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Is Foreign Aid Motivated by Altruism or Self-Interest? A Theoretical Model and Empirical Test Andrea Civelli Andrew W. Horowitz y Arilton Teixeira z University of Arkansas University of Arkansas FUCAPE Business School June 2013 Abstract We develop a simple theoretical model of bi-lateral foreign aid that generates falsiable empirical implications and an explicit test for a signicant altruistic signal in bi-lateral foreign aid disbursements. We then estimate the model with OECD donor-data to search for donor-recipient pairs that satisfy the theoretical condition for altruistic motivation. We nd that approximately 20% of donor-recipient pairs satisfy the theoretical condition for altruism with Scandinavian countries showing, on average, 33% more altruistic transfers than non-Scandinavian countries. We argue that since donor motivation may be an important unobserved characteristic contributing to endogeneity bias in prior estimates of foreign-aid e/ectiveness, this project may also contribute to more accurate estimates of aid e/ectiveness. JEL Codes: E22, E32, O11, O19 Keywords: Foreign Aid, Altruism, Welfare Analysis, bilateral donors, business cycles 1 Introduction Imagine an altruistic father who earns $10; 000 a month and gives his less successful son $1; 000 a month to supplement the $1; 000 the son earns. Utility of both father and son exhibit diminishing marginal utility. Now an unanticipated income shock reduces both fathers and sons earned income by 50% to $5; 000 and $500 per month respectively. Does the father transfer more or less income after the shock? While there is no unconditional answer to the question we can show that with su¢ cient altruism transfers will increase that is, with su¢ cient altruism transfers become counter-cyclical. We employ this theoretical result to develop an Economics Department, University of Arkansas. E-mail: [email protected]. y Economics Department, University of Arkansas. E-mail: [email protected] z FUCAPE Business School, Victoria (Brazil). E-mail: [email protected]. 1

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Page 1: Is Foreign Aid Motivated by Altruism or Self-Interest? A ... · Is Foreign Aid Motivated by Altruism or Self-Interest? A Theoretical Model and Empirical Test Andrea Civelli Andrew

Is Foreign Aid Motivated by Altruism or Self-Interest? A

Theoretical Model and Empirical Test

Andrea Civelli� Andrew W. Horowitzy Arilton Teixeiraz

University of Arkansas University of Arkansas FUCAPE Business School

June 2013

Abstract

We develop a simple theoretical model of bi-lateral foreign aid that generates falsi�able empirical

implications and an explicit test for a signi�cant altruistic signal in bi-lateral foreign aid disbursements.

We then estimate the model with OECD donor-data to search for donor-recipient pairs that satisfy the

theoretical condition for altruistic motivation. We �nd that approximately 20% of donor-recipient pairs

satisfy the theoretical condition for altruism with Scandinavian countries showing, on average, 33% more

altruistic transfers than non-Scandinavian countries. We argue that since donor motivation may be an

important unobserved characteristic contributing to endogeneity bias in prior estimates of foreign-aid

e¤ectiveness, this project may also contribute to more accurate estimates of aid e¤ectiveness.

JEL Codes: E22, E32, O11, O19

Keywords: Foreign Aid, Altruism, Welfare Analysis, bilateral donors, business cycles

1 Introduction

Imagine an altruistic father who earns $10; 000 a month and gives his less successful son $1; 000 a month to

supplement the $1; 000 the son earns. Utility of both father and son exhibit diminishing marginal utility.

Now an unanticipated income shock reduces both father�s and son�s earned income by 50% �to $5; 000 and

$500 per month respectively. Does the father transfer more or less income after the shock? While there is no

unconditional answer to the question we can show that with su¢ cient altruism transfers will increase �that

is, with su¢ cient altruism transfers become counter-cyclical. We employ this theoretical result to develop an

�Economics Department, University of Arkansas. E-mail: [email protected] Department, University of Arkansas. E-mail: [email protected] Business School, Victoria (Brazil). E-mail: [email protected].

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empirical test for altruism in bi-lateral O¢ cial Development Assistance (ODA or foreign aid) �an issue that

has been subject to much debate.1 We �nd evidence that approximately 20% of donor-recipient pairs display

our signal for altruistic ODA motivation and that a large portion of those pairs involve Scandinavian donors.

Scandinavian countries have long been held as examples of altruistic donors, though a theoretical foundation

for these assertions and a rigorous empirical test for altruistic motivation have been largely absent.

Most prior ODA literature has focused either on the e¤ect of ODA on recipient countries or the motivation

of donors. We shall argue these issues are inextricably intertwined. In particular, important recent works have

asserted that earlier estimates of ODA e¤ects are subject to undermining endogeneity bias (Angus Deaton

(2010), Raghuram Rajan and Arvind Subramanian (2008)). That is, since aid is not randomly assigned

across recipients, the presence of unobserved characteristics which determine both the distribution of aid

and its e¤ectiveness will critically bias estimates of ODA impact. One of the most potentially important of

those unobserved characteristics is the motivation of donors.

Our model will identify counter-cyclical aid �ows as a signal of altruistic ODA motivation. The cyclicality

of aid �ows from both donor and recipient perspectives has been addressed in prior theoretical and empirical

literature. However, the prior focus has primarily been on the e¤ect of aid on recipient business cycles and

its role as stabilizer or destabilizer of recipients. The possibility that cyclical patterns of aid may provide a

signal of ODA motivation has not been considered.

The remainder of the paper is organized as follows: Section 2 provides a review of the literature and

additional background material. Section 3 develops our theoretical model of bi-lateral ODA that yields a

testable empirical condition for signi�cant altruistic motivation. Section 4 provides our preliminary empirical

results. Section 5 summarizes and suggests future extensions.

2 Literature and Additional Background

The motivation for bi-lateral O¢ cial Development Assistance (ODA) has long been debated (see, for instance,

Leonard Dudley and Claude Montmarquette (1976); McKinlay and Little (1979); Alfred Maizels and Machiko

K. Nissanke (1984); Trumbull and Wall (1994); Javed Younas (2008); Chong and Gradstein (2008)). Many

argue that ODA is ultimately motivated by self-interest (Jean Claue Berthelemy and Ariane Tichit (2004);

Berthelemy (2006); Alberto Alesina and David Dollar (2000); Younas (2008)). This view is prevalent in

the political science literature (Robert A. Packenham (1966); Peter J. Schrader, Steven W. Hook, and

Bruce Taylor (1998); Bruce B. de Mesquite and Alastair Smith (2007); David H. Bearce and Daniel C.

Tirone (2010)). Others argue that the motivations vary signi�cantly across countries and that while ODA1We provide a review of this large literature in Section 2 of this paper. As is standard, our analysis excludes military aid.

O¢ cial de�nitions of all ODA terms used in this paper can be found at http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/36/32/31723929.htm.

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from most countries is motivated by self-interest, other countries appear altruistic (Jakob Svensson (1999)).

Donors� tself-reported motivation should also be noted. Over 95% of reported global ODA was provided

by the subset of the OECD countries belonging to the Development Assistance Committee (DAC). DAC

members adopt standardized accounting methods and assert altruistic motivation for ODA.2 Though it is

natural to discount donors�self-reported motivation, falsifying altruism is di¢ cult.

