion and promises after the sale and
purchase transactions
• Developers that do not take care of the legality of the correspondence land and
buildings
• Developers that do not build public facilities and social facilities
KPR (Kredit Pemilikan Rumah) is seen as the most beneficial, followed by staggered
cash payments.
A number of banks have stated their commitment to provide financing facility
through mortgage loan (KPR) which can reach the society’s need in overcoming
housing backlog.
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Developers do not build according to the
agreement that promoted or promised after…
Reneges developers to build public facilities
and social facilities.
Developers are not taking care of
correspondence legality of land and buildings.
The developer does not provide clear
information on a regular basis on the status…
Developers do not actively communicate when
there are obstacles or problems in…
Developers are very difficult to reach even tend
to avoid if you want to ask questions or ask…
3.9
3.1
2.2
1.95
1.1
1
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
KPR
Gradual Cash
Hard Cash
53%
34%
13%
Which of the following will give developers a bad reputation?
Most beneficial schemes for those buying a property
80
59% don’t know about financing solutions for KPR developers’ products, but they
(78%) think that is sufficient to utilise developers’ KPR as a mortgage solution.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
No
Yes
59%
41%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Safe
Unsafe
78%
22%
Aware about financing solutions for KPR developers
Is the move sufficient to utilize developer’s KPR
81
The preferred sources of funds are:
1. Own savings
2. Bank loans
3. Combination of own savings and bank loan
0% 20% 40% 60%
Personal savings
Borrow from banks (mortgage / KTA)
The combination of personal savings and
borrowing from banks
Family/Couple Savings
The combination of personal savings and
funds from parents
Funds from parents
Borrow from parents/ relatives
Borrow funds from the cooperative, or
other non-bank institutions
58%
41%
37%
29%
9%
8%
8%
7%
Funds to purchase property
82
53% of respondents feel that the current home interest rates are high, while 14%
deem it as very high. The current Indonesian interest rate BI (base rate) is 7.5%.
According to a survey released by BI in May, creditors for home mortgage loans
(Kredit Pemilikan Rumah / KPR) for houses or type70 loans have reached 25.9% , an
increase of 60.3% over the three months since May. Meanwhile, creditors of
mortgage loans for apartments (Kredit Pemilikan Apartmen / “KPA”) or type 22 to 70
loans reached 18.7% and increased by 111.1% over the same period.
BI Deputy Governor said that the significant growth in property loans will result in it
being difficult for middle and lower income people to access KPR loans. The high
level of property loans will trigger a hike in the price for smaller types of houses that
are intended for middle- to lower-income earners.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Very Low
Low Enough
Average
High
Very High
1%
2%
30%
53%
14%
Views on the current home interest rates
83
Most respondents (72%) are unaware of AREBI (Real Estate Brokers Association of
Indonesia).
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Yes
No
28%
72%
Aware of on an organization called AREBI
84
HONG KONG: GOVERNMENT’S
PROPERTY CONTROL MEASURES
BECOME ONE THE CHIEF FACTORS
AFFECTING THE DESIRE TO BUY
AND SELL According to a report by CNBC, despite a slew of measures aimed at damping down
Hong Kong's runaway home prices, some segments of the market are heating up
again, potentially spurring further tightening measures.
Since 2008, property prices in Hong Kong have surged nearly 120 percent due the
ultra-low interest rate environment, tight supply and abundant liquidity. Residential
property prices in Hong Kong are still rising after four years of continuous house
price rises, but at a slower pace, amidst government efforts to cool down the
housing market.
According to the Ratings and Valuation Department (RVD), house prices rose by 9.7%
year on year to end-October 2013 (5.19% inflation-adjusted), a sharp slowdown
from the 22.11% year-on-year increase in October 2012 (17.64% inflation-adjusted),
As such, it’s no surprise that Hong Kong consistently ranks among the world's most
expensive property markets.
The Hong Kong government imposed three measures between 2012 and 2013 in
response to soaring property prices caused by an influx of cash into the city’s
property market. These measures include the expansion of stamp duties on those
who resell their property quickly, a 15 percent levy on both corporate buyers and
non-permanent residents of the city and double stamp duty on all properties costing
more than HK$2 million, except for those bought by permanent residents who are
either first-time buyers or sell their only home to buy another.
85
In the past three years alone, the government has introduced a number of cooling
measures:
Year Measures Introduced Reasons
November
2010
- Special Stamp Duty (SSD) was
implemented
- To curb excessive
property speculation
and short-term
trading activities in
the residential sector
-
October
2012
- A 5% - point increase in the SSD rate
and an extension of the restriction
period from two to three years.
- To curb investment
and buying activities
attributed to non-
local buyers.
- Introduced a Buyers’ Stamp Duty (BSD)
for the first time ever, which imposed
an extra 15% charge on top of the
existing stamp duty for residential
properties bought by corporate and
non-local buyers.
- Raised special transaction taxes to as
much as 20% on properties sold within
three years of purchase.
February
2013
- Doubled the stamp duty on all property
transactions worth more than HK$2
million (US$257,902).
- Intended to curb local
Investment demand,
not just for
residential but also
non-residential
properties.
- Stamp duty is now charged on an
agreement of sale and purchase of non-
residential properties, including
commercial premises, offices, industrial
premises and parking spaces.
- Measure aims to
increase the cost of
the transaction if a
buyer makes a sub-
sale before the date
when the property is
delivered.
- Imposed a 15% extra tax on foreign
homebuyers and raised the minimum
down payment requirements for some
mortgages.
86
Hong Kong's home prices have more than doubled since 2008, driven higher by a
flood of cheap money from developed markets' central banks in the wake of the
global financial crisis.
The special administrative region's property market has become the world's least
affordable, according to a Demographia International Housing Affordability Survey,
published in January. The survey found average home prices were 14.9 times gross
annual median household income, the highest level ever recorded in the survey's 10-
year history.
The number of new and existing homes sold in July jumped to 7,792, after remaining
below 6,000 a month for the past year, according to government data.
According to Colliers International, the increase in stamp duties and the impact of
SSD and BSD lead us to believe there is only very limited room for short-term
investors to play in the local residential market. The government is now actively
monitoring developments in the nonresidential property sectors as well.
