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RELEASED DECEMBER 2011 / VOLUME 25ISSN 1718-9799 iq.bmir.com Sponsored by
Q3 2011
I R A D E S S OQ U A R T E R LY
CANADIAN OIL & GAS COMPARISON
FINANCIAL and OPERATING RESULTSfor 55 Juniors and 29 Intermediates
FEATURING FACT SHEETSfrom Juniors, Intermediates and Internationals
is unique
everyone
No two flakes are the same Snowflakes all look the same from a distance. It’s only when you capture a couple of them in your hand and take a close look that you begin to notice the complexity of these seemingly common crystals. There are prisms, plates, dendrites — the list goes on.
The same can be said of Western Canada’s oil and gas sector. On the
surface, almost every oil and gas company operating in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin looks the same. Not only do they look the same in the field, they sound the same in the boardroom. If you were blindfolded and dropped into the middle of an investor presentation for a mid-sized oil and gas player, how long would it take for you to figure out the name of the company? You might hear the speaker go on for a while about the company’s experienced management team, strong balance sheet, excellent platform for growth and strategic assets.
But it’s only when you probe a little deeper, examine the numbers and compare and contrast one player against another that it becomes clear that not all oil and gas companies are created equal.
That’s one of the benefits of this iQ Report. This quarterly report is designed to summarize the results of Western Canada’s junior and intermediate oil and gas producers. All the numbers have been compiled into a format that makes it easy to distinguish one player from another. We’ve tried to include every conventional oil and gas company that operates in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin, trades on the TSX or TSX Venture exchange and produces between 500 and 100,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day. We’ve also included a list of emerging companies, early-stage oil sands players and international explorers.
While the iQ Report is a useful tool, don’t use it as the sole source information for investment decisions. Use the iQ Report to identify areas that need a closer look. For example, if a company shows a significant increase in production, dig deeper. Read the company’s news releases, listen to webcasts, check out the company’s website, send email to the investor relations contact person, or talk to your investment advisor.
Through your research, you will be able to determine whether a company’s production growth is a result of a successful drilling program or the result of an acquisition for which the company may have paid too much.
This iQ Report and your supplementary research will reduce your risk and that’s all you can ask. There’s no such thing as a sure thing.
Bryan Mills Iradesso’s iQ Report is one of the ways in which we help public oil and gas companies communicate with investors. Although we do not manipulate the numbers, this report does draw attention to our clients through one-page snapshots that surround the comparison charts.
It is our hope that this iQ Report will help you identify and appreciate the characteristics that distinguish one oil and gas company from another.
Geoffrey Vanderburg Editor, iQ Report Bryan Mills Iradesso
MES
SAG
E FR
OM
TH
E ED
ITO
R
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 3 2 0 1 1 1
Suite 2240, 140 - 4th Avenue SWCalgary, AB T2P 3N3
telephone: 403.503.0144toll-free: 1.866.415.1070email: [email protected]
DECEMBER 2011 / VOL. 25
EDITOR Geoffrey Vanderburg
CHIEF RESEARCHERS Dave Fearman, Jory Debenham
CONTRIBUTORS Laura Bechtel, Tamara Bowlby, Angela Iori and Donna Venzi
Data provided by CanOils Database Limited and BMIR researchers
PRODUCTION COORDINATOR Leanne Hauge
LEAD DESIGNER Thomas Magee
PRODUCTION ARTIST Robert Bourassa
PRINTER Rhino Print Solutions
Please email us at [email protected] or fill out the subscription form at iq.bmir.com to ensure you receive your free copy of the iQ Report.
R E L E A S E S C H E D U L E
Q1 2012 iQ Release:
Week of June 4, 2012
Q3 2011 Review
Snowflakes and oil and gas stocks behave differently in that snowflakes only fall while oil and gas stocks are also supposed to go up. That didn’t happen in the third quarter of 2011. Almost every single oil and gas player lost ground during the quarter. Fortunately, the sector managed to trim its losses over the following two months. In the third quarter, the median intermediate lost 22 percent while the median junior lost 24 percent. In the five months following the start of Q3, the intermediates had a median return, including dividends, of -10 percent. Over the same five-month period, the juniors returned -16 percent. It’s stormy out there.
The median enterprise value of Western Canada’s junior oil and gas companies slid in the third quarter of 2011, in line with the sliding share prices.
Adding together a company’s market capitalization with its net debt gives us the total value attributed to the company, referred to as the enterprise value. When we compare enterprise values to production levels, we see a wide range of valuations. Companies with strong valuations are better able to access capital or use equity to complete deals that are accretive to shareholders.
The median enterprise value of the juniors in the third quarter of 2011 fell to $59,912/boe compared with the median enterprise value of $74,834/boe in the second quarter of 2011 and $59,692 in the third quarter of 2010. The range in the latest quarter is from $19,229/boe to $244,464/boe.
For the intermediates, the median enterprise value of $74,958/boe in the third quarter of 2011 compares favourably with the median enterprise value of $72,751/boe in the second quarter of 2011 and $70,968/boe in the third quarter of 2010. The valuations in the latest quarter range from $14,338/ boe to $184,073/boe.
The stock market malaise faced by Canada’s oil and gas companies did not reflect their operational performance in the third quarter of 2011. The oil and gas sector managed to achieve something in the third quarter that they don’t achieve very often. Not only did they increase their overall production, which is common, they increased their production per share, which is rare.
From the second quarter to the third quarter of 2011, the intermediates showed a median increase of 5.0 percent in overall production and 4.0 percent in production per share. The juniors performed almost as well, with the median overall production increasing 4.2 percent while production per share increased 1.9 percent.
By comparison, the intermediates showed a median drop of 2.9 percent in production per share from Q1 to Q2 2011. The juniors fared worse, with the median production per share dropping 5.3 percent from Q1 to Q2 2011.
We’ve seen signs that Western Canada’s junior oil and gas companies are trying to decrease their dependence on natural gas since low natural gas prices are depressed relative to oil prices, but the average junior and intermediate company is still producing more natural gas than oil. The median junior had a natural gas weighting of 55.6 percent in Q2 2011 compared with an almost identical 55.5 percent in Q3 2011 while the median intermediate natural gas weighting was 65.0 percent in Q3 2011 compared with 67.9 percent in the previous quarter.
FALL ING FLAKES
SL IDING VALUES
PRODUCTION PER SHARE INCHES UP
GAS PAINS
COMMUNICATION MATTERS
Information for investors
iq.bmir.com
C O N T E N T S
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M2
1 Q3 2011 REVIEW
4 WHEELING AND DEALING
5 JUNIOR COMPARISON CHARTS 6 Q3 Production (boe/d)
7 Q3 Production Mix - Natural Gas Weighting (%)
8 Change in Production Q2 2011 to Q3 2011 (%)
9 Change in Production per Share – Q2 2011 to Q3 2011 (%)
10 Enterprise Value Versus Q3 Production ($ per boe/d)
11 Q3 Cash Flow Netback ($/boe)
12 Q3 Operating and Transportation Expenses
13 Q3 General and Administrative Cash Expenses ($/boe)
14 Q3 Depletion, Depreciation and Accretion Expenses ($/boe)
15 Annualized Q3 Cash Flow Multiples
16 Q3 Net Debt to Annualized Cash Flow
17 Q3 Total Return – Capital Gains and Distributions or Dividends (%)
18 Juniors Listing – Data Table
33 INTERMEDIATE COMPARISON CHARTS 34 Q3 2011 Production (boe/d)
34 Q3 Production Mix – Natural Gas Weighting (%)
35 Change in Production – Q2 2011 to Q3 2011 (%)
35 Change in Production per Share (Q2 2011 to Q3 2011)
36 Enterprise Value Versus Q3 Production ($ per boe/d)
36 Q3 Cash Flow Netback ($/boe)
37 Q3 Operating and Transportation Expenses ($/boe)
37 Q3 General and Administrative Cash Expenses ($/boe)
38 Q3 Depletion, Depreciation and Accretion Expenses ($/boe)
38 Annualized Q3 Cash Flow Multiples
39 Q3 Net Debt to Annualized Cash Flow
39 Q3 Total Return – Capital Gains and Distributions (%)
40 Intermediate Data Table
46 CANADIAN COMPANIES OPERATING ABROAD
51 EMERGING CONVENTIONAL COMPANIES WATCH LIST
52 EMERGING OIL SANDS COMPANIES
I N T H I S I S S U E DECEMBER 2011
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 3 2 0 1 1 3
RETURN UNDELIVERABLE CANADIAN ADDRESSES TO:
BRYAN MILLS IRADESSO
2240, 140 4th Avenue SW, Calgary, AB T2P 3N3
ABBREVIATIONS
bbls • barrels of oil
boe • barrels of oil equivalent
boe/d • barrels of oil equivalent per day
mcf • thousand cubic feet
mmcf • million cubic feet
NGLs • natural gas liquids
ASSUMPTIONS
• Barrels of oil equivalent calculated using 6 mcf = 1 boe.
• Net debt has been calculated by including bank debt, debentures, preferred convertible shares and working capital.
• For companies with A/B share structures, B shares have been converted to A shares using end-of-period share prices.
• For trusts, exchangeable units have been converted to trust units using end-of-period exchange ratios.
D I S C L A I M E R
The information used to compile this report is publicly
available. Bryan Mills Iradesso provides the comparison to
shine the spotlight on these segments of the energy industry,
and to communicate the achievements and growth potential
of the oil and gas companies and trusts. The iQ Report does not
constitute a solicitation or recommendation for the purchase
or sale of any security; it is provided for information only and
is not intended to serve as investment advice. Bryan Mills
Iradesso cannot be held responsible for accuracy and all readers
are encouraged to conduct their own research. This report
is provided by Bryan Mills Iradesso as a service to the reader
without responsibility for accuracy. Bryan Mills Iradesso must
be credited with developing the iQ Report if any part of it is
reproduced. The companies that have provided a corporate
profile for this report have paid Bryan Mills Iradesso a fee.
41 Crescent Point Energy
42 Guide Exploration
43 NAL Energy
44 Perpetual Energy
45 PetroBakken Energy
48 Bengal Energy
49 Equal Energy
50 Petrominerales
I N T E R M E D I AT E S N A P S H OT S
I N T E R N AT I O N A L S N A P S H OT S
20 Anderson Energy
21 Arsenal Energy
22 Delphi Energy
23 Exall Energy
24 Hyperion Exploration
25 Ironhorse Oil & Gas
26 Novus Energy
27 Second Wave Petroleum
28 Strategic Oil & Gas
29 Surge Energy
30 Tamarack Valley Energy
31 Yoho Resources
J U N I O R S N A P S H OT S
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M4
JUN
IOR
& IN
TERM
EDIA
TE D
EALS
IQ REPORT CATEGORY CHANGES
• Vero moved to junior from intermediate
• Equal moved to the map of international players from the list of juniors since most of its production is from the United States
• Galleon Energy changed its name to Guide Exploration, but the Company is still an intermediate player
• Bowood moved to junior from emerging
• Dejour moved to junior from emerging
DONE DEALS
The following deals have closed since our previous iQ Report in June 2011. Daylight Energy is the only company in the following list that meets the criteria for inclusion in the iQ Report. These transactions are listed for interest only and do not affect the comparison charts.
• Daylight Energy Ltd. acquired by Sinopec Corp. (Dec 2011)
• JSC Tysagaz acquired by 3P International Energy Corp. (Sept 2011)
• MEC Operating Company, ULC Energy Trust acquired by Newton Energy Partners, LLC (Sept 2011)
• North Sea Energy Inc. acquired by Ranger Energy Ltd. (Oct 2011)
• Alpetro Resources Ltd. acquired by Big Coulee Resources Ltd. (Nov 2011)
• Lakeridge Energy Corp., Shoreline Acquisition Corp. and Shoreline Oil & Gas Ltd. acquired by Shoreline Energy Ltd. (Nov 2011)
• OPTI Canada Inc. acquired by China National Offshore Oil Corporation (Nov 2011)
• Cascade Resources Inc. acquired by Northern Spirit Resources Inc. (Nov 2011)
DEALS ANNOUNCED, BUT NOT CLOSED
• Shorthorn Exploration Ltd. to be acquired by Carmen Energy Inc. (expected close Jan 2012)
• Toreador Resources Corporation to be acquired by ZaZa Energy LLC (expected close Jan 2012)
• Emerge Oil & Gas Inc. to be acquired by Twin Butte Energy Ltd. (expected close Jan 2012)
• Charger Energy Ltd., Silverback Energy Ltd. and Sirius Energy Inc. to be acquired by Seaview Energy Inc. (expected close Jan 2012)
• Compass Petroleum Ltd. to be acquired by Whitecap Resources Inc. (expected to close Feb 2012)
Please note that this summary is not exhaustive and is focused on corporate acquisitions relating to conventional juniors and intermediate producers meeting the criteria for our comparison charts.
wheeling & dealing
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 3 2 0 1 1 5
junior oil & gas companies
C O M PA R I S O N
INCLUSION CRITERIA
• Primary business must be oil and gas exploration, development and production
• Q3 2011 production must fall between 500 and 10,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boe/d)
• Majority of production must be from Western Canada
• Must be publicly traded on the TSX or TSX Venture Exchange
511
514
547
605
612
613
679
682
822
884
895
1,049
1,050
1,057
1,101
1,242
1,253
1,418
1,470
1,522
1,563
2,135
2,159
2,185
2,263
2,411
2,423
2,498
2,767
2,852
2,862
2,946
2,957
3,400
3,684
4,002
4,064
4,174
4,319
4,608
5,479
5,887
6,053
6,071
6,166
6,190
6,485
7,195
7,351
7,599
8,460
8,967
9,014
9,262
9,833
0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000
Storm
Dejour
Bowood
Petro-Reef
Ironhorse
Twoco
Reliable
Argosy
WranglerWest
Strategic
Shoreline
Exall
Hyperion
Sure
Tamarack
TriOil
Yangarra
Palliser
SecondWave
SkyWest
Pinecrest
DeeThree
Novus
Arsenal
Seaview
Bellamont
Yoho
Artek
Waldron
Renegade
Rock
Sonde
Insignia
RMP
Arcan
Crocotta
PaintedPony
OpenRange
Skope
Midway
Emerge
Bonterra
Terra
Longview
Surge
WildStream
Whitecap
Freehold
Anderson
TwinButte
WestFire
Delphi
Zargon
Vero
Cequence
small producers with big potentialWhile investors can make a lot of money by investing in the right junior oil and gas company, most of today’s juniors are small in terms of production. Very small. In fact, if you add together the average daily production levels of every junior player in the sector you get 188,810 boe/d for third quarter 2011, far below Suncor’s total production including the oil sands during the quarter of 546,000 boe/d.
For our iQ Report, we defined juniors as companies with production from 500 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boe/d) to 9,999 boe/d. Other parameters are included on the previous page.
“Intermediate” and “emerging” domestic companies are featured in sections beginning on page 33 and 51 respectively. A section on Canadian-based international companies is found starting on page 46.
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M6
JUN
IOR
CO
MPA
RISO
N Q3 PRODUCTION (BOE/D)Median = 2,498 boe/d
0
0
4
4
4
6
10
11
12
20
25
27
30
30
34
35
36
36
36
37
39
39
41
46
52
53
55
56
56
58
60
64
65
67
68
69
72
72
73
75
75
76
76
77
77
82
82
83
83
84
85
85
89
92
100
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Reliable
Pinecrest
Renegade
Emerge
Palliser
Arcan
WildStream
Exall
Arsenal
Novus
Longview
Rock
Bonterra
Midway
SecondWave
WestFire
Whitecap
Strategic
Dejour
TwinButte
Surge
Freehold
Zargon
Hyperion
TriOil
Bellamont
Yangarra
Sure
Artek
Tamarack
SkyWest
DeeThree
PaintedPony
Crocotta
Anderson
Petro-Reef
Sonde
Delphi
Argosy
RMP
Insignia
Yoho
Vero
Waldron
Shoreline
Seaview
WranglerWest
Twoco
Terra
Bowood
Storm
Ironhorse
Cequence
OpenRange
Skope
easing the gas painsWestern Canada’s junior oil and gas companies are easing their gas pains by slowly increasing their oil weighting. Oil has been priced higher than natural gas for a long time, but the juniors continue to produce more natural gas than oil. That said, the juniors are definitely reducing their dependence on natural gas. In the third quarter of 2011, the median junior had a natural gas weighting of 56%, compared with 65% in the third quarter of 2010 and 75% in the third quarter of 2009.
To calculate our weighting, we include natural gas liquids (NGLs) with oil production. Produced liquids get prices that are similar to oil, with much stronger margins than natural gas.
As is standard, we convert natural gas into oil equivalence by using a ratio of six thousand cubic feet (mcf) of natural gas to one barrel of oil equivalent (boe). This ratio comes from an energy equivalence at the burner tip.
FORMULAavg. natural gas production per day (boe/d)
avg. total production
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 3 2 0 1 1 7
JUN
IOR
CO
MPA
RISO
NQ3 PRODUCTION MIX — NATURAL GAS WEIGHTING (%)Median = 55.5%
(17.4)
(14.2)
(14.0)
(13.9)
(13.3)
(10.9)
(9.8)
(9.2)
(7.6)
(5.4)
(5.2)
(5.0)
(5.0)
(3.4)
(3.1)
(2.8)
(1.5)
(0.3)
0.1
0.6
0.7
1.0
1.7
2.5
2.7
3.4
3.8
4.2
7.7
7.8
8.1
8.2
9.2
11.4
13.0
13.1
13.5
14.0
15.8
17.2
19.6
20.7
21.5
22.1
26.7
26.8
28.3
28.5
32.9
63.8
68.8
74.4
78.8
88.4
155.7
(40.0) (20.0) 0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 120.0 140.0 160.0 180.0
Seaview
Storm
WranglerWest
Ironhorse
Insignia
SecondWave
Vero
Rock
Bonterra
Bellamont
Anderson
OpenRange
Emerge
Freehold
Yoho
Argosy
DeeThree
Sure
Strategic
TwinButte
Delphi
Terra
Waldron
TriOil
Petro-Reef
Longview
Zargon
Skope
Artek
Cequence
Twoco
RMP
SkyWest
Hyperion
Shoreline
PaintedPony
Reliable
Sonde
Palliser
Exall
Arsenal
Midway
Whitecap
Surge
Tamarack
Bowood
Arcan
Yangarra
Crocotta
Novus
Renegade
WildStream
Dejour
Pinecrest
WestFire
production on the riseThirty-six of the 55 juniors managed to increase their overall production from Q2 to Q3 2011. This is comparatively high with less than half of the group managing the same feat from Q1 to Q2. Consistently increasing production is challenging because production from most wells in Western Canada declines at a relatively high rate. These declines need to be replaced before additions can be made.