A natural starting point for discerning donors�motivation would seem to be measurement of donors�

�return� to ODA. If transfers to impoverished recipients yield no bene�ts to the donor, altruism emerges

as the likely motivation by process of elimination. However, even the most impoverished nations have the

capacity to provide a return to donor�s ODA in the form of supportive votes in multi-lateral institutions

such as the UN and many authors in both economics and political science have taken this as evidence of

self-interest motivation.3 For example, US e¤orts to impose sanctions on (presumed) nuclear proliferators

have depended on a sequence of close UN votes. There is little doubt that in such contexts supportive votes

convey considerable value to the protagonists. Nevertheless, measuring the actual donor return ODA is

extremely di¢ cult. For example, rather than a supportive vote, donor return may be in the form of inaction

by a recipient as when a recipient agrees to not sell uranium ore to a proliferator. This return (in the form

of inaction) will not be captured by counting supportive multi-lateral votes or by any explicit balance sheet

entry. Fortunately, we are able to empirically test our altruistic motivation condition without the need for

direct measurement of donors�return. We will discuss this in detail in the estimation section.

As noted, most economics literature is focused on the e¤ect of ODA on recipient countries rather than

the motivation of donors. An important strand of this literature looks at the relationship between ODA and

the business cycle in both donor and recipient countries (Bulir and Hamaan (2008); Kuhlgatz, Abdulai, and

Barrett (2010); Stephane Pallage and Michel A. Robe (2001); Pallage, Robe, and Berube (2007); Dabla-

Norris, Minoiu, and Zanna (2010)). Though these models are related to our work our research objective is

distinct. Speci�cally, we seek to identify a theoretical signal of altruistic motivation and then test empirically

for the presence of this signal.

3 The Model

In this section we introduce a theoretical model that generates a distinguishing empirical signal for altruism

among donors. The theoretical model presented in this section is as close as possible to the estimation we will

undertake. More general derivations of the counter-cyclical altruism signal are possible and are indicated

subsequently.2http://www.oecd.org/department/0,2688,en_2649_33721_1_1_1_1_1,00.html3Many of the citations above adopt this rationale.

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3.1 Theoretical Framework

In each period, the donor country planner solves a static utility maximization problem to determine how

much ODA to transfer to each of the R potential recipient countries. The donor derives utility from its

own consumption and from ODA disbursements in a manner to described precisely below. The donor�s own

consumption is de�ned as income, net of investments, and is assumed to be exogenous at the moment of the

planner�s decision. This de�nition implies that government expenditures and net exports are fully absorbed

by consumers. With this framework we can focus fully on the donor�s ODA dispersement problem across

potential recipients. That is, in our model the donor�s decision is whether to forego some consumption in

order to make ODA disbursements to the R potential recipient countries. ODA disbursements need not be

equal across the R potential countries. To keep analysis tractable we also abstract from strategic interaction

among donors.

We �rst introduce some notation and the objective function of a generic donor d; the same analysis

would apply to any of the other D donors. The vector of ODA disbursements by the generic donor d is

de�ned as A = [A1; A2; :::AR] and the donor�s trend income is �Y . These variables are time series but the

time indexes are omitted for ease of notation; we will explicitly re-introduce them only when necessary. The

utility function, which contains a reference level associated with trend income, is

U�A; �Y

�= u

�C; �Y

�+G(A; �Y ) (1)

Note that total utility in (1) includes the standard own consumption component u (�) and a second component,

G (�), that represents the gain from the full vector of ODA disbursements. Global diminishing marginal utility

from consumption is assumed for u (�). All of the model�s theoretical predictions work in levels as well as

relative to a reference level. The resources constraint utilized in the donor�s optimization problem links C

to the ODA donations through the standard accounting relation

C +RXr=1

As = Y � I (2)

where Y � I on the right hand side is the donor�s income net of private investment. For later reference, we

de�ne C0 = Y � I as donor income when no ODA donations are made. Consistent with our discussion above

we will refer to this total absorption term as simply "consumption." Finally, ODA disbursements must be

non-negative Ar > 0 for any r = 1:::R and cannot exceed C0. This generates the second constraint of the

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optimization problemRXr=1

As 6 C0 (3)

We assume the total gain functionG (�) can be expressed as the sum of individual gain functions associated

with the disbursements to each of the R recipients: Ar

G(A; �Y ) =RXr=1

Gr�Ar; �Y

�The gain from each individual transfer, Gr (0), can be decomposed in two distinct components. The �rst

component is a direct (non-altruistic) return from an ODA transfer to recipient r, �r�Ar= �Y

�(for example,

a vote at the UN). The second term is derived purely from altruistic preferences of the donor towards r,

�r�Ar= �Y

�. Note that this speci�cation allow a donor to be solely motivated by the direct-return from

ODA (self-interest), to be altruisic, or any combination of the two motivations.

Gr�A; �Y

�= �r

�A; �Y

�+ �r

�A; �Y

�It is reasonable to assume that there is no gain from either component if no ODA donation is made to a

recipient. Therefore Gr (0) = �r (0) = �r (0) = 0. We also assume �0r; �0r � 0, and �00r ; �

00r � 0 for any r,

but only in a positive neighborhood of Ar = 0. It is not necessary to fully characterize the gain function for

its entire dominion (0; C0) since all observed individual ODA transfers are very small relative to C0 (e.g.,

Section 4 shows that ODA disbursements are typically smaller than :01% of GDP). Hence, we impose only

a minimal set of assumptions on Gr (Ar) close enough to 0 to ensure a solution near Ar = 0. That is, we

approximate the solution around (C;Ar) = (C0; 0).

Empirically, we will also allow the gain functions components to be a¤ected by pair-speci�c shift factors,

X�r and X�r. Hence, ��Ar; �Y ;X�r

�and �

�Ar; �Y ;X�r

�are the complete gain component expressions for

estimation. Examples of shifters for � (the "return" component) in literature are the tightness of the

trade relationship between donor and recipient, geopolitical factors, and colonial relationships. Potentially

important shifters for � (the "altruism" component) are the recipient�s level of consumption without ODA,

cultural and religous factors, the recipient�s population size, political e¢ ciency, and corruption. In our

estimation, we explicitly incorporate the recipient�s initial level of consumption in the altruistic component

by making � (�) proportional to the change in the recipient�s utility due to ODA donation from a donor.

We now consider the utility and budget constraint of the recipient as seen from the perspective of the

donor�s problem (recall that we derive the local solution in the neighborhood around (C;Ar) = (C0; 0)).

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The recipient�s budget constraint is then:

Cr = Cr;0 +Ar (4)

Equation (4) shows that � (Ar;X�r) can be expressed as a function of Cr for given Cr;0 since Ar = Cr �

Cr;0. The implicit assumption here is that altruistic donors care about recipient country consumers, but

do not explicitly consider �rms in their altruistic decisions. The recipient constraint implies that ODA

is �consumed� instantaneously by the government and/or consumers � that is, there is full absorbtion of

recipient government expenditures.

Consistent with clear empirical reality, we assume that constraint (3) is never binding for any donor.

