IPv6, Mobility, and the Ever Smarter World

—————————————

Opportunities for Consumer Electronics’ Internet Innovators

January 9, 2004By Alex Lightman

Cal–(IT)2 ScholarCEO, The University Network

Chairman, Charmed TechnologyConference Chairman, IPv6 Summits in North America

Founder, The 4G Society

Wireless Money: The 5 M’s

Movement: escaping the fixed placeMoment: expanding the concept of timeMe: extending myself and my communityMoney: expending financial resourcesMachines: empowering devices.

Deeper ServicesMovement: Mobility, Locality, Globality, Home Base, PositioningMoment: Plan, Postpone, Fill Time, Catch Up, Multitask, Real TimeMe: Customized, Relevant, Community, Permission, Presence, Multisession (most powerful, relates to ‘cool’ self image)Money: M-commerce, Micropayments, M -banking, M-wallet, M-advertising, SponsorshipMachines: Telematics, Metering, Remote Access, Appliances, Robotics, Automation, Connecting with Anything and Everything

The New World of Mobile Geolocation

Source: Bill Griswold, CSE, UCSD

Exercise Was the First Wireless Monitoring Application

As Our Bodies Move On-LineDigital Medicine Will Emerge

New Sensors—Video PillBattery, Light, & Video CameraImages Transmitted to Hip Device

Next Step—Putting You On-Line!Wireless Internet TransmissionKey Metabolic and Physical VariablesModel -- Dozens of Processors and 60 Sensors / Actuators Inside of our Cars

Post-Genomic Personalized MedicineCombine Across Populations

Genetic CodeDigital Imaging Body Data Flow

Use Powerful AI Data Mining

www.givenimaging.com

www.philometron.com

Current and Potential Markets for Remote Patient MonitoringWellness

Fitness MonitoringObesity Epidemic

Ambulatory Hospital PatientsCardiac Out PatientsElder Care

Global Population of People Over 65, Will Increase 88% by 2025

Clinical TrialsNew Drug Discovery

Emergency ResponseNatural DisastersHomeland Security

What is a SensorNet?

Sensors Physical, Chemical, Biological, Imaging,…

Sensor PlatformComputing, Power, Storage, Radios, …

Telecommunications InfrastructureWired, Wireless, Internet, …

Sensor ArraysHomogeneous, Inhomogeneous, Ad Hoc, …

Layered Software Backend Data Systems

Sensor subscriptions very valuable!Eric Frost: 30 measures of oil extraction allows doubling, from 35% to

70%, of recoverable oil from a given reservoir.

Will Recker: World Wide Wagon Train of 737 million to 1 billion

vehicles that exchange information on the road ahead.

John Orcutt: From Buoys to MEN (Marine Environmental Networking).

Weather prediction, climate change, government.

Articles are on http://www.calit2.net. Search site for “Alex Lightman”

Multi-Sensor Data Fusion Control Rooms Will Integrate SensorNets with Legacy Data

Common Needs for Research or Emergency ResponseSituational AwarenessCommon Operational PictureLocal Data Warehouse with Remote Data AccessAI Data Mining of Distributed DatabasesSpatial Data Analysis Consequences Assessment Tool Set

Image Source: Panoram Technologies

New network operations systems must be designed for adaptability and change(new equipment, multiple vendors, new service offerings/ provisioning).

19701970--19901990 Minicomputer/Minicomputer/DEC era

1:1 people/machine ratio1:1 people/machine ratioDEC era

19801980-- Workstation/Workstation/PC era

1:10 people/machine ratio1:10 people/machine ratioPC era

19901990-- Enterprise networks/Enterprise networks/Cisco eraCisco era

1:100? people/machine ratio1:100? people/machine ratio

20002000-- Broadband packet Broadband packet networks ?networks ?

1:1000? people/machine ratio1:1000? people/machine ratio

19601960--19801980

TimeTimeMainframe/Mainframe/IBM eraIBM era

Platform(s)Platform(s)10:1 people/machine ratio10:1 people/machine ratio

Network Operations ModelNetwork Operations ModelOld network management systems were single vendor solutions optimized for cost in rigid five-year preplanned networks.

The New Powers of Ten

Source: Paul JohnsonSource: Paul Johnson

1000’s of subscriptions/personGiven Imaging’s camera/sensor pill that you swallow, with data recorded onto a hiptopPersonal Black Box.Medical Microelectronic Machines (later nanodocs) tied to NIH databases doing real-time assessment against millions of high resolution medical records, each with IP address.Localizers as described in Vernor Vinge’s A Deepness in the Sky will link internal and external bodies.The value of curing cancer, heart disease approx. $50 trillion each. Milken Institute.