Companies at the bottom of this chart may have sold production recently while companies at the top either acquired production or drilled successful wells.
FORMULAcurrent period avg. production – previous period avg. production
previous period avg. production
Note: Gas production converted to boe at 6 mcf: 1 boe.
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M8
JUN
IOR
CO
MPA
RISO
N CHANGE IN PRODUCTION — Q2 2011 TO Q3 2011 (%)Median = 4.2%
(20.9)
(17.4)
(16.7)
(14.2)
(14.0)
(13.9)
(13.3)
(12.2)
(11.0)
(10.9)
(9.9)
(9.0)
(7.6)
(5.5)
(5.3)
(5.3)
(5.2)
(5.0)
(4.1)
(3.2)
(2.3)
(2.0)
(0.3)
(0.2)
(0.0)
0.5
0.9
1.9
2.5
2.9
3.2
4.2
7.7
8.1
9.3
10.1
12.7
13.4
14.0
15.4
15.8
16.5
18.5
19.5
22.0
25.9
26.9
28.0
32.9
38.1
47.8
64.1
65.3
77.6
78.8
(40.0) (20.0) 0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0
Shoreline
Seaview
Rock
Storm
WranglerWest
Ironhorse
Insignia
Longview
SecondWave
Argosy
Vero
Hyperion
Bonterra
Bellamont
OpenRange
Waldron
Anderson
Emerge
Freehold
Petro-Reef
RMP
DeeThree
Sure
TwinButte
Strategic
Delphi
Terra
Cequence
TriOil
Zargon
Yoho
Skope
Artek
Twoco
SkyWest
Whitecap
PaintedPony
Reliable
Sonde
Palliser
Yangarra
Exall
Midway
Arsenal
Surge
Tamarack
Bowood
Arcan
Crocotta
WestFire
WildStream
Novus
Renegade
Pinecrest
Dejour
per share growthAfter a median decline of 5.3% from the first quarter to the second quarter of 2011, the average junior managed to increase its production on a per-share basis by 1.9% from the second quarter to the third quarter of 2011. This is not easy to do. Any company that can consistently add production and reserves on a per share basis will achieve a strong return for investors. In fact, some investors consider production growth per share to be the most important measure of success.
It costs money to increase production, whether it be via drilling or acquisitions. Therefore, junior companies need to deploy their cash flow carefully in order to grow, and they need to augment their cash flow with equity or debt financings in order to sustain their growth.
FORMULAcurrent production per share – previous production per share
previous production per share
Note: Production per share = average production rate for the period divided by basic weighted average shares outstanding during the period.
Gas production converted to boe at 6 mcf: 1 boe.
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 3 2 0 1 1 9
JUN
IOR
CO
MPA
RISO
NCHANGE IN PRODUCTION PER SHARE — Q2 2011 TO Q3 2011 (%)Median = 1.9%
19,229
22,871
22,964
24,852
27,615
27,656
28,080
30,071
31,464
31,959
32,421
38,082
38,485
40,326
41,835
43,768
43,906
44,467
46,331
46,827
49,714
52,000
53,541
55,487
56,401
58,061
58,899
59,912
64,262
64,483
65,656
69,432
74,058
77,798
80,260
86,871
91,666
97,364
97,745
97,834
99,335
102,446
105,558
115,748
116,388
124,501
133,956
141,032
155,099
157,788
165,422
175,837
178,642
192,319
244,464
0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000
WranglerWest
Skope
Insignia
Terra
Shoreline
Waldron
Seaview
Vero
Ironhorse
Palliser
Emerge
Bellamont
SkyWest
Anderson
Delphi
Rock
OpenRange
Hyperion
Arsenal
Sonde
Twoco
TwinButte
Cequence
Zargon
WestFire
TriOil
Artek
Petro-Reef
Yoho
DeeThree
RMP
Tamarack
Yangarra
Crocotta
Midway
Novus
Dejour
Reliable
Argosy
Longview
Renegade
Surge
Sure
WildStream
Whitecap
Bowood
Exall
Storm
Arcan
Strategic
Freehold
SecondWave
PaintedPony
Bonterra
Pinecrest
measuring valueThis chart shows each company’s enterprise value (market capitalization plus net debt) in relation to its average Q3 production levels. The chart does not take into account the value of land and seismic data or the quality and life expectancy of oil and gas reserves.
Companies that are high on this chart may be there because investors deem them to have strong growth prospects, quality long-life reserves, high field netbacks, high dividend or distribution yields, or exceptional management teams.
Companies that are low on this chart may be good value investments with excellent upside potential for investors who do their homework.
FORMULAmarket capitalization + net debt
avg. production in boe
Notes: Market capitalization = Nov. 30 share price x Q3 weighted average basic shares outstanding.
Net debt = bank debt + debentures – working capital.
For A/B share structure companies, the separate market price of B shares is factored into the market capitalization.
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M10
JUN
IOR
CO
MPA
RISO
N ENTERPRISE VALUE VERSUS Q3 PRODUCTION ($ PER BOE/D)Median = $59,912
(7.81)
(0.36)
4.41
4.58
5.62
5.76
6.28
8.43
9.49
10.74
10.88
11.11
11.54
12.42
13.22
13.32
14.43
15.16
15.18
17.58
17.70
18.36
18.39
18.69
19.32
20.03
20.09
20.94
21.84
22.57
23.14
23.19
24.50
25.06
25.19
25.52
25.94
28.37
30.03
31.59
33.00
35.27
35.62
37.33
38.29
39.95
41.64
43.08
43.59
43.67
48.85
56.72
58.28
61.33
71.49
(20.00) (10.00) 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00
Argosy
Sonde
Twoco
Ironhorse
Shoreline
Bowood
Palliser
Storm
Skope
Petro-Reef
WranglerWest
Terra
Cequence
Strategic
Waldron
Seaview
Dejour
Rock
RMP
Anderson
Vero
Zargon
SecondWave
Insignia
DeeThree
Yoho
TwinButte
Delphi
Bellamont
TriOil
Artek
Emerge
PaintedPony
SkyWest
Surge
Hyperion
Crocotta
Sure
Tamarack
Arcan
Longview
WestFire
WildStream
Bonterra
Renegade
Novus
Midway
Yangarra
Whitecap
Freehold
Exall
Arsenal
Pinecrest
Reliable
OpenRange
margins slipThe median cash flow netback slipped to $20.94 for Q3 2011 compared with $24.51/boe in Q2 2011. This is still higher than the $18.47/boe reported in Q1 2011, $14.92/boe reported in Q2 2010 and $10.25/boe reported in Q2 2009. The strong netback is largely a reflection of the juniors’ increasing oil weighting in combination with strong oil prices.
Cash flow is the result of adding back non-cash expenses such as depreciation and future taxes to net earnings. Cash flow takes into account the hard costs of operating as well as general and administrative costs.
Companies near the top of this chart are seeing the most economic benefit from existing production. Meanwhile, those near the bottom have costs that are reducing their margins.
FORMULAcash flow from operations
total production in the period
Note: Total production in the period = average daily production x 92 days in the period.
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 3 2 0 1 1 11
JUN
IOR
CO
MPA
RISO
NQ3 CASH FLOW NETBACK ($/BOE)Median = $20.94/boe
5.43
6.09
7.44
7.97
8.66
8.79
9.25
9.93
10.08
10.39
10.40
10.49
11.01
11.15
11.42
11.67
11.73
11.97
12.11
12.28
12.57
12.68
12.76
13.10
13.51
13.53
13.74
13.74
14.00
14.05
14.25
14.39
15.54
16.24
16.24
16.29
16.87
16.91
16.96
17.14
17.41
17.45
17.87
18.15
18.21
18.46
18.98
19.14
21.94
22.18
24.33
26.58
28.86
33.80
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00 40.00
Freehold
OpenRange
Yangarra
Crocotta
Skope
Ironhorse
Exall
Vero
Delphi
Storm
Seaview
Tamarack
WranglerWest
Insignia
Cequence
Waldron
RMP
Midway
Anderson
Twoco
PaintedPony
SkyWest
Artek
Petro-Reef
Bowood
Reliable
Bellamont
Sure
Shoreline
Dejour
Whitecap
Hyperion
Terra
Sonde
Novus
DeeThree
Zargon
Bonterra
Surge
Pinecrest
TriOil
Renegade
WestFire
TwinButte
WildStream
Longview
Argosy
Arsenal
Rock
Emerge
Arcan
Strategic
SecondWave
Palliser
cost controlThe median operating and transportation expense in Q3 2011 of $13.74/boe is almost unchanged from $13.36/boe in Q2 2011 and $13.53/boe reported in Q1 2011. In the third quarter of 2010, the median operating and transportation expense was lower at $12.77/boe.
Companies that do a good job of controlling operating and transportation costs earn more money from their production. The ability to be an efficient operator relates to the productivity of wells, the proximity of producing areas, economies of scale, control over facilities and a company’s production methods. Some companies with high operating costs this quarter may be incurring expenses in an operating area that will not increase when production increases for the area, showing the potential for improving economies of scale.
FORMULAoperating expenses including transportation costs
total production in the period
Note: Total production in the period = average daily production x 92 days in the period.
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M12
JUN
IOR
CO
MPA
RISO
N Q3 OPERATING AND TRANSPORTATION EXPENSES ($/BOE)Median = $13.74/boe
1.23
1.39
1.61
1.68
1.73
1.86
2.04
2.10
2.13
2.16
2.18
2.36
2.36
2.40
2.42
2.50
2.60
2.96
3.07
3.19
3.35
3.44
3.46
3.54
3.81
3.85
3.86
4.00
4.02
4.04
4.33
4.57
4.76
4.88
4.92
4.98
4.98
5.09
6.03
6.06
6.22
6.53
6.57
6.94
7.06
7.46
7.56
7.94
8.50
8.72
12.01
15.20
16.00
19.85
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00
Whitecap
Longview
Delphi
Skope
WildStream
Vero
TwinButte
Cequence
Yangarra
Freehold
PaintedPony
WestFire
Bonterra
Twoco
Crocotta
Exall
Waldron
Insignia
Midway
Artek
Seaview
RMP
Sure
SecondWave
Anderson
Emerge
Terra
Ironhorse
DeeThree
Bellamont
Rock
Arsenal
Zargon
WranglerWest
Surge
Petro-Reef
Pinecrest
Hyperion
OpenRange
Arcan
Renegade
TriOil
Tamarack
Novus
Reliable
SkyWest
Palliser
Bowood
Sonde
Shoreline
Storm
Dejour
Strategic
Argosy
minimizing the adminGeneral and administrative expenses (G&A) pay for the engineering, geology, accounting, business development and other office-related expenses of oil and gas companies. G&A should be lower per boe for larger companies because many of these costs are fixed and do not increase with the amount of production. A lower amount of G&A per boe is good as long as it isn’t at the cost of growth or of meeting the regulatory and legal requirements of being a public company.
Savvy investors should take the time to understand what is happening that causes expenses to be higher than peers and whether or not it will translate into growth that will reward shareholders.
Non-cash compensation expenses, mostly stock options and other share or unit-based incentives, often make up a significant portion of compensation packages at junior oil and gas companies. These are not included in this chart.
FORMULAgeneral & administrative expenses
total production in the period
Note: Total production in the period = average daily production x 92 days in the period.
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 3 2 0 1 1 13
JUN
IOR
CO
MPA
RISO
NQ3 GENERAL AND ADMINISTRATIVE CASH EXPENSES ($/BOE)Median = $3.93/boe
3.13
10.74
11.84
11.96
12.12
12.33
12.58
12.83
13.13
13.28
14.09
14.17
14.33
14.34
15.37
15.42
15.48
16.07
16.73
16.73
16.88
16.99
17.17
17.59
17.68
17.83
17.96
18.56
18.70
18.81
19.47
19.81
19.89
20.43
20.89
21.26
21.89
22.63
23.12
23.13
23.36
23.59
23.77
23.95
25.35
26.97
27.52
28.37
28.85
29.10
30.07
35.94
36.77
52.46
0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00
Ironhorse
Terra
Bonterra
Twoco
Shoreline
Argosy
Skope
Cequence
Artek
Waldron
TwinButte
Delphi
Bowood
Vero
WranglerWest
Arsenal
Crocotta
Zargon
Bellamont
Palliser
Sonde
Midway
Longview
Insignia
SkyWest
Freehold
Sure
Surge
PaintedPony
Anderson
OpenRange
Yangarra
Emerge
Petro-Reef
Exall
TriOil
Storm
Novus
DeeThree
Arcan
WestFire
WildStream
Whitecap
Seaview
Rock
RMP
Tamarack
Pinecrest
SecondWave
Strategic
Dejour
Renegade
Reliable
Hyperion
Writing down the reservesDepletion, depreciation and accretion expenses (DD&A) are an approximation of finding, development and acquisition costs for oil and gas reserves. DD&A expenses are an ongoing writedown of assets as they are used up. Increasing amounts may mean reserves were more expensive to acquire in the first place and as a result are losing value on the company’s books at a faster pace.
It’s worth noting that the numbers on this chart have been drawn directly from each company’s income statement. As a result, the amounts include one-time items. For example, Hyperion appears at the top of this list because this company’s DD&A includes an impairment charge for one of its cash generating units. This amount does not represent a normal run rate for Hyperion’s DD&A. In fact, fully $3.2 million of Hyperion’s $5.0 million in Q3 depletion relates to the one-time writedown. As a result, the ongoing writedown is actually $19.13 after $33.33 is removed for the one-time impairment.
FORMULAdepletion, depreciation & accretion expenses
total production in the period
Note: Total production in the period = average daily production x 92 days in the period.
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M14
JUN
IOR
CO
MPA
RISO
N Q3 DEPLETION, DEPRECIATION AND ACCRETION EXPENSES ($/BOE)Median = $18.26
1.7
2.2
3.3
3.8
4.2
4.3
4.3
4.6
4.7
4.7
4.7
4.8
5.2
5.4
5.7
5.7
5.9
6.1
6.2
6.3
6.5
6.9
7.0
7.0
7.1
7.3
7.5
7.8
8.1
8.1
8.2
8.7
8.8
9.1
10.1
10.3
11.1
11.4
11.8
12.6
13.3
13.3
13.8
14.0
15.2
17.3
18.7
19.8
26.0
30.6
34.5
45.5
58.8
0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0
OpenRange
Arsenal
Insignia
Emerge
SkyWest
Reliable
WestFire
Vero
Yangarra
Hyperion
Bellamont
WranglerWest
Midway
Delphi
Waldron
Seaview
Novus
Terra
Anderson
Tamarack
Skope
Artek
TriOil
TwinButte
Renegade
Whitecap
Exall
Rock
Longview
Crocotta
Zargon
Yoho
WildStream
DeeThree
Sure
Freehold
Surge
Pinecrest
RMP
Cequence
Arcan
Shoreline
Palliser
Bonterra
Petro-Reef
Dejour
Ironhorse
PaintedPony
SecondWave
Twoco
Strategic
Storm
Bowood
Sonde
ArgosyArgosy and Sonde had cash flow that was negative in comparison to their enterprise value and market capitalization.
multiplying cash flowThe dark bars on this chart show each company’s enterprise value as it relates to annualized cash flow. The lighter bars indicate the market capitalization to annualized cash flow. The difference between the two bars is each company’s net debt. Therefore, a quick glance at this chart doesn’t only show where a company trades in relation to its cash flow, but also shows debt positions.
This calculation of annualized cash flow multiples uses the closing market price on November 30, 2011 combined with Q3 2011 weighted average shares outstanding, net debt and cash flow. The values shown on the chart relate to the enterprise value multiples of annualized cash flow denoted by the dark bars.
FORMULAenterprise value
(cash flow for period x 4)
Note: Enterprise value = (Q3 weighted average basic shares x November 30, 2011 share price) + net debt.
For A/B share structure companies, the separate market price of B shares is also factored into the market capitalization.
Enterprise Value to Annualized Cash Flow
Market Capitalization to Annualized Cash Flow
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 3 2 0 1 1 15
JUN
IOR
CO
MPA
RISO
NANNUALIZED Q3 CASH FLOW MULTIPLESEnterprise Value to Annualized Cash Flow Median = 7.3 Market Capitalization to Annualized Cash Flow Median = 5.8
(17.0)
(3.3)
(0.7)
(0.2)
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.5
0.7
0.8
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.3
1.3
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.7
1.8
1.8
1.9
2.0
2.1
2.1
2.3
2.4
2.5
2.5
2.6
2.8
3.3
3.6
3.8
3.9
4.1
5.2
5.3
6.7
13.8
21.2
(20.0) (15.0) (10.0) (5.0) 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0
StormShorelinePinecrest
PaintedPonyHyperion
ArsenalDeeThreeCequence
TriOilOpenRange
TamarackFreeholdCrocottaReliable
WestFireWranglerWest
YangarraWildStream
EmergeYohoExall
WhitecapLongviewBonterra
RenegadeTwinButte
NovusZargon
SkyWestMidway
DelphiBellamont
InsigniaBowood
RMPDejour
RockSurgeArtek
WaldronStrategicSeaview
VeroSure
SkopeArcanTerra
AndersonPetro-Reef
PalliserSecondWave
IronhorseTwocoSonde
Argosy
The four companies at the bottom of this graph had positive cash positions rather than net debt. As
noted above, Sonde also reported a positive cash position, but had negative cash flow.