Hypothetically, if it implements similar SSD and BSD in non-residential real estate
sectors, we would not rule out the possibility that real estate players, including some
long-term investors, will leave Hong Kong to seek real estate opportunities with
better risk-adjusted returns in other markets.
87
DEMOGRAPHICS: STILL CAUTIOUS
DUE TO OVERPRICED PROPERTY
PRICES
In comparison with H1 of 2014, there was an increase in female (57% to 60%)
respondents, while there was a slight decrease in the number of male respondents
(43% to 40%).
60% of respondents were married.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Male
Female
40%
60%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Married
Single
Others
60%
37%
3%
Gender
Marital Status
88
Majority of respondents were between the ages of 30 – 39 years old, an increase
compared to findings in the first half of 2014 (40% to 46%)
The results also show that there is quite an even distribution between those with 2
and 3 people in their household. 33% of respondents have more than four members
in their household.
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
19 or below
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50 or above
1%
3%
14%
23%
23%
16%
10%
10%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
1
2
3
4
More than 4
9%
29%
29%
23%
10%
No of People in a Household
Age Group
89
There was an increase the number of respondents reporting that they held white-
collar jobs (28% to 31%). Professionals continue to remain the second largest
occupation group represented.
58% of respondents reported a monthly personal income between HKD$15,000 –
HKD$40,000 while 15% reported an income of between HKD$40,001 – HKD$60,000.
Only 5% had an annual income of HKD$80,000 and above.
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
White-collar
Professional
Executive/Managerial
Salesperson
Self-employed
Technician
Homemaker
Retired
CEO/Senior Executive
Unemployment
Other
Student
31%
22%
15%
7%
7%
6%
6%
4%
1%
1%
1%
1%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Below HKD 15,000
HKD 15,000 - HKD 25,000
HKD 25,001 - HKD 40,000
HKD 40,001 - HKD 60,000
HKD 60,001 - HKD 80,000
HKD 80,000 above
18%
30%
28%
15%
4%
5%
Occupation
Monthly Personal Income
90
There was a slight decrease in the number of respondents who considered
themselves first time home buyers (23% to 22%) and property buyer (19% to 18%)
compared to findings in H1. Respondents who considered themselves tenants, real
estate professionals and expatriates remained unchanged. In this survey finding,
34% of respondents considered themselves property owners, a slight increase from
H1 (33%).
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
Property Owner
Tenant
First Time Property Buyer
Property Buyer
Investor
Property Seller
Real Estate Professional
Expatriate
34%
33%
22%
18%
9%
5%
1%
1%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%
Rental
Self-owned
Self-owned (mortgaged)
Public Housing
Apartments under Home Ownership Scheme
(HOS)
42%
36%
23%
0%
0%
Consider Themselves
Currently Staying In
91
Respondent’s main source of property information continues to be from online –
search engines.
The top three information that respondents want to see when searching for
property related information and news is detailed property information, property
prices comparison and property photos.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
Online – Search Engines (Google, Yahoo, etc)
Newspapers/magazines
Direct Mailers from Developers/Agents
TV
Refer to family members and friends
Flyers/Brochures
Billboards
Property Exhibitions
Radio
Other
81%
33%
31%
15%
12%
10%
8%
8%
3%
1%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Detailed property information
Property prices comparison
Property photos
Property features comparison
Estate ratings
Property facilities information
Mortgage calculator
Mortgage analysis
Mortgage information
Property video
Agent’s contact
Interactive map
Others
73%
65%
62%
37%
36%
34%
32%
31%
28%
23%
16%
16%
0%
Source of Property Information
Information They Want to See
92
The survey findings continue to reveal that Hong Kong people trade up their
properties once every five years on average. There is a slight change in the number
of respondents who have stayed in their current premises for less than five years
(53%) compared to the previous findings (57%).
83% did not sell nor purchase property in the first half of the year.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
0 – 5 years
6 – 10 years
11 – 20 years
More Than 20 years
All my life
53%
18%
17%
10%
3%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
None of the above
Sold
Sold and purchased
Purchased
83%
7%
6%
5%
Years Lived in Current Property
Did you sell or purchase any residential properties in first half of 2014????
93
63% of respondents will consider shifting their capital to investment options, with
stocks, currency and securities being the top three investment choices.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Yes
No
63%
37%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Stocks
Currency
Securities
Car park
Retail/Commercial Building
No Interest
Grave/Niche
Other
66%
47%
25%
17%
12%
10%
4%
2%
Under the current uncertain property market environment, would you consider
shifting your capital to other investment options?
Other Investment Options
94
OVERSEAS PROPERTY: JAPAN
INCREASINGLY ATTRACTIVE;
MAINLAND CHINA AND SOUTH
EAST ASIA PROPERTIES REMAIN
POPULAR
88% of respondents currently do not own properties overseas or in China, while 12%
reported that they do.
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
No
Yes
88%
12%
Currently Own Property Overseas or in China
95
Interest in overseas property investment has decreased compared to H1. The survey
showed that 22% of respondents want to purchase overseas properties compared to
last survey (25%).
Like last year, the most sought-after property markets for investors are South East
Asia regions (including Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand and Indonesia, etc.), reaching
48%. Mainland China comes next, amounting to 35%.
It is worth noting that Japanese properties have become the new target of Hong
Kong investors. The percentage of respondents interested in them has soared to
30%, a 12 percentage point increase from the 18% in the last survey, showing that
more Hong Kong investors are searching for investment targets in Japan recently.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
No
Yes
78%
22%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
China
Australia
Japan
U.K.
Singapore
U.S.
Malaysia
Macau
Thailand
Other
Indonesia
35%
32%
30%
30%
19%
17%
16%
12%
10%
6%
3%
Considering to Invest in Property Overseas
Where They Want to Purchase
96
Properties in mainland China also have their supporters. 35% of respondents
believe that Chinese properties are worth the investment. The most popular
Chinese cities are Shanghai (37%), Shenzhen (35%), Zhuhai (32%), Beijing (21%) and
Guangzhou (19%).
50% of respondents had a budget of HKD 1 to HKD 3 million.