Putting Laboratories on a ChipPutting Laboratories on a Chip

$ 300,000 $ 10

Cermet SensorCermet Sensor

Source: Greg McRae, MIT and ANL

Source: Pister,Berkeley

SENSORS ADC FSMRECEIVER

TRANSMITTER

SOLAR POWER1V 1V 1V 2V3-8V

PHOTO 8-bits

375 kbps

175 bps

1-2V

OPTICAL IN

OPTICAL OUT

16 mm3 total circumscribed volume~4.8 mm3 total displaced volume

Source:Pister,

Berkeley

Over the Next Decade NanobioinfoengineeringWill Revolutionize SensorNets

5 nanometersHuman Rhinovirus

IBM Quantum CorralIron Atoms on Copper

VCSELaser

2 mmNanogen MicroArray

500x Magnification

400x Magnification

How do you manage all those tiny doctors?

IPv6features

3.4*1038 unique addresses availableStateless autoconfigurationSecurity: authentication and

encryptionMobility management

How can we secure these doctors? IPv6

IPSecuses IPv6 extension headerssecurity modes

authentication on IP levelencryption on IP level

based on private and public key algorithmsmanual or automatic key distribution

allows secure end-to-end communication and Virtual Private Networks

Mobility management in IPv6

Goalstransparency of mobility to higher layersaddressability using the home address

Home subnet

Correspondent node

Home agent

Foreign subnet

Mobile node

Internet

InternetInternet

The Gs 1G 2G

new system (GSM), same service (Voice)2G 3G

new system (UMTS), new services (MM)3G 3G 4G4G

all systems, all servicesall systems, all servicesintegrated provision of personalised enhanced services over the most efficient/preferred networks (user profile)multiple classes of terminals

Using IPv4 on 3G will create barriers:1. Not enough IPv4 addresses to deploy large scale always-on service required for GPRS and 3G

2. Therefore no easy end-2-end security

3. No plug & ping (no ease of use, all manual and won't scale)

4. The triangular routing of Mobile IPv4 will eat up 50% of (expensive) spectrum

These are huge penalties to a large scale deployment of an always-on, easy to use, brand new mobile service.

4G(2005 –2010)

Page 13© BellSouth Cellular Corp 1999All rights reserved

Low

Mob

ility

H

igh-

Mob

ility

Information Rate (Mbps)

0.01 0.1 1.0 10 100

Vehicular

Pedestrian

Portable

Fixed

56K Modems DSL/Cable E1/T1 Lines

T3 Lines

DECT/CordlessPhones Bluetooth

GSM, cdmaOnePDC

GPRS, EDGE

802.11b 802.11a

W-CDMA, cdma2000

Broadband Fixed Wireless Access

OFDM?, UW B? Dynamic Chaos?

Software Defined Radio Opportunity2G 2.5G 3G

$0.02-$0.07/Mbyte$0.45 - $20/Mbyte

Multimedia Data, Location Services,Augmented Reality, Music/Video,Voice over IP, Remote Control

Smart Antennas

4G(2005 –2010)

Page 13© BellSouth Cellular Corp 1999All rights reserved

Low

Mob

ility

H

igh-

Mob

ility

Information Rate (Mbps)

0.01 0.1 1.0 10 100

Vehicular

Pedestrian

Portable

Fixed

56K Modems DSL/Cable E1/T1 Lines

T3 Lines

DECT/CordlessPhones Bluetooth

GSM, cdmaOnePDC

GPRS, EDGE

802.11b 802.11a

W-CDMA, cdma2000

Broadband Fixed Wireless Access

OFDM?, UW B? Dynamic Chaos?

Software Defined Radio Opportunity2G 2.5G 3G

$0.02-$0.07/Mbyte$0.45 - $20/Mbyte

Multimedia Data, Location Services,Augmented Reality, Music/Video,Voice over IP, Remote Control

Smart Antennas

The Next Logical Step In Wireless Data

The 4G Technology MenuThe 4G Technology MenuIPv6 (128-bit address space vs. today’s 32-bit address space)

Home addresses, care-of addresses, sensors, Peer-to-Peer

Short-Range Low-Power, Broadband Wireless TechnologiesUWB, CDMA, Dynamic Chaos, W-LAN 802.11a,g,b

Medium-Range, Medium-Power Nomadic/Full Mobility Broadband Wireless Technologies

OFDM, I-Burst [Arraycomm], OFDM+CDMA [FLARION]Smart Antennas and spatial processing

Base-stations, end user computer terminals, handsetsSoftware Defined Radios [chips, boards, subsystems]

Amateur radio, police/public radio, military, mobile communications

Very Low Power, High-Performance CPU embedded processors

Basis of software defined radios and intelligent sensorsWearable computer peripherals

Software remembrance agents, head-up displays, various input devices, wearable computer clothing

Multiservice Overlay Networks

Servers

IP Backbone Network

AccessAccess

FutureMulti-service networks

Communcationi Control

Content Content

Access

TodaySingle-service networks

GSM

Rad

io/T

V

Fixe

d Te

leph

ony

LAN

(Dat

a)

Services

Transport, Switching & Access Networks

Potential of 4G realized as Potential of 4G realized as access networks migrate to IPv6access networks migrate to IPv6

3G RAN3G RAN

3G RAN3G RAN

CableCable

3G RAN3G RAN

DSLDSL

WLANWLAN

RASRAS

RASRAS

RASRAS

IPv6IPv6allall--IPIP

Packet CorePacket Core

GWGW PSTNPSTN

ER/FWER/FW

IPv4IPv4(public or private)(public or private)