Argosy and Sonde both had negative cash flow for the quarter. Argosy reported net debt while Sonde reported a surplus.
Leveraging leverageThis measurement compares, in years, how long it would theoretically take to become debt free if cash flow remained steady year after year and it was 100 percent dedicated to paying down debt. In times where equity markets aren’t providing capital at a reasonable value, it can be advantageous for companies to use debt to finance growth. Assuming they are creditworthy, companies with less debt may be better positioned to seize asset-buying opportunities. Companies with higher debt may not have as many options.
Companies with negative values on the chart have a positive working capital position that they will be able to use to fund growth.
FORMULAnet debt
cash flow for period x 4
Note: Net debt = bank debt + debentures – working capital.
Convertible debentures make up a portion of the debt load for Anderson, Arcan, Strategic and Twoco.
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M16
JUN
IOR
CO
MPA
RISO
N Q3 NET DEBT TO ANNUALIZED CASH FLOWMedian = 1.5
(63.3)
(58.3)
(55.8)
(53.5)
(50.0)
(49.6)
(46.4)
(44.8)
(43.0)
(40.8)
(40.3)
(39.8)
(39.5)
(36.2)
(34.5)
(32.4)
(31.5)
(27.3)
(25.0)
(25.0)
(24.0)
(24.0)
(23.9)
(22.7)
(19.2)
(18.6)
(16.4)
(15.6)
(11.2)
(10.9)
(8.3)
(8.0)
(7.7)
(7.4)
(7.0)
(6.2)
(5.5)
(5.3)
(5.0)
(4.9)
(4.3)
(1.0)
(0.5)
0.0
0.0
1.2
3.0
3.3
7.6
8.1
14.0
20.3
25.0
26.6
(70.0) (60.0) (50.0) (40.0) (30.0) (20.0) (10.0) 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0
SkyWest
Vero
Waldron
Seaview
Ironhorse
Palliser
Terra
Bowood
Rock
DeeThree
Skope
Insignia
Reliable
Emerge
Argosy
Zargon
WestFire
Twoco
Anderson
Storm
Bellamont
Sonde
Midway
Hyperion
WildStream
Arsenal
Compass
Arcan
SecondWave
Novus
TriOil
Surge
Longview
Pinecrest
Strategic
Renegade
Bonterra
TwinButte
Tamarack
Sure
RMP
Freehold
Shoreline
WranglerWest
Yangarra
Cequence
Dejour
Delphi
Yoho
PaintedPony
Exall
Crocotta
Petro-Reef
Artek
pain, pain go awayAlmost the entire oil and gas sector suffered damage on the stock market in the third quarter of 2011. Only three companies managed to gain ground during the quarter, namely Cequence, Wrangler West and Open Range, while 53 companies lost between 2% and 60%. The median loss was 24%. The picture improves slightly when the following two months are added into the mix. From the beginning of the third quarter through the end of November 2011, 44 of the 56 juniors lost ground, with a median loss of 16%.
These numbers represent the total return, which includes dividends paid during the quarter. The juniors that paid dividends in Q3 include Bonterra, Freehold, Longview, Skope and Zargon.
We did not include Open Range on this list because the company and its subsidiary Poseidon Concepts started trading separately on November 4, 2011.
FORMULAcapital gain + total distributions in that period per share or unit
market price at end of the previous period
Note: Capital gain in period = market price at end of period – market price at end of previous period.
Share price change plus distributions from July through November 2011
Share price change plus distributions from July through September 2011
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 3 2 0 1 1 17
JUN
IOR
CO
MPA
RISO
NQ3 TOTAL RETURN - CAPITAL GAINS AND DISTRIBUTIONS OR DIVIDENDS (%)July through September Median = -24.0% July through November Median = -16.0%
For A/B share structures, B shares are not shown above, but are included in the calculations for some of our charts. When we calculate market capitalization, we use the A shares outstanding times the A share price, plus the B shares outstanding times the B share price.
Eastern Canada-focused juniors, coalbed methane-focused junior companies, and oil sands-focused junior companies are not included in this comparison.
Yoho’s year end is September 30. As such, Yoho’s fourth quarter results were compared to the third quarter for other issuers. Yoho has been left out of tables where the Q4 numbers were not available. Compass Petroleum’s year end is June 30. As such, Compass was only included in the total return comparison chart.
The data was provided by both CanOils database and BMIR researchers.
Shortenedcompanyname
Chiefexecutive
Stocksymbol& exchange(T=TSX, V=Venture)
Share priceNov 30/11
($)
Q3/11 average daily
production(boe/d)
Q3/11 weighted shares outstanding
(basic) including exchangeable
(000)
Sept 30/11net debt before
debentures($000)
Sept 30/11 debentures
outstanding ($000)
Q3/11net income
($000)
Q3/11cash flow
($000)Anderson Brian Dau AXL-T 0.60 7,351 172,550 108,583 84,334 7,472 11,893Arcan Ed Gilmet ARN-V 4.60 3,684 88,425 91,309 73,318 776 10,706Argosy Peter Salamon GSY-T 1.90 682 21,983 24,862 0 (1,702) (490) Arsenal Tony van Winkoop AEI-T 0.57 2,185 161,364 9,240 0 6,434 11,400Artek Darryl Metcalfe RTK-T 2.43 2,498 39,583 50,942 0 1,914 5,318Bellamont Steve Moran BMX.A-V 0 2,411 140,998 34,447 0 1,280 4,845Bonterra George Fink BNE-T 53 5,887 19,332 115,201 0 9,384 20,220Bowood Robert Mercier BWD-V 0 547 274,725 2,147 0 (1,213) 290Cequence Paul Wanklyn CQE-T 3 9,833 152,549 12,353 0 (1,884) 10,438Crocotta Robert Zakresky CTA-T 4 4,002 80,874 28,289 0 5,535 9,552
DeeThree Martin Cheyne DTX-T 2.13 2,135 63,064 3,356 0 (353) 3,795Dejour Robert Hodgkinson DEJ-T 0.34 514 121,391 5,813 0 (346) 682Delphi David Reid DEE-T 2.20 8,967 117,660 116,285 0 4,058 17,278Emerge Thomas Greschner EME-T 1.32 5,479 92,361 55,729 0 9,574 11,691Exall Roger Dueck EE-T 1.87 1,049 62,189 24,249 0 1,473 4,715Freehold William Ingram FRU-T 18.88 7,195 60,198 53,644 0 11,290 28,906Hyperion Trevor Spagrud HYX-V 0.85 1,050 54,190 613 0 (2,400) 2,465Insignia Jeffrey Newcommon ISN-T 1.03 2,957 30,660 36,316 0 (146) 5,085Ironhorse Larry Parks IOG-V 0.18 612 27,867 14,245 0 (1,644) 258Longview Kelly Drader LNV-T 10.60 6,071 46,745 98,472 0 7,148 18,434Midway Scott Ratushny MEL-T 3.19 4,608 79,255 117,003 0 6,364 17,653Novus Hugh Ross NVS-V 0.82 2,159 169,700 48,358 0 3,460 7,933OpenRange Scott Dawson ONR-T 2.00 4,174 68,436 46,399 0 14,822 27,454PaintedPony Patrick Ward PPY.A-V 12.10 4,064 59,592 (6,709) 0 4,765 9,159Palliser Kevin Gibson PXL-V 0.65 1,418 43,130 17,294 0 (905) 820Petro-Reef Gary Van Nest PER-V 0.40 605 59,694 12,369 0 172 598Pinecrest Wade Becker PRY-V 2.25 1,563 180,660 (24,511) 0 1,730 8,378Reliable Murray Swanson REL-V 0.23 679 236,573 11,698 0 1,656 3,831Renegade Michael Erickson RPL-V 2.89 2,852 77,308 59,848 0 (617) 10,045RMP John Ferguson RMP-T 2.20 3,400 84,287 37,822 0 (4,111) 4,749Rock Allen Bey RE-T 2.35 2,862 38,785 34,120 0 459 3,993Seaview Michael Wuetherick CVU.A-V 0.46 2,263 65,553 29,176 0 (2,929) 2,773SecondWave Colin Witwer SCS-T 2.31 1,470 82,968 66,767 0 899 2,486Shoreline Trevor Folk SEQ-T 8.06 895 3,830 (6,171) 0 (320) 463Skope Henry Cohen SKL-T 5.50 4,319 8,078 54,359 0 (2,436) 3,771SkyWest Lawrence Urichuk SKW-V 0.18 1,522 202,428 22,149 0 680 3,510Sonde Jack Schanck SOQ-T 2.38 2,946 62,300 (10,315) 0 (591) (98)Storm Brian Lavergne SRX-V 3.75 511 26,377 (26,917) 0 (1,023) 396Strategic Arn Schoch SOG-V 0.93 884 139,009 6,833 3,425 (1,395) 1,011Sure Jeffrey Boyce SHR-T 1.55 1,057 48,549 36,342 0 (293) 2,759Surge Daniel O'Neil SGY-T 8.96 6,166 56,119 128,889 0 4,811 14,291Tamarack Brian Schmidt TVE-V 0.38 1,101 186,402 5,623 0 (137) 3,042Terra Cas Morel TT-T 0.52 6,053 101,888 97,453 0 (1,701) 6,188TriOil Russell Tripp TOL-V 2.20 1,242 31,318 3,232 0 121 2,579TwinButte Jim Saunders TBE-T 2.30 7,599 135,380 83,749 0 7,522 14,042Twoco Wayne Malinowski TWO-V 0.16 613 58,625 17,853 3,233 (626) 249Vero Douglas Bartole VRO-T 2.27 9,262 48,990 167,322 0 859 15,085Waldron Ernie Sapieha WDN-T 1.26 2,767 34,332 33,270 0 (310) 3,366WestFire Lowell Jackson WFE-T 4.69 8,460 82,969 88,031 0 11,427 27,448Whitecap Grant Fagerheim WCP-T 8.56 6,485 72,167 137,045 0 10,063 26,006WildStream Neil Roszell WSX-V 9.25 6,190 67,906 88,290 0 10,427 20,284WranglerWest Steven Johnson WX-V 2.00 822 6,466 2,881 0 (231) 823Yangarra James Evaskevich YGR-V 0.63 1,253 116,307 19,545 0 4,106 4,968Yoho Brian McLachlan YO-V 3.55 2,423 37,500 22,559 0 (755) 4,465Zargon Craig Hansen ZAR-T 13.95 9,014 29,169 93,224 0 30,692 15,229 TOTAL 188,810 2,400,977 164,310 153,305 447,229
AVERAGE 3,433 43,654 2,987 2,787 8,131
MEDIAN 2,498 33,270 680 4,845
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M18
JUN
IOR
CO
MPA
RISO
N JUNIOR DATA TABLE
Company Reported Data Q1, 2011 Q3, 2011 Change +/- %
Company Guidance 2011 2011 2012 2011 +/- 2011-12 +/-(Issued Dec ‘10) (Issued Nov ‘11) (Issued Nov ’11)
Broker Consensus* 2011 2012 2011-12 +/-(Issued Nov ’11) (Issued Nov ’11)
Significant M&A Activity
Significant Financing Activity
Shares Outstanding @ End Period 41.8m 72.2m + 72.5%Share Price @ End Period $6.79 $5.62 - 17.2%Market Cap @ End Period $284m $405.8m + 42.8%Enterprise Value @ End Period $341.9m $510.4m + 49.3%Net Debt (Net of Working Capital) $75.8m $131.2m + 73.2%Total Crude/NGL Production (b/d) 1,826 4,160 + 127.8%Total Gas Production (mmcf/d) 6.666 13.951 + 109.3%Total BOE Production 2,937 6,485 + 120.8%Cash Netback per BOE $31.35 $43.59 + 39%Operating Costs per BOE $12.93 $11.95 - 7.6%G&A per BOE $2.67 $1.23 - 53.1%
Key Play Areas – Bakken Light Oil, Cardium Light Oil, Lloydminster Heavy Oil, Montney Shale
Average Production (boe/d) 4,000 5,600 9,000 - 9,200 + 40% + 60.7%Oil/Gas Split % 65/35 65/35 70/30 n/a n/aExit Production (boe/d) 5,000 8,300 9,900 – 10,100 + 66% + 19.3%Cash Flow from Operations $54m $86m $138-141m + 59.3% + 60.5%Capital Expenditures $56.5m $135m $150m + 138.9% + 11.1%Wells Drilled (Gross) 35 58 65 + 65.7% + 12.1%Operating Netback per BOE $42.15 $45.50 $46.00 + 7.9% + 1.1%
Average Production (boe/d) 5,618 9,056 + 61.2%Oil/NGL Production (b/d) 3,654 6,361 + 74.1%Gas Production (mmcf/d) 11.793 16.151 + 36.9%Oil/Gas Split % 65/35 70/30 n/aCash Flow from Operations $82.6m $139.5m + 68.9%Capital Expenditures $144.3m $150.6m +4.4%Cash Flow per Share $1.27 $1.85 + 45.7%Net Debt $153.9m $167.2m + 8.6%
*Brokers Used in Consensus – AltaCorp , Cormark, Dundee, Desjardins , First Energy, GMP Securities, Haywood & National Bank
Whitecap Resources acquires Spry Energy Ltd - Announced, 8th March 2011, Closed 20th April 2011
Total Acquisition Cost - $224.5m (Included $130.9m Cash, $57.4m Share Consideration & $36m Net Debt & Working Capital)
Production 1P Reserves 2P Reserves(boe/d) (000’ boe) (000’ boe)
Acquired boe 2,600 5,832 9,930Cost per boe $86,344 $38.49 $22.61Normalized Cost per boe* $69,366 $30.92 $21.45Normalized Average Cost per boe** $84,466 $31.25 $20.18
Difference to Normalized Average -$15,100 -$0.33 +$1.27
*Metrics adjusted/normalized for the value of undeveloped land and 4.1 mboe of 3P Reserves**Average metrics based on 2011 Cardium, Bakken & Lloydminster deals (as per CanOils normalized metrics)
Bought Deal Prospectus Offering of 22m Subscription Receipts at $6.80 each for Gross Proceeds of $149.6m – Announced, 8th March 2011, Closed 29th March 2011
Company Share Price Day Prior - $7 (2.9% Discount)
20 Day VWAP - $7.06 (3.7% Disc.) 15 Day VWAP - $7.10 (4.2% Disc.) 10 Day VWAP - $7.17 (5.1% Disc.) 5 Day VWAP - $7.16 (5% Disc.)
Underwriter Fee per Share of $0.34 Lead Underwriter – GMP with 36% or $53.9m Gross Purchases
*7 other Syndicate Members – National Bank (24%), Macquarie (10%), First Energy (10%), Casmir (5%), Cormark (5%), Haywood (5%) & Peters & Co (5%)
CanOilsAn Evaluate Energy Service
A Canoils snapshot for 2011/12
CanOils provides key data and analysis for publicly traded E&P companies on the TSX/TSX-V including; annual/quarterly reporting, Company
Guidance, M&A deal metrics, Financings and a weekly Broker Consensus estimate. A high-level snapshot for Whitecap Resources is included below.
Whitecap Resources – WCP listed on TSX
CanOilsAn Evaluate Energy Service
A Canoils snapshot for 2011/12
CanOils provides key data and analysis for publicly traded E&P companies on the TSX/TSX-V including; annual/quarterly reporting, Company
Guidance, M&A deal metrics, Financings and a weekly Broker Consensus estimate. A high-level snapshot for Whitecap Resources is included below.
Whitecap Resources – WCP listed on TSX
iQ SNAPSHOT
This company snapshot has been assembled by BMIR using publicly available information. The snapshot is not endorsed by the company profiled.
Focus of Operations
REPOSITIONED FOR OIL PRODUCTION GROWTH Listing: TSX-AXL
Shares outstanding: 172.6 million at September 30, 2011
Share price: $0.60 at November 30, 2011
Market capitalization: $103.5 million
Net debt: $192.9 million at September 30, 2011
Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $296.4 million
Q3 2011 average daily production:
Crude oil and NGLs 2,345 bbls/d 32%
Natural gas 30.04 mmcf/d 68%
Total 7,351 boe/d 100%
Cash flow netback:
Oil
Gas
$0 $50AXL $17.58
Peer Median$20.94
Recent News:November 15, 2011 Anderson Energy Announces Strong 2011 Third Quarter Results, a 76% Increase in Oil and NGL Production and Doubled Cardium Proved Plus Probable Reserves
October 26, 2011 Anderson Energy Provides Operations Update
August 15, 2011 Anderson Energy Announces 2011 Second Quarter Results
Strategies:• FocusedDevelopmentonCardiumLightOilProduction • Oilprovidesstrongercashflowsthannaturalgasandreducesdebtleverage
over time
• Balancedoilandnaturalgasproductionprofileanticipatedbysometimein2012
• FocusedcentralAlbertadevelopmentlandposition
• FullyFunded2012CapitalProgram • 4.25to5.75yeartimehorizonforasignificantportionoflong-termdebtreduces
refinancingrisk
• Sufficientroomonexistingbanklinetoprovideoperationalflexibility
• InnovativeExperiencedTeaminPlace • Strongtechnicalteamprovidesinnovativesolutionstodeveloping
Cardium resources
— from Anderson Energy November 2011 corporate presentation
Contact:700SelkirkHouse 555-4th Avenue SW Calgary, Alberta T2P 3E7
tel 403.262.6307
[email protected] www.andersonenergy.ca
Analyst Coverage:BMO Nesbitt Burns
CIBCWorldMarkets
CormarkSecurities
GMP Securities
NationalBankFinancial
RBC Dominion Securities
Salman Partners
Scotia Capital
Officers:Brian Dau - President & CEO
DavidSpyker-COO
M. Darlene Wong - VP, Finance, CFO
& Secretary
Blaine M. Chicoine - VP, Drilling
& Operations
PhilipHarvey -VP,Exploitation
Sandra Drinnan - VP, Land
Jamie Marshall -VP,Exploration
PatrickO’Rourke - VP, Production
Directors:J.C. Anderson - Chairman
Brian Dau
Christopher Fong
GlennHockley
David Sandmeyer
David Scobie
Ferrier
Garrington
Willesden Green
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This company snapshot has been assembled by BMIR using publicly available information. The snapshot is not endorsed by the company profiled.