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
Shanghai
Shenzhen
Zhuhai
Beijing
Guangzhou
Zhongshan
Foshan
Dongguan
Other
37%
35%
32%
21%
19%
19%
10%
8%
6%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Below HKD 1 million
HKD 1 - HKD 3 million
HKD 3 - HKD 5 million
HKD 5 - HKD 10 million
HKD 10 - HKD 30 million
HKD 30 - HKD 50 million
Above HKD 50 million
19%
50%
22%
6%
2%
0%
1%
Budget to Purchase
Where In China they want to Purchase
97
32% plan on purchasing property overseas in 1 to 2 years from now, while 25% plan
to do so in at least 2 years or more.
44% of respondents indicate they would consider overseas real estate investment
due to the potential high investment return. Another 23% of respondents expressed
a desire to migrate to, or enjoy their retirement in an overseas market.
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
Within the next 6 months
6 to 12 months from now
1 to 2 years from now
At least 2 years or more from now
No plan
5%
15%
32%
25%
24%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%
The potential yield is high
I expect to migrate or retire to that country in
the future
The exchange rate works in my favor
For vacation / residential purpose
For my children study aboard / in China cities
Other
44%
23%
11%
11%
10%
1%
Why they want to Purchase
When they want to Purchase
98
SENTIMENTS: FEELING PRESSURE
FROM THE GOVERNMENT’S
PROPERTY CONTROL MEASURES;
RESPONDENTS BEGIN TO SUPPORT
“EASING” AND “ELIMINATION” OF
CONTROL MEASURES Home purchase issues and property prices have been widely discussed and debated in the
community in recent years. The survey reveals that 84% of respondents consider properties
to be too high. The result is similar to the last survey half a year ago and the one last year,
showing that overpriced properties have long been the situation.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
Prices are too high
Prices are reasonable
Prices are too low
84%
14%
3%
View on Current Property prices in Hong Kong
99
The public generally holds a more conservative view towards property prices. 46% of
respondents expect property prices to remain stable in 2H 2014. 33% of respondents,
however, believe property prices will go down. The higher income group, accounting for
37% of them, by and large expects a slowdown in the property market. There is a 4%
increase (to 21%) in the proportion of respondents which believes property prices will rise, a
revival after a drastic drop in the last survey (half year ago). An increasing number of
respondents hold a positive attitude towards the property prices. Yet 40% of respondents
predict the market will shrink by between 6% and 10%.
63% of respondents believe that the residential flat supply in the second half of 2014
is not adequate.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Property prices will decrease
Property prices will increase
Property prices will remain the same
46%
33%
21%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
No
Yes
63%
37%
Believe the residential flat supply in the second half of 2014 is adequate?
Prediction for Hong Kong property prices in the second half of 2014?
100
Compared to previous years, Hong Kong people show that they hold a more
positive attitude towards property prices. Yet there is a decline in both the number
of respondents who would consider purchasing and selling property in 2H 2014.
28% of respondents would consider purchasing property in H2 2014, a drop of3%
points compared to the 31% in the last survey. Meanwhile, 14% of respondents
would consider selling property in H2 2014, a slight decrease of 1% point compared
to the last survey.
60% of respondents will adjust their property asking price when selling their
residential property. 67% of respondents shared that they will adjust the property
price by below 10%, while 21% will adjust the price from 11% to 20%.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
No
No property
Yes
46%
39%
14%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Yes
No
60%
40%
The Hong Kong SAR Government extended DSD change flat period recently.
Have these changes led you to consider selling your properties?
Will adjust property asking price when selling residential property?
101
The extension of the six-month waiver period has had a certain influence on
market transactions, with 23% and 24% of respondents expressing an intention to
sell or purchase properties respectively.
The latest government measure to relax the double stamp duty (DSD) affects
respondents’ decision to buy or sell a home, indicating that this new move has had a
certain effect on the market.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Make no change
Reduce the number or level of “special
measures”
Introduce additional “special measures”
Withdraw all “special measures”
45%
23%
22%
11%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Yes
No
36%
64%
The Hong Kong SAR Government extended DSD change flat period for the
second-home buyers recently. In the H2 of 2014, the government should:
The Hong Kong SAR Government extended DSD change flat period recently.
Have these changes led you to consider buying properties
102
In response to the series of control measures launched by the government,
developers are offering discounts and subsidies on recent new launches to boost
sales. 56% of respondents believe that there is a narrowing in the price gap
between new and second-hand properties. The discounts and promotions offered
by developers do help motivate respondents to consider purchasing first-hand
property.
Discounts and subsidies offered by developers (91%) have, for the first time,
become one of the top three factors to consider when purchasing new properties.
The other two factors include; geographical environment (97%) and location and
transportation (97%).
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Yes
No
56%
44%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Living environment
Location & transportation
Concessions provided by the developer
Price difference between new properties and…
New properties completion date and move in date
Developer & property management
Potential capital appreciation/ROI
Property appearance and architectural design
Potential rental yield
Clubhouse & facilities
Political and economic climate
97%
97%
91%
89%
86%
85%
82%
79%
73%
73%
70%
The price difference between new properties and 2nd hand properties are
narrowing, developers are offering a number of special offers and subsidies.
Have these special offers led you to consider buying new properties?
Factors of Consideration
103
SINGAPORE: HOME PRICES ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO BE
MODERATE AS MARKET SHOWS
SIGNS OF STABILISING
Singapore has become the most expensive city in the world to live in following rise in
house prices after an influx of foreign workers boosted the island's wealth and
demand for homes. According to a February Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) report,
entitled The Worldwide Cost of Living Survey, a strengthening of the Singaporean
dollar and expansion of the republic's financial industry contributed to the country's
wealth.
According to the EIU statement, the survey is meant to let human resource line
managers and expatriate executives compare the cost of living in 140 cities in 93
countries, which would allow hiring companies to calculate a fair remuneration
package for relocating employees.
Some quarters have argued that the rank does not entirely reflect the true cost of
living of ordinary Singaporeans. Deputy Prime Minister and Minister for Finance,
Tharman Shanmugaratnam said that the survey is aimed at comparing cost of living
for expatriates in different cities or countries.
According to Global Property Guide, Singapore is at the 4th spot on the world’s most
expensive cities list. Figures are typically based on the average for a 120 square
metre apartment in most locations. The apartments are typically in a prime inner city
area, except in the Caribbean or Pacific.