Therefor, the local interior �rst-order-necessary-conditions of the donors problem are statis�ed where the

marginal utility of donor "own-consumption" is equal to the marginal gain (from the total gain function)

for each the recipients. Indirect e¤ects of transfers across recipients that would be conveyed by the shadow

price of constraint (3), were it binding, are absent. Hence, we can obtain the local qualitative theoretical

signal of altruism utilizing the ODA decision to a single representative recipient, r, taking the donor�s ODA

to the other R� 1 potential recipients as already optimally determined. Note that the predetermined ODA

to any (or all) of the other R� 1 recipients may also be zero. Finally, we explicitly account for the reference

level by standardizing the arguments of the utility function by the trend income. To simplify notation, let

~Z = Z = �Y be the ratio to GDP value of variable Z and re-write the utility function (1) after substituting

for constraint (2)

U�~A�= u

~C0 �

Xr

~Ar

!+Xr

�r

�~Ar;X�r

�+Xr

�r

�~Ar;X�r

�(5)

The �rst order condition with respect to the generic donation Ar to recipient r is

�uc�~C�r;0 � ~Ar

�+ �r;A

�~Ar;X�r

�+ �r;A

�~Ar;X�r

�= 0 (6)

where ~C�r;0 = ~C0 �P

j 6=r~Aj . Since we are interested in studying the solution of the problem for a small

positive Ar, we can take a �rst order approximation of (6) around ~Ar = 0. The linear expansions of the

three terms in this equation are

�uc�~C�r;0 � ~Ar

�' �uc (C�r;0) + ucc (C�r;0) ~Ar (7)

�r;A (Ar;X�r) ' �r;A (0;X�r) + �r;AA (0;X�r)Ar

�r;A (Ar;X�r) ' �r;A (0;X�r) + �r;AA (0;X�r)Ar

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In order to keep the notation in the following explanation more compact, we will replace the derivatives

in (7) with over-bar variables. For instance, let us de�ne �uc � uc (C�r;0) and �ucc � ucc (C�r;0) and adopt

the same convention for � and � too. Using (7) into (6), we obtain

��uc + �ucc ~Ar + ��r;A + ��r;AA ~Ar + ��r;A + ��r;AA ~Ar = 0 (8)

which returns the solution

~A�r =�uc � ��r;A � ��r;A

�ucc + ��r;AA + ��r;AA(9)

The optimal solution of ~A�r has a very clear interpretation. Since the second order derivatives evaluated

at zero ODA are all negative, the denominator of (9) is negative as well. In order to have Ar � 0 as solution,

the numerator of (9) needs to be negative (or equal to zero at most). The necessary condition for positive

ODA is then

�uc < ��r;A + ��r;A (10)

The marginal gain of setting a positive ODA must overcome the marginal loss due to the fall in the donor�s

consumption. If the condition is not satis�ed then Ar = 0 and we have a "corner" solution to the problem.

Figure 1 represents one of the possible cases in which the direct return is quite low and the ODA donation

decision is mostly explained by altruism.

Figure 1: Optimal ODA decisiion in the linearized framework.

Notes: In this example, a positive, small ODA disbursement to recipient r is optimally achieved thanks to a highdegree of altruism in the donor preferences.

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3.2 The Counter-cyclical ODA

We explore now the condition for counter-cyclical ODA in this framework which constitutes a signal of an

altruism which we will call strong-altruism . We evaluate the derivative d ~A�r = ~Y applying the envelope the-

orem to the �rst order condition (9). Before doing this, we postulate the following reduced-form relationship

between donor�s and recipient�s incomes

Yr�Yr= �0 + �r

Yd�Yd+ 'X + " (11)

Where the Yi�Yirepresents the output gap of country i = r; d which is de�ned as the ratio of actual GDP Yi

over its trend income �Yi. On the right-hand-side of equation 11, k is a constant and X can be thought of at

this stage as embodying other relevant determinants of the recipient�s income. Finally, " is a residual with

mean zero. It is not necessary to impose any restrictions on �r so that the income of donor and recipient

may be correlated positively, negatively, or not at all. In general, �r will be dictated by the degree of

integration of the recipient country with the global economy as well their trade mix and it would vary across

donor-recipient pairs.

Let us de�ne 1 = �uc� ��r;A���r;A and 2 = �ucc+ ��r;AA+��r;AA, we have that the derivative d ~A�r =d ~Y is

d ~A�rd ~Y

=

�dd ~Y 1

� 2 �

�dd ~Y 2

� 1

( 2)2

The �rst derivative term in this expressions is

d

d ~Y 1 =

d�uc

d ~Y���r;A

d ~Y= �ucc � �r��r;Ac (12)

where the fact that � (�) does not depend on the donor�s income is used; the parameter �r in the last term

is instead derived from (11).4 The other derivative is

d

d ~Y 2 =

d�ucc

d ~Y+��r;AA

d ~Y= �uccc + �r

��r;AAc (13)

Putting the two terms together again, we obtain

d ~A�rd ~Y

=1

2

h�ucc � �r��r;Ac �

��uccc + �r

��r;AAc�~A�r

i4Our de�nition of � (�) makes the return independent from the donor�s income. This seems to be a fair assumption, even

though it would be possible to write a model in which � (�) is, for example, proportional to Y and this would determine anextra term in 12. However, our speci�cation is more general.

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A counter-cyclical ODA d ~A�r

d ~Y< 0 can be found if

d ~A�rd ~Y

=�ucc � �r��r;Ac �

��uccc + �r

��r;AAc�~A�r

�ucc + ��r;AA + ��r;AA< 0 (14)

since the denominator of this ratio is always negative, the numerator has to be positive in order for (14) to

be satis�ed

�ucc � �r��r;Ac ���uccc + �r

��r;AAc�~A�r > 0 (15)

However, since our approximation of the solution holds only for for small ~Ar, the term multiplied by ~A�r

in (15) would be negligible compared to the terms in (12) in the determination of the sign of (15). The

condition we can focus on is then

�ucc � �r��r;Ac > 0 (16)

The second derivative �ucc is negative by assumption, therefore if also ��r;Ac is negative then condition

(16) becomes

�r >�ucc��r;Ac

(17)

and it can be satis�ed only for �r > 0. In a baseline scenario, we can expect ��r;Ac to be negative. This

condition tells us that counter-cyclical ODAs are more likely to occur when either j�uccj is small relative to����r;Ac�� (high donor�s consumption relative to the recipient�s) or ����r;Ac�� is large relative to j�uccj (which wouldoccur when the donor�s altruism toward recipient r exceeds the threshold implied by (16) for a given �ucc and

�r).

However, this does not have to be always the case since ��r;A also depends on the other shifting variables

in X�r and those might change in response to ~Yr in a way that makes this cross-derivative non-negative.

For example, suppose that an increase in the recipient�s income reduces the degree of corruption of its

government. This would improve the e¤ectiveness of an ODA donation in the donor�s opinion and would

shift the return schedule from the altruistic component of the gain function upward. The total net e¤ect

on ��r;A depends on all these partial e¤ects and we could observed ~A�

r

d ~Y< 0 even when �r is negative. This

possibility seems to be fairly common in the data.

Hence, we characterize this form of altruism as strong-altruism to distinguish it from the case where the

donor has altruistic preferences but not large enough to generate a counter-cyclical ODA. In summary strong-

altruism occurs when voluntary transfers from a richer to a poorer agent move inversely with changes in

both agents�income, as illustrated in the example of transfers from a father to son in the opening paragraph.

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3.3 Empirical Strategy

In order to empirically evaluate condition (16), we add some structure to the minimal theoretical assumptions

above considering some speci�c functional form for u (�), � (�) and � (�). The main assumption is that both

donor and recipients have constant absolute risk aversion. This implies negative exponential functional forms

for u (�)

u�~C�

= 1� e�� ~C

u�~Cr

�= 1� e��r ~Cr

where � and �r are the donor�s and recipients�risk aversion parameters. This type of functional form is fairly

common in literature because preferences are easily characterize by the curvature parameter only. In our

context, it also allows us to have very similar �rst and second derivatives which makes the optimal condition

very suitable for the estimation exercise. On the other hand, there is no much guidance about � (�) and � (�).

We choose simple functional forms that satisfy the theoretical properties discussed above. Similarly to the

consumption utility, we parameterize the direct return for the donor from an ODA donation to recipient r

with the same type of negative exponential function as u (�)

�r

�~Ar;X�r

�= �r;0

�1� e�� ~Ar

in which the curvature parameter � is the same as the donor�s risk aversion and the new parameter �r;0

represents the direct utility return standardized by donor�s risk aversion of ODA associated to ~Ar = 0.