IPv6IPv6(public or private)(public or private)

3G3G--SGSNSGSN

3G3G--SGSNSGSN 3G3G--

SGSNSGSN

3G3G--GGSNGGSN

Equipment:

Cisco, IBM, Nortel,Juniper, Fluke, Lucent, NEC, Fujitsu, Hitachi, Nintendo, Telia,Compaq, Sega, 3Com ATM/FR

SDH/DWDM

IP over ATM IP over DWDMNetwork Connection

RASISP ERER

IPv6IPv6betweenbetween

access systemsaccess systems

Note: NTT, IIJ, & Singtel have already converted their IP switching fabric to IPv6

IP organizations:www.ipv6forum.net, www.usipv6.com, www.v6pc.jp, www.ipv6.orgSource: Nokia, Native Inc., Juniper Networks

4G as an IPv6 integrator4G as an IPv6 integrator

4G Personal Communicator

1 to 40 Mbps Radio Link

Voice, fax, dataMP3 PlayerPDAStorageVoice RecorderLanguage TranslatorVideo CameraHealth MonitorAugmented Reality(AR)AR Game Player

InfoSensors

User 1

7. Wireless Broadcast Layer

6. Cellular Layer

5. BFWA,W-LAN, MBWA

4. Wireless Gateway Layer

3. Wireless Personal Pico-Net Layer

2. Wireless/Wireline InfoSensor (Localizers) Layer

1. Wireline Transport Layer(Optical Fiber, DWDM,

Ethernet – Fiber Hybrid Coaxial)

Home or OfficeHome or Office

Telecom/Internet Service ProvidersCellular OperatorsAd-Hoc Campus/Wireless LAN Providers

Seven Layers of 4G

Hitachi RFID 2.4 GHZChip 0.30 mm2 Source: IBM Research

4G as the Integrator

Fixed Wireless Access

Wireless Local Loop

SatelliteHigh Altitude Platform

Broadcasting

S-UMTS

SatelliteBroadband

DVB-SDVB-T

DAB

GSM

GPRS

CellularMBS 40

MBS 60

Quasi-Cellular

UMTS

EDGE

UMTS ++

xMDS

Broadband FWA

Body-LANPersonal

Area Networks

MWSIR

BroadbandW-LAN Bluetooth

W-LAN Local Area Networks

FourthGeneration

IPv6IPv6

©JPER

Many factors will push China into 4G faster than most planners had expected: • Vast and profound implications for

national security, public security and natural resource management

• National High Technology Research & Development Program (“863”) – “B3G

• Strong university research in computing, mathematics, communications, electronics, physics

• Large number of B.S., M.S. and PhD PRC students studying in the U.S., EU

• Cellular penetration growth and introduction of 2.5G services

• Growth of the internet and internet users/subscribers

• Vast fiber optic long haul and fiber optic metro networks (DWDM, Metro-ethernet, FTTx)

• W-LAN growth• Phenomenal growth of PHS PAS

services from China Telecom & Netcom• Desire to cultivate made-in-China

intellectual property in computing, communications, consumer electronics and radio electronics

• Issuance of 3.5G broadband wireless licenses

• TD-SCDMA’s affinity for smart antenna solutions

• Ministry of Science has been given the national mission of promoting 4G

4G in China 4G in China –– 13 Accelerating Factors13 Accelerating Factors

China: Internet Accounts

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002E

2003E

2004E

2005E

2006E

2007E

2008E

Subs

crib

ers

000s

Narrowband Broadband

China Subscribers

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

Subs

crib

ers

in 0

00s

ISDN (Primay Rate) 0.0 0.6 25.5 175.0 670.3 1,276.0 1,604.3 1,875.4 2,020.0 2,126.9 2,181.8 2,197.3 2212.9253

PAS 0.0 0.0 0.0 300.0 1,596.5 5,314.5 11,959.6 24,054.4 40,529.6 57,318.6 76,475.4 95,184.5 118470.6

DSL 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6 319.0 962.6 2,457.5 3,909.6 5,251.6 6,479.3 7,590.7 8892.7572

FFTH+Ethernet LAN 0.0 382.8 770.0 1,966.0 3,127.7 4,201.3 5,183.4 6,072.6 7114.2057

Copper Narrowband 54893.386 70267.866 86958.807 108540.09 141837.04 172399.72 206948.35 238883.5 265306.84 293544.28 317365.6 337746.04 359435.27

Cable Modem 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 350.0 737.8 1,116.3 1,501.1 1,891.9 2,288.5 2,692.5 3,258.1 3942.4856

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E 2006E 2007E 2008E

•next IPv6 Summit,

Books come with 24 hour tech support, lunch, and a friendship

Closing ThoughtThank you!

Please stay in touch.

Alex Lightman

Alex@usipv6.com

Tel. 310 717 7745

You are invited to attend the next IPv6 Summit in Santa Monica, CA at the Loews Resort Hotel

www.usipv6.com