Focus of Operations
OIL FOCUSED INVENTORY Listing: TSX-AEI
Shares outstanding: 159.4 million at September 30, 2011
Share price: $0.57 at November 30, 2011
Market capitalization: $90.8 million
Net debt: $9.2 million at September 30, 2011
Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): 100.1 million
Q3 2011 average daily production:
Crude oil and NGLs 1,926 bbls/d 88%
Natural gas 1.55 mmcf/d 12%
Total 2,185 boe/d 100%
Cash flow netback:
Oil
Gas
$0 $60AEI $56.72
Peer Median$20.94
Recent News:December 15, 2011 Arsenal Energy Releases Operational Update
December 1, 2011 Arsenal Energy Releases Operational Update
November 15, 2011 Arsenal Energy Closes Strategic Acquisition in its Core Oil Producing Areas Alberta
Strategies:• 72%OilweightingbyProduction
• Highoperatingmargins–$40.48
• Tradingbelowitspeergroup • BasedonSharePriceNovember30,2011andEnterpriseValue~0.42xNAVPS, ~$36,800boe/d;~$11.06/P+Pboe
— from Arsenal December 2011 corporate presentation
Contact:1900, 639-5th Avenue S.W. Calgary, Alberta T2P 0M9
tel 403.262.4854
[email protected] www.arsenalenergy.com
Analyst Coverage:Casimir Capital
Clarus Securities
Desjardins Securities
National Bank Financial
PI Financial
Officers:Tony van Winkoop - President & CEO
J.PaulLawrence-VP,Finance&CFO
RonForth-VP,Engineering
GjoaTaylor-VP,Land
LeoNolte-VP,Drilling&Completions
KenSawatzky-VP,Facilities
Directors:WilliamHews
HarleyKempthorne
Neil MacKay - Chairman
BillPowers
Tony van Winkoop
Evi
North Dakota
Southeast Alberta
Desan
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This company snapshot has been assembled by BMIR using publicly available information. The snapshot is not endorsed by the company profiled.
Focus of Operations
REAL ASSETS WITH REAL GROWTHListing: TSX-DEE
Shares outstanding: 117.9 million at September 30, 2011
Share price: $2.20 at November 30, 2011
Market capitalization: $259.5 million
Net debt: $116.3 million at September 30, 2011
Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $375.7 million
Q3 2011 average daily production:
Crude oil and NGLs 2,469 bbls/d 28%
Natural gas 38.99 mmcf/d 72%
Total 8,967 boe/d 100%
Cash flow netback:
Oil
Gas
$0 $50DEE $20.94
Peer Median$20.94
Recent News:December 2, 2011Delphi Energy Announces Increase to Equity Financing
December 2, 2011Delphi Energy Announces Equity Financing
November 9, 2011DelphiEnergyReportsContinuedProductionGrowthonStrongCashFlow
Strategies:• Well-positionedfororganicgrowthwithalargeinventoryofdevelopmentopportunitiescomplementedbyahigh-impactexplorationprogram:
• Disciplinedfieldcapitalprograminternallygeneratedandprotectedthrough active commodity hedging program
• Operatorshipandownershipofinfrastructure,production,capitalandlands
• Complementaryconventionalmulti-zonedeepbasinassetbase
• Focusedongrowththroughthedrillbitcomplementedwithstrategic acquisitionswithincoreareas
— from Delphi website
Contact:300,500–4AvenueS.W. Calgary, Alberta T2P 2V6
tel 403.265.6171
[email protected] www.delphienergy.ca
Analyst Coverage:Canaccord Genuity
CIBCWorldMarkets
GMP Securities
Macquarie Capital
Maison Placements
NationalBankFinancial
Peters & Co.
RBCCapitalMarkets
Salman Partners
Scotia Capital
Stifel Nicolaus
Officers:David Reid - President & CEO
Tony Angelidis -Sr.VP,Exploration
Brian Kohlhammer - Sr. VP, Finance & CFO
HugoBatteke - VP, Operations
Michael Galvin - VP, Land
RodHume - Sr. VP, Engineering
Directors:Tony Angelidis
HarryCampbell
Robert Lehodey
Stephen Mulherin
AndrewOsis
David Reid
David Sandmeyer
Lamont Tolley
North West Alberta Region
North East British Columbia Region
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This company snapshot has been assembled by BMIR using publicly available information. The snapshot is not endorsed by the company profiled.
Focus of Operations
CRUDE OIL FOCUS AT MITSUE, MARTEN MOUNTAIN, ABListing: TSX-EE
Shares outstanding: 62.2 million at September 30, 2011
Share price: $1.87 at November 30, 2011
Market capitalization: $116.3 million
Net debt: $24.2 million at September 30, 2011
Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $140.5 million
Q3 2011 average daily production:
Crude oil and NGLs 935 bbls/d 89%
Natural gas 0.69 mmcf/d 11%
Total 1,049 boe/d 100%
Cash flow netback:
Oil
Gas
$0 $50EE $48.85
Peer Median$20.94
Recent News:December 15, 2011Exall Energy Corporation Announces Successful 3D Seismic Channel Test Well in the Marten Moutain Area, Mitsue, Alberta
December 1, 2011Exall Energy Updates Drilling Operations
November 8, 2011Exall Energy Announces Results for the Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2011
Strategies:• Acquiretherightassetsattherighttime • Continuouslyacquireanddevelopcorelandholdingswithabaseofhighnetback
production in resource oil areas • Focusonoilwhichhasamorestableoutlookwithhighnetbacksandfavorable
recycle ratios• Employandrefinetechnologytooptimizevalue • Learnfrompeers • ExecuteEOR’stomaximizeultimatereserverecovery • Applynewtechnologytooldareas• Maintainbalancesheetflexibility• Exploitassetssufficientlytoachievemaximumshareholdervalue • Threetofiveyearbusinesscycle • Exitattheoptimaltime
— from Exall Energy Road Show November 2011
Contact:400, 715 - 5th Avenue S.W. Calgary, Alberta T2P 2X6
tel 403.237.7820
www.exall.com
Analyst Coverage:Casmir Capital
Dundee Securities
EmergingEquities
Jennings Capital
Officers:Stephen Roman - Executive Chairman
RogerDueck-President&CEO
WarrenColes-VP,Finance&CFO
GlenKerr-VP,Operations&COO
JanetMacKenzie-VP,Exploration
Directors:RogerDueck
Wayne Egan
Bernard Lang
AllanMenzies
RoderickPhipps
FrankRebeyka
Stephen Roman
Mitsue
AitkenCreek
BowIsland
Jayar
Harris County
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This company snapshot has been assembled by BMIR using publicly available information. The snapshot is not endorsed by the company profiled.
Focus of Operations
FOCUSED LIGHT OIL RESOURCE PLAYER Listing:TSXV-HYX
Shares outstanding: 54.2 million at September 30, 2011
Share price: $0.85 at November 30, 2011
Market capitalization: $46.1 million
Net debt: $0.613 million at September 30, 2011
Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $46.7 million
Q3 2011 average daily production:
Crude oil and NGLs 572 bbls/d 54%
Natural gas 2.87 mmcf/d 46%
Total 1,050 boe/d 100%
Cash flow netback:
Oil
Gas
$0 $50HYX $25.52
Peer Median$20.94
Recent News:December 15, 2011 HyperionExplorationCorp.Achieves2011ProductionAndCapitalExpenditureGuidanceAndProvidesOperations Update
November 28, 2011 HyperionExplorationAnnouncesFinancialand Operating Results for the Three Months Ended September 30, 2011
October 6, 2011 HyperionExplorationAnnouncesOperationsUpdate
Strategies:• Focusedlightoilplayerwithabilitytotripleproductionandreservesin2011
• Scaleandrepeatabilitygainedthroughacquisitionofcoreassets
• ManagementandBoardwithahistoryofdeliveringgrowthandvalue
• Financialflexibilitytoexecuteonasubstantial2012drillprogram
• Strongbalancesheetthatisabletodeliver2011capitalprogram
— from Hyperion Exploration November 2011 corporate presentation
Contact:2010, 355 - 4th Avenue S.W. Calgary, Alberta T2P 0J1
tel 403.930.0700
[email protected] www.hyperionexploration.com
Analyst Coverage:Canaccord Genuity
DesjardinsCapitalMarkets
DundeeCapitalMarkets
GMP Securities
Paradigm Capital
Officers:Trevor Spagrud - President & CEO
LarryHammond-COO
Doug Bailey - CFO
Tim Gee - VP, Engineering
RyanHeath-VP,Land&BusinessDevelopment
SteveHorth-Manager,Exploration
Directors:RodMaxwell
DanO’Neil
Greg Turnbull
Trevor Spagrud
Greg Bay
Paradise
Garrington
PembinaNiton
BuckLake
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M24
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This company snapshot has been assembled by BMIR using publicly available information. The snapshot is not endorsed by the company profiled.
Focus of Operations
PUSHING FORWARD - 100% OIL WEIGHTED PRODUCTION BASEListing: TSXV-IOGShares outstanding: 27.9 million at September 30, 2011
Share price: $0.18 at November 30, 2011
Market capitalization: $5.0 million
Net debt: $14.2 million at September 30, 2011
Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $19.3 million
Q3 2011 average daily production:
Crude oil and NGLs 89 bbls/d 15%
Natural gas 3.14 mmcf/d 85%
Total 612 boe/d 100%
Cash flow netback:
Oil
Gas
$0 $50IOG $4.58
Peer Median$20.94
Recent News:November 25, 2011Ironhorse Oil & Gas Announces Third Quarter 2011 Financial and Operating Results
October 13, 2011 IronhorseOil&GasSellsShackletonGasPropertytoFocusonOilatPembina,LeonLake
August 24, 2011Ironhorse Oil & Gas Announces Second Quarter 2011 Financial and Operating Results
Strategies:• Sellassetstostrengthenthebalancesheet
• Pursuelowrisk,repeatableoilresourceplays
• PlacePembinaoilwellsonproduction
— from Ironhorse website
Contact:1000,324–8thAvenueS.W. Calgary, Alberta T2P 2Z2
tel 403.355.3620
[email protected] www.ihorse.ca
Analyst Coverage:N/A
Officers:LarryParks-President&CEO
Rob Solinger - VP, Finance & CFO
Timothy Veenstra - COO
Directors:WayneChow
Rob Desbarats
LarryParks
Gerald Quinn
Michael Royan
Jedney
Pembina
Dawson
LeonLake
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This company snapshot has been assembled by BMIR using publicly available information. The snapshot is not endorsed by the company profiled.
Focus of Operations
VIKING FOCUS, GROWING THROUGH THE DRILL BITListing: TSXV-NVS
Shares outstanding: 169.1 million at September 30, 2011
Share price: $0.82 at November 30, 2011
Market capitalization: $138.6 million
Net debt: $48.4 million at September 30, 2011
Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $187 million
Q3 2011 average daily production:
Crude oil and NGLs 1,730 bbls/d 80%
Natural gas 2.57 mmcf/d 20%
Total 2,159 boe/d 100%
Cash flow netback:
Oil
Gas
$0 $50NVS $39.95
Peer Median$20.94
Recent News:December 9, 2011 Novus energy Grants Incentive Stock Options
November 22, 2011 Novus Energy Announces Third Quarter 2011 Financial and Operating Results
September 12, 2011 Novus Energy Announces Normal Course Issuer Bid
Strategies:• Targetsignificant“OriginalOilInPlace”(OOIP)opportunitieswithlow
recovery factors
• Applyhorizontalmulti-stagefracturetechnologytoexponentiallyincrease recovery factors
• Focusonlightoil
• Continuouslyimprovehorizontalmulti-stagefracingtechnologytoreducecosts anduncoveradditionalreserveswithimprovedeconomics
• Emphasizewelldelineated,lowgeologicalriskreserveswithlargedevelopmentdrilling inventories
• Havecoreareaswithlargelandpositions,operatorshipandinfrastructurecontrol tofacilitateexecutinglargerscaledrillingprograms
— from Novus Energy September 2011 corporate presentation
Contact:5200, 150 - 6th Avenue S.W. Calgary,AlbertaT2P3Y7
tel 403.263.4310
[email protected] www.novusenergy.ca
Analyst Coverage:Canaccord Genuity
CIBC World Markets
Clarus Securities
Cormark Securities
Desjardins Securities
GMPSecurities
HaywoodSecurities
Jacob Securities
Jennings Capital
ParadigmCapital
Raymond James
Stifel Nicolaus
Officers:HughRoss-President&CEO
KetanPanchmatia-VP,Finance&CFO
GregGroten-VP,Exploration
JulianDin-VP,BusinessDevelopment
JackLane-VP,Operations
Directors:MichaelHalvorson
HarryKnutson
Al Kroontje
A. Bruce Macdonald
Larry Mah
HughRoss
Dodsland(Viking)
Wapiti
Garrington
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M26
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This company snapshot has been assembled by BMIR using publicly available information. The snapshot is not endorsed by the company profiled.
Focus of Operations
LARGE OIL PLAYS, JUDY CREEK FOCUSListing: TSX-SCS
Shares outstanding: 83 million at September 30, 2011
Share price: $2.31 at November 30, 2011
Market capitalization: $191.8 million
Net debt: $66.8 million at November 30, 2011
Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $258.5 million
Q3 2011 average daily production:
Crude oil and NGLs 971 bbls/d 66%
Natural gas 2.99 mmcf/d 34%
Total 1,470 boe/d 100%
Cash flow netback:
Oil
Gas
$0 $50SCS $18.39
Peer Median$20.94
Recent News:November 14, 2011 SecondWaveAnnouncesContinuedBeaverhillLakeDrilling Success, Increased Credit Facility and Filing of 2011 Third Quarter Financial Results
September 7, 2011 SecondWaveAnnouncesBeaverhillLakeDrillingSuccess and Operational Update
August 15, 2011 Second Wave Announces Filing of Second Quarter Financial Results
Strategies:• Fastgrowththroughthedrillbit
• UtilizeresourceplaypotentialofJudyCreekproperties
• Highworkinginterestsandoperatorshipincoreareas
• Exploitmulti-zonepotentialonsignificantlandbase
Strengths:• Experiencedmanagementteamwithspecialtiesinpropertyareas andhorizontaldrilling
• Stableoil-weightedbase
• Largedrillinginventoryofbothhighimpactexplorationwellsand lowerriskdevelopmentwells
• Yearroundaccesswithfacilitiesandservicesavailable
— from Second Wave website
Contact:1400, 202 - 6th Avenue S.W. Calgary, Alberta T2P 2R9
tel 403.451.0165
Analyst Coverage:Accumen Capital
Clarus Securities
Desjardins Securities
GMP Securities
RBCCapitalMarkets
NationalBankFinancial
Scotia Capital
Officers:ColinWitwer-President&CEO
RandyDenecky-VP,Finance&CFO
DouglasHibbs-VP,Exploration
Randy Bergmann - VP, Land
Devery Neumann - VP, Operations
Directors:BrianBaker
NeilBokenfohr
DonaldFoulkes
Robert Goods
Jim Reid
Alan Steele
ColinWitwer
BattleCreek
JudyCreek
Tableland
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This company snapshot has been assembled by BMIR using publicly available information. The snapshot is not endorsed by the company profiled.
Focus of Operations
EXPANDING LIGHT OIL RESOURCE OPPORTUNITIESListing: TSXV-SOG
Shares outstanding: 139.0 million at September 30, 2011
Share price: $0.93 at November 30, 2011
Market capitalization: $129.3 million
Net Debt: $10.3 million at September 30, 2011
Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $139.5 million
Q3 2011 average daily production:
Crude oil and NGLs 565 bbls/d 64%
Natural gas 1.92 mmcf/d 36%
Total 884 boe/d 100%
Cash flow netback:
Oil
Gas
$0 $50SOG $12.42
Peer Median$20.94
Recent News:December 12, 2011 Strategic Announces Correction of Date of Independent Auditors Report
November 30, 2011 Strategic Oil & Gas Announces $40,070,000 Bought Deal Financing
November 16, 2011 Strategic Oil & Gas Continues Drilling Success at Steen RiverwithVerticalWellProductionTestat250BOEPD
Strategies:• Exploit • Developthe500+MMbbllightoilresourceatMaxhamish
• DevelopKegRiverlightoilpotentialatSteenRiver
• Explore • Explorethemulti-zoneoilfairwayforlightoilopportunitiesatSteenRiver
• LightoilopportunitiesinWesternCanadausingextensivedatasets
• Enhance • IncreaserecoveryusingwaterfloodandotherEORtechniques
— from Strategic website
Contact:1800,510–5thStreetS.W. Calgary, Alberta T2P 3S2
tel 403.718.0183
[email protected] www.sogoil.com
Analyst Coverage:Clarus Securities
DesjardinsCapitalMarkets
Dundee Securities
MacquarieCapitalMarkets
PI Financial
Raymond James
Officers:Arn Schoch - CEO
GurpreetSawhney-President
SeanHayes-COO
KirkBoote-VP,Operations
Directors:Arn Schoch
Colin McNeil
D.RichardSkeith
JohnW.Harkins
Steen RiverMaxhamish
Ferrier
Taber/ConradHarmattan
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M28
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Focus of Operations
UNIQUELY POSITIONED TO DELIVER TOP TIER PERFORMANCEListing: TSXV-SGY
Shares outstanding: 56.1 million at September 30, 2011
Share price: $8.96 at November 30, 2011
Market capitalization: $502.9 million
Net debt: $128.9 million at September 30, 2011
Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $631.7 million
Q3 2011 average daily production:
Crude oil and NGLs 3,781 bbls/d 61%
Natural gas 14.31 mmcf/d 39%
Total 6,166 boe/d 100%
Cash flow netback:
Oil
Gas
$0 $50SGY $25.19
Peer Median$20.94
Recent News:December 15, 2011 Surge Energy Inc. Announces 1,200 bbl/d Private Company Acquisition of Focused Slave Point/Gilwood Light Oil Assets and 2012 Guidance
November 9, 2011 Surge Energy Announces Record Third Quarter 2011 Results, Provides Operational Update and Increases its 2011 Capital Program and Exit Production Guidance
October 19, 2011 Surge Energy Obtains Toronto Stock Exchange Listing
Strategies:• Evolveintoatoptierintermediateoilandgasproducerwithafocusonoil
• Acquire&Develop‘Brownfield’OilResourcePlays
• ImplementSecondaryRecoverytoOptimizeNetPresentValueforShareholders
• Identify&Capture‘Greenfield’OilResourcesPlays
— from Surge Energy November 2011 corporate presentation
Contact:2100, 635 - 8th Avenue S.W. Calgary, Alberta T2P 3M3
tel 403.930.1010
[email protected] www.surgeenergy.ca
Analyst Coverage:AltaCorp. Capital
BMO Capital Markets
CIBC World Markets
Cormark Securities
DesjardinsSecurities
DundeeSecurities
FirstEnergy Capital
GMP Securities
Macquarie Securities Group
National Bank Financial
Northland Capital Partners
Peters&Co.