Country Buying Price
US$ per
Sq.M
Price / Rent
Ratio (x)
Rent Per
Month ($)
Gross Rental
Yield
1 Monaco 53,026 53x 10,099 1.90%
2 UK, London 32,745 48x 6,856 2.09%
3 Hong Kong, Hong
Kong Island
20,660 33x 6,198 3.00%
4 Singapore 17,709 41x 4,276 2.41%
5 Russia, Moscow 16,509 26x 6,277 3.80%
http://www.globalpropertyguide.com/most-expensive-cities
104
Cooling measures
Singapore’s private home prices dropped by the most in almost 5 years following
efforts that began in 2009 to curb property market speculation, with government
curbs ranging from taxes on property sales, additional levies on foreign buyers and
mortgage limits.
According to preliminary data released on 1 July 2014 by the Urban Redevelopment
Authority (URA), an index tracking private-residential prices retreated 1.1% to 209.3
points in the three months to June, following an approximate 1.3% decline in the
previous three months.
Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS), Singapore’s central bank, said that it is too
early to ease property restrictions after prices in Asia’s second-most expensive
housing market fell for three straight quarters. As it is still an initial stage of a price
correction, the government will probably look at the pace and period of correction
before deciding on relaxing measures. Home prices in Singapore will probably extend
declines as the government sticks with curbs.
Caution issued by the central bank
In May 2014, Singapore's central bank issued a warning to investors about the risks
posed by buying property overseas, as high house prices prompt a growing number
of Singaporeans to invest in real estate abroad.
MAS said the value of overseas properties dealt with by Singapore real estate
agencies was S$2 billion ($1.6 billion) in 2013, up from S$1.4 billion in 2012. A strong
Singapore dollar and curbs on mortgage lending at home have encouraged more
Singaporeans to buy property in United Kingdom and Australia. MAS reported a 43%
rise in the value of overseas property transactions handled by local real estate
agencies in 2013 compared with 2012.
Global Real Estate Transparency Index 2014
In a recently released Global Real Estate Transparency Index 2014, published by
consultancy firm Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL), Singapore kept its 13th place finish.
Hong Kong slipped to 14th place from 2012’s 11th place, making the Singapore the
most transparent real estate market in Asia. JLL explains Hong Kong’s downgrade to
lower scores caused by cooling measures initiated by the government as well as in
accounting standards and corporate government.
It is the second time that Singapore ranked higher than Hong Kong since JLL started
to publish the index in 1999. The 2014 study covers 102 markets globally.
105
Below are the JLL index’s top 20 most transparent real estate markets and their
respective scores.
1. United Kingdom – 1.25
2. United States – 1.34
3. Australia – 1.36
4. New Zealand – 1.44
5. France – 1.52
6. Canada – 1.52
7. The Netherlands – 1.67
8. Ireland – 1.62
9. Finland – 1.69
10. Switzerland – 1.73
11. Sweden – 1.79
12. Germany – 1.79
13. Singapore – 1.81
14. Hong Kong – 1.87
15. Belgium – 1.92
16. Denmark – 1.96
17. Poland – 2.02
18. Spain – 2.05
19. Norway – 2.07
20. South Africa – 2.09
106
DEMOGRAPHICS: MARRIED
HOMEOWNERS MONITOR MARKET
AS AFFORDABILITY CONCERNS
REMAIN
There is a significant drop in the number of male respondents from the previous
survey, 63% to 49%.
There are many more married respondents compared to the last survey, from 64%
to 71%.
48% 49% 49% 50% 50% 51% 51%
Male
Female
49%
51%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Married
Single
Others
71%
27%
2%
Gender
Marital Status
107
Similar to the previous survey findings, respondents in the 31 – 40 age brackets
remain at 36% %), followed by the 41–50 age brackets (23%).
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Below 20
20 - 30 years old
31 - 40 years old
41 - 50 years old
51 and above
3%
19%
36%
23%
19%
Age Group
108
The top 5 districts (in descending order) that respondents currently reside in are:
• District 19 - Serangoon, Hougang, Punggol, Sengkang
• District 23 - Bukit Panjang, Choa Chu Kang, Bukit Batok, Dairy Farm, Hillview
• District 18 - Tampines, Pasir Ris, Simei
• District 20 - Ang Mo Kio, Bishan, Braddell, Mei Hwan, Thomson
• District 22 - Boon Lay, Lakeside, Jurong
There are more respondents from District 18 this time around, jumping from fifth
spot (previous survey) to the third spot.
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12%
District 01
District 02
District 03
District 04
District 05
District 06
District 07
District 08
District 09
District 10
District 11
District 12
District 13
District 14
District 15
District 16
District 17
District 18
District 19
District 20
District 21
District 22
District 23
District 24
District 25
District 26
District 27
District 28
3%
6%
3%
4%
4%
5%
2%
7%
2%
3%
3%
6%
3%
4%
4%
5%
2%
7%
12%
6%
2%
5%
7%
0%
3%
1%
5%
1%
Currently Residing In
109
The percentages are relatively the same. Most respondents (30%) are
‘Executives/Managers’, while 19% are ‘Professionals’ and 11% are
‘Clerical/Administrative’.
There are less respondents earning less than SGD$60,000 per annum in this survey
(from 35% in the previous survey to 27%). 11% of respondents preferred no say what
their annual household income was.
0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
Professional/ Technical
Sales
Self Employed
Homemaker
ClericalAdministrative
Civil Servant
CEO / Senior Management
Retired
Student
Unemployed
Part - timer
19%
11%
10%
6%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
2%
2%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
Below SGD$40,000
SGD$40,001 – SGD$60,000
SGD$60,001 – SGD$80,000
SGD$80,001 – SGD$100,000
SGD$100,001 – SGD$120,000
SGD$120,001 – SGD$140,000
SGD$140,001 – SGD$180,000
SGD$180,001 – SGD$240,000
Above SGD$240,001
Prefer not to Say
11%
16%
21%
16%
8%
5%
5%
4%
4%
11%
Profession
Annual Household Income
110
The results remain relatively unchanged from the last survey. 31% of respondents
have 4 people in their household, while 22% have more than 4 in their homes.