Finally, as mentioned above, we assume the altruism component to be proportional to the change in the

recipient�s utility due to the receiving of the ODA donation ~Ar

�r

�~Ar;X�r

�= �r;0

��e��r ~Cr + e��r ~Cr;0

�= �r;0

��e��r( ~Cr;0+ ~Ar) + e��r

~Cr;0�

where �r;0 expresses the degree of altruism of the donor toward recipient r. As explained above, � (�) and

� (�) depend also on a set of shifting variables, which can be thought of as a¤ecting �r;0 and �r;0. For sake

of simplicity in the notation, this dependence will not be explicitly reported.5

5A more complete notation for �r;0 and �r;0 would be �r;0 (X�r) and �r;0 (X�r) where ~Cr;0 is not in X�r any more.

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Adopting these functional forms for the utility, the optimal condition (9) becomes

~A�r =�e��

~C�r;0 � �r;0� � �r;0�re��r~Cr;0

��2e�� ~C�r;0 � �r;0�2 � �r;0�2re��r~Cr;0

(18)

The �rst order condition (8) now yields a regression equation that allows us to estimate the return

parameter �r;0 and the altruism parameter �r;0 conditional on the chosen functional forms and for a given

pair of risk aversion parameters � and �r

�e��~C�r;0

�1 + � ~A�r

�| {z }

y

= �r;0��1� � ~A�r

�| {z }

x1

+ �r;0�re��r ~Cr;0

�1� �r ~A�r

�| {z }

x2

(19)

In general, we may expect �r;0 � 0, a non-negative return rate, and �r;0 � 0, a non-negative altruism

parameter. If this is the case, condition (17) specializes into

�r�r;0 >

��

�r

�2e�r

~Cr;0

e� ~C�r;0(20)

A large enough altruism parameter is required to satisfy the strong-altruism condition. The condition is more

likely to hold the bigger is the risk aversion of the recipient country relative to the donor�s; the smaller is the

recipient�s consumption net of the ODA transfer relative to the donor�s income, ~Cr;0; and the larger is the

initial donor�s consumption, ~C�r;0. It is more rewarding for the donor showing altruism towards the recipient

when ~Cr;0 is small and it is less of an e¤ort for the donor to disburse some ODA when its consumption ~C�r;0

is higher.

There are a few issues that might make the evaluation of this condition less reliable in the framework

outlined so far. The �rst issue is the presence of a possible bias in the estimate of �r;0. The estimates of the

coe¢ cients in regression (19) would be likely a¤ected by a bias similar to an omitted variable or measurement

error bias due to the dependence of �r;0 and �r;0 on the shifting factors. In order to attenuate the bias, we

can control for some of these shifters augmenting (19) with them or using them as instrumental variables in

the regression. The second issue is related to the functional form chosen for the two utility functions and the

calibration of the risk aversion parameters. The right hand side of the condition depends on these choices

and it may obviously be quite sensitive to them. The last issue is related to the sign of �r;0 which does not

necessarily have to be positive.

Fortunately, we are not interested in providing estimates of �r;0 and �r;0 per se since our main goal is

to identify donor-recipient pairs characterized by a strong-altruism signal. In order to avoid these problems,

we propose a di¤erent identi�cation strategy based on the donor�s decision between a zero and a positive

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~Ar which is made before the decision on how much ODA to donate to recipient r. Using the new functional

forms in condition (10), the donor sets a positive ODA only if

�e��~C�r;0 � �r;0� � �r;0�re��r

~Cr;0 < 0

Let us de�ne the pair of coe¢ cients��r;1; �r;1

�such that the optimal choice of ODA for the donor would be

~A�r = 0. These coe¢ cients satisfy the condition

�e��~C�r;0 = �r;1� + �r;1�re

��r ~Cr;0 (21)

Taking the di¤erential of (21) with respect to ~Y gives

�2e��~C�r;0 = �r�r;1�

2re��r ~Cr;0 (22)

or equivalently

�r�r;1 =

��

�r

�2e�r

~Cr;0

e� ~C�r;0(23)

Combining (20) and (22), we obtain a �nal strong-altruism condition for counter-cyclical ODA

�r (�r;0 � �r;1) > 0 (24)

We can obtain an estimate of �r;1 (along with �r;1) from (21) and compare it to the estimate of �r;0 from

(??) in order to evaluate the condition in (24). The potential bias in the estimates of �r;0 and �r;1 is less

of a problem in evaluating (24), since both �r;0 and �r;1 would be a¤ected by the same bias. Also the

parameterization of the risk aversion of the two countries and the sign of �r;0 are less relevant issues in this

version of the strong-altruism condition. The validity of the test remains obviously conditional on the chosen

functional form of the utility function.

Condition (24) is satis�ed when the di¤erence between the two parameters is larger than zero when

�r > 0

(�r;0 � �r;1) > 0 if �r > 0 (25)

but also in the a second case when

(�r;0 � �r;1) < 0 if �r < 0 (26)

The actual strong-altruism donor-recipients pairs are identi�ed only by the conditions in (25) because it

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corresponds to the case in which the altruism parameter �r;0 is bigger than the minimum degree of altruism

found in (21). Figure 2 provides a graphical explanation of the full mechanism supporting the strong-altruism

condition and the ODA decision. For given �, �r, ~C�r;0 and ~Cr;0 equation (21) de�nes the set of all (�r; �r)

pairs for which ~A�r = 0. Since �e�� ~C�r;0 and �re��r

~Cr;0 are positive, equation (21) represents a downward

sloping line in the (�r; �r) plane with a positive intercept. On the right hand side of this line we have the

region of (�r; �r) pairs such that ~A�r > 0, while on the left hand side we would have negative ODA. Suppose

�r > 0 and that the estimates of��r;1; �r;1

�from (21) are (�B ; �B). If we move to the left of �B , to point

1 for example, the strong-altruism condition is not satis�ed because (�r;0 � �r;1) < 0 but ~A�r can still be

made positive by a high direct return �r;0. On the other side, moving just a little towards the right would

be enough to get ~A�r > 0; however, if �r;0 is small we would need a larger altruism parameter �r;0 in order

for the strong-altruism condition to hold, as for example in point 2 in Figure 2.

Figure 2: ODA decision and the strong-altruism condition.

Notes: Graphical interpretation of the ODA decision and of the strong-altruism condition. The estimates of��r;1; �r;1

�from (21) are (�B ; �B). The strong-altruism condition can be satis�ed in point 1 but not point 2.

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4 Empirical Estimation

4.1 ODA Accounting and Data

A donor country allocates its income, Y , to consumption, C, investment, I, and ODA donations to all the

potential recipients, A. We can re-state equation (2) as

Y = C + I +A (27)

In national accounting, ODA disbursements are included in donors�GDP as export items that generate a

trade �ow without the corresponding income �ow. The actual income available to a donor for consumption

and investment must be adjusted for those items. We measure income by GDP and take investment from

national accounting. As explained in section (3), equation (27) implies that our de�nition of consumption

corresponds more generally to the concept of absorption by private and public sector and it includes also

government expenditure and net exports. Symmetrically, for recipient countries, ODA transfers increase

the income available for their consumption. Based on our de�nition of consumption, we can construct total

consumption of a recipient by adding the ODA disbursements from each donor to the recipient�s GDP net

of investment. However, from the point of view of a maximizing donor, equation 3 is simply the de�nition

of how recipient r�s consumption depends on the ODA disbursement from that donor.

National account data is drawn from PWT 7.0 while ODA data is from the OECD. The current analysis

utilizes 19 OECD donors and 137 recipients for the period 1970 to 2010.6 Appendix A lists the 156 countries

in our sample. All analysis utilizes 2005 International Dollars per person �the reporting basis in the Penn

World Tables (RGDPI). Data taken from OECD was mapped to PWT data. All the variables are expressed

in equivalent PPP per-capita terms. Since the ODA �ows from donor d to recipient r are provided by the

OECD data base in current USD, these are adjusted multiplying the �ows by the ratio between the PWT

GDP, which is already in equivalent PPP per-capita terms, and the current USD GDP from the OECD.