Scotia Capital
TDSecurities
Officers:DanO’Neil -President&CEO
Max Lof - CFO
DanBrown-COO
Malcolm Adams - VP, CorporateDevelopment
Margaret Elekes - VP, Land
Kevin Angus - VP, Exploration
Tee Ong - VP, Engineering
Directors:Peter BannisterPaul Colborne - ChairmanColinDaviesRobert Leach
Keith MacdonaldDanO’NeilJames PasiekaMurray Smith
Southeastern Alberta
Western Alberta
Manitoba&NorthDakota
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iQ SNAPSHOT
This company snapshot has been assembled by BMIR using publicly available information. The snapshot is not endorsed by the company profiled.
Focus of Operations
EXPLORATION FOCUSED, STRONG BOE FINANCIAL RESULTSListing:TSXV-YOShares outstanding: 39.9 million at September 30, 2011
Share price: $3.55 at November 30, 2011
Market capitalization: $141.8 million
Net debt: $22.6 million at September 30, 2011
Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $164.3 million
Average daily production for the quarter ended September 30, 2011:
Crude oil and NGLs 585 bbls/d 24%
Natural gas 11.03 mmcf/d 76%
Total 2,423 boe/d 100%
Cash flow netback:
Oil
Gas
$0 $50YO $20.03
Peer Median$20.94
Recent News:December 12, 2011 YohoResourcesAnnouncesBoughtDealFinancingConcurrentPrivatePlacementsofFlow-ThroughShares
December 8, 2011 YohoReourcesAnnouncesFiscal2011FinancialandOperating Results
November 28, 2011 YohoResourcesAnnounces54%IncreaseinTotalProved plus Probable Reserves as at September 30, 2011 and updates operations
Strategies:• Developunconventionalexplorationprojects
• Increasefocusonoilandhighliquidsnaturalgasplays
• Pursuesmallerpropertyacquisitions
• Pursuesmallercorporateopportunities
• Continuetomaximizeper-barrelofoilequivalentfinancialresults
— From Yoho Resources website
Contact:750, 736 - 6 Avenue SW Calgary, AB T2P 3T7
tel 403.537.1771
[email protected] www.yohoresources.ca
Analyst Coverage:Acumen Capital Partners
MackieResearch
Paradigm Capital
Peters & Co.
Officers:Brian McLachlan - President & CEO
Barry Stobo - VP, Engineering & COO
Wendy Woolsey - VP, Finance & CFO
ClarkDrader-VP,Land
Directors:Bruce Allford
John Brussa
Peter Kurceba
Brian McLachlan
Kevin Olson
Gary Perron
Terry Svarich, Chairman
Northeast British Columbia
Peace River Arch
West Central Alberta
This company snapshot has been assembled by BMIR using publicly available information. The snapshot is not endorsed by the company profiled.
Focus of Operations
TARGETED ASSETS, SUSTAINABLE CORPORATE GROWTH Listing: TSXV-TVE
Shares outstanding: 186.4 million at September 30, 2011
Share price: $0.38 at November 30, 2011
Market capitalization: $70.8 million
Net debt: $5.6 million at September 30, 2011
Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $76.5 million
Q3 2011 average daily production:
Crude oil and NGLs 460 bbls/d 42%
Natural gas 3.85 mmcf/d 58%
Total 1,101 boe/d 100%
Cash flow netback:
Oil
Gas
$0 $50TVE $30.03
Peer Median$20.94
Recent News:November 25, 2011 Tamarack Valley Energy Completes Non-Brokered $4.1 million Flow-Through Share Financing
November 16, 2011 Tamarack Valley Energy Announces Non-Brokered $4.1 million Flow-Through Share Financing
November 14, 2011 Tamarack Valley Energy Releases Buck Lake Drilling Results - Produces 627 boe/d
Strategies:• TamarackValleyusesarigorous,provenmodellingprocesstocarefullymanagerisk
and identify growth opportunities. This strategic play model targets: • Resourceplayswithhighoriginalgasinplaceandoriginaloilinplace
• Longlifereserves
• Horizonsthatarerepeatableandhavelargescope
• Focusonriskminimization
— from Tamarack Valley November 2011 corporate presentation
Contact:1800, 407 - 2nd Street S.W. Calgary, Alberta T2P 2Y3
tel 403.263.4440
[email protected] www.tamarackvalley.ca
Analyst Coverage:Acumen Capital Partners
Alta Corp Capital
Dundee Capital Markets
HaywoodSecurities
Paradigm Capital
Officers:Brian Schmidt - President & CEO
RonHozjan-VP,Finance&CFO
Niels Gundesen - VP, Engineering
Ken Cruikshank - VP, Land
Kevin Screen - VP, Production & Operations
Directors:Floyd Price - Chairman
Anthony Lambert
Dean Setoguchi
DavidMackenzie
John Gunn
Brian Schmidt
Wilder
Ansell
Hanlan
Garrington
Lochend
Quaich
Buck Lake
HeavyOil
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M30
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iQ SNAPSHOT
This company snapshot has been assembled by BMIR using publicly available information. The snapshot is not endorsed by the company profiled.
Focus of Operations
EXPLORATION FOCUSED, STRONG BOE FINANCIAL RESULTSListing:TSXV-YOShares outstanding: 39.9 million at September 30, 2011
Share price: $3.55 at November 30, 2011
Market capitalization: $141.8 million
Net debt: $22.6 million at September 30, 2011
Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $164.3 million
Average daily production for the quarter ended September 30, 2011:
Crude oil and NGLs 585 bbls/d 24%
Natural gas 11.03 mmcf/d 76%
Total 2,423 boe/d 100%
Cash flow netback:
Oil
Gas
$0 $50YO $20.03
Peer Median$20.94
Recent News:December 12, 2011 YohoResourcesAnnouncesBoughtDealFinancingConcurrentPrivatePlacementsofFlow-ThroughShares
December 8, 2011 YohoReourcesAnnouncesFiscal2011FinancialandOperating Results
November 28, 2011 YohoResourcesAnnounces54%IncreaseinTotalProved plus Probable Reserves as at September 30, 2011 and updates operations
Strategies:• Developunconventionalexplorationprojects
• Increasefocusonoilandhighliquidsnaturalgasplays
• Pursuesmallerpropertyacquisitions
• Pursuesmallercorporateopportunities
• Continuetomaximizeper-barrelofoilequivalentfinancialresults
— From Yoho Resources website
Contact:750, 736 - 6 Avenue SW Calgary, AB T2P 3T7
tel 403.537.1771
[email protected] www.yohoresources.ca
Analyst Coverage:Acumen Capital Partners
MackieResearch
Paradigm Capital
Peters & Co.
Officers:Brian McLachlan - President & CEO
Barry Stobo - VP, Engineering & COO
Wendy Woolsey - VP, Finance & CFO
ClarkDrader-VP,Land
Directors:Bruce Allford
John Brussa
Peter Kurceba
Brian McLachlan
Kevin Olson
Gary Perron
Terry Svarich, Chairman
Northeast British Columbia
Peace River Arch
West Central Alberta
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 3 2 0 1 1 31
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Put a face to your name.
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WE’LL HIGHLIGHT YOUR BEST FEATURES
Q u a r t e r l Y r e p o r t : Q 3 2 0 1 1 33
inte
rMeD
iate
co
Mpa
riso
n
intermediate oil & gas companies
c o M pa r i s o n
INCLUSION CRItERIA
• Primary business must be oil and gas exploration, development and production
• Q3 2011 production must fall between 10,000 and 100,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boe/d)
• Majority of production must be from Western Canada
• Must be publicly traded on the TSX or TSX Venture Exchange
72,258
73,245
74,568
85,178
CrescentPoint
Enerplus
Pengrowth
ARC
36,390
39,074
42,937
52,625
71,636
Peyto
PetroBakken
Progress
Baytex
Bonavista
28,752
29,035
34,347
35,468
Ad t
NAL
Trilogy
Tourmaline
Daylight
20,707
22,578
25,360
27,510
28,638
Paramount
Perpetual
NuVista
Crew
Advantage
14 443
15,158
15,808
16,473
17,648
Chinook
Fairborne
Celtic
Lone Pine
Birchcliff
12,642
13,429
13,558
13,993
14,443
Legacy
Compton
Pace
Angle
Chinook
11,698
11,837
0 25,000 50,000 75,000 100,000
Guide
Bellatrix
87
89
90
91
Progress
Peyto
Tourmaline
Perpetual
78
78
79
80
83
Advantage
Lone Pine
Paramount
Fairborne
Compton
66
69
71
75
76
G id
NuVista
Trilogy
Birchcliff
Celtic
63
63
64
65
66
Bellatrix
Daylight
ARC
Chinook
Guide
54
55
55
57
62
NAL
Pace
Enerplus
Angle
Bonavista
16
19
49
49
54
Baytex
Legacy
Crew
Pengrowth
NAL
10
15
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
CrescentPoint
PetroBakken
fewer peers for bigger companiesWe define “intermediate” oil and gas companies as those with production from 10,000 boe/d to 100,000 boe/d. In order to produce a relevant peer group, we restrict the intermediate category to companies with conventional oil and gas development and production as their primary business, with the majority of their production in Western Canada, and with their shares or units traded on the TSX. “Junior” and “emerging” companies are featured in sections beginning on pages 5 and 51 respectively. “Senior” producers, with production in excess of 100,000 boe/d, are not included in this report.
Comparing Q3 2011 and Q2 2011, one company has been removed from the intermediate category. Vero Energy’s production has fallen below 10,000 boe/d and is now listed in the junior category. In addition, there are now six intermediate companies with production greater than 50,000 boe/d (up from five in Q2 2011). Galleon Energy announced a name change in November 2011 and is now Guide Exploration.
Note: Production for Advantage Oil & Gas is the consolidated total for both Advantage and Longview, the company’s oil-weighted subsidiary.
oil vs gasThe median natural gas weighting of Western Canada’s intermediate oil and gas players fell slightly to 65% in the third quarter of 2011 compared with 67.9% in the second quarter. There are four intermediate companies towards the bottom of this chart that have focused their production on oil, whereas all the others are either a mix of oil and natural gas or primarily natural gas.
Oil and natural gas are made comparable by converting natural gas from thousands of cubic feet (mcf) to barrels of oil equivalent (boe) at a ratio of 6:1.
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M34
INTE
RMED
IATE
CO
MPA
RISO
N
Q3 2011 PRODUCTION (BOE/D)Median = 27,510 boe/d
Q3 PRODUCTION MIX — NATURAL GAS WEIGHTING (%)Median = 65%
21.5
23.9
24.9
67.3
Tourmaline
Legacy
Paramount
Crew
8.9
9.3
10.0
10.7
20.7
Fairborne
CrescentPoint
Baytex
PetroBakken
Advantage
5 4
5.7
7.5
7.8
8.5
P
Peyto
NAL
Angle
Bonavista
4.0
4.0
5.1
5.3
5.4
Celtic
Lone Pine
Pengrowth
Compton
Progress
(0 5)
1.7
1.9
3.4
3.5
Guide
Bellatrix
Birchcliff
ARC
Chinook
(3.7)
(2.8)
(1.0)
(0.5)
(0.5)
Daylight
Enerplus
Trilogy
NuVista
Guide
(23.0)
(4.9)
(30.0) (20.0) (10.0) 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0
Perpetual
Pace
19.6
20.3
22.0
23.6
Advantage
Crew
Paramount
Legacy
7 5
7.6
8.9
9.2
14.0
A gl
CrescentPoint
Fairborne
Baytex
Tourmaline
4.9
5.7
6.2
7.0
7.5
Progress
Peyto
Bonavista
NAL
Angle
1 6
2.8
3.3
3.5
4.6
Birchcliff
ARC
Celtic
Chinook
Pengrowth
(2.4)
(1.3)
(0.9)
(0.6)
1.6
Bellatrix
Trilogy
Guide
NuVista
Birchcliff
(22.6)
(8.3)
(4.8)
(3.9)
(3.2)
Perpetual
Lone Pine
Pace
Daylight
Enerplus
(84.0)
(35.6)
( )
(100.0) (80.0) (60.0) (40.0) (20.0) 0.0 20.0 40.0
Compton
PetroBakken
p
building productionIf no effort were made by a conventional oil and gas company to stabilize or increase production, its production would typically decline at rates varying from 20 percent to 30 percent per year depending on its commodity mix, depth of wells and age of assets.
Overall production in the third quarter of 2011 rebounded with an increase of 5% from declines of 2.3% seen in the second quarter. While the outliers added production based on acquisitions, the core group of intermediates saw increased production after experiencing a prolonged winter breakup.
The next chart is even more telling of growth given that it shows production change on a per share basis.
FORMULAcurrent period avg. production – previous period avg. production
previous period avg. production
Note: Gas production converted to boe at 6 mcf: 1 boe.
greater production per shareDuring the third quarter of 2011, 18 of the 29 intermediates increased their production on a per share basis from the second quarter. This means issuers increased production more than they issued shares and production was not funded by equity.
FORMULAcurrent production per share – previous production per share
previous production per share
Note: Production per share = average production rate for the period divided by basic weighted average shares outstanding during the period.
Gas production converted to boe at 6 mcf: 1 boe.
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 3 2 0 1 1 35
INTE
RMED
IATE
CO
MPA
RISO
N
CHANGE IN PRODUCTION — Q2 2011 TO Q3 2011 (%)Median = 5%
CHANGE IN PRODUCTION PER SHARE — Q2 2011 TO Q3 2011 (%)Median = 4%
163,598
166,586
170,536
184,073
Trilogy
Celtic
Paramount
CrescentPoint
104,332
122,128
130,093
130,200
142,507
Peyto
Birchcliff
Baytex
Legacy
Tourmaline
75 105
82,578
84,057
94,225
95,954
E l
Daylight
Progress
PetroBakken
ARC
58,992
61,399
64,937
74,958
75,105
NAL
Crew
Pengrowth
Bonavista
Enerplus
38 720
39,277
50,513
53,775
58,634
Fairborne
Advantage
Angle
Bellatrix
Lone Pine
29,574
29,607
32,702
36,923
38,720
NuVista
Perpetual
Chinook
Guide
Fairborne
14,338
28,095
0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 180,000 200,000
Compton
Pace
31 71
38.77
42.48
45.52
Baytex
Legacy
PetroBakken
CrescentPoint
24.34
24.89
27.24
27.86
31.71
Peyto
Guide
NAL
ARC
Baytex
22.16
22.23
22.59
22.60
23.81
Lone Pine
Bonavista
Fairborne
Trilogy
Celtic
20.96
21.26
21.39
21.92
22.00
Advantage
Crew
Daylight
Pengrowth
Bellatrix
18.29
19.30
19.85
20.84
20.96
N Vi t
Enerplus
Angle
Tourmaline
Birchcliff
Advantage
13.10
16.64
16.80
16.98
17.70
Progress
Chinook
Paramount
Pace
NuVista
8.27
12.48
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00 40.00 45.00 50.00
Perpetual
Compton
making money flowCash flow netbacks are equivalent to sales margins. They indicate how much cash flow a company generates from each barrel of oil equivalent (boe) of production. Companies with higher netbacks may have a better chance of thriving during periods of lower commodity prices when higher cost production may be uneconomical.
The four intermediate companies with the highest cash flow netbacks are also the four companies with the highest oil weighting. This is indicative of the comparably higher price of oil versus natural gas.
FORMULAcash flow from operations
total production in the period
Notes: Total production in the period = Average daily production x 92 days in the period.
value per barrelThis graph shows each intermediate company’s enterprise value per flowing barrel of oil equivalent per day (boe/d) of Q3 production. Enterprise value is calculated by multiplying the share price on November 30, 2011 by the weighted average number of shares outstanding during Q3 before adding debt and debentures outstanding net of working capital at the end of the quarter.
A high number means the markets are placing more value on the production of a particular company, perhaps for reasons such as long life reserves, a higher proportion of oil to gas, high field netbacks, or perceived strong production growth prospects.
FORMULAmarket capitalization + net debt
average production in barrels of oil equivalent
Note: Market capitalization = November 30 share price x Q3 weighted average basic shares outstanding.
Net debt = bank debt + debentures – working capital.