More than a third of respondents (30%) are adopting the wait-and-see approach by
monitoring the market, while 16% are first-time homebuyers. There is a much
smaller group of real estate professionals/agents in this survey (from 15% in
previous survey to 5%).
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
1
2
3
4
More than 4
4%
19%
24%
31%
22%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
First time home buyer
Interested in selling property
Interested in buying property
Looking to rent out a property
Interesting in leasing and renting
property
Real Estate Agent Professional/Agent
16%
16%
15%
12%
5%
5%
No of People in a Household
Consider Themselves
111
Most Singaporean respondents have been residing in their current abode for less
than five years (44%), while 24% have been living in the same place for 11–20 years,
and 23% have been in the same place for 6–10 years.
More than half of respondents (50%) own one property, while 21% do not currently
own a property.
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
0 - 5 years
6 - 10 years
11 - 20 years
More than 20 years
All my life
32%
24%
27%
12%
5%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
None
1
2
3
4
More than 4
21%
50%
19%
5%
3%
2%
Years Lived in Current Premises
No of Properties Owned
112
Most respondents (80%) own a residential property, and combined with the fact that
50% of respondents own one property, it can be deduced that this group is made up
largely of property owners. In tandem with the previous three surveys, most
respondents (85%) live in residential buildings – HDB Flat (60%) and Private
Condominium (25%).
Overall, respondents profile seems to be largely consistent with the previous survey.
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Residential Property
Shop/Commercial Building
Land
Other
80%
16%
12%
2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
HDB Flat
Private Condominium
Terrace House
Semi-detached house
Bungalow
SOHO
Office Space
Retail Space
Hotel/Resort
Factory /Industrial Property
51%
24%
9%
7%
5%
2%
1%
1%
0%
0%
Type of Properties Owned
Currently Living In
113
According to government data, 9 out of 10 Singaporean households own their own
home.
http://www.singstat.gov.sg/statistics/visualising_data/chart/Home_Ownership_R
ate_Of_Resident_Households.html
114
Online property sites are the preferred way of gathering property-related
information. Newspapers and magazines are second favourite, while real estate
professional/agent is third.
Almost half of respondents (38%) are in a contemplative mind-set when it comes to
newly developed properties.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
iProperty.com
Newspapers / Magazines
Other web portals
Talk to real estate agent
Attend property seminars/exhibitions
Television / radio
Refer to family members and friends
Other
53%
48%
39%
39%
21%
17%
14%
4%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Maybe
No
Yes
More interested in resale property
38%
30%
25%
6%
Source of Property Information and News
Looking to Purchase a Newly Developed Property
115
Respondents’ top three sources of information on new launches are:
• Developers
• Online
• Print ads
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Directly from developers
Online – Search Engines
Print Ads
Property Exhibitions
TV / Radio
Refer to family members and friends
SMS Ads
Other
52%
52%
50%
38%
26%
23%
16%
2%
Source of Information on New Developments
116
The more details, the better it is. After all, property is a big-ticket item that requires
plenty of research and consideration prior to purchase. The main information that
respondents seek are:
1. Price comparisons
2. Detailed information (facilities)
3. Reviews on property/location
4. Price growth comparison and Display of average asking prices
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Property Price Comparisons
Detailed information about the property /facilities
Reviews on the property/location
Price Growth comparison
Display of Average Asking Prices
Hi-quality Photos
Compare Features
Update/Summary on Government Regulations
Amenities near property
A Home-buyers check-list
Mortgage analysis
Home mortgage calculator
Interactive maps
Property videos
Agent contact information
Currency Conversion
Other
64%
58%
48%
44%
41%
39%
36%
32%
31%
29%
24%
23%
19%
17%
16%
10%
1%
Information Looked for Online
117
Majority of respondents are not looking to purchase property in the short-term.
Almost a quarter (24%) are looking to purchase within the year, while most of them
are probably waiting to see how the market performs in the next 2 years.
22% (up from 10% in the previous survey) are not interested to purchase at the
moment. The key reasons are due to affordability; property prices are deemed to be
too high, and they do not have enough to place a down payment.
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Within the next 6 months
6 - 12 months from now
1 - 2 years from now
At least 2 years or more from now
Not interested at the moment
7%
16%
28%
27%
22%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Property price is too high
Not having enough money for a down payment
Unpredictable property market
Other, please specify
Waiting to see what measures will be announced in
Budget 2015
Can’t find a property that I can afford
Banks making it too hard to qualify for a home
mortgage
Concerned that the value of the home will decline
after buying it
Lack of good financing options
Having too much debt from college and student
loans
26%
21%
10%
9%
7%
7%
6%
6%
5%
3%
When to Purchase
Reasons for Not Purchasing
118
There is a slight change in respondents’ motivation to purchase property. This group
of respondents seems interested in changing their profile from property owners to
property investors, as most respondents own one home at the moment. However,
as stated in one of the previous pages, they are not in a rush to purchase property.
This survey Last survey
1 For rental income A long-term investment
2 For long-term investment For rental income
3 Desire to own a home Desire to own a home
4 Desire for a larger home /
Affordability of homes
Affordability of homes
5 Desire to own a larger home
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
For rental income
For long-term investment –…
Desire to own a home on my own
Affordability of homes
Desire for a larger home
Change in family situation
Desire for a home in a better area
Desire for vacation home/investment…
Retirement
For short- term investment – capital gain
Job-related relocation or move
Desire to be closes to job/school/transit
Desire to be closer to…
Purchase home for family member or…
Desire for a smaller home
Others - please specify
34%
29%
23%
20%
17%
16%
15%
15%
14%
11%
9%
9%
8%
7%
6%
1%
Main Motivation to Purchase
119
The three main types of property that respondents prefer are ‘Private
Condominiums/Serviced Apartments’, ‘HDB flats’, and ‘Terraced Houses’. It would
seem that many Singaporeans aspire to own a condo. Today, the price of an average
flat is between SGD$1 million to SGD$1.5 million, effectively pricing out many
middle-class and younger workers. According to the Global Property Guide,
Singapore is the 4th most expensive place in the world to buy an apartment, after
Monaco, London, and Hong Kong.