Figure 3 below illustrates total ODA disbursements for the 19 donors in our sample as a share of donor GDP

and reveals that the majority fall between :1 � :5%. It is interesting to note that the stated OECD-DAC

target of :07% of GDP is rarely achieved.

Figure 4 shows ODA relative to GDP for all 137 of the recipient countries �again each line represents

a speci�c country. Note that ODA receipts range from very little to over 20% of GDP for some recipients.

The darker line in Figure 4 represents the average amount of aid received by the 137 countries in our sample,

which is between 2% and 4%. Both Figures illustrate that there is considerable variance of ODA as a share

6There are many new small DAC donors in recent years. We include the 15 largest the DAC donors countries over our timeperiod and, in addition, all Scandinavian countries (since they are often noted as altruist in the literature).

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1970 1980 1990 2000 20100

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9x 10

­3

Figure 3: Total ODA Disbursements as a ratio of GDP - DAC Donors - Sample 1970� 2010.

Notes: Total ODA disbursements for each of the 19 donors in our sample. Each color represents a unique donor.

of GDP for some donors and recipients while others are relatively stable. As noted previously, each donor

disburses ODA to a large set of recipients. However, most donors appear to have a stronger systematic ODA

relationship in terms of share of GDP with only a much smaller set of recipients. The remaining recipient

countries receive aid in smaller amounts and some only on an occasional basis. This characteristic will play

an important role in our results.

The US is an extreme example of this pattern disbursing ODA to 130 out of 137 countries with half of

the countries receiving less than :05% of the total US ODA on average over the time period. About 40%

of US recipients receive, in total, less than :03% of US total disbursements on average while the 10 largest

US recipients receive on average 53% of total US ODA disbursements. These characteristics of the ODA

disbursements for the US are presented in Figure 5.

4.2 Estimation

We test now whether the strong-altruism condition, the inequality in (24), derived from the theoretical model

is satis�ed by some of the donor-recipient pairs. The reduced form relationship between recipient and donor

business cycles, equation (11), the �rst order condition of the donor�s optimization problem, equation (19),

and the condition for zero ODA, equation (21), de�ne the framework for the estimation of the parameters

of the model required to evaluate the strong-altruism condition.

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1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 20100

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

0.35

0.4

Figure 4: Total ODA Disbursements as a ratio of GDP - All Recipients - Sample 1970� 2010.

Notes: Total ODA disbursements for each of the recipient countries in our sample. Each green line represents one ofthe recipients. The dark line is the mean ODA across recipient

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 20100

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

0.35

0.4

0.45

0.5

Figure 5: Shares of total ODA for the US.

Notes: Shares of US ODA disbursements by recipient from 1970 to 2010. Each line corresponds to one of therecipients.

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We further specialize equation (11) introducing an auto-regressive term in the regression

~Yr;t = �0 + 'r ~Yr;t�1 + �r ~Yd;t + "t (28)

This term is just a simple way to capture other idiosyncratic determinants of the economic cycle of a country

that re�ect structural characteristics of its speci�c economic environment. An alternative speci�cation of this

equation might include e¤ects such as population changes, trade dynamics, government variables, and other

factors implicit in the auto-regressive term. The trend GDP, �Yt, necessary to compute the ratio variables in

the equations is constructed applying the HP �lter to the GDP series with the smoothing parameter set to

100.

Equations (28), (19), and (21) are estimated by GMM. The standard orhogonality conditions between

regressors and the error terms of the equations provide the necessary conditions to estimate the coe¢ cients

of the three regressions. The full vector of estimated parameters is � =��0 'r �r �r;0 �r;0 �r;1 �r;1

�0. We

rely on the asymptotic properties of the GMM estimator to conduct the strong-altruism test on inequality

24. The vector of estimates �̂ has a normal asymptotic distribution given by:

pT��̂ � �

�! N (0; V )

where T is the length of the sample and V is the covariance matrix of �̂ obtained from the inverse of the

optimal weighting matrix of the GMM procedure.7 The distribution of �̂r��̂r;0 � �̂r;1

�is found from the

distribution of �̂ applying the delta method; this distribution allows us to construct a statistical test to

evaluate the strong-altruism condition. Under the null hypothesis H0 : �̂r

��̂r;0 � �̂r;1

�� 0, the asymptotic

distribution of �̂r��̂r;0 � �̂r;1

�is approximated by

pT �̂r

��̂r;0 � �̂r;1

�! N

�0; L�̂V L

0�̂

�(29)

where L is the gradient of �r (�r;0 � �r;1) with respect to the components of �, so that L = [0 0 (�r;0 � �r;1) 0 �r 0 � �r].

The gradient is then empirically evaluated at the estimated coe¢ cient vector �̂. A donor recipient pair sat-

is�es the strong-altruism condition if the the null is rejected at 5% level of con�dence.

Finally, note that the parameter estimates and, therefore, the results of the strong-altruism condition test

would depend on the risk aversion of the two countries. We must make an assumption on the risk aversion

parameters to estimate the model and we adopt a baseline case of �d = �r = 2. Other risk aversion values

were also assumed as part of our robustness checks. As discussed subsequently, the baseline results are quite

7The optimal weighting matrix is computed using a Bartlett kernel and a Newey-West �xed bandwidth.

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robust to reasonable changes in these parameters.

4.3 Summary of Baseline Estimation Results

Since we estimate the parameters vector �̂ for all donor-recipient pairs (about 2600), it is infeasible to

report the entire set of point estimates for all pairs. Therefore, our principal objective of this section is to

summarize results rather than focus on analysis of potential idiosyncratic altruistic motivation among the

speci�c donor-recipient pairs. An interpretation of the results is provided in the next sub-section. The �rst

general point is that approximately 21% of the pairs satisfy the strong-altruism condition at the �ve percent

con�dence level, corresponding to the case in which �r is positive in condition (25). Hence, our results

suggest that although the altruism signal is not present in the large majority of ODA transfers, neither is

it insigni�cant. There are about 8% of the pairs that pass condition (26) with a negative �r instead; the

total share of predicted counter-cyclical ODA disbursements is then 29%. In order to assess the plausibility

of this percentage, we can compare it to the share of negative unconditional correlations between ODA and

donor�s income found in the data for example, which is about 20%. Even though unconditional correlations

do not express exactly the same theoretical concept measured here by the negative derivative d ~A�r = d ~Y , it

can be considered a �rst acceptable proxy of our counteryclical ODA at this stage. The mass of predicted

counter-cyclical pairs seems to be quite reasonable. Figure 6 below provides a compact summary of the

number of donor-recipients pairs (by donor) that signi�cantly display the altruism signal for the baseline

case; the average number of pairs is 29 per donor. Interestingly, Scandinavian countries show on average an

higher number of strongly-altruistic donor-recipient relationships (36) than non-Scandinavian countries (27).

This result is in line with the stronger Scandinavian altruism often asserted by both economics and political

science academic literature and by the non-academic donor community. The speci�c recipients represented

in Figure 6 are also listed in Table B1 in Appendix B.

It would be infeasible to numerically report the point estimates of the parameters of the model for the

entire set of donor-recipient pairs. Therefore, we summarize the information about the estimates in Figures

7 and 8. Figure 7 illustrates the estimates of the di¤erence (�r;0 � �r;1); the di¤erence is plotted against its

standard deviation and the level of signi�cance is represented by the straight, blue-dotted lines (5% the most

external lines, 10% the internal ones). If a point lies outside the two most external lines, it is signi�cant at

5% level; if it lies inside the two narrow cones, it is signi�cant at 10% level. The red dots correspond to

the strong-altruism pairs which satisfy condition (25) and these are compared to the other pairs in black.