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M36
INTE
RMED
IATE
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MPA
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N
ENTERPRISE VALUE VERSUS Q3 PRODUCTION ($ PER BOE/D)Median = $74,958/boe
Q3 CASH FLOW NETBACK ($/BOE)Median = $21.92/boe
15 66
16.15
18.84
20.93
Pace
Pengrowth
Legacy
Chinook
13.05
13.53
13.69
14.97
15.66
Bellatrix
PetroBakken
Guide
Baytex
Pace
11.93
12.03
12.21
12.42
13.04
NAL
Perpetual
Crew
CrescentPoint
Paramount
11.13
11.22
11.37
11.64
11.90
Bonavista
Compton
ARC
Enerplus
NuVista
8 73
9.04
9.10
9.55
10.31
L Pi
Progress
Birchcliff
Fairborne
Daylight
7.83
8.29
8.56
8.56
8.73
Tourmaline
Celtic
Advantage
Trilogy
Lone Pine
2.90
6.85
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00
Peyto
Angle
3.04
3.10
3.14
4.33
Legacy
Pace
Bellatrix
Guide
2.33
2.45
2.68
2.96
2.97
Fairborne
Enerplus
Perpetual
PetroBakken
Birchcliff
2 11
2.12
2.29
2.30
2.31
P g th
Paramount
NAL
Daylight
Lone Pine
1.88
1.92
1.96
1.98
2.11
Advantage
NuVista
Angle
Baytex
Pengrowth
1 43
1.50
1.58
1.61
1.76
CrescentPoint
Crew
ARC
Chinook
Compton
0.94
0.95
0.97
1.21
1.43
Tourmaline
Bonavista
Progress
Trilogy
CrescentPoint
0.25
0.84
0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00
Peyto
Celtic
office costsThe general and administrative (G&A) cash expenses per boe represent office-related costs per barrel of oil equivalent produced. This number indicates how efficiently oil and gas companies manage their offices.
Factors that affect G&A include the number of staff, their salaries and benefits, contractors, service agreements, management fees, lease terms, processes and systems. The size of G&A can also be affected by the method a company uses in accounting for expenses, such as whether or not they are capitalized.
Wherever possible we have only included cash G&A expenses and management fees, excluding non-cash items such as share-based compensation.
FORMULAgeneral & administrative expenses
total production in the period
Notes: Total production in the period = Average daily production x 92 days in the period.
field costsTypically heavier oil has higher operating and transportation costs than light oil. Thankfully, natural gas often comes with even lower operating costs, which is important considering the selling price for natural gas is relatively low.
Other factors that can influence operating and transportation costs include proximity to pipelines, volumes being produced per well and the cost of secondary and tertiary methods being used to stimulate production.
FORMULAoperating expenses (including transportation costs)
total production in the period
Note: Total production in the period = Average daily production x 92 days in the period.
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 3 2 0 1 1 37
INTE
RMED
IATE
CO
MPA
RISO
N
Q3 OPERATING AND TRANSPORTATION EXPENSES ($/BOE)Median = $11.64/boe
Q3 GENERAL AND ADMINISTRATIVE CASH EXPENSES ($/BOE)Median = $1.98/boe
15 31
15.53
15.72
16.67
17.00
17.38
18.41
18.72
19.88
20.56
20.70
20.72
21.97
23.65
24.28
26.67
31.28
38.30
Tourmaline
Trilogy
Advantage
Enerplus
Pengrowth
NuVista
Guide
Fairborne
Daylight
NAL
ARC
Crew
Chinook
Paramount
Celtic
PetroBakken
Legacy
CrescentPoint
9.31
11.25
12.88
13.17
13.39
13.42
13.87
14.53
14.68
14.73
15.16
15.31
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00 40.00 45.00
Peyto
Birchcliff
Bonavista
Compton
Pace
Baytex
Lone Pine
Angle
Bellatrix
Perpetual
Progress
Tourmaline
7.2
7.8
8.1
9.1
9.2
9.4
9.7
10.5
11.0
11.2
11.2
11.6
15.9
17.4
19.0
19.5
19.7
27.6
Lone Pine
Crew
Pengrowth
Legacy
Bonavista
ARC
Perpetual
Daylight
CrescentPoint
Baytex
Enerplus
Peyto
Birchcliff
Progress
Celtic
Tourmaline
Trilogy
Paramount
3.1
4.0
4.5
4.5
4.7
5.1
5.3
5.9
6.0
6.6
7.1
0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0
Compton
Guide
Pace
NuVista
Fairborne
Advantage
Chinook
NAL
PetroBakken
Bellatrix
Angle
a range of multiplesAs can be seen by this chart, there is a large spread of cash flow multiples in the intermediate group. Where it would theoretically take some companies only around half a decade to produce as much cash flow per share as their share price and net debt per share combined, others would take well over a decade to do the same. These multiples may be a good barometer of current market sentiment towards each of the companies.
The cash flow multiples in this report are calculated using the closing market price on November 30, 2011 and the Q3 2011 weighted average number of shares outstanding. The numbers on the chart correspond to the dark bars that show multiples of enterprise value to annualized cash flow. The lighter bars simply reflect the market capitalization as a multiple of annualized cash flow without taking debt into account.
FORMULAenterprise value
cash flow for period x 4
Note: Enterprise value = Q3 weighted average basic shares or units x November 30, 2011 share price + net debt.
Market Capitalization to Annualized Cash Flow
Enterprise Value to Annualized Cash Flow
reserves come at a costDepletion, depreciation and accretion expenses indicate the finding and development costs for oil and gas reserves. These costs relate mainly to accounting for the production of oil and gas reserves, and the depletion of value from the balance sheet as reserves are produced. Higher amounts mean the value of a company’s reserves is being decreased more rapidly than companies with lower amounts. This could be because the valuation was high in the first place or the reserves are being produced at a faster pace.
FORMULAdepletion, depreciation & accretion expenses
total production in the period
Note: Total production in the period = Average daily production x 92 days in the period.
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M38
INTE
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IATE
CO
MPA
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Q3 DEPLETION, DEPRECIATION AND ACCRETION EXPENSES ($/BOE)Median = $16.67/boe
ANNUALIZED Q3 CASH FLOW MULTIPLESEnterprise Value to Annualized Cash Flow Median = 9.1 Market Capitalization to Annualized Cash Flow Median = 6.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.8
1.8
1.8
1.9
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.3
2.3
2.4
2.4
2.9
2.9
3.2
7.1
Peyto
Chinook
Trilogy
NuVista
Bonavista
Legacy
Pace
Fairborne
Angle
NAL
Pengrowth
Compton
Lone Pine
Paramount
Birchcliff
Daylight
PetroBakken
Perpetual
0.9
0.9
1.1
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.4
1.6
1.6
1.6
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0
CrescentPoint
ARC
Bellatrix
Tourmaline
Baytex
Progress
Crew
Enerplus
Guide
Advantage
Celtic
(21.7)
(11.3)
(11.2)
(10.1)
(4.8)
(4.7)
1.1
1.6
3.6
3.9
5.8
7.3
8.3
9.5
15.1
15.8
47.4
57.0
Legacy
Pengrowth
Chinook
Enerplus
Bonavista
Tourmaline
Baytex
CrescentPoint
Guide
ARC
Progress
Birchcliff
Daylight
Bellatrix
Peyto
Celtic
Paramount
Trilogy
(77.1)
(59.9)
(50.3)
(38.5)
(38.4)
(30.1)
(29.9)
(29.0)
(26.5)
(23.0)
(22.3)
(100.0) (80.0) (60.0) (40.0) (20.0) 0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0
Compton
Perpetual
NuVista
Advantage
Pace
Fairborne
Angle
NAL
Lone Pine
PetroBakken
Crew
years of debtWe calculate net debt as bank debt plus debentures net of working capital. Companies with lower debt to cash flow ratios are in a safer position when it comes to having room to manoeuvre with their balance sheets. As debt levels get higher, returns for shareholders get leveraged, but risk also increases and companies can become constrained in their ability to invest in growth.
Total net debt for all the intermediate companies adds to $14.9 billion.
FORMULAnet debt
cash flow for period x 4
Note: Net debt = bank debt + debentures – working capital.
Convertible debentures make up a portion of the debt load for Advantage, Angle, Bellatrix, Daylight, Fairborne, NAL, Perpetual, PetroBakken and Progress.
market discontentThe third quarter continued to be a challenging for capital markets and the intermediate oil and gas sector. A median drop in investor returns of 10 percent during the third quarter extended into a drop of 22 percent when the subsequent two months of October and November were included. An investment of $1,000 in the median intermediate company at the beginning of the third quarter of 2011 would have left the investor with $900 at the end. These numbers take into account all dividends.
Twelve of the intermediate companies showed positive shareholder returns during the five month period from July through November 2011.
FORMULAcapital gain + total distributions or dividends over the
period per share or unit
market price at end of the previous period
Note: Capital gain in period = market price at end of current period – market price at end of previous period.
Share price change plus distributions from July through November 2011
Share price change plus distributions from July through September 2011
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Q3 NET DEBT TO ANNUALIZED CASH FLOWMedian = 1.8
Q3 TOTAL RETURN – CAPITAL GAINS AND DISTRIBUTIONS (%)July through September Median: -22% July through November Median: -10%
Shortenedcompanyname
Chiefexecutive
Stocksymbol& exchange(T=TSX, V=Venture)
Share priceNov 30/11
($)
Q3/11 average daily production
(boe/d)
Q3/11 weighted shares outstanding
(basic) including exchangeable
(000)
Sept 30/11net debt before
debentures($000)
Sept 30/11 debentures
outstanding($000)
Q3/11net income
($000)
Q3/11cash flow
($000)Advantage Andy Mah AAV-T 4.70 28,638 165,647 208,906 137,360 (2,997) 55,213 Angle Gregg Fischbuch NGL-T 7.03 13,993 72,706 142,945 52,780 5,040 24,852 ARC John Dielwart ARX-T 25.58 85,178 287,100 829,100 0 120,800 218,300 Baytex Anthony Marino BTE-T 52.50 52,625 116,404 734,942 0 51,839 153,500 Bellatrix Raymond Smith BXE-T 4.97 11,837 107,391 54,125 48,692 820 23,964 Birchcliff Jeffery Tonken BIR-T 13.97 17,648 126,630 386,296 0 11,411 33,844 Bonavista Keith MacPhail BNP-T 26.73 71,636 160,725 1,073,480 0 31,166 146,516 Celtic David Wilson CLT-T 24.70 15,808 97,650 221,358 0 (1,592) 34,626 Chinook Matthew Brister CKE-T 1.50 14,443 214,188 151,014 0 (3,543) 22,114 Compton Tim Granger CMT-T 5.50 13,429 8,684 144,791 0 28,307 15,421 CrescentPoint Scott Saxberg CPG-T 44.35 72,258 275,324 1,090,121 0 204,624 302,594 Crew Dale Shwed CR-T 11.66 27,510 119,595 294,624 0 12,232 53,805 Daylight Anthony Lambert DAY-T 9.93 35,468 212,969 576,643 237,447 13,592 69,785 Enerplus Gordon Kerr ERF-T 26.65 73,245 180,266 696,932 0 111,321 123,262 Fairborne Steven VanSickle FEL-T 3.32 15,158 102,579 146,985 99,353 1,323 31,504 Guide Bill Andrew GO-T 3.13 11,698 84,364 167,870 0 17,132 26,789 Legacy Trent Yanko LEG-T 9.17 12,642 143,256 332,288 0 7,905 45,086 Lone Pine David Anderson LPR-T 7.53 16,473 85,000 325,814 0 27,889 33,580 NAL Andrew Wiswell NAE-T 7.56 28,752 148,784 373,552 197,748 11,087 72,045 NuVista Jonathan Wright NVA-T 4.52 25,360 99,513 300,177 0 1,807 41,290 Pace Fred Woods PCE-T 4.54 13,558 47,531 165,113 0 5,524 21,174 Paramount Clay Riddell POU-T 40.76 20,707 78,982 311,956 0 (22,418) 32,010 Pengrowth Derek Evans PGF-T 10.50 74,568 329,262 1,384,978 0 (462) 150,354 Perpetual Susan Riddell Rose PMT-T 1.21 22,578 147,408 267,729 222,374 (24,343) 17,169 PetroBakken John Wright PBN-T 9.88 39,074 172,270 1,333,500 646,246 40,277 152,723 Peyto Darren Gee PEY-T 24.50 36,390 133,061 536,653 0 37,741 81,492 Progress Michael Culbert PRQ-T 14.43 42,937 231,530 (84,905) 353,100 161,352 51,746 Tourmaline Michael Rose TOU-T 30.55 34,347 151,044 280,260 0 8,688 62,719 Trilogy James Riddell TET-T 37.30 29,035 115,809 430,453 0 14,404 60,366
TOTAL 956,991 4,215,674 12,877,700 1,995,100 870,926 2,157,843 AVERAGE 33,000 145,368 444,059 68,797 30,032 74,408
Data provided by CanOils Database and BMIR researchers.
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INTERMEDIATE DATA TABLE
iQ SNAPSHOT
This company snapshot has been assembled by BMIR using publicly available information. The snapshot is not endorsed by the company profiled.
Focus of Operations
ACQUIRE, DEVELOP, EXPLOIT Listing: TSX-CPG
Shares outstanding: 285.9 million at September 30, 2011
Share price: $44.35 at November 30, 2011
Market capitalization: $12,679 million
Net debt: $1,090 million at September 30, 2011
Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $13,769 million
Q3 2011 average daily production:
Crude oil and NGLs 65,253 bbls/d 90%
Natural gas 42.03 mmcf/d 10%
Total 72,258 boe/d 100%
Cash flow netback:
Oil
Gas
$0 $50CPG $45.52
Peer Median$21.92
Recent News:December 5, 2011 Crescent Point announces a $1.1 billion capital expendituresbudgetfor2012andanupwardlyrevisedcapital budget and guidance for 2011
November 10, 2011 Crescent Point Energy announces third quarter 2011 results
October 11, 2011 Crescent Point Energy acquires common shares of Arcan Resources Ltd.
Strategies:• Increaserecoveryfactorsthroughinfilldrilling,waterfloodoptimizationand
improved technology
• Focusonhigh-quality,largeresource-in-placepoolswithproductionand reserves upside
• Maintainstrongbalancesheet,significantunutilizedbanklinecapacityand 3 ½-year hedging program
— from Crescent Point Energy website
SWSaskatchewan
Worsley JohnLake
SwanHills
SESaskatchewanSE Alberta
Contact:2800, 111 - 5th Avenue S.W. Calgary,AlbertaT2P3Y6
tel 403.693.0020 toll-free 888.693.0020
Investor Relations 403.767.6959
Analyst Coverage:AltaCorp Capital
BMO Nesbitt Burns
Canaccord Genuity
CIBC Wood Gundy
CormarkSecurities
Credit Suisse
Desjardins Securities
Dundee Securities
First Energy Capital
GMP Securities
HaywoodSecurities
Macquarie Capital Markets
NationalBankFinancial
Peters & Co.
Raymond James
RoyalBank of Canada
Salman Partners
Scotia Capital
Stifel Nicolaus Canada
TDNewcrest
UBS Securities
Officers:ScottSaxberg - President & CEOGreg Tisdale - CFONeil Smith - VP, Engineering & Business
Development Dave Balutis -VP,ExplorationBrad Borggard - VP, Corporate PlanningDerekChristie - VP, Geosciences
Trent Stangl -VP,Marketing&Investor
RelationsStevenToews - VP, Engineering WestRyanGritzfeldt - VP, Engineering EastTamara MacDonald - VP, LandKen Lamont - VP, Finance and TreasurerMarkEade - Corporate Secretary
Directors:Peter Bannister - ChairmanPaul ColborneKen Cugnet
HughGillardGeraldRomanzinScottSaxbergGregory Turnbull
FlatLake
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 3 2 0 1 1 41
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This company snapshot has been assembled by BMIR using publicly available information. The snapshot is not endorsed by the company profiled.
Focus of Operations
UNLOCKING SIGNIFICANT POTENTIAL FROM RESOURCE PLAYSListing: TSX-GO
Shares outstanding: 86 million at September 30, 2011
Share price: $3.13 at November 30, 2011
Market capitalization: $269.5 million
Net debt: $167.9 million at September 30, 2011
Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $437.3 million
Q3 2011 average daily production:
Crude oil and NGLs 3,962 bbls/d 34%
Natural gas 46.42 mmcf/d 66%
Total 11,698 boe/d 100%
Cash flow netback:
Oil
Gas
$0 $50GO $24.89
Peer Median$21.92
Recent News:December 8, 2011 GuideExplorationLtd.AnnouncesNormalCourseIssuerBid For Class A Shares
November 24, 2011 GuideExplorationAnnouncesCompletionof BrokeredFlow-ThroughShareFinancing
November 16, 2011 GuideExplorationAnnouncesCompletionof Non-BrokeredFlowThroughShareFinancing
Strategies:• Focusdevelopmentonliquids-richopportunitiesincorearea
• Optimizehorizontaldrillingandcompletiontechnology
• Consolidatelandpositioninmulti-zonePeaceRiverArch/DeepBasinarea
• Reviewportfoliowithaimtoconsolidate,growormonetize
— from Guide Exploration December 2011 corporate presentation
Contact:LivingstonPlace,WestTower 400,250–2ndStreetS.W. Calgary, Alberta T2P 0C1
tel 403.261.6012
Analyst Coverage:CormarkSecurities
FirstEnergy Capital
GMP Securities
Schachter Asset Management
Scotia Capital
Stifel Nicolaus
Officers:WilliamAndrew - Chair & CEO
Dale Miller - President
Shivon Crabtree - VP, Finance & CFO
Jim Iverson -VP,Exploration
Dale Orton - VP, Operations &
Engineering
Devin Sundstrom - VP, Production
William Tang Kong - VP, Corporate
Development
Directors:WilliamAndrew
John Brussa
Glenn Carley
WilliamCooke
Jeffery Errico
LawrenceFenwick
Dale Miller
Brad Munro
PatriciaNewson
Peace River Arch
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This company snapshot has been assembled by BMIR using publicly available information. The snapshot is not endorsed by the company profiled.