The districts that are more popular with respondents are:
• District 19 - Serangoon, Hougang, Punggol, Sengkang
• District 20 - Ang Mo Kio, Bishan, Braddell, Mei Hwan, Thomson
• District 03 - Alexandra, Queenstown, Tiong Bahru
• District 05 – Clementi, Dover, Pasir Panjang, West Coast
• District 11 - Novena, Newton, Thomson, Watten Estate, Meyer, Tanjong Rhu
Respondents seek properties that are not necessarily within the district that they live
in. Out of the top 5 in the list, only 2 districts are the same as where they live.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Private condominiums/serviced apartments
Terraced House
HDB
Flat/walk-up apartment
Semi-detached house
Detached House
Bungalow
Office
Retail
Industrial
Retirement Homes
Not considering
Hotels
Student Housing
Other, please specify
57%
25%
23%
21%
21%
16%
11%
7%
7%
6%
4%
4%
3%
3%
1%
Types of Properties Interested In
120
0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
District 01 - Cecil, Marina, People's…
District 02 - Anson Rd, Tanjong Pagar
District 03 - Alexandra, Queenstown,…
District 04 - Habourfront, Mount…
District 05 - Clementi, Dover, Pasir…
District 06 - Beach Rd, High Street
District 07 - Golden Mile, Middle Rd
District 08 - Little India
District 09 - Cairnhill, Orchard Rd,…
District 10 - Ardmore, Bukit Timah,…
District 11 - Novena, Newton,…
District 12 - Balestier, Serangoon,…
District 13 - Macpherson, Braddell
District 14 - Geylang, Eunos, Sims,…
District 15 - Amber Rd, Joo Chiat,…
District 16 - Bayshore, Bedok, Siglap,…
District 17 - Changi, Flora, Loyang
District 18 - Tampines, Pasir Ris, Simei
District 19 - Serangoon, Hougang,…
District 20 - Ang Mo Kio, Bishan,…
District 21 - Upper Bukit Timah, Ulu…
District 22 - Boon Lay, Lakeside,…
District 23 - Bukit Panjang, Choa Chu…
District 24 - Lim Chu Kang
District 25 - Kranji, Woodgrove,…
District 26 - Springleaf, Upper…
District 27 - Sembawang, Yishun
District 28 - Seletar, Yio Chu Kang
7%
9%
18%
14%
16%
8%
7%
5%
10%
13%
16%
14%
9%
12%
15%
14%
7%
12%
19%
19%
9%
12%
12%
3%
9%
7%
8%
5%
Where to Purchase
121
18% would spend less than SGD$500,000, while 12% would spend SGD$1 million to
SGD$1.5 million, and 18% would spend SGD$600,001 to SGD$700,000.
In early July, Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister Tharman
Shanmugaratnam, who is also chairman of the central bank, said that a further
correction in the Singapore property market would not be unexpected. Residential
prices have risen 40% since 30 September 2009 to their peak in September last year.
The managing director of the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) said that debt
levels among highly-leveraged households remain high. The MAS has narrowed its
2014 inflation forecast to between 1.5% and 2%, from 1.5% to 2.5% as the property
curbs helped stabilise prices and rents.
0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
Less than $SGD500,000
SGD$500,001 to SGD$600,000
SGD$600,001 to SGD$700,000
SGD$700,001 to SGD$800,000
SGD$800,001 to SGD$900,000
SGD$900,001 to SGD$1 mil
SGD$1 mil to SGD$1.5 mil
SGD$1.5 mil to SGD$2 mil
More than SGD$2 mil
18%
13%
18%
13%
8%
9%
12%
5%
3%
Budget
122
53% of respondents surveyed are concerned about affordability and rising property
prices.
Singapore’s central bank said it’s too early to ease property restrictions after prices
in Asia’s second-most expensive housing market fell for three straight quarters.
Director of the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) said that real estate prices
“remain at elevated levels” in its annual report released in July 2014. Singapore is
looking to secure the gains from stabilizing the market and restoring financial
prudence.
On an affordability scale, the rating average is 6.97 (1 being affordable and 10 being
unaffordable).
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Affordability and rising property
prices
Stringent home financing and high
interest rates
Economic and political uncertainties
Errant developers and poor building
quality
Other
53%
25%
13%
8%
1%
0 2 4 6 8 10
Affordability
6.97
Concerns on the Property Market
Perception on Affordability
123
OVERSEAS PROPERTY: INCREASED
INTEREST IN THE UNITED
KINGDOM, WITH OVERALL
PREFERENCE FOR PRIVATE
CONDOMINIUMS / SERVICED
APARTMENTS
Most respondents (82%) do not own properties overseas. For those who own
properties overseas, their properties are largely in:
1. Malaysia
2. United Kingdom
3. Australia
The properties were mainly purchased via developers/seminars/exhibitions, and
local agents from the country they purchased in.
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
No
Yes
82%
18%
Own Property Overseas
124
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Malaysia
United Kingdom
Phillipines
Australia
Thailand
United States
India
Other
Indonesia
New Zealand
China
Hong Kong
Vietnam
42%
10%
8%
8%
6%
4%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Purchased via developer
show/seminar/exhibition in your country
of origin
Used a local agent from country of origin
to purchase
Contacted agent online from the country
where the property is located
Other
53%
32%
8%
7%
Where They Purchased
How They Completed the Purchase
125
52% of respondents are not looking to invest in property overseas. While there is
lesser interest in Malaysia and a constant interest in Australia, Singaporeans
surveyed have also shown more interest in the United Kingdom.
Preferred
overseas
location
H2 2014 H1 2014 H2 2013 H1 2013
Malaysia 31% 35% 39% 42%
Australia 18% 22% 19% 15%
United
Kingdom
12% 9% 7% 7%
Thailand 7% 9% 9% 7%
In May 2014, the MAS said Singapore investors poured SGD$2 billion into foreign
properties last year – a 43% jump on year 2012. Malaysia accounted for slightly more
than half of real estate investments abroad last year by Singapore investors,
followed by the United Kingdom and Australia, based on the central bank’s
estimates.