Figures B1-B3 in the Appendix provides the same information for �r, �r;0, and �r;0.

As expected, the strong-altruism condition is often supported by large and signi�cant di¤erences between

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0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

Aus

tralia

Aus

tria

Bel

gium

Can

ada

Den

mar

kFi

nlan

dFr

ance

Ger

man

yIta

lyJa

pan

Luxe

mbo

urg

Net

herla

nds

New

 Zea

land

Nor

way

Spa

inS

wed

enS

witz

erla

ndU

nite

d K

ingd

omU

nite

d S

tate

s

Figure 6: Number of signi�cant pairs that satisfy the strong-altruism condition by donor.

Notes: Each bar represents the number of pairs satisfying the strong-altruism condition in (25) by donor.

�r;0 and �r;1. However, we do observe many altruistic pairs too that do not necessarily display strong-altruism.

In interpreting this �gure, it should also be kept in mind that in the theory �r multiplies (�r;0 � �r;1) in

condition (25). Hence, the pairs that satisfy the condition for less signi�cant di¤erences between the two

altruism parameters are compensated by larger �r. Figure 8 provides an empirical replication of the diagram

in Figure 2 and we use it to compare these results with the intuition for the model discussed at the end

of section 3.3. In this �gure, we plot (�r;0 � �r;1) versus��r;0 � �r;1

�for each donor-recipient pair in the

sample; this is basically equivalent to drawing Figure 2 after re-centering the axis on (�b; �b). The intuition

behind the ODA decisional process suggested by Figure B3 is that the majority of the strong-altruism pairs

should be found in the south-east quadrant of Figure 8 when �r is positive and this intuition is con�rmed

by the �gure. In theory, a positive, although not counter-cyclical, ODA decision can occur for an altruistic

donor ((�r;0 � �r;1) > 0) but it should correspond to smaller di¤erences. This is also the case in the �gure

where the black dots are more concentrated near zero.

4.4 Interpretation of Baseline Estimation Results

The strong-altruism condition is more likely to hold the smaller �r;1 is. Equation (23), reported here for

convenience, shows that for given �r �r;1 is directly proportional to �=�r and ~Cr;0 and inversely proportional

to ~C�r;0. We provide a further discussion of these driving factors in this section

�r�r;1 =

��

�r

�2e�r

~Cr;0

e� ~C�r;0

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0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.1­0.1

­0.08

­0.06

­0.04

­0.02

0

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.1

s.d.(δ0­δ1)

δ 0­ δ1

Figure 7: Point estimates of the di¤erence �r;0 � �r;1.

Notes: Red dots identify pairs that satisfy the strong-altruism condition (25). In black all the others. The signi�canceof the parameters is shown by the blue, dotted lines. The esternal lines show the 5% signi�cance tresholds. Theinternal lines the 10% level.

­0.06 ­0.04 ­0.02 0 0.02 0.04 0.06­0.05

­0.04

­0.03

­0.02

­0.01

0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

δ0­δ1

ρ 0­ ρ1

Figure 8: Bridging empirical results and the model - empirical counterpart of Figure 2

Notes: Plot of (�r;0 � �r;1) versus��r;0 � �r;1

�. Red dots identify pairs that satisfy the strong-altruism condition

(25). In black all the others.

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The less risk averse is the donor, relative to the recipient, the more likely is the condition to be satis�ed.

Greater recipient risk aversion implies a more concave utility function and a higher marginal utility payo¤

in transfers from a rich altruistic donor to a poor recipient. As explained in the robustness checks below, the

e¤ect of the risk aversion parameters on the number of strong-altruism pairs is fairly small. Similarly, the

lower the recipient�s consumption is relative to the donor�s GDP trend is (the higher the donor�s consumption

is), the more likely the condition is to be satis�ed. Also this e¤ect re�ects the incentive to transfer from low

to high marginal utility agents. Additional insights on these implications and results of our model can be

seen in Figure 9. This scatter plot displays the average recipient�s consumption ~Cr;0 (vertical axis) against

the average donor�s consumption ~C�r;0 (on the horizontal axis). Note that the mass of those bi-lateral

pairs satisfying the altruism condition (the red dots) typically correspond to relatively small recipient�s

consumption levels.

0.68 0.7 0.72 0.74 0.76 0.78 0.8 0.82 0.84 0.860

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

Donors' consumption

Rec

ipie

nts'

 con

sum

ptio

n

Figure 9: Donor-recipient relative consumption levels and the strong-altruism decision.

Notes: Recipient�s consumption ~Cr;0 versus donor�s consumption ~C�r;0. Red points correspond to the pairs satisfyingthe strong-altruism condition.

We now consider some �out of model� points of reference for our results. We begin by returning to

the example in the opening paragraph of counter-cyclical transfers between a father and son as a signal of

altruism (given positively correlated income). This motivation describes an unconditional correlation which,

in light of our model, is a proxy for a deeper theoretical relationship embodied in the derivative d ~A�r = d ~Y

on which our altruism tests are based. Therefore, the question of whether the signi�cant pairs identi�ed

by estimation of our theoretical model also display a negative unconditional correlation arises naturally.

To explore this question we computed the unconditional correlation between donors�output gap and ODA

disbursements to their recipients relative to the donor�s GDP. As already said, 20% of these correlations are

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negative. In this paper, we provide a possible explanation for this fact (the large number of counter-cyclical

ODA disbursement) exploring the possibility that particularly strong counter-cyclical ODA disbursements,

properly conditioned, signal altruistic motivations. Of course, we cannot infer altruistic motivations from

simple negative correlations but they provide an interesting point of reference. The pairs satisfying our

strong-altruism test match two �fth of the pairs displaying negative correlation. Jointly considering the

pairs that satisfy conditions (25) and (26) we can explain more the half of the negative correlations.

The next �out of model�comparison to assist in the interpretation of the results is of particular interest

in a growing research area such as this. The Center for Global Development, a non-pro�t think tank focused

on research and policy analysis on the quality of international relations of wealthy nations, publishes an

annual ranking of the e¤ectiveness of international commitment of wealthy governments to poorer countries

known as the Commitment to Development Index (CDI). The overall ranking is based on seven dimensions,

but one of the category they consider is international aid which can be seen as a proxy of the measurement of

altruism adopted in our paper, even though the methodologies followed in measuring aid are quite di¤erent.8

It is interesting to compare this type of ranking, which provide some information on the level of altruism

of donors, with the results from the strong-altruism condition we propose. Even though altruism does not

necessarily implies strong-altruism (as we explained, we can observe donor-recipients pairs with a good degree

of altruism which do not satisfy the strong-altruism condition), one could expect that more altruistic donors

may also have a higher propensity to reveal some sort of strong-altruism preferences. Looking at this ranking

for 2012, we �nd among the best donors Luxembourg, Sweden, Netherlands, Norway, Denmarks which are

also among the most altruistic according to our strong-altruism test. Not surprisingly then, Scandinavian

and some other smaller European nations account for a large share of the strongly altruistic pairs in our

sample. The biggest di¤erence between our results and the CDI is probably represented by France and

Italy, which are in the middle or low part of the CDI ranking but have a very high performance in the

strong-altruism test.