Focus of Operations
PRUDENT AND STABLE ACQUISITIONSListing: TSX-NAE
Shares outstanding: 149.1 million at September 30, 2011
Share price: $7.56 at November 30, 2011
Market capitalization: $1,127 million
Net debt: $571 million at September 30, 2011
Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $1,699 million
Q3 2011 average daily production:
Crude oil and NGLs 13,188 bbls/d 46%
Natural gas 93.38 mmcf/d 54%
Total 28,752 boe/d 100%
Cash flow netback:
Oil
Gas
$0 $50NAE $27.24
Peer Median$21.92
Recent News:November 8, 2011 NAL Energy Reports Third Quarter 2011 Results
October 12, 2011 NAL Energy Announces October Dividend & Updates Corporate Activities
September 12, 2011 NAL Energy Provides an Operations Update
Strategies:• CompetitivelypositionedintheCardiumoilresourceplayincentralAlbertawith additionalacreageinitsemergingMississippianlightoilresourceinSESaskatchewan
• Highgradeassetbasefurtherthroughselectiveacquisitionanddivestitureactivities
• Targetadividendpayoutratioof40–50percentofcurrentyearcashflow
• Balanceanextensiveinventoryoflightoilopportunities
• Prudentlymanagethebalancesheet
• Maintainfocusonfinancialflexibility
— from NAL Energy website
Contact:1000,550–6thAvenueS.W. Calgary, Alberta T2P 0S2
tel 403.294.3600 toll free 866.614.8933
[email protected] www.nalenergy.com
Analyst Coverage:BMOCapitalMarkets
Barclays Capital
CIBCWorldMarkets
FirstEnergy Capital
GMP Securities
Macquarie Capital
NationalBankFinancial
Peters & Co.
Raymond James
RBCCapitalMarkets
Salman Partners
Scotia Capital
Stifel Nicolaus
TD Securities
Officers:AndrewWiswell-President&CEO
Keith Steeves - VP, Finance & CFO
John Koyanagi - VP, Business Development
Directors:WilliamEeuwes
Donald Ingram
Kelvin Johnston
Irvine Koop - Chairman
GordonLackenbauer
BarryStewart
AndrewWiswell
Mississippian Oil
Tight Gas
Cardium Tight Gas
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 3 2 0 1 1 43
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This company snapshot has been assembled by BMIR using publicly available information. The snapshot is not endorsed by the company profiled.
Focus of Operations
SUSTAINABLE BASE ASSETS FUEL GROWTHListing: TSX-PMT
Shares outstanding: 147.2 million at September 30, 2011
Share price: $1.21 at November 30, 2011
Market capitalization: $178.2 million
Net debt: $490 million at September 30, 2011
Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $668 million
Q3 2011 average daily production:
Crude oil and NGLs 1,995 bbls/d 9%
Natural gas 123.5 mmcf/d 91%
Total 22,578 boe/d 100%
Cash flow netback:
Oil
Gas
$0 $50PMT $8.27
Peer Median$21.92
Recent News:November 30, 2011 PerpetualEnergyProvidesUpdateOnHedging,Expected2011ExitProductionRatesandScheduledCreditFacilityBorrowingBaseReview
November 8, 2011 Perpetual Energy Releases Third Quarter 2011 Financial and Operating Results
October 19, 2011 Perpetual Energy Announces Suspension of Dividend
Strategies:• SolidperformingsustainableconventionalshallowgasineasternAlberta andresource-style,liquids-richgasinwestcentralAlberta’sdeepbasin
• Explorationinbothoilandgasresourceplaysandnewventureswith high impact potential
• Harnessingopportunitieswithinourassetswhereemergingandadvancedtechnologieswillcreatevaluewellintothefuture
— from Perpetual Energy website
Contact:3200, 605 - 5th Avenue S.W. Calgary,AlbertaT2P3H5
tel 403.269.4400 toll free 800.811.5522
[email protected] www.perpetualenergyinc.com
Analyst Coverage:BMO Nesbitt Burns
Canaccord Adams
CIBCWorldMarkets
CormarkSecurities
Dundee Securities
FirstEnergy Capital
Peters & Co.
Raymond James
RBCCapitalMarkets
Scotia Capital
TDNewcrest
Officers:Clayton Riddell -ExecutiveChairmanSusan Riddell Rose - President & CEOCameron Sebastian - VP, Finance and CFOJeff Green - VP, Production Operations
& Administration
GaryJackson - VP, Land & AcquisitionsMarcello Rapini -VP,MarketingBill Thorton -VP,HeavyOilRickWarters - VP, Geoscience &NewVentures
Directors:Clayton Riddell -ExecutiveChairmanoftheBoardSusan Riddell RoseKarenGenowayRandall Johnson
Robert MaitlandGeoffrey MerrittDonald Nelson
HowardWard
West Central District Eastern District
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This company snapshot has been assembled by BMIR using publicly available information. The snapshot is not endorsed by the company profiled.
Focus of Operations
TECHNICAL EXCELLENCE, HIGH NETBACKSListing: TSX-PBN
Shares outstanding (A+B): 187.2 million at September 30, 2011
Share price: $9.88 at November 30, 2011
Market capitalization: $1,849.9 million
Net debt: $1,333.5million+$646.2milliondebenturesatSeptember30,2011
Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $3,829.6 million
Q3 2011 average daily production:
Crude oil and NGLs 33,112 bbls/d 85%
Natural gas 35.77 mmcf/d 15%
Total 39,074 boe/d 100%
Cash flow netback:
Oil
Gas
$0 $50PBN $42.48
Peer Median$21.92
RecentNews:
December 13, 2011 PetrobakkenAnnouncesW.BrettWilsonasaNewDirector, Provides Operational Update, 2012 Guidance, and Implementation of a Dividend Reinvestment Plan
November 8, 2011 PetroBakkenAnnouncesThirdQuarter2011Results,CurrentProductioninExcessOf47,500Boepd,andRevisiontoExitGuidance
October 3, 2011 PetroBakkenProvidesOperationalUpdateHighlightedby Production of Over 43,000 boepd at the End of September 2011, a 22% Increase Over Q2 2011
Strategies:• Focusondeliveringindustryleadingoperatingnetbacks,strongcashflowsandproductiongrowth
• ApplyleadingedgetechnologytoamultiyearinventoryofBakkenandCardiumlightoildevelopment locations
• DevelopsignificantinventoryofopportunitiesintheHornRiverandMontneygasresource plays
• Deliveraccretiveproductionandreservesgrowthintandemwithwithanattractivedividend yield.
— from from PetroBakken website
Contact:2800,525–8thAvenueS.W. Calgary, Alberta T2P 1G1
tel 403.268.7800
[email protected] www.petrobakken.com
Analyst CoverageAlta Corp Capital
BankofAmerica
BMO Nesbitt Burns
Canaccord Genuity
CIBCWorldMarkets
CormarkSecurities
Credit Suisse Securities
Desjardins Securities
FirstEnergy Capital
GMP Securities
HaywoodSecurities
Macquarie Financial
NationalBankFinancial
Peters & Co.
Raymond James
RBCCapitalMarkets
Scotia Capital
Stifel Nicolaus
TD Securities
Officers:John Wright - President & CEO
Gregg Smith - Sr. VP & COO
Mary Bulmer - VP, Corporate Services
LawrenceFisher - VP, Land and A&D
AndreaHatzinikolas - Corporate Secretary
PeterHawkes -VP,Exploration
William Kanters -VP,CapitalMarkets
Rene LaPrade - Sr VP, Operations
Peter Scott - Sr VP & CFO
Directors:IanBrown
MartinHislop
Craig Lothian
Brett Wilson
John Wright
Corey Ruttan
Dan Themig
Kenneth McKinnon - Chairman
Cardium
HornRiver
Monias
SESaskatchewan
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 3 2 0 1 1 45
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TUNISIACandaxChinookCYGAMDualexLundinSondeWinstar
FRANCEGallic Lundin Sterling Vermilion
UKRAINEEast WestTransEuro
SPAINBNKDundeeSaxon
TANZANIAAntrim HeritageOrca
YEMENCalvalleyEast WestTransGlobe
PAKISTANHeritageNiko
PAPUA NEW GUINEAEaglewoodLNG TransEuro
UNITED KINGDOMAntrim Bridge Canadian OverseasInternational FrontierIona Ithaca Lundin Serica Sterling VermilionXcite
HUNGARYDualexFalconWinstar
ITALYBRS CYGAMOrcaSaxon Oil
ROMANIAEast WestSterlingTransAtlanticWinstar
INDIABengalEast WestNiko
NAMIBIAEnergulfHRT ParticipacoesSerica
SOMALIAHorn
CONGOEnergulfHeritageLundin
ETHIOPIAAfrica OilCalvalleyEpsilon
THAILANDCoastalPan Orient
MALTAHeritage
BRAZILBrookwaterBrownstoneCanacolGran TierraHRT ParticipacoesPetro Vista
UNITED STATESArsenal Aurora BlackbirdBNK Bowood Bridge BrownstoneBRS Bucking HorseCaza Oil & GasDejour Derek Doxa Eagle Enerplus Enhanced OilEnterprise EpsilonEqual Exall First StarGale ForceGuardianHillcrestIvanhoeLNG Lynden KFG Maxim Montana MountainviewNextraction NiMin Parallel Paramax Paramount Petra Primary Renegade Saxon Thunderbird UndergroundUnited Hunter Westbridge Wind River Zargon Zodiac
COLOMBIAAzabache Bolivar EnergyBrownstoneC&C EnergiaCanacol EnergyGran TierraParex PetroamericaPetrodoradoPetromagdalenaPetromineralesPetroNovaPetro VistaQuetzal EnergySagres EnergySuroco Energy
GUYANACanacolCGX EnergyGroundstarSagres
ARGENTINAAmericas PetrogasAntrim ArPetrolAzabache BrownstoneCrown PointGran TierraMadalena
PERUAmericas PetrogasGran TierraLoonPetrodoradoPetromineralesVeraz Petroleum
TRINIDAD & TOBAGOMaxim Niko Parex Primera Touchstone
ALBANIAAPICBankersManasPetromanasStream
KAZAKHSTANCaspianCondorTethys
RUSSIAEast WestHeritageLundinPetroKamchatka
TAJIKISTANManasTethys
NEW ZEALANDNew ZealandTAG
CHINAIvanhoePrimeline
AUSTRALIABengalFalconGallicPetroFrontierRodiniaVermilion
INDONESIACBM AsiaLundinPan OrientSerica
SYRIAMena
EGYPTEast WestGroundstarMenaSea DragonTransGlobe
IRAQGroundstarHeritageIraqLongfordShaMaranSonoroVastWesternZagros
ECUADORIvanhoe
GUATEMALA Quetzal
UZBEKISTANTethys
MONGOLIAIvanhoeManas
MOROCCOLongreachSericaTransAtlantic
PARAGUAYPetrodorado
LIBYAHeritageSonde
LIBERIASimba
ISRAELAdiraBrownstone
KENYAAfrica OilSimbaVanoil
POLANDBNK LNG GERMANY
BNK Petroleum
NETHERLANDSLundinSterlingVermilion
ZAMBIAExile
JAMAICASagres Energy
PORTUGALPorto
NORWAYLundin
AZERBAIJANGreenfields
VIETNAM Lundin
BULGARIATransAtlantic
MALAYSIA Lundin
KYRGYZSTANManas
GUINEASimba
NIGERIAExileMart
MALIAfrica OilHeritageSimba
TURKEYExileTransAtlantic
SOUTH AFRICAFalcon
BANGLADESHNiko
MADAGASCARCandaxNiko
RWANDAVanoil
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M46
This map shows the footprint of activities for TSX and TSX Venture listed oil and gas companies with a market capitalization of more than $5 million and less than 100,000 boe/d of production in the third quarter of 2011. If you know a company that meets this criteria that has been left out, please email us at [email protected].
Canadian companies operating abroad
TUNISIACandaxChinookCYGAMDualexLundinSondeWinstar
FRANCEGallic Lundin Sterling Vermilion
UKRAINEEast WestTransEuro
SPAINBNKDundeeSaxon
TANZANIAAntrim HeritageOrca
YEMENCalvalleyEast WestTransGlobe
PAKISTANHeritageNiko
PAPUA NEW GUINEAEaglewoodLNG TransEuro
UNITED KINGDOMAntrim Bridge Canadian OverseasInternational FrontierIona Ithaca Lundin Serica Sterling VermilionXcite
HUNGARYDualexFalconWinstar
ITALYBRS CYGAMOrcaSaxon Oil
ROMANIAEast WestSterlingTransAtlanticWinstar
INDIABengalEast WestNiko
NAMIBIAEnergulfHRT ParticipacoesSerica
SOMALIAHorn
CONGOEnergulfHeritageLundin
ETHIOPIAAfrica OilCalvalleyEpsilon
THAILANDCoastalPan Orient
MALTAHeritage
BRAZILBrookwaterBrownstoneCanacolGran TierraHRT ParticipacoesPetro Vista
UNITED STATESArsenal Aurora BlackbirdBNK Bowood Bridge BrownstoneBRS Bucking HorseCaza Oil & GasDejour Derek Doxa Eagle Enerplus Enhanced OilEnterprise EpsilonEqual Exall First StarGale ForceGuardianHillcrestIvanhoeLNG Lynden KFG Maxim Montana MountainviewNextraction NiMin Parallel Paramax Paramount Petra Primary Renegade Saxon Thunderbird UndergroundUnited Hunter Westbridge Wind River Zargon Zodiac
COLOMBIAAzabache Bolivar EnergyBrownstoneC&C EnergiaCanacol EnergyGran TierraParex PetroamericaPetrodoradoPetromagdalenaPetromineralesPetroNovaPetro VistaQuetzal EnergySagres EnergySuroco Energy
GUYANACanacolCGX EnergyGroundstarSagres
ARGENTINAAmericas PetrogasAntrim ArPetrolAzabache BrownstoneCrown PointGran TierraMadalena
PERUAmericas PetrogasGran TierraLoonPetrodoradoPetromineralesVeraz Petroleum
TRINIDAD & TOBAGOMaxim Niko Parex Primera Touchstone
ALBANIAAPICBankersManasPetromanasStream
KAZAKHSTANCaspianCondorTethys
RUSSIAEast WestHeritageLundinPetroKamchatka
TAJIKISTANManasTethys
NEW ZEALANDNew ZealandTAG
CHINAIvanhoePrimeline
AUSTRALIABengalFalconGallicPetroFrontierRodiniaVermilion
INDONESIACBM AsiaLundinPan OrientSerica
SYRIAMena
EGYPTEast WestGroundstarMenaSea DragonTransGlobe
IRAQGroundstarHeritageIraqLongfordShaMaranSonoroVastWesternZagros
ECUADORIvanhoe
GUATEMALA Quetzal
UZBEKISTANTethys
MONGOLIAIvanhoeManas
MOROCCOLongreachSericaTransAtlantic
PARAGUAYPetrodorado
LIBYAHeritageSonde
LIBERIASimba
ISRAELAdiraBrownstone
KENYAAfrica OilSimbaVanoil
POLANDBNK LNG GERMANY
BNK Petroleum
NETHERLANDSLundinSterlingVermilion
ZAMBIAExile
JAMAICASagres Energy
PORTUGALPorto
NORWAYLundin
AZERBAIJANGreenfields
VIETNAM Lundin
BULGARIATransAtlantic
MALAYSIA Lundin
KYRGYZSTANManas
GUINEASimba
NIGERIAExileMart
MALIAfrica OilHeritageSimba
TURKEYExileTransAtlantic
SOUTH AFRICAFalcon
BANGLADESHNiko
MADAGASCARCandaxNiko
RWANDAVanoil
TUNISIACandaxChinookCYGAMDualexLundinSondeWinstar
FRANCEGallic Lundin Sterling Vermilion
UKRAINEEast WestTransEuro
SPAINBNKDundeeSaxon
TANZANIAAntrim HeritageOrca
YEMENCalvalleyEast WestTransGlobe
PAKISTANHeritageNiko
PAPUA NEW GUINEAEaglewoodLNG TransEuro
UNITED KINGDOMAntrim Bridge Canadian OverseasInternational FrontierIona Ithaca Lundin Serica Sterling VermilionXcite
HUNGARYDualexFalconWinstar
ITALYBRS CYGAMOrcaSaxon Oil
ROMANIAEast WestSterlingTransAtlanticWinstar
INDIABengalEast WestNiko
NAMIBIAEnergulfHRT ParticipacoesSerica
SOMALIAHorn
CONGOEnergulfHeritageLundin
ETHIOPIAAfrica OilCalvalleyEpsilon
THAILANDCoastalPan Orient
MALTAHeritage
BRAZILBrookwaterBrownstoneCanacolGran TierraHRT ParticipacoesPetro Vista
UNITED STATESArsenal Aurora BlackbirdBNK Bowood Bridge BrownstoneBRS Bucking HorseCaza Oil & GasDejour Derek Doxa Eagle Enerplus Enhanced OilEnterprise EpsilonEqual Exall First StarGale ForceGuardianHillcrestIvanhoeLNG Lynden KFG Maxim Montana MountainviewNextraction NiMin Parallel Paramax Paramount Petra Primary Renegade Saxon Thunderbird UndergroundUnited Hunter Westbridge Wind River Zargon Zodiac
COLOMBIAAzabache Bolivar EnergyBrownstoneC&C EnergiaCanacol EnergyGran TierraParex PetroamericaPetrodoradoPetromagdalenaPetromineralesPetroNovaPetro VistaQuetzal EnergySagres EnergySuroco Energy
GUYANACanacolCGX EnergyGroundstarSagres
ARGENTINAAmericas PetrogasAntrim ArPetrolAzabache BrownstoneCrown PointGran TierraMadalena
PERUAmericas PetrogasGran TierraLoonPetrodoradoPetromineralesVeraz Petroleum
TRINIDAD & TOBAGOMaxim Niko Parex Primera Touchstone
ALBANIAAPICBankersManasPetromanasStream
KAZAKHSTANCaspianCondorTethys
RUSSIAEast WestHeritageLundinPetroKamchatka
TAJIKISTANManasTethys
NEW ZEALANDNew ZealandTAG
CHINAIvanhoePrimeline
AUSTRALIABengalFalconGallicPetroFrontierRodiniaVermilion
INDONESIACBM AsiaLundinPan OrientSerica
SYRIAMena
EGYPTEast WestGroundstarMenaSea DragonTransGlobe
IRAQGroundstarHeritageIraqLongfordShaMaranSonoroVastWesternZagros
ECUADORIvanhoe
GUATEMALA Quetzal
UZBEKISTANTethys
MONGOLIAIvanhoeManas
MOROCCOLongreachSericaTransAtlantic
PARAGUAYPetrodorado
LIBYAHeritageSonde
LIBERIASimba
ISRAELAdiraBrownstone
KENYAAfrica OilSimbaVanoil
POLANDBNK LNG GERMANY
BNK Petroleum
NETHERLANDSLundinSterlingVermilion
ZAMBIAExile
JAMAICASagres Energy
PORTUGALPorto
NORWAYLundin
AZERBAIJANGreenfields
VIETNAM Lundin
BULGARIATransAtlantic
MALAYSIA Lundin
KYRGYZSTANManas
GUINEASimba
NIGERIAExileMart
MALIAfrica OilHeritageSimba
TURKEYExileTransAtlantic
SOUTH AFRICAFalcon
BANGLADESHNiko
MADAGASCARCandaxNiko
RWANDAVanoil
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 3 2 0 1 1 47
iQ SNAPSHOT
HIGH IMPACT EXPLORATION AND DRILLING IN STABLE COUNTRIESListing: TSX-BNG
Shares outstanding: 52.0 million at September 30, 2011
Share price: $0.80 at November 30, 2011
Market capitalization: $41.6 million
Net surplus: $33.1 million at September 30, 2011
Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $8.5 million
Average daily production for fiscal period Q2 2012 ended September 30, 2011:
Crude oil and NGLs 97 bbls/d 75%
Natural gas 0.2 mmcf/d 25%
Total 129.7 boe/d 100%
Oil
Gas
Recent News:December 16, 2011 Bengal Energy Releases 2011 Operational Update and 2012 Plan.