MAS said the value of overseas properties dealt with by Singapore real estate
agencies was SGD$2 billion in 2013, up from SGD$1.4 billion in 2012. A recent
research report by estate agent Knight Frank found that buyers from Singapore
accounted for 23% of all purchases of newly built central London property in 2013,
second only to British buyers who accounted for 27%.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
No
Undecided
Yes
52%
34%
15%
Considering to Purchase Property Overseas
126
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
Malaysia
Australia
United Kingdom
Thailand
Indonesia
Phillippines
United States
New Zealand
Hong Kong
Other
Japan
Macau
Vietnam
China
India
31%18%
12%7%
4%4%4%4%
3%3%
2%2%2%2%2%
Preferred Overseas Location
127
Be it local or overseas property, respondents are not in a hurry to purchase. The
consideration period for overseas property is slightly longer, as 49% would only look
at buying overseas property 2 years from now.
43% of respondents would budget less than SGD$500,000 for overseas property.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Within the next 6 months
6 to 12 months from now
1 to 2 years from now
At least 2 years or more from now
9%
15%
27%
49%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
Less than SGD$500,000
SGD$500,001 to SGD$600,000
SGD$600,001 to SGD$700,000
SGD$700,001 to SGD$800,000
SGD$800,001 to SGD$900,000
SGD$900,001 to SGD$1 mil
SGD$1 mil to SGD$1.5 mil
SGD$1.5 mil to SGD$2 mil
More than SGD$2 mil
40%
17%
9%
10%
7%
8%
7%
2%
1%
When to Purchase
Budget
128
Property investment is a real concern in Singapore, where the government has
stepped in with tough rules to restrict foreigners buying homes. The government has
tightened up stamp duty restrictions on companies buying residential property.
Many Singaporean investors look outside their home country for property because
the government charges a 7% stamp duty rate on second homes and requires them
to pay a 25% deposit.
In Britain, the government is proposing to scrap a capital gains tax exemption for
non-residents. Sellers will have to pay tax at a rate of between 18% and 28% on sales
of property.
Singaporean investors are being lured by a combination of new, prohibitive taxes on
second homes in the island state, record low interest rates, a strong currency and
promises of attractive returns from Australian developers.
As long as the prohibitive conditions on the purchase of second homes exists in
Singapore and the economic climate remains favourable, it is believed that
Singaporeans will continue to look to Australian property as an investment haven,
spurred on by generous rental guarantees from Australian developers.
129
By far, ‘Private condominium / serviced apartment’ is the preferred type of property
overseas. Coming in at a distant second and third are ‘Bungalow’ and ‘Semi-
detached house’ respectively.
Overseas Singapore
1 Private condominiums / Serviced
apartments
Private condominiums / Serviced
apartments
2 Bungalow HDB
3 Semi-detached house Terrace house
4 Terrace house Flat / Walk-up apartment
5 Flat / Walk-up apartment Semi-detached house
Respondents seek overseas property because it is perceived as a good investment,
for migratory purposes, and vacation/residential purposes.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Private condominium / serviced apartment
Bungalow
Semi-detached house
Terrace house
Flat / walk-up apartment
Shop office
SOHO
Retail space
Other
Hotel / resort
Factory / industrial property
41%
13%
12%
10%
6%
4%
4%
3%
3%
2%
0%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
It is a good investment
I expect to migrate or retire to that country in the future
For vacation/residential purpose
The potential yield if high
The exchange rate works in my favour
The economic slowdown in that country has brought prices down
The country has housing policies that encourage foreign ownership
For my children to study aboard
Other, please specify
33%
21%
13%
11%
9%
5%
3%
3%
2%
Properties Interested In
Reasons to Purchase
130
The popular search for information is always online. There is a slight difference for
overseas properties as respondents would prefer to attend exhibitions featuring
overseas properties, and talk to real estate professionals. Face-to-face
communication is seen as more important compared to newspapers when it comes
to overseas properties.
0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
Other web portals (Google, Yahoo, etc)
iProperty.com
Talk to real estate professionals /
property agents
Newspapers/magazines
Attend exhibitions that feature overseas
property projects
Refer to family members and friends
19%
18%
18%
16%
16%
14%
How They Search
131
In tandem with the decrease in interest in investing in Malaysia, 45% of respondents
(drop from 51% in the previous survey) are not considering Iskandar Malaysia, while
35% are undecided.
More than half (58%) of respondents would purchase a property at Iskandar
Malaysia for investment, while 22% would purchase for their own stay.
A five-bedroom, two-story home with private pool in Iskandar advertised was for
MYR3.9 million in May 2014. A similar-sized home on Singapore’s prime Sentosa
district with a waterfront view would be on sale for about 15 times as much.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
No
Undecided
Yes
43%
39%
19%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
For investment
For own stay
For retirement
Other
56%
23%
20%
2%
Considering Investing in Iskandar Malaysia
Reasons for Buying in Iskandar Malaysia
132
37% of respondents pick Johor Bahru, while 30% preferred to invest in Nusajaya.
This sentiment remains unchanged from the last survey.
Respondents are attracted to Iskandar Malaysia due to its geographical proximity,
and affordable property prices.
Kuwait Finance House Research (KFHR) said that despite Malaysia’s property cooling
measures, Iskandar Malaysia is expected to continue as a preferred destination for
both domestic and foreign investment,
KFHR said that cooling measures will dampen speculation in the first-half of 2014 but
Iskandar is a long-term play, with the foundation and infrastructure for Phase I
(2006-2010) already laid down and with raised cumulative committed investments
reaching RM131.6 billion.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Johor Bahru
Nusajaya
Medini
Other parts of Iskandar Malaysia
37%
30%
21%
12%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Close proximity to Singapore
Affordable property prices
Friendly foreign investment scheme
Other
69%
54%
17%
3%
Where They Want to Buy in Iskandar Malaysia
Why They Want to Buy
133
Be it local, overseas or Iskandar Malaysia, respondents are firm on their preference
type of property to purchase - Private condominiums / Serviced apartments. The
other two that they are interested in are Semi-detached house and terraced house.