4.5 Robusteness Check

As noted, the results presented thus far are a baseline which assumes the same risk aversion parameter for

both rich and poor countries. However, there is evidence that the poor in low development countries display

high levels of risk aversion (Mahmud Yesuf and Randall A. Blu¤stone (2009); Mette Wik, Tewodros Aragie

Kebede, Olvar Bergland, and Stein T. Holden (2004)). Under some assumptions this may translate to greater

8The index adjusts aid disbursements for quality of aid. It penalizes transfers to worse-governed or rich recipients; itpenalizes donors for tying aid and for parceling out aid in many small projects. Furthermore, ODA disbursements arenot the only type of aid they include in their de�nition. The CDI and further information can be found at the linkhttp://www.cgdev.org/initiative/commitment-development-index/index

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risk aversion at the country level (see Blackburn and Ukhov (2008) for discussion). Since the relative risk

aversion in the donor-recipient pair may a¤ect the results of the test, as a robustness check we estimated

the model with greater risk aversion parameters for the recipient countries than that of their donors and

found the number of pairs that satisfy the altruism test to generally increase. For example, setting � = 2

and �r = 3, the total number of pairs satisfying the strong-altruism condition (25) rises by only a few units

(from 21:3% to 22:1%).

Another important robustness check is about the functional forms and the structure of the model we

adopted. As an alternative, we tried models with linear direct returns from ODA in the donor�s budget

constraint, returns proportional to the loss in utility of the donor�s, constant relative risk aversion utility

functions and we found similar results in the share and combination of donor-recipient pairs that pass the

strong-altruism condition.

Many additional robustness are under implementation and the full set is available from the authors

upon request. These include other variations in the risk aversion parameters, changing the sample dates,

and utilizing HP �ltered consumption levels rather than the ratio of current and trend observations. The

base-line results presented here appear fairly stable for a large set of parameter changes.

5 Conclusions

This paper develops an integrated theoretical and empirical framework for exploring the motivation of

ODA at the donor-recipient pair level. Though much of the foundational research on ODA attempted to

estimate its e¤ect on recipient growth, business-cycles, and well-being there is growing recognition that

the non-random assignment of ODA may taint these results. We concur with this general critique and

believe that donor motivation, in particular, is an important unobserved characteristic that has been largely

ignored. Motivation may a¤ect both the distribution of aid across recipients and its e¤ectiveness. Hence, we

believe the issues of the e¤ect of ODA and its motivation are inextricably connected. Our theoretical model

generates a identi�able altruism signal that we have dubbed "strong-altruism". Estimation of our model using

OECD data indicates that approximately 20% of the total donor-recipient pairs display the strong-altruism

signal. Interestingly, Scandinavian countries show on average 33% more strongly-altruistic donor-recipient

relationships than non-Scandinavian countries. Exceptional Scandinavian altruism has been asserted in both

economics and political science academic literature and by the non-academic donor community. We believe

our results provide the �rst evidence generated by a rigorous theoreticall-empirical framework to support

these assertions.

Looking forward, we intend to utilize the strong-altruism signal as a control for the non-random assign-

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ment of ODA. This holds the promise of more accurate measurement of the true e¤ects of ODA on growth,

recipient business cycles, and well-being. Our framework is su¢ ciently �exible to allow various disaggre-

gation and consideration of other gain-function shifters. We also intend to analyze the sets donor-recipient

pairs displaying the altruism signal for commonalities. Comments, suggestions, and critiques of this work

are warmly welcomed.

Acknowledgements

We thank Aaron Johnson for numerous insightful suggestions, critiques, and exceptional research as-

sistance. We also thank Stephen Smith, James Foster, Jon Rothbaum and other seminar participants at

George Washington University and the 34th Annual Econometric Society Meetings in Brazil (December 2012

�Porto de Galinhas) for insightful comments and suggestions. The usual disclaimers apply.

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APPENDIX

A Donor and Recipient Countries in Sample

The 19 OECD-DAC countries donor list: Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Denmark, Finland, France,

Germany, Italy, Japan, Luxembourg, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, UK,

US.

The 137 recipients countries list: Afghanistan, Albania, Algeria, Angola, Antigua and Barbuda, Ar-

gentina, Bahamas, Bahrain, Bangladesh, Barbados, Belize, Benin, Bermuda, Bhutan, Bolivia, Botswana,

Brazil, Brunei, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cambodia, Cameroon, Cape Verde, Central African Republic, Chad,

Chile, China, China Taipei, Colombia, Comoros, Congo (Dem. Rep.), Congo (Republic of), Costa Rica, Cote

d�Ivoire, Cuba, Cyprus, Djibouti, Dominica, Dominican Republic, Ecuador, Egypt, El Salvador, Equator-

ial Guinea, Ethiopia, Fiji, Gabon, Gambia, Ghana, Grenada, Guatemala, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Guyana,

Haiti, Honduras, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jamaica, Jordan, Kenya, Kiribati, Ko-

rea (Republic of), Kuwait, Laos, Lebanon, Lesotho, Liberia, Libya, Macao, Madagascar, Malawi, Malaysia,

Maldives, Mali, Malta, Marshall Islands, Mauritania, Mauritius, Mexico, Micronesia, Mongolia, Morocco,

Mozambique, Namibia, Nepal, Nicaragua, Niger, Nigeria, Oman, Pakistan, Palau, Panama, Papua New

Guinea, Paraguay, Peru, Philippines, Qatar, Rwanda, Samoa, Sao Tome and Principe, Saudi Arabia, Sene-

gal, Seychelles, Sierra Leone, Singapore, Solomon Islands, Somalia, South Africa, Sri Lanka, St. Kitts and

Nevis, St. Lucia, St.Vincent and Grenadines, Sudan, Suriname, Swaziland, Syria, Tanzania, Thailand,

Togo, Tonga, Trinidad andTobago, Tunisia, Turkey, Uganda, United Arab Emirates, Uruguay, Uzbekistan,

Vanuatu, Venezuela, Vietnam, Yemen, Zambia, Zimbabwe.

B Base-Line Case Point Estimates

Figures B1-B3 shows the estimates of �r, �r;0, and �r;0 corresponding to Figure YY for �r;0. As explained

in the theoretical section of the paper, our estimates of �r;0 and �r;0 provide an ordinal rather than cardinal

measure of the degree of altruism and the direct return parameter of the donor countries. For this reason,

we observe pairs also in the negative quadrant of Figures B2 and B3 . Finally, in Table B1 we list the names

of the recipient countries that satisfy the strong-altruism condition as reported by Figure 6.

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0 0.5 1 1.5­2

­1.5

­1

­0.5

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

s.d.(β)

β

Figure B1: Point estimates of �r.

Notes: Red dots identify pairs that satisfy the strong-altruism condition. In black all the others. The signi�cance ofthe parameters is shown by the blue, dotted lines. The esternal lines show the 5% signi�cance tresholds. The internallines the 10% level.

0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1­2

­1.5

­1

­0.5

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

s.d.(δ0)

δ 0

Figure B2: Point estimates of �r;0.

Notes: Red dots identify pairs that satisfy the strong-altruism condition (25). In black all the others. The signi�canceof the parameters is shown by the blue, dotted lines. The esternal lines show the 5% signi�cance tresholds. Theinternal lines the 10% level.

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0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1­2

­1.5

­1

­0.5

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

s.d.(ρ0)

ρ 0

Figure B3: Point estimates of �r;0.

Notes: Red dots identify pairs that satisfy the strong-altruism condition. In black all the others. The signi�cance ofthe parameters is shown by the blue, dotted lines. The esternal lines show the 5% signi�cance tresholds. The internallines the 10% level.

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Donor Recipients

AustraliaAfghanistan, Bangladesh, Botswana, Egypt, Haiti, Hong Kong, India, Iraq, Maldives, Mozambique,Pakistan, Samoa, SouthAfrica,Tonga.