November 14, 2011 Bengal Energy Announces Fiscal Q2 2012 Results – Production increases year over year after Australia drilling success
October 25, 2011 Bengal Energy Announces Operational Developments
Strategies:• Developaportfolioofhigh-impactopportunities
• Commenceexplorationactivatesonoperatedlands
• Managetechnicalriskandcapitalexposurethroughtargetedfarmoutstomajors and national oil companies
• Purchase/develop/exploitproducingassetstounderpinvalue
— from Bengal Energy website and September 2011 AGM presentation
ThiscompanysnapshothasbeenassembledbyBMIRusingpubliclyavailableinformation.Thesnapshotisnotendorsedbythecompanyprofiled.
Focus of Operations
AUSTRALIA
INDIA
Cauvery Basin
Cooper Basin
Timor Sea
Contact:1000,736-6thAvenueS.W. Calgary, Alberta T2P 3T7
tel 403.205.2526
[email protected] www.bengalenergy.ca
Analyst Coverage:Casimir Capital
CormackSecurities
Officers:ChayanChakrabarty-President&CEO
Bryan Goudie - CFO
RichardEdgar-ExecutiveVP
GarrettWilson-VP,Engineering&Operations
GordonMacMahon-VP,Exploration
Directors:IanTowers-Chairman
ChayanChakrabarty
Peter Gaffney
James Howe
Robert Steele
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M48
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This company snapshot has been assembled by BMIR using publicly available information. The snapshot is not endorsed by the company profiled.
Focus of Operations
SOLID PORTFOLIO OF OIL & GAS ASSETSListing:TSX-EQU,NYSE-EQU
Shares outstanding: 34.7 million at September 30, 2011
Share price: $5.31 at November 30, 2011
Market capitalization: $184 million
Net debt:$222.6million(includes$41.1milliondebentures)atSeptember30,2011
Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $406.9 million
Q3 2011 average daily production:
Crude oil and NGLs 5,886 bbls/d 52%
Natural gas 32.26 mmcf/d 48%
Total 11,263 boe/d 100%
Oil
Gas
Recent News:November 16, 2011 Equal Energy Closes $40 Million Asset Sale
November 10, 2011 Equal Energy Announces Its Results for the Third Quarter Ended September 30, 2011
October 26, 2011 Equal Energy Announces Divestiture of Non-core Assets for Proceeds of $49.35 Million
Strategies:• DeliverconsistentNAVandcashflowgrowthonapersharebasis
• Increasenetback/boebyfocusingonthreeprovenresourceplaysinViking,CardiumandHuntonLiquids-rich
• BuildonpositioninMississippianlight-oilpotentialinOklahoma
• Maintainoperationalandfinancialdiscipline
— from Equal Energy November 2011 presentation
Contact:2700, 500 - 4th Avenue S.W. Calgary, Alberta T2P 2V6
tel 403.263.0262 toll free 877.263.0262
[email protected] www.equalenergy.ca
Analyst Coverage:Casimir Capital
Jennings Capital
Octagon Capital
PI Financial
Scotia Capital
Officers:DonKlapko - President & CEO
Dell Chapman - Sr. VP & CFO
John Reader - Sr. VP & COO
JohnChimahusky - Sr. VP & COO,
U.S. Operations
Terry Fullerton -Sr.VP,Exploration
MarkRupert - VP, U.S. Operations
RichardDixon - VP, Land,
U.S. Operations
PeterLetizia - VP, Production
for Canada
Directors:Daniel Botterill
Peter Carpenter - Chairman
Michael Doyle
VictorDusik
Roger Giovanetto
DonKlapko
RobertWilkinson
VikingTrend
HuntonTrend
Cardium Trends
SaskatchewanTrend
Clair Trend
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 3 2 0 1 1 49
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FINDING OPPORTUNITY, ANSWERS, ENERGYListing:TSX-PMGBVC:PMGC
Shares outstanding: 100.6 million at September 30, 2011
Share price: $20.30 at November 30, 2011
Market capitalization: $2,043.2 million
Net surplus:$134million+$450.3indebenturesatSeptember30,2011
Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $2,359.5 million
Q3 2011 average daily production:
Crude oil and NGLs 39,923 bbls/d 100%
Natural gas 0 mmcf/d 0%
Total 39,923 boe/d 100%
Oil
Gas
Recent News:December 12, 2011 Petrominerales Cobra-2 Well on Production at Over 5,000 Bopd
December 6, 2011 PetromineralesProvidesExplorationUpdate
November 3, 2011 Petrominerales Reports Third Quarter Results HighlightedbyFundsFlowfromOperationsofUS$196.4MillionandPisingo-1ExplorationSuccess
Strategies:• Highimpactexplorationwithinventoryof2.0millionexplorationacresinColumbia(100%WI)and9.5milliongrossacres(5.4millionnet)inPeru
• Proventrackrecordofsignificantproductionandreservesgrowth
• Applyingaportfoliobasedapproachtoagrowinginventoryofover100prospectstargeting multiple play concepts
• Fullyfundedexplorationprogramwithastrongbalancesheet;$134millionofworkingcapitalsurplus
— From Petrominerales’ November 2011 corporate presentation
Contact:1900,111–5thAvenueS.W. Calgary,AlbertaT2P3Y6
tel 403.750.4400
[email protected] www.petrominerales.com
Analyst Coverage:Acciones y Valores
AlianzaValores
BMO Nesbitt Burns
Bolsa y Renta
Canaccord Genuity
Celfin
CIBCWorldMarkets
CormarkSecurities
Dundee Capital Markets
FirstEnergy Capital
FraserMacKenzie
GMP Securities
HaywoodSecurities
Interbolsa
Jennings Capital
Macquarie Capital
Peters & Co.
Raymond James
RBCCapitalMarkets
Scotia Capital
Stifel Nicolaus
TDNewcrest
UBS Securities
Neiva
Block141
Officers:Corey Ruttan - President & CEO
John Scott - COO
KellySledz-CFO
ErikLyngberg -SrVP,Exploration
AllenKnight-VP,NewVentures
AndreaHatzinikolas - General Council
& Corporate Secretary
Tannya Morales - VP, Finance
Ruben Cano - VP, Services & Logistics
Jeff Chant -VP,OrganizationalPerformance
John Wright - Chairman of the Board &
Strategic Advisor
JaimieValenzuela - VP, Project Management
& Planning, & Director of Operations
Directors:John Wright - Chairman
JeraldOaks
Alastair MacDonald
Kenneth McKinnon
Ernesto Sarpi
EnriqueUmaña-Valenzuela
GeirYtreland
Block131
Block161Block126
Block114
Antorcha
Jaguar, JoropoCastor, Casanare Este, Mapache
Chiguiro Este, Chiquiro Oeste
Casimena
Rio Ariari
This company snapshot has been assembled by BMIR using publicly available information. The snapshot is not endorsed by the company profiled.
Focus of Operations
COLOMBIA
Orito, Las Aguilas
Blocks59,15, 25 & 31 Corcel & Guatiquia
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Company Ticker Chief Executive Q3 2011
Production (boe/d) November 30, 2011
share price ($)Abenteuer Resources Corp. ABU-V Lewis Dillman 21 0.13
Anglo Canadian Oil Corp ACG-V Todd Montgomery 20 0.06
Anterra Energy Inc. AE.A-V Gang Fang 386 0.07
Avatar Energy Ltd. AVG-V Alan Jack 127 0.21
Bayshore Petroleum Corp. BSH-V Peter Ho 8 0.13
Blackdog Resources Ltd. DOG-V David Corcoran 112 0.40
Blackhawk Resource Corp. BLR-V Dave Antony not available 0.07
Blacksteel Energy Inc. BEY-V Curtis Hartzler 29 0.15
BNP Resources Inc. BNX.A-V Gregory Bilcox 10 0.08
Border Petroleum Corp. BOR-V Kelly Kimbley 236 0.20
Canadian Energy Exploration Inc. XPL-V Lawrence Buzan 8 0.03
Carmen Energy Inc. CEI-V Brian Doherty 9 0.25
Century Energy Ltd. CEY-V Brian McBeath not available 0.06
Cumberland Oil & Gas Ltd. COG-V Daniel Allan 101 0.10
Desmarais Energy Corp. DES-V James Long 45 0.03
Detector Exploration Ltd. DEX-V Ronald Alexander 74 0.07
Diaz Resources Ltd. DZR-V Robert Lamond 400 0.06
Edge Resources Inc. EDE-V Brad Nichol 307 0.17
Elkwater Resources Ltd. ELW-V Don Brown 207 0.15
Emerald Bay Energy Inc. EBY-V Shelby Beattie 85 0.03
FairWest Energy Corporation FEC-V Vern Fauth 310 0.07
Firebird Capital Partners Inc. FRD-V Kevin Patterson 11 0.15
Great Pacific International Inc. GPI-V Thalbinder Poonian 7 0.05
Guardian Exploration Inc. GX-V Graydon Kowal 25 0.05
Hawk Exploration Ltd. HWK.A-V Steve Fitzmaurice 458 0.50
Hemisphere Energy Corporation HME-V Don Simmons 66 0.75
Hermes Financial Inc. HFI-V David Wehrhahn 37 0.01
Huntington Exploration Inc HEI-V Steve Harding 5 0.06
International Sovereign Energy Corp. ISR-T Sharad Mistry 292 0.40
Invicta Energy Corp. VCA-V Gordon Reese 145 0.14
Kallisto Energy Corp KEC-V Robyn Lore 178 0.12
Lariat Energy Ltd. LE-V Scott Emerson 5 0.12
Loma Oil & Gas Ltd. LOG-V Kim Wallace 9 0.05
Magnum Energy Inc. MEN-V Richard Nemeth not available 0.17
Manitok Energy Inc. MEI-V Massimo Geremia 414 1.71
Marquee Petroleum Ltd. MQE-V Richard Thompson 94 0.26
Mount Dakota Energy Corp. MMO-V Gary Claytens 20 0.05
Nordic Oil & Gas Ltd. NOG-V Donald Benson 73 0.06
Online Energy Inc. ONL-V Steve Dabner 380 0.20
Paris Energy Inc. PI-V John McLeod 24.5 0.10
Pennant Energy Inc. PEN-V Thomas Yingling not available 0.21
Pennine Petroleum Corporation PNN-V Jeff Saxinger 15 0.04
Petro Viking Energy Inc. VIK-V Giovanni DeFancesco 81 0.22
Petroforte International Ltd. PFI-V Kevin Adair 18 0.11
PetroSands Resources (Canada) Inc. PCA-V Greg Busby 348 0.14
Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. PNE-V George Fink 100 0.17
Poplar Creek Resources Inc. PCK-V John Carruthers 18 0.06
Primary Petroleum Corporation PIE-V Michele Marrandino 2 0.60
RedWater Energy Corp. RED-V Gary Waters 123 0.35
Relentless Resources Ltd. RRL-V Daniel Wilson 111 0.35
Ria Resources Corp. RIA-V Neil Wilson 69 0.10
Saccharum Energy Corp. SHM-V Johannes Kingma 20 0.18
Sahara Energy Ltd. SAH-V Peter Boswell 32 0.04
Solara Exploration Ltd. SAA.A-V Donald Holding 314 0.18
Terrex Energy Inc. TER-V Kim Davies 332 0.09
Torquay Oil Corp. TOC.A-V Brent McKercher 268 0.22
Touchstone Exploration Inc. TAB-V Paul Baay not available 0.25
Trafina Energy Ltd. TFA.A-V Kelly Ogle 334 0.20
Traverse Energy Ltd. TVL-V Laurie Smith 202 0.74
TrinCan Capital Corp. TRN-V Burkhard Franz 28 0.10
Tuscany Energy Ltd. TUS-V Robert Lamond 219 0.13
Vecta Energy Corporation VER-V Thomas Coffman 49 0.02
Western Plains Petroleum Ltd. WPP-V David Forrest 184 0.11
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 3 2 0 1 1 51
Emerging conventional companies This list of emerging public companies serves as our reference point for tracking companies that may soon fit the criteria for inclusion in our iQ Report. This list is always changing and is not exhaustive. If you know of other emerging oil and gas companies that belong on this list, please let us know at [email protected].
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • i q . b m i r . c o m52
Cleawater Shale Caprock
Wabiskaw Bitumen
McMurray Bitumen
SAGD injectorSAGD producer infill horizontal well
created for S
outhern P
acific
Conduction and cyclic steam
SAGD & CSS
create
d for
Petrob
ank
THAI®
Emerging Oil Sands CompaniesCanadian oil sands focused companies
This list is focused on junior and intermediate oil sands players (less than 100,000 bopd of production), listed on either the TSX or the TSX Venture Exchanges. in most cases their primary focus is on oil sands development in canada. For all companies in this list with production, this was initiated no earlier than 2007.
Company Chief executive
Stock symbol & exchange (T=TSX, V=Venture)
Share price November 30,
2011 ($)
Market cap Nov. 30/11 share price
& Sept. 30/11 shares o/s ($000)
Area of focus (see map) Stage of development Recovery method
Alberta oilsands michael Lee V-AoS $ 0.16 $ 25,059 Athabasca Delineation drilling SAGD anticipated
Athabasca oil Sands Sveinung Svarte T-ATH $ 11.81 $ 4,697,640 Athabasca Delineation drilling in situ recovery
blackPearl resources John Festival T-PXX $ 4.45 $ 1,267,057 Ab & SK Heavy oil Heavy oil productionconventional, SAGD,
ASP flood
connacher oil and Gas richard Gusella T-cLL $ 0.45 $ 201,717 Athabasca Producing from q4/07,
new pod completedSAGD
Habanero resources Jason Gigliotti V-HAo $ 0.09 $ 9,813 Athabasca Delineation drilling SAGD anticipated
ivanhoe Energy robert Friedland T-iE $ 1.02 $ 351,022 Athabasca Delineation drilling SAGD anticipated
mEG Energy William mccaffrey T-mEG $ 44.67 $ 8,620,342 Athabasca on production SAGD
Pengrowth Energy Derek Evans T-PGF $ 10.50 $ 3,465,875 cold Lake Pre-production SAGD
Petrobank Energy John Wright T-PbG $ 9.20 $ 978,211 Athabasca/Peace river/SK Pilots, limited production THAi®
Pixar Petroleum (Paramount resources Ltd.)
William roach T-PoU $ 40.76 $ 3,220 Athabasca Delineation drilling SAGD anticipated
Poplar creek resources inc.
John carruthers V-PcK $ 0.06 $ 2,327 Athabasca Delineation drilling in situ recovery
Silverbirch Energy Howard Lutley V-SbE $ 6.45 $ 322,539 Athabasca Pre-production mining and in situ
Southern Pacific resource
byron Lutes T-STP $ 1.40 $ 473,630 Athabasca, SK Heavy oil Project under construction;
heavy oil productionSAGD anticipated
NoTES:1. oilsands quest is traded on the Amex Exchange (bqi) and Statoil is traded on the oslo (STL) and NYSE (STo) Exchanges2. Private companies: Andora Energy, E-T Energy, Grizzly oil Sands, Harvest operations, JAcoS, Koch Exploration, Laricina Energy, N-SoLV, oak Point Energy, oSUm, Sunshine oil Sands and Value creation 3. Southern Pacific’s fiscal year end is June 30. Shares outstanding as at the end of q1, September 30
A GUIDE TO THERMAL IN SITU RECOVERY METHODSSteam-assisted gravity drainage (SAGD)A method of producing heavy oil which involves two horizontal wellbores, one above the other; steam is injected into the upper wellbore and softened bitumen is recovered from the lower wellbore.
Cyclic steam stimulation (CSS)A method of producing heavy oil which involves injecting steam, allowing time for the steam to heat and soften the heavy oil and producing the oil from the same wellbore used to inject the steam.
Toe-to-Heel Air Injection (THAI®)A method of producing heavy oil which involves initiating combustion by injecting air in the upper region of a reservoir through a vertical well located at the toe of a horizontal production well; a combustion front then develops and sweeps the oil from the toe to the heel of the horizontal producing well.
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