The top three concerns about investing in Iskandar Malaysia are:
1. Crime and safety
2. Decline in property value after purchase
3. Lack of caveats and data
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
Private condominium / serviced…
Semi-detached house
Terrace house
Bungalow
Detached house
Office
Flat / walk-up apartment
Retail space
Hotels
Industrial
38%
17%
13%
12%
7%
5%
3%
3%
0%
0%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Crime & Safety
Concerned that the Value of the
property will decline after purchase
lack of caveats & data
Infrastructure
Property Prices is too high
Cooling Measures
No concerns
66%
52%
39%
38%
36%
25%
7%
Types of Properties Interested In
Concerns about Investing in Iskandar Malaysia
134
SENTIMENTS: AFFORDABILITY IS
STILL A KEY WORRY, EVEN AS
RESALE PRICES OF NON-LANDED
PRIVATE HOMES DROP More respondents (from 18% in the last survey to 21%) are unsure about whether
the average Singaporean family can afford resale HDB Flat prices, while 52% opined
that these flats are not within their reach.
According to Singapore Real Estate Exchange (SRX), resale prices of non-landed
private homes dipped 1.3 per cent month-on-month in July, with the private resale
price index hitting the lowest level since October 2012, based on a flash report
released yesterday by the Singapore Real Estate Exchange (SRX). From the recent
peak in January, prices have slipped 6.5 per cent.
Declines in prices were seen across all three regions, with the Core Central Region
(CCR), or city centre, leading the fall at 4 per cent last month.
Prices in the Rest of Central Region, or city fringes, dropped 1.1 per cent, while those
in the Outside Central Region, or suburbs, were down 0.6 per cent.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
No
Yes
I don't know
52%
27%
21%
Are The Current Resale HDB Flat prices affordable?
135
43% of respondents would like more ownership restrictions on foreigners, while 33%
would like the implementations of regulations on housing prices.
The government's cooling measures have brought the percentage of foreigners
buying up Singapore property on par with most other countries, as pointed out at
the inaugural OPPLive Asia conference at Marina Bay Sands in April 2014.
According to Global Property Guide, Singapore has experienced an influx of
expatriates in recent years. Some foreigners have preferred to buy, rather than face
escalating rentals, especially if they are going to be in Singapore for more than a
couple of years. Singapore now has the sixth-highest percentage of foreigners in the
world; about 38% of Singapore’s populations are foreigners. Of these, 10% are
permanent residents, and the remaining 28% expats.
Foreign buyers have contributed to Singapore’s strong recent house price increases.
While there was a decrease in the number of transactions across all buyer groups,
the proportion of purchases by non-Singaporeans increased q-o-q by 4.0 percentage-
points in Q1 to 29%. This was the highest proportion of private home purchases by
non-Singaporeans since the Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty (ABSD) was first
introduced in December 2011.
0% 20% 40% 60%
Impose ownership restrictions on foreigners
who can invest or purchase Singapore
property
Implement regulations on housing prices for
property developers
Introduce other cooling measures similar to
TDSR to benefit first time buyers
Other
43%
31%
22%
4%
Measures the Government Can Implement to Ensure Affordable Prices
136
The sentiment is the same as the previous survey. 45% of respondents prefer the
government to manage the prices of HDB flats only.
Slightly more than half of respondents (53%) think that new and resale private
condominiums would see a price drop in the second half of 2014. In the last survey,
more respondents chose HDB resale flats as the property to see a price drop.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Yes
No
I don't Know
42%
41%
18%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Landed Properties
High-end luxury properties (landed)
HDB resale flats
High-end luxury properties (non landed)
New private condominiums
Resale private condominiums
4%
8%
15%
18%
23%
30%
Should the Government be responsible for managing HDB prices?
Type of property that will see a price drop in H2 2014
137
38% feel that their property will retain its value in H2 2014, while 38% also feel
otherwise. Overall, the sentiment is mixed, with more being unsure of the market
when it comes to their opinion on a property’s value.
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
Yes
No
I don't know
38%
38%
25%
Confident that their property will retain its value in H2 2014
138
The reduction of Mortgage Servicing Ratio (MSR) has affected 51% of respondents’
decision to purchase another property. This might be one of the reasons that
Singapore’s housing market continues to decline, despite a reasonable rate of
economic growth.
The private residential property price index dropped 1% during the year from Q1 to
Q2 2014, in contrast with the 4.1% annual rise seen year-on-year to Q2 2013. This
was based on figures released by the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA). When
adjusted for inflation, house prices fell by 1.68% over the same period. On a
quarterly basis, private residential property prices fell 1.26% (-1.43% inflation-
adjusted) in Q1 2014.
20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Yes
No
51%
49%
Has the reduction of the Mortgage Servicing Ratio (MSR) from 35% to 30% by
the government in August 2013 affected your decision to upgrade or purchase
another property?
139
Most respondents (65%) said that property remains unaffordable, despite lower
prices in certain regions.
On a scale of 1 to 6 (1 being most important and 6 being least important),
respondents are for lowered price per sq ft and early-bird discounts. They are least
interested in vouchers for furniture. Affordability is again the top worry for
respondents.
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Yes
No
35%
65%
0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00
Furniture vouchers
Direct Price Discounts
Partial absorption of stamp duty
Early-bird discounts
Option of smaller unit sizes
Lowered price per sq ft
1.78
3.05
3.43
3.75
4.04
4.95
According to reports by both URA and SRX, property prices in certain regions
have been lowered in H1 2014 compared to previous years. Thus, have
property prices become more affordable for you
With market exuberance for private homes tempered by the cooling measures and
TDSR framework, more developers are reviewing their marketing and pricing strategies
to entice buyers. Please rank the factors that you take into consideration for a new
property launch
140
Slightly more than half of respondents surveyed (56%) are satisfied with the
government’s efforts in cooling the property market.
Last year, MAS said that lenders must consider a borrower’s total debt when
granting mortgages. Under this loan framework, a borrower’s loan repayments,
including mortgages, shouldn’t exceed 60% of income, based on the policy
guidelines.
Declining home sales eased demand for housing loans. Mortgages increased just
7.9% in March 2014, the slowest pace since June 2007, according to central bank
data. Standard Chartered Plc’s Southeast Asia’s head said that Singapore’s home
prices will probably fall further before the housing curbs introduced in the past five
years are scaled back.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Yes
No
56%
44%
Are you satisfied with the government’s plans announced in Budget 2014 to
keep property market cooling measures in place for the time being?
141
About the iProperty Group
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