AustriaAlgeria, Angola, Bolivia, Brazil, Central Africa Rep, Chile, China Taipei, Dem. Rep. Congo, Costa Rica,Cote d�Ivoire, Cyprus, Egypt, Ghana, Guatemala, Haiti, Iraq, Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Malaysia,Malta, Mongolia, Morocco, Rwanda, Senegal, South Africa, Tanzania, Togo, Tunisia, Vietnam.

Belgium

Angola, Bolivia, Botswana, Brazil, Burkina Faso, Chile, Costa Rica, Ecuador, Gabon, Ghana, Guatemala,Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Honduras, India, Indonesia, Iraq, Jamaica, Jordan, Kenya, Liberia,Libya, Madagascar, Malawi, Malaysia, Maldives, Mali, Mongolia, Mozambique, Namibia, Nigeria,Pakistan, Seychelles, South Africa, Tanzania, Thailand, Togo, Tunisia, Uzbekistan, Zambia, Zimbabwe.

CanadaAlgeria ,Angola, Antigua Barbuda, Bolivia, Botswana, Burkina Faso, Cambodia, Chile, Costa Rica, Cuba,El Salvador, Ethiopia, Ghana, Guinea, India, Iraq, Lesotho, Morocco, Pakistan, Sierra Leone,South Africa, St. Lucia, Sudan, Tanzania, Thailand, Turkey.

Denmark

Afghanistan, Algeria, Benin, Bolivia, Botswana, Brazil, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Central Africa Rep,Chile, China, Colombia, Dem. Rep. Congo, Costa Rica, Cote d�Ivoire, Cuba, El Salvador, Ghana,Guatemala, Haiti, Honduras, Iraq, Jordan, Lesotho, Liberia, Maldives, Mali, Mongolia, Namibia,Nicaragua, Niger, Nigeria, Pakistan, Peru, South Africa, Zambia.

FinlandAfghanistan, Angola, Barbados, Botswana, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cameroon, Cape Verde,Central Africa Rep, Dem. Rep. Congo, Cuba, Ethiopia, Ghana, Guatemala, Honduras, Iraq, Liberia,Mongolia, Namibia, Nicaragua, Pakistan, Philippines, Rwanda, South Africa, Tunisia, Yemen.

France

Algeria, Bolivia, Burkina Faso, Cambodia, Chile, Cote d�Ivoire, Cyprus, Ecuador, Fiji, Guatemala,Guinea ,Guinea-Bissau, Haiti, Honduras, India, Iraq, Jordan, Kenya, Korea, Madagascar, Malaysia,Mauritania, Morocco, Namibia, Nepal, Niger, Nigeria, Pakistan, Philippines, Rwanda, Sao Tome,Senegal, Somalia, South Africa, Sudan, Tanzania, Thailand, Togo, Zambia, Zimbabwe.

GermanyAngola, Botswana, Burundi, Cape Verde, China Taipei, Cyprus, Egypt, Haiti, Indonesia, Kenya,Lebanon, Lesotho, Malawi, Malaysia, Malta, Mauritania, Mauritius, Mozambique, Niger, Pakistan,Philippines, Singapore, Somalia, South Africa, Thailand, Togo, Tunisia, Arab Emirates, Zambia.

Italy

Afghanistan, Algeria, Angola, Bolivia, Burkina Faso, Cape Verde, Chile, Colombia, Dem. Rep. Congo,Costa Rica, Ecuador, Ethiopia, Ghana, Guatemala, Guinea, Haiti, Honduras, Jamaica, Jordan,Kenya, Libya, Madagascar, Malta, Morocco, Mozambique, Niger, Nigeria, Pakistan, Paraguay,Philippines, Rwanda, Senegal, St.Kitts&Nevis, St.Vincent, Tanzania, Tunisia, Uruguay, Yemen, Zambia.

JapanBurkina Faso, Chile, Egypt, India, Indonesia, Madagascar, Malaysia, Mali, Morocco, Mozambique,Pakistan, Singapore, Somalia, South Africa, Tanzania, Thailand, Turkey, Yemen.

Luxembourg

Bolivia, Brazil, Burkina Faso, Cambodia, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, El Salvador, Ghana, Guatemala,Guinea, Haiti, Honduras, Indonesia, Iran, Kenya, Madagascar, Malawi, Mauritius, Mexico, Morocco,Namibia, Niger, Pakistan, Paraguay, Philippines, Rwanda, Sierra Leone, South Africa, Sudan,Thailand, Togo, Tunisia, Turkey, Venezuela.

Netherlands

Angola, Bolivia, Burundi, Cambodia, Central Africa Rep, Chile, Costa Rica, Cote d�Ivoire, Dominican Rep,Egypt, El Salvador, Ghana, Guatemala, Guinea-Bissau, India, Iraq, Lesotho, Liberia, Malawi, Mali,Morocco, Mozambique, Nigeria, Philippines, Rwanda, Somalia, South Africa, Thailand, Togo, Tunisia,Uruguay, Yemen.

New Zealand Afghanistan, Ethiopia, India, Iraq, Kiribati, Mongolia, Pakistan, South Africa, Sudan, Tanzania, Zambia.

Norway

Afghanistan, Albania, Algeria, Angola, Bolivia, Brazil, Colombia, Dem. Rep. Congo, Costa Rica,Cote d�Ivoire, Cuba, Dominican Rep, Ecuador, El Salvador, Ethiopia, Guatemala, Haiti, Honduras, India,Iraq, Lebanon, Malawi, Maldives, Mali, Mauritania, Mexico, Mongolia, Mozambique, Namibia, Nicaragua,Pakistan, Peru, South Africa, Sudan, Syria, Uzbekistan, Vietnam, Yemen, Zambia.

SpainAngola, Bolivia, Cambodia, Costa Rica, Cote d�Ivoire, Ecuador, Ghana, Guatemala, Honduras, Iran,Kenya, Madagascar, Mauritania, Namibia, Nepal, Niger, Nigeria, Philippines, Rwanda, Senegal, Somalia,Sudan, Togo, Turkey, Venezuela.

Sweden

Afghanistan, Angola, Bolivia, Botswana, Brazil, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cape Verde, Central Africa Rep,Dem. Rep. Congo, Costa Rica, Cote d�Ivoire, Cuba, Dominican Rep, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras,India, Iran, Iraq, Lesotho, Liberia, Madagascar, Mauritius, Mongolia, Namibia, Nicaragua, Pakistan,Paraguay, Philippines, Rwanda, Sao Tome, Senegal, Sierra Leone, South Africa, Sudan, Swaziland,Togo, Uruguay, Yemen.

SwitzerlandAngola, Bolivia, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Central Africa Rep, Chile, Costa Rica, Cote d�Ivoire, Ghana,Guatemala, Haiti, India, Iraq, Israel, Lesotho, Liberia, Libya, Mauritania, Mongolia, Mozambique,Nepal, Nigeria, Paraguay, South Africa, Tanzania, Togo, Tunisia.

UKAfghanistan, Angola, Belize, Botswana, Brazil, Burundi, Chile, Dem. Rep. Congo, Costa Rica, Dominica,Ghana, Iraq, Kiribati, Lesotho, Madagascar, Mali, Mozambique, Nigeria, Senegal, Seychelles,Sierra Leone, Somalia, South Africa, St. Lucia, Swaziland, Tanzania.

USBolivia, Botswana, Brazil, Colombia, Dem. Rep. Congo, Costa Rica, Cote d�Ivoire, Egypt, El Salvador,Guatemala, Haiti, India, Kenya, Lebanon, Malawi, Mali, Mexico, Morocco, Pakistan, South Africa,Turkey, Yemen.

Table B1: Recipient countries that satisfy the strong-altruism condition.

Notes : This table lists the countries that satisfy the condition for strong-altruism equation (25) in the main text andsummarized in Figure 6